Guidelines for Earthquake Disaster Management, Volume I, Part 1

Part 1 Seismotectonic study and modeling of seismic sources affecting provinces of Gilan and Zanjan

Jane Jancevski, International consultant Assoc. Professor, Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Seismology, University "St. Cyril and Methodius", Skopje, Macedonia

Manoucher Gorashi, National Consultant Geological Survey, Tehran

Tehran - Skopje, September 1998

*XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

7DEOHRIFRQWHQWV

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$ $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH  +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$ $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH  +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

7XUNH\ &,6      ([SODQDWLRQV &DVSLDQ6HD  7DEUL] $UDELDQSODWIRUP  7XUDQSODWH =DJURVDFWLYH IROGHGEHOW  .RSSHK'DJKUDQJH

,UD 2ILROLWHV T 7HKUDQ =RQHRI=DJURV  UHYHUVHIDXOWV  /XW]RQH $IJKDQLVWDQ %ORFNRI&HQWUDO,UDQ 1H\UL]   9ROFDQLFFRPSOH[HV $OERU]0RXQWDLQV 6DQDQGDM6LUMDQ  2URJHQLFEHOW  0DNUDQUDQJHV .XZDLW (DVW,UDQLDQUDQJHV



3H UV LD Q  *  X OI

     

)LJ 5HYLHZPDSRIPDLQVWUXFWXUDOXQLWVRI,UDQ /HJHQG$UDELDQSODWIRUP7XUDQSODWH=DJURVDFWLYHIROGHGEHOW.RSSHK'DJKUDQJH2ILROLWHV  =RQH RI =DJURV UHYHUVH IDXOWV  /XW ]RQH  %ORFN RI &HQWUDO ,UDQ  9ROFDQLF FRPSOH[HV  $OERU] 0RXQWDLQV6DQDQGDM6LUMDQ2URJHQLFEHOW0DNUDQUDQJHV(DVW,UDQLDQUDQJHV

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$ $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH  +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW         /HJHQG &DVSLDQ6HD 4XDWHUQDU\5HFHQW NP 3OLR4XDWHUQDU\   0LRFHQH

2OLJRFHQHLQWUXVLYH (RFHQHVHGLPHQWV DQG3\URODVWLF (RFHQHODYDDQGWXII (RFHQH3\URODVWLF

(RFHQHDFLGURFNV  (RFHQHEDVLFURFNV  &UHWDFHRXV ,QWHUPHGLDWH H[WUXVLYH -XUUDVLFVHGLPHQWV

7ULDVVLF 3HUPLDQ 8SSHU3DOHR]ROLF  *HQHUDO  %DVLFURFNV 3DOHR]RLF &DPEULDQ 3UHFDPEULDQ )DXOWV

)LJ 5HYLHZJHRORJLFDOPDSRIWKHWHUULWRU\RI*LODQDQG=DQMDQSURYLQFHV

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$ $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH  +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$ $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH  +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$ $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH  +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ Guidelines for Earthquake Disaster Management, Volume I, Part 1 49 30

Qal

t3

49 25 Q tv Fatalak 600 200 500 300 400

400 49 30 36 500 36 300 tv 50 50 Explanations: t Ek Esh Geological structure: k Esh Js k 200 400 l Lake 600 Js 800 Sc Scree Galdian Cultivated land Landslide: Galdian (g), Fatalak (f), and Nesfi (n) Qal Recent alluvium, sand bar deposits Js t Top soil

900 Quaternary Qt3 Alluvial fan and cones 600 P 400 200 Qt2 Terrace like old fanglomerate Ez Js Qt1 Old and high level terraces Esh Et k P PIQ Lake type deposits k sh Ek Marl, silstone, sandstone, 500 Neogene Ng conglomerate 400 v 400 600 300 Ek v 700 Ek Andsitic and dacitic volcanic breccia v Ek f tv Tuff, green, bedded (Karaj formation), Ek partly associated with lava (t ) 36 Ng 36 v 45 l Qt3 45 Esh Shale and sandstone, partly Eocene k tuffaceous lake Paleogene Limestone, nummulitic bearing, Ez highly crushed (Ziarat formation) t Shale, siltstone and sandstone, Jurassic Js dark grey (Shemsak formation) t t3 Permian Limestone, grey, medium Q P bedded (Ruteh formation?) t General symbols: 300 400 Fault t Reverse Fault Dip and Strike 400 Asphalted Road t Second Class Road 400 River Drainage Qt1 l lake

Ng 012km

300 300 Qt3 400

36 49 25 36 40 300 40

t3 49 50 Q 300

300 Ng t2 Qal Q 400

Qt2 Qt3 Qt3 Qt2 Loshan

Ng 400 PlQ Qal 500 Ekv 49 30 Fig. 2.3. Review geological map of the Rudbar, Manjil, Loshan region

UNDP - UNCHS (Habitat) Project IRA/90/004 Assistance in the Implementation of Postearthquake Rehabilitation Programme 15 Housing Foundation of Islamic Revolution, I. R. *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ Guidelines for Earthquake Disaster Management, Volume I, Part 1

45 49 25 30 49 300 36 24 49 400 Explanations: Js 700 Geological structure: Rudbar Zargar r ls Landslide Ek Qc Cultivated land Js 36 Js Galdian 49 Ez 36 l Lake

200 300 48 r Sefidrud 600 Qt Flood plain deposits Quaternary 400 Qt2 Gravel fans Viayeh Qt1 Sefidrud terraces

500 s tr E c 200 600 Q Travertine Ez Q

700 Red clays and marls, 800 800 with gypsum bands Ng and veins, sandstone Kalashtar and conglomeratic

Neogene sandstone layers Js Js 500 Ez Kalashtar Fault Karaj formation: ande- 49 26 Ek sitic tuffs with thin la- vas and agglomerates, 36 600 some breccias and 48 36 V 47 conglomerates, (v) mainly lava with sub- 700 ordinate - pyroclastics Qt1 Eocene Dark - coloured, plant Paleogene Es bearing, tuffaceous

800 sandstone and shales 600 s r 300 Ziarat formation: E 400 Ez 49 500 nummulitic limestone 23 Shemsak formation: mostly grey or grey - Js brown mudstone and siltstonewith layers of tr Lower Q Jurassic Js conglomerate 900 Ruteh formation: 400 Pr mainly grey or dark grey limestone Pr Middle Permian 36 47 Sefid Rud 36 General symbols: To Tehran 46 Ez Pr 700 Anticline axis To Major fault Es Ek 600 Reverse fault Es Minor fault Geological boundary 500 300 400 600 Ek Asphalted road Ek Measured dip 49 84 25 Drainage

r V Village

400 400

600 600 300 500 300 36 Escarpment 46 Fault 36 Harzavil Fault 45 Sefidrud dam Ng V Qt2 400 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 km l Qt3 lake 49 49 36 49 22 23 24 45

Fig. 2.4. Geological map of Rudbar area

UNDP - UNCHS (Habitat) Project IRA/90/004 Assistance in the Implementation of Postearthquake Rehabilitation Programme 17 Housing Foundation of Islamic Revolution, I. R. Iran Guidelines for Earthquake Disaster Management, Volume I, Part 1

m Ng 475.0 Explanations: 512.5 500.0 Geological structure:

Qc 512.5 l Lake 487.5 462.5 Qal Recent alluvium

500.0 c Qtp 512.50 Ngsc Q Cultivated land Ngsc 450.0 Qt2 Younger terraces

t2 c Quaternary tp Q Q m Q Residual soils Ng 425.0 Qt1 Older terraces Lake deposits, usually

with Neogene marl in 450.0

450.0 Ng-Q its basement, covered t1 with lake marl and silt Q 400.0 412.5 deposits

t2 437.5

437.5 Q 400.0 Ngc : Conglomerate and sandstone; 387.5 Ngsc : Intercalations Qt2 of sandstone, marl 387.5 Ng and siltstone; Ngm : Marl, 375.0 Tertiary intercalations of fine- grained sandstone and siltstone 375.0 Karaj formation: medium-bedded, Ev1 intermediate lavas,

1 sandy and tuffaceous t Paleogene Neogene Q shales 350.0 Qt2

362.5 m Qc Ng 350.0 General symbols:

Fault Anticline

60 Dip and strike Overturned dip

Terrace edge

350.0 350.0

Buildings

325.00 325.00

350.00 350.00 Asphalt road 312.5

t2 337.5 Unit boundary 300.0 Q

325.0 Isohypse

325.0 Qt2 tp al m Q Q Qc Ng Qtp

312.5 m 275.0 Ng

Qc 312.5 300.0

275.0

287.5 287.5

262.5

250.0 Ng-Q

300.0 300.0 0 0.2 0.4 km Qt1 Ng-Q Qt2

275.0 250.0 tp 237.50 Q 262.5 250.0 300.0

237.5

Fig. 2.5. Geological map of Manjil area

UNDP - UNCHS (Habitat) Project IRA/90/004 18 Assistance in the Implementation of Postearthquake Rehabilitation Programme Housing Foundation of Islamic Revolution, I. R. Iran Guidelines for Earthquake Disaster Management, Volume I, Part 1

200.0

225.0 225.0 187.5 Explanations:

175.0 Geological structure:

225.0 225.0 212.5

Qt2 212.5

Ng Recent aluvium, loose,

212.5 212.5 b subangular to subroun- ded, well - graded gravel with muddy sand inter- 200.0 Qal val: Shah Rud sand bar and channel deposits (b)

Fanglomerate,

225.0

225.0 heterogeneous

212.5 212.5 Qf boulder and cabble 187.5 deposits

200.0 t Young and low level

212.5 212.5 Q

175.0

175.0 terraces, composed of

162.5

162.5 alluvial fans and cones,

212.5 212.5 200.0 200.0 Qt4 angular to subangular Ng Qts gravel with earthy matrix: top soil deposits (Qts )

Transportated soil, most-

212.5 212.5 162.5 t4 175.0 Q ly uppermost surface of 187.5

al 212.5

237.5 237.5 Q Quaternary 150.0 the Shah Rud flood plain

200.0

225.0

225.0 225.0 Shah Rud terraces, t2 brownish, rounded

Q b Qt3 187.5

187.5 poorly indurated gravel 250.0 with sand layers Qf Terrace like old fan-

Pl Q Qt2 glomerate, moderately

212.5 212.5 indurated, poorly sorted

200.0 Old and high level ter- races, light brown, st- f 225.0 Qt1 ratified, subangular, he- Q Ev terogeneous moderate- ly compacted, with san- dy mud matrix Lake type deposits, in- tercalations of red marl,

Pl Q heterogeneous gravel,

225.0 225.0 and grey sand Qt4 Red sandstone and marl, Ng Pliocene intercalations of gypsife-

rous red or grey marl and

225.0 t2 225.0 Ng

Q 150.0 mudstone, and brownish

Neogene 175.0 175.0 225.0

225.0 red, thin bedded gypsife- 212.5 rous silty marl

Miocene 162.5 212.5 Qt2 162.5 Qt3 212.5 250.0 237.5 Intercalations of andesi- 225.0 tic and acid tuffs and

212.5 Pl Q ts Ev trachyandesite - dacite

225.0 225.0 Q 225.0 lava, with rare braccias

Ng Eocene 175.0 Paleogene and anglomerate 187.5 200.0

262.5 275.0 t 250.0 Q General symbols: Ng Qt1 Unit boundary

b 225.0

237.5 237.5 Isohypse Asphalt road

162.5 225.0

225.0 Qt3 Escarpment Ng 187.5 Buildings

212.5 al 225.0 Q 200.0 Ng Qt1

Qt

200.0 200.0 175.0 175.0 0 0.2 0.4 km

Qt1

175.0

250.0 250.0

237.5 162.5 237.5 187.5 200.0 212.5

Fig. 2.6. Geological map of Loshan area

UNDP - UNCHS (Habitat) Project IRA/90/004 Assistance in the Implementation of Postearthquake Rehabilitation Programme 19 Housing Foundation of Islamic Revolution, I. R. Iran *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

)LJ 5HYLHZPDSRIUHJLRQDOQHRWHFWRQLF]RQDWLRQ

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

WHUQDU\ 'HVWUXFWLRQ =RQH RI 8SOLIWLQJ DQG 2YHU =RQHRILQWHQVLYHIROGLQJ7KLV]RQHLVDVVRFLDWHGZLWK WKUXVWLQJ=RQHRI,QWHQVLYH)ROGLQJDQG1HRJHQH WKH JHRWHFWRQLF XQLW RI =DJURV $FWLYH )ROGHG %HOW 7KH 3UH1HRWHFWRQLFSHULRGRIHYROXWLRQLVFRPSDUDWLYHO\VLP 4XDWHUQDU\9ROFDQLF$FWLYLW\ SOHDVDUHODWLYHO\VLPSOHDVDUHODWLYHO\TXLHWVHGLPHQWDWLRQ &DVSLDQDFFXPXODWLRQEDVLQ7KH&DVSLDQDFFXPXODWLRQ FRQWLQXHGIURP,QIUDFDPEULDQWR3OLRFHQHWLPH7KHVWURQJ EDVLQZKLFKLVDUHOLFWRIWKH3UH1HRWHFWRQLF6HDDSSHDUV FKDUDFWHURIWKHFRPSUHVVLRQDOWHFWRQLFVZLWKLQWKH1HR DV D GHSUHVVLRQ FRQWLQXLQJ LQ WKH 1HRWHFWRQLF VWDJH RI WHFWRQLFSHULRGE\RULHQWDWLRQRIWKHPD[LPXPKRUL]RQWDO GHYHORSPHQW ZLWK D WHQGHQF\ RI VXEVLGHQFH 7KH VXEVL YHFWRU V LQQRUWKHDVWVRXWKZHVWGLUHFWLRQFDXVHGODUJH GHQFHRIWKHEDVLQHQDEOHVDFFXPXODWLRQRIJUHDWYROXPH GHIRUPDWLRQV RI WKH URFN PDVVHV 7KH GHIRUPDWLRQV DUH RIPDWHULDOWUDQVSRUWHGIURPWKHVXUURXQGLQJWHUUDLQHVSH SUHGRPLQDQWO\ FRQQHFWHG ZLWK SOLFDWLYH IRUPV DQG DIWHU FLDOO\LQWKH$OERU]UHJLRQEHLQJDWWKHVDPHWLPHDIIHFWHG WKDWUHYHUVHIDXOWLQJDQGSUREDEO\VXEGXFWLRQSURFHVVHV E\XSOLIWLQJSURFHVVHV 7KHVWUXFWXUDOGHIRUPDWLRQVDUHFRQVLGHUDEO\UHIOHFWHGLQ WKHPRUSKRORJ\RIWKHUHOLHI$VDUHVXOWRIWKHGHIRUPDWLRQV $OERU]EORFNRIXSOLIWLQJ7KH$OERU]0RXQWDLQ0DVVLILV DQGFKDQJHVWKHEORFNRIWKH=DJURV$FWLYH)ROGHG%HOW D EORFN RI PD[LPXP YDOXH RI WKH XSOLIWLQJ JUDGLHQW ZLWK UHSUHVHQWV D YHU\ KLJK PRXQWDLQ UHOLHI ZLWK WKH KLJKHVW KHLJKWV RI XS WR QHDU  PHWHUV LQ WKH FRQWHPSRUDU\ OHYHOVWRRYHUP UHOLHI 7KH XSOLIWLQJ SURFHVVHV HQDEOH LQWHQVLYH HURVLRQ DQGWKHVXUIDFHSDUWVRIWKLVPDVVLIFRQVLVWRIROGHUURFN 1HRJHQHTXDWHUQDU\YROFDQLFDFWLYLW\7KH1HRWHFWRQLF FRPSOH[HVLQFOXGLQJWKH3UHFDPEULDQURFNPDVVLIV3DU SHULRG RI HYROXWLRQ LV FKDUDFWHUL]HG QRW RQO\ E\ WHFWRQLF WLFXODUO\LQWHUHVWLQJPDQLIHVWDWLRQDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKLVEORFN PRYHPHQWRIWKHEORFNVEXWDOVRE\ODUJHYROFDQLFDFWLYLW\ RIXSOLIWLQJLVWKHRFFXUUHQFHRI4XDWHUQDU\YROFDQLFDFWLYLW\ SDUWLFXODUO\ LQ 1RUWKZHVWHUQ ,UDQ 1HRJHQH YROFDQLVP LQWKHUHJLRQRI'DPDYDQG7KH'DPDYDQG9ROFDQRORFD UHDFKHGDFOLPD[LQWKH3OLRFHQH4XDWHUQDU\SHULRGZLWK WLRQLQWKLVUHJLRQLVZKHUHWKH$OERU]5DQJHWUHQGFKDQJHV WKHIRUPDWLRQRIODUJHYROFDQLFFRQHVZLWKFRQFHQWUDWLRQLQ IURPQRUWKZHVWVRXWKHDVWLQWKHZHVWHUQSDUWWRHDVWZHVW WKHIRUPRIQRUWKZHVWVRXWKHDVWEHOWV$FFRUGLQJWRVRPH WKDWLVQRUWKHDVWVRXWKZHVWGLUHFWLRQLQWKHHDVWHUQSDUW DXWKRUV WKH 4XDWHUQDU\ YROFDQLF DFWLYLW\ RI ,UDQ ZDV IRUPHGGXULQJDFWLYHVKRUWHQLQJEXWDIWHUWKHPDMRU3OLR =RQHRIWHUWLDU\DQGTXDWHUQDU\GHVWUXFWLRQ7KH]RQH 3OHLVWRFHQHRURJHQLFSKDVH7KHUHLVQRYROFDQLFDFWLYLW\ RI7HUWLDU\DQG4XDWHUQDU\GHVWUXFWLRQLVSUHGRPLQDQWLQ LQWKH=DJURVDQGWKH.RSSHK'DJK$FWLYH)ROGHG%HOWRI QRUWKZHVWHUQ,UDQPRVWRIZKLFKFRLQFLGHVZLWKWKHJHR ,UDQ'HZH\DQG%LUG  DQG&UDZIRUG  UHODWHG WHFWRQLFXQLWRI&HQWUDO,UDQ7KHSURFHVVHVRI7HUWLDU\DQG WKH \RXQJ YROFDQLVP RI 1RUWKZHVWHUQ ,UDQ WR VXEGXFWLRQ 4XDWHUQDU\GHVWUXFWLRQDUHDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHLQWHQVLYH RIWKH$UDELDQ3ODWH-XQJ  KDVSRVWXODWHGPDJPD YROFDQLFDFWLYLW\IURP(RFHQHXQWLO4XDWHUQDU\DVZHOODV JHQHUDWLRQIRUWKH'DPDYDQGYROFDQLFFRQHLQWKH$OERU] ZLWKIRUPDWLRQRIQXPHURXVGHSUHVVLRQVIURPRQHVLGHDQG DWDGHSWKRIDERXWNP DQG UHODWHG LW WR 3OLRFHQH  EORFNV RI XSOLIWLQJ IURP WKH RWKHU VLGH 7KH H[WHQVLYHO\ 4XDWHUQDU\VXEGXFWLRQRIWKH$UDELDQ3ODWHXQGHUQHDWKWKH PDQLIHVWHG(RFHQHYROFDQLVPLVHVSHFLDOO\FRQFHQWUDWHG ,UDQLDQ3ODWH LQWKHVRFDOOHGQRUWKHDVWHUQDQGVRXWKZHVWHUQEHOW7KH QRUWKHDVWHUQEHOWVWUHWFKHVDORQJWKHVRXWKZHVWHUQXQGHU  1HRWHFWRQLFHYROXWLRQRIWKHUHJLRQRI*LODQ OD\HUV RI WKH $OERU] PDVVLI ZKLOH WKH VRXWKZHVWHUQ EHOW IROORZV DSSUR[LPDWHO\ WKH ERXQGDU\ EHWZHHQ WKH FHQWUDO DQG=DQMDQSURYLQFHV SDUWVRI&HQWUDO,UDQDQGWKH6DQDQGDM6LUMDQ]RQH7KH GLYLVLRQRIWKHWHUUDLQGXULQJ(DUO\1HRJHQH4XDWHUQDU\ 7KHUHYLHZRIWKH3UH1HRWHFWRQLFHYROXWLRQRIWKH SHULRGLQWRPRUSKRVWUXFWXUHVRIVXEVLGHQFHLHGHSUHV WHUULWRU\RI1RUWKZHVWHUQ,UDQKDVVKRZQWKDWLWZDV VLRQV DQG XSOLIWLQJ LH D NLQG RI KRUVWV PRVW SUREDEO\ RIDUHODWLYHO\FRPSOH[FKDUDFWHU7KHWHFWRQLFVWUXF KDVEHHQFDXVHGE\WKHHIIHFWVRIH[WHQVLYHVWUHVVUHJLPH DVDUHVXOWRIWKHYHU\FRPSOH[UHODWLRQVLQWKH]RQHRIWKH WXUHRIWKLVWHUULWRU\LQWKH3UH1HRWHFWRQLFSKDVH =DJURVRYHUWKUXVWLQJFRQWDLQLQJDOVRHOHPHQWVRIVXEGXF UHVXOWHGIURPQXPHURXVWUDQVJUHVVLRQVDQGUHJUHV WLRQ 7KH GHVWUXFWLRQ LV FOHDUO\ GLVWLQFWLYH SDUWLFXODUO\ LQ VLRQV LH WHFWRQLF PRYHPHQWV 3UHVHQWHG LQ WKLV 4XDWHUQDU\EHLQJVXSSRUWHGE\WKHLQWHQVLILFDWLRQRIWKH SURFHVVHVRIVXEVLGHQFHDQGDFFXPXODWLRQRIODUJHTXDQ FKDSWHUZLOOEHWKHUHVXOWVIURPWKHSHUIRUPHGDQDO\ WLWLHVRIPRODVVLFPDWHULDO7KHEORFNVRIVXEVLGHQFHDQG VHVDQGV\QWKHVHVRIDOODYDLODEOHJHRORJLFDOJHR XSOLIWLQJDUHPRVWO\OLPLWHGE\\RXQJQHRWHFWRQLFIDXOWVRU SK\VLFDOJHRPRUSKRORJLFDODQGRWKHUGRFXPHQWDWLRQ UHDFWLYDWHG3UH1HRWHFWRQLFGLVORFDWLRQV LQFRPELQDWLRQZLWKVKRUWILHOGLQYHVWLJDWLRQVDLPHG =RQHRIXSOLIWLQJDQGRYHUWKUXVWLQJ7KLVUHODWLYHO\QDU DWGHILQLWLRQRIWKH1HRWHFWRQLFHYROXWLRQDQGFRUUH URZ]RQHZLWKQRUWKZHVWVRXWKHDVWWUHQGZLWKLQ&HQWUDO ,UDQ LV UHSUHVHQWHG E\ 6DQDQGDM  6LUMDQ 6XE]RQH 7KLV ODWLRQ RI WKH VWUXFWXUDO IRUPV LQ WKH SDVW DQG WKH ]RQHLVOLPLWHGWRZDUGVQRUWKHDVWE\FRQWLQXRXVGHSUHVVLRQV H[SHFWHG VHLVPLF DFWLYLW\ 1HRWHFWRQLFV MXVW OLNH ZLWKLQWKH7HUWLDU\DQG4XDWHUQDU\GHVWUXFWLYH]RQH7KH JHRORJ\LVDUHODWLYHO\\RXQJGLVFLSOLQH,WKDVGH VRXWKZHVWHUQ ERXQGDU\ RI WKH ]RQH LV SUHVHQWHG E\ WKH 0DLQ=DJURV5HYHUVH)DXOW,WLVFKDUDFWHULVWLFIRUWKLV]RQH YHORSHGLQWKHFRXUVHRIWKHODVWGHFDGHVDQGKDV WKDW WKH ORQJ SHULRG RI JHRORJLFDO HYROXWLRQ KDV VSHFLILF RULJLQDWHGDVDFRQVHTXHQFHRIDFFXPXODWLRQRIH[ SRLQWV ZKLFK PDNH WKH EORFN LQGHSHQGHQW LQFOXGLQJ WKH WHQVLYHYROXPHRIGDWDREWDLQHGIURPLQYHVWLJDWLRQV 1HRWHFWRQLF SKDVH :LWKLQ WKLV EORFN WKHUH DUH QHLWKHU FRPSOH[HV RI (RFHQH YROFDQLF DFWLYLW\ QRU IRUPDWLRQ RI RIWKH\RXQJHVWJHRORJLFDOHYROXWLRQLQFOXGLQJWKH 1HRJHQH4XDWHUQDU\GHSUHVVLRQV,QWKH1HRWHFWRQLFSH 1HRJHQH4XDWHUQDU\SHULRG ULRGWKLV]RQHUHSUHVHQWHGDVHSDUDWHEORFNZKLFKXQGHU FRPSUHVVLRQDOVWUHVVUHJLPHLVWKUXVWLQJRYHUWKH=DJURV 'HSHQGLQJRQWKHKLVWRU\RIIRUPDWLRQRIWKHUHOLHILQ )ROGHG%HOW7KHSURFHVVHVRIRYHUWKUXVWLQJDUHIROORZHG WKHUHJLRQVRYHUWKHZRUOGQHRWHFWRQLFVKDVEHHQ E\UHYHUVHIDXOWLQJIROGLQJDQGFRQVLGHUDEOHXSOLIWLQJ WUHDWHGLQYDULRXVPDQQHUVLHWKHUHLVQRWDXQLILHG

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$ $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH  +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ Guidelines for Earthquake Disaster Management, Volume I, Part 1 37 00 36 30

50 50 30 30 Block indication Isolines of uplifting Pre - Miocene origin Miocene origin affected in Pliocene by uplifting Miocene origin with up-to-day subsidence Indication of subsidence Faults of I order Faults of II order Faults of III order Covered and assumed fauts Thrust faults Reverse faults Transcurrent faults Vertical displacement along the faults Surface faulting during Manjil Earthquake Indication of the faults Erosion and denun- dation plarform Antecedent river bed

V

1200 1200 ...

- Kalachay 5

+

I ...

1000 1000 1.2.3. Explanations: Structural elements: Morphostructure of uplifting Morphostructure of subsidence Fault structures: Geomorphological elements: 3300

3200

3000 3000

2800

2600

2000

2400

2200 1800 river 2200 Langrood Langrood

2000 2200

1700 2400

500 4 2 Komeleh 2400 7 50 1 50 Kiashahr 00 00 1000 Shahrood river 2 01020km Bandar Kiashahr Bandar 2600 5 Gazvin 7 Siahkal Astaneh III 1010 1000 4

6 river 500 506 Caspian sea

2600 2400

6 2400

Sefidrood eiro river Sefidrood 1900 Sangar Sangar 3 49 49 3 I 30 Rostam Abad 30 Rasht Rasht Khomam 1 Loshan Anzali II 11 Rudbar Manjil

Sara 2000 Bandar Anzali Bandar Shaft 2200 Someh Sara Someh 2342 Fuman

Masal 2400 1 8 2736 2600 Ghaleh

9 2800 Saeen Ghaleh Saeen 6 2770 49 2971

00 3 14 500 2880 Abbar Abbar 2200 Masooleh 2400 2600 3050 2800 II 8 2000

river 2786 Soltanieh 13 10 IV 2676

9 22002000 3000 Zanjanrood river river 3200 2000 Uzan 3200

48 12 48

2750 30 2515 2600 30

Ghezel Uzan river 10

2400 2 Zanjan V 11 II 2490 37 00 36 30

Fig. 3.3. Neotectonic map of the territory of Gilan and Zanjan provinces

UNDP - UNCHS (Habitat) Project IRA/90/004 Assistance in the Implementation of Postearthquake Rehabilitation Programme 23 Housing Foundation of Islamic Revolution, I. R. Iran *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

8SOLIWLQJPRUSKRVWUXFWXUHV WXUHV 1R  DQG  7KH VWUXFWXUH KDV DQ HORQJDWHG IRUP ZLWKHDVWZHVWWUHQG7KHPDLQFKDUDFWHULVWLFVDUHFRQ 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUH7KLVPRUSKRVWUXFWXUHLVVLWXDWHGLQWKH QHFWHGZLWKUHODWLYHO\ORZHUFRHIILFLHQWRIXSOLIWLQJJUDGLHQW XWPRVW VRXWKHDVW RI WKH VWXGLHG UHJLRQ ,Q WKH QRUWKHUQ ZLWKKLJKOHYHORIHURVLRQDOGHQXGDWLRQDOSURFHVVHVDQG SDUWVWKHEORFNLVFRPSRVHGIURP3HUPLDQDQG-XUDVVLF PD[LPXPHOHYDWLRQRIOHVVWKDQP7KHERXQGDULHV URFNFRPSOH[HVZKLOHLQWKHFHQWUDODQGQRUWKHUQSDUWVWKH RIWKHEORFNLQWKHUHOLHIDUHPRUHRUOHVVFRYHUHGE\4XD WHUUDLQFRQVLVWVRI(RFHQHYROFDQLFURFNVDVDUHS\URFODVWLFV WHUQDU\GHSRVLWV7KHWHFWRQLFRULJLQLVVKRZQLQWKHGLUHF DQGDQGHVLWLFODYDVDVZHOODVLQWUXVLRQVRIVHYHUDOG\NHV WLRQWRZDUGV%ORFN1R ZLWKLQGHILQLWHRULHQWDWLRQV7KHERXQGDULHVRIWKHEORFNLQ UHODWLRQWRWKHVXUURXQGLQJDUHDVDUHFOHDUO\WHFWRQLF7KH 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUH  LQ WKH HDVWHUQ SDUW RI WKH VWXGLHG QRUWKERXQGDU\LVIROORZHGDORQJWKH6KDKUXG)DXOWZKLOH DUHDUHSUHVHQWVWKHVPDOOHVWEORFNRIXSOLIWLQJZLWKH[DFWO\ WKHVRXWKOLPLWRIWKHEORFNLVFRQQHFWHGZLWKWKHIDPRXV HDVWZHVWRULHQWDWLRQ7KHPRUSKRVWUXFWXUHLVFRPSRVHG VWUXFWXUH RI 1RUWK 4D]YLQ )DXOW 7KH PD[LPXP OHYHO RI FRPSOHWHO\ RI &UHWDFHRXV URFN FRPSOH[HV DQG HOHYDWLRQ QHRWHFWRQLFXSOLIWLQJLQWKHFRQWHPSRUDU\UHOLHIKDVHOHYD RIPRUHWKDQP7KHEORFNLVOLPLWHGE\WKHIDXOWVRI WLRQRIDERXWP1HRWHFWRQLFGLIIHUHQWLDOPRYHPHQWV VHFRQGDQGWKLUGRUGHU DUHPRUHFRQWUDVWLYHDORQJWKHVRXWKOLPLWLH1RUWK4D]YLQ 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUH  7KLV PRUSKRVWUXFWXUH RI XSOLIWLQJ )DXOW ZLWK LQWHQVLYH XSOLIWLQJ RI WKH EORFN DQG LQWHQVLYH H[WHQGVLQWKHQRUWKHDVWHUQSDUWRIWKHVWXGLHGUHJLRQZLWK VXEVLGHQFHRIWKH4D]YLQ'HSUHVVLRQ GLUHFW FRQQHFWLRQ ZLWK WKH &DVSLDQ DFFXPXODWLRQ EDVLQ 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUH  7KLV PRUSKRVWUXFWXUH RI XSOLIWLQJ LV 7KH QHRWHFWRQLF SURFHVVHV RI XSOLIWLQJ DUH FKDUDFWHUL]HG ORFDWHGQRUWKRIWKHSUHYLRXVEORFN$WWKHEHJLQQLQJRIWKH E\ VPDOOHVW JUDGLHQW ZLWK PD[LPXP HOHYDWLRQ OHVV WKDQ GLIIHUHQWLDWLRQWKLVEORFNZDVDIIHFWHGE\VXEVLGHQFHDQG P7KHERXQGDULHVKDYHWHFWRQLFRULJLQSDUWLFXODUO\ ODWHU VWDUWHG WR XSOLIW ZKLFK FRQWLQXHV XS WR WKH SUHVHQW WKH ERXQGDU\ ZLWK UHVSHFW WR WKH &DVSLDQ DFFXPXODWLRQ GDWH$SURRIIRUWKHVXEVLGHQFHPHFKDQLVPDUHVHYHUDO EDVLQDQGWKH5DVKW3ODLQ/LWKRVWUDWLJUDSKLFDOO\WKHEORFN UHOLFWVRI0LRFHQHVHGLPHQWVZKLFKDUHORFDWHGDORQJWKH FRQVLVWVPRVWO\RIFUHWDFHRXVPDJPDWLFURFNVDQGFUHWD VRXWK ERXQGDU\ RI WKH EORFN 7KH WUHQG RI WKH EORFN LV FHRXVVHGLPHQWV HDVWZHVW7KHOLPLWRIWKHPRUSKRVWUXFWXUHERWKWRWKH 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUHUHSUHVHQWV WKH XWPRVW QRUWKHDVWHUQ QRUWKDQGWRWKHVRXWKLVWHFWRQLFDO7KHQRUWKHUQOLPLWLV SDUWRIWKH7DOHVK0RXQWDLQV*HRORJLFDOO\WKHDUHDRIWKLV DVVRFLDWHGZLWK.DVKDFKDO)DXOWZKLOHWKHVRXWKHUQERU EORFN LV FRPSRVHG RI VHYHUDO IRUPDWLRQV PRVW RI ZKLFK GHULVIROORZHGE\6KDKUXG)DXOW7KHHDVWHUQOLPLWLVFRQ DUH RI 3UHFDPEULDQ 3DOHR]RLF DQG 0HVR]RLF DJH 7KH QHFWHGZLWKWKH0LRFHQH0DQMLO'HSUHVVLRQ7KHHOHYDWLRQ SURFHVVHVRIXSOLIWLQJKDYHPHGLXPOHYHODQGHOHYDWLRQV DERYHVHDOHYHO LQ WKH VRXWKHUQ SDUWV LV DERXW  P XSWRP ZKLOH WR WKH QRUWK LW LQFUHDVHV UHDFKLQJ DERXW  P 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUHLVWKHVRXWKHDVWHUQHGJHRIWKH7DOHVK QHDUWKHOLPLW 0RXQWDLQV7KHEORFNKDVHORQJDWHGEXWKDVDUHODWLYHO\ 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUHH[WHQGVLQWKHQRUWKHDVWGLUHFWLRQIURP QDUURZIRUPRIQRUWKZHVWVRXWKHDVWVWULNH*HRORJLFDOO\ WKH0DQMLOFLW\DUHD7KHEORFNRIXSOLIWLQJLVFRQQHFWHGZLWK WKHWHUUDLQLVFRYHUHGE\3UHFDPEULDQ3DOHR]RLF0HVR VXUIDFHUXSWXULQJGXULQJWKH0DQMLOHDUWKTXDNHWKH ]RLFDQG(RFHQHURFNFRPSOH[HV7KHOLPLWRIWKHEORFNWR PHFKDQLVP RI ZKLFK ZDV OHIW ODWHUDO GLVSODFHPHQW ZLWK WKHQRUWKZHVWLHWKH0DQMLO0LRFHQHGHSUHVVLRQLVWHF UHYHUVH FRPSRQHQW WR WKH QRUWK YHUJHQF\ ,Q WKH KLJKHU WRQLFDO7KHFRQWDFWLVPDUNHGE\0DQMLO)DXOW  7KHQHR SDUWVWKHEORFNFRQVLVWVRI3DOHR]RLFDQG0HVR]RLFURFN WHFWRQLFXSOLIWLQJLVFKDUDFWHUL]HGE\YHU\KLJKFRHIILFLHQW FRPSOH[HVZKLOHWKHHDVWHUQSDUWVDUHPRVWO\FRYHUHGE\ DQGDVDUHVXOWRIWKDWWKHEORFNLVYHU\PXFKH[SUHVVHG (RFHQH YROFDQLF IRUPDWLRQ 7KH PD[LPXP HOHYDWLRQ LV LQWKHFRQWHPSRUDU\UHOLHI7KHDYHUDJHHOHYDWLRQLVXSWR QHDUWRP6LPLODUWRWKHSUHYLRXVEORFNVWKHOLPLWVRI P WKLVPRUSKRVWUXFWXUHKDYHDWHFWRQLFRULJLQ7KHERXQGDU\ 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUHLVORFDWHGLQWKHQRUWKZHVWHGJHRI WR WKH QRUWK LV IROORZHG E\ .HOLVKRP )DXOW ZKLOH WR WKH WKH VWXGLHG UHJLRQ ZLWK D PD[LPXP UDWH RI QHRWHFWRQLF VRXWKWKHOLPLWLVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKH4D]HO2Z]DQ)DXOW XSOLIWLQJZLWKLQWKH7DOHVK0RXQWDLQ%HOW7KHEORFNLVFRP )URPWKHQHRWHFWRQLFSRLQWRIYLHZWKH4D]HO2Z]DQ)DXOW SRVHG RI -XUDVVLF &UHWDFHRXV DQG (RFHQH URFN FRP LVPRVWLPSRUWDQWEHFDXVHDORQJWKLVIDXOWYHU\LQWHQVLYH SOH[HV7KHJUDGLHQWRIWKHQHRWHFWRQLFXSOLIWLQJLVFKDUDF GLIIHUHQWLDO PRYHPHQW LV PDQLIHVWHG ZLWK XSOLIWLQJ RI WKH WHUL]HGE\H[WUHPHO\KLJKFRHIILFLHQWZLWKHOHYDWLRQLQWKH EORFNDQGDWWKHVDPHWLPHVXEVLGHQFHRIWKH0DQMLO'H FRQWHPSRUDU\PRUSKRORJ\XSWRP7RWKHVRXWKZHVW SUHVVLRQ WKHPRUSKRVWUXFWXUHLVOLPLWHGE\WKHQRUWKZHVWHUQEUDQFK 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUHLVFRQQHFWHGZLWKWKHPD[LPXPXS RI WKH 0DQMLO )DXOW ZKLOH WKH ERXQGDU\ WR WKH QRUWKHDVW OLIWLQJUDWHZLWKLQWKHHDVWHUQSDUWRIWKHVWXGLHGUHJLRQLH ZLWKUHVSHFWWRPRUSKRVWUXFWXUHQRLVQRWWHFWRQLF ZHVWHUQ SDUW RI &HQWUDO $OERU] 0RXQWDLQV 7KH EORFN LV 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUHLVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHQRUWKZHVWHUQ PRVWO\ SUHVHQWHG E\ ]RLF URFN FRPSOH[HV SDUWLFXODUO\ HGJHRI7DURP0RXQWDLQV7KHEORFNLVFRPSOHWHO\FRP -XUDVVLFVKDOHVVDQGVWRQHVDQGFRQJORPHUDWHVDQGUDUHO\ SRVHGRI(RFHQHYROFDQLFURFNFRPSOH[HVZLWKQHRWHFWRQLF 3HUPLDQ OLPHVWRQHV DQG VLOWV 7KH HDVWHUQ SDUWV RI WKH XSOLIWLQJRIDERXWP PRUSKRVWUXFWXUH FRQVLVW RI (RFHQH YROFDQLF IRUPDWLRQV 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUHUHSUHVHQWVWKHQRUWKZHVWHUQSHDNRI 7KHJUDGLHQWRIWKHQHRWHFWRQLFXSOLIWLQJVDUHFKDUDFWHUL]HG 7DURP0RXQWDLQVZLWKHOHYDWLRQQHDUWRP*HQHUDOO\ E\ D YHU\ KLJK FRHIILFLHQW KDYLQJ DQ HOHYDWLRQ QHDU WR VSHDNLQJ7DURP0RXQWDLQVUHSUHVHQWHGDFODVVLFDOKRUVW PLQWKHFRQWHPSRUDU\UHOLHI7KHOLPLWRIWKHEORFN VWUXFWXUHZKLFKZDVDIIHFWHGE\XSOLIWLQJEHWZHHQ0DQMLO WRWKHVRXWKLVYHU\FRQWUDVWLYHDQGLVIRUPHGE\.DVKDFKDO 'HSUHVVLRQ ,, WRZDUGVQRUWKHDVWDQG=DQMDQ3ODWHDXWR )DXOW ZKLOH WR WKH QRUWK WKH OLPLW LV QRW IROORZHG E\ WKH WKHVRXWKZHVW'LIIHUHQWLDOPRYHPHQW ZLWK XSOLIWLQJ RI IDXOW7KHUHOLHILVFKDUDFWHUL]HGE\DJUDGXDOORZHULQJRI 7DURP0RXQWDLQVDQGVXEVLGHQFHRIERWK0DQMLODQG=DQ HOHYDWLRQ MDQ'HSUHVVLRQVWRRNSODFHDORQJWKHPDUJLQDOIDXOWV7KH 0RUSKRVWUXFWXUHLQFOXGHVWKHDUHDZKLFKH[WHQGVWRWKH QRUWKHDVWHUQUHODWLRQVZHUHDIIHFWHGE\$OWLQNRVK)DXOW  QRUWKLQFRQWLQXDWLRQIURPWKHQRUWKHUQOLPLWRI0RUSKRVWUXF ZKLOHWKHVRXWKZHVWHUQE\7DURP)DXOW  

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$ $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH  +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

 6HLVPRWHFWRQLFFKDUDFWHULVWLFV 7UDQVYHUVDO )DXOW   7KH HSLFHQWHU RI WKLV HDUWK TXDNHLVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHDUHDRIWKHLULQWHUVHF 7KHPDLQWDVNRIVHLVPRWHFWRQLFVLVWRFODULI\WKH WLRQ JHRORJLFDOFRQGLWLRQVIRUHDUWKTXDNHRFFXUUHQFH,W LVZHOONQRZQWKDWHDUWKTXDNHVDUHQRWXQLIRUPO\  &ODVVLILFDWLRQRIDFWLYHIDXOWV GLVWULEXWHGLQWKHHDUWKFUXVWXQGHUWKHRFHDQVRUWKH FRQWLQHQWV'HSHQGLQJRQWKHGHSWKRIWKHHDUWK :KHQ D FODVVLILFDWLRQ LV PDGH LW LV QHFHVVDU\ WR TXDNHIRFLWKHHDUWKTXDNHVFDQEHGHHSLQWHUPH VXSSRUWWKHJUDGDWLRQE\FHUWDLQSDUDPHWHUV,QWKH GLDWHDQGVKDOORZ7KHODVWDUHDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKH FODVVLILFDWLRQ RI WKH DFWLYH IDXOWV RI WKH UHJLRQ RI WHFWRQLFGHIRUPDWLRQVRIWKHHDUWKFUXVW *LODQ DQG =DQMDQ 3URYLQFHV VHYHUDO IDFWRUV KDYH EHHQ FRQVLGHUHG $PRQJ WKH SUHGRPLQDQW IDFWRUV *HQHUDOO\ VSHDNLQJ UHFHQW VHLVPLF DFWLYLW\ LH DUHWKHOHQJWKRIWKHIDXOWVWKHSDUDPHWHUVLQIOXHQF RFFXUUHQFHRIHDUWKTXDNHVLVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKH LQJ WKH VWUHVV YHFWRUV ZLWK WKH PHFKDQLVP DQG FRQWHPSRUDU\ XQVWDEOH SDUWV RI WKH HDUWK FUXVW PDJQLWXGHRIWKHWHFWRQLFPRYHPHQWDVZHOODVWKH ZKHUHWKHPRVWLQWHQVLYHWHFWRQLF SURFHVVHV DUH FRQWHPSRUDU\VHLVPLFDFWLYLW\ PDQLIHVWHG E\ DOO WKUHH NLQGV RI GLVSODFHPHQWV  QRUPDOIDXOWVUHYHUVHIDXOWVDQGWUDQVFXUUHQWIDXOWV 2QWKHEDVLVRIWKHDERYHVWDWHGFULWHULDWKHDFWLYH IDXOWGLVORFDWLRQVDUHFODVVLILHGDVVWUXFWXUHVZLWKD 3UHVHQWHGLQWKHSUHYLRXVFKDSWHUVZHUHWKHJHR FRPELQHGPHFKDQLVPWKHFRPSUHVVLRQDOUHYHUVH ORJLFDOFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHWHUULWRU\RI*LODQDQG IDXOWLQJ DQG RYHUWKUXVWLQJ W\SH RI GLVSODFHPHQW RI =DQMDQ3URYLQFHVZLWKDVSHFLDOHPSKDVLVRQWKH WKHEORFNVSUHYDLOLQJLQUHVSHFWWRWKHQRUPDOJUDYL PRUSKRVWUXFWXUHVIRUPHGLQWKH1HRWHFWRQLFSKDVH WDWLRQDODQGVWULNHVOLS)URPWKHDVSHFWRIDFWLYLW\ RI WKHLU DFWLYLW\ DQG WKH QHRWHFWRQLF IDXOWV ZHUH OHYHOWKHIDXOWVDUHFODVVLILHGDVIDXOWVRIFRQVLGHU FODVVLILHGDFFRUGLQJWRWKHLULPSRUWDQFHPRUSKRORJ\ DEOHDFWLYLW\IDXOWVRIPRGHUDWHDFWLYLW\DQGIDXOWV DQG GLVSODFHPHQW 7KH DFWLYLW\ RI WKHVH IDXOWV LV RIVOLJKWDFWLYLW\ DVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKHWHFWRQLFSURFHVVHVZKLFKWRRN )DXOWVRIFRQVLGHUDEOHVHLVPLFDFWLYLW\$VWRWKHUHODWLRQ SODFHLQWKHQHRWHFWRQLFSHULRGRIHYROXWLRQDQGDUH EHWZHHQWKHVHLVPLFDFWLYLW\DQGWKHVSDWLDORULHQWDWLRQRI VWLOOJRLQJRQ WKHIDXOWGLVORFDWLRQLWLVFKDUDFWHULVWLFIRUWKH*LODQ DQG =DQMDQUHJLRQWKDWWKHVHLVPLFDFWLYLW\LVPRVWO\FRQFHQ 7KHFRQWHPSRUDU\WHFWRQLFDFWLYLW\LVPDQLIHVWHGE\ WUDWHGZLWKLQWKHORQJLWXGLQDOQRUWKZHVWVRXWKHDVWVWUHWFK HDUWKTXDNHV WKH PRVW UHFHQW RI ZKLFK KDYH EHHQ LQJV\VWHPVUDUHO\ZLWKLQWKHWUDQVYHUVDOVWUHWFKLQJGLUHF WLRQ,QWKHFDWHJRU\RIIDXOWVRIFRQVLGHUDEOHDFWLYLW\WKHUH UHFRUGHG LQVWUXPHQWDOO\ LQFOXGLQJ WKH ODVW YHU\ DUH VWUXFWXUHV EHORQJLQJ WR RQH RU WKH RWKHU VWUHWFKLQJ VWURQJ0DQMLOHDUWKTXDNH V\VWHP7KHORQJLWXGLQDOQRUWKZHVWVRXWKHDVWVWUHWFKLQJ V\VWHP LV UHSUHVHQWHG E\ WKH 0DQMLO  7DOHVK  DQG  &RUUHODWLRQRIVWUXFWXUDOHOHPHQWVDQG /DQJHUXGIDXOWVZKLOHWKHWUDQVYHUVDORULHQWDWLRQLVFRQ QHFWHGWR/DKLMDQIDXOW HDUWKTXDNHHSLFHQWHUV )DXOWVRIPRGHUDWHVHLVPLFDFWLYLW\7KHJURXSRIIDXOWV 7KHWHUULWRU\RI*LODQDQG=DQMDQ3URYLQFHVLVFKDU RI PRGHUDWH DFWLYLW\ LV UHSUHVHQWHG E\ WKRVH ZKLFK DUH PDLQO\RULHQWHGLQQRUWKZHVWVRXWKHDVWDQGHDVWZHVW DFWHUL]HGE\DKLJKVHLVPLFDFWLYLW\ )LJ ,I GLUHFWLRQ 7KH VWUXFWXUHV WUHQGLQJ QRUWKZHVW  VRXWKHDVW GLVWULEXWLRQRIHDUWKTXDNHVLVDQDO\]HGLWLVREYLRXV DUHUHSUHVHQWHGE\$OWLQNRVK7DURP6ROWDQLHKDQG WKDW WKH VSDWLDO GLVWULEXWLRQ RI WKH HSLFHQWHUV LV &KRSRJKOR  IDXOWV 7KH VWUXFWXUHV WUHQGLQJ HDVW  ZHVW DUHUHSUHVHQWHGE\WKH4D]YLQIDXOW  7KLVFDWHJRU\RI FORVHO\FRQQHFWHGZLWKWKHVWUHWFKLQJGLUHFWLRQRI WKHDFWLYHIDXOWVUHSUHVHQWHGWKHERXQGDULHVRIWKH\RXQJ WKH IDXOW GLVORFDWLRQV WKH VWURQJHVW HDUWKTXDNHV GHSUHVVLRQVLQUHVSHFWWRWKHPRUSKRVWUXFWXUHVRIXSOLIWLQJ RFFXUULQJHYHQLQWKHLPPHGLDWHYLFLQLW\RIWKHIDXOWV )DXOWVRIVOLJKWVHLVPLFDFWLYLW\7KHJURXSRIIDXOWVRI GLVORFDWLRQVRIWKHILUVWRUVHFRQGRUGHUSDUWLFXODUO\ VOLJKWDFWLYLW\LVUHSUHVHQWHGE\VHYHUDOGLVORFDWLRQVZKLFK DUHPDLQO\VLWXDWHGZLWKLQWKHROG3UH1HRWHFWRQLFFRP LQ WKH SRLQWV ZKHUH WKH PDLQ IDXOWV PDNH NQRWV SOH[HVSDUWLFXODUO\LQWKHUHJLRQRI&HQWUDO$OERU]0RXQ 7\SLFDOHDUWKTXDNHZLWKDQHSLFHQWHUUHODWHGWRWKH WDLQV 7KLV JURXS RI IDXOWV DUH SUHVHQWHG E\ .DVKDFKDO SODFHRIFURVVLQJRIWZRPDMRUIDXOWVWUXFWXUHVLV )DXOW  6KDKUXG )DXOW  DQG .HOLVKDP )DXOW  7KH DFWLYLW\ RI WKHVH IDXOWV ZLWKLQ WKH 3UH  1HRJHQH HDUOLHU WKH0DQMLOHDUWKTXDNH7KLVHDUWKTXDNHWRRN FRQVROLGDWHGFRPSOH[HVVKRXOGEHORZHUWKDQWKDWDORQJ SODFHDVDUHVXOWRIWKHDFWLYLW\RIWKHORQJLWXGLQDO WKHIDXOWVZKLFKDUHERXQGDULHVRI\RXQJGHSUHVVLRQVLQ 0DQMLO)DXOW  LQFRPELQDWLRQZLWKWKHPDMRU/DKLMDQ UHVSHFWWRWKHEORFNVRIXSOLIWLQJ

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$ $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH  +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ Guidelines for Earthquake Disaster Management, Volume I, Part 1 37 00 36 30 37 30

50 50 30 30 ≤ ≤ ≤ ≤ 4.0 M < 5.0 5.0 M < 6.0 6.0 M < 7.0 7.0 M < 8.0 01020km I order II order III order Overthrust Reverse fault Horizontal displacement Vertical displacement Kalachay - + Explanations: Fault classification: Displacement mechanism: Earthquake magnitudes: Rudsar

Caspian sea Langrood Langrood Komeleh 50 4 00 Gazvin 10 Lahijan

Shahrood river 6 Bandar Kiashahr Astaneh Siahkal Jirandeh 12

11 eiro river Sefidrood Sangar Sangar

49 Loshan 49 Rostam Abad Khomam 30 Rasht 30 Rudbar 2 Manjil Bandar Anzali Shaft Someh Sara Fuman 3 5 Saeen Ghaleh 49 49 00 00 1 Abbar Masooleh 7

Zanjanrood river Soltanieh Ghezel Uzan river 8

M = 7.2

48 48

30 9 30

M = 6.6 Zanjan M = 6.7 36 30 37 00 37 30

Fig. 4.1. Seismotectonic map of Gilan and Zanjan provinces

UNDP - UNCHS (Habitat) Project IRA/90/004 28 Assistance in the Implementation of Postearthquake Rehabilitation Programme Housing Foundation of Islamic Revolution, I. R. Iran *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$ $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH  +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ Guidelines for Earthquake Disaster Management, Volume I, Part 1 37 30 37 00 36 30

50 50

30 7.8 7.7 7.2 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.6 6.6 6.7 30 01020km Manjil Abbar Soltanieh Tarom Shahrud Gazvin Kelishom Kashachal Lahijan Langerud Talesh Altinkosh Goljin Chopoghlo 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Kalachay Explanations: Seismogene sources and magnitudes: 11. 12. 13. 14. 10. Rudsar Langrood

M = 7.0 Komeleh 10

50 Caspian sea 00

Shahrood river Gazvin

7.0

=

M = 7.0 Lahijan

M = 7.0

M = 7.4

M = 7.5 Bandar Kiashahr 7

8

5 Siahkal

7.0 = M 6 Astaneh 9

Jirandeh eiro river Sefidrood Sangar

49 49 Rostam Abad Khomam 30 Rasht 30 Loshan Rudbar Manjil

M = 7.0 Bandar Anzali 11 Shaft Fuman Someh Sara M = 7.8 1 Masal Saeen Ghaleh

49 49 00 M = 6.6 00

12 Abbar Masooleh Soltanieh

M = 7.2 4 M = 7.7 2 M = 7.2

Zanjanrood3 river Ghezel Uzan river 48 M = 6.7 48 30 30 14

M = 6.6 Zanjan

13 36 30 37 30 37 00

Fig. 5.1. Model of seismogene sources in Gilan and Zanjan provinces

UNDP - UNCHS (Habitat) Project IRA/90/004 30 Assistance in the Implementation of Postearthquake Rehabilitation Programme Housing Foundation of Islamic Revolution, I. R. Iran Guidelines for Earthquake Disaster Management, Volume I 35 00 36 00 38 00 37 00 Behshahr Sari 53 53 00 00 Area source Line source Capital city City 02550km Qaem Shahr Explanations: Seismogene sources: Symbols: Babol

Amol 52 52 00 00

M = 6.8 M = 6.5 Tehran Chalus

M = 7.5 Caspian sea M = 7.0 51 51 Karaj M = 6.5 00

00 Shahsavar Qom M = 7.0 M = 6.5

Saveh M = 7.0

50 50 00 00 Gazvin

M = 7.0 7.0 = M M = 6.5 M = 7.5 M = 7.0 M = 7.5 Rasht

M = 7.0 M = 6.0 Bandar Anzali M = 7.0 M = 7.8 Rudbar M = 7.2 49 00 49 00 M = 6.6 M = 7.2

Astara M = 7.0 7.0 = M

M = 7.0

Hamadan 6.5 = M M = 6.6 Zanjan

48 00 6.5 = M 48 00 Bijar Mianeh

M = 6.5 47

00 M = 6.5 47 00

M = 6.5 Sanandaj M = 7.8 6.5 Shakih Dez = Maragheh Kermanshah M = 6.5 36 00 37 00 35 00

Fig. 5.2. Model of seismogene sources of wider region of the Central Northern Iran

UNDP - UNCHS (Habitat) Project IRA/90/004 Assistance in the Implementation of Postearthquake Rehabilitation Programme 31 Housing Foundation of Islamic Revolution, I. R. Iran *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

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

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$ $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH  +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ *XLGHOLQHVIRU(DUWKTXDNH'LVDVWHU0DQDJHPHQW9ROXPH,3DUW

81'381&+6 +DELWDW 3URMHFW,5$  $VVLVWDQFHLQWKH,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI3RVWHDUWKTXDNH5HKDELOLWDWLRQ3URJUDPPH +RXVLQJ)RXQGDWLRQRI,VODPLF5HYROXWLRQ,5,UDQ