The Effect of Tidal Inlets on Open Coast Storm Surge Hydrographs: a Case Study of Hurricane Ivan (2004)

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The Effect of Tidal Inlets on Open Coast Storm Surge Hydrographs: a Case Study of Hurricane Ivan (2004) THE EFFECT OF TIDAL INLETS ON OPEN COAST STORM SURGE HYDROGRAPHS: A CASE STUDY OF HURRICANE IVAN (2004) by MICHAEL B. SALISBURY JR. B.S. University of Central Florida, 2003 A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering in the College of Engineering and Computer Science at the University of Central Florida Orlando, Florida Fall Term 2005 ABSTRACT Florida’s Department of Transportation requires design storm surge hydrographs for coastal waters surrounding tidal inlets along the coast of Florida. These hydrographs are used as open ocean boundary conditions for local bridge scour models. At present, very little information is available on the effect that tidal inlets have on these open coast storm surge hydrographs. Furthermore, current modeling practice enforces a single design hydrograph along the open coast boundary for bridge scour models. This thesis expands on these concepts and provides a more fundamental understanding on both of these modeling areas. A numerical parameter study is undertaken to elucidate the influence of tidal inlets on open coast storm surge hydrographs. Four different inlet-bay configurations are developed based on a statistical analysis of existing tidal inlets along the Florida coast. The length and depth of the inlet are held constant in each configuration, but the widths are modified to include the following four inlet profiles: 1) average Florida inlet width; 2) 100 meter inlet width; 3) 500 meter inlet width; and 4) 1000 meter inlet width. In addition, two unique continental shelf profiles are used to design the ocean bathymetry in the model domains: a bathymetry profile consistent with the west/northeast coast of Florida (wide continental shelf width), and a bathymetry profile similar to the southeast coast of Florida (narrow continental shelf width). The four inlet-bay configurations are paired with each of the bathymetry profiles to arrive at eight model domains employed in ii this study. Results from these domains are compared to control cases that do not include any inlet-bay system in the computational domain. The ADCIRC-2DDI numerical code is used to obtain water surface elevations for all studies performed herein. The code is driven by astronomic tides at the open ocean boundary, and wind velocities and atmospheric pressure profiles over the surface of the computational domains. Model results clearly indicate that the four inlet-bay configurations do not have a significant impact on the open coast storm surge hydrographs. Furthermore, a spatial variance amongst the storm surge hydrographs is recognized for open coast boundary locations extending seaward from the mouth of the inlet. The results and conclusions presented herein have implications toward future bridge scour modeling efforts. In addition, a hindcast study of Hurricane Ivan in the vicinity of Escambia Bay along the Panhandle of Florida is performed to assess the findings of the numerical parameter study in a real-life scenario. Initially, emphasis is placed on domain scale by comparing model results with historical data for three computational domains: an ocean-based domain, a shelf-based domain, and an inlet-based domain. Results indicate that the ocean-based domain favorably simulates storm surge levels within the bay compared to the other model domains. Furthermore, the main conclusions from the numerical parameter study are verified in the hindcast study: 1) the Pensacola Pass-Escambia Bay system has a minimal effect on the open coast storm surge hydrographs; and 2) the open coast hydrographs exhibit spatial dependence along typical open coast boundary locations. iii In loving memory of my father: Michael B. Salisbury April 6, 1939 – October 17, 2002 iv ACKNOWLEDGMENTS A project of this magnitude requires assistance from a number of people, to whom I would like to express appreciation and gratitude for helping me complete this research. First, I would like to thank my advisor, Dr. Scott C. Hagen, for providing me with the opportunity to pursue my graduate education at the University of Central Florida. This thesis would not have been possible without his support and guidance, and the result is a testament to his abilities as a researcher and an educator. I would also like to thank Dr. Manoj Chopra and Dr. Gour-Tsyh Yeh for agreeing to serve on my thesis committee and for providing interesting and challenging classes; both current and past lab members: Yuji Funakoshi, Peter Bacopoulos, David Coggin, Satoshi Kojima, Daniel Dietsche, Ryan Murray, and Michael Parrish for making my time in the lab and at UCF an enjoyable experience; Dr. Max Sheppard, Dr. Don Slinn, Dr. Frederique Drullion, and Mr. Robert Weaver at the University of Florida for providing valuable direction during our project meetings; Dr. Alan Zundel and his students in the Environmental Modeling Research Laboratory at Brigham Young University for their assistance with the mesh generation software SMS; Mr. Andrew Cox of Oceanweather, Inc. for providing the Hurricane Ivan wind field used in this study; and Mr. Rick Renna of the Florida Department of Transportation for providing valuable direction during project meetings and on bridge scour modeling issues in general. Last but not least, I am very grateful to have such a wonderful family in my life. To my wife, for supporting me during both good times and bad, and for saying “yes” when the v moment came. And to my mother, who taught me the importance of receiving a good education and for making many sacrifices throughout my life to make sure I had the best opportunities available to me. It has been a long journey to get to this point in my life, but I think they’ll agree that it has been worth it. This study was funded in part by Award UFEIES0404029UCF as a subcontract from the Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT) via the University of Florida (UF); Award N00014-02-1-0150 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), U.S. Department of Commerce; and Award N00014-02-1-0150 from the National Oceanographic Partnership Program (NOPP). The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the FDOT, UF, NOAA, Department of Commerce, or NOPP and its affiliates. vi TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES............................................................................................................. xi LIST OF FIGURES .......................................................................................................... xii LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS........................................................................................ xviii CONVERSION FACTORS.............................................................................................. xx CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................... 1 1.1 Florida’s Tidal Inlets ....................................................................................... 1 1.1.1 Pensacola Pass, Florida ....................................................................... 2 1.2 Hurricane Ivan................................................................................................. 3 1.3 Research Objective.......................................................................................... 6 CHAPTER 2. TIDAL INLETS........................................................................................... 9 2.1 Overview ......................................................................................................... 9 2.2 Hydrodynamic Conditions ............................................................................ 10 2.3 Effect on the Astronomic Tides..................................................................... 14 2.4 Tidal Prism .................................................................................................... 16 2.4.1 Tidal prism versus cross-sectional area............................................. 18 CHAPTER 3. LITERATURE REVIEW .......................................................................... 19 3.1 Storm Surge Modeling .................................................................................. 19 3.1.1 Long-wave modeling......................................................................... 19 3.1.2 Short-wave modeling........................................................................ 22 3.2 Numerical Modeling of Inlets ....................................................................... 23 3.3 Scour Modeling ............................................................................................. 26 vii CHAPTER 4. MODEL DESCRIPTION .......................................................................... 32 4.1 Circulation Model Formulation in Cartesian Coordinates ............................ 32 4.2 Circulation model formulation in Spherical Coordinates.............................. 36 4.3 Hurricane Ivan Wind Field Model ................................................................ 38 4.4 Synthetic Wind Field Model ......................................................................... 41 CHAPTER 5. FINITE ELEMENT MESH DEVELOPMENT ........................................ 43 5.1 Idealized Domains......................................................................................... 44 5.1.1 Florida’s tidal inlets........................................................................... 44 5.1.2 Inlet-bay configuration.....................................................................
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