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Tourism Location Selection by Logistic Model

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Tourism Location Selection by Logistic Model TOURISM LOCATION SELECTION BY LOGISTIC MODEL By KAZI ANOWAR HUSSAIN Student No.: 0411093009P Registration No. : 0411093009, Session: April-2011 MASTER OF PHILOSOPHY IN MATHEMATICS Department of Mathematics BANGLADESH UNIVERSITY OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY, DHAKA-1000 ******************* i The thesis entitled TOURISM LOCATION SELECTION BY LOGISTIC MODEL Submitted by KAZI ANOWAR HUSSAIN Student No.:0411093009P, Session: April-2011, a part time student of M. Phil (Mathematics) has been accepted as satisfactory in partial fulfillment for the degree of Master of Philosophy in Mathematics On June-2015 BOARD OF EXAMINERS 1. Dr. Mohammed Forhad Uddin Associate Professor Chairman Department of Mathematics, BUET, Dhaka. (Supervisor) 2. Member Head Department of Mathematics, BUET, Dhaka. (Ex-Officio) 3. Dr. Md. Mustafa Kamal Chowdhury Professor Member Department of Mathematics, BUET, Dhaka. 4. Dr. Md. Obayed Ullah Professor Member Department of Mathematics, BUET, Dhaka. 5. Dr. Md. Haider Ali Biswas Professor Member Mathematics Discipline (External) Khulna University Khulna-9208. ii DEDICATION This work is dedicated to my beloved Parents & Teachers iii Abstract Tourism is the change in environment. Tourism positively effects on human life. It gives an opportunity to have a break from ones monotonous life. Tourism also has impact on national economy of a country in a large scale. Economy of any country of the world survives on tourism. The attraction of mass population plays a vital role behind the success of a tourist spot. This can be easily grown by promoting the positive impact of tourism in human life. By providing cost effective and highly flexible package people can be easily attracted towards tourism. Cox’s Bazar, Kuakata and Jaflong can be developed as a promising tourist spot. Cox’s Bazar, Kuakata and Jaflong are well known for their natural beauty. So by taking necessary strides these locations can be built as a heaven for tourist. This dissertation has aimed to formulate a binary logistic model that has considered the criteria, such as age, sex, educational qualification, income, accommodation, transportation, security etc. It is assumed that these attributes play an important role to attract the people for location selection. In order to validate the model we conduct a questionnaire survey data collected from the areas in Cox’s Bazar, Kuakata and Jaflong. The location selection is developed by using the logistic model. The formulated binary logistic regression model that has been developed specifically for analyzing relationships between dichotomous dependent variables and independent variables. Then we have solved the binary logistic model, where we shall validate the model by estimating the parameters. The coefficients of variable that is found to be statistically significant are considered. The significant level is determined by P value and value, where P value validated our data and value validated our model. In order to test the significant level of the model Hosmer and Lemeshow test, Omnibus test have been deployed. iv Author’s declaration I hereby declare that this work submitted to the Department of Mathematics, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET) in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Philosophy in Mathematics. It has not been submitted to elsewhere for the award of any degree or diploma in home or abroad. (Kazi Anowar Hussain) Date:………………………. v Acknowledgement I am grateful to the Almighty, most Merciful, and most Gracious, who gave me the strength to survive. I offer my sincerest gratitude to my supervisor, Associate Professor Dr. Mohammed Forhad Uddin, who gave me the opportunity to work in his lab. This thesis would not be like this without his guidance, criticism, support, encouragement, and motivation for the last three and a half years; the most valuable advice being: “think..think..think..”, which I will remember in the rest of my life. Thank you Sir. My special thanks to Dr. Md. Mustafa Kamal Chowdhury, Professor, Department of Mathematics, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET), Dhaka, for providing me all sorts of cooperation and assistance. I would also like to extend my thanks to all my respectable teachers, Department of Mathematics, BUET, Dhaka. In particular, I would like to express my gratitude to Professor and Head Dr. Md. Manirul Alam Sarker, Professor Dr. Md. Abdul Alim, Professor Dr. Md. Obayed Ullah, Professor Dr. Md. Elias, Professor Dr. Md. Abdul Hakim Khan, Professor Dr. Md. Zafar Iqbal Khan for their thorough help and encouragement. I would like to thanks BUET, for providing me to sufficient fund to collect data that helps me to complete my thesis. I would like to thank the members of the thesis committee for their critical reviews in improving my thesis. I would like to thanks my friends and colleague for their support and encouragement for the last three years. In particular, I would like to express my gratitude to Rifat Jahan and Manik Mondal, for sharing their experience with me to help pass the difficult times. Finally, I would like to express my gratitude to my family for their continuous support to overcome all the struggles for my entire life. (KAZI ANOWAR HUSSAIN) Dated: September, 2015 vi Contents Abstract ......................................................................................................................... vi Author’s Declaration ...................................................................................................... v Acknowledgement ........................................................................................................ vi NOMENCLATURE………………………………………………….……………...xiv CHAPTER-1 .................................................................................................................. 1 INTRODUCTION………………….………………………………………………….1 1.1 Introduction ................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Different Types of Tourism Sector .............................................................. 5 1.2.1 Site Tourism ........................................................................................... 5 1.2.2 Business Tourism ................................................................................... 6 1.2.3 Education Tourism ................................................................................ 6 1.2.4 Religious Tourism .................................................................................. 6 1.2.5 Medical Tourism .................................................................................... 7 1.2.6 Other Tourism ........................................................................................ 8 1.3 Effect of Government Sector and Private Sector ....................................... 8 1.3.1 Government Sector ................................................................................ 8 1.3.2 Bangladesh Tourism Board Act. ........................................................ 11 1.3.3 Private Sector Participation ................................................................ 13 1.4 Importance of Tourism ............................................................................... 14 1.4.1 Advantages of Tourism........................................................................ 14 1.4.2 Disadvantages of Tourism ................................................................... 14 1.5 Possible Positive Impact of Tourism.......................................................... 15 1.6 Problems of Tourism in Our Locations .................................................... 16 1.7 Literature Review ........................................................................................ 17 vii CHAPTER-2 ................................................................................................................ 23 DATA COLLECTION……………………………………………………………….23 2.1 Introduction ................................................................................................. 23 2.2 Cox’s Bazar .................................................................................................. 25 2.2.1 Cox’s Bazar Tourist Attractions......................................................... 26 2.3 Limitations ................................................................................................... 28 2.4 Discussion about Survey Data in Cox’s Bazar ......................................... 28 2.4.1 Accommodation Facilities ................................................................... 28 2.4.2 Transportation Facilities ..................................................................... 29 2.4.3 Security ................................................................................................. 29 2.4.4 Income ................................................................................................... 30 2.4.5 Quality Price Ratio .............................................................................. 30 2.5 Kuakata ........................................................................................................ 31 2.5.1 Kuakata Tourist Attractions ............................................................... 32 2.6 Limitations ................................................................................................... 34 2.7 Discussion about Survey Data in Kuakata ................................................ 35 2.7.1 Accommodation Facilities ..................................................................
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