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Guvernul ideal SONDAJ DE OPINIE PUBLICĂ finanţat de Marsh Copsey + Associates, Inc. – Washington DC, SUA 20-27 august 2009 BIROUL DE CERCETĂRI SOCIALE Str. Dreptăţii Nr. 10, Sector 6, Bucureşti Tel./Fax: 021 430 0725 Mobil: 0723 364 739 E-mail: [email protected], [email protected] www. sondaje.info Metodologie 9 Volumul eşantionului: 1.096 persoane în vârstă de peste 18 ani 9 Tipul eşantionului: probabilist-stratificat, format din 48 straturi, rezultate din intersecţia a 8 zone geografice cu 6 tipuri de localităţi urbane şi rurale. Au fost efectuate interviuri în 78 oraşe şi sate din 40 judeţe 9 Selecţia subiecţilor: persoanele intervievate au fost alese prin pas statistic, din 3 în 3 apartamente sau case, pornind de la numărul 3 al fiecărei străzi. În acest fel s-a păstrat principiul probabilist, toţi subiecţii domiciliind la apartamente cu numere multiplu de 3. În cadrul fiecărei case a fost intervievată, de regulă, acea persoană care urmează să-şi sărbătorească prima ziua de naştere. 9 Reprezentativitate: eşantionul este reprezentativ pentru populaţia adultă a României, cu o eroare de +/-3%. Datele prezentate sunt cele culese din teren, neponderate. Verificarea corectitudinii lor s-a făcut de către echipa coordonatoare. Astfel, un număr de 110 subiecţi (10%) au fost recontactaţi să confirme participarea la sondaj (telefonic, prin corespondenţă si prin vizite la domiciliu efectuate de către supervizori). 9 Ancheta de teren: 20-27 august 2009. 9 Finanţator: Marsh Copsey + Associates, Inc. – Washington DC, SUA 9 Coordonator: dr. Bruno Ştefan – preşedinte BCS 2 Dacă dvs. aţi fi preşedintele României, pe cine aţi numi ca premier (un independent sau un lider politic de la orice partid)? (intrebare liberă, fără variante de răspuns prestabilite) Petre Roman 0,3 NS/NR: 28,1% Kelemen Hunor 0,3 Imi e indiferent: 6,7% Marian Vanghelie 0,3 0,2%: Titus Corlatean, Radu Soviani, Gheorghe Flutur, Viorel Hrebenciuc, Nicolae Vacaroiu 0,3 Radu Mazare, Gheorghe Pogea, Gyorgy Frunda, Bogdan Olteanu, Lavinia Ludovic Orban 0,4 Sandru, Ion Iliescu, Mihai Razvan Ungureanu, Romeo Stavarache, Ilie CristianDiaconesc 0,4 Serbanescu Ion Tiriac 0,4 Victor Ponta 0,5 Gigi Becali 0,5 Victor Ciorbea 0,5 Teodor Melescanu 0,5 Elena Udrea 0,8 Daniel Daianu 0,8 Vasile Blaga 0,9 George Becali 1,8 Radu Duda 1,9 Traian Basescu 2 Corneliu Vadim 2,6 Crin Antonescu 3 Theodor Stolojan 3,4 Un independent 3,5 Calin Popescu 3,7 Adrian Nastase 4,7 Mugur Isarescu 4,7 Emil Boc 5,6 Mircea Geoana 5,8 Sorin Oprescu 8,3 012345678910 3 Dacă dvs. aţi fi premierul României, pe cine aţi numi ca ministru la Ministerul de externe (un independent sau un lider politic de la orice partid)? Care ar fi cel mai bun la acest minister? (intrebare liberă, fără variante de răspuns prestabilite) Radu Berceanu 0,4 Mircea Diaconu 0,4 36%: NS/NR 0,3%: Ecaterina Andronescu, Vasile Blaga, Catalin Predoiu, Mugur Radu Mazare 0,4 Isarescu, Ion Iliescu, Marian Vanghelie, Ion Tiriac Ludovic Orban 0,4 0,2%: un independent, Valentin Stan, Leonard Orban, Adrian Cioroianu, Monica Macovei 0,4 Szasz Jeno, Nati Meir, Ilie Nastase, Gigi Becali George Becali 0,5 Dan Nica 0,5 Adriean Videanu 0,6 Bogdan Olteanu 0,9 Sorin Oprescu 1,1 Corneliu Vadim Tudor 1,2 Calin Popescu Tariceanu 1,3 Petre Roman 1,3 Radu Duda 1,4 Emil Boc 1,6 Victor Ponta 1,6 Traian Basescu 1,7 Theodor Stolojan 1,8 Mihai Razvan 1,9 Elena Udrea 2,3 Crin Antonescu 2,4 Adrian Severin 2,5 Teodor Melescanu 3,5 Adrian Nastase 4,7 Cristian Diaconescu 7,3 Mircea Geoana 13,5 02 46 810121416 4 Dacă dvs. aţi fi premierul României, pe cine aţi numi ca ministru la Ministerul de finanţe (un independent sau un lider politic de la orice partid)? Care ar fi cel mai bun la acest minister? (intrebare liberă, fără variante de răspuns prestabilite) Florin Georgescu 0,5 Dan Nica 0,5 38,6%: NS/NR 0,4%: Radu Berceanu, Elena Basescu, Silviu Prigoana, Kelemen Hunor, Nicolae Vacaroiu 0,5 Ionut Popescu, Corneliu Vadim Tudor, Ludovic Orban 0,6 0,3%: Ilie Serbanescu, Cristian Diaconescu, Radu Mazare, Miron Mitrea, Vasile Blaga 0,6 Nati Meir, Bogdan Olteanu, Gheorghe Flutur, Dinu Patriciu, Teodor Melescanu 0,6 Traian Basescu 0,7 Victor Ponta 0,8 George Becali 0,9 Elena Udrea 1 Crin Antonescu 1,1 Sorin Oprescu 1,2 Adrian Nastase 1,3 Calin Popescu Tariceanu 1,5 Mircea Geoana 1,8 Emil Boc 1,8 Adriean Videanu 1,8 Mihai Tanasescu 2,5 Gheorghe Pogea 2,6 Daniel Daianu 2,8 Varujan Vosganian 3 Theodor Stolojan 5,6 Mugur Isarescu 16,4 02468101214161820 5 Dacă dvs. aţi fi premierul României, pe cine aţi numi ca ministru la Ministerul transporturilor (un independent sau un lider politic de la orice partid)? Care ar fi cel mai bun la acest minister? (intrebare liberă, fără variante de răspuns prestabilite) Ecaterina Andronescu 0,5 44,4%: NS/NR 0,4%: Marian Vanghelie, Silviu Prigoana, Corneliu Vadim Tudor, Dan Radu Duda 0,5 Nica, Victor Ponta Nati Meir 0,5 0,3%: Borbely Laszlo, Radu mazare, Kelemen Hunor, Gheorghe Flutur, Marko Bela, Emil Constantinescu, Liviu Dragnea, Bogdan Olteanu, Calin Popescu Tariceanu 0,5 Codrin Stefanescu Vasile Blaga 0,5 Anca Boagiu 0,5 Adrian Nastase 0,6 George Becali 0,6 Mircea Geoana 0,8 Adriean Videanu 0,8 Crin Antonescu 0,9 Emil Boc 1,5 Elena Udrea 1,6 Miron Mitrea 3,4 Ludovic Orban 7 Traian Basescu 7,9 Radu Berceanu 14,8 0 2 4 6 8 1012 141618 6 Dacă dvs. aţi fi premierul României, pe cine aţi numi ca ministru la Ministerul educaţiei (un independent sau un lider politic de la orice partid)? Care ar fi cel mai bun la acest minister? (intrebare liberă, fără variante de răspuns prestabilite) Mircea Geoana 0,5 40%: NS/NR Vasile Blaga 0,5 0,4%: Adrian Severin, Petre Roman, Andrei Plesu, Lavinia Sandru, Theodor Paleologu, Traian Basescu Monica Macovei 0,5 0,3%: Nadia Comaneci, Eugen Nicolaescu, Olguta Vasilescu, Radu Duda, Sorin Oprescu, Liviu Maior, Adrian Nastase, Marko Bela George Becali 0,5 Octavian Belu 0,5 Emil Boc 0,6 Cristian Adomnitei 0,6 Norica Nicolai 0,6 Victor Ponta 0,8 Corneliu Vadim Tudor 1,1 Crin Antonescu 1,2 Elena Udrea 1,2 Mona Musca 1,3 Andrei Marga 3,5 Mircea Miclea 5,2 Ecaterina Andronescu 28,6 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 7 Dacă dvs. aţi fi premierul României, pe cine aţi numi ca ministru la Ministerul muncii (un independent sau un lider politic de la orice partid)? Care ar fi cel mai bun la acest minister? (intrebare liberă, fără variante de răspuns prestabilite) Miron Cozma 0,5 49,2%: NS/NR Victor Ciorbea 0,5 0,4%: Silviu Prigoana, Victor Ponta, Marko Bela, Miron Mitrea, Teodor Atanasiu 0,5 0,3%: Cristian Boureanu, Cezar Preda, Varujan Vosganian, Sulfina Petre Roman 0,5 Barbu, Ludovic Orban, Nati Meir, un independent, Cozmin Gusa, Sorin Ion Iliescu 0,5 Frunzaverde Dan Nica 0,5 Ecaterina 0,5 Norica Nicolai 0,5 Traian Basescu 0,5 Gheorghe Flutur 0,5 Adriean Videanu 0,6 Gheorghe Barbu 0,6 Paul Pacuraru 0,7 Vasile Blaga 0,8 Crin Antonescu 0,8 Mona Musca 0,8 Radu Duda 0,9 Elena Udrea 1,1 Calin Popescu 1,2 Sorin Oprescu 1,3 Adrian Nastase 1,4 Mircea Geoana 1,4 Mariana Campeanu 1,8 Corneliu Vadim Tudor 1,8 George Becali 1,9 Emil Boc 2 Ilie Sarbu 2,6 Marian Sarbu 7,3 012345678 8 Dacă dvs. aţi fi premierul României, pe cine aţi numi ca ministru la Ministerul apărării (un independent sau un lider politic de la orice partid)? Care ar fi cel mai bun la acest minister? (intrebare liberă, fără variante de răspuns prestabilite) Un profesionist 0,5 51%: NS/NR Mona Musca 0,5 0,4%: Marian Vanghelie, Ludovic Orban, Silviu Prigoana, Petre Radu Berceanu 0,5 Roman, Theodor Paleologu, Adriean Videanu Ion Iliescu 0,5 0,3%: Valeriu Stoica, Victor Atanasie Stanculescu, Ioan Rus, Varujan Ioan Mircea Pascu 0,5 Vosganian, Victor Babiuc, Kelemen Hunor, Cristian Ciocan,Decebal Sorin Oprescu 0,6 Ilinca Liviu Dragnea 0,6 Elena Udrea 0,6 Theodor Stolojan 0,6 Dan Nica 0,7 Calin Popescu Tariceanu 0,7 Cristian Diaconescu 0,8 Victor Ponta 0,9 Mihai Stanisoara 1 Sorin Frunzaverde 1 Radu Duda 1 Vasile Blaga 1,1 Crin Antonescu 1,1 Traian Basescu 1,2 Teodor Atanasiu 1,2 Adrian Nastase 1,5 George Becali 1,7 Mircea Geoana 1,8 Corneliu Vadim Tudor 3,4 Teodor Melescanu 10,3 024681012 9 Dacă dvs. aţi fi premierul României, pe cine aţi numi ca ministru la Ministerul justiţiei (un independent sau un lider politic de la orice partid)? Care ar fi cel mai bun la acest minister? (intrebare liberă, fără variante de răspuns prestabilite) Mircea Badea 0,5 Teodor 0,5 46,2%: NS/NR Marko Bela 0,5 0,4%: Laura Codruta Kovesi, Traian Basescu, Valeriu Stoica, Cristian Diaconescu Mugur Isarescu 0,5 0,3%: Monica Iacob Ritzi, Cristian Preda, Paula Iacob, Victor Ciorbea, Nicolae Mona Musca 0,5 Vacaroiu, Vasile Blaga, Sebastian Bodu, un independent Calin Popescu 0,5 Nati Meir 0,5 Theodor 0,5 Radu Duda 0,5 Mircea Geoana 0,5 Rodica Stanoiu 0,5 Radu Mazare 0,6 Elena Udrea 0,7 Emil Boc 0,8 Bogdan Olteanu 0,8 Ludovic Orban 0,8 Adrian Nastase 0,9 Cristian 1,1 Crin Antonescu 1,2 Sorin Oprescu 1,4 Catalin Predoiu 2 Dan Nica 2 George Becali 2,3 Norica Nicolai 2,4 Victor Ponta 4 Corneliu Vadim 5 Monica Macovei 8,8 012345678910 10 Dacă dvs.
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