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Contrail-Cirrus and Their Potential for Regional Climate Change
Contrail-Cirrus and Their Potential for Regional Climate Change Kenneth Sassen Department of Meteorology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah ABSTRACT After reviewing the indirect evidence for the regional climatic impact of contrail-generated cirrus clouds (contrail- cirrus), the author presents a variety of new measurements indicating the nature and scope of the problem. The assess- ment concentrates on polarization lidar and radiometric observations of persisting contrails from Salt Lake City, Utah, where an extended Project First ISCCP (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Program) Regional Experiment (FIRE) cirrus cloud dataset from the Facility for Atmospheric Remote Sensing has captured new information in a geographical area previously identified as being affected by relatively heavy air traffic. The following contrail properties are consid- ered: hourly and monthly frequency of occurrence; height, temperature, and relative humidity statistics; visible and in- frared radiative impacts; and microphysical content evaluated from in situ data and contrail optical phenomenon such as halos and coronas. Also presented are high-resolution lidar images of contrails from the recent SUCCESS experiment, and the results of an initial attempt to numerically simulate the radiative effects of an observed contrail. The evidence indicates that the direct radiative effects of contrails display the potential for regional climate change at many midlati- tude locations, even though the sign of the climatic impact may be uncertain. However, new information suggests that the unusually small particles typical of many persisting contrails may favor the albedo cooling over the greenhouse warming effect, depending on such factors as the geographic distribution and patterns in day versus night aircraft usage. -
Persistent Contrails and Contrail Cirrus. Part I: Large-Eddy Simulations from Inception to Demise
DECEMBER 2014 L E W E L L E N E T A L . 4399 Persistent Contrails and Contrail Cirrus. Part I: Large-Eddy Simulations from Inception to Demise D. C. LEWELLEN,O.MEZA,* AND W. W. HUEBSCH West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia (Manuscript received 2 October 2013, in final form 10 March 2014) ABSTRACT Large-eddy simulations with size-resolved microphysics are used to model persistent aircraft contrails and contrail-induced cirrus from a few wing spans behind the aircraft until their demise after many hours. Schemes for dynamic local ice binning and updating coupled radiation dynamically as needed in individual columns were developed for numerical efficiency, along with a scheme for maintaining realistic ambient turbulence over long times. These capabilities are used to study some of the critical dynamics involved in contrail evo- lution and to explore the simulation features required for adequate treatment of different components. A ‘‘quasi 3D’’ approach is identified as a useful approximation of the full dynamics, reducing the computation to allow a larger parameter space to be studied. Ice crystal number loss involving competition between different crystal sizes is found to be significant for both young contrails and aging contrail cirrus. As a consequence, the sensitivity to the initial number of ice crystals in the contrail above a threshold is found to decrease signifi- cantly over time, and uncertainties in the ice deposition coefficient and Kelvin effect for ice crystals assume an increased importance. Atmospheric turbulence is found to strongly influence contrail properties and lifetime in some regimes. Water from fuel consumption is found to significantly reduce aircraft-wake-induced ice crystal loss in colder contrails. -
ESSENTIALS of METEOROLOGY (7Th Ed.) GLOSSARY
ESSENTIALS OF METEOROLOGY (7th ed.) GLOSSARY Chapter 1 Aerosols Tiny suspended solid particles (dust, smoke, etc.) or liquid droplets that enter the atmosphere from either natural or human (anthropogenic) sources, such as the burning of fossil fuels. Sulfur-containing fossil fuels, such as coal, produce sulfate aerosols. Air density The ratio of the mass of a substance to the volume occupied by it. Air density is usually expressed as g/cm3 or kg/m3. Also See Density. Air pressure The pressure exerted by the mass of air above a given point, usually expressed in millibars (mb), inches of (atmospheric mercury (Hg) or in hectopascals (hPa). pressure) Atmosphere The envelope of gases that surround a planet and are held to it by the planet's gravitational attraction. The earth's atmosphere is mainly nitrogen and oxygen. Carbon dioxide (CO2) A colorless, odorless gas whose concentration is about 0.039 percent (390 ppm) in a volume of air near sea level. It is a selective absorber of infrared radiation and, consequently, it is important in the earth's atmospheric greenhouse effect. Solid CO2 is called dry ice. Climate The accumulation of daily and seasonal weather events over a long period of time. Front The transition zone between two distinct air masses. Hurricane A tropical cyclone having winds in excess of 64 knots (74 mi/hr). Ionosphere An electrified region of the upper atmosphere where fairly large concentrations of ions and free electrons exist. Lapse rate The rate at which an atmospheric variable (usually temperature) decreases with height. (See Environmental lapse rate.) Mesosphere The atmospheric layer between the stratosphere and the thermosphere. -
Direccion De Personal Aeronautico Dpto. De
DIRECCION DE PERSONAL AERONAUTICO 26/09/2021 MTC DPTO. DE INSTRUCCION OGMS/DINF PREGUNTAS Y OPCIONES POR TEMA 14:03 Pag: 1 TEMA: 0626 ATP-RTC - Meteorology and Weather Services - Chap.8 COD_PREG: PREGUNTA: RPTA: PREG20098166 What is indicated on the Weather Depiction Chart by a continuous smooth C (9299) line enclosing a hatched geographic area? OPCION A: The entire area has ceilings less than 1,000 feet and/or visibility less than 3 miles OPCION B: More than 50 percent of the area enclosed by the smooth line is predicted to have IFR conditions OPCION C: Reporting stations within the enclosed area are all showing IFR conditions at the time of the report OPCION D: PREG20098167 The horizontal wind shear, critical for turbulence (moderate or greater) per B (9701) 150 miles is OPCION A: 18 knots or less OPCION B: greater than 18 knots OPCION C: not a factor, only vertical shear is a factor OPCION D: PREG20098168 A severe thunderstorm is one in which he surface wind is A (9706) OPCION A: 50 knots or greater and/or surface hail is 3/4 inch or more in diameter. OPCION B: 55 knots or greater and/or surface hail is 1/2 inch or more in diameter. OPCION C: 45 knots or greater and/or surface hail is 1 inch or more in diameter. OPCION D: PREG20098169 A squall is a sudden increase of at least 16 knots in average wind speed to a B (9708) sustained speed of OPCION A: 24 knots or more for at least 1 minute OPCION B: 22 knots or more for at least 1 minute OPCION C: 20 knots or more for at least 1 minute OPCION D: PREG20098170 A calm wind that is forecast, in the international Terminal Aerodrome B (9709) Forecast (TAF) is encoded as OPCION A: VRB00KT OPCION B: 00000KT OPCION C: 00003KT OPCION D: PREG20098171 In the International Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF), a variable wind C (9710) direction is noted by "VRB" where the three digit direction usually appears. -
On the Possibility of Weather Modification by Aircraft Contrails
October 1970 745 UDC 651.&€19.6’3:551.576.1:629.135.2(798) ON THE POSSIBILITY OF WEATHER MODIFICATION BY AIRCRAFT CONTRAILS WALLACE B. MURCRAY Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska, College, Alaska ABSTRACT The possible effect of contrails in modifying the weather is reconsidered in the light of information obtained from ground-level contrails in Alaska. It appears likely that inadvertent cloud seeding by jet aircraft may be of the same order of magnitude as that attained in commercial cloud seeding operations. Further investigation is needed; but in the meantime, the possibility of contrail contamination should be kept in mind when evaluating the results of seeding operations. 1. INTRODUCTION frequently such that a contrail is left while the aircraft is taxiing and taking off or landing so that it is easily Aircraft contrails first attracted public attention during accessible for study. (On the ground, the contrail is called World War 11; but as air traffic has built up to its present ice fog, and it can become a serious problem in flight of the environ- level, they have come to be accepted as part operations.) This discussion is based on observations made ment. Even during World War 11, it kas difficult to watch under the direction of Ohtako (1967; see also Huffman the cloud cover laid down by a large bomber formation 1968) during the course of investigations of ice fog from without wondering what it might be doing to the weather; this and other sources. As a result of these observations, at present, there is widespread belief among the general enough is known about the way the contrail is formed to public and some feeling among scientists (Fletcher 1969, make it safe to state that the contrail formed at cruising Reinking 1968, Livingston 1969, and Schaefer 1969) that altitude is very unlikely to differ greatly from that formed contrails are increasing cloudiness, if nothing more, in on the ground. -
Part I Background
Cambridge University Press 978-0-521-89910-9 - Physics and Chemistry of Clouds Dennis Lamb and Johannes Verlinde Excerpt More information Part I Background © in this web service Cambridge University Press www.cambridge.org Cambridge University Press 978-0-521-89910-9 - Physics and Chemistry of Clouds Dennis Lamb and Johannes Verlinde Excerpt More information © in this web service Cambridge University Press www.cambridge.org Cambridge University Press 978-0-521-89910-9 - Physics and Chemistry of Clouds Dennis Lamb and Johannes Verlinde Excerpt More information 1 Introduction 1.1 Importance of clouds What would our world be like without clouds? Unimaginable – quite literally – for clouds are essential for our lives on earth. Humans, and for that matter most other land-dwelling species, would simply not exist, let alone thrive in the absence of the fresh water that clouds supply. The favorable climate we have enjoyed for thousands of years might also not exist in the absence of atmospheric water and clouds. A world without clouds would be different indeed. Clouds contribute to the environment in many ways. Clouds, through a variety of phys- ical processes acting over many spatial scales, provide both liquid and solid forms of precipitation and nature’s only significant source of fresh water. Under extreme circum- stances, however, clouds and precipitation may not form at all, leading to prolonged droughts in some regions. At other times and places, too much rain or snow falls, giv- ing rise to devastating floods or blizzards. Liquid rain drops bring usable water directly to the surface, while simultaneously carrying many trace chemicals out of the atmosphere and into the ecosystems of the Earth. -
Contrails, Contrail Cirrus, and Ship Tracks
214 Proceedings of the TAC-Conference, June 26 to 29, 2006, Oxford, UK Contrails, contrail cirrus, and ship tracks K. Gierens* DLR-Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany Keywords: Aerosol effects on clouds and climate ABSTRACT: The following text is an enlarged version of the conference tutorial lecture on con- trails, contrail cirrus, and ship tracks. I start with a general introduction into aerosol effects on clouds. Contrail formation and persistence, aviation’s share to cirrus trends and ship tracks are treated then. 1 INTRODUCTION The overarching theme above the notions “contrails”, “contrail cirrus”, and “ship tracks” is the ef- fects of anthropogenic aerosol on clouds and on climate via the cloud’s influence on the flow of ra- diation energy in the atmosphere. Aerosol effects are categorised in the following way: - Direct effect: Aerosol particles scatter and absorb solar and terrestrial radiation, that is, they in- terfere directly with the radiative energy flow through the atmosphere (e.g. Haywood and Boucher, 2000). - Semidirect effect: Soot particles are very effective absorbers of radiation. When they absorb ra- diation the ambient air is locally heated. When this happens close to or within clouds, the local heating leads to buoyancy forces, hence overturning motions are induced, altering cloud evolu- tion and potentially lifetimes (e.g. Hansen et al., 1997; Ackerman et al., 2000). - Indirect effects: The most important role of aerosol particles in the atmosphere is their role as condensation and ice nuclei, that is, their role in cloud formation. The addition of aerosol parti- cles to the natural aerosol background changes the formation conditions of clouds, which leads to changes in cloud occurrence frequencies, cloud properties (microphysical, structural, and op- tical), and cloud lifetimes (e.g. -
The Contrail Mitigation Potential of Aircraft Formation Flight Derived from High-Resolution Simulations
aerospace Article The Contrail Mitigation Potential of Aircraft Formation Flight Derived from High-Resolution Simulations Simon Unterstrasser Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, 82234 Wessling, Germany; [email protected] Received: 3 November 2020; Accepted: 1 December 2020; Published: 5 December 2020 Abstract: Formation flight is one potential measure to increase the efficiency of aviation. Flying in the upwash region of an aircraft’s wake vortex field is aerodynamically advantageous. It saves fuel and concomitantly reduces the carbon foot print. However, CO2 emissions are only one contribution to the aviation climate impact among several others (contrails, emission of H2O and NOx). In this study, we employ an established large eddy simulation model with a fully coupled particle-based ice microphysics code and simulate the evolution of contrails that were produced behind formations of two aircraft. For a large set of atmospheric scenarios, these contrails are compared to contrails behind single aircraft. In general, contrails grow and spread by the uptake of atmospheric water vapour. When contrails are produced in close proximity (as in the formation scenario), they compete for the available water vapour and mutually inhibit their growth. The simulations demonstrate that the contrail ice mass and total extinction behind a two-aircraft formation are substantially smaller than for a corresponding case with two separate aircraft and contrails. Hence, this first study suggests that establishing formation flight may strongly reduce the contrail climate effect. Keywords: climate impact; aviation; formation flight; mitigation potential; large-eddy simulation LES; particle-based ice microphysics; wake vortex 1. Introduction Formation flight (FF) is a well-known strategy of migratory birds in order to improve their aerodynamic efficiency, save energy and increase their range [1–3]. -
International Atlas of Clouds and of States of the Sky
INTERNATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL COMMITTEE COMMISSION FOR THE STUDY OF CLOUDS International Atlas of Clouds and of States of the Sky ABRIDGED EDITION FOR THE USE OF OBSERVERS PARIS Office National Meteorologique, Rue de I'Universite, 176 193O International Atlas of Clouds and of States of the Sky THIS WORK FOR THE USE OF OBSERVERS CONSISTS OF : 1. This volume of text. 2. An album of 41 plates. It is an abreviation of the complete work : The International Atlas of Clouds and of States of the Sky. It is published thanks to the generosity of The Paxtot Institute of Catalonia. INTERNATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL COMMITTEE COMMISSION FOR THE STUDY OF CLOUDS International Atlas of Clouds and of States of the Sky ABRIDGED EDITION FOR THE USE OF OBSERVERS Kon. Nad. Metoor. Intl. De Bilt PARIS Office National Meteorologique. Rue de I'Universite. 176 193O In memory of our Friend A. DE QUERVAIN Member of the International Commluion for the Study of Cloudt INTRODUCTION Since 1922 the International Commission for the Study of Clouds has been engaged in studying the classification of clouds for a new International Atlas. The complete work will appear shortly, and in it will be found a history of the undertaking. This atlas is only a summary of the complete work, and is intended for the use of observers. The necessity for it was realised by the Inter- national Conference of Directors, in order to elucidate the new inter- national cloud code; this is based on the idea of the state of the sky, but observers should be able to use it without difficulty for the separate analysis of low, middle, and high clouds. -
How Well Can Persistent Contrails Be Predicted?
aerospace Article How Well Can Persistent Contrails Be Predicted? Klaus Gierens 1,* , Sigrun Matthes 1 and Susanne Rohs 2 1 Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, D-82234 Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany; [email protected] 2 Forschungszentrum Jülich, IEK-8, D-52425 Jülich, Germany; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 29 October 2020; Accepted: 27 November 2020 ; Published: 2 December 2020 Abstract: Persistent contrails and contrail cirrus are responsible for a large part of aviation induced radiative forcing. A considerable fraction of their warming effect could be eliminated by diverting only a quite small fraction of flight paths, namely those that produce the highest individual radiative forcing (iRF). In order to make this a viable mitigation strategy it is necessary that aviation weather forecast is able to predict (i) when and where contrails are formed, (ii) which of these are persistent, and (iii) how large the iRF of those contrails would be. Here we study several data bases together with weather data in order to see whether such a forecast would currently be possible. It turns out that the formation of contrails can be predicted with some success, but there are problems to predict contrail persistence. The underlying reason for this is that while the temperature field is quite good in weather prediction and climate simulations with specified dynamics, this is not so for the relative humidity in general and for ice supersaturation in particular. However we find that the weather model shows the dynamical peculiarities that are expected for ice supersaturated regions where strong contrails are indeed found in satellite data. -
Cloud Forming Properties of Ambient Aerosol in the Netherlands and Resultant Shortwave Radiative Forcing of Climate"
Andrey Khlystov » CLOUD FORMING PROPERTIES OFAMBIEN T AEROSOL IN THE NETHERLANDS ANDRESULTAN T SHORTWAVE RADIATIVE FORCING OF CLIMATE PROEFSCHRIFT ter verkrijging van de graad van doctor op gezag van de rector magnificus van de Landbouwuniversiteit Wageningen prof. dr. C.M. Karssen, in het openbaar te verdedigen opmaanda g 16maar t 1998 des namiddags te vier uur in de Aula Promotor: Dr. J. Slanina hoogleraar in de meetmethoden in atmospherisch onderzoek Co-promotor: Dr. H.M. ten Brink Energieonderzoek Centrum Nederland (ECN) ob 0uce>2dt^ Stellingen behorende bij het proefschrift "CLOUD FORMING PROPERTIES OF AMBIENT AEROSOL IN THE NETHERLANDS AND RESULTANT SHORTWAVE RADIATIVE FORCING OF CLIMATE" A.Khlystov 1. The effective radius of cloud droplets deduced from satellite measurements should not be used to estimate the indirect aerosol forcing unless the liquid water content is simultaneously assessed. 2. A substantial effort has been made to characterize broken clouds. However it is over-optimistic to compare in-cloud measurements and satellite observations ofreflectiv e properties ofsuc h clouds. 3. The continuing use ofinstrumentatio n that has not been calibrated is a major impediment for aerosol research to be considered as a serious branch of science. 4. Contrary to common belief, considerable efforts are required to achieve a reasonable accuracy (of at least 20%) in measurement of aerosol number concentrations. 5. Due to the relatively low size resolution of cascade impactors it is always possible to fit the data to a multimodal distribution. 6. One should not use the observed changes in (global) temperature as proof that present climate models accurately predict the effects ofanthropogeni c pollution on the global climate. -
Enhanced Shortwave Cloud Radiative Forcing Due to Anthropogenic Aerosols
BNL -61815 ENHANCED SHORTWAVE CLOUD RADIATIVE FORCING DUE TO ANTHROPOGENIC AEROSOLS S. E. Schwartz Environmental Chemistry Division Department of Applied Science Brookhaven National Laboratory Upton, NY 11973 and A. Slingo Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research Meteorological Office, London Road, Bracknell Berkshire RG 12 2SY United Kingdom May 1995 Submitted for publication in Clouds. Chemistry and Climate-- Jbceredings of NATO Advanced Research Worksha, Crutzen, P. and Ramanathan, V., Eds. Springer, Heidelberg, 1995 acceptance of this' article, the publisher and/or recipient acknowledges the U.S. Government'sBy right to retain a non exclusive, royalty-free license in and to any copyright covering this paper. This research was peiformed under the auspices of the U.S. Depwent of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC02-76CH00016. DISCLAIMER Portions of this document may be illegible in electrcmic image products. Images are producedl from the best available original documenit. t I ENHANCED SHORTWAVE CLOUD RADIATIVE FORCING DUE TO ANTHROPOGENIC AEROSOLS S. E. Schwartz Environmental Chemj stry Division Brookhaven National Laboratory Upton NY 11973 USA and A. Slingo Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research Meteorological Office, London Road, Bracknell Berkshire RG12 2SY CK It has been suggested,, originally by Twomey (SCEP, 1970), that anthropogenic aerosols in the troposphere can influence the microphysical properties of clouds and in turn their reflectivity (albedo), thereby exerting a radiative influence on climate. This chapter presents the theoretical basis for of this so-called indirect forcing and reviews pertinent observational evidence and climate model calculations of its magnitude and geographical distribution. We restrict consideration to liquid-water clouds, in part because these clouds are the principal clouds thought to be influenced by anthropogenic aerosols, and in part because the processes responsible for nucleation of ice clouds are not sufficiently well understood to permit much to be said about any anthropogenic influence.