Suitability of Missions for the Air Force Reserve Components
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This electronic representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for non- commercial use only. Unauthorized posting of RAND electronic documents to a non-RAND website is prohibited. RAND electronic documents are protected under copyright law. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of our research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please see RAND Permissions. This report is part of the RAND Corporation research report series. RAND reports present research findings and objective analysis that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors. All RAND reports undergo rigorous peer review to ensure high standards for research quality and objectivity. Research Report Suitability of Missions for the Air Force Reserve Components Albert A. Robbert, James H. Bigelow, John E. Boon, Jr., Lisa M. Harrington, Michael McGee, S. Craig Moore, Daniel M. Norton, William W. Taylor C O R P O R A T I O N Research Report Suitability of Missions for the Air Force Reserve Components Albert A. Robbert, James H. Bigelow, John E. Boon, Jr., Lisa M. Harrington, Michael McGee, S. Craig Moore, Daniel M. Norton, William W. Taylor RAND Project AIR FORCE Prepared for the United States Air Force Approved for public release; distribution unlimited The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Air Force under Contract FA7014-06-C-0001. Further information may be obtained from the Strategic Planning Division, Directorate of Plans, Hq USAF. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Robbert, Albert A., 1944- Suitability of missions for the Air Force Reserve components / Albert A. Robbert, James H. Bigelow, John E. Boon, Jr., Lisa M. Harrington, Michael McGee, S. Craig Moore, Daniel M. Norton, William W. Taylor. pages cm Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 978-0-8330-8215-2 (pbk. : alk. paper) 1. United States. Air Force —Reserves--Organization. 2. United States. Air Force— Operational readiness. 3. United States. Air Force—Mobilization. I. Title. UG853.R62 2014 358.4'1370973—dc23 2014005070 The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND—make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute.html R® is a registered trademark. © Copyright 2014 RAND Corporation This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of RAND documents to a non-RAND website is prohibited. RAND documents are protected under copyright law. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of our research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please see the RAND permissions page (www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.html). RAND OFFICES SANTA MONICA, CA • WASHINGTON, DC PITTSBURGH, PA • NEW ORLEANS, LA • JACKSON, MS BOSTON, MA • CAMBRIDGE, UK • BRUSSELS, BE www.rand.org Preface The composition of Air Force active and reserve forces is often contentious, with leadership of the active and reserve components, their proponents in the Congress, advocacy groups, and policy analysts seeing the issue through different lenses. During a force drawdown, which the Air Force currently faces as part of a broader, budget-driven reduction in defense spending, contention rises. This document is intended to inform force composition decisions by clarifying issues that affect the suitability of missions for assignment to the reserve components. It builds on earlier RAND work that addressed costs and other aspects of the active/reserve mix. The research reported here was sponsored by the Vice Chief of Staff, United States Air Force, and conducted within the Manpower, Personnel, and Training Program of RAND Project AIR FORCE as part of a fiscal year 2012 study “Size and Shape of the Future Total Force.” RAND Project AIR FORCE RAND Project AIR FORCE (PAF), a division of the RAND Corporation, is the U.S. Air Force’s federally funded research and development center for studies and analyses. PAF provides the Air Force with independent analyses of policy alternatives affecting the development, employment, combat readiness, and support of current and future air, space, and cyber forces. Research is conducted in four programs: Force Modernization and Employment; Manpower, Personnel, and Training; Resource Management; and Strategy and Doctrine. Additional information about PAF is available on our website: http://www.rand.org/paf. iii iv Contents Preface ............................................................................................................................................ iii Figures........................................................................................................................................... vii Tables ............................................................................................................................................. ix Summary ........................................................................................................................................ xi Acknowledgements ...................................................................................................................... xix Abbreviations ............................................................................................................................... xxi 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 1 Previous Research ............................................................................................................................ 2 Force Composition Trends ............................................................................................................... 5 Methodology .................................................................................................................................. 12 Organization of the Report ............................................................................................................. 12 2. Considerations ........................................................................................................................... 13 Availability and Cost ..................................................................................................................... 14 Other Considerations ..................................................................................................................... 29 Summary of Suitability Criteria ..................................................................................................... 40 Organizational Constructs .............................................................................................................. 43 3. Analysis of Missions ................................................................................................................. 49 Flying Missions .............................................................................................................................. 51 RED HORSE ................................................................................................................................. 52 Cyber .............................................................................................................................................. 56 The Remotely Piloted Aircraft Mission ......................................................................................... 63 Space .............................................................................................................................................. 70 4. Conclusions and Recommendations ......................................................................................... 77 Shift Force Mixes to Best Match Demands ................................................................................... 77 Change Policies and Procedures to Better Influence Outcomes .................................................... 77 Review and Revise Organizational Constructs .............................................................................. 80 Appendix A. MPA Man-Day Management and Utilization ......................................................... 81 Appendix B. Memorandum