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A Model for Pricing Real Estate Derivatives with Stochastic Interest Rates
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Research Papers in Economics MPRA Munich Personal RePEc Archive A model for pricing real estate derivatives with stochastic interest rates Ciurlia, Pierangelo and Gheno, Andrea Department of Economics, University of Rome III, Rome, Italy 08. August 2008 Online at http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/9924/ MPRA Paper No. 9924, posted 04. September 2008 / 00:16 A model for pricing real estate derivatives with stochastic interest rates P. Ciurlia a, A. Gheno a;¤ aDepartment of Economics, University of Rome III, Rome, Italy Abstract The real estate derivatives market allows participants to manage risk and return from exposure to property, without buying or selling directly the underlying asset. Such market is growing very fast hence the need to rely on simple yet e®ective pricing models is very great. In order to take into account the real estate market sensitivity to the interest rate term structure in this paper is presented a two-factor model where the real estate asset value and the spot rate dynamics are jointly modeled. The pricing problem for both European and American options is then analyzed and since no closed-form solution can be found a bidimensional binomial lattice framework is adopted. The model proposed allows calibration to the interest rate and volatility term structures. Key words: Real estate; derivatives pricing; stochastic interest rate; bidimensional binomial lattice. 1 Introduction The derivatives pricing problem roots lie in the seminal papers by Black and Scholes [1] and Merton [2] (hereafter BSM). -
Vtech/Leapfrog Initial Submission
Completed Acquisition by VTech Holdings Limited of LeapFrog Enterprises Inc. Initial Submission to the Competition and Markets Authority 11 October 2016 i ii Table of Contents Contents Page I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................................ 2 I.1 No realistic counterfactual scenario, let alone the most likely one, is substantially more competitive than the post-Transaction outcome ..................................................................... 3 I.2 In any event, the Transaction fails to raise substantive issues even against a more typical counterfactual .......................................................................................................................... 4 I.3 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................... 9 II. THE PARTIES ....................................................................................................................... 10 II.1 VTech .................................................................................................................................... 10 II.2 LeapFrog ............................................................................................................................... 12 III. THE TRANSACTION ............................................................................................................ 14 III.1 Transaction structure ............................................................................................................ -
Proptech 3.0: the Future of Real Estate
University of Oxford Research PropTech 3.0: the future of real estate PROPTECH 3.0: THE FUTURE OF REAL ESTATE WWW.SBS.OXFORD.EDU PROPTECH 3.0: THE FUTURE OF REAL ESTATE PropTech 3.0: the future of real estate Right now, thousands of extremely clever people backed by billions of dollars of often expert investment are working very hard to change the way real estate is traded, used and operated. It would be surprising, to say the least, if this burst of activity – let’s call it PropTech 2.0 - does not lead to some significant change. No doubt many PropTech firms will fail and a lot of money will be lost, but there will be some very successful survivors who will in time have a radical impact on what has been a slow-moving, conservative industry. How, and where, will this happen? Underlying this huge capitalist and social endeavour is a clash of generations. Many of the startups are driven by, and aimed at, millennials, but they often look to babyboomers for money - and sometimes for advice. PropTech 2.0 is also engineering a much-needed boost to property market diversity. Unlike many traditional real estate businesses, PropTech is attracting a diversified pool of talent that has a strong female component, representation from different regions of the world and entrepreneurs from a highly diverse career and education background. Given the difference in background between the establishment and the drivers of the PropTech wave, it is not surprising that there is some disagreement about the level of disruption that PropTech 2.0 will create. -
Alternative Investment Analyst Review
Alternative Investment Analyst Review EDITOR’S LETTER Hossein Kazemi WHAT A CAIA MEMBER SHOULD KNOW Alternative Beta: Redefining Alpha and Beta Soheil Galal, Rafael Silveira, and Alison Rapaport RESEARCH REVIEW OPEC Spare Capacity, the Term Structure of Oil Futures Prices, and Oil Futures Returns Hilary Till FEATURED INTERVIEW Mebane Faber on ETFs NEWS AND VIEWS The Time Has Come for Standardized Total Cost Disclosure for Private Equity Andrea Dang, David Dupont, and Mike Heale CAIA MEMBER CONTRIBUTION The Hierarchy of Alpha Christopher M. Schelling, CAIA INVESTMENT STRATEGIES Private Market Real Estate Investment Options for Defined Contribution Plans: New and Improved Solutions Jani Venter and Catherine Polleys PERSPECTIVES M&A Activity: Where Are We In the Cycle? Fabienne Cretin, Stéphane Dieudonné, and Slimane Bouacha Nowcasting: A Risk Management Tool Alexander Ineichen, CAIA VC-PE INDEX Mike Nugent and Mike Roth THE IPD GLOBAL INTEL REPORT Max Arkey Q3 2015, Volume 4, Issue 2 Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst Association® Call for Articles Article submissions for future issues of Alternative Investment Analyst Review (AIAR) are always welcome. Articles should cover a topic of interest to CAIA members and should be single-spaced. Additional information on submissions can be found at the end of this issue. Please email your submission or any questions to AIAR@CAIA. org. Chosen pieces will be featured in future issues of AIAR, archived on CAIA.org, and promoted throughout the CAIA community. Editor’s Letter Efficiently Inefficient The efficiency of market prices is one of the central questions in financial economics. The central thesis is that security markets are perfectly efficient, but this leads to two paradoxes: First, no one has an incentive to collect information in an efficient market, so how does the market become efficient? Second, if asset markets are efficient, then positive fees to active managers implies inefficient markets for asset management. -
The Equity Crowdfunding Platform of Unison Home Ownership Investors
The Equity Crowdfunding Platform of Unison Home Ownership Investors Student name: Rogier Arends Student number: 10645136 MSc FIN: Dual Track – Real Estate Finance & Corporate Finance Document: Master Thesis Thesis supervisor: Dr. M. Constantinescu Month and Year: August, 2018 Abstract This thesis investigates the sustainability of the real estate platform of Unison Home Ownership Investors. The results are achieved by comparing the investments by Unison Home Ownership Investors to real estate derivatives and applying a methodology proposed by Van Bragt et al. (2015) to value options. The research shows that the final call option values indicate a positive value, which means that the equity crowdfunding platform of Unison is profitable. In addition, the findings suggest that each state has a different option value, although all are positive. Statement of Originality This document is written by Rogier Arends, who declares to take full responsibility for the contents of this document. I declare that the text and the work presented in this document is original and that no sources other than those mentioned in the text and its references have been used in creating it. The Faculty of Economics and Business is responsible solely for the supervision of completion of the work, not for the contents. 2 Table of Contents 1. Introduction 4 2. Theoretical Framework 6 2.1 Potential Diversification Benefits and Drawbacks 6 2.2 The effects of an increase in homeownership 7 2.3 Unison HomeBuyer Transaction 9 2.4 Derivatives 10 2.5 The Product of Unison: HomeBuyer Agreement 11 2.6 Real Estate Derivatives 11 2.7 Real Estate Derivative (Option) Pricing 13 3. -
Real Estate Derivatives: Products and Prospects
Real Estate Derivatives: Products and Prospects by Oriel Eisenberg B.A., Management, 2010 The Open University, Israel Submitted to the Program in Real Estate Development in Conjunction with the Center for Real Estate in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Real Estate Development at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology September, 2013 ©2013 Oriel Eisenberg The author hereby grants to MIT permission to reproduce and to distribute publicly paper and electronic copies of this thesis document in whole or in part in any medium now known or hereafter created. Signature of Author_________________________________________________________ Center for Real Estate July 30, 2013 Certified by_______________________________________________________________ David Geltner Professor of Real Estate Finance Department of Urban Studies & Planning Thesis Supervisor Accepted by______________________________________________________________ David Geltner Chair, MSRED Committee, Interdepartmental Degree Program in Real Estate Development 1 Real Estate Derivatives: Products and Prospects by Oriel Eisenberg Submitted to the Program in Real Estate Development in Conjunction with the Center for Real Estate on July 30, 2013 in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Real Estate Development ABSTRACT The paper reviews the development, structure and trade of past real estate equity hedging instruments. The reviewed products represent a wide array of real estate derivatives, covering multiple property types, index methodologies and trading domains. Based on a series of interviews with leading product developers, market makers, traders and scholars, the paper examines and defines the unique features of the different products and analyzes their value proposition, market conditions and performance. In order to gain an overall perspective on the prospects of real estate derivatives, the paper discusses types of market demand for real estate investing and hedging. -
Real-Estate Derivatives from Econometrics to Financial
Real-Estate Derivatives From Econometrics to Financial Engineering Radu S. Tunaru OXPORD UNIVERSITY PRESS • CONTENTS LIST OF FIGURES XV LIST OF TABLES xix 1. An Overview of Real-Estate Prices 1 1.1 Introduction 1 1.1.1 Real-Estate Markets 1 1.2 Residential versus Commercial Property 3 1.2.1 Characteristics of Residential Property 4 1.2.2 Characteristics of Commercial Property 4 1.3 Empirical Characteristics of Real-Estate Prices Time Series 5 1.3.1 Determinants of Commercial Property Prices 5 1.4 Summary Points and Further Reading 7 2. A Review of Real-Estate Indices 9 2.1 Introduction 9 2.2 A Classification of Real-Estate Indices 10 2.2.1 Transaction-Based Indices 10 2.2.2 Appraisal-Based Indices 11 2.3 Main Real-Estate Indices Worldwide 12 2.3.1 The Investment Property Data Index 12 2.3.2 NCREIF Property Index 16 2.3.3 Moody's/RCA Commercial Property Price Index 20 2.3.4 S&P Case-Shiller Index 20 2.3.5 Residential Property Index 24 2.3.6 Halifax House Price Index 28 2.3.7 Nationwide House Price Index 31 2.4 Other Indices 33 2.5 Summary Points and Further Reading 36 3. Financial Modelling for Mortgages 39 3.1 Introduction 39 3.2 Mortgages 41 3.2.1 Commercial Mortgages 41 3.2.2 Residential Mortgages 42 3.3 Main Drivers of Mortgage Rates 46 3.3.1 Prepayment Risk 46 3.3.2 Default Risk 47 xll CONTENTS 3.3.3 Arrears 48 3.3.4 Loss Severity 48 3.3.5 Drivers of Losses for Nonconforming Mortgages 49 3.3.6 Risk Management Considerations for Mortgages 49 3.4 An Overview of Prepayment Models 50 3.4.1 The Arctangent Model 51 3.4.2 The Chinloy Model 53 3.4.3 The Schwartz and Torous Model 55 3.4.4 The Goldman Sachs Model (Richard and Roll, 1989) 60 3.4.5 The Modified Goldman Sachs Model 61 3.4.6 A Numerical Example of Using the Richard and Roll Model 63 3.4.7 Citigroup Model 67 3.4.8 Lehman Brothers Logistic Regression Model 71 3.5 Default Models 74 3.5.1 Case-Shiller Model 74 3.6 Supervisory Stress Tests: The OFHEO Experience 75 3.7 Summary Points and Further Reading 76 3.8 Appendix 77 3.8.1 The LIBOR Market Model 77 3.8.2 The Two-Factor Additive Gaussian Model 77 4. -
Options Trading
OPTIONS TRADING: THE HIDDEN REALITY RI$K DOCTOR GUIDE TO POSITION ADJUSTMENT AND HEDGING Charles M. Cottle ● OPTIONS: PERCEPTION AND DECEPTION and ● COULDA WOULDA SHOULDA revised and expanded www.RiskDoctor.com www.RiskIllustrated.com Chicago © Charles M. Cottle, 1996-2006 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be printed, reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, emailed, uploaded in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher. This publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information in regard to the subject matter covered. It is sold with the understanding that neither the author or the publisher is engaged in rendering legal, accounting, or other professional service. If legal advice or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional person should be sought. From a Declaration of Principles jointly adopted by a Committee of the American Bar Association and a Committee of Publishers. Published by RiskDoctor, Inc. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Cottle, Charles M. Adapted from: Options: Perception and Deception Position Dissection, Risk Analysis and Defensive Trading Strategies / Charles M. Cottle p. cm. ISBN 1-55738-907-1 ©1996 1. Options (Finance) 2. Risk Management 1. Title HG6024.A3C68 1996 332.63’228__dc20 96-11870 and Coulda Woulda Shoulda ©2001 Printed in the United States of America ISBN 0-9778691-72 First Edition: January 2006 To Sarah, JoJo, Austin and Mom Thanks again to Scott Snyder, Shelly Brown, Brian Schaer for the OptionVantage Software Graphics, Allan Wolff, Adam Frank, Tharma Rajenthiran, Ravindra Ramlakhan, Victor Brancale, Rudi Prenzlin, Roger Kilgore, PJ Scardino, Morgan Parker, Carl Knox and Sarah Williams the angel who revived the Appendix and Chapter 10. -
Leapfrog Enterprises, Inc
LeapFrog Enterprises, Inc. David Chan Andrew Wishner +1 (203) 747-4788 +1 (978) 835-0454 SELL [email protected] [email protected] November 29, 2011 Please read the disclaimer at the end of this report for important information Even though LeapFrog has retuned more than 33% in the Vital Statistics past month, its current stock pricing is in a contrarian trend to the rest of the industry. Our Forecast: Overvalued by 15.75% Current Price: $5.00 (of 11/29/2011) Key Investment Considerations 52-Week Range: $2.57 - $6.50 LeapFrog’s current P/E ratio is close to double any of • Market Capitalization: $310.1 mm its industry peers, and its current stock price seems to be solely predicated on investors’ belief in the P/E Ratio: 26.53 unproven potential of the company’s new LeapPad EPS: 0.18 million product. • The company has only been profitable in 50% of the years since 1990, and given its severe losses in 2006, Exhibit 1: Company Revenue (in millions) 2007 and 2008, it will need to see explosive revenue 800 growth to earn back those losses. 600 400 • LeapFrog’s retained earnings has been declining 200 since 2005, and has been negative since 2006, 0 meaning that there is technically no equity value in 2008 2009 2010 2011E 2011E the company, apart from its assets and patents. 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E Source: Historical Data Capital IQ, Chaner Capital Estimates Contents 1.1 Company Overview 2.1 Model Drivers 3.1 Appendix 4.1 Disclaimer © 2011, David Chan and Andrew Wishner 1 1.1 Company Overview LeapFrog Enterprises (Public, NASDAQ: LF) is an educational entertainment toy company. -
Base Prospectus
BASE PROSPECTUS EUR 25,000,000,000 Global Covered Bond Programme Under this EUR 25,000,000,000 Global Covered Bond Programme (the “Programme”), Danske Bank A/S (the “Issuer” or the “Bank”) may from time to time issue covered bonds (“Covered Bonds”) in accordance with the Danish Financial Business Act (lov om finansiel virksomhed), and relevant executive orders (bekendtgørelser) and regulations thereto as may be supplemented, amended, modified or varied from time to time (as well as any judicial decisions and administrative pronouncements, all of which are subject to change, including with retroactive effect) (the “Danish Covered Bond Legislation”), denominated in any currency agreed between the Issuer and the Relevant Dealer(s) (as defined below). Covered Bonds may be issued in bearer form (“Bearer Covered Bonds”), registered form (“Registered Covered Bonds”), uncertificated book entry form cleared through the Danish, Luxembourg, Norwegian and/or Swedish (as the case may be) central securities depository (together the “VP Systems Covered Bonds” and individually the “VP”, “VP Lux”, “VPS” and “VPC”, respectively) and in the form of German law governed registered bonds (Namensschuldverschreibungen) (“German Registered Covered Bonds”). This Base Prospectus has been approved by the Luxembourg Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier (the “CSSF”), which is the Luxembourg competent authority for the purpose of Directive 2003/71/EC (the “Prospectus Directive”) and relevant implementing legislation in Luxembourg, as a base prospectus issued in compliance with the Prospectus Directive and relevant implementing legislation in Luxembourg for the purpose of giving information with regard to the issue of Covered Bonds under the Programme during the period of twelve months from the date of its publication. -
Valuation of Alternative Assets - Private Debt, Equity & Real Estate 2 Valuation Risk Reviewhandbook | FALL 2017 FALL 2017 | Valuation Risk Review 3
Voltaire FALL 2017 | ISSUE 3 ADVISORS VALUATION RISK REVIEW Valuation of Alternative Assets - Private Debt, Equity & Real Estate 2 Valuation Risk HandbookReview | FALL 2017 FALL 2017 | Valuation Risk Review 3 INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION The New Certificate in Entity Welcome to the third edition of our Valuation Risk Review. Issue #2 last and Intangible Valuations | summer looked at valuation issues facing US mutual funds. In this release American Society of Appraisers we review some of the valuation challenges relating to alternative assets Valuing Fund Interests of Increasing – private equity, debt and real estate. Future issues will zero in on other Concern? | Du & Phelps major user segments, such as hedge funds, and also cover dierent asset Portfolio Valuation and Regulatory Scrutiny | Mercer Capital classes, so keep an eye open for forthcoming releases. PRIVATE EQUITY Panel Discussion | BDO, Du The valuation of alternative assets such as private equity, debt and real & Phelps, Empire Valuation Consultants, KPMG, estate is coming under heightened scrutiny by regulators and investors Private Equity International as the asset class becomes more widely held. With ‘Mr & Mrs 401(k)’ increasingly exposed to investments of this kind via their mutual and Gifting Carried Interests: Valuation & Planning Pitfalls - Experience pension funds, the requirement for more consistent and transparent from the Trenches | Empire valuations is growing. Valuation Consultants CONTENTS Consistent & Transparent Valuation Until recently, guidance on the We believe that this segment of of ‘Unicorns’ | Voltaire Advisors valuation of such assets was the industry will experience a limited. However, SEC-inspired significant transformation over PRIVATE DEBT industry initiatives are underway the next few years. -
Real Estate Derivatives Market
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by DSpace@MIT Barriers to Growth in the US Real Estate Derivatives Market By Jani Venter Bachelor of Architecture, 2000 Bachelor of Building Arts, 1998 University of Port Elizabeth Submitted to the Department of Urban Studies and Planning in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Real Estate Development at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology September, 2007 ©2007 Jani Venter All rights reserved The author hereby grants MIT permission to reproduce and publicly distribute both paper and electronic copies of this thesis document in whole or in part in any medium now known or hereafter created. Signature of author___________________________________________________ Jani Venter Department of Urban Studies and Planning July 27, 2007 Certified by_________________________________________________________ Gloria Schuck Lecturer, Department of Urban Studies and Planning Thesis Supervisor Accepted by________________________________________________________ David Geltner Chairman, Interdepartmental Degree Program in Real Estate Development Barriers to Growth in the US Real Estate Derivatives Market By Jani Venter Bachelor of Architecture, 2000 Bachelor of Building Arts, 1998 University of Port Elizabeth Submitted to the Department of Urban Studies and Planning in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Real Estate Development Abstract Commercial real estate is an important asset class but it does not yet have a well-developed derivatives market in the United States. A derivative is a contract that derives its value from an underlying index or asset. Examples of the most well-known derivatives that have been widely used and traded for years are stock options, commodity futures and interest rate swaps.