DOCSLIB.ORG

Buckinghamshire Housing and Economic Development Needs Assessment Update 2016

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Buckinghamshire Housing and Economic Development Needs Assessment Update 2016 Buckinghamshire Housing and Economic Development Needs Assessment Update 2016 Report of Findings 05 December 2016 Opinion Research Services | The Strand • Swansea • SA1 1AF | 01792 535300 | www.ors.org.uk | [email protected] Opinion Research Services ▪ Atkins | Buckinghamshire Housing and Economic Development Needs Assessment Update December 2016 Opinion Research Services | The Strand, Swansea SA1 1AF Jonathan Lee | Nigel Moore | Scott Lawrence enquiries: 01792 535300 · [email protected] · www.ors.org.uk Atkins | Euston Tower, 286 Euston Road NW1 3AT Richard Ainsley enquiries: 020 7121 2280 · [email protected] · www.atkinsglobal.com © Copyright December 2016 2 Opinion Research Services ▪ Atkins | Buckinghamshire Housing and Economic Development Needs Assessment Update December 2016 Contents Executive Summary ............................................................................................ 6 Summary of Key Findings and Conclusions 6 Household Projections ................................................................................................................................ 7 Affordable Housing Need ............................................................................................................................ 8 Objectively Assessed Housing Need ............................................................................................................ 9 Employment Land Requirements .............................................................................................................. 12 1. Introducing the Study .................................................................................. 14 Background to the project and wider policy context 14 National Planning Policy Framework ........................................................................................................ 14 Planning Practice Guidance ....................................................................................................................... 16 Duty to Co-operate .................................................................................................................................... 17 Overview of the HEDNA ............................................................................................................................ 18 2. Overview of the FEMA ................................................................................. 23 Local policy context and key socio-economic indicators 23 Aylesbury Vale District .............................................................................................................................. 23 Chiltern District ......................................................................................................................................... 26 South Bucks District ................................................................................................................................... 27 Wycombe District ...................................................................................................................................... 30 Other Relevant Cross-District Studies ....................................................................................................... 31 Key Socio-economic Indicators ................................................................................................................. 33 Summary ................................................................................................................................................... 37 3. Demographic Projections ............................................................................ 39 The starting point for Objectively Assessed Housing Need 39 Process for Establishing Objectively Assessed Housing Need ................................................................... 39 Official Household Projections .................................................................................................................. 40 Official Population Projections ............................................................................................................ 41 Population Trends ..................................................................................................................................... 41 Population Trends for Aylesbury Vale ................................................................................................. 42 Population Trends for Chiltern ............................................................................................................ 52 Population Trends for South Bucks ..................................................................................................... 56 Population Trends for Wycombe ........................................................................................................ 60 Population Projections Based on Local Circumstances ............................................................................. 64 Considering Migration Assumptions ................................................................................................... 66 Establishing Population Projections for Buckinghamshire HMA......................................................... 72 Establishing Household Projections for Buckinghamshire ........................................................................ 73 Household Population and Communal Establishment Population ..................................................... 73 Household Representative Rates ........................................................................................................ 74 Household Projections ........................................................................................................................ 75 Conclusions ................................................................................................................................................ 76 3 Opinion Research Services ▪ Atkins | Buckinghamshire Housing and Economic Development Needs Assessment Update December 2016 4. Affordable Housing Need ............................................................................ 78 Identifying households who cannot afford market housing 78 Past Trends and Current Estimates of the Need for Affordable Housing ................................................. 79 Local Authority Data: Homeless Households and Temporary Accommodation ................................. 79 Census Data: Concealed Households and Overcrowding ................................................................... 80 English Housing Survey Data ............................................................................................................... 84 Housing Register Data ......................................................................................................................... 87 Households Unable to Afford their Housing Costs ............................................................................. 89 Establishing Affordable Housing Need ...................................................................................................... 91 Current Unmet Need for Affordable Housing ..................................................................................... 91 Projected Future Affordable Housing Need ........................................................................................ 94 Assessing the Overall Need for Affordable Housing ......................................................................... 101 Conclusions .............................................................................................................................................. 103 5. Current Economic Market ......................................................................... 106 Analysis of the local property market and existing supply 106 Local Property Market ............................................................................................................................. 106 Offices ............................................................................................................................................... 106 Industrial ........................................................................................................................................... 107 Property Market Indicators ..................................................................................................................... 108 Office Rents ....................................................................................................................................... 108 Industrial Rents ................................................................................................................................. 109 Investment Deals ............................................................................................................................... 110 Leasing Activity .................................................................................................................................. 111 B-Class Commercial Property Market ............................................................................................... 113 Existing Supply ......................................................................................................................................... 115 Vacant Floorspace ............................................................................................................................. 115 Quality of Employment Supply.........................................................................................................
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Public Session
    PUBLIC SESSION MINUTES OF ORAL EVIDENCE taken before HIGH SPEED RAIL COMMITTEE on the HIGH SPEED RAIL (LONDON – WEST MIDLANDS) BILL Tuesday 13 October 2015 (Morning) In Committee Room 5 PRESENT: Mr Robert Syms (Chair) Sir Peter Bottomley Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Mr David Crausby Mr Mark Hendrick _____________ IN ATTENDANCE: Mr Timothy Mo uld, QC, Counsel, Department for Transport Mr Mark Lowe, QC, Counsel, Buckinghamshire County Council Witnesses: Mrs Catherine Murray, Chiltern District Council Mr Martin Tett, Buckinghamshire County Council Ms Edi Smockum, resident Mr Andy Kirkham, Aylesbury Vale District Council Mr Jonathan Bellars, Aylesbury Vale District Council Mrs Bettina Kirkham Mr Peter Miller, Environment Director, HS2 Ltd _____________ IN PUBLIC SESSION INDEX Subject Page Buckinghamshire County Council (Cont’d) Mrs Murray, examined by Mr Lowe 3 Response from Mr Mould 8 Mr Tett, examined by Mr Lowe 16 Ms Smockum, examined by Mr Lowe 25 Ms Smockum, cross-examined by Mr Mould 28 Mr Tett, re-examined by Mr Lowe 34 Mr Tett, cross-examined by Mr Mould 38 Submissions by M r Mo uld 47 Statement from Mr Kirkham 51 Response from Mr Mould 53 Statement from Mr Bellars 56 Response from Mr Mould 57 Statement from Mr Tett 60 Response from Mr Mould 62 Mrs K irkham, examined by Mr Lowe 65 Response from Mr Mould 84 Mr Miller, examined by Mr Mould 90 Comments by Mrs Kirkham 96 2 (At 09.30) 1. CHAIR: Order, Order. Welcome to the HS2 Select Committee. Welcome back, Mr Lowe. Sorry to leave you over to today, rather than last night.
    [Show full text]
  • Buckinghamshire
    Buckinghamshire Later Bronze Age and Iron Age Historic Environment Resource Assessment Sandy Kidd June 2007 Nature of the evidence The Sites and Monuments Records for Buckinghamshire and Milton Keynes attributes 1622 records (monuments and find spots) to the Iron Age and a further 144 records to the Middle or Late Bronze Age representing about 9.4% of total SMR records. Also, many formally undated cropmark sites probably actually date to the Bronze Age or Iron Age. In addition evidence for the survival of putatively prehistoric landscapes into modern times needs to be considered (see landscape section). Later prehistoric sites have been recognised in Buckinghamshire since the 19 th century with useful summaries of the state of knowledge at the beginning of the twentieth century being provided by the Royal Commission for Historical Monuments and Victoria County History. Essentially knowledge was restricted to a few prominent earthwork monuments and a handful of distinctive finds, mostly from the Chilterns and Thames (Clinch, 1905; RCHME, 1912 & 1913). By 1955 Jack Head was able to identify a concentration of Iron Age hillforts, settlement sites and finds along the Chiltern scarp along with a few sites (mainly hillforts) on the dipslope and a scattering of sites along the Thames. A few of these sites, notably Bulstrode and Cholesbury Camps and an apparently open settlement on Lodge Hill, Saunderton had been investigated by trial trenching (Head, 1955, 62-78). By 1979 it was possible to draw upon a wider range of evidence including modern excavations, aerial photography and environmental archaeology referring to sites in the Ouse valley as well as the Chilterns, open settlements as well as hillforts and evidence for extensive open grassland environments from the Bronze Age onwards (Reed, 1979, 35-41).
    [Show full text]
  • Archive Catalogue
    Buckinghamshire Archaeological Society CATALOGUE OF THE SOCIETY'S COLLECTION OF ARCHIVES HELD IN THE MUNIMENT ROOM Compiled by Lorna M. Head With additional material by Diana Gulland Buckinghamshire Papers No.1 2002 additions and amendments 2007 HOW TO USE THE CATALOGUE These archives may be consulted, on application to Mrs. Diana Gulland, the Hon. LibrarianIArchivist, on Wednesdays from 10.00am to 4.00pm. When requesting material please quote the call mark, found on the left-hand side of the page, together with the full description of the item. General e nquiries about the archives, or requests for more details of those collections which are listed as having been entered on to the Library's database, are welcomed either by letter or telephone. This Catalogue describes the archives in the Muniment Room at the time of printing in 2002. Details of additions to the stock and of progress in entering all stock on to the Society's computer database will be posted on our proposed website and published in our Newsletters. Buckinghamshire Archaeological Society Library County Museum Church Street Aylesbury Bucks HP20 2QP Telephone No. 01296 678114 (Wednesdays only) CONTENTS Call mark Page Introduction 3 Antiquarian collections Warren R. DAWSON DAW Gerald and Elizabeth ELVEY ELVEY Henry GOUGH and W. P. Storer GOU F. G. GURNEY GUR R. W. HOLT HOL Rev. H. E. RUDDY RUD A. V. WOODMAN WOO Dr Gordon H. WYATT WYA Other collections ELECTION MATERIAL ELECT George LIPSCOMB'S notes for The History and Antiquities of the County of Buckingham L1 P Copies of MANUSCRIPTS MSS MAPS MAPS MISCELLANEOUS COLLECTION MISC POLL BOOKS and ELECTION REGISTERS POLL Topographical PRINTS PRINTS Parish REGISTER transcripts REG SALE CATALOGUES SAL INTRODUCTION, by Lorna Head For many years after its foundation in 1847, the Buckinghamshire Archaeological Society was the only repository for archives in the county and a collection was gradually built up through deposits and gifts.
    [Show full text]
  • Council Agends & Reports 20 January 2014
    Chesham Town Council Bill Richards Town Clerk Tel: 01494 774842 Fax: 01494 582908 www.chesham.gov.uk Email: [email protected] 10th January 2014 Dear Councillor, You are SUMMONED to attend a meeting of the CHESHAM TOWN COUNCIL to be held in the Council Chamber, The Town Hall, Chesham, on MONDAY 20th JANUARY 2014 AT 7.30pm. AGENDA 1. Apologies for absence. 2. To confirm Minutes of the Meeting of the Council held on 18th November 2013. 3. Declarations of Interest. 4. Public Question Time: A period of up to 15 minutes or less, as the case may be, will be allowed for members of the public present, who are electors or residents in the parish of Chesham, to ask questions primarily in respect of items on the agenda of this Town Council meeting but also in the interests of wider public discussion. 5. To receive the Mayoral engagements and any other announcements as the Town Mayor may wish to lay before the Council. 6. To receive and consider the Minutes of the under mentioned Committees. Recreation and the Arts of the 25th November 2013. Development Control of the 9th December 2013 & 6th January 2014. Policy & Resources of the 9th December 2013. 7. Revised Estimates 2013/14; Estimates 2014/15 and setting of Precept (to follow) . 8. Green Flag Award Entry for 2014. 9. Mayoral Awards. 10. Smoke Free Policy. 11. Buckinghamshire County Councillors feedback to Council. 12. Council’s position on HS2. 13. Late donations request. 14. To receive and consider Payments No: 4. 15. Information Item. 16.
    [Show full text]
  • BUCKINGHAMSHIRE POSSE COMITATUS 1798 the Posse Comitatus, P
    THE BUCKINGHAMSHIRE POSSE COMITATUS 1798 The Posse Comitatus, p. 632 THE BUCKINGHAMSHIRE POSSE COMITATUS 1798 IAN F. W. BECKETT BUCKINGHAMSHIRE RECORD SOCIETY No. 22 MCMLXXXV Copyright ~,' 1985 by the Buckinghamshire Record Society ISBN 0 801198 18 8 This volume is dedicated to Professor A. C. Chibnall TYPESET BY QUADRASET LIMITED, MIDSOMER NORTON, BATH, AVON PRINTED IN GREAT BRITAIN BY ANTONY ROWE LIMITED, CHIPPENHAM, WILTSHIRE FOR THE BUCKINGHAMSHIRE RECORD SOCIETY CONTENTS Acknowledgments p,'lge vi Abbreviations vi Introduction vii Tables 1 Variations in the Totals for the Buckinghamshire Posse Comitatus xxi 2 Totals for Each Hundred xxi 3-26 List of Occupations or Status xxii 27 Occupational Totals xxvi 28 The 1801 Census xxvii Note on Editorial Method xxviii Glossary xxviii THE POSSE COMITATUS 1 Appendixes 1 Surviving Partial Returns for Other Counties 363 2 A Note on Local Military Records 365 Index of Names 369 Index of Places 435 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The editor gratefully acknowledges the considerable assistance of Mr Hugh Hanley and his staff at the Buckinghamshire County Record Office in the preparation of this edition of the Posse Comitatus for publication. Mr Hanley was also kind enough to make a number of valuable suggestions on the first draft of the introduction which also benefited from the ideas (albeit on their part unknowingly) of Dr J. Broad of the North East London Polytechnic and Dr D. R. Mills of the Open University whose lectures on Bucks village society at Stowe School in April 1982 proved immensely illuminating. None of the above, of course, bear any responsibility for any errors of interpretation on my part.
    [Show full text]
  • Burnham Beeches Management Plan 2020 - 2030 DRAFT
    DRAFT Burnham Beeches Management Plan 2020 - 2030 DRAFT Burnham Beeches is a unique nature reserve Burnham Beeches is a precious remnant The City of London Corporation is and public open space owned and managed of an active wood pasture with ancient committed to managing Burnham Beeches in by the City of London Corporation. pollarded beech trees, a habitat that was perpetuity to ensure that it remains a special once commonplace throughout the south place for generations to come. It is a registered charity (number 232987) of England but is now restricted to a small A team of Rangers, a Conservation Officer which receives the major part of its funding number of places. Situated in an increasingly and administration staff, based at Burnham from the City. urbanised landscape, we are working with Beeches, works with volunteers and local people at all levels to try to minimise the contractors to protect and maintain the deterioration of the habitats and reduce the important features of Burnham Beeches and impacts of fragmentation. Stoke Common for people and wildlife. Contents Introduction 4 2.0 The need for management 5.0 Work programme 2020-2030 Facts learnt in the last 10 years 5 2.1 Pollarded trees 20 Work programme 68 Achievements 2010-2020 6 2.2 Grazing 21 2.3 Climate change 22 Background information 1.0 Site description 2.4 Fragmentation, pollution 22 Glossary 80 and other stresses 1.1 Location 7 PSPO map 80 2.5 Visitors 23 1.2 Ownership and access rights 7 Contact details back cover 1.3 Site status 8 3.0 Vision 1.4 Financial situation
    [Show full text]
  • BGT June 2020 Extra Newsletter
    Buckinghamshire Gardens Trust Newsletter Extra June 2020 The Buckinghamshire Gardens Trust Newsletter grown in response to requests for articles for the extra June Newsletter and what started out as one newsletter will now probably fill two! The plan now is to make a record of these parks and produce a ‘Guide to Buckinghamshire Public Parks ’, this will include a description, a history of the park and an up- date on the condition of the park in 2020. The Gardens Trust, have launched a new lottery funded project for 2020-22 ‘Unforgettable Gardens; save our heritage’ and ‘Guide to Buckinghamshire Public Parks’ will be our contribution to this national initiative. This is a most appropriate project given the considerable support the National Lottery has given to public parks since its inception in 1993 bringing many back from the brink with its generous grants. Aylesbury Vale Park Town Council Our aim will be to ensure that ‘the green lungs’ that are our local public parks will be ‘unforgettable’ in Buckinghamshire’s Public Parks the future, and continue to provide the much needed In these extraordinary times we have been relaxation and recreation areas to urban dwellers. encouraged to take daily exercise, walking and Most of our volunteers are now able to travel to the cycling being the main options. This is wonderful for parks as restrictions have been lifted but the archives those fortunate to be living in rural Buckinghamshire, are currently closed so research is rather limited. and I now know all the public footpaths within 5 kms However, with help from Julia Wise at Bucks.CC and of my village Oakley and view the fields as one big on-line research we have so far written introductions beautiful park.
    [Show full text]
  • Records of Buckinghamshire, Or, Papers and Notes on the History
    HILLESDEN HOUSE IN 1644. BY REV. H. ROUNDELL. The civil wars of the seventeenth century are full of incidents connected with this County, and the difficulty is not so much to find a subject, as to make a selection from the abundant material. Sketches of the battle of Ayles- bury, the attack and defence of Borstal House, the skir- mish at Padbury, the burning of Swanbourne, the en- trenched camp at Newport Pagnell with its unruly gar- rison and mess-room intrigues, the foray of the Earl of Cleveland on Fenny Stratford and Brickhill, might be readily exhumed from the forgotten depositories of the Mercuries, Intelligencers, and Chronicles of these wars. Some few of these events have found a place in Lord Clarendon's well known History, while the affair at Hillesden House, which nevertheless affected to some ex- tent the position of both armies in Buckinghamshire in 1644, is passed over without mention by this writer, owing, it has been stated, to a personal misunderstanding between himself and the Denton family, owners of Hillesden. In the beginning of the year 104f Charles I. was in garrison at Oxford, and occupied Abingdon, Woodstock, and Banbury, maintaining his line of defence upon the river Cherwell and fortifying Borstal House in Bucks as an advanced post. Opposite to this line, but at the safe distance of twenty miles and upwards, the forces of the Parliament held Newport Pagnell under Sir Samuel Luke with a direct communication with their camp at Aylesbury, thus securing the north road from London into Bedfordshire and the associated Counties.
    [Show full text]
  • BUCKINGHAMSHIRE POTS, POTTERS and POTTERIES, C.1200–1910 by MICHAEL FARLEY and BARBARA HURMAN Offprinted from RECORDS of BUCKS
    BUCKINGHAMSHIRE POTS, POTTERS AND POTTERIES, C.1200–1910 BY MICHAEL FARLEY AND BARBARA HURMAN Offprinted from RECORDS OF BUCKS Vol. 55 2015 BUCKINGHAMSHIRE POTS, POTTERS AND POTTERIES, c.1200–1910 MICHAEL FARLEY AND BARBARA HURMAN An attempt is made to list Buckinghamshire’s pottery production sites and potters from the thirteenth century until c.1910 and to give a short description of their products where known. The information is derived from confirmed kiln sites, from surface finds of ‘waster’ material which indicate production, and from a range of documentary sources including field names. There remains considerable scope for further local research; a number of suspected production sites have not yet been located on the ground and further local study would certainly identify other potters and link named potters to specific locations. Several features have emerged from the study. Firstly, a number of production sites are known to have been active in recent centuries, but for which there is no earlier record. It is suspected that some of these may have had earlier undocumented activity. Secondly, and perhaps unsurprisingly, many pottery centres were located on agriculturally marginal land. Thirdly, several of the pottery families followed their trade over generations and this is likely to have been the case long before documentation becomes available. Finally, the number of ‘pot hawkers’ recorded, particularly in the mid-nineteenth century, is surprising as it almost equals the number of working potters; their role in distributing the wares of country potteries may have been underestimated in the past. quently exposed, for example by being ploughed up, I NTRODUCT ION weathering of their relatively soft and open fabric Until shortly before the Roman conquest all pottery may leave little trace of them.
    [Show full text]
  • Recreation and the Arts Agenda & Reports 23 November 2015
    Chesham Town Council Bill Richards Town Clerk Tel: 01494 774842 Fax: 01494 582908 www.chesham.gov.uk Email: [email protected] 13th November 2015 Dear Councillor I hereby give notice of a meeting of the RECREATION AND THE ARTS COMMITTEE to be held in the Council Chamber, The Town Hall, Chesham, on MONDAY 23rd NOVEMBER 2015 AT APPROXIMATELY 8.00PM (i.e. immediately following the close of the Development Control Committee meeting which is due to commence at 7.30pm) A G E N D A 1. Apologies for absence. 2. Declarations of Interest. 3. To receive and confirm the Minutes of the Committee meeting held on 21st September 2015. 4. To receive and consider the Minutes of: a. Chesham Environment Group meeting of the 20th August 2015. b. Allotment Group AGM of the 10th September and meeting of the 6th October 2015. c. Elgiva Board of Management meetings of the 12th October and 9th November 2015. d. Friends of Chesham Cemetery meeting of 13th October 2015. 5. Green Flag Award Entry for 2016. 6. Town Hall Civil Marriage Ceremonies and Civil Partnership Registrations. 7. Buckinghamshire Local Access Forum. 8. Revised Estimates 2015/16 and Estimates 2016/17 (to follow following consideration by the Finance Working Group on the 16th November). 9. Proposed Fees and Charges 2016/17 (to follow following consideration by the Finance Working Group on the 16th November). 10. Exclusion of the Public and the Press. 11. Elgiva Pantomime for 2016. Yours sincerely, Bill Richards Town Clerk Chesham Town Council, Town Hall, Chesham, Bucks HP5 1DS Twinned with Friedrichsdorf Germany; Houilles France; Archena Spain Chesham Town Council continued .
    [Show full text]
  • Buckinghamshire Trade Tokens Issued in the Seventeenth Century
    BUCKINGHAMSHIRE TRADE TOKENS ISSUED IN THE SEVENTEENTH CENTURY. By J. O. MANTON. PART 1. '0 HIS revision of the published lists of the Buc~inghamshire , r: .i senes of the seventeenth-century traders tokens IS based, mainly, on the Bucks Archceological Society's . collection exhibited in their museum at Aylesbury. The genealogical particulars given to establish the connection of the tokeners with the county of Bucks have been very laboriously extracted from parish registers and other sources by Mr. Edwin Hollis, F.Z.S., the Archceological Society's Curator and Librarian. He has also explored the field of place-names common to the county ,of Bucks ' and other counties, with the result that several tokens hitherto allocated to other counties are now shown to belong to the Bucks series. Further, he has contributed notes concerning individuals, garnered from time to time for possible use as at present. Place-names, we are told, make a considerable contribution to local history. Following precedent, an attempt is made in the pages ,of this paper to show the derivations of the names of the places which appear on the tokens. Incidentally, it may be noted that · some of'the names as rendered upon the tokens show that the local pronunciation of them in the tokenage period was more -c orrect than our modernisms. In April, 1912, the Bucks Arcnceological Society purchased a -collection of 191 varieties of Bucks tokens from Mr. Oliver Ratcliff. 208 Buckinghamshire Trade Tokens issued then a printer in Olney, who had catalogued 203 varieties and prepared wood-blocks for printing a large number of them.
    [Show full text]
  • Buckingham Fact Pack July 2011
    The Vale of Aylesbury Plan Buckingham Fact Pack July 2011 Contents Section Page 1 Introduction page 3 2 Location and Setting page 6 3 Story of Place page 8 4 Fact File page 12 5 Issues Facing the Town page 50 6 Town Constraints page 54 7 Annex page 60 Cover Photo – View to The Church of St Peter and St Paul, taken by Chris Nyborg July 2006. Searched 11 April 2011 online at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Buckingham_PeterandPaulParishChurch01.JPG 2 1. Introduction Purpose of the document This Fact Pack document was initially produced in 2010 to help inform the town/parish council about the characteristics of their parish for the ‘community view’ consultation. This consultation was undertaken early on in the preparation of the Vale of Aylesbury Plan as part of a bottom up approach embracing localism and aiming to get local communities more involved in the planning process. The town/parish council were asked to consult with their community on the following: The level of future housing and/or employment development up to 2031, including specific types of homes, employment and other development The location, sizes and phasing of development The types of infrastructure (social, community, physical) needed to enable development, including where it should be located Any other issues relating to planning and development This Fact Pack document has also been used to support neighbourhood planning by providing evidence for the context of the neighbourhood plan, including information on housing, employment, infrastructure and the environment. This Fact Pack document has also been used to support the Vale of Aylesbury Plan Settlement Hierarchy Assessment.
    [Show full text]