HNP DISCUSSION PAPER Public Disclosure Authorized Authorized Disclosure Disclosure Public Public Economics of Tobacco Control Paper No. 21
Research on Tobacco in China:
About this series... An annotated bibliography of research on tobacco This series is produced by the Health, Nutrition, and Population Family (HNP) of the World Bank’s Human Development Network. The papers in this series aim to provide a vehicle for use, health effects, policies, farming and industry
publishing preliminary and unpolished results on HNP topics to encourage discussion and Authorized Authorized Disclosure Disclosure Public Public debate. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the author(s) and should not be attributed in any manner to the World Bank, to its affiliated organizations or to members of its Board of Executive Directors or the countries they represent. Citation and the use of material presented in this series should take into account this provisional character. For free copies of papers in this series please contact the individual authors whose name appears on the paper. Joy de Beyer, Nina Kollars, Nancy Edwards, and Harold Cheung
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Research on Tobacco in China:
An annotated bibliography of research on tobacco use, health effects, policies, farming and industry
Joy de Beyer, Nina Kollars, Nancy Edwards, and Harold Cheung
July 2004 Health, Nutrition and Population (HNP) Discussion Paper
This series is produced by the Health, Nutrition, and Population Family (HNP) of the World Bank's Human Development Network (HNP Discussion Paper). The papers in this series aim to provide a vehicle for publishing preliminary and unpolished results on HNP topics to encourage discussion and debate. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the author(s) and should not be attributed in any manner to the World Bank, to its affiliated organizations or to members of its Board of Executive Directors or the countries they represent. Citation and the use of material presented in this series should take into account this provisional character. For free copies of papers in this series please contact the individual authors whose name appears on the paper.
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The Economics of Tobacco Control sub-series is produced jointly with the Tobacco Free Initiative of the World Health Organization. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the author/s and should not be attributed in any manner to the World Health Organization or to the World Bank, their affiliated organizations or to members of their Executive Boards or the countries they represent.
The Economics of Tobacco Control papers are edited by Joy de Beyer ([email protected]), Ayda Yurekli ([email protected]) and Anne-Marie Perucic ([email protected]).
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ii
Health, Nutrition and Population (HNP) Discussion Paper
ECONOMICS OF TOBACCO CONTROL PAPER NO. 21
Research on Tobacco in China: an annotated bibilography of research on tobacco use, health effects, policies, farming and industry
Joy de Beyer (DPhil)a, Nina Kollars (MA)b, Nancy Edwards (LLB)b, and Harold Cheung (BBusAd) b
aWorld Bank, Washington DC, USA bConsultant to the World Bank, Washington DC
This report was funded under a research grant, “Tobacco Control Policy Analysis and Intervention Evaluation in China” from the Fogerty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Grant # R01 TW 05938
Abstract: This report is a compilation of over 600 references and abstracts found in a search of many data bases, using these keywords: tobacco, smoking, cessation, quitting, cigarette/s, tobacco production +China. It covers publications from 1990 to 2003. Studies are organised by broad subject matter, and within each sub-topic, are arranged by the last name of the first-listed author, and then for studies by the same author, chronologically with the most recent studies listed first. The studies report on tobacco use and prevalence, tobacco-related mortality and morbidity, policies relating to tobacco, tobacco farming and the tobacco industry. The electronic file for this document is available upon request from Joy de Beyer ([email protected]).
Keywords: tobacco, cigarettes, smoking, China, prevalence, health effects, tobacco control, tobacco tax, cessation, passive smoking, second-hand smoke, ETS, tobacco epidemic, burden of disease, cancer, lung cancer, stroke, cardio-vascular disease, cigarette tax, economics of tobacco, tobacco industry, tobacco farming
Disclaimer: The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressed in the paper are entirely those of the authors, and do not represent the views of the World Bank or the World Health Organization, their Executive Directors, or the countries they represent.
Correspondence Details: Joy de Beyer, World Bank, 2142 Edinburg Ave, Cardiff, CA 92007, USA. Phone: (USA)858 822 2386; fax (USA)858 822 2399; Email: [email protected]
The electronic file (WORD) for this document is available upon request from Joy de Beyer ([email protected]) for readers who wish to be able to search or sort the file for personal use.
iii iv Table of Contents
Preface...... vii Acknowledgements ...... ix Introduction...... 1 Agriculture and Trade...... 3 Cigarette Production and Trade...... 13 Smoking / Tobacco Use, Prevalence and Determinants ...... 25 Health Risks of Tobacco Use...... 72 Policies and Interventions to Reduce Tobacco Use...... 223 Miscellaneous...... 246
v vi
PREFACE
In 1999, the World Bank published “Curbing the Epidemic: governments and the economics of tobacco control”, which summarizes the trends in global tobacco use and the resulting immense and growing burden of disease and premature death. By 1999, there were already 4.9 million deaths from tobacco each year, and this huge number is projected to grow to 10 million per year by 2030, given present trends in tobacco consumption. Already about half of these deaths are in high-income countries, but recent and continued increases in tobacco use in the developing world is causing the tobacco-related burden to shift increasingly to low- and middle-income countries. By 2030, seven of every ten tobacco-attributable deaths will be in developing countries. “Curbing the Epidemic” also summarizes the evidence on the set of policies and interventions that have proved to be effective and cost-effective in reducing tobacco use, in countries around the world.
Tax increases that raise the price of tobacco products are the most powerful policy tool to reduce tobacco use, and the single most cost-effective intervention. They are also the most effective intervention to persuade young people to quit or not to start smoking. This is because young people, like others with low incomes, tend to be highly sensitive to price increases.
Why are these proven cost effective tobacco control measures –especially tax increases– not adopted or implemented more strongly by governments? Many governments hesitate to act decisively to reduce tobacco use, because they fear that tax increases and other tobacco control measures might harm the economy, by reducing the economic benefits their country gains from growing, processing, manufacturing, exporting and taxing tobacco. The argument that “tobacco contributes revenues, jobs and incomes” is a formidable barrier to tobacco control in many countries. Are these fears supported by the facts?
In fact, these fears turn out to be largely unfounded, when the data and evidence on the economics of tobacco and tobacco control are examined. The team of about 30 internationally recognized experts in economics, epidemiology and other relevant disciplines who contributed to the analysis presented in “Curbing the Epidemic” reviewed a large body of existing evidence, and concluded strongly that in most countries, tobacco control would not lead to a net loss of jobs and could, in many circumstances actually generate new jobs. Tax increases would increase (not decrease) total tax revenues, even if cigarette smuggling increased to some extent. Furthermore, the evidence show that cigarette smuggling is caused at least as much by general corruption as by high tobacco product tax and price differentials, and the team recommended strongly that governments not forego the benefits of tobacco tax increases because they feared the possible impact on smuggling, but rather act to deter, detect and punish smuggling.
Much of the evidence presented and summarized in “Curbing the Epidemic” was from high- income countries. But the main battleground against tobacco use is now in low- and middle- incomes countries. If needless disease and millions of premature deaths are to be prevented, then it is crucial that developing counties raise tobacco taxes, introduce comprehensive bans on all advertising and promotion of tobacco products, ban smoking in public places, inform their
vii citizens well about the harm that tobacco causes and the benefits of quitting, and provide advice and support to help people who smoke and chew tobacco, to quit.
In talking to policy-makers in developing countries, it became clear that there was a great need for country-specific analytic work, to provide a basis for policy making, within a sound economic framework. So the World Bank and the Tobacco Free Initiative of the World Health Organization (as well as some of the WHO regional offices and several other organizations, acting in partnership or independently) began to commission and support analysis of the economics of tobacco and tobacco control in many countries around the world.
Most of the papers in this Discussion Paper series report results of new, previously unpublished analyses of tobacco economics and tobacco control issues. Cleary, this annotated bibliography is different, being a compilation of references and abstracts of research and other publications from journals, books, newspapers and other soures. Similar bibliographies have been published in this series for India and Indonesia.
Our hope is that the information compiled in this report will be a useful reference for researchers and others who are looking for information on tobacco use and its impact in China.
Joy de Beyer
Tobacco Control Coordinator Health, Nutrition and Population World Bank
viii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors are grateful to the librarians at the World Bank who conducted the initial literature searches, and to Francis Stillman and her team at the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Institute for Global Tobacco Control, for making available the results of their literature searches, to be incorporated in this report. Thanks go to Victor Arias for xeroxing many articles, and to Erika Yanick and Miyuki Parris for help with making the cover and other production aspects.
The work was partially funded out of a grant from the Fogerty International Center of the National Institutes of Health.
The authors are grateful to the World Bank for publishing the report as an HNP Discussion Paper.
ix
x INTRODUCTION
This bibliography collects references, with abstracts/summaries where possible, of research on tobacco in China. It includes articles and books on tobacco use, health effects, tobacco policies, tobacco leaf and cigaratte production and trade. The database was compiled as a resource for researchers, policy-makers and others.
Staff of the World Bank Sectoral Library carried out the initial search, using these keywords: tobacco, smoking, cessation, quitting, cigarette/s, tobacco production +China. The following databases were searched for items published since 1985: Academic Index (Gale Group Business Applied Research, Theory, and Scholarship) Agricola Basis Biosis Business and Industry CAB Abstracts CINAHL (Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature) EconLit JOLIS (Joint on-line Library Information Service catalogue, World Bank) Lexis/Nexis Medline Popline ProQuest ScienceDirect WHO Catalogue WorldCat
A parallel effort is underway by staff of the Institute for Global Tobacco Control at Johns Hopkins University through their Global Tobacco Research Network database (GTRNdbase). The GTRNdbase project is compiling a bibliography of tobacco research published between 1985 and 2004 from peer reviewed journals, collected through 10 different electronic databases (Business Industry, Cumulative Index to Nursing & Allied Health Literature CINAHL, Academic Search Elite, EMBASE, PubMed, PsychInfo, World Health Organization Database, World Bank - JOLIS and Proquest).1 The research is being sorted into categories inspired by those of the National Organization of Tobacco Use Research Funding (NOTURF).2
1 The GTRNdbase initially covered countries where research on tobacco is being funded under the NIH/Fogarty Institute of International Health Grant for Tobacco Research, as well as Arabic Speaking countries. Countries included so far: Algeria, Argentina, Bahrain, Brazil, Cambodia, China, Dominican Republic, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Laos, Lebanon, Libya, Mexico, Morocco, Qatar, Republic of South Africa, Russia, Senegal, Syria, Tanzania, Tunis, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. 2 Maule C.O. 1999. “Classifying tobacco-related research: Development and use of a system to describe nonprofit extramural research funding in the United States and Canada” Nicotine & Tobacco Research, Volume 5 (4):585-588 (August 2003).
1 The World Bank shared the results of the literature search conducted for this report (and similar searches for India and Indonesia) with the GTRNdbase team, in an effort to prevent duplicate effort and expand the literature covered by the GTRNdbase over and beyond what is available in electronic servers. In turn, the GTRNdbase team provided a listing of all the documents on China their search had uncovered, and these have been added into this collection.
As of March 2004, the GTRNdbase had collected and categorized 350 publications for China, published between 1985 and 2003, 77% in journals with international audiences, and 23% in regional or national journals. The number of publications in each year varied from 1 (1985) to 35 (1997), with a generally increasing trend over the time period. More than half reported on research on diseases related to tobacco use and the effects of tobacco use. The next-biggest category (38% of the publications) dealt with tobacco growing, production or patterns of use. Only 11 articles—3%—reported on interventions delivered to populations or individuals to prevent or treat tobacco use.
No doubt, our searches have missed some articles and books. However, this document lists over 600 items in all, which is likely to represent a large fraction of the existing research on tobacco in China.
A very simple classification scheme is used in this report: Smoking/Tobacco Use Prevalence and Determinants, Health Risks and Cancer Research, Policies and Interventions to Reduce Tobacco Use, Agriculture and Tobacco Trade, Cigarette Production and Trade, and a “Miscellaneous and Background Research” category for things that did not fit easily into any of the other categories. Within each category, items are arranged alphabetically by the last name of the author, and, for multiple articles by the same author, chronologically, with the most recent article listed first. Where there is more than one author, the author who is listed first, is used. Articles are listed in all relevant categories, so for example, an item that deals with tobacco growing and cigarette production would be listed in both categories. An * indicates items that are listed in more than one category.
Users are warned – with apology – that there may be instances where authors’ first names and family names have been listed in the incorrect order, with authors categorized by their first name instead of by their family name. Every effort has been made not to muddle first and family names, but since family names are listed first in Chinese, while in English, they are listed last except in citations where family names are listed first, some errors may have crept in unnoticed.
Newspaper or news journal reports and articles that are published without author attribution are listed under the name of the journal or newspaper.
For as many as the articles and books as possible, an abstract or summary has been included in this compilation. In many cases, these abstracts are taken directly from the publication, although members of the research team wrote some.
2 AGRICULTURE AND TRADE