The Varoufakis-Tsipras Line Was Doomed to Fail from the Word ‘Go’
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First Thoughts on the 25 January 2015 Election in Greece
GPSG Pamphlet No 4 First thoughts on the 25 January 2015 election in Greece Edited by Roman Gerodimos Copy editing: Patty Dohle Roman Gerodimos Pamphlet design: Ana Alania Cover photo: The Zappeion Hall, by Panoramas on Flickr Inside photos: Jenny Tolou Eveline Konstantinidis – Ziegler Spyros Papaspyropoulos (Flickr) Ana Alania Roman Gerodimos Published with the support of the Politics & Media Research Group, Bournemouth University Selection and editorial matter © Roman Gerodimos for the Greek Politics Specialist Group 2015 All remaining articles © respective authors 2015 All photos used with permission or under a Creative Commons licence Published on 2 February 2015 by the Greek Politics Specialist Group (GPSG) www.gpsg.org.uk Editorial | Roman Gerodimos Continuing a tradition that started in 2012, a couple of weeks ago the Greek Politics Specialist Group (GPSG) invited short commentaries from its members, affiliates and the broader academ- ic community, as a first ‘rapid’ reaction to the election results. The scale of the response was humbling and posed an editorial dilemma, namely whether the pamphlet should be limited to a small number of indicative perspectives, perhaps favouring more established voices, or whether it should capture the full range of viewpoints. As two of the founding principles and core aims of the GPSG are to act as a forum for the free exchange of ideas and also to give voice to younger and emerging scholars, it was decided that all contributions that met our editorial standards of factual accuracy and timely -
Economic Dialogue with Greece
IPOL DIRECTORATE-GENERAL FOR INTERNAL POLICIES EGOV ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE SUPPORT UNIT I N-D EPT H ANALYSIS Economic Dialogue with Greece ECON on 2 March 2016 This note presents selected information on the current status of the EU economic governance procedures and related relevant information in view of an Economic Dialogue with Mr Euclid Tsakalotos, Minister of Finance of the Hellenic Republic, in accordance with the EU legal framework, in particular Article 2a of EU Regulation 1467 as amended by Regulation 1177/2011 and Article 7(10) of EU Regulation 472/2013.This briefing is an update on a previous briefing on Greece’s Financial Assistance Programme. 1. Latest economic developments After returning to growth in 2014 and showing unexpected resilience during the first half of 2015, Greece's economy has slipped back into recession in the second half of 2015 reflecting sharp deterioration in confidence, renewed stress within the banking system (which led to imposition of capital controls1 in June 2015) and uncertainty stemming from prolonged negotiations in the context of Greece programme review(s). According to Eurostat's preliminary data, the Greek economy contracted by 1.4% q-o-q in Q3 2015 and 0.6% q-o-q in Q4 2015. If confirmed, this data would bring real GDP contraction to 0.7% for 2015 as a whole (as compared to a 0.0% real GDP growth expected by the European Commission (COM) in the winter 2016 forecast2). Looking ahead, negative carryover effects from 2015 are to weigh on output dynamics in 2016 (-0.7%) before a progressive rebound in confidence, along the 'expected easing of capital controls and compliance with the conditionality of the new ESM assistance programme', helps the Greek economy to return to growth in 2017 (+2.7 %). -
Factsheet: the Hellenic Parliament
Directorate-General for the Presidency Directorate for Relations with National Parliaments Factsheet: The Hellenic Parliament 1. At a glance Greece is a parliamentary democracy. The Hellenic Parliament is comprised of 300 Members who are directly elected by the citizens under a combination of voting systems. Voting in Greece is compulsory. The main functions of the Parliament are to vote on legislation (which can be introduced by Government ministers, individual Members or political groups in the Parliament, in accordance with the constitution) and to exercise democratic control over the activities of the Government and other state agencies. Elections normally take place every four years, but early elections may be called by the Prime Minister at any time. Early elections are also foreseen by the Constitution in the case of loss of confidence to the Government following a relevant vote in Parliament, or in the case of inability to elect the President of the Republic. For the first time, this last ground for early elections was triggered in December 2014 when the required majorities were not reached during the election process of the President of the Republic. Following the elections on 25 January 2015, SYRIZA (GUE/NGL) formed a coalition government with the Independent Greeks (no affiliation in the EP) under Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras. 2. Composition Results of the elections of 25 January 2015 Party EP % Seats affiliation Synaspismos Rizospastikis Aristeras (SYRIZA) 36,3 149 Coalition of Radical Left Nea Democratia 27,8 76 New Democracy Chrisi Avgi Non- 6,3 17 Golden Dawn attached To Potami 17 6,1 The River Kommounistiko Komma Elladas Non- Communist Party of Greece attached 5,5 15 Aneksartitoi Ellines (ANEL) No affiliation 4,8 13 Independent Greeks in the EP Panellinio Sosialistiko Kinima (PASOK) 4,8 13 Pan-Hellenic Socialist Movement Others 8,5 100% 300 Turnout: 63.87% The next elections must take place by February 2019 at the latest. -
View Conference Report
October 13–14, 2016 Conference Report Introduction: Greece as a Litmus Test for Europe Greece, renowned as the cradle of democracy, stands at a turning remains on life support, and, even with bailout money approved point. Fittingly, as with any commentary on Greece, a brief review of through 2020, it is unclear whether the country will be able to stand history is in order. We need not go too far back in time; 2008 is a good fully on its own by then. place to begin. Each round of bailout negotiations was excruciating: each time In the years since the global financial crash of 2008, the country’s creditors re-examined Greece’s finances, things looked worse. This led name has been synonymous with crisis. Thanks to a variety of factors to a downward spiral of trust and the imposition of ever-stricter within and beyond its control, ranging from fiscal profligacy to conditions on the disbursal of bailout funds. Clearly unable to survive geography, Greece has become the epicenter for a convergence of without those funds—certainly not within the EU—Greece took the crises—economic, political, and demographic—besetting the European money and, grudgingly, the conditions attached to it. The sense of Union as a whole. None of these challenges are unique to Greece, but being dictated to by the EU, plus years of grinding austerity that have they have hit hard there, exposing deeper fault lines in the EU as a followed, have precipitated a political crisis: with business as usual so whole. How Greece and the European Union respond will prove a clearly not working, both apathy and radicalism have increased litmus test for the European project. -
Introduction: Our Athens Spring
Introduction: Our Athens Spring Let me tell you why I am here with words I have borrowed from a famous old manifesto. I am here because: A spectre is haunting Europe — the spectre of democracy. All the powers of old Europe have entered into a holy alliance to exorcise this spectre: The state- sponsored bankers and the Eurogroup, the Troika and Dr Schäuble, Spain’s heirs of Franco’s political legacy and the SPD’s Berlin leadership, Baltic governments that subJected their populations to terrible, unnecessary recession and Greece’s resurgent oligarchy. I am here in front of you because a small nation chose to oppose this holy alliance. To look at them in the eye and say: Our liberty is not for sale. Our dignity is not for auction. If we give up liberty and dignity, as you demand that we do, Europe will lose its integrity and forfeit its soul. I am here in front of you because nothing good happens in Europe if it does not start from France. I am here in front of you because the Athens Spring that united Greeks and gave them back • their smile • their courage • their freedom from fear • the strength to say NO to irrationality • NO to un-freedom • NO to a subJugation that in the end does not benefit even Europe’s strong and mighty, …that magnificent Athens Spring, which culminated in a 62% saying a majestic NO to Un-Reason and to Misanthropy,… …our Athens Spring, was also a chance for a Paris Spring, a Frangy Spring, a Berlin, a Madrid, a Dublin, a Helsinki, a Bratislava, a Vienna Spring. -
Calendar of Benoît Cœuré, January 2018 1
Calendar of Benoît Cœuré Member of the ECB’s Executive Board January 2018 Date Meeting / Event (incl. topic / meeting participants, as applicable) Location Sunday, 7 January Bank for International Settlements (BIS) – bi-monthly meetings Basel Monday, 8 January Meeting with German Ministry of Finance, Mr Levin Holle, on Basel regulatory issues Financial Stability Board (FSB) Steering Committee Basel Tuesday, 9 January Executive Board ECB Governing Council ECB ECB farewell dinner for Chair of Board of Governors of US ECB Federal Reserve System, Ms Janet Yellen Thursday, 11 January Eurogroup Working Group Brussels Friday, 12 January Eurogroup Working Group Brussels Bellagio Group meeting ECB Saturday, 13 January Bellagio Group meeting ECB Monday, 15 January Meeting with Hellenic Bank Association (HBA), on Greek banking ECB system Meeting with European Investment Bank (EIB), Mr Andrew ECB McDowell and Ms Debora Revoltella, on prospects for investment in the euro area Tuesday, 16 January Meeting with Graduate Institute of International and Development ECB Studies (Geneva), on digital currencies Executive Board ECB Wednesday, 17 January Meeting with Norges Bank, Mr Jon Nicolaisen, Mr Torbjørn ECB Hægeland and Mr Audun Grønn, on issues of common interest Meeting with media ECB Meeting with Bulgarian Presidency of the Council of the ECB Calendar of Benoît Cœuré, January 2018 1 European Union, Deputy Minister of Finance, Ms Marinela Petrova, and Deputy Governor of Българска народна банка (Bulgarian National Bank), Mr Kalin Hristov, on the Presidency’s work programme Meeting with BNP Paribas, on global economic prospects ECB Meeting with Bruegel, on economic situation in the euro area ECB Thursday, 18 January Meeting with French Embassy in Berlin, Mr Etienne Oudot de ECB Dainville, on euro area issues Meeting with Independent Evaluation Office (IEO) of the ECB International Monetary Fund (IMF), Mr Prakash Loungani and Mr Laurence M. -
My Greece. the Journey Inside Syriza
Robert Misik My Greece. The Journey Inside Syriza. Days of Decision. While the Greek drama moved towards a decision, I travelled into the interior of the new Greece. Meetings with Alexis Tsipras, his closest aids, local activists, young businessmen, working-class militants and people, who just manage to survive. Translation: Barbara Stanzl (Spiralcat-Translations). “To our government,” Nikos shouts, slightly sarcastically. While we are lifting our beers, Katerina adds with an additional pinch of irony and a touch of bitterness, “It’s high time that we actually start to govern.” We’re sitting at the Café Stretto in Thessaloniki and the Greece Emergency crisis summit with EU Zone leaders from last Monday evening had just finished. The latest news is coming in. There are indications that Alexis Tsipras has in fact moved his position in the direction the creditors want and that an agreement isn’t far away. Details are still lacking at this point. The next morning laughter has been replaced by shock. Katerina Notopoulous’s mobile rings every minute. The 27 year old is a member of the central committee of the governing Syriza party. We actually wanted to take the day off and drive to the coast. „Thank you Merkel and Alexis. You’ve screwed up my day,“ she says, between two telephone calls, with a strained grin and a sour face. The calls are from two outraged party members who can’t believe that the Tsipras government could agree to a new and fatal austerity program of over eight billion euros. I’m tearing along the bumpy streets to Chalkidiki in our little Fiat. -
Long Waves in Politics and Institutions: the Case of Greece Jason Koutoufaris-Malandrinos
Long Waves in Politics and Institutions: The case of Greece Jason Koutoufaris-Malandrinos To cite this version: Jason Koutoufaris-Malandrinos. Long Waves in Politics and Institutions: The case of Greece. 2015, http://bestimmung.blogspot.gr/2015/10/long-waves-in-politics-and-institutions.html. hal-01352167 HAL Id: hal-01352167 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01352167 Submitted on 5 Aug 2016 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution - NonCommercial - NoDerivatives| 4.0 International License LONG WAVES IN POLITICS AND INSTITUTIONS : THE CASE OF GREECE * by Jason Koutoufaris-Malandrinos Le grand homme dʼaction est celui qui pèse exactement lʼétroitesse de ses possibilités, qui choisit de sʼy tenir et de profiter même du poids de lʼinévitable pour lʼajouter à sa propre poussée. Fernand Braudel 1. I ntroduction It is known that Kondratieff waves reflect long-run movements in price indices and interest rates, and, by extension, fluctuations in general economic activity. Can we discern similar patterns in politics and institutional change? I will attempt a comparative sketch of the political institutions and ideologies in Greece during the periods 1821/1831 to 1910 and 1940/1949 to 2015. -
Thomas Wieser Director General Austrian Federal Ministry of Finance
Thomas Wieser Director General Austrian Federal Ministry of Finance VOWI_Tagung_2011.indb 134 03.10.11 08:28 Macroeconomic Imbalances within the EU: Short and Long Term Solutions What is an Imbalance? tion of countries, and may have impor- What is a macroeconomic imbalance? tant spillover effects. It has an array of And do macroeconomic imbalances lending instruments at its disposal that matter? Two easy questions. Put them can be utilized if imbalances lead to to an economist and she or he will most capital flows that are inadequate for likely give you an authoritative descrip- satisfying the external financing needs tion or definition of such an imbalance; of a country. The G 20 process has re- and will then proceed to authoritatively discovered this issue in the light of tell you that they either matter enor- global imbalances in current account mously, or not at all. A pattern will positions, and has agreed on a surveil- emerge: first, the definitions or de- lance exercise. scriptions will not be consistent with each other; second: if they matter, then usually abroad. I will start off with a simple defini- tion: a macroeconomic imbalance is the (negative or positive) position of a do- mestic, external or financial variable in relation to a certain norm. This posi- tion may – if uncorrected over time – make the national savings/investment balance so untenable that it self-cor- rects abruptly, thereby causing signifi- cant adjustment shocks domestically; in the case of large economies also abroad. Imbalances are caused by economic policies, or by their absence. They are Addressing Potential Imbalances in the Euro Area therefore a lagged indicator of other variables that developed at a pace or in a Within the European Union risks of direction that is not commensurate macroeconomic imbalances were rec- with the overall balanced development ognized in the Treaty. -
Eurogroup: Hans Vijlbrief Appointed President of the Eurogroup Working Group
PRESS Council of the EU EN PRESS RELEASE 25/18 22/01/2018 Eurogroup: Hans Vijlbrief appointed President of the Eurogroup working group The Eurogroup today appointed Hans Vijlbrief as the new President of the Eurogroup working group (EWG). He will take office as of 1 February 2018 and will serve a two-year term. He will succeed Thomas Wieser who was the first full-time EFC/EWG president and held the position since 2012. The President of the Eurogroup Working Group is elected by its members and then appointed by the Eurogroup. He was elected to this position by the EWG on 15 December 2017. The office of the President of the EWG is located at the General Secretariat of the Council of the EU, in Brussels. The EWG prepares the meetings of the Eurogroup and coordinates on euro-area specific matters. It is composed of representatives of the euro-area member states of the Economic and Financial Committee, the European Commission and the European Central Bank. Hans Vijlbrief will also serve as the President of the Economic and Financial Committee, which prepares the ECOFIN Council and promotes policy coordination among EU member states. He was elected to this position by the EFC on 15 December 2017. Until now, Hans Vijlbrief has held numerous positions at the ministry of economic affairs and at the ministry of finance of the Netherlands. Since October 2012, he has been serving as treasurer general at the ministry of finance of the Netherlands and a principal adviser to the minister of finance of the Netherlands on Eurogroup matters. -
S Account of the Greek Crisis: a Self-Incrimination Pt 1
Yanis VaroufakisâEuros"s Account of the Greek Crisis: a Self-Incrimination Pt 1 https://internationalviewpoint.org/spip.php?article5474 Yanis VaroufakisâEuros"s Account of the Greek Crisis: a Self-Incrimination Pt 1 - Features - Economic and debt crisis - Publication date: Wednesday 25 April 2018 Copyright © International Viewpoint - online socialist magazine - All rights reserved Copyright © International Viewpoint - online socialist magazine Page 1/39 Yanis VaroufakisâEuros"s Account of the Greek Crisis: a Self-Incrimination Pt 1 Proposals Doomed to Fail In his latest book, Adults in the Room [1] Yanis Varoufakis gives us his version of the events that led to the Tsipras governmentâEuros"s shameful capitulation in July 2015. It essentially analyses the period 2009-2015, though it makes incursions into earlier periods. With this voluminous work (550 pages), Yanis Varoufakis shows that he is a gifted narrator. At times he succeeds in moving the reader. His direct and vivid style makes it easy to follow events. From the authorâEuros"s demonstration, we can clearly see that his behaviour and the politico-economic orientation he defended contributed to the disaster. Yanis Varoufakis clearly claims to have played a major role in working out the strategy adopted by a handful of Syriza leaders âEuros" Alexis Tsipras, Yanis Dragasakis, and Nikkos Pappas, essentially âEuros" before their victory in the January 2015 election. Varoufakis does not plead guilty. He is convinced that had Tsipras actually taken the orientation he proposed and which Tsipras had agreed to late in 2014, the result would not have been defeat for the Greek people. Contrary to the conviction Varoufakis expresses, an attentive reading of his book leads to the conclusion that he contributed to that defeat Varoufakis explains how he gradually convinced Tsipras, Pappas, and Dragasakis not to follow the orientation adopted by Syriza in 2012, then in 2014. -
SYRIZA, Bloco and Podemos
Transnational networking and cooperation among neo-reformist left parties in Southern Europe during the Eurozone crisis: SYRIZA, Bloco and Podemos Vladimir Bortun The thesis is submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the award of the degree of Doctor of Philosophy of the University of Portsmouth. March 2019 Abstract European parties to the left of social democracy have always lagged behind the main political families in terms of transnational cooperation at the level of the EU. However, the markedly transnational character of the Eurozone crisis and of the management of that crisis has arguably provided a uniquely propitious context for these parties to reduce that gap. This research project aims to establish whether they achieved that by focusing on three parties that were particularly prone to seeking an increase in their transnational cooperation: SYRIZA from Greece, Bloco de Esquerda from Portugal and Podemos from Spain. For these parties not only come from the member states most affected by the crisis, both economically and politically, but they also share several programmatic and strategic features favouring such an increase. By using a mix of document analysis, semi-structured interviews and non-participatory observation, the thesis discusses both the informal and formal transnational networking and cooperation among the three parties. This discussion reveals four key findings, with potentially useful insights for wider transnational party cooperation that are to be pursued in future research. Firstly, the transnational networking and cooperation among SYRIZA, Bloco and Podemos did increase at some point during the crisis, particularly around SYRIZA’s electoral victory in January 2015. Secondly, since the U-turn of that government in July 2015, SYRIZA’s relationship with both Bloco and Podemos has declined significantly, as reflected in their diverging views of the EU.