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Dixit-Pindyck and Arrow-Fisher-Hanemann-Henry Option Concepts in a Finance Framework
Dixit-Pindyck and Arrow-Fisher-Hanemann-Henry Option Concepts in a Finance Framework January 12, 2015 Abstract We look at the debate on the equivalence of the Dixit-Pindyck (DP) and Arrow-Fisher- Hanemann-Henry (AFHH) option values. Casting the problem into a financial framework allows to disentangle the discussion without unnecessarily introducing new definitions. Instead, the option values can be easily translated to meaningful terms of financial option pricing. We find that the DP option value can easily be described as time-value of an American plain-vanilla option, while the AFHH option value is an exotic chooser option. Although the option values can be numerically equal, they differ for interesting, i.e. non-trivial investment decisions and benefit-cost analyses. We find that for applied work, compared to the Dixit-Pindyck value, the AFHH concept has only limited use. Keywords: Benefit cost analysis, irreversibility, option, quasi-option value, real option, uncertainty. Abbreviations: i.e.: id est; e.g.: exemplum gratia. 1 Introduction In the recent decades, the real options1 concept gained a large foothold in the strat- egy and investment literature, even more so with Dixit & Pindyck (1994)'s (DP) seminal volume on investment under uncertainty. In environmental economics, the importance of irreversibility has already been known since the contributions of Arrow & Fisher (1974), Henry (1974), and Hanemann (1989) (AFHH) on quasi-options. As Fisher (2000) notes, a unification of the two option concepts would have the benefit of applying the vast results of real option pricing in environmental issues. In his 1The term real option has been coined by Myers (1977). -
Options Strategy Guide for Metals Products As the World’S Largest and Most Diverse Derivatives Marketplace, CME Group Is Where the World Comes to Manage Risk
metals products Options Strategy Guide for Metals Products As the world’s largest and most diverse derivatives marketplace, CME Group is where the world comes to manage risk. CME Group exchanges – CME, CBOT, NYMEX and COMEX – offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes, including futures and options based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, energy, agricultural commodities, metals, weather and real estate. CME Group brings buyers and sellers together through its CME Globex electronic trading platform and its trading facilities in New York and Chicago. CME Group also operates CME Clearing, one of the largest central counterparty clearing services in the world, which provides clearing and settlement services for exchange-traded contracts, as well as for over-the-counter derivatives transactions through CME ClearPort. These products and services ensure that businesses everywhere can substantially mitigate counterparty credit risk in both listed and over-the-counter derivatives markets. Options Strategy Guide for Metals Products The Metals Risk Management Marketplace Because metals markets are highly responsive to overarching global economic The hypothetical trades that follow look at market position, market objective, and geopolitical influences, they present a unique risk management tool profit/loss potential, deltas and other information associated with the 12 for commercial and institutional firms as well as a unique, exciting and strategies. The trading examples use our Gold, Silver -
What Drives Index Options Exposures?* Timothy Johnson1, Mo Liang2, and Yun Liu1
Review of Finance, 2016, 1–33 doi: 10.1093/rof/rfw061 What Drives Index Options Exposures?* Timothy Johnson1, Mo Liang2, and Yun Liu1 1University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and 2School of Finance, Renmin University of China Abstract 5 This paper documents the history of aggregate positions in US index options and in- vestigates the driving factors behind use of this class of derivatives. We construct several measures of the magnitude of the market and characterize their level, trend, and covariates. Measured in terms of volatility exposure, the market is economically small, but it embeds a significant latent exposure to large price changes. Out-of-the- 10 money puts are the dominant component of open positions. Variation in options use is well described by a stochastic trend driven by equity market activity and a sig- nificant negative response to increases in risk. Using a rich collection of uncertainty proxies, we distinguish distinct responses to exogenous macroeconomic risk, risk aversion, differences of opinion, and disaster risk. The results are consistent with 15 the view that the primary function of index options is the transfer of unspanned crash risk. JEL classification: G12, N22 Keywords: Index options, Quantities, Derivatives risk 20 1. Introduction Options on the market portfolio play a key role in capturing investor perception of sys- tematic risk. As such, these instruments are the object of extensive study by both aca- demics and practitioners. An enormous literature is concerned with modeling the prices and returns of these options and analyzing their implications for aggregate risk, prefer- 25 ences, and beliefs. Yet, perhaps surprisingly, almost no literature has investigated basic facts about quantities in this market. -
Analysis of Employee Stock Options and Guaranteed Withdrawal Benefits for Life by Premal Shah B
Analysis of Employee Stock Options and Guaranteed Withdrawal Benefits for Life by Premal Shah B. Tech. & M. Tech., Electrical Engineering (2003), Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Bombay, Mumbai Submitted to the Sloan School of Management in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Operations Research at the MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY September 2008 c Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2008. All rights reserved. Author.............................................................. Sloan School of Management July 03, 2008 Certified by. Dimitris J. Bertsimas Boeing Professor of Operations Research Thesis Supervisor Accepted by . Cynthia Barnhart Professor Co-director, Operations Research Center 2 Analysis of Employee Stock Options and Guaranteed Withdrawal Benefits for Life by Premal Shah B. Tech. & M. Tech., Electrical Engineering (2003), Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Bombay, Mumbai Submitted to the Sloan School of Management on July 03, 2008, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Operations Research Abstract In this thesis we study three problems related to financial modeling. First, we study the problem of pricing Employee Stock Options (ESOs) from the point of view of the issuing company. Since an employee cannot trade or effectively hedge ESOs, she exercises them to maximize a subjective criterion of value. Modeling this exercise behavior is key to pricing ESOs. We argue that ESO exercises should not be modeled on a one by one basis, as is commonly done, but at a portfolio level because exercises related to different ESOs that an employee holds would be coupled. Using utility based models we also show that such coupled exercise behavior leads to lower average ESO costs for the commonly used utility functions such as power and exponential utilities. -
Sequential Compound Options and Investments Valuation
Sequential compound options and investments valuation Luigi Sereno Dottorato di Ricerca in Economia - XIX Ciclo - Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna Marzo 2007 Relatore: Prof. ssa Elettra Agliardi Coordinatore: Prof. Luca Lambertini Settore scienti…co-disciplinare: SECS-P/01 Economia Politica ii Contents I Sequential compound options and investments valua- tion 1 1 An overview 3 1.1 Introduction . 3 1.2 Literature review . 6 1.2.1 R&D as real options . 11 1.2.2 Exotic Options . 12 1.3 An example . 17 1.3.1 Value of expansion opportunities . 18 1.3.2 Value with abandonment option . 23 1.3.3 Value with temporary suspension . 26 1.4 Real option modelling with jump processes . 31 1.4.1 Introduction . 31 1.4.2 Merton’sapproach . 33 1.4.3 Further reading . 36 1.5 Real option and game theory . 41 1.5.1 Introduction . 41 1.5.2 Grenadier’smodel . 42 iii iv CONTENTS 1.5.3 Further reading . 45 1.6 Final remark . 48 II The valuation of new ventures 59 2 61 2.1 Introduction . 61 2.2 Literature Review . 63 2.2.1 Flexibility of Multiple Compound Real Options . 65 2.3 Model and Assumptions . 68 2.3.1 Value of the Option to Continuously Shut - Down . 69 2.4 An extension . 74 2.4.1 The mathematical problem and solution . 75 2.5 Implementation of the approach . 80 2.5.1 Numerical results . 82 2.6 Final remarks . 86 III Valuing R&D investments with a jump-di¤usion process 93 3 95 3.1 Introduction . -
Calibration Risk for Exotic Options
Forschungsgemeinschaft through through Forschungsgemeinschaft SFB 649DiscussionPaper2006-001 * CASE - Center for Applied Statistics and Economics, Statisticsand Center forApplied - * CASE Calibration Riskfor This research was supported by the Deutsche the Deutsche by was supported This research Wolfgang K.Härdle** Humboldt-Universität zuBerlin,Germany SFB 649, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin zu SFB 649,Humboldt-Universität Exotic Options Spandauer Straße 1,D-10178 Berlin Spandauer http://sfb649.wiwi.hu-berlin.de http://sfb649.wiwi.hu-berlin.de Kai Detlefsen* ISSN 1860-5664 the SFB 649 "Economic Risk". "Economic the SFB649 SFB 6 4 9 E C O N O M I C R I S K B E R L I N Calibration Risk for Exotic Options K. Detlefsen and W. K. H¨ardle CASE - Center for Applied Statistics and Economics Humboldt-Universit¨atzu Berlin Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakult¨at Spandauer Strasse 1, 10178 Berlin, Germany Abstract Option pricing models are calibrated to market data of plain vanil- las by minimization of an error functional. From the economic view- point, there are several possibilities to measure the error between the market and the model. These different specifications of the error give rise to different sets of calibrated model parameters and the resulting prices of exotic options vary significantly. These price differences often exceed the usual profit margin of exotic options. We provide evidence for this calibration risk in a time series of DAX implied volatility surfaces from April 2003 to March 2004. We analyze in the Heston and in the Bates model factors influencing these price differences of exotic options and finally recommend an error func- tional. -
Model Risk in the Pricing of Exotic Options
Model Risk in the Pricing of Exotic Options Jacinto Marabel Romo∗ José Luis Crespo Espert† [email protected] [email protected] Abstract The growth experimented in recent years in both the variety and volume of structured products implies that banks and other financial institutions have become increasingly exposed to model risk. In this article we focus on the model risk associated with the local volatility (LV) model and with the Vari- ance Gamma (VG) model. The results show that the LV model performs better than the VG model in terms of its ability to match the market prices of European options. Nevertheless, both models are subject to significant pricing errors when compared with the stochastic volatility framework. Keywords: Model risk, exotic options, local volatility, stochastic volatil- ity, Variance Gamma process, path dependence. JEL: G12, G13. ∗BBVA and University Institute for Economic and Social Analysis, University of Alcalá (UAH). Mailing address: Vía de los Poblados s/n, 28033, Madrid, Spain. The content of this paper represents the author’s personal opinion and does not reflect the views of BBVA. †University of Alcalá (UAH) and University Institute for Economic and Social Analysis. Mail- ing address: Plaza de la Victoria, 2, 28802, Alcalá de Henares, Madrid, Spain. 1 Introduction In recent years there has been a remarkable growth of structured products with embedded exotic options. In this sense, the European Commission1 stated that the use of derivatives has grown exponentially over the last decade, with over-the- counter transactions being the main contributor to this growth. At the end of December 2009, the size of the over-the-counter derivatives market by notional value equaled approximately $615 trillion, a 12% increase with respect to the end of 2008. -
Options Application (PDF)
Questions? Go to Fidelity.com/options. Options Application Use this application to apply to add options trading to your new or existing Fidelity account. If you already have options trading on your account, use this application to add or update account owner or authorized agent information. Please complete in CAPITAL letters using black ink. If you need more room for information or signatures, make a copy of the relevant page. Helpful to Know Requirements – Margin can involve significant cost and risk and is not • Entire form must be completed in order to be considered appropriate for all investors. Account owners must for Options. If you are unsure if a particular section pertains determine whether margin is consistent with their investment to you, please call a Fidelity investment professional at objectives, income, assets, experience, and risk tolerance. 800-343-3548. No investment or use of margin is guaranteed to achieve any • All account owners must complete the account owner sections particular objective. and sign Section 5. – Margin will not be granted if we determine that you reside • Any authorized agent must complete Section 6 and sign outside of the United States. Section 7. – Important documents related to your margin account include • Trust accounts must provide trustee information where the “Margin Agreement” found in the Important Information information on account owners is required. about Margins Trading and Its Risks section of the Fidelity Options Agreement. Eligibility of Trading Strategies Instructions for Corporations and Entities Nonretirement accounts: • Unless options trading is specifically permitted in the corporate • Business accounts: Eligible for any Option Level. -
Simple Robust Hedging with Nearby Contracts Liuren Wu
Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2017, Vol. 15, No. 1, 1–35 doi: 10.1093/jjfinec/nbw007 Advance Access Publication Date: 24 August 2016 Article Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/jfec/article-abstract/15/1/1/2548347 by University of Glasgow user on 11 September 2019 Simple Robust Hedging with Nearby Contracts Liuren Wu Zicklin School of Business, Baruch College, City University of New York Jingyi Zhu University of Utah Address correspondence to Liuren Wu, Zicklin School of Business, Baruch College, One Bernard Baruch Way, B10-225, New York, NY 10010, or e-mail: [email protected]. Received April 12, 2014; revised June 26, 2016; accepted July 25, 2016 Abstract This paper proposes a new hedging strategy based on approximate matching of contract characteristics instead of risk sensitivities. The strategy hedges an option with three options at different maturities and strikes by matching the option function expansion along maturity and strike rather than risk factors. Its hedging effective- ness varies with the maturity and strike distance between the target and the hedge options, but is robust to variations in the underlying risk dynamics. Simulation ana- lysis under different risk environments and historical analysis on S&P 500 index op- tions both show that a wide spectrum of strike-maturity combinations can outper- form dynamic delta hedging. Key words: characteristics matching, hedging, jumps, Monte Carlo, payoff matching, risk sensi- tivity matching, strike-maturity triangle, stochastic volatility, S&P 500 index options, Taylor expansion JEL classification: G11, G13, G51 The concept of dynamic hedging has revolutionized the derivatives industry by drastically reducing the risk of derivative positions through frequent rebalancing of a few hedging in- struments. -
Static Replication of Exotic Options Andrew Chou JUL 241997 Eng
Static Replication of Exotic Options by Andrew Chou M.S., Computer Science MIT, 1994, and B.S., Computer Science, Economics, Mathematics, Physics MIT, 1991 Submitted to the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy at the MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY June 1997 () Massachusetts Institute of Technology 1997. All rights reserved. Author ................. ......................... Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science April 23, 1997 Certified by ................... ............., ...... .................... Michael F. Sipser Professor of Mathematics Thesis Supervisor Accepted by .................................. A utlir C. Smith Chairman, Department Committee on Graduate Students .OF JUL 241997 Eng. •'~*..EC.•HL-, ' Static Replication of Exotic Options by Andrew Chou Submitted to the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science on April 23, 1997, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Abstract In the Black-Scholes model, stocks and bonds can be continuously traded to replicate the payoff of any derivative security. In practice, frequent trading is both costly and impractical. Static replication attempts to address this problem by creating replicating strategies that only trade rarely. In this thesis, we will study the static replication of exotic options by plain vanilla options. In particular, we will examine barrier options, variants of barrier options, and lookback options. Under the Black-Scholes assumptions, we will prove the existence of static replication strategies for all of these options. In addition, we will examine static replication when the drift and/or volatility is time-dependent. Finally, we conclude with a computational study to test the practical plausibility of static replication. -
Options Application and Agreement Member FINRA/SIPC Firstrade Account Number (If Application Is for an Existing Account – Otherwise Leave Blank)
Options Application and Agreement Member FINRA/SIPC Firstrade Account Number (if application is for an existing account – otherwise leave blank) Applicant Information Name (First, Middle, Last for individual / indicate entity name for Entity/Trusts) Co-Applicant’s Name (For Joint Accounts Only) Employment Status Employment Status Self- Not Self- Not Employed Employed Retired Student Homemaker Employed Employed Employed Retired Student Homemaker Employed Options Investment Objectives (Level 2, 3 & 4 require “Speculation” to be checked) Speculation Growth Income Capital Preservation Investment Experience None Limited - 1-2 years Good - 3-5 years Extensive - 5 years or more Risk Tolerance Low Medium High Investment Time Horizon Short- less than 3 years Average - 4-7 years Longest - 8 years or more Type of Trading Requested Level 1 Level 2 Level Three (Margin Required) Level Four (Margin Required) (Minimum equity of $2,000) (Minimum equity of $10,000) • Write Covered Calls • Write Covered Calls • Write Covered Calls • Write Covered Calls • Write Cash-Secured Equity Puts • Write Cash-Secured Equity Puts • Purchase Calls & Puts • Purchase Calls & Puts • Purchase Calls & Puts • Spreads & Straddles • Spreads & Straddles • Buttery and Condor • Write Uncovered Puts • Buttery and Condor Important Information To add options trading privileges to a new and existing account, please provide all information and signature(s) below. Incomplete applications will cause your request to be delayed. Options trading is not granted automatically and the information will be used by Firstrade to assess your eligibility to open an options account. Please upload completed form via the Form Center (Customer Service ->Form Center ->Upload Form) after logging into your Firstrade account, fax to +1-718-961-3919 or e-mail to [email protected] Prior to buying or selling an option, investors must read a copy of the Characteristics & Risk of Standardized Options, also known as the options disclosure document (ODD). -
General Black-Scholes Models Accounting for Increased Market
General Black-Scholes mo dels accounting for increased market volatility from hedging strategies y K. Ronnie Sircar George Papanicolaou June 1996, revised April 1997 Abstract Increases in market volatility of asset prices have b een observed and analyzed in recentyears and their cause has generally b een attributed to the p opularity of p ortfolio insurance strategies for derivative securities. The basis of derivative pricing is the Black-Scholes mo del and its use is so extensive that it is likely to in uence the market itself. In particular it has b een suggested that this is a factor in the rise in volatilities. In this work we present a class of pricing mo dels that account for the feedback e ect from the Black-Scholes dynamic hedging strategies on the price of the asset, and from there backonto the price of the derivative. These mo dels do predict increased implied volatilities with minimal assumptions b eyond those of the Black-Scholes theory. They are characterized by a nonlinear partial di erential equation that reduces to the Black-Scholes equation when the feedback is removed. We b egin with a mo del economy consisting of two distinct groups of traders: Reference traders who are the ma jorityinvesting in the asset exp ecting gain, and program traders who trade the asset following a Black-Scholes typ e dynamic hedging strategy, which is not known a priori, in order to insure against the risk of a derivative security. The interaction of these groups leads to a sto chastic pro cess for the price of the asset which dep ends on the hedging strategy of the program traders.