Plus Ça Change…
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Editor John Osmond Assistant Editor Nick Morris Associate Editors Geraint Talfan Davies Rhys David winter 2008/09 Administration Helen Sims-Coomber and Clare Johnson Design WOOD&WOOD Design Consultants. wood2.com To advertise Telephone 029 2066 6606 plus ça change… rbitrary though the counting of anniversaries may be, they are often helpful in forcing some useful reflection. 1987, the year that the IWA was formed to create a forum for wider debate aboutWelsh conditions and public policy, Institute of Welsh Affairs a was a year when many bells were rung that still sound today: the first Palestinian 1 Radnor Court 256 Cowbridge Road East intifada in Gaza and theWest Bank, Ronald Reagan’s challenge to Mikhail Gorbachev Cardiff CF5 3GZ to bring down the Berlin wall, the signing of the Single European Act, and the publication of the Brundtland Commission’s seminal report on sustainable Telephone 029 2066 6606 E-mail [email protected] development for the UN. www.iwa.org.uk Closer to home, 1987 was the year of Black Monday when, on 19 October, the UK stock market lost 11 per cent in a single day. It was the year Ron Davies, shocked The IWA is a non-aligned independent by Labour’s third successive defeat, was converted to devolution, and when Rhodri think-tank and research institute, based in Cardiff with branches in north and Morgan was elected to Parliament. To cap our blessings, it was also the year in which west Wales, Gwent, Swansea Bay and John Humphrys became the regular presenter of the Today programme. London. Members (annual subscription Now, 21 years later, the unsolved Palestinian crisis is thought to have been the £40) receive agenda three times a year, can purchase reports at a 25 per cent root cause of a wider terror, stock markets are in even greater disarray on the back of reduction, and receive invitations to a banking crisis unprecedented since 1929, and sustainable development and climate IWA events. change are matters of world wide concern, including for a National Assembly and its government that has, to some people’s surprise, now been in existence for the best part of a decade. branches Wales’s problems can seem small beer when set against the global scale of some North Wales Secretariat of these other issues, but they are directly related, as our sad connection to failed c/o Huw Lewis 6 Maes yr Haul Mold Flintshire CH7 1NS Icelandic banks has clearly illustrated. The silver lining on current clouds is that this Telephone 01352 758311 may be a moment in our history when a whole series of fundamental re-assessments Gwent Secretariat converge to alter our world and our lives for the better. c/o Chris O’Malley The scale and sources of the banking crisis, as well as the automating University of Wales Newport Caerleon Campus P O Box 179 Newport NP18 3YG technology of financial markets, raise questions about the contemporary ethics of Telephone 01633 432005 capitalism that demand reform and a rebalancing of public and private interest. That West Wales Secretariat will impact – hopefully, beneficially – on our politics, on our public services and, very c/o Margaret Davies directly, on the development of our towns and cities. Perhaps we will also become less Principal’s Office Trinity College 1 Carmarthen SA31 3EP tolerant of an inequality at home, that destroys our own society’s cohesion, and of an Telephone 01267 237971 international inequality that threatens the security of people and planet. Swansea Bay Secretariat This is a debate that needs to happen at every level of society and every level c/o Beti Williams of governance. Over the last 21 years, the IWA has tried to encourage debate inWales Department of Computer Science University of Wales Swansea Swansea SA2 8PP about our economy, environment, education, culture, politics and government. It has, Telephone 01792 295625 in turn, been encouraged by an enthusiastic response from a rapidly growing Wales in London membership of individuals and organisations representing all manner of interests and c/o Robert John opinions. The IWA will continue with that task, more than ever conscious of the First Base 22 Ganton Street London W1F 7BY Telephone 020 7851 5521 formidable agenda that now stares the whole world in the face. Cover Picture: Wales’s record try scorer Shane Williams beats French full-back Anthony Floch in the Six Nations championship decider in March 2008. Wales won 29-12 to secure their second Grand Slam in four seasons. opinion 19 creative regeneration 4 mercurial, anne carlile says culture Y magical, elusive is a bridge to Newport’s R O Welsh rugby is a brand T economic future S R that can capture the E V imagination of a global O C audience says roger lewis politics 21 idealists and pragmatists peter stead casts an eye over some prognostications for politics in 21st Century Wales 23 opinion finder 8 news aled edwards assesses the role of the outlook all-Wales convention 10 coping with 25 just say yes the crunch mike german argues that supporters of key figures in the more powers for the Welsh financial world Assembly should start respond to the global 29 devolving buses education campaigning now financial meltdown huw lewis outlines his proposals for applying 35 glynd wˆr 27 community 14 liberal democrat a franchise system to university government leadership bus routes in Wales michael scott paul griffiths discusses contest explains why Wales’s the progressive ideas Jenny Randerson vs. newest university underpinning the environment Kirsty Williams has named itself Labour-Plaid coalition 2 31 newport bypass after a 15th century economy Julian branscombe put s rebel leader the case against the 16 surviving the projected M4 relief road 38 critical mass crunch huw beynon outlines rhys david and nick 33 light rail a new collaboration morris survey how neil anderson advocates that strengthens Wales is coping with a radical alternative to Welsh social science the economic downturn new road projects research winter 2008/09 newsflash coming up… • West Wales Branch Dinner winter 2008/09 Thursday 5 February, 7.00 pm Halliwell Centre Trinity College Carmarthen Guest speaker: Kirsty Williams, AM for Brecon and Radnor • Funding, Risk and Innovation Conference 46 genetic culture Wales’s Engagement with doublethink Science Policy dafydd huws argues 64 real wales Cardiff, mid-February 2009 that a sustainable peter finch on Details – see IWA website Welsh agriculture discovering his country cannot afford to be • Policing West Wales without GM technology West Wales branch Seminar 24th February 2009, 5.30 pm social policy Dyfedd Powys Police HQ Llangunor, Carmarthen 49 wicked issues Keynote Speaker: Chief Constable steve martin reflects on 66 northern icon Ian Arundal progress since publication derek jones introduces of the Beecham review • Putting Women in their Place the Ruthin craft centre in July 2006 Level Up Glass Ceiling Conference 66 life’s diary 6 March 2009 53 vicious circle Angel Hotel, Cardiff john morgans describes adrian roper calls for Keynote speaker: Katy Chamberlain , how he reduced five courageous action to Chief Executive, Chwarae Teg million words to 160,000 tackle bed blocking in our hospitals 70 disarming • North Wales branch archbishop Celebrating Women’s Day 56 light in housing 6th March 2009 david williams on the gloom Details: see IWA website incense, wine and fudge sue essex reflects on the at the heart of the lessons from her review • Living with Our Landscape science Anglican debates over of affordable housing Conference sexuality 40 science business provision in Wales Cardiff, end March 2009 Details: see IWA website john osmond last word examines the way europe science is being put 72 taking Wales just published… at the centre of 58 euro speak with you des clifford on howWelsh the Assembly peter stead • Creating a Bilingual Wales: Government’s has followed Catalan The role of Welsh in Education 3 economic policy into European discourse Edited by John Osmond. £15 • Politics in 21st Century Wales 43 creatures great communications and small £10 penri james makes the 61 news blackout • Unpacking the case for a Welsh ned thomas reflects Progressive Consensus veterinary school at on the future of the £10 Aberystwyth Welsh press and media more information All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recorded or otherwise without the prior permission of the publisher, Institute of Welsh Affairs. ISSN 1464-7613 www.iwa.org.uk opinion mercurial, magical, elusive “Nicole Cooke’s journey from theVale of Glamorgan to the GreatWall of China started 14 years ago with an 11 year old’s dream. It ended with 3 hr, 32 min and 24 sec of thigh bursting effort that brought her a spectacular, minutely planned, hard-earned gold medal. One more second and it would have been bronze, but on the day that she set out from Beijing to Badaling in the women’s Olympic road race, everything came right. Her team-mates, Emma Pooley and Sharon Laws, sacrificed their medal chances to act as pacemakers for Cooke.The conditions were too cold for the Dutch favourite but reassuringly familiar to any Swansea cyclist: steep hills and driving rain. And the venue? Another country working hard to wean itself off coal and on to renewables.Wales and China have something else in common at the moment: winning. Did it start with Joe Calzaghe’s coronation as undisputed world boxing champion in two weights at the same time, or the Grand Slam-winning national rugby team? Rhidian’s moral victory in the x Factor.