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LOCALITY INSIGHT an overview of the North West Locality

Strategy & Insight CITY & LOCALITY OVERVIEW City Overview Locality Overview • is an affluent city, but with • Locality level averages mask significant pockets of poverty and low income as variation at lower level geographies severe as any other city in across most measures • City population, and demand for • All services the Council provides are services has grown rapidly in the past needed in every locality decade. • Every locality contains at least one ward • This population and demand growth is or community which is significantly projected to continue throughout the different from the rest of the area next ten to fifteen years, facilitated by • Population growth in the next decade is planned housing developments. likely to be most concentrated towards the north of the city LOCALITIES - POPULATION & GROWTH

North West North East

167,120

159,104

141,723

135,377

127,795

122,954

110,905 94,650

2004 2014 2024 2034 2004 2014 2024 2034

South West South East

132,470

131,770

125,975

120,298

119,292

119,203

114,077 103,127

2004 2014 2024 2034 2004 2014 2024 2034 LOCALITIES – POPULATION STRUCTURE

North West North East

1.20 1.21 1.19 1.22 1.22 1.12 1.12 1.05 0.90 0.88 0.95 0.92 0.83 0.78 0.84 0.66

0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+ 0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+

South West South East

1.59

1.06 1.09 1.03 1.07 1.02 0.97 0.98 1.00 0.93 0.81 0.81 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.86

0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+ 0-4 5-11 12-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+ POVERTY IN EDINBURGH BY WARD AND LOCALITY, 2013/14 North West North East South East South West

30% 27% 29% 22% 24% 21% 20% 20% 18% 15% 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 7% 8%

5%

Forth

Leith

Almond

Inverleith

Leith Walk Leith

South East South

North East North

CityCentre

South West

North West North

Murrayfield

Duddingston

Pentland Hills Pentland

% of residents who live in low income householdslowincome in live who % residents of

Craigentinny /

Corstorphine /

Craiglockhart

Sighthill / / Sighthill

Fountainbridge /

Drum Brae / Gyle Brae / Drum

Liberton / Liberton /

Southside / Southside Newington

Portobello / / Portobello

Colinton / / Meadows / Morningside / Meadows Business Intelligence modelled estimates CHILD POVERTY IN EDINBURGH BY WARD AND LOCALITY, 2013/14

North West North East South East South West 35% 30% 27% 27% 25% 25% 26% 26% 22% 19% 20% 17% 18% 17% 15% 13% 14%

11% 11% 11% 12%

Forth

Leith

Almond

Inverleith

Leith Walk Leith

South East South

North East North

CityCentre

South West

North West North

% of children who live in low income householdsincome inlowlive who % childrenof

Murrayfield

Duddingston

Pentland Hills Pentland

Craigentinny / Craigentinny

Corstorphine / Corstorphine

Craiglockhart

Sighthill / Gorgie / Sighthill

Fountainbridge / Fountainbridge

Drum Brae / Gyle Brae / Drum

Liberton / Gilmerton Liberton /

Southside / Southside Newington

Portobello / Craigmillar / Portobello

Colinton / Fairmilehead / Colinton Meadows / Morningside / Meadows Business Intelligence modelled estimates SIMD 50% of datazones in 15% most 8% housing deprived nationally of datazones in 15% most NORTH EAST deprived nationally 16% NORTH WEST of datazones in 15% most deprived nationally 44% NORTH EAST of datazones in 15% most housing deprived nationally 12% SOUTH EAST of datazones in 15% most 5% deprived nationally of datazones in 15% most SOUTH WEST deprived nationally SOUTH EAST INCOME PROFILE - INDEX

North West North East

1.30 1.37 1.38 1.18 1.17 1.07 1.11 1.07 1.10 1.07 0.93 0.99 0.97 0.90 0.82 0.91 0.84 0.69 0.46 0.25 <£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ <£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k

South West South East

1.47 1.25 1.10 1.05 1.05 1.01 1.03 1.05 0.93 0.99 0.96 0.92 0.92 0.95 0.94 0.99 0.95 1.00 0.86 0.81

<£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ <£15k £15 - £20 - £30 - £40 - £50 - £60 - £70 - £100 - £150k+ 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k 19k 29k 39k 49k 59k 69k 99k 149k FINANCIAL STRESS

20% North West North East South East South West 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2%

0%

cope’ on current income current on cope’

Leith

Forth

Almond

Inverleith

Leith Walk Leith

City Centre City

Pentland Hills Pentland

t

% Households who find it ‘very difficult to to difficult ‘very it find who Households %

Sighthill/Gorgie

Drum Brae/Gyle Drum

Liberton/Gilmerton

Southside/Newington Portobello/Craigmillar

Ward Mean Colinton/Fairmilehead

Meadows/Morningside Corstorphine/Murrayfield Max/Min Craigentinny/Duddingston Datazone Fountainbridge/Craiglockhar Experian – Mosaic Scotland EMPLOYMENT

• Unemployment has been falling across all wards, citywide for the last two years • North West has the largest variation amongst wards with a low of 0.6% in Almond and a high of 2.3% in Forth • 43% of all of Edinburgh’s construction and manufacturing jobs based in North West HEALTH AND PHYSICAL ACTIVITY

Key Facts % Satisfaction with sports facilities run • Mortality rates are lower than any other by Edinburgh Leisure area in Edinburgh and considerably lower than the national average 76% 73% 72% 69% • 5.1% of residents in Forth consider their 60% health to be very bad or bad compared with 2.7% of those in Almond • Residents in Forth exercise the least and smoke the most

Almond Corstorphine / / Inverleith Forth Murrayfield Gyle SELF-DIAGNOSED HEALTH & ADMISSIONS

Self diagnosed: Hearing problems Self diagnosed: Depression

1.32 1.27 1.25 1.33 1.06 1.06 0.84 0.75 0.79 0.79

Almond Drum Brae Forth Inverleith Corstorphine Almond Drum Brae Forth Inverleith Corstorphine Gyle Murrayfield Gyle Murrayfield

Alcohol related hospital admissions rate Alcohol related hospital admissions rate (NP) 1.45 1.31 1.09 0.91 0.91 0.76 0.78 0.79

North West North East South West South East Almond Western Forth Inverleith CRIME AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOUR

Key Facts % Agree they feel safe after dark in • Large disparities in levels of crime and their neighbourhood disorder between Forth and other wards in NW 92% 91% 88% 87% • Customer satisfaction levels reflect the statistics 70%

Almond Corstorphine Drumbrae / Inverleith Forth Gyle VIOLENT CRIME

Violent Crimes in North West % Satisfied With The Way That Violent Crime Is Dealt With

1174 83% 68% 74% 72% 61%

385 294 304 361 VANDALISM

Vandalism in North West % Satisfied with the way in which vandalism/Graffiti is dealt with 723 80% 71% 71% 63% 55%

236 169 163 166 YOUNG PEOPLE

Child Poverty • North West has the lowest total number (18%) out of all four localities of children living in low income households • However, apart from Sighthill/Gorgie, Forth has the highest number of children (30%) living in low income households • 40% of looked-after children live in North West YOUNG PEOPLE

Education • Forth has the highest number of adults with no qualifications at 25% • 39% of primary schools are below the locality average but average attendance for all Primary schools is higher than city-wide target • The locality accounts for 15% of all primary exclusions city-wide (by time excluded) • Secondary schools in the locality contribute 40% of overall exclusions (by time excluded) CUSTOMER SATISFACTION WITH SCHOOLS

% Satisfaction with Primary Schools %Satisfaction with Secondary Schools

94% 94% 95% 94% 89% 89% 87% 88% 79% 78% VULNERABLE ADULTS

Key Facts % Agree Council provides care and • Number of adults living in with an open support for vulnerable people health care involvement vary with a low of 856 in Inverleith and a high of 1900 in 75% Forth 68% 60% 60% 53%

Almond Corstorphine / Drumbrae / Inverleith Forth Murrayfield Gyle OVERVIEW

Key Facts % Satisfaction with neighbourhood as a • In general, the satisfaction levels for the place to live North West neighbourhood are high with an exception of Forth ward 94% 94% 91% 94% • Roads and transport are bigger concerns 81% farther west • Lower satisfaction levels in Forth can be attributed to high levels of poverty, ASB and crime • 2014, prior to the introduction of Safer North, saw Forth record the lowest satisfaction ratings ever for many services Strategy & Insight Jo McStay David F Porteous Strategy & Insight Manager Lead Insight & Engagement Officer [email protected] [email protected] 0131 529 7950 0131 529 7127