The Market Monetarist – the Book. Part 1

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

The Market Monetarist – the Book. Part 1 From Blog to Book. 'marketmonetarist.com' 2 Contents 1 2011 11 1.1 October . 11 Welcome to The Market Monetarist (2011-10-01 11:08) .................... 11 Four reasons why central bankers ignore Scott Sumner’s good advice (2011-10-02 09:30) . 12 The youtube version of Market Monetarism (2011-10-02 22:08) . 15 Risk off and monetary conditions (2011-10-03 07:44) ...................... 15 France caused the Great Depression – who caused the Great Recession? (2011-10-03 21:28) 17 Sumner explains the difference between "old-style" monetarism and Market Monetarism: (2011-10-03 22:56) .................................... 18 If you want to know about the Great Recession read Robert Hetzel (2011-10-04 07:27) . 18 Bill "the new Gipper" Woolsey's interesting idea (2011-10-04 21:11) . 19 Protectionism is still evil (2011-10-04 21:42) ........................... 20 Friedman vs Mundell revisited (2011-10-05 07:00) ........................ 21 Bob Murphy is anti-market (monetarism) (2011-10-07 13:33) . 21 Sex, flowers and Friedman (2011-10-07 14:08) .......................... 23 Recommend reading for aspiring Market Monetarists (2011-10-07 15:24) . 24 Friedman on the Great Depression - the Youtube version (2011-10-07 22:02) . 26 Keleher’s Market Monetarism (2011-10-08 00:19) ........................ 26 Why I Am Not an Austrian Economist (2011-10-08 08:15) ................... 29 The big IS/LM debate - DeLong comes under heavy shelling (2011-10-08 19:41) . 30 And the Nobel Prize in economics goes to... (2011-10-08 23:09) . 31 A Market Monetarist version of the McCallum rule (2011-10-09 11:02) . 32 Brad, the market will tell you when monetary policy is easy (2011-10-09 21:06) . 36 Some (Un)pleasant Nobelmetrics& (2011-10-10 18:04) ..................... 38 Market Monetarist Methodology – Markets rather than econometric testing (2011-10-10 21:15) 40 Believe it or not, but Greenspan makes a lot of sense (2011-10-10 22:49) . 42 Gideon Gono, a time machine and the liquidity trap (2011-10-11 00:33) . 42 3 Monetary policy and banking crisis - lessons from the Great Depression (2011-10-12 00:49) 45 Beckworth's journey - we travel together (2011-10-12 10:47) . 46 Guest blog: An Austrian Perspective on Market Monetarism (2011-10-13 22:31) . 51 Rush, Rush, Market Monetarists, Steven Horwitz is your friend (2011-10-14 00:29) . 55 Reagan supply siders = market monetarists? (2011-10-14 16:51) . 58 Market Monetarism - now on Wikipedia (2011-10-14 20:07) . 59 Horwitz, McCallum and Markets (and nothing about Rush) (2011-10-15 00:38) . 59 Never underestimate the importance of luck (2011-10-15 21:05) . 61 Gustav Cassel on recessions (2011-10-15 22:52) ......................... 62 ”Recessions are always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon” (2011-10-16 17:04) . 63 Japan’s deflation story is not really a horror story (2011-10-16 18:00) . 65 Chuck Norris on monetary policy #1 (2011-10-16 20:32) .................... 67 Sexy new model could shed light on the Great Recession (2011-10-17 10:04) . 67 &political news kept slipping into the financial section” (2011-10-17 16:42) . 69 Gold, France and book recommendations (2011-10-17 21:28) . 69 Nick, Chuck and the central banks (2011-10-18 07:19) ..................... 70 Fear, hope, doubt and resignation (2011-10-18 10:06) ...................... 70 NGDP targeting is not about ”stimulus” (2011-10-18 19:24) . 71 The open-minded Krugman (2011-10-18 19:49) ......................... 73 Chuck Norris on monetary policy #2 (2011-10-18 23:42) .................... 74 The Hottest Idea In Monetary Policy (2011-10-19 08:00) .................... 75 Killing the messenger won't solve the debt crisis (2011-10-19 08:34) . 75 More on the McCallum-Christensen rule (and something on Selgin and the IMF) (2011-10-19 17:47) .................................... 76 Open-minded Brits – and Austrians (2011-10-19 18:40) .................... 77 Krugman's tribute to Market Monetarism (2011-10-19 22:45) . 78 Beckworth's NGDP Targeting links (2011-10-20 07:54) ..................... 79 Calvinist economics - the sin of our times (2011-10-20 10:44) . 79 Please help Mr. Simor (2011-10-20 11:27) ............................ 82 Woolsey on DeLong on NGDP Targeting (2011-10-20 19:17) . 83 "Our Monetary ills Laid to Puritanism" (2011-10-21 17:31) . 84 Clark Johnson has written what will become a Market Monetarist Classic (2011-10-22 10:44) 86 "Nominal Income Targeting" on Wikipedia (2011-10-22 11:32) . 89 Do you remember Friedman's "plucking model"? (2011-10-22 12:59) . 89 Chuck Norris on monetary policy #3 (2011-10-22 18:40) .................... 90 4 Scott Sumner and the Case against Currency Monopoly...or how to privatize the Fed (2011-10-23 10:31) .................................... 91 When central banking becomes central planning (2011-10-23 13:58) . 93 "Graph man" Nunes is having a look at the Plucking Model (2011-10-23 14:47) . 97 Bennett McCallum - grandfather of Market Monetarism (2011-10-24 17:12) . 97 80 years on - here we go again... (2011-10-24 22:13) ...................... 98 Brüning (1931) and Papandreou (2011) (2011-10-24 22:33) ................... 99 Central banks cannot ”do nothing” (2011-10-25 10:10) ..................... 99 Guest blog: Central banking - between planning and rules (2011-10-25 20:49) . 103 Calomiris on "Contagious Events" (2011-10-25 22:14) . 107 Google Trends: From Greek crisis to euro crisis (2011-10-26 13:48) . 108 Hawtrey, Cassel and Glasner (2011-10-26 23:30) . 109 The Hoover (Merkel/Sarkozy) Moratorium (2011-10-27 20:08) . 110 Thank you Kelly Evans (2011-10-27 20:30) . 111 First Wikipedia, now Facebook (2011-10-27 21:26) . 111 Milton Friedman on exchange rate policy #1 (2011-10-28 18:01) . 112 The Tintin of NGDP targeting (2011-10-28 19:02) . 114 Milton Friedman on Exchange rate policy #2 (2011-10-29 07:00) . 114 "Chinese Silver Standard Economy and the 1929 Great Depression" (2011-10-29 10:54) . 117 The "China Bluff" (2011-10-29 17:25) ............................... 118 Christina Romer comes out in support of NGDP targeting (2011-10-29 20:58) . 118 Bennett McCallum on EconPapers - start downloading NOW! (2011-10-29 23:44) . 120 Milton Friedman on exchange rate policy #3 (2011-10-30 07:00) . 120 Daylight saving time and NGDP targeting (2011-10-30 12:12) . 122 "Ben Volcker" and the monetary transmission mechanism (2011-10-30 14:47) . 124 Hayekian capital theory - the math geek version (2011-10-30 21:10) . 130 Milton Friedman on exchange rates #4 (2011-10-31 07:00) . 131 The inverse relationship between central banks' credibility and the credibility of monetarism (2011-10-31 21:44) .................................... 134 "Bernanke invites Scott Sumner for lunch" (2011-10-31 23:02) . 137 1.2 November . 138 Milton Friedman on exchange rate policy #5 (2011-11-01 07:00) . 138 Twitting Market Monetarist (2011-11-01 08:16) . 139 Needed: Rooseveltian Resolve (2011-11-01 09:19) ........................ 139 80 years ago - history keeps repeating itself (2011-11-02 06:16) . 140 Milton Friedman on exchange rate policy #6 (2011-11-02 07:00) . 140 5 Germany 1931, Argentina 2001 - Greece 2011? (2011-11-02 10:22) . 141 M-pesa - Free Banking in Africa? (2011-11-02 11:00) . 142 BREAKING NEWS!! Fed is now openly discussing NGDP targeting (2011-11-02 20:32) . 144 George Selgin on Bernanke and NGDP targeting (2011-11-03 08:49) . 145 The Chuck Norris effect, Swiss lessons and a (not so) crazy idea (2011-11-03 11:40) . 147 William Niskanen 1933-2011 (2011-11-03 17:13) . 149 Beckworth and Ponnuru: Tight budgets, Loose money (2011-11-03 17:43) . 150 Tim Lee - Market Monetarist (2011-11-04 00:04) . 150 Does China target NGDP? (2011-11-04 22:04) . 151 The Market Monetarist voice at Cato Institute (2011-11-05 18:35) . 153 Argentine lessons for Greece (2011-11-05 21:07) . 153 Friedman’s thermostat and why he obviously would support a NGDP target (2011-11-05 22:21) 155 Friedman provided a theory for NGDP targeting (2011-11-06 10:18) . 156 Taxes and the liquidity trap (2011-11-07 21:15) . 158 Sumner, Glasner, Machlup and the definition of inflation (2011-11-08 00:27) . 159 Selgin is right - Friedman wanted to abolish the Fed (2011-11-08 01:05) . 160 A history of bunganomics (2011-11-08 17:37) . 161 Scott’s prediction market (2011-11-08 18:45) . 162 Kelly Evans interviews Scott Sumner (2011-11-08 21:59) . 163 Gustav Cassel foresaw the Great Depression (2011-11-09 00:33) . 164 Roubini of Central and Eastern Europe? Me? (2011-11-09 23:43) . 166 If just David Glasner was ECB chief... (2011-11-10 09:09) . 166 Repeating a (not so) crazy idea - or if Chuck Norris was ECB chief (2011-11-10 15:49) . 167 Use googlenomics to track NGDP (2011-11-11 22:50) . 169 NGDP targeting is not a Keynesian business cycle policy (2011-11-12 09:21) . 170 Be right for the right reasons (2011-11-12 20:20) . 173 Roth’s Monetary and Fiscal Framework for Economic Stability (2011-11-13 22:36) . 175 Irving Fisher and the New Normal (2011-11-13 23:30) . 178 Reuter's Hayek vs Keynes debate (2011-11-14 01:28) . 180 Bank of Canada is effectively targeting the price level (2011-11-14 20:55) . 180 The Fisher-Friedman-Sumner-Svensson axis (2011-11-14 21:45) . 181 The Fed can save the euro (2011-11-15 06:36) .
Recommended publications
  • Market Monetarism Roadmap to Economic Prosperity Marcus Nunes
    Market Monetarism Roadmap to Economic Prosperity Marcus Nunes Benjamin Cole With a foreword by Scott Sumner Text Copyright © 2013 Marcus Nunes and Benjamin Cole All Rights Reserved Table of Contents Foreword Chapter 0: Introduction and Summary Chapter 1: It´s All in the Framing Chapter 2: Camelot and the origins of the Great Inflation Chapter 3: The Great Inflation Chapter 4: The Volcker Transition Chapter 5: The Great Moderation Chapter 6: The ‘Great Recession’ (or the ‘Bernanke Little Depression’) – Why Did It Happen? Chapter 7: The International Experience Concluding Thoughts - Thinking the Unthinkable: Quantitative Easing as Conventional Policy Tool Foreword During the 1930s most people thought the Great Depression represented a relapse after the exuberant boom of the 1920s, worsened by a severe international financial crisis. Then in the 1960s Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz showed that the real problem was an excessively contractionary monetary policy. Yes, the Fed cut interest rates close to zero, and did what is now called “quantitative easing,” but it was too little too late. At Friedman’s 90th birthday party Ben Bernanke gave a speech that included this memorable promise: “Let me end my talk by abusing slightly my status as an official representative of the Federal Reserve. I would like to say to Milton and Anna: Regarding the Great Depression. You're right, we did it. We're very sorry. But thanks to you, we won't do it again.” In this path-breaking study of the Great Recession, Marcus Nunes and Benjamin Cole show that Ben Bernanke and the Fed made many of the same mistakes that were made during the 1930s.
    [Show full text]
  • The Case of Canadian Inflation Targeting
    A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Laidler, David Working Paper The interactive evolution of economic ideas and experience: The case of Canadian inflation targeting EPRI Working Paper, No. 2015-1 Provided in Cooperation with: Economic Policy Research Institute (EPRI), Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario Suggested Citation: Laidler, David (2015) : The interactive evolution of economic ideas and experience: The case of Canadian inflation targeting, EPRI Working Paper, No. 2015-1, The University of Western Ontario, Economic Policy Research Institute (EPRI), London (Ontario) This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/123489 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have
    [Show full text]
  • A Comparative Institutional Analysis of Free Banking and Central Bank NGDP Targeting
    CORE Metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk Provided by Southern Methodist University The Journal of Private Enterprise 29(1), 2013, 25–39 A Comparative Institutional Analysis of Free Banking and Central Bank NGDP Targeting Ryan H. Murphy* Suffolk University Abstract This paper argues that the choice between free banking and central bank NGDP targeting is a difficult to answer empirical question, contrary to the position of those on either side of the debate. Public choice concerns, the lack of the signals of profit and loss, and optimal determination of currency areas are points against any form of central banking. However, free banking may be suboptimal relative to central bank NGDP targeting for three reasons explored here. Until more data become available, it is impossible to gauge the relative importance of one set of these tradeoffs against the other. JEL Codes: E24, E42, D70 Keywords: Free banking; NGDP targeting; Public choice; Comparative institutional analysis I. Introduction As the Great Recession continued, some of the most ardent supporters of the free market began entertaining the possibility that “demand-side” problems were causing persistent unemployment. Although the right-wing press has criticized the untraditional behavior of central banks, monetary policy actually appeared tight by the standard set forth by one of the most eminent and stringent inflation hawks of the 20th century, F.A. Hayek. This standard requires constant total overall spending in the economy (Hayek, 1931; White, 1999). This implies that M*V should be kept at a constant level for money to remain “neutral.” Following the equation of exchange, this is in effect the same as a Nominal Gross Domestic Product (NGDP) target of 0%.
    [Show full text]
  • Blast from the Past: Hayek, Gold, and Money
    Blast from the Past: Hayek, Gold, and Money Nikhil Sridhar Richard Salsman, Faculty Advisor 1 Acknowledgements I would like to thank Professor Richard Salsman for his invaluable guidance in the writing of this paper and his incredible mentorship throughout my undergraduate career. I would also like to express my gratitude George Selgin of the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives for recommending many of the sources used in this paper. Finally, there is little chance that this paper would have been completed without the endless debates on monetary economics with my dear friends Gaurav Sharma, Alexander Frumkin, and Aditya Paruchuri. 2 Abstract The resurgence of Austrian economics and the development of market monetarism as a school of thought since the Global Financial Crisis has brought NGDP targeting into the mainstream political economic discourse. This paper will discuss a close cousin of nominal income targeting, Hayek’s rule for monetary policy, and explore its relationship with the classical gold standard, as many advocates of a stable nominal income pathway have also expressed support for some form of a gold standard in the past. This paper offers a theoretical and historical exposition of Hayek’s rule and the classical gold standard before offering a comparative institutional analysis of these two monetary regimes with special consideration given to political economic considerations. 3 Table of Contents Introduction ....................................................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Monetary Policy: a Lecture Series Edited by Norbert J
    SPECIAL REPORT No. 207 | FEBRUARY 13, 2019 Monetary Policy: A Lecture Series Edited by Norbert J. Michel, PhD Foreword Norbert J. Michel, PhD Monetary Policy: A Lecture Series Edited by Norbert J. Michel, PhD Foreword Norbert J. Michel, PhD SR-207 This paper, in its entirety, can be found at: http://report.heritage.org/sr207 The Heritage Foundation 214 Massachusetts Avenue, NE Washington, DC 20002 (202) 546-4400 | heritage.org Nothing written here is to be construed as necessarily reflecting the views of The Heritage Foundation or as an attempt to aid or hinder the passage of any bill before Congress. SPECIAL REPORT | NO. 207 FEBRUARY 13, 2019 Table of Contents Contributors ...........................................................................................................................................................................................v Foreword .................................................................................................................................................................................................. 1 The Federal Reserve at 100: A Panel Discussion ............................................................................................................. 5 A Brief Tour of the Fed’s Historical Performance ......................................................................................................... 5 Lawrence White The Federal Reserve’s Mythical Reputation .....................................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Sound Money an Austrian Proposal for Free Banking, NGDP Targets, and OMO Reforms
    sound money An Austrian proposal for free banking, NGDP targets, and OMO reforms Anthony J. Evans The Adam Smith Institute has an open access policy. Copyright remains with the copyright holder, but users may download, save and distribute this work in any format provided: (1) that the Adam Smith Institute is cited; (2) that the web address adamsmith.org is published together with a prominent copy of this notice; (3) the text is used in full without amendment [extracts may be used for criticism or review]; (4) the work is not re–sold; (5) the link for any online use is sent to info@ adamsmith.org. The views expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect any views held by the publisher or copyright owner. They are published as a contribution to public debate. © Adam Smith Research Trust 2015 Published in the UK by ASI (Research) Ltd. Some rights reserved Printed in England CONTENTS Executive summary xii Foreword ix Introduction xv 1 Open Market Operations 1 1.1 The Sterling Monetary Framework 2 1.2 Merging liquidity provision and monetary policy 6 1.3 Five reforms for OMO 9 2 NGDP Targets 19 2.1 Austrian foundations 23 2.2 The pros and cons 26 2.3 Market monetarism 29 2.4 Limits of NGDP targets 32 3 Free Banking 53 3.1 What is a “free” bank? 57 3.2 Is there a limit on credit creation under free banks? 59 3.3 Are private banks prone to bank runs? 61 3.4 Are central banks necessary? 65 3.5 Are central banks the natural consequence of the market? 67 3.6 Would a Free Banking system improve macroeconomic stabilisation? 69 4 Conclusion 75 Appendix 81 References 85 Executive summary • This paper applies a free market approach to monetary theory to critically assess recent UK monetary policy.
    [Show full text]
  • Monetarism Rides Again? US Monetary Policy in a World of Quantitative Easing
    A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Le, Vo Phuong Mai; Meenagh, David; Minford, Patrick Working Paper Monetarism rides again? US monetary policy in a world of Quantitative Easing Cardiff Economics Working Papers, No. E2014/22 Provided in Cooperation with: Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University Suggested Citation: Le, Vo Phuong Mai; Meenagh, David; Minford, Patrick (2014) : Monetarism rides again? US monetary policy in a world of Quantitative Easing, Cardiff Economics Working Papers, No. E2014/22, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Cardiff This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/109070 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten
    [Show full text]
  • JPE Fall 13 V2
    The Journal of Private Enterprise 29(1), 2013, 25–39 A Comparative Institutional Analysis of Free Banking and Central Bank NGDP Targeting Ryan H. Murphy* Suffolk University Abstract This paper argues that the choice between free banking and central bank NGDP targeting is a difficult to answer empirical question, contrary to the position of those on either side of the debate. Public choice concerns, the lack of the signals of profit and loss, and optimal determination of currency areas are points against any form of central banking. However, free banking may be suboptimal relative to central bank NGDP targeting for three reasons explored here. Until more data become available, it is impossible to gauge the relative importance of one set of these tradeoffs against the other. JEL Codes: E24, E42, D70 Keywords: Free banking; NGDP targeting; Public choice; Comparative institutional analysis I. Introduction As the Great Recession continued, some of the most ardent supporters of the free market began entertaining the possibility that “demand-side” problems were causing persistent unemployment. Although the right-wing press has criticized the untraditional behavior of central banks, monetary policy actually appeared tight by the standard set forth by one of the most eminent and stringent inflation hawks of the 20th century, F.A. Hayek. This standard requires constant total overall spending in the economy (Hayek, 1931; White, 1999). This implies that M*V should be kept at a constant level for money to remain “neutral.” Following the equation of exchange, this is in effect the same as a Nominal Gross Domestic Product (NGDP) target of 0%.
    [Show full text]
  • Crash Course in Economic Theory
    Austrian Economics Overview – A “heterodox” school of economics grounded primarily in the work of Mises, Hayek, Menger and Rothbard that advocates the purposeful economic decisions of the individual. Mission Statement – The free market can solve most of our problems and the more we reduce government or eliminate government the better off we will all be. General view of the economy – The less the government is involved in the economy the better it will perform. How to fix the economy – We can fix the economy by reducing government and central bank involvement in free market forces. What they love – Austrian Business Cycle Theory, free markets, individual freedoms and unfettered capitalism. What they hate – Paul Krugman, the Federal Reserve, “Keynesians” and anyone who advocates for government intervention in markets. Notable Pundits – Peter Schiff, Robert Murphy& Tom Woods. Famous Dead Economist Associated with School - Ludwig von Mises, Friedrich Hayek, Carl Menger & Murray Rothbard. Political Associations – Libertarians, conservatives, extreme conservatives and just about anyone who dislikes the government. Preferred form of communication - Generally aggressive promotion of anti-government views through blog comments and conservative media. Further Reading: 1 – What is Austrian Economics? – Mises.org 2- Understanding “Austrian” Economics – Hazlitt 3 – Austrian Business Cycle Theory, A Brief Explanation – Mahoney 4 - Austrian School of Economics – Boettke Behavioral Economics Overview - One of the newest and fastest growing schools of economics. Widely perceived as one of the most positive recent developments in economics. Mission Statement - The best way to understand the workings of the economy is by understanding the way the human mind reacts and adapts to markets and the economy.
    [Show full text]
  • Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, and the Great Recession Scott Sumner and Kevin Erdmann
    Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, and the Great Recession Scott Sumner and Kevin Erdmann MERCATUS RESEARCH Scott Sumner and Kevin Erdmann. “Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, and the Great Recession.” Mercatus Research, Mercatus Center at George Mason University, Arlington, VA, August 2020. ABSTRACT Most research on the run-up in home prices before the Great Recession has focused on types of excessive demand—loose lending, foreign savings, loose monetary policy, speculation, bank deregulation, federal housing subsidies, etc. The focus on excess demand led to fatalism about the collapse in homebuilding that began in 2006 and the eventual recession and financial crisis that followed. Regardless of the sources of excess demand, a consensus developed that Ameri- can spending had become unsustainably high because of a housing bubble and that demand needed to be reduced. Using a broad array of evidence, we find that constrained supply of new housing in key urban centers was the primary trigger for high home prices before the crisis. The recession and the financial crisis were the result of deliberate contractions of demand—both generally and specifically in residential investment—that were neither useful nor necessary. First, tighten- ing monetary policy reduced aggregate spending and encouraged negative sen- timent about real estate. Then, policy changes tightened lending standards and depressed housing markets for years after the 2008 financial crisis. A monetary policy regime targeting stable nominal income growth would have dramatically improved
    [Show full text]
  • Mend It, Don't End It: Revamping the Fed for the 21St Century
    AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE MEND IT, DON'T END IT: REVAMPING THE FED FOR THE 21ST CENTURY MODERATOR: JAMES PETHOKOUKIS, AEI PANELISTS: RYAN AVENT, THE ECONOMIST DAVID BECKWORTH, WESTERN KENTUCKY UNIVERSITY SCOTT SUMNER, BENTLEY UNIVERSITY 10:30 AM – 12:00 PM FRIDAY, MARCH 22, 2013 EVENT PAGE: http://www.aei.org/events/2013/03/22/mend-it-dont-end-it- revamping-the-fed-for-the-21st-century/ TRANSCRIPT PROVIDED BY: DC Transcription – www.dctmr.com JAMES PETHOKOUKIS: Welcome to our AEI panel today “Mend It, Don’t End It: Revamping the Fed for the 21st Century.” This is AEI’s third panel this week on the Fed and if anyone made all three panels, there’s no prize for you other than way to go. In its 100-year history, the Federal Reserved has become more defined by its failures than its successes. The Fed played essential role in the Great Depression of the 1930s, the Great Inflation of the 1970s, and arguably the Great Recession of the 2000s. And now, some Fed watchers worry that the U.S. Central Bank is making another historic error, this time by keeping interest rates at very low levels and by maintaining its massive bond buying program, known as quantitative easing, despite a recovering economy. This opinion is particularly relevant among center-right policymakers. Almost universally, they see the Bernanke Fed as undertaking a reckless monetary experiment that will only end in tears. As Texas Governor Rick Perry quotably said, back in 2012, when he was beginning his presidential run, if this guy Bernanke prints more money between now and the election, I don’t know what you all will do with him in Iowa, but we treat him pretty ugly down in Texas.
    [Show full text]
  • A Critique of Monetarism
    A CRITIQUE OF MONETARISM Jackson Place DECEMBER 14, 2017 ECONOMICS COLLOQUIUM Dr. Jeffery Herbener 1 Introduction Monetary policy is nearly impossible to escape, as it is one of the most widely discussed areas of economics. Every major newspaper publishes countless stories regarding Federal Reserve actions, and relating them to numerous schools of economic thought. However, in the last 50 years, no school of thought has been as influential as monetarism. Many of the policies of the Federal Reserve, and other central banks across the globe, are based, at least foundationally, on monetarism, or its modern contemporaries. Despite this global appeal, and relatively fast adoption by numerous economics experts, it is a deeply flawed economic theory. Monetarisms goal, like all schools of thought, is to bring about economic stability and prosperity. The issue, however, is that the policy implications of monetarism are, at best, counterproductive, and, at worst, can cause the recessions they are trying to prevent. This paper will discuss the main arguments of monetarism itself, and will attempt to demonstrate, through an Austrian lens, the flaws in its arguments. As well, this paper will discuss what monetary actions should be taken to truly meet the goals of economic stability and prosperity. A history of Monetarism The first action, however, must be to review the prominent thinkers of the school, and its historical development. Irving Fisher, a notable economist who lived from 1867- 1947, is one of the foundational thinkers for the monetarist school of thought. He was not a monetarist, in fact that term was not even coined during the course of Fisher’s life, but he is vitally important for providing the basis upon which the school was built.
    [Show full text]