Ethiopia, Year 2020: Update on Incidents According to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project
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ETHIOPIA, YEAR 2020: Update on incidents according to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) compiled by ACCORD, 23 March 2021 Number of reported incidents with at least one fatality Number of reported fatalities National borders: GADM, 6 May 2018b; administrative divisions: GADM, 6 May 2018a; incid- ent data: ACLED, 12 March 2021; coastlines and inland waters: Smith and Wessel, 1 May 2015 ETHIOPIA, YEAR 2020: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 23 MARCH 2021 Contents Conflict incidents by category Number of Number of reported fatalities 1 Number of Number of Category incidents with at incidents fatalities Number of reported incidents with at least one fatality 1 least one fatality Violence against civilians 162 126 1639 Conflict incidents by category 2 Battles 117 76 1634 Development of conflict incidents from 2012 to 2020 2 Protests 79 30 83 Riots 47 17 142 Methodology 3 Explosions / Remote 21 11 85 Conflict incidents per province 4 violence Strategic developments 15 0 0 Localization of conflict incidents 4 Total 441 260 3583 Disclaimer 5 This table is based on data from ACLED (datasets used: ACLED, 12 March 2021). Development of conflict incidents from 2012 to 2020 This graph is based on data from ACLED (datasets used: ACLED, 12 March 2021). 2 ETHIOPIA, YEAR 2020: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 23 MARCH 2021 Methodology GADM. Incidents that could not be located are ignored. The numbers included in this overview might therefore differ from the original ACLED data. ACLED uses The data used in this report was collected by the Armed Conflict Location & Event varying degrees of geographic precision for the individual incidents, depending Data Project (ACLED). ACLED collects data on reported conflict events in selected on what level of detail is reported. Thus, towns may represent the wider region in African and Asian countries, Ethiopia being among them. ACLED researchers which an incident occured, or the provincial capital may be used if only the province collect event data from a variety of sources and code them by date, location, is known. Erroneous location data, especially due to identical place names, cannot agent, and event type. be fully excluded. Most of the data collected by ACLED is gathered based on publicly available, Incidents comprise the following categories: battles, headquarters or bases es- secondary reports. It may therefore underestimate the volume of events. Fatal- tablished, non-violent strategic activities, riots/protests, violence against civilians, ity data particularly is vulnerable to bias and inaccurate reporting, and ACLED non-violent transfer of territory, remote violence. For details on these categories, states to use the most conservative estimate available. ACLED uses the reports’ please see context to estimate fatalities for events with reported fatalities for which the exact number is unknown (“10” for plural fatalities, “100” if “hundreds” are mentioned, • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict etc.). For further details on ACLED and for the full data, see www.acleddata.com Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) Codebook (2019), 10 April 2019a and Raleigh; Linke; Hegre, and Karlsen, 2010. https://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/dlm_uploads/2017/10/ ACLED_Codebook_2019FINAL_pbl.pdf Based on this data, the Austrian Centre for Country of Origin & Asylum Research and Documentation (ACCORD) compiles updates on conflict incidents and pub- • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict lishes them on ecoi.net to offer another access point to the ACLED datasets. Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) User Quick Guide, April 2019b https://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/dlm_uploads/2019/04/ It is advised to employ extreme caution when using fatality numbers. General-User-Guide_FINAL.pdf Assessments of the security situation should not be based solely on quantitative • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: FAQs: ACLED Fatality analysis of event data. Methodology, 27 January 2020 https://www.acleddata.com/download/17979/ Please see ACLED’s additional methodological paper for Ethiopia: ACLED, 21 Jan- uary 2020 Geographic map data is primarily based on GADM, complemented with other sources if necessary. Incidents are mapped to GADM provinces using the provinces in ACLED data. Province names and borders may differ between ACLED and 3 ETHIOPIA, YEAR 2020: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 23 MARCH 2021 Conflict incidents per province In Addis Abeba, 19 incidents killing 19 people were reported. The following locations were among the affected: Addis Ababa, Akaki Kality, Bole, Gullele, Kotobe, Lideta, Meskel Square. Number of Number of Number of Province incidents with incidents fatalities In Afar, 4 incidents killing 7 people were reported. The following locations were fatalities among the affected: Abala, Adaitu, Afdera, Gewane. Addis Abeba 19 7 19 Afar 4 3 7 In Amhara, 49 incidents killing 55 people were reported. The following locations Amhara 49 18 55 were among the affected: Abderafi, Bahir Dar, Bati, Bure, Chagni, Debre Benshangul-Gumaz 38 27 778 Birhan, Debre Markos, Debre Tabor, Dessie, Durbete, Enewari, Finote Selam, Dire Dawa 5 4 6 Gonder, Injibara, Kemise, Kobo, Kombolcha, Lalibela, Mehal Meda, Metema, Sanghi, Sanja, Sekota, Shewa Robit, Soroca, Weldiya, Zigem. Gambela Peoples 4 1 12 Harari People 6 2 3 In Benshangul-Gumaz, 38 incidents killing 778 people were reported. The Oromia 161 114 575 following locations were among the affected: Asosa, Bambasi, Bulen, Dangur, Somali 35 19 105 Dibate, Genete Mariam, Gilgel Belles, Guba, Wembera. Southern Nations, Nationalities and 30 23 154 In Dire Dawa, 5 incidents killing 6 people were reported. The following location Peoples was among the affected: Dire Dawa. Tigray 90 42 1869 In Gambela Peoples, 4 incidents killing 12 people were reported. The following locations were among the affected: Gambella, Nuer Zone, Pugnido Refugee Localization of conflict incidents Camp. In Harari People, 6 incidents killing 3 people were reported. The following Note: The following list is an overview of the incident data included in the ACLED location was among the affected: Harar. dataset. More details are available in the actual dataset (date, location data, event type, involved actors, information sources, etc.). The data’s precision varies among In Oromia, 161 incidents killing 575 people were reported. The following the incidents: a town may represent a region, or the provincial capital may be used locations were among the affected: Abomsa, Ago, Alemaya, Alge, Ali Doro, if the precise location of an incident is unkown. In the following list, the names of Ambo, Amuru, Arsi Negele, Asabot, Asasa, Aweday, Babile, Bako Tibe, Bale, event locations are taken from ACLED, while the administrative region names are Bedele, Bedesa, Beigi, Bekoji, Boji, Boke, Bordode, Bule Hora, Chekorsa, taken from GADM data which serves as the basis for the maps above. Chiro, Ciro, Darolebu, Debre Libanos, Dembi Dolo, Dengego, Dera, Dilla, 4 ETHIOPIA, YEAR 2020: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 23 MARCH 2021 Dinsho, Dire Tiyara, Dodola, Dongoro, Ejaji, Fentale, Fiche, Filtu, Finchawa, Sources Funyan Bira, Gefersa, Gelemso, Gembela, Genet, Genji, Gewada, Gimbi, Ginchi, Ginde Beret, Ginir, Gondor, Guliso, Gumi Eldelo, Guyoseto Kiltu Kara, • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Ethiopia Sourcing Harekelo, Hawa Galan, Hayadima, Hirna, Iteya, Jarso, Jido Kombolcha, Jima, Profile, 21 January 2020 Kebe, Kokosa, Lalo Asabi, Mendi, Mormora, Moyale, Mugi, Munessa, Nazreth, https://www.acleddata.com/download/17884/ Negele, Nejo, Nekemt, Robe, Salahad, Sebeta, Shakiso, Shambu, Shashamane, Welenchiti, Weliso, Yabelo, Ziway. • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Data export (12 March 2021), 12 March 2021 In Somali, 35 incidents killing 105 people were reported. The following locations https://www.acleddata.com/data-export-tool/ were among the affected: Afdem, Degeh Bur, Gode, Hargele, Jijiga, Kebri Dehar, Korahe, Ogaden, Raaso, Shinile, Tulu Guled, Warder. • GADM – Global Administrative Areas: gadm36_ETH_shp.zip, Version 3.6, 6 May 2018a In Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples, 30 incidents killing 154 people http://biogeo.ucdavis.edu/data/gadm3.6/shp/gadm36_ETH_shp.zip were reported. The following locations were among the affected: Areka, Awasa, Boditi, Buniti, Damboya, Gacheno, Gununo, Gurafarda, Hawasa University, • GADM – Global Administrative Areas: gadm36_levels.shp, Version 3.6, 6 May Kele, Konso, Segen, Sodo, Tepi, Tum, Worabe, Yirga Alem. 2018b http://biogeo.ucdavis.edu/data/gadm3.6/gadm36_levels.shp.zip In Tigray, 90 incidents killing 1869 people were reported. The following locations were among the affected: Abiy Adi, Adigrat, Adwa, Aksum, Alamata, Chercher, • Raleigh, Clionadh; Linke, Andrew; Hegre, Håvard, and Karlsen, Joakim: “In- Dansha, Dinglet, Hawzen, Himora, Hintalo, Hitsats, Humera, Idaga Hamus, troducing ACLED-Armed Conflict Location and Event Data”, in: Journal of Kola Tambien, May Barya, May Cadera, Maychew, Mehoni, Mekele, Rawyan, Peace Research (47(5) 2010 ), pp. 651–660 Sero, Sheraro, Shire, Welkait, Wikro. http://jpr.sagepub.com/content/47/5/651.full.pdf+html