Combatting Climate Change the Drought We All Recently Experienced
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PRC.15.1.1 a Publication of AXA XL Risk Consulting
Property Risk Consulting Guidelines PRC.15.1.1 A Publication of AXA XL Risk Consulting WINDSTORMS INTRODUCTION A variety of windstorms occur throughout the world on a frequent basis. Although most winds are related to exchanges of energy (heat) between different air masses, there are a number of weather mechanisms that are involved in wind generation. These depend on latitude, altitude, topography and other factors. The different mechanisms produce windstorms with various characteristics. Some affect wide geographical areas, while others are local in nature. Some storms produce cooling effects, whereas others rapidly increase the ambient temperatures in affected areas. Tropical cyclones born over the oceans, tornadoes in the mid-west and the Santa Ana winds of Southern California are examples of widely different windstorms. The following is a short description of some of the more prevalent wind phenomena. A glossary of terms associated with windstorms is provided in PRC.15.1.1.A. The Beaufort Wind Scale, the Saffir/Simpson Hurricane Scale, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Cyclone Severity Scale and the Fugita Tornado Scale are also provided in PRC.15.1.1.A. Types Of Windstorms Local Windstorms A variety of wind conditions are brought about by local factors, some of which can generate relatively high wind conditions. While they do not have the extreme high winds of tropical cyclones and tornadoes, they can cause considerable property damage. Many of these local conditions tend to be seasonal. Cold weather storms along the East coast are known as Nor’easters or Northeasters. While their winds are usually less than hurricane velocity, they may create as much or more damage. -
Lessons for Coastal Cities from Hurricane Sandy (PDF)
NRDC: Preparing for Climate Change - Lessons for Coastal Cities from Hurricane Sandy (PDF) APRIL 2014 NRDC REPORT R:14-04-A Preparing for Climate Change: Lessons for Coastal Cities from Hurricane Sandy AUTHORS: Kim Knowlton, Dr.P.H. Miriam Rotkin-Ellman, M.P.H. Natural Resources Defense Council ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The authors would like to thank Zev Ross and Hollie Kitson of ZevRoss Spatial Analysis, Ithaca, New York, for conducting the mapping of areas in the five boroughs of New York City that were affected by unexpected flooding as a result of Hurricane Sandy in October–November 2012. We would also like to acknowledge the sustainable development project work of Barnard College students Carly Wertheim, Mariah Chen, Reeva Dua, Claudia Mack, Jenny Pensky, and Emilie Schattman (advised by professor Martin Stute), who, in the fall of 2013, developed a preliminary analysis of health and economic costs in areas unexpectedly flooded during Hurricane Sandy. Their work helped shape this issue brief. This work is an outgrowth of a panel presentation titled Climate Change & Public Health Policy Implications of Sandy, given by Kim Knowlton, Dr.P.H., at a Special Session of the 2013 American Public Health Association meeting in Boston. We are grateful to the following colleagues and external peer reviewers who provided invaluable comments on this report: David Abramson of the National Center for Disaster Preparedness; Patrick L. Kinney, director of the Climate and Health Program at the Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University; Robert Moore and Ben Chou of NRDC’s Climate and Water program; and NRDC colleagues Steve Fleischli, Becky Hammer, Becky Hayat, Theo Spencer and Monty Schmitt. -
Plans and Prospects for Coastal Flooding in Four Communities Affected by Sandy
APRIL 2017 W O N G - P A R O D I E T A L . 183 Plans and Prospects for Coastal Flooding in Four Communities Affected by Sandy GABRIELLE WONG-PARODI Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania BARUCH FISCHHOFF Department of Engineering and Public Policy, and Institute for Politics and Strategy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania BEN STRAUSS Climate Central, Princeton, New Jersey (Manuscript received 4 April 2016, in final form 1 December 2016) ABSTRACT The risk of coastal flooding is increasing due to more frequent intense storm events, rising sea levels, and more people living in flood-prone areas. Although private adaptation measures can reduce damage and risk, most people living in risk-prone areas take only a fraction of those measures voluntarily. The present study examines relationships among individuals’ beliefs and actions regarding flood-related risks based on in-depth interviews and structured surveys in communities deeply affected by Superstorm Sandy. The authors find that residents recognize the risk of coastal flooding and expect it to increase, although they appear to un- derestimate by how much. Although interview participants typically cited climate change as affecting the risks that they face, survey respondents’ acceptance of climate change was unrelated to their willingness to tolerate coastal flooding risks, their beliefs about the effectiveness of community-level mitigation measures, or their willingness to take individual actions. Respondents who reported greater social support also reported both greater tolerance for flood risks and greater confidence in community adaptation measures, suggesting an important, but complex role of personal connections in collective resilience—both keeping people in place and helping them to survive there. -
Coastal Hazards & Flood Mapping – a Visual Guide
COASTAL HAZARDS & FLOOD MAPPING A VISUAL GUIDE Coastal communities are special places and home to important resources. But what makes them so distinctive is also what makes them at high risk for floods. Floods are the nation’s costliest natural disasters, and coastal communities face many flood risks. These include storm surges, powerful waves, and erosion — all of which can cause extensive damage to homes, businesses, and public spaces. When a coastal storm approaches, community leaders and members of the media may use technical terms to describe storm-related risks. This visual guide explains these terms and how they relate to information shown on flood maps. TABLE OF CONTENTS UNDERSTANDING COASTAL HAZARDS & RISKS ........... 1 Inundation ..............................................................1 Coastal Flooding .....................................................1 Stillwater Elevation ..................................................2 Wave Setup ............................................................2 Storm Surge ...........................................................2 Storm Tide ..............................................................2 Wave Hazards .........................................................3 a. Runup and Overtopping b. Overland Wave Propagation Erosion ...................................................................4 Sea Level Rise ........................................................5 Tsunami ..................................................................5 COASTAL FLOOD MAPS: KEY TERMS -
A Guide for Evaluating Coastal Community Resilience to Tsunamis
HOW RESILIENT IS YOUR COASTAL COMMUNITY? A GUIDE FOR EVALUATING COASTAL COMMUNITY RESILIENCE TO TSUNAMIS AND OTHER HAZARDS HOW RESILIENT IS YOUR COASTAL COMMUNITY? A GUIDE FOR EVALUATING COASTAL COMMUNITY RESILIENCE TO TSUNAMIS AND OTHER HAZARDS U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program 2007 Printed in Bangkok, Thailand Citation: U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program. 2007. How Resilient is Your Coastal Community? A Guide for Evaluating Coastal Community Resilience to Tsunamis and Other Coastal Hazards. U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program supported by the United States Agency for International Development and partners, Bangkok, Thailand. 144 p. The opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID. This publication may be reproduced or quoted in other publications as long as proper reference is made to the source. The U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System (IOTWS) Program is part of the international effort to develop tsunami warning system capabilities in the Indian Ocean following the December 2004 tsunami disaster. The U.S. program adopted an “end-to-end” approach—addressing regional, national, and local aspects of a truly functional warning system—along with multiple other hazards that threaten communities in the region. In partnership with the international community, national governments, and other partners, the U.S. program offers technology transfer, training, and information resources to strengthen the tsunami warning and preparedness capabilities of national and local stakeholders in the region. U.S. IOTWS Document No. 27-IOTWS-07 ISBN 978-0-9742991-4-3 How REsiLIENT IS Your CoastaL COMMUNity? A GuidE For EVALuatiNG CoastaL COMMUNity REsiLIENCE to TsuNAMis AND OthER HAZards OCTOBER 2007 This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development. -
Coastal Flooding - August 2016
Climate Change Indicators in the United States: Coastal Flooding www.epa.gov/climate-indicators - August 2016 Coastal Flooding This indicator shows how the frequency of coastal flooding has changed over time. Background Changing sea levels are affecting human activities in coastal areas. Rising sea level inundates low-lying wetlands and dry land, erodes shorelines, contributes to coastal flooding, and increases the flow of salt water into estuaries and nearby groundwater aquifers. Higher sea level also makes coastal infrastructure more vulnerable to damage from storms. “Relative sea level change” refers to the height of the ocean relative to the land at a particular location. As relative sea level rises due to climate change (see the Sea Level indicator), one of the most noticeable consequences is an increase in coastal flooding. Flooding typically occurs during seasonal high tides (“king tides”) and storms that push water toward the shore. In recent years, however, coastal cities are increasingly flooding on days with less extreme tides or little wind, even on sunny days. Floods are happening more often as rising sea level reduces the gap between average sea level and the height of the land. Many coastal cities have defined minor or “nuisance” flooding thresholds. When water rises above this level, minor flooding typically occurs in some streets, many storm drains become ineffective, and a coastal flood advisory may be issued. Recurrent coastal flooding can cause impacts such as frequent road closures, reduced stormwater drainage capacity, -
Coastal Storms Are a Reality for New York City, Arriving As Hurricanes, Tropical Cyclones ,And Nor’Easters When Certain Meteorological Conditions Converge
CToaS AL STORMS CHAPTER 4.1 Coastal storms are a reality for New York City, arriving as hurricanes, tropical cyclones ,and nor’easters when certain meteorological conditions converge. Not only dangerous, these storms can be deadly, sustaining destructive winds, heavy rainfall, storm surge, coastal flooding, and erosion. Climate change and rising sea levels are likely to worsen their impacts. W HAT IS THE HAZARD? TROPICAL cycLONES Tropical cyclones are organized areas of precipitation and thunderstorms that form over warm tropical ocean waters and rotate counterclockwise around a low pressure center. Such storms are classified as follows: • A tropical depression is an organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with a defined low pressure center and maximum sustained winds of 38 miles per hour (mph) or less. • A tropical storm is an organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined low pressure center and maximum sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph. • A hurricane is an intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms, a well-defined low pressure center (“eye”), and maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or more. In the North Atlantic Basin—where New York City is located—tropical cyclones often form in the Atlantic Ocean between Africa and the Lesser Antilles, in the Caribbean Sea, or in the Gulf of Mexico. Typically, they first track in a westerly or northwesterly direction. They are then pushed northward and eventually eastward by the force of the Earth’s rotation. They may track up the East Coast of the United States and reach New York City if water temperatures are warm enough and the prevailing winds steer them in this direction. -
Coastal Flooding Risk Post Processing, Guidance to Assist Predictions Services
COASTAL FLOODING RISK POST PROCESSING, GUIDANCE TO ASSIST PREDICTIONS SERVICES Emergency Management Strategy (Predicting and Alerting for Coastal Flooding) Devon Telford 2nd International Workshop on waves, Storm Surges and Coastal Hazards Coastal Flooding Risk Coastal Flooding Risk: High risk Probability of the hazard: Some volume/level of water Moderate risk incident along the coast. Low risk Impact of the hazard: Probability How vulnerable the object is that is affected by the Impact volume/level of water. Coastal Flooding Impact Coastal Flooding Impact: Hazard Vulnerability Hazard: Some volume/level of water incident along the Impact coast. Vulnerability: Dependent on what that volume/level of water comes in contact with. Coastal Flooding Impact Hazard 1 Impact RED Coastal Vulnerability Flooding A Hazard Some volume/level of water incident Hazard 1 along the coast. Impact YELLOW Vulnerability Impact B Hazard 1 Impact GREEN Vulnerability C Coastal Flooding Hazard Hazard Vulnerability Impact Relative mean sea level •Post-glacial rebound: •Sea level rise: Steric Sea level Changes Coastal Flooding Tide Hazard Some Storm surge volume/level of water incident Wave set-up:. along the coast.. Wave runup Wave overtopping Coastal Flooding Hazard These 7 processes have different time scales and different amplitudes. Coastal Flooding Hazard -> Water level along the coast 1. Relative mean sea level Modelled at at Natural A. Post-glacial rebound: cm/year. Resources Canada B. Sea level rise: cm/year. (NRCan). 2. Steric Sea level Changes: cm/month, cm’s amplitude, pseudo-annual return period. 3. Tide: cm-m/hour, meter’s amplitude, 28 year return period. 4. Storm surge: cm/hr, cm-m’s amplitude. -
December 2001 Winter Storms the Deceptive Killers This Preparedness Guide Explains the Dangers of Winter Weather and Suggests Life-Saving Action YOU Can Take
December 2001 Winter Storms The Deceptive Killers This preparedness guide explains the dangers of winter weather and suggests life-saving action YOU can take. With this information, YOU can recognize winter weather threats, develop an action plan and be ready when severe winter weather threatens. Remember…your safety is up to YOU. Why Talk About Winter Weather? • Each year, dozens of Americans die due to exposure to cold. Add to that number, vehicle accidents and fatalities, fires due to dangerous use of heaters and other winter weather fatalities and you have a significant threat. • Threats, such as hypothermia and frostbite, can lead to loss of fingers and toes or cause permanent kidney, pancreas and liver injury and even death. You must prepare properly to avoid these extreme dangers. You also need to know what to do if you see symtoms of these threats. • A major winter storm can last for several days and be accompanied by high winds, freezing rain or sleet, heavy snowfall and cold temperatures. • People can become trapped at home or in a car, without utilities or other assistance. • Attempting to walk for help in a winter storm can be a deadly decision. • The aftermath of a winter storm can have an impact on a community or region for days, weeks or even months. • Extremely cold temperatures, heavy snow and coastal flooding can cause hazardous conditions and hidden problems. For More Information Contact your local National Weather Service (NWS) office, American Red Cross chapter or local emergency management agency for more weather-related brochures. You can find more information on flash flooding in the Flash Floods and Floods…The Awesome Power brochure. -
Texas Weather and Climate: Patterns, Trends, Events and Useful Resources
Texas Weather and Climate: Patterns, Trends, Events and Useful Resources National Weather Service Austin-San Antonio TX Paul Yura, Warning Coordination Meteorologist Who is the National Weather Service? Who13 is Forecast the National Offices Weather Service? 13 TX Offices 3 NWS River ForecastWho Offices is the National Weather Service?James Paul, ABRFC Service Coordination Hydrologist [email protected] Jeff Graschel, LMRFC Service Coordination Hydrologist [email protected] Greg Waller, WGRFC Service Coordination Hydrologist • Run river models • Forecast height/flow [email protected] RFCs provide hydrologic • Compile/estimate rainfall totals support to NWS forecast • Coordinate with water partners offices (USGS, USACE, IBWC) Forecasting the River Heights Minor - Minimal or no property damage - Possibly some public threat or inconvenience Moderate - Some inundation of structures/roads near streams - May need some evacuations of people /property Forecast Major Height - Extensive inundation of structures and roads - Likely evacuations of people / property Measured Height https://water.weather.gov/ahps/index.php Flood Wave Travel Times “County Warning Area” 33 Counties 7 Day Forecasts Watches/Warnings Decision Support to EMCs, Deployments to EOC Local Research/Outreach 36,000 mi2 NWS Mission: Protection of Life and Property It Takes Partner Relationships… Emergency Management Media (TV, Radio, Newspaper, Social Media) State/Fed agencies First responders Amateur radio General Public Texas has more flooding deaths than any other -
10-320 Surf Zone Forecast and Coastal/Lakeshore Hazard Services
Department of Commerce • National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration • National Weather Service NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INSTRUCTION 10-320 MAY 14, 2020 Operations and Services Marine And Coastal Weather Services, NWSPD 10-3 SURF ZONE FORECAST AND COASTAL/LAKESHORE HAZARD SERVICES NOTICE: This publication is available at: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/directives/. OPR: W/AFS26 (J. Kuhn) Certified by: W/AFS26 (M. Angove) Type of Issuance: Unscheduled SUMMARY OF REVISIONS: This instruction supersedes NWSI 10-320, “Surf Zone Forecast and Coastal/Lakeshore Hazard Services”, dated December 30, 2019. This instruction includes the following changes: Updated sections 2.3.3, 2.4, 2.6, 2.7 for reformatting of the Surf Zone Forecast Updated Appendix A Surf Zone Forecast examples. Digitally signed by STERN.ANDREW STERN.ANDREW.D.1382920348 .D.1382920348 Date: 2020.04.30 12:09:45 -04'00' 4/30/2020 Andrew D. Stern Date Director, Analyze, Forecast, and Support Office NWSI 10-320 MAY 14, 2020 Surf Zone Forecast and Coastal/Lakeshore Hazard Services Table of Contents: Page 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 4 2 Surf Zone Forecast (product category SRF) ............................................................................ 4 2.1 Mission Connection .......................................................................................................... 4 2.2 Issuance Guidelines ......................................................................................................... -
Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook Great Lakes Region
Quarterly Climate Impacts Great Lakes Region and Outlook March 2020 Great Lakes Significant Events –for December 2019 - February 2020 This winter the Great Lakes continued to experience water levels that were near or above record highs, with five monthly mean record highs broken and one tied. The high lake levels have contributed to issues of significant coastal erosion, flooding, and infrastructure damage, with concerns remaining high for the upcoming season. The last week of December was exceptionally warm across much of the basin, with many record high and record warm minimum temperature records set at locations such as Toronto and Hamilton International Airports, ON, Appleton and Oshkosh, WI and Chicago, IL. Significant rainfall occurred across the lower Great Lakes from Chicago to Toronto on January 10-12. During this period, London, ON received 75.9 mm (3 in) of precipitation, which is the amount of precipitation received in London normally for the entire month of January. A large lake-effect snow event occurred from February 27 through March 1 from Lake Huron to Lakes Erie and Ontario. East of Lake Erie, 88 cm (34.5 in) of snow was recorded while east of Lake Ontario, there was 122 cm (48 in) of snow. Regional Climate Overview – for December 2019 - February 2020 Winter 2019 - 2020 Temperature Temperature and Precipitation End of Feb 2020 Change since Departure from Normal December was up to 4°C (7°F) warmer Lake Compared to: Dec 1st than normal while January was up to 7°C Average 2019 2019/20 Average (13°F) warmer than normal.