Minutes of Meeting

GEOMETRIC DESIGN STANDING COMMITTEE Fall 2013 Technical Meeting

Date: September 22, 2013 Place/Time: Winnipeg Convention Centre, Room 3, Ground Floor Next Meeting: April 11 and 12, 2014, Ottawa Attendees: Attached Distribution: Committee Members

Item Action 1. Review and Approval of Agenda  Aziz Merali reviewed the proposed agenda and solicited comments. No additions or deletions were noted.  It was agreed by motion (Biglow/ Christiansen) to adopt the agenda as presented.

2. Review and approval of the previous Minutes of Meeting  Gregg Cooke provided an overview of the minutes from the Spring 2013 meeting held in Ottawa. No revisions were noted.  It was agreed by motion (Koziol/Buch) to adopt the minutes as presented.  Gregg Cooke will submit the meeting minutes to the TAC Gregg Cooke Secretariat to be posted on the TAC website.

3. Updates to GDSC Membership  Self-introduction of members in attendance was completed.  Aziz reminded everyone to update the GDSC roster, which was circulated to the committee members in attendance.  There were no new members in attendance.  Adam Laughlin has resigned from the committee due to a change in role at the City of .  The following guests attended the meeting: o Loris Piccin, City of Ottawa o Karmin Abbany, AMEC o John Bolger, City of Calgary o Scott Suderman, City of Winnipeg o Neil Myska, City of Winnipeg o Kristen Poff, Genivar o Derek Durrant, Manitoba Infrastructure and Transportation

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Item Action 4. 2013 Fall Conference Overview  The theme of the 2013 TAC Annual Conference is Transportation: Better – Faster – Safer.  It was noted that there was a poor response to the call for papers for the 2013 Conference – only six abstracts were submitted for consideration.  The TOMSC received several papers and provided two papers for the GDSC sessions.  As a result of the poor response, the three GDSC sessions have been combined into one session. The session will be chaired by Zane Sloan.

5. 2014 Fall Conference Planning  In conjunction with the TAC Centennial celebrations in 2014, the TAC Secretariat is planning to double the numbers of papers for the 2014 Annual Conference. It is expected that the GDSC will be requested to host six sessions.  It was agreed that it would be difficult for the GDSC to host six sessions based the recent response to the call for papers. It was suggested that the GDSC focus on three sessions: o Geometric Design – Learning from the Past o Geometric Design – Present Challenges o Geometric Design – Future Implications of Autonomes  Keith Boddy will submit the Call for Topics forms to the TAC Keith Boddy Secretariat.  The following members volunteered to chair the sessions: o Eric Christiansen – Past Eric Christiansen o Bob Koziol – Present Bob Koziol o Milton Carrasco – Future Milton Carrasco

6. Chief Engineers Council Update  Larry Purcka attended the Chief Engineers’ Council Meeting on April 14, 2013, on behalf of the GDSC.  Larry conveyed the recommendation of the GDSC that $50,000 be transferred from the reserve fund for the GDG to the roundabout design guide project.  The CEC agreed by motion to recommend to the TAC Board of Directors that $50,000 be transferred from the Geometric Design Guide Reserve Fund to the project to develop a Canadian roundabout design guide.  The approved minutes for the spring CEC meeting are available on the TAC website.

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Item Action 7. Guest Presentation  Gayle Bursey, Director, Chronic Disease and Injury Prevention, Peel Public Health, provided a presentation about healthy community design and the need to accommodate active transportation modes into the design process.  Aziz Merali thanked Gayle for this insightful presentation.  A copy of the presentation is attached to the meeting minutes.

8. Election of GDSC Secretary  Larry Purcka provided an overview of the process to elect a new Secretary. To provide a balance on the Executive, the Secretary position typically alternates between a member from the public sector and a member from the private sector. It was also noted that the position requires an eight year commitment, so that the Secretary can move through each position on the Executive. At the Spring meeting, nominations for the Secretary position were requested to be submitted to Larry Purcka.  Prior to the Fall meeting, the Executive received a nomination for Jason Meliefste from the City of Edmonton. No other nominations were received.  It was agreed by motion (Homann/Felton) to accept the nomination and to appoint Jason Meliefste to the position of Secretary of the GDSC for the 2014-2015 term.  The following GDSC Executive was confirmed for the 2014- 2015 term: o Keith Boddy – Chair o Gregg Cooke – Vice Chair o Jason Meliefste – Secretary o Aziz Merali – Past Chair  Aziz Merali thanked Larry Purcka for serving on the GDSC Executive for the past eight years.

9. Canadian Roundabout Design Guide PSC Report  Keith Boddy provided an overview of the recent activities of the CRDG Project Steering Committee (PSC). Keith is the Chair of the PSC for this project.  It was noted that approximately 18 agencies have sponsored the project, and the project is now fully funded.  Hatch Mott MacDonald was selected as the prime consultant for the CRDG project. Mike McDonald is the consultant Project Manager.  A start-up meeting was held on Friday, September 20, 2013 in Winnipeg.  It is expected that the project will include interaction with the GDSC and the RABSC, and other committees as required.

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Item Action  The PSC is working with TAC now to discuss publication issues, to avoid re-formatting later.  The project schedule includes completion in 2015.

10. Geometric Design Guide Update PSC Report  Eric Christianson provided an overview of the recent activities of the GDG Update Project Steering Committee (PSC). Eric is the Chair of the PSC for this project, and John Hammer is the Vice Chair.  It was noted that funding of approximately $1.2 Million is committed to the project, including TAC administration fees of $270 K.  The PSC includes approximately 26 members representing the funding agencies.  Stantec and MMM were selected as the prime consultant team for the GDG Update project. Carl Clayton and Michael Chiu are the Co-Project Managers.  A start-up meeting was held on Friday, September 20, 2013 in Winnipeg.  The project schedule includes the following milestone dates: o Research, Draft TOC – Spring 2014 o Pre-draft Document – Fall 2015 o Final Draft Document – Spring 2016 o Present to CEC – Fall 2016  The consultant team will present their progress to the GDSC at regular GDSC meetings.  The PSC may identify a secondary technical review panel.  The PSC is exploring electronic publishing alternatives. It is expected that the final GDG will be available in PDF format, as a minimum.  It was noted that each chapter of the GDG will be published separately to facilitate independent updates as required in the future.  The PSC is discussing possible “Chapter Committees” within the revisions and Additions Sub-committee, to facilitate ongoing updates to each chapter.

11. Road Safety Standing Committee Report  Bill Kenny provided an overview of the current activities of the Road Safety Standing Committee (RSSC). The RSSC Update Report is attached to the meeting notes.  The RSSC has recently adopted a new 5-year Strategic Plan, which includes 3 overarching strategies: o Improving the RSSC o Streamlining Efforts

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Item Action o Enhancing Road Safety Culture  The following Sub-Committees have been established within the RSSC: o Liaison o Paper Sessions and Annual Conferences o Workshops & Knowledge Development o Project Idea Development & Initiation o Road Safety Engineering Award o Canadian Road Safety Engineering Handbook o Road Safety Professional  The RSSC has undertaken efforts to increase membership  The following RSSC projects were discussed: o Snow Plow Lighting Joint Working Group o Work Zone Safety Effective Practices  It was noted that the RSSC has an interest in the GDG Update project and would like an opportunity to review and comment on the project.

12. Revisions & Additions Sub-committee Report  Geoff Millen provided an overview of the current activities of the Revisions & Additions Sub-committee (RASC). A copy of the presentation is attached to the meeting minutes.  The following revisions are now approved: o Direct taper two-lane on-ramps o Clear runout distance o Four-lane to two-lane transition o Typical design entrance terminal parallel two lanes o Typical design exit terminal parallel single lane o Horizontal Clearance at Bridges on Rural Roads o Lane Drop, Dual Lane Right Tuning Roadway  It is expected that TAC will issue an errata in the near future  The following ongoing issues have been referred to the GDG Update Project: o Spiral curve lengths − Spiral lengths calculated using spiral parameters (A) are not consistent with AASHTO and design software values ◌ Result of rounding A values − Issues associated with transition length formula ◌ Number of lanes rotated  The following new issues have been referred to the GDG Update Project: o Design length for deceleration − Table 2.4.6.2 − Lower limit matches AASHTO − Upper limits based on Ontario values − Provide guidance on when upper limit is to be applied

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Item Action o Critical grade length − Current design control = 180 kg/kW − AASHTO and NCHRP 505 ◌ Design control = 120 kg/kW ◌ 85th percentile mass/power ratio on main highways and intercity routes ◌ 120 kg/kW performance curves - 110 km/h − Add text to reflect US experience o Intersection Chapter − Accommodating HOV and buses at intersections − Design vehicle guidance for Gap Acceptance o Design Exceptions − Lane width design flexibility o Accommodating AT − Accommodating cycling on existing roads − NACTO guide o Adoption of AASHTO SSD model − NCHRP 400 − Vehicle deceleration/object heights  The following ongoing issue has been referred to the CRDG project: o LRT in roundabouts  Geoff Millen’s current term as Chair of the R&A Sub-committee has expired. The R&A Sub-Committee is recommending the appointment of Olaf Hoffman to the position of Chair.  It was agreed by motion (Kroman/MacLeod) to accept the nomination and to appoint Olaf Homann to the position of Chair of the R&A Sub-committee for the 2014-2015 term.

13. Traffic Operations and Management Standing Committee Report  Ron Stewart provided an overview of the current activities of the Traffic Operations and Management Standing Committee.  The following TOMSC projects are in progress: o Manual of Uniform Traffic Control Devices for Canada Update Scoping Study o Pedestrian Signal Warrants o Wider Pavement Markings for Standard Applications  An overview of the MUTCD for Canada Updating Scoping Study was provided. The major deliverable of the scoping study will be a report documenting the work, with recommendations regarding: o A vision for what the MUTCDC should encompass, aspects of effective traffic control that should be incorporated and a strategy to achieve this vision o Recommendations regarding the extent of work that is

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Item Action required to rewrite or refresh the MUTCDC o Recommendations regarding additional research that may be required to update the 1998 Edition o Recommendations regarding the future format and medium for the MUTCDC  The scoping study will be completed in 2013.

14. Joint Roundabout Sub-committee Report  Keith Boddy provided an overview of the current activities of the Joint Roundabout Sub-committee.  It was noted that the Joint Roundabout Sub-committee includes members from TOMSC, RSS, and GDSC.  Approximately 20 members attended the recent open meeting on Friday, September 20, 2013 in Winnipeg.  It was noted that CITE will be publishing a report entitled A Review of Canadian Roundabout Experiences later in 2013.  There has been no progress on the TOMSC Roundabout signage project.  The Canadian Roundabout Design Guide project is ongoing.

15. TAC Centennial Activities  Gérald Cadet provided an overview of the TAC Centennial activities that are planned for 2014.  It was noted that the following programs are being developed as part of the year-long campaign: o Video Vignette o Transportation 2014 E-Book o Transportation Showcase o Careers in Transportation o Lecture Series  Please visit www.transportation2014.ca for more information.

16. TAC Secretariat Report  The TAC Secretariat Report to Standing Committees is attached to the meeting notes.

17. Member Presentation #1  Milton Carrasco provided a presentation about current research and planning for Special Transport Vehicles.  A copy of the presentation is attached to the meeting minutes.

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Item Action 18. Member Presentation #2  Andy Harvey provided a presentation about the City of Rapid Transit initiatives.  A copy of the presentation is attached to the meeting minutes.

19. Member Presentation #3  Jason Meliefste provided a presentation about the Strategic Plan and the Yellowhead Trail/149 Concept Plan.  A copy of the presentation is attached to the meeting minutes.

20. Member Presentation #4  Bill Kenny provided a presentation about the autonomous vehicles and how their emergence will affect roadway design.  A copy of the presentation is attached to the meeting minutes.

21. Roundtable Discussion  Aziz Merali initiated a discussion about current issues and challenges associated with the transportation design industry. The following discussion points were noted: o Challenges associated with translating design to machine controlled layout o The Government of the Yukon has initiated a functional planning study for the Whitehorse Corridor section of the Alaska Highway o New Brunswick continues to struggle with fiscal restraints and staff reductions; some of the current technical challenges include environmental issues and oversized vehicles o Over the next 10 years, the government of B.C. has committed an additional $650 million for the future widening of Highway 1 to four lanes o Climate change impacts and adaptation is also becoming an relevant issue to be addressed in highway design (BC) o currently has $16B worth of investment in rapid transit underway, which has created significant design and construction resource challenges in Ontario o The City of Ottawa is promoting roundabouts; however, the designers are lacking guidelines and warrants for the selection of a roundabout versus a signalized intersection o The movement of dangerous goods through municipalities is a current challenge in (Calgary) o The recent flooding in Alberta has raised questions about design standards and guidelines that address climate change

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Item Action o The City of Winnipeg has plenty of expansion plans; however, there is limited funding available for implementation o There are many existing constrained urban intersections that require complex and innovative design solution; advance traffic analysis and visualizations are required to assist with decision making (Calgary) o Montreal has many neglected roads that require rehabilitation; however, many are being reconstructed “in- kind” without addressing future needs o Greater Montreal also experiences jurisdictional issues between the city and the suburbs o The City of Mississauga’s current challenges include development intensification, retrofitting bicycle lanes, and aging demographics o The trucking industry is experiencing difficulties with drivers that cannot get across the border without significant delays, which may accelerate the need for autonomous trucks to cross the border (NB) o The MTO is currently bundling projects into “Mega Projects”, which is a challenge for smaller firms

22. Closing Remarks/Adjourn  Bob Koziol thanked Aziz Merali for his term as Chair of the GDSC.  Aziz Merali thanked everyone for their attendance and participation.  It was agreed by motion (Chouinard/Meliefste) to adjourn the meeting at 12:00 PM.

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21/02/2014

GEOMETRIC DESIGN STANDING COMMITTEE 2013 Fall Technical Meeting

Gayle Bursey, RD, B.A.Sc., M.E.S. Director, Chronic Disease and Injury Prevention Peel Public Health

September 22, 2013

Region of Peel

• Peel’s population is 1.3 million and is anticipated to grow to 1.6 million by 2031

•Mix of urban, suburban and Population growth from 2001‐ 2006 in these areas was 51% rural to 2383% •Region is dominated by low density development

• Five 400‐series highways

• Toronto Pearson International Airport located in Peel

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1/10  1/6

Sedentary Behaviour Rates

Sedentary behaviour is defined as any waking activity at the extreme low end of the energy expenditure spectrum (i.e. sitting, time spent in cars, watching TV).

Q: How many waking hours per day are Canadian adults sedentary for?

A. 6.0 hours B. 8.0 hours C. 8.5 hours D. 9.5 hours

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Sedentary Behaviour Rates

Sedentary behaviour is defined as any waking activity at the extreme low end of the energy expenditure spectrum (i.e. sitting, time spent in cars, watching TV).

Q: How many waking hours per day are Canadian adults sedentary for?

A. 6.0 hours B. 8.0 hours C. 8.5 hours Adults spend ~ 69% of their waking hours being sedentary. (Canadian Health Measures Survey, 2007‐2009).

D. 9.5 hours Much of this is from time spent at work (at a desk) and commuting.

Bike to Work?

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Walk?

Direction by Regional Council

In October 2008, Regional Council directed Health and Planning staff to develop policies on the relationship between health and the built environment for the Region’s Official Plan, with recommendations to create more health‐ promoting communities.

Approved Regional Official Plan Amendments include:

. The Region will prepare an assessment tool to evaluate the public health impacts of development, jointly with the area municipalities (7.9.2.9)

. The Region may require health impact studies as part of a complete development application to amend the Regional Official Plan (7.3.6.2.2)

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Bike to School?

Healthy Community Design

Community design is connected to health. Specifically, the way we build our communities is strongly related to our ability to engage in physical activity.

Q: Which of the following aspects of the built environment are related to walkability?

A. Density B. Mixed Land Use C. Service Proximity D. All of the above

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Healthy Community Design

Community design is connected to health. Specifically, the way we build our communities is strongly related to our ability to engage in physical activity.

Q: Which of the following aspects of the built environment are related to walkability? Seven elements of the built environment are linked to A. Density walkability: B. Mixed Land Use 1. Aesthetics & human scale 5. Density 2. Service proximity 6. Mixed land use C. Service Proximity 3. Street connectivity 7. Parking 4. Streetscape characteristics D. All of the above

Local Policy Example

Road Characterization Study – Layered character areas over functional road classes to support community goals

Outcomes: •6 Character Areas that identify: • Cross‐sections • Active Transportation elements • Access Mgmt spacing • Number of Lanes • Other cross‐section elements

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Land Use/Transportation Integration

More of this Less of this

•Safer (2 lane vs. 4 lane, Slower speeds) •Preserves traffic flow on arterial •Encourages active transportation to/from school •Integrates schools into the neighborhood

Good Streets Build Community and Provide Functionality

2

2

2

Accessibility Mobility

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Balance vs. Prioritization

2

Mobility vs. Accessibility2

2

Public Health’s Role

Call Policy Support & Defend to Action Formation Position

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Thank You

http://www.healthypeelbydesign.ca

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TAC Introduction to Geometric Design 2/21/2014

Revisions & Additions Fall 2013

21/02/2014 Revisions & Additions Sub-Committee 1

Status of approved updates

 Direct taper two-lane on-ramps  Clear runout distance  Four-lane to two-lane transition  Typical design entrance terminal parallel two lanes  Typical design exit terminal parallel single lane  Horizontal Clearance at Bridges on Rural Roads  Lane Drop, Dual Lane Right Tuning Roadway

21/02/2014 The Geometric Design Guide in Practice 2

Transportation Association of Canada 1 TAC Introduction to Geometric Design 2/21/2014

Issues referred to Update Team

 Spiral curve lengths  Spiral lengths calculated using spiral parameters (A) are not consistent with AASHTO and design software values  Result of rounding A values  Issues associated with transition length formula  Number of lanes rotated

21/02/2014 The Geometric Design Guide in Practice 3

More issues for Update

 Design length for deceleration  Table 2.4.6.2  Lower limit matches AASHTO  Upper limits based on Ontario values  Provide guidance on when upper limit is to be applied

21/02/2014 The Geometric Design Guide in Practice 4

Transportation Association of Canada 2 TAC Introduction to Geometric Design 2/21/2014

Even more issues for the Update

 Critical grade length  Current design control = 180 kg/kW  AASHTO and NCHRP 505  Design control = 120 kg/kW  85th percentile mass/power ratio on main highways and intercity routes  120 kg/kW performance curves - 110 km/h  Add text to reflect US experience

21/02/2014 The Geometric Design Guide in Practice 5

In other words, a truck with a 120 kg/kW mass to power ratio performs better on a upgrade than a truck with a 180 kg/kW ratio.

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Transportation Association of Canada 3 TAC Introduction to Geometric Design 2/21/2014

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21/02/2014 The Geometric Design Guide in Practice 8

Transportation Association of Canada 4 TAC Introduction to Geometric Design 2/21/2014

21/02/2014 The Geometric Design Guide in Practice 9

Even more issues for Update

 Intersection Chapter  Accommodating HOV and buses at intersections  Design vehicle guidance for Gap Acceptance  Design Exceptions  Lane width design flexibility  Accommodating AT  Accommodating cycling on existing roads  NACTO guide  Adoption of AASHTO SSD model  NCHRP 400  Vehicle deceleration/object heights

21/02/2014 Revisions & Additions Sub-Committee 10

Transportation Association of Canada 5 TAC Introduction to Geometric Design 2/21/2014

Issue for the Roundabout Guide

 LRT in roundabouts

21/02/2014 The Geometric Design Guide in Practice 11

Items to keep an eye on

 Automated vehicles  Impacts on geometric design

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Transportation Association of Canada 6 TAC Introduction to Geometric Design 2/21/2014

Role of R&A during Update

 Continue to identify need for future updates  Ongoing discussions with GDG Update Steering Committee  Address contentious issues  Review panel  Role to be confirmed at Spring meeting

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R&A Executive

 End of Geoff’s term  R&A Recommendations  New Chair - Olaf Homann  Vice Chair - Tim Murphy

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Transportation Association of Canada 7 TAC Introduction to Geometric Design 2/21/2014

Questions

21/02/2014 Revisions & Additions Sub-Committee 15

Transportation Association of Canada 8

2/21/2014

TAC –Geometric Design Standing Committee

Special Transport Presentation

Involvement with Special Transport

Image: 19-Axle Heavy Hauler transporting wind turbine nacelle.

• Pre-2008 – Numerous requests to model special transport vehicles (heavy transports, wind industry vehicles). • 2008 OCT – Collaborated with WisDOT on 'Hydra Steer' (beam hauler) vehicle movement through roundabout – Beginning of Independent Rear Steer development • 2009 JUN – Release of AutoTURN version 6.1.2 – ‘Independent Rear Steering’ feature along with SPECIAL TRANSPORT vehicle library (heavily slanted towards Wind Industry special transport vehicles). • 2010 OCT - Circulation of WisDOT OSOW Vehicle Inventory Exhibit (7 vehicles introduced).

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continue… • 2012 APR – Preliminary version of WisDOT OSOW vehicle library provided to WisDOT. • 2012 FEB – Collaboration with Alberta Transport on development of AutoTURN versions of special transport vehicles to be introduced in upcoming Design bulletin 68 (DB68). • 2012 MAY – Conclusion of Pooled Fund Project by KDOT: Accommodating OSOW Vehicles at Roundabouts (Funding provided by Transoft Solutions along with KDOT, Mid-America Transportation Center-Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln, Kansas State Univ. Transportation Center. Participating DOTs: CT, IA, KS, MS, OH, OR, WA, WI). - REPORT • 2012 NOV – Alberta DB68 vehicle library released as a downloadable library for use in AutoTURN • 2013 APR – DB68 & WisDOT OSOW libraries incorporated in AutoTURN version 8.2 release database.

Image: Alberta DB68 – Reactor Transporter

Vestas V112 Blade Trailer – AutoTURN Simulation Study 2012 Purpose

The purpose of this study is to assess the accuracy of simulations in AutoTURN vs actual data from GPS field measurements.

Location: Oregon, United States

Joint Study by: Transoft Solution Inc. Vestas Wind Systems

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Field Test –GPS Data Capture

GPS Transmitter Positions – Tracking Points

Data Analysis – Comparison of AutoTURN Path vs GPS Tracking Points

95% of Distances less than Cab Blade Tail

Key Tracking Points: Cab, Blade, Tail 1.4 in 2.1 in 7.0 in

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ATS Field Test –Blade Trailer & Double Schnabel ‐ August 2013

Vehicles tested: • Double Schnabel with a rear steering dolly • Double Schnabel with a front steering dolly • Wind Blade Trailer with rear steering Testing Equipment : • (4)R8 and (4)R10 Trimble GPS, Precision of XY ± 8mm (Dynamic) Z ± 15mm • GPS receiver set to record coordinates every 1sec during tests Tests Performed: • 90° Turning manoeuvers (10) • 360° ‘Steady State’ manoeuvers (7) • 90° Reverse manoeuvers (4)

Potential Improvements Based on Field Test Simulation Engine • Rear steering simulation verified by Field Test • Add typical driving manoeuvers in manual steering mode (least off tracking, Backing up) 3D Functionalities • Improve suspension/load action Vehicle Library • Build new front/rear steered dolly based on manufacturer spec. • Add common load configurations (tower, blade, generator, turbine, pipes) • New special transport library based on typical industry configurations

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5 2/21/2014

Rapid Transit Mississauga Presentation to TAC Geometric Design Committee

By Andy Harvey MBA, P.Eng., PMP

Agenda

• Background • BRT Update • LRT Update

1 2/21/2014

Mississauga: Strategic Location

Mississauga

• City of Mississauga – Incorporated 1974 – Canada’s 6th Largest City – Population 734,000 – Employment 422,000 – Debt‐free, AAA Credit – 50 of Canada’s Fortune 500

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Mississauga ‐ THEN Mississauga City Centre, 1970’s

Mississauga ‐ NOW Mississauga City Centre, 2009

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Metrolinx and the Big Move

Metrolinx and the Big Move

4 2/21/2014

Greater Toronto Transit Initiative

Hurontario‐Main LRT

Mississauga BRT

Bus Rapid Transit (BRT)

5 2/21/2014

GO Transit BRT Network

Mississauga Transitway

Future TTC Eglinton Crosstown LRT

6 2/21/2014

Construction Program

GO Contract #2 City Contract #2 City Contract #3 GO Contract #1

City Contract #1

Corridor Implementation Schedule (construction completion)

2015 2015 Contract 3 2015 2015 Renforth Gateway 2011 2013 BRT West BRT West ISF Transit Priority Contract 1 Contract 2 Contract 1 Mavis & Rathburn 2014 Contract 2

2017 407 WB Link 2013 427 Transit Priority for BRT

Provincial Implementation 2017 Kipling Gateway Municipal Implementation

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Winston Churchill Station

- Winston Churchill Transitway Station

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Transitway Infrastructure

Transitway Infrastructure

9 2/21/2014

Transitway Infrastructure

Transitway Infrastructure

10 2/21/2014

Transitway Infrastructure

Central Parkway Station Tomken Station

11 2/21/2014

Dixie Station Orbitor Station

Etobicoke Creek Station

12 2/21/2014

Etobicoke Creek Station

Contract #1 Update

- Dixie Station

13 2/21/2014

Contract #1 Update

- Tomken Station

Contract #1 Update

- Transitway at Rathburn

14 2/21/2014

CP BRT Station looking SW

BRT Looking South at Rathburn

15 2/21/2014

Contract #2 Update

BRT Looking SW at 403 Ramp Underpass

16 2/21/2014

Retention Pond near Tomken Station

Etobicoke Creek Station

17 2/21/2014

BRT Art Components

BRT Bike Rails

18 2/21/2014

Utilities

19 2/21/2014

Other Initiatives:

• Agreements – Metrolinx, MTO, IO • Maintenance and Operations • Commissioning • Communications • Sponsorship • Art

HURONTARIO-MAIN LRT PROJECT Preliminary Design/TPAP

20 2/21/2014

Greater Toronto Transit Initiative

Hurontario‐Main LRT

Mississauga BRT

Presentation Scope

Hurontario‐Main LRT

42

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LRT’s - Modern LRT Vehicle, Montpellier

43

LRT Priority- Re-allocating Road Space, Paris

44

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LRT Stops

45

A Complete Street Design Approach, Paris (T3)

46

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New LRT and New TOD Development, Dublin

47

Design Plates

2/21/2014 Steering Committee Meeting #1 48

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Lots of Challenges

Rathburn

Civic Robert Speck

Main Street

Mathews Gate

Downtown Mississauga Movement Plan

50

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Square One Drive

Duke of York Hurontario

51

Traffic dominated low density

Developing a Completedevelopment Street‐ Existing Condition

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Re‐allocated road space for

Developing a Completesegregated Street –Introducing LRTLRT

Segregated LRT, higher people‐capacity corridor Higher density TOD development Developing a Complete Street –The full package

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Eglinton Northbound Initial

Eglinton Northbound Ultimate

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Desirable Elements

Mixed Use Development Overhead Wires

Driver Controlled Simple Shelter

Step free access Low-level Platform

Rail level with surfacing

Burnhamthorpe Initial

a) PIC #1 – Future LRT

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Burnhamthorpe Intermediate b) PIC #2 ‐ LRT Opening with Urban Realm

Burnhamthorpe Ultimate c) PIC #2 ‐ Ultimate

30 2/21/2014

Cooksville GO Ultimate

Cooksville Stop ‐ Ultimate

TITLE

31 2/21/2014

Schedule Now

Project Schedule

Transit Today

32 2/21/2014

Transit Tomorrow

Traffic Management

33 2/21/2014

Smart Bus/Smart LRT

Smart Bus

Wireless

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Transportation Demand Management (TDM)

Questions

35 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL 2013 TAC Geometric Design SC

September 22, 2013

Yellowhead Trail •Nationalhighwaynetwork •ProvincialHighwayConnection •CityInnerRingRoad •KeyconnectionstoAnthonyHendayDrive •GoodsMovementcorridorfortheCapitalRegion •UrbanIndustrialAreawithLocalAccess •ConstrainedRoadRightofWay

1.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STRATEGIC PLAN Yellowhead Trail

• Primarilyanexisting6Laneurbanroadwithsome interchanges,sometrafficsignals,andsomeatgrade connections • OperatingSpeedvaries,postedat70km/hrthroughmost sections • Manyintersectionsareatcapacity(PeakHourLOS“F”) • Largetruckslimitoperatingspeeds(15%Trucks) • Mostcongestedareais97Stthrough127Street, althoughmanyothersectionsarecongested (60,000veh/d) • Variousweaving,mergingandgeometricchallenges

1.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STRATEGIC PLAN

Strategic Study Objectives • ToreviewthelongtermroleandfunctionofYellowheadTrail between156Streetand17Streetinsupportingthegoalsand objectivesofTheWayWeMove forgoodsmovement.

1.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STRATEGIC PLAN Strategies Considered

1.Statusquo:continuedandfurtherincreasesindelays totruckingandgoodsmovement.

2.StandardFreeway:accesstoandfromYellowhead Trailatkeyinterchangesonlywithnoaccessin between.

3.StandardFreewaywithCDroads:accesstoandfrom Yellowhead Trailatinterchangeswithbusinessaccess viaparallelserviceroads. 1.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STRATEGIC PLAN

Traffic Volumes Increase on Yellowhead Trail • In2011,over60,000vehiclesperdayandover10,000trucksper day useYellowheadTrail.

• By2044,125,000vehiclesperdayandapproximately20,000trucks willuseYellowheadTrail.

• ModellingshowsthatifweaddmorelanestoYellowheadTrail,traffic continuestouseituntilitisnearcapacity.

• TheYellowheadTrailcorridorwillcontinuetobeanintegralgoods movementcorridorwithintheCityofEdmonton.

1.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STRATEGIC PLAN vs Yellowhead Trail

• TheshorttermimpactofAnthonyHendayDriveonYellowheadTrail trafficvolumesisnotassignificantasyoumightthink.

o Compared2011trafficvolumesto2019.

o NearAnthonyHenday,YellowheadTrailvolumesdecreaseby approximately10%

o Near97Streettrafficvolumesincreaseby8%.

• ConcludethattrafficisstilldestinedtocoreoftheCityandthedesire istouseYellowheadTrail.

1.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STRATEGIC PLAN

Trucks on Yellowhead Trail

YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STAGING FINAL Yellowhead Trail Strategic Plan

1.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STRATEGIC PLAN

Yellowhead Staging - Evaluation Factors

Thecorridorwasseparatedin5differentmanageablesegmentsand theirperformancewasanalyzedindependentlyandcombinedto determineanoverallsequencing. Thefollowingfactorswereconsidered,including:

•CapitalandLandcosts •Prerequisiteprojects •TheWayWeMove NetworkPerformance •TheWayWeGreenDecreasedemissions

2.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STAGING Yellowhead Trail Freeway Project Staging

• Stage1 (ConceptPlanscomplete): o 89StreetIntersectionClosure o 97StreetModifications o 66StreetAccessManagement o ITSSystemforYellowheadTrail

Stage2: 149StreetInterchange o Highprioritybecauseoftruckdelayandtravelspeedsthroughthecorridor o Alsoprovideshighreductioninemissions

2.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STAGING

Yellowhead Trail Freeway Project Staging

Stage3: 127StreetInterchange o Bestoverallemissionsreduction o Goodimprovementintruckdelayandtravelspeeds

Stage4: 121StreetInterchange o Goodemissionsreductions o Goodimprovementintruckdelayandtravelspeeds

Stage5: FinalProjects o FortRoad/WayneGretzkyDriveinterchangemodifications o Closureof66Streetintersection

2.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STAGING Costs and Budget Implications • TheYellowheadTrailFreewayprojectsarecurrentlyunfunded.

• Estimated$823Millionrequiredtocompleteallprojects(2012$).

• Timeandinflationwilldriveupcostsinexcessof$1.1Billion in15years.

2.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STAGING

YellowheadPlanning Trail Strategic Plan Preliminary Detailed Construction Strategic Concept Funding Engineering Engineering Planning StagingPlanning ApprovalImplementation Status InPart Stage1A (68St&64St Underway 2013 2014 (66StreetAccessManagement) 3 3 Mediansonly) Stage1B (89StreetIntersectionClosure) 3 3 Stage2 Underway (149StreetInterchange) 3 2014Target

Stage3 2014 (127StreetInterchange) 3 Stage4 (121StreetInterchange) 3 Stage5A (FortRoadInterchange 3 Modifications) Stage5B (66StreetIntersectionClosure) 3

2.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STAGING 149Street Interchange - STAGE 2 – Project Limits

• TransportationBylaw15896,whichamendedTransportationSystem Bylaw15101,wasapprovedbyCouncilonNovember21,2011,and designatedYellowheadTrailasafuturefreeway. 170 ST 156 ST 149 ST 127 ST

118 AVE

StudyArea

3.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL / 149 STREET INTERCHANGE

Existing Features

At-grade rail crossing

Two way service road St. Albert Trail interchange

142 Street (signal) 149 Street 156 Street (signal) interchange PROJECT BACKGROUND – EXISTING STATISTICS

• 149Streetranks4th intheCityforcollisionsbasedon2011statistics – Manycollisionscanbelinkedto“stopandgo” trafficat149Street &142Street Total Collisions by Year

130

125 124

120 120 119 117

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110 110 Number of Collisions of Number

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100 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 3.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL / 149 STREET INTERCHANGE

PROJECT BACKGROUND – EXISTING STATISTICS Location of Collision

South of Intersection Service Road to the ServiceNorthWest Roads North of Intersection

Unknown

West of Intersection

In the Intersection East of Intersection

3.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL / 149 STREET INTERCHANGE PROJECT BACKGROUND – EXISTING STATISTICS

Failed to Yield ROW Cause of Collision Yield Sign Violation Failed to Yield to Stop Sign Violation Struck Parked Vehicle Pedestrian Other Improper Loading Left of Centre Backed Unsafely Pedestrian Error Failed to Observe Improper Turn Traffic Signal Left Turn Across Path Ran Off Road

Changing Lanes Improperly Followed Too Closely

3.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL / 149 STREET INTERCHANGE

PROJECT BACKGROUND – EXISTING VOLUMES Existing and Projected Vehicle Volumes

120000

100000 e

80000

60000 110,000 vehicles

40000 29,000 vehicles Total Daily Vehicle Volum Vehicle Daily Total 17,000 vehicles

20000 55,000 vehicles

0 149 Street YHT149 149 Street YHT Trucks Cars NOW 2041 3.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL / 149 STREET INTERCHANGE Freeway Strategies • Over35freewayconfigurationsweredevelopedandeach hadseveralaccesssuboptionsthatwereapplied.

• ProjectTeamevaluatedandrefinedtheoptionsusing publicinput,technicalanalyses,andevaluationcriteria.

• 2FreewayStrategieshavebeenbroughtforward.

• Inbothstrategies,theexistingatgradespurlinerail crossinghasbeenassumedtoberemoved.

3.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL / 149 STREET INTERCHANGE

Freeway Strategy A: ¾

Rail overpass

One way service road

Partial interchange

Two way access road Land Impacts – Strategy A

• 19 full acquisitions assumed • 7 partial acquisitions • 27 hectares of land to be acquired • 15 hectares of land possibly surplus • Land costs $165 to $185 million – to be YELLOWHEADYELLOWHEAD TTRAILRAIL SSTAGINGTAGING refined.

Freeway Strategy B: No Interchange One Way Service Roads

At-grade rail crossing

Transfer lane Retaining wall

Retaining wall One way Transfer lane service road Land Impacts – Strategy B

• 6 full acquisitions assumed • 11 partial acquisitions • 10 hectares of land to be acquired • 9 hectares of land possibly surplus • Land costs $70 to $85 million – to be YELLOWHEADYELLOWHEAD TTRAILRAIL SSTAGINGTAGING refined

Cost Summary Costestimatesweredevelopedforeachstrategywithout considerationoftheadditionalrailspurcosts.Adiscussionof railspuroptionsfollowsinthenextslides.

Cost Summary in 2013$ (x million)

Strategy A Strategy B

Construction Cost $140 - $185 $100 - $135 Land Cost $165 - $185 $70 - $80 Total $305 - $370 $170 - $215 NOTE: Without rail spur line costs. All costs to be confi rmed during the concept pl anni ng stage.

3.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL / 149 STREET INTERCHANGE Properties Served by the Rail Spur Line

Yellowhead Trail

Rail Spur

142 Street 118 Avenue 149 Street

• Assume that YHT crossing will be removed • 8 properties access spur line 156 Street • 1 daily delivery train each YELLOWHEADYELLOWHEAD TTRAILRAIL SSTAGINGTAGING way crosses YHT

Rail Spur Line Options

Railspurlineoptions • Gradeseparatethecrossing.Additional landandconstructioncostsofover$100 million • Closethecrossingandpurchasethe8 identifiedpropertiesorpurchasetheir rightstorailservice.Netadditionalcosts toprojectestimatedat$35to$45 million • Closethecrossinganddevelop alternativerailservicetothe8 properties.Estimatedadditionalcostis $60to$75million • Leaveasisandinstalladditionalsafety featuresandadvancewarningfeatures

YELLOWHEADYELLOWHEAD TTRAILRAIL SSTAGINGTAGING Current Preferences

1. FreewayStrategyB– NoInterchange withtheoneway serviceroads.

2. RemovethespurlineatgradecrossingofYellowhead Trailthroughoptionsthatavoidagradeseparation.

3.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL / 149 STREET INTERCHANGE

Innovations • PublicInvolvementProcess – StakeholderInputGroup • Designcriteria • Weighting • Designrefinements • CityCouncil Interchange101Course – Terminology – DecisionMakingProcess • ProjectManagementModel – InHouseDesignManager – ExternalDesignAuditor

3.0 YELLOWHEAD TRAIL / 149 STREET INTERCHANGE Thank you! QUESTIONS?

Freeway Strategy A: ¾ Diamond Interchange

At-grade spur line crossing to be removed

142 Street closed Freeway Strategy A: ¾ Diamond Interchange

149 Street over rail and service road One way service road

WB Off ramp to 149 St and 156 St

149 Street over Yellowhead EB On ramp YELLOWHEAD TRAIL STAGING

Freeway Strategy A: ¾ Diamond Interchange

One way service road

WB YHT exit to 156 St closed

WB entrance from 149 St Freeway Strategy B: No Interchange One Way Service Roads

At-grade spur WB exit to 149 St line crossing to and 156 St be removed

Transfer lanes

142 St right in One way and right out YELLOWHEADservice roadTRAIL STAGING

Freeway Strategy B: No Interchange One Way Service Roads 128 Ave improved

At-grade rail 149 St right in, crossing right out to service road One way service road

149 St right out to EB exit to 142 St and service road St Albert Tr YELLOWHEADYELLOWHEAD TTRAILRAIL SSTAGINGTAGING Freeway Strategy B: No Interchange One Way Service Roads

WB entrance One way from St Albert service road Tr and 149 St

123 Ave improved

YELLOWHEADYELLOWHEAD TTRAILRAIL SSTAGINGTAGING 2/21/2014

The ‘Autonomes’ are Coming This Will Fundamentally Change How We ‘Do’ Road Transportation TAC

Prepared by Paul Godsmark, B.Sc., M.I.C.E., C.Eng. [email protected] Presented by: Bill Kenny, P. Eng., Director of Design, Project Management and Training, Alberta Transportation. 22 Sept, 2013 for GDSC of TAC.

Exponential Technology - Gordon Moore’s Law: number of transistors on a chip doubles every 2 years (an observation) Processing power doubles every 18 months

What if artificial intelligence development is also exponential?

Is the combined effect aggregated or a product? Transistor Count Transistor

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. “Surprisingly few people, even within the transportation planning world, are talking about this pending revolution.” Freakonomics, Dec 2012

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Example: Rio Tinto / Komatsu AHS* Autonomous Haulage System

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Outline - Bridging the Credibility Gap

Can I help advance you along this scale? Unaware Informed Challenged Excited Active

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Questions for the TAC audience:

. “What are we as a Transportation Profession doing about preparing for the biggest revolution that we will have seen on our road network since the invention of the car some 130 years ago?

. Why have we not already started planning for this inevitable paradigm shift that will transform not just our roads, but society as well?

. What should we do to prepare?” Godsmark, ITE Blog

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Transportation Just Got Really Exciting!

We are on the cusp of a technological tidal wave that will result in a paradigm shift* in how we do road transportation.

(*a radical change in underlying beliefs or theory.)

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Paradigm Shift Frequency - Telecoms Telecoms (dates approximate): . 1876 – Landline Telephone replaces telegraph 97 Years . 1973 - Cell Phone replaces Landline 23 Years . 1996 – Smartphone replaces Cell 11 Years . 2007 – First iPhone – Apps 3 Years . 2010 – Social Media Revolution 3 Years . 2013?? Google Glass / Apple Watch ??

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Paradigm Shift Frequency - Roads

Paradigm Shifts in Road Transportation . 1879 – Motor car (Daimler Benz) replaces horse and carriage

…..incremental improvements for over 130 years…..

Conclusion: We are overdue a paradigm shift on our roads

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New Paradigms Require New Perspectives

Henry Ford:

“If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses.”

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Big Problems - need a Big Solution

. SAFETY: 1.2million people are killed/year

(USA = 32,367[2011] , Canada = 2,227[2010] , 2007 $62bn or 4.9% GDP) . 93% of collisions human error is a significant factor

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Big Problems - need a Big Solution

. Congestion / ‘lost time’ – average commuter ≈46mins/day (Canada ≈$63bn? = 3.5% GDP?) . Pollution

. The solution is already in advanced development

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Problem: Truck Driver Shortage ‘Understanding the Truck Driver Supply and Demand Gap and Its Implications for the Canadian Economy’ - The Conference Board of Canada .Aging driver demographics .Growing demand for trucking services .Driver supply and demand gap of 25,000 drivers by 2020 .Will affect the trucking industry, customers and consumers. .Currently 300,000, or 1.5% of the labour force employed as truck drivers.

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Autonomous Vehicles

. Autonomous / Self-Driving / Driverless Vehicles – ‘Autonomes’ – Key: Artificial Intelligence

. DARPA Grand Challenge (2004/5) & Urban Challenge (2007)

. Google Self-Driving Car Team 2009

. Automakers: GM, Volvo, Nissan, BMW/Continental, Audi, Mercedes, Toyota, Ford etc.

. Bills enacted in Nevada, Florida, California and District of Columbia

. 15 other US States/Cities have bills in process

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Three companies licensed to test in Nevada:

Google, Continental, Audi

Nevada, Florida and California have passed laws. District of Columbia (Washington DC) enacting. Michigan, Texas might be next. 9 more States in process. 15

Examples

Google Lexus

AutoNOMOS Labs VW

Stanford Audi 16

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Autonome Characteristics

. Sensors typically: – LiDAR – optical – radar – infrared cameras – GPS – wheel encoder . Combination – 360°view, – Monitors movements in real time – Reacts in milliseconds

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The Point Cloud

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The Self-Driving Car

. Aim: Save 1,000,000 lives

. >500,000 miles in self-drive mode

. 96,000 miles without intervention

– 45% confidence crash less than people

– 727,000 miles for 99% confidence crash less

. Can be retrofitted or built as new

. Fleet of 32? @1,000 miles/day? DriverlessCarHQ estimates

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The Self-Driving Car Passenger No.1, Steve Mahan, (San Jose, CA) 95% blind

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cdgQpa1pUUE 20

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What could stop Autonomes?

. What if level of electro-magnetic radiation was unacceptable in nature?

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We don’t know the cause - but effects could be substantial.

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Known development challenges:

- Reversing! - Extreme weather - Work zones - Road alterations - Pedestrian prediction - Facial reading - Rare events

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The New Paradigm…

…occurs when certified safe to drive unmanned. = can do work

= make owners money

= rapid market penetration

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The new paradigm… Impacts: . Operational models - roads, logistics, etc.

. Business models – freight, rentals, parking, taxis, insurance etc.

. Revenue models – industries, government, P3s

Almost all Government Ministries will be affected.

Expect trillion dollar money flows

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The Ultimate Autonome Vision

A Few of the Opportunities: . Collisions – up to 93% reduction . Increase road capacity, reduce spaces, improve flows . Driver time now productive . Environmental – reduced emissions, fewer vehicles . Business efficiencies – improvements to logistics, time, fuel, insurances, less maintenance etc. . Transit - Biggest Opportunity (or Threat!) . Environmental/real estate benefits – reclamation of excess paved areas (NY Times Jan 2012 – approx. 8 spaces/car in US, Houston approx. 30 spaces/car!)

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The Ultimate Autonome Vision

Challenges: . SECURITY – ‘missiles’ in a malicious entities hands . LEGAL / REGULATORY – laws cover non-human driver. Policies, Rules and Standards . SYSTEM RELIABILITY - MTBF

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Challenges

. INSURANCE/LIABILTY – define responsibilities and liabilities . USERS – overcome trust issues/acceptance . UNIONS / TEAMSTERS – employment displacement: long haul drivers, taxi drivers, road safety experts, trauma surgeons etc. (reduction in organ donations) . STANDARDIZATION – systems, protocols, inter- connectivity, cross-borders, integration etc.

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When will Autonomes arrive? . Being developed in 14+ countries . Semi Autonomous – Cadillac 2012, Mercedes 2013, Volvo 2014 (up to 31mph) . Audi ‘piloted drive’ by 2015 . General Motors, Volvo, Nissan, BMW/Continental, Audi predict they could have fully autonomous vehicles by 2020

What have Google said?

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When will Autonomes arrive?

. 25 Sept 2012 California became the 3rd US State after Nevada and Florida to sign an Autonomous Vehicle Bill into law. Sergey Brin (co-founder Google) said “You can count on one hand the number of years it will take before ordinary people can experience this.”

SAE Conference Feb 2013: “We expect to release the technology in the next 5 years.” – Anthony Levandowski, SDC Product Manager. 31

Summary of the 2 Technologies

Connected Vehicle . (Congestion Busting) Improves Highway Capacity . Reduce Collisions by up to 48% . Implementation approx. 2018-2019 –depends on market %

Autonome . Reduce Collisions by up to 93% . Minor highway capacity benefits . Major benefits to businesses and environment . Transformative for almost every aspect of society . Full implementation approx. 2017-2020

GOAL: Convergence = Ultimate Road Transportation (?)

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Clear trends... or crystal ball?

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Possible Implementation Scenario

Assume ‘body-out’ legally acceptable: 1. Taxi/Trucking industry disrupts 2. Rental/Car Share/Ride Share models Adapt 3. Autonome Fleets emerge 4. Early-adopter Entrepreneurs hire out autonomes 5. Competition - Transport as a Service (TaaS) develops 6. Bus service disrupts 7. Public Transit (LRT, BRT, Trams etc.) impacted 8. ‘Accidents’/Collisions significantly reduced 9. Vehicle size/weight reduces - Catalyst for Electric cars 10.Reduced urban parking – streets reclaimed 11.Total number of vehicles falls (a third to a tenth of existing)

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Novel vehicle types? The Induct Navia shuttle is already in autonomous operation in Lausanne, Switzerland – would this be legal in Canada?

. Electric . Low speed . Ped areas

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Novel Vehicle Types?

Heavy quadricycle (L7e) Seats 3 Max Speed 110km/h Range: - Urban cycle 140km - Mixed cycle 90km - Stable 50km/h 150km Length 2.50m Width 1.80m Height 1.60m Weight with batteries 520kg

Induct Modulgo developed in France Low cost urban electric vehicle designed around telematics technology for car-sharing. Autonomous smart parking assistance.

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Novel Vehicle Types?

Narrow vehicle – capable of lane splitting/sharing Seats 2 Achieved 5 Star NHTSA equivalent rating for rollover. 0-60mph in 3.2sec Top speed over 150mph Range 100-240 miles

Tango by Rick Woodbury, Spokane, Washington. High cost electric vehicle speed and agility of a motorcyle with the security of a high performance sports car.

George Clooney owns one.

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Novel Vehicle Types?

Lane splitting/sharing Two-seater Top speed 120mph Range up to 200 miles

LIT C-1 ‘Bike’ … San Francisco 2014 production Gyroscopically stabilized enclosed electric motorcyle (car?). Stays upright, even in a collision. Aimed at commuters.

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Novel Vehicle Types?

Chevrolet EN-V (Magic version pictured) 2-person, 2-wheeled electric concept vehicle. Due for testing and demonstration starting in Tianjin, China. 39

Watch and Wait or Respond?

Disruptive tech does not work to a fixed program and is unpredictable! We cannot un-invent this tech; it is a matter of ‘when’ and not ‘if’.

Public Sector Suggestions: . Put policies in ahead of the technology . Prepare a roadmap for implementation . Prepare laws, regulations, standards etc. . Be aware of impact on public transport and mid-to-long term plans . Assist/sponsor research 40

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Watch and Wait or Respond?

Suggestions for Businesses: . Examine operational, business and revenue models . Review vehicle fleet plans . Note: “Incumbent players rarely do well when industries disrupt.” – Larry Burns, Co-Author of Reinventing the Automobile: Personal Urban Mobility for the 21st Century.

All to Ponder This is the Dawn of the Robot Revolution – it will not only revolutionize our roads, but transform society

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Car Free Day 2010 in Winnipeg.

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Paul Godsmark [email protected] Autonomous Vehicles Impacts Blog http://autonomous-vehicle-impacts.blogspot.ca/ LinkedIn http://ca.linkedin.com/pub/paul-godsmark/3b/6aa/138 Facebook – DriverlessCarHQ https://www.facebook.com/driverlesscarhq

ITE Blogs: ITE Blog 1 – What Pending Revolution on Our Roads? http://community.ite.org/ITE/Go.aspx?c=BlogViewer &BlogKey=5deef304-090d-430a-8e7f-6a171ccdd22e ITE Blog 2 - The Key to Autonome Success – ‘Money Flow ’ http://community.ite.org/ITE/Go.aspx?c=BlogViewer &BlogKey=7e8d2a6d-61c6-445e-b1a6-fe42055d2281 ITE Blog 3 – What a week for Autonome News! http://community.ite.org/ITE/Go.aspx?c=BlogViewer &BlogKey=8a553214-8b31-4b42-a43f-24584a3f38c2 ITE Blog 4- An Elephant in the Room? http://community.ite.org/Blogs/BlogViewer/?BlogKey=5bb6e396-ba39-4a9d-bc20-159a3892861f ITE Blog 5 – The Inevitable Rise of Autonomous Vehicle Fleets http://community.ite.org/ITE/Go.aspx?c=BlogViewer&BlogKey=697ab8c7-d779-4994-8c47-48635a1006f9

The Autonomes are Coming SOON! Let’s prepare for the new paradigm

Watch and Wait or Respond?

Transportation Professionals Suggestions: . Plan for a very different future starting in ≈4 years . Review forecasts . Consider impacts on projects . Get trained-up in this new tech

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Transportation Profession Impacts

Only applies to projects: - With design/operational life beyond 2023 - Directly or remotely connected with roads

NOTE - To date we don’t have any: . Regulations . Standards . Guidelines . Codes of practice …or policies, and limited research.

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Transportation Profession Impacts

. Traffic forecasting . Traffic modeling – volume – behaviour . Are capacity improvements still appropriate? – widening – intersections / interchanges?

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Transportation Profession Impacts

The following are issues that arise if CCMTA intend to approve autonomous vehicle:

. Parking requirements – park & rides – urban centres – airports – new developments

Think what we could do with reclaimed parking land and structures… amazing opportunities in urban centres.

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Transportation Profession Impacts

. Urban planning – sprawl – and intensification!?! – land values – parking provision for new developments – transit oriented development (TOD) – seniors / disabled / very poor etc. more mobile

The race for driver-free urban centres…

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Transportation Profession Impacts

The race for driver-free urban centres . 2018 – Autonomes deployed . 2020 – Certified safe for unmanned use . 2021 – 1% vehicles are autonomes (6% market penetration) – assumes 1 in 6 of new cars sold that year. – The benefits obvious to all . 2022 – 3% autonomous (18% market penetration) . 2023 – 7% autonomous (42% market penetration) – First city bans drivers from urban centres – Ultra-lightweight autonome EVs deployed

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Transportation Profession Impacts

. Transit outside of densest urban corridors – Modal switch impacts – Revenue model impacts – Possibility of ‘disruption’

Remember: – autonomes do not require infrastructure spending – door-to-door service – probably paid for by private sector

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Transportation Profession Impacts

. P3 revenue/financial models – private financers risk averse – due diligence required

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Transportation Profession Impacts

. Complements complete streets – the most courteous drivers – amazing opportunities for old parking – policies need shaping now

. Active transportation challenges – encourage modal change to walking / cycling

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Car-free Day Brussels 2005

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Big Questions for CCMTA and Canada

Some of multi-billion dollar questions: . Are CCMTA geared up for this? . Will the public or private sector run autonome fleets? . What do we do with old vehicle stock? . Do we need an over-arching ROAD MAP to include government ministries/departments and major business?

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Maybe it wasn’t an elephant….

…just an 800 lb gorilla? 59

Is there a (technology) freight train coming?

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Is there an elephant in the room?

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Autonome Fleets (excerpt from ‘Transforming Personal Mobility’, Earth Institute, Columbia University, Jan 2013)

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Connected Vehicles (CV) Electronic modules in vehicles and infrastructure Operational Benefits: – Speed adaptation – Collision avoidance – Extended or revised traffic signal timing or phasing – Emergency vehicle warnings – Warning of red light runners – Dynamic route selection or adjustment – Platooning (SARTRE – Safe Road Trains for the Environment)

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Connected Vehicles (CV)

NHTSA (US) will make a decision on CV tech in 2013 – remove up to 48% of all collisions? . RITA ITS pilot project, 3,000 vehicles –underway . CV mandatory by 2018/19? . Significant capacity/safety benefits Issue of cost and effectiveness related to square of market penetration

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