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South Australia (-1.9%) and the Northern Territory (-6.4%) Compared to the the Ag Answers Australian Farmland Previous Year

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South Australia (-1.9%) and the Northern Territory (-6.4%) Compared to the the Ag Answers Australian Farmland Previous Year A ANUSTRALI faRMLAND vaLUES 2015 INT RODUCTION The value of land underpins farming The median farmland price increased in businesses and rural communities. Tasmania (+12.8%), Queensland (+3.3%), Understanding farmland values is important New South Wales (+10.2%) and Western to everyone in agribusiness, especially Australia (+10.6%), but fell in Victoria Australia’s farmers. (-2.3%), South Australia (-1.9%) and the Northern Territory (-6.4%) compared to the The Ag Answers Australian Farmland previous year. Values 2015 report is based on actual farm SOUTH sales since 1995 using data collected by In all states, the median price has trended the official government agency in each higher over the past decade with average state and territory, which is then compiled annual growth exceeding 3% in most by APM PriceFinder. states. As inflation has run at 2.8% over the AUSTRALIA same period, this indicates real growth in The analysis draws on more than 220,000 farmland values. Although the median price transactions over 20 years, accounting has remained high over the past decade, for 264 million hectares of land with a the number of transactions** has trended combined value of $124 billion. lower. The national median* farmland price Extend the investment horizon to 20 years South increased by 5.3% in 2015. This follows and the farmland value growth picture Australia a 6.8% increase in 2014 and a 2.2% becomes better still, with the median price 5.6% decrease in 2013. in most states recording average annual growth above 5.5%. The performance of farmland prices Average in different states was mixed in 2015. annual growth Y&MN 6.6% over 20 E years 7.1% Farmland performance (average annual growth) A&F 5.9% 2015 -1.9% 5 years 0.0% 10 years 1.7% SE 20 years 5.6% 4.4% E Eyre Y&MN Yorke & Mid North A&F Adelaide region and Fleurieu SE South East ABOUT THE RESEARCH STATE PERFORMANCE SA Farmland prices are a function of many The prices used in the report are based on The median price of South Australian variables including, but not limited to rainfall, the total sale price and therefore include farmland decreased by 1.9% in 2015. Median farmland price – SA Annual median farmland price growth – SA Estimated number of farmland This follows an increase of 5.2% in 2014. transactions per year – SA location, agricultural industry, productivity, the value of capital improvements. Growth 3,500 50% 1,200 land quality, sentiment, interest rates, in values may reflect an element of capital 3,000 There have been three distinct periods of 40% 1,000 commodity prices and the performance of improvement on properties. Similarly, if growth in the median farmland price: 2,500 30% 800 the wider economy. To isolate the reason water entitlements are attached to a land 2,000 • Values grew steadily between 1995 for a particular movement in the median title and sold with the property the value of 20% 600 and 2002, with average annual growth 1,500 price for a region is complex. Therefore, the the water will be included in the sale price. of 4.5%. Median price ($/ha) 1,000 10% 400 focus of the report is to describe regional If water entitlements are sold separately 500 • Rapid annual growth of 13.7% occurred 0 200 and state trends more so than the drivers from the land, this value will not be captured 0 -10% 0 behind the observed trends. in the sale price. between 2003 and 2008. 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 • Since 2008 the median price has been 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 The report is a guide to the market value *The report uses medians to provide a stagnant with annual growth of 0.2%. trends of commercial farming property and measure of the mid-point of farmland prices The number of farmland transactions increased is not intended for use as a valuation tool. as a guide to market activity. Compared Median farmland price – SA Annual median farmland price growth – SA Estimated number of farmland by 5.1% in 2015. The number of transactions A qualified professional is required to with an average, the median is not as readily transactions per year – SA 3,500 has increased in the last two years from a low 50% 1,200 assess the value of a property. distorted by unusually high or low prices. 3,000 of 555 in 2013 to 678 in 2015. 40% 1,000 Even so, in areas where there have been 2,500 Adelaide and Fleurieu Peninsula South East Eyre Peninsula Yorke Peninsula and Mid North This analysis tracks the median price of A rise in the number of transactions drove an 30% 800 very few sales, the results should be viewed 2,000 14,000 250 3,000 450 1,400 140 14,000 400 increase in the total area of farmland traded, commercial farmland in dollars per hectare with caution as the year-on-year change 20% 600 400 12,000 350 1,500 12,000 2,500 1,200 120 200 by eliminating, where possible, metropolitan up to 210,000 hectares. This is the largest 350 10,000 300 in median price may not be indicative of an Median price ($/ha) 1,000 10,000 10% 400 100 1,000 10,000 and small block sales, as well as sales area traded since 2003 and represents 2,000 300 250 actual change in farmland value. A higher 500 150 approximately8,000 1.7% of improved farmland in 0 200 250 800 80 8,000 where one party has compulsory powers. 1,500 200 proportion of lower-priced sales can result 6,000 0 South Australia.6,000 200 600 60 Further, small farms are excluded to limit -10%100 0 150 in a lower median and vice-versa. 1,000 150 4,000 1995 1997 4,0001999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 400 40 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 100 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 4,000 the impact of ‘lifestyle farming’ on the The total value of farmland traded in South 50 100 2,000 500 200 20 50 results. **Farmland sales volume is reported as the Australia reached a new high of $414 million 50 2,000 0 0 estimated number of transactions. Farms in 2015. 0 0 0 0 0 0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 As property settlement periods vary, 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 are sold as singleMedian or farmlandmultiple price lots, –which SA AnnualImprovement median farmland in median price values growth was– SA Estimated number of farmland some 2015 sales will not be captured in transactions per year – SA obscures3,500 the view of the number of farms 50% strongest on the Eyre Peninsula (+24.4%), 1,200 this report at the time of publication. The Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) sold,3,000 particularly in cases where one farm followed by the Adelaide region and Fleurieu median price for the most recent year is a 40% 1,000 is 2,500sold as multiple lots to multipleAdelaide buyers.and Fleurieu Peninsula Peninsula (+8.5%). Median valuesSouth on Eastthe Eyre Peninsula Yorke Peninsula and Mid North preliminary one and will be revised at least 30% 800 Accordingly,2,000 the14,000 ‘number of transactions’ 250 Yorke Peninsula,3,000 in the Mid North and the 450 1,400 140 14,000 400 annually. 20% 600 12,000 should1,500 not be interpreted as the number South East declined in 2015 (refer charts on 400 350 12,000 2,500 1,200 120 200 next page). Nevertheless, the long-term trend 350 10,000 300 Median price ($/ha) of1,000 farms sold and10,000 should only be used as a 10% 400 100 1,000 10,000 across the state2,000 has been one of growth. 300 250 guide500 to market activity. 150 8,000 0 200 250 800 80 8,000 1,500 200 0 6,000 6,000 Farmland values are based on all farmland 200 600 60 -10%100 0 150 (including improvements),1,000 not just arable land. 150 4,000 1995 1997 4,0001999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 400 40 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 100 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 4,000 50 Due to the structure of land ownership and a 100 2,000 500 200 20 50 lack of data, the arid areas of South Australia 50 2,000 0 0 0 0 are not covered0 in this report. 0 0 0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) Adelaide and Fleurieu Peninsula South East Eyre Peninsula Yorke Peninsula and Mid North 14,000 250 3,000 450 1,400 140 14,000 400 400 12,000 350 12,000 2,500 1,200 120 200 350 10,000 300 10,000 100 1,000 10,000 2,000 300 250 150 8,000 250 800 80 8,000 1,500 200 6,000 6,000 200 600 60 100 150 1,000 150 4,000 4,000 400 40 4,000 100 50 100 2,000 500 200 20 50 50 2,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) Median price $/ha (LHS) Number of transactions (RHS) MedianMedian farmland farmland price – priceSA – SA Annual Annualmedian median farmland farmland price growth price growth– SA – SA EstimatedEstimated number number of farmland of farmland transactionstransactions per year per – SAyear – SA 3,500 3,500 50% 50% 1,200 1,200 3,000 3,000 40% 40% 1,000 1,000 2,500 2,500 30% 30% 800 800 2,000 2,000 20% 20% 600 600 1,500 1,500 Median price ($/ha) 1,000 Median price ($/ha) 1,000 10% 10% 400 400 500 500 0 0 200 200 0 0 *Use price information with a small volume of transactions -10% -10% 0 0 with caution.
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