Thursday, Nov. 7, 2002 ! Volume 9, Number 15 Page 1 of 9 What a strange trip The that election was ... Howey !"#$%#&'()**)+,#&-(.%*&-("#/&*$/&0/)1 By BRIAN A. HOWEY in and MARK SCHOEFF JR in Washington The Democratic National Committee had a plan. They Political wanted a cadre of protesters outside the Downtown Marriott Hotel in Indianapolis last Friday morning, picketing Vice President Dick Cheney, who was in town to campaign for Report 7th CD Republican Brose McVey. This took place at 6:30 in the morning, and a handful The Howey Political Report is published by NewsLink of labor guys showed up, but not enough to man all the “Are Inc. Founded in 1994, The Howey Political Report is You Better Off Than You Were Two Years Ago?”signs. But an independent, non-partisan newsletter analyzing the help arrived, in the form of a scruffy cloud surrounding political process in . recruited “volunteers” from the downtown Wheeler Mission. Brian A. Howey, publisher The homeless men manned the signs and they all Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington writer headed over to the Marriott, where scores of marvelously Jack E. Howey, editor dressed Republican men and women were arriving in BMWs, Cadillacs and Lincoln Navigators on this crisp The Howey Political Report Office: 317-254-1533 morning in America. The recruits could be seen pounding on PO Box 40265 Fax: 317-968-0487 Indianapolis, IN 46240-0265 Mobile: 317-506-0883 the luxury vehicle windows, yelling, “Are you better off than you were two years ago?” as horrified men and women [email protected] www.howeypolitics.com gaped and gasped from inside. It was a good question, for the rich and poor alike. Washington office: 202-775-3242; But in one of the most perplexing elections ever recorded, Business Office: 317-254-0535. the economy and the sour Dow didn’t matter. For Rep. John Subscriptions: $250 annually via e-mail or Hostettler supporters, the war (and his vote against the fax; $450 annually including the HPR Daily resolution) didn’t matter. Sometimes the stunningly popular Wire. Call 317-254-1533 or 254-0535. President George W. Bush didn’t matter. © 2002, The Howey Political Report. All rights This election defied virtually all logic. Normally the reserved. Photocopying, Internet forwarding, faxing or President’s party loses 30 seats in his first mid-term. Bush reproducing in any form, in whole or in part, is a viola- not only finds a House at 224, the U.S. Senate (making Sen. tion of federal law and is strictly prohibited without Dick Lugar chair of the Foreign Relations Committee), but consent of the publisher. he picked up in the 2nd, though he lost . This was a vicious and vacuous campaign; a campaign that seemed to be run on a New Deal/Great Society/Cold War axis despite the crushing 21st Century problems that lie “ will not go down!” in wait just over the horizon; the ghosts and demons of Sept. 11, 2001, shadowing everything, stoking ... fear itself. - U.S. Rep. Julia Carson telling election work- The candidates responded with tattling, confrontation- al ads and fliers, with a wallow-in-the-dirt mentality, victim- ers the voting machine lever on her name would ization and racial politics, which comforted no one. not register her vote early Tuesday morning Madison Avenue meets da good ol’ boys By virtually all accounts, Brose McVey had run an Thursday, Nov. 7. 2002 Page 2 of 9

MOSES EXITS SPEAKER RACE: With Rep. Winfield Moses having won his HD81 race by 56 votes, his poor showing is expected to drive him from the speak- er’s race, raising the possi- bility that Rep. Chet Dobis will be the main challenger to Rep. Pat Bauer, D-South Bend, who is chairman of the powerful Ways and Means Committee (Post- Tribune), when Democrats meet at 1 p.m. today. "It's over. I'm out," Moses said (Fort Wayne Journal almost flawless campaign. He talked it up.” Gazette).Many insiders issues with people, received endorsements The content might as well have believe Moses spent far too from young African-American leaders, been gasoline dumped on the Carson much time focusing on the ran positive, face-to-the-camera and flame. It fueled Carson’s legendary unde- speaker's race rather than his re-election campaign, upbeat commercials. He was warm, feated ground game. something he said could be friendly and on-the-ball. Carson seemed Carson initially said the ads made true in hindsight. "Maybe I slow and unresponsive, almost as if she her cry because she had been caring for should have done a little were on some type of heavy medication. her dying mother. When the Indianapolis more here or there," he Washington Democrats fretted that Carson Star reported that Carson’s mother died in said. "I knew there was a was blowing a sure thing. Local 1987 (a decade prior to the late taxes doc- risk trying to do both but Democrats such as Tom New and David umented in the ad), Carson responded two seldom is there a chance to Johnson were worried. Then, on Oct. 24, a ways. First, she put up a positive ad where try and bring a speaker back to Fort Wayne." Other stink bomb arrived from the National she quoted Winston Churchill (“when names have been added to Republican Campaign Committee. people do their worst, that’s when we’ll the list of Democrats vying It was the “Julia Didn’t Pay Her do our best”), ending it with this prophetic for the speaker’s position in Taxes On Time” ad. It showed a grumpy pronouncement: “Actions speak louder recent days, including Rep. photo of Rep. Carson in one of her trade- than words.” Paul Robertson, D-DePauw, mark hats. “We knew they were going to To the McVey campaign, the and Rep. Ed Mahern, D- put up an ad,” said McVey campaign man- Meridian Hills Kiwanis Club debate might Indianapolis, who ran the ager Tim Searcy. The campaign’s media as well have been that seaside village in House campaigns. Senate President Pro Tempore Bob buyer tipped them off, and when Searcy the movie Apocalypse Now, with Kilroy Garton was re-elected to called the RNCC to see if he could see the (played by Carson here) and Air Cav on that post, which he has held ad, “They said, sure, at 10 a.m., and it the way. Carson came in with an since 1980. Rep. Jonathan went up at 8.” entourage, declared that she “didn’t feel Weinzapfel will seek elec- Republican Chairman Jim Kittle comfortable being in the same room with tion as majority leader. explained that that’s the law. The cam- him” (as quoted in Newsweek’s Perspec- paign cannot be involved in an indepen- tives and the Drudge Report) and stalked HOUSE RECOUNTS: House dent expenditure. Searcy said, “We didn’t out of the debate. Her indignation filled Continued on page 3 know what the content was until they put two news cycles, injecting the fuel of Page 3 of 9 Thursday, Nov. 7, 2002 attack and race into her ground machine. Black Expo by Councilors Bob Massie “It changed the dynamic of the and Bill Dowden. race,” Searcy said. McVey had an attack McVey could only sigh that he had of its own -- the fact that Carson had no control over the RNCC, and that he never paid off a summary judgment over wished the good ol’ boys would just let the city razing a dilapidated property she him run his own campaign. The majority owned. It also noted that her ally, Mayor didn’t buy it. The Carson machine, run Minority Leader Brian Peterson’s administration, never pressed out of her North Park Street garage, was Bosma said Republicans her for compensation. described by a Wall Street Journal may request a recount in Carson made the rest of her cam- reporter as the most sophisticated ground HD86 between Rep. Jim paign a referendum on negative advertis- operation he had ever witnessed. It was Atterholt and Democrat David Orentlicher, and three ing. On Election Day, her partisans in “knock and drag, house to house, call ‘em Center and Pike Townships turned out others, including the 81st on the phone” program, all by scorecard. District, in which Rep. Win heavy and won her a 13,000 vote victory. “That allows you to turn out about Moses, D-Fort Wayne, beat “We played a tactical game, com- 13,000 more people,” Searcy sighed. Republican challenger municated a message, a logical message, Carson emerged 24-0, but she spoke only Matthew Kelty by a mere 64 and she played a tremendous number of about a minute at her rally after cancelling votes (Lesley Stedman, emotional games,” Searcy observed. “She her afternoon Election Day rounds. She Louisville Courier-Journal). claims she is a victim and the assumption seemed extremely tired and some Bosma said Republicans is that someone who goes up against her Democratic partisans worried about her also were concerned about is a racist. She pulled it again. There’s not absentee ballot irregulari- health. All Carson would say was, "It is ties in District 45, where a thing about Julia Carson that is not cal- not my victory. It is our victory. We kept culated.” Democrat Alan Chowning the 7th Congressional District in the hands beat Republican Bruce The RNCC stink bomb wud-unt of the people." Borders for an open seat. nuthin’ compared to McVey’s Old Guard And Republicans are Cottey-Schneider wing of the party. Tom The President’s Guy reviewing the results in Schneider’s sheriff campaign released a District 17, in which Rep. campaign flier with a photo of Carson that You could just see President Scott Reske, D-Pendleton, looked like it came from the Al Jolson, George W. Bush, shoulders back, thumb beat Republican Rob Steele Amos N’ Andy era. It was the raw, stupid and finger on chin, checking out the fine by 410 votes. The last gen- blunder that brought Mayor Peterson out young man in Chris Chocola some time eral election recount in the for a Sunday afternoon press conference ago. He promised to help him out. House occurred in 1996, when Rep. Vern Tincher, denunciating “over the top” racist tactics. Bush traveled to more than 30 who lost his re-election bid Chairman Ed Treacy pulled a cam- states and raised a record $140 million while his popularity moved between 63 on Tuesday, was locked in a paign button out of his pocket showing a tight race with Republican and 70 percent through most of the cam- mocking image of Carson in a state troop- David Lohr. The House er hat. "If they're going to do that kind of paign cycle. OMB Director seated Tincher during the crap, I'm going to use it against them," was worried in July that the president’s recount, giving Democrats said Treacy, who told HPR last week that numbers would begin to drop, but they their 50th seat and control if McVey lost, it would be because of neg- never, ever did. of the chamber. The recount ative TV ads. On paper and with conventional commission's tally also It was one of a series of racially wisdom, Chocola looked like a goner. He gave Tincher the nod, and the House accepted those tinged screw-ups from the Cottey- was a CEO who, Democrat Jill Long results. "It's not over yet," Thompson alleged, laid off people, cut Schneider wing of the party -- “Neander- said Rep. Paul Robertson thals,” as Amos Brown of the Indiana- benefits and sold his inherited company to (Shannon Lohrmann, polis Recorder called them -- beginning Warren Buffet. He lived outside the dis- Lafayette Journal & with the “Crime is moving to the trict. He had developed a political mean Courier). "Everyone has to Township” flier in the waning days of the streak from his close call against U.S. feel relieved, but it could 1999 mayoral race, followed by the Rep. in 2000. He and change." “gorillas and thugs” comments following Thompson engaged in a $3 million cam- continued on page 4 Thursday, Nov. 7, 2002 Page 4 of 9

paign that will be remembered for years ever waged on Hoosier soil. as one of the ugliest, nastiest races ever. It was so bad that the South Bend Tribune’s & Straw Hats Jack Colwell told both of them they were The Sept. 11 terrorist attacks and a the “most despised people in the district.” possible war with Iraq combined to over- In late summer, a number of REPUBLICANS SECOND shadow issues that would have given GUESS CAUCUS MONEY: Republicans fretted about the Chocola Bryan Hartke’s campaign the momentum Republican Matt Kelty's campaign, just as the Democrats in it needed to overcome incumbent GOP impressive showing against Indianapolis were worried about Carson. Rep. John Hostettler in the 8th CD, State Rep. Win Moses had It all seemed to change when Bush landed Hartke said on Wednesday. some House Republicans in South Bend on Sept. 5 and the money “There was not only a confusion of wondering whether the out- flowed. issues but distraction,” said Hartke. His come would have been dif- Long Thompson led most of the agenda consisted of protecting Social ferent had the caucus put fall, but Chocola defeated her by 4 percent more resources into the Security, providing prescription coverage on Tuesday, just five days after President race. "I don't think the for Medicare, promoting education, and House Republican Bush -- the campaigner-in-chief -- bolstering the economy. “One of the Campaign Caucus paid returned to South Bend for one last good things I would have done differently is enough attention to the word. Residency and the economy turned hammer those issues a lot harder,” he north races," said Rep. to war and the military. With the help of said.. Phyllis Pond, R-New Haven U.S. Rep. , Chocola repeated- Hartke fell to Hostettler by 52 per- (Niki Kelly, Fort Wayne ly “stood shoulder-to-shoulder” with Bush cent to 46 percent. Hostettler spent Journal Gazette). "Kelty did while Long Thompson was funded by $373,667 on his campaign, with $63,000 most of this on his own." WAND and other peaceniks. Thompson Campaign finance reports for media, while Hartke spent $272,335. show the caucus didn't give even helped lure away an F-16 squadron Hostettler survived a firestorm of contro- heavily to the race until the from Grissom Air Force Base to Fort versy over a meeting in the spring with end of the campaign, and Wayne a decade ago. Chocola’s campaign breast cancer survivors in which he even that was well below even put a flier out that compared implied that the disease was related to other hotly contested races. Thompson with “Hanoi Jane Fonda.” abortion. In the waning days of the race, "We were outspent by $1 Bush’s appeal carried Chocola to the DCCC announced that it was sinking million in all. If we would full command of Washington resources -- about $200,000 into Hartke’s campaign, have had that money, we the House, the Senate -- for the first time would have spent it," said which seemed to be surging. But a House Minority Leader for a Republican president since Hostettler aide said that there was no evi- Brian Bosma, R- Eisenhower. dence of DCCC ad buys. Indianapolis. "We spent Democratic partisans were “It never happened,” said Jim what we had. We gave appalled that didn’t Banks, spokesman for the Hostettler cam- money where our best use the residency issue down the stretch. paign. “It looked to us like the Hartke guess was as we went Or use Tim Roemer in more TV ads. campaign was trying to spread a rumor to along." Chocola’s forces seemed to have her on raise more money.” One Democratic oper- her heels, as was the case in LaPorte when ative told us it was “Hartke crack.” LUGAR ‘SATISFIED’ TO RETURN TO CHAIR: The went in for an endorse- Hartke said national Democrats Republican takeover ment. Brademas was asked by a reporter, stepped up for him. “We did get financial Tuesday of the Senate will “Didn’t you ask President Clinton to par- support and people support from the make Indiana Sen. Richard don Marc Rich?” Gulp. DCCC. I don’t know the totals.” But if the Lugar the chairman of the Long Thompson said she had no DCCC did get into the race, it did so late Senate Foreign Relations regrets about her campaign. Chocola’s in the game. “The earlier I could have got- Committee, a post that better campaign financing “was probably ten support, the better it would have could be particularly impor- the decisive factor,” Long Thompson said. been,” said Hartke. tant as the country defends Chocola spent about $1.8 million; But Democratic sources told HPR itself against terrorists and edges toward military action Long Thompson about $1.2 million, mak- that some Washington operatives were not ing it the most expensive U.S. House race impressed with former Sen. Vance continued on page 5 Page 5 of 9 Thursday, Nov. 7, 2002

Hartke’s involvement in the campaign. last-minute ads, sponsored by the One story was that $20,000 sent to Hartke Democratic party, were specious. They was meant for TV, but ended up buying asserted that Sodrel violated the law by straw hats and billboards. living in Columbus but voting in New Polls that purported to show Hartke Albany. “Baron is well known for his cheap gaining were never documented. But against Iraq. "It's very satis- then, he came within 6 percent of shots late in the game,” said Sodrel com- fying," the typically under- Hostettler, lending credence to speculation munications director Olympus Zarris. “It’s stated Lugar said after mak- that the DCCC had passed on a race it to be expected from Baron. It’s bunk ing his first public speech could have won. because you could say that Baron breaks on foreign relations As usual in this hotly contested dis- the law by living in Washington and vot- Wednesday as the incoming trict, which leans Democratic after being ing in Seymour.” The 11th hour ad bar- committee chairman (Maureen Groppe, Lafayette redrawn by the state legislature, it was the rage took its toll on the Sodrel campaign. “What really hurt us is that the DCCC Journal & Courier). Because ground war that made the difference. Republicans also retained dumped in close to $400,000 to save “Once again, the Hostettler grass roots control of the House, the pulled out a big win,” said Banks. He said Hill,” he said.t four Indiana GOP members that the campaign had a coordinator in The Hill campaign dismisses the who head committees or each county and four or five assistant Sodrel criticism. “Mike Sodrel was por- subcommittees will likely coordinators who worked on yard signs, traying himself as someone he was not,” keep their posts. But phone banks, and door-to-door efforts. On said Hill campaign manager Scott because of GOP term limits election day, they had two or three volun- Downes. “He was living in Columbus and on chairmanships, Rep. Dan voting in New Albany, and you’re not Burton, R-Indianapolis, will teers at each polling place. be trading in his chairman- Hostettler’s air war also pierced allowed to do that.” The campaign lurched from somno- ship of the House Govern- Hartke, and drew criticism. “Some of the ment Reform Committee, lent to fierce in the last three weeks. Hill’s ads my opponent put up were obviously where he has led high-pro- lies,” said Hartke. “I should have team blames Sodrel for the shift in tone. file inquiries, for a subcom- answered them specifically, but my focus “He drug the campaign into the mud,” mittee chairmanship on was on issues rather than answering him.” said Downes. “Mike Sodrel chose to make either the reform panel or Hartke is considering running this a negative campaign. He made out- the House International landish charges about Social Security, Relations Committee. The again. “I haven’t made that commitment, education and corporate responsibility. It’s party control switch means but I am considering it very strongly,” he a typical attack that political challengers Indiana Sen. , a said. do.” Democrat, will no longer Hostettler will be ready. Banks said chair the international trade Zarris said it was Hill’s message the congressman finished the campaign and finance panel of the that was falling flat with voters. with more money in the bank than in his Senate Banking Committee. “Message-wise, we were right on track,” previous races. He had $181,000 cash on But with the tenuous GOP he said. “But all of (Hill’s) messages hand at the end of September. “We’ll have hold on the Senate, Bayh never got traction. Then he pulled out the still has clout as a leader of more money than ever before for next lie.” the conservative Democrats year,” said Banks. “Fundraising will be a Sodrel spent more than $1.1 million who sometimes vote with priority right away.” on his campaign, much of it from his own Republicans. bank account, with more than $300,000 Hill Stops Sodrel Upset going into media. Hill spent a little less INDIANA ELECTION RESULTS Republican Mike Sodrel was right than $1 million, with more than $577,000 where he wanted to be going into the devoted to media. Hill won the seat 51- 46 CONGRESSIONAL RACES home stretch of the campaign, running percent. “Mike Sodrel spent about 17 1ST CD well in southern Clark and Floyd counties times the amount (2000 GOP nominee) Visclosky (D) 89,590 in the sprawling district. But then he was Mike Bailey spent and got 2 percent more Leyva (R) 41,860 hit with a wave of advertising on behalf of of the vote,” said Downes. Hill told jubi- Brennan (L) 2,746 incumbent Democratic Rep. . lant supporters late Tuesday night, "You The Sodrel campaign complained that the rejected the notion of a negative cam- continued on page 6 Thursday, Nov. 7, 2002 Page 6 of 9

paign. You rejected the notion that one more money than Fox ($1 million to with wealth can buy an election." $322,000) and spent $380,000 on a series Sodrel, a bus and trucking company of feel-good media, he said that it was executive, appeared with President Bush work at the grass-roots level that turned in Louisville last Friday, but resorted to out to be the most important factor on using TV ads featuring a monkey while Tuesday. His campaign received momen- 2nd CD mocking Hill. tum from more than 750 volunteers work- Chocola (R) 95,074 Sodrel might have pulled off he ing across the district on election day. His Thompson (D) 86,177 upset with more help from Washington, organization called every registered Metheny (L) 7,101 his campaign said. “Looking at the crystal Republican in Delaware County at least 3rd CD ball in June or July and then not looking once. Souder (R) 92,559 back in the crystal ball again is not the Fox, who had to suspend her cam- Rigdon (D) 50,500 smartest thing,” Zarris said of the decision paign fundraising last Sept. 11 and then Donlan (L) 3,531 by the National Republican Congressional put the campaign on auto pilot when her Committee to mostly steer clear of the mother became ill, tied her campaign to 4th CD race. “This was one to pick up.” the economy, the corporate scandal and Buyer (R) 86,272 repealing NAFTA. Her campaign seemed Abbott (D) 28,561 ’s constituents Susong (L) 2,493 to reach an apex last July when she toured Republican Rep. Mike Pence the district in a Studebaker. But, she said, 5th CD believes he won re-election on Tuesday there was one main reason separating her Burton (R) 98,226 because of what he stands for and what he from victory: “Money.” Carr (D) 33,143 delivers. “It is a strongly conservative Adkins (L) 3,959 area,” he said of the new 6th CD, which Rokita and Fernandez he won with 64 percent of the vote over 6th CD This was the most disappointing Democratic challenger Melina Fox, who race. Republican and Pence (R) 118,438 garnered 34 percent. “We have kept our Fox (D) 63,873 Democrat John Fernandez are the next promise of taking conservative values to Robertson (L) 3,406 generation of young leaders. Both are Washington.” likeable, hard working, and were remark- But he said that it’s just as impor- 7th CD ably similar on the issues. tant to concentrate on brass tacks as it is Carson (D) 77,327 Fernandez had an almost 2-to-1 McVey (R) 64,352 philosophy to be re-elected. Pence credit- money margin over Rokita, and had been Horning (L) 3,909 ed his staff, especially constituent service running for 18 months, while Rokita did- aides, for building a strong rapport with n’t even have the nomination until June 8th CD the people of the district. “We’re spending 14, winning a spirited convention floor Hostettler (R) 98,941 more on people (hiring staff) than on Hartke (D) 88,744 fight on an exhausting third ballot against franked mail,” Pence said. He said that Williams (L) 5,150 three opponents. when he ran unsuccessfully against former The advantages come Labor Day 9th CD Rep. Phil Sharp in 1988 and 1990, he was frustrated that voters who would agree seemed to even out. The Republican Hill (D) 96,654 statewide ticket was expected to run Sodrel (R) 87,169 with him on the issues would back Sharp Melton (Green) 2,745 because of his help with Social Security stronger, but Fernandez had the money. Cox (L) 2,389 checks and other services. “It used to And he sat on the money until October, drive me nuts, frankly,” said Pence. “But running 5 days of bio ads before launch- INDIANA HOUSE RACES it taught me a lesson about doing the ing a bitter TV ad trying to tie Rokita to 8th District unglamorous parts of this job. There’s an IPALCO director (Mitch Daniels). The R. Dvorak, (D) 10,949 almost no better compliment you could tactic was almost universally rejected. Baxmeyer (R) 9,009 pay me than to compare my constituent Many Democrats wondered why Fernandez didn’t run more bio ads earlier. 17th District organization to that of Congressman Phil Heim (R) 10,073 Sharp.” Winters (D) 7,422 Although Pence raised considerably Page 7 of 9 Thursday, Nov. 7, 2002

Atterholt & Orentlicher Wayne News-Sentinel report Mike Dooley Everyone suspected that HD86 was observed, “He’ll be speaker some day.” going to be the linchpin for control of the But not today. Indiana House, particularly after House Moses spent hardly a dime in his Minority Leader Brian Bosma pressed for 1992 primary race against Charles Redd 11 Hamilton County precincts to be after losing a race for a third mayoral added to the district at the 11th hour or term in 1987 against Paul Helmke. Once in the House, he rose quickly to the front 19th District redistricting. And that’s exactly what Kuzman (D) 7,620 of the chamber. On Election Night 1994, happened after a grueling campaign Roth (R) 6,355 between State Rep. Jim Atterholt, who he and Rep. Mark Kruzan raced to ran a generally positive campaign, and Indianapolis to help Gregg steal the 26th District Democrat David Orentlicher, who used a Minority Leader position away from B. Scholer (R) 5,623 controversial “gun control” ad to stoke up Patrick Bauer with a series of all-night Micon (D) 4,835 a district filled with Rockefeller Republi- phone calls. As November 2002 neared, 27th DIstrict cans, Jeep Chicks, and soccer moms who many Republ-icans could be heard mut- tering that the man they feared most as Klinker (D) 6,352 cringe at the word “Columbine.” speaker ... was Moses, a shrewd tactician Hicks (R) 3,835 “Our research showed that mes- Bennett (D) 295 with a good grip on the issues. Those sage would work there,” said outgoing same attributes earned him enemies in the House Speaker John Gregg. “It wouldn’t 30th District caucus who saw him as too calculating. have worked in my district.” Herrell (D) 9,017 Word inside the Democratic cau- Atterholt was declared the winner Rudolph (R) 6,966 cus by mid-October was that Bauer had by 26 votes Tuesday night; the results Fridholm (L) 379 out-maneuvered Moses for speaker. flipped late Wednesday afternoon, giving While Moses continued to work his lead- 36th District the cerebral and Jewish Orentlicher a 37- ership angles, Republican Matt Kelty, Austin (D) 8,640 vote win. A “disappointed” Bosma called added to the ticket in June, knocked on Kincaid (R) 7,918 Orentlicher's campaign ads ''awful'' and doors, raised more money and by ''despicable'' and said he was dismayed 37th District Election Night, had come within 64 votes that such commercials would boost a can- Reske (D) 9,009 of one of the biggest House upsets since didate to victory. Some thought the gun Steele (R) 8,599 Michael K. Phillips lost in 1994. Signs message would ignite the NRA wing of that Moses was in trouble came about a 44th District the party, but that was in the one GOP week ago when he ran TV ads for the A. Thomas (R) 8,997 district that has decidedly slim numbers first time since 1987. Wednesday, Moses Schimpf (D) 6,507 there. told the Fort Wayne Journal Gazette, “It's What’s in store for Atterholt and over. I'm out. Maybe I should have done 45th District Orentlicher? I just remember U.S. Rep. a little more here or there. I knew there Chowning (D) 9,627 Borders (R) 9,337 Frank McCloskey saying in August 1994 was a risk trying to do both but seldom is that he’d rather lose than go through a there a chance to try and bring a speaker 46th District recount. He lost that year and didn’t have back to Fort Wayne." to endure what he did in 1984-85. As LaPlante (R) 8,079 Moses blamed his low numbers Tincher (D) 7,275 McCloskey or any politico or reporter on voter turnout, and said the margin is who has ever covered a recount will tell not an indicator that his constituents are 48th District you, it’s almost worse than cancer, a unhappy with his performance. Neese (R) 10,251 slow, skin-crawling, cooped-up, sweaty, "I can tell you exactly what hap- Carter (D) 5,248 linchpin atmosphere ... you wouldn’t wish pened. My opponent got the normal base 52nd District on your worst enemy. Republican vote and the Democrats did Stutsman (R) 6,950 not come out to vote," Moses said. Sturtz (D) 6,701 Winfield Moses Jr. The Kelty-Moses race could be The day Winfield Moses Jr. an interesting precursor to power -- ulti- returned to public life in 1992, Fort mate power -- in Indiana. Kelty is a for- continued on page 8 Thursday, Nov. 7, 2002 Page 8 of 9

mer aide to U.S. Sen. , who ran and targeted some Democrats, such as one of the top political organizations in Rep. Scott Reske, who responded to the Indiana, spawning people like Brose arm twisting over tax restructuring with McVey, Tim Goeglein and Michael two critical “aye” votes. Gerson (both now at the Bush White By Wednesday, it appeared that the 56th District House). The Coats organization was very House had flipped Democratic, and there Pflum (D) 6,511 conservative, but as Mike Pence would were those unamused by what they saw as Hamm (R) 6,096 say, “in a good mood about it”and without a Chamber double-cross. Lt. Gov. Joe the polarizing trappings of other move- Kernan was diplomatic but irritated that 57th District ment conservatives who seem sour and accommodating Democrats were targeted. Stine (R) 8,384 nasty. Referring to the TV ads, Kernan’s brow Wheeler (D) 5,429 That Dan Coats, the ambassador furrowed and he said, “A lot of our people Jester (L) 508 to Germany and a finalist to be President were getting beat up.” He hoped that at Bush’s secretary of defense, is now pon- “6:01, we’ll be able to work in a biparti- 60th District dering a run for governor in 2004 makes san way.” Welch (D) 9,830 Sabbagh (R) 6,154 the Kelty run interesting, because even Zeller, who heads the Indiana AFL- Billingsley (L) 769 though he lost, Democrats saw on display CIO, was more blunt. “Democrats that kind of work ethic and retail conser- received the same old BS. I hope our peo- 68th District vatism they might expect should a 2004 ple see that no matter what they do for the Bischoff (D) 10,239 Coats effort materialize. business community, they always go after Keeton (R) 6,657 our people.” Brooks LaPlante While Brinegar is concerned that 72nd District What about House District 46? we some of the gains business received in HB Cochran (D) 10,402 1001 will be rolled back to solve a $700 Bergman (R) 8,594 kept asking the House GOP and Democratic operatives. Rep. Vern Tincher million deficit, his election funding gam- 75th District was defeated once before, in 1994. The ble in the House didn’t earn him any new Avery (D) 9,070 district was supposed to be a little better friends in what might be the majority cau- Abell (R) 6,101 for a Democrat. And there was Brooks cus. LaPlante, a Terre Haute industrialist, tall 80th District in stature, friendly, curious and with a Peter Manous’ Mixed Bag GiaQuinta (D) 4,685 probing intellectual capacity that translat- If anyone had to be concerned Howell (R) 3,415 ed well on the retail level. about comparison, it was Democratic 81st District LaPlante won by more than 750 Chairman Peter Manous. He was follow- Moses (D) 4,718 votes on Tuesday in a race that everyone ing two immensely popular and successful Kelty (R) 4,654 said had crept in under the radar. How he chairmen, Joe Andrew and Robin did it was take his own success -- he cre- Winston. But Manous faced something 86th District ated 200 new jobs at a metal company he they didn’t: the notion that while it has Orentlicher (D) 9,904 owns -- and tirelessly worked the 46th been a good run during the Bayh- Atterholt (R) 9,867 District with a “been there/done that” O’Bannon years, all things must come to message that assailed the O’Bannon- an end. If anything haunts Joe Kernan and INDIANA OCTOBER Kernan administration. What House Manous, it is the John Mutz syndrome REVENUES STILL DOWN: Republicans will find is a new member (good man; wrong time). And Manous State revenue collections in October were $49.2 million that has the potential for leadership. was facing pressure on another front with short of what state officials Jim Kittle’s recharged Republican Party expected for the month, Ken Zeller and Joe Kernan that was setting the stage for a Mitch State Budget Director Kevin Brinegar of the Indiana Daniels gubernatorial bid in 2004. Marilyn F. Schultz said Chamber must have had a tired smile on Manous’s first election night started today. But collections for his face when he turned in Tuesday night. good, with emphatic wins by Marion the first four months of fis- He had a 50/50 House and a Republican County Sheriff Frank Anderson, Julia cal year 2003 were $180.3 secretary of state. The Chamber had Carson and Baron Hill. There were the million - 6.3 percent - above off-setting defeats of John Fernandez and collections during the same dumped about $300,000 into House races Page 9 of 9 Thursday, Nov. 7, 2002 the state ticket. And then the most critical Kittle “needed a win” to get his GOP loss, the Indiana House. detractors with his game plan. On Tuesday “Last night was a mixed bag,” night, he got some foundational wins: Manous said mid-Wednesday afternoon. “I Todd Rokita, Chris Chocola, Marion looked across the state and I saw some of County Prosecutor Carl Brizzi, and, he the most negative campaigns I’ve ever thought, the Indiana House. At this writ- seen in some of the Congressional races. ing, Republicans are still pressing for period a year ago. "October was another month of mixed Obviously I’m disappointed in the John changes after defining “irregularities” and results," Schultz said. "We're Fernandez race. But assuming we hold the may get the House back. If that happens, it pleased that revenues for the House, we did pretty good against a pretty would belike Kittle winning a trifecta. first four months of the year big Republican tidal wave.” Whether he gets the House back, are above those in the same Wait a minute ... assuming we hold the credibility remains. He expects to period of FY02 but it is still the House. The recanvassing of HD86 was “exceed $6 million raised,” which beats a troublesome that, even with on-going, and Manous’ GOP counterparts party record of $5.088 million in a presi- higher revenues from gaming were preparing for a victory lap around dential year. “What this does is set up to and cigarette taxes, they have the Statehouse rotunda. attract the best of class,” Kittle said. “That fallen short of the amount fore- Manous didn’t skip a beat. “We ought to encourage people to run against cast in November 2001, on which the budget was based." raised a record amount of money -- should Lt. Gov. Joe Kernan. People do believe Schultz said that there still is be at least $5.5 million when it all comes we’re on the wrong track and we do need no indication that the national in,” he said. “If we hold the House, a leadership change.” recession that has so damaged always the key, we hope that trend will The goal was to create a strong Indiana's revenues has begun continue. We’ll just have to wait and see.” enough organization that OMB Director to ebb. Individual income (up Manous engaged Kittle in firing Mitch Daniels comes back and take on 2.1 percent) and sales tax (up 2 broadsides at each other. Like the Kernan in 2004. As for the gubernatorial percent) collections came Andrew/Winston eras, the Democrats campaign, Kittle said, “I’m not even sure close to meeting the 2.7 per- operate in a busy atmosphere, but scaled it’s up in the air. We may have one, maybe cent rate of growth that the down from their foes at 47 S. Meridian. two candidates, but not five or six. If budget anticipates, but corpo- rate income collections fell ter- Manous will point out that his Democrats Mitch is going to be our candidate, we’ll ribly short - 35.7 percent below had the money edge in the House. know by the second quarter of next year.” collections in the same period “If you look at the national picture, What Kittle did was help bring in a year ago. "Corporate profits it was pretty significant and it brought a the firepower. On the three presidential are off in Indiana and across major swing here,” said Manous. “It will visits for Chocola and Sodrel, Kittle said, the country," Schultz said. "But be interesting to see how he uses the “I called Rove and I think he diverted the the good news is that individ- power of the presidency. He’ll have to plane.” Kittle noted that he helped Karl ual income collections for the deliver on issues important to Hoosier Rove raise $100,000 with one little dinner first four months of FY03 are families.” Manous added, “We ran a very at Al Hubbard’s house in 2000. “If we ahead of last year's collections strong statewide coordinated campaign. If could run events like that and we handle in the same period, halting a steady decline and suggesting we hold the House, we bucked some of the plane both ways, they’re happy to do that more Hoosiers are working the national trend. My staff did an out- it. Bottom line, we get some credit.” more hours and earning more standing job. I’d put them up against any- The chairman was somewhat cha- money." " one.” grinned when a reporter suggested that what he had after Tuesday was “a tie.” Jim Kittle’s New Era “A tie?” Kittle asked incredulously. A little more than an hour before it “I’m proud of what we accomplished. was learned that the Indiana House might We’ve built a functionally operational have slipped away, Republican Chairman party. We’re even with the Democrats in Jim Kittle declared, “You’re seeing from a voter ID. This has happened in eight true leadership perspective the beginning months and from a functionality stand- of a new age.” point, we’ve brought it into the 21st Last summer HPR noted that Jim Century.” "