D. Héjj, the Three Seas Initiative in the Foreign Affairs Policy of Hunga- Ry, „Rocznik Instytutu Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej” 17 (2019), Z
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Vol. 17 (2019) Vol. Yearbook Yearbook Rocznik Instytutu Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej of the Institute of the Institute of East-Central Europe of East-Central Europe (Yearbook of the Institute of East-Central Europe) Volume 17 (2019) Volume 17 (2019) Issue 3 Issue 3 of East-Central Europe of East-Central the Institute of Yearbook ISSN 1732-1395 The Three Seas Initiative (TSI) is a fl exible political platform, at Presidential level, launched in 2016 in Dubrovnik (Croatia). The Initiative includes the 12 EU Member States located between the Adriatic, the Baltic and the Black Seas: Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia Instrukcje dla autorów i Rocznik online: and Slovenia. Countries that have decided to join the Three Seas project have a common geographical, historical and political identity. The pillar of the TSI are countries belonging to the Visegrad Group. Presidents of TSI member countries meet at annual summits. The summits so far have taken place in Dubrovnik (2016) Warsaw (2017), Bu- 3 Rocznik Instytutu Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej https://ies.lublin.pl/rocznik charest (2018) and Ljubljana (2019). The next summit will be held in Tallinn. Rok 17 (2019), Zeszyt 3 Łukasz Lewkowicz, s. 7-8 Perspective the International in Initiative Seas Three The The origins of the TSI are to be found in the Polish geopolitical representations that emerged in the 1920s after The Three Seas Initiative the First World War, specifi cally, Josef Pilsudski’s Intermarium (Latin for the Polish Międzymorze). The ideas of this old project have resurfaced in the current geopolitical confi guration. in the International Perspective Pierre-Emmanuel Thomann, s. 36 The Three Seas Initiative, currently implemented by the Polish authorities, undoubtedly fi ts in with the political traditions of Polish activity in the region of Central and Eastern Europe. It can be treated as an attempt to increase The Three Seas Initiative in the Context the level of diversifi cation of Poland’s international relations. [...] Paradoxically, the establishment of the TSI may of International Challenges lead to a better understanding of the CEE in Germany. This is supported by the growing interest of world powers in the region, where not only the U.S. and Russia have vital interests but also increasingly China. The awareness The Three Seas Initiative: of the importance of the region both for the economic stability of Germany and in the context of guaranteeing Geopolitical Determinants and Polish Interests The Three Seas Initiative European security seems to be growing, not only in Berlin but also in Brussels. The Three Seas Initiative: a New Project at the Heart Martin Dahl, s. 75-76 of European and Global Geographical Rivalries in the Foreign Affairs Policy of Hungary One Belt, One Road Between Three Seas: Chinas's Soft-power Policy Towards 'New' EU Members Dominik Héjjab a Uniwersytet Kardynała Stefana Wyszyńskiego w Warszawie b Instytut Europy Środkowej Opublikowano online: grudzień 2019 Sposób cytowania: D. Héjj, The Three Seas Initiative in the Foreign Affairs Policy of Hunga- ry, „Rocznik Instytutu Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej” 17 (2019), z. 3, s. 115-135, DOI: 10.36874/ RIESW.2019.3.7. „Rocznik Instytutu Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej” („Yearbook of the Institute of East-Central Europe”) jest kwartalnikiem. Poszczególne teksty bądź całe zeszyty publikowane są w języku polskim lub angielskim. Na liście czasopism naukowych MNiSW z 31 lipca 2019 roku „Rocznik IEŚW” znajduje się z liczbą 70 punktów. Jest również uwzględniony w bazach ICI Journals Master List, Central and Eastern European Online Library, BazEkon oraz ERIH PLUS. D. Héjj, ‘The Three Seas Initiative in the Foreign Affairs Policy of Hungary’,Yearbook of the Institute of East-Central Europe, vol. 17 (2019), no. 3, pp. 116-135, DOI: 10.36874/RIESW.2019.3.7 Dominik Héjj* Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University in Warsaw and Institute of Central Europe (Poland) The Three Seas Initiative in the Foreign Affairs Policy of Hungary Summary: The Three Seas Initiative (TSI) constitutes a project involving the cooperation of twelve European countries. Poland and Croatia, the founders of the TSI, are especially active in this respect. Even though Hungary seems the closest political ally of Poland, the state rarely participates in TSI actions. In addition, when pursuing its politics, Hungary remains in contradiction to the principles of the TSI – chiefly regarding energy policies. The paper aims to offer answers to questions concerning the significance of the TSI in Hungary’s foreign affairs policies and the state's perception of such a form of coopera- tion in Europe. Keywords: Three Seas Initiative, foreign affairs, Hungary, Russia, Orbán Introduction The Three Seas Initiative (Hun. Három Tenger Kezdeményezés) consti- tutes a forum of international collaboration established in 2016 during a summit in Dubrovnik. Presidents Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović (Croa- tia) and Andrzej Duda (Poland) were the chief architects of the ini- tiative. The cooperation of twelve states highlights the development and consolidation of collaboration on the north-south axis, mainly in relation to the infrastructure and energy domains. According to the webpage of the Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs: ‘the most signifi- cant added value of the initiative is the provision of political support, originating at the highest level of national authorities, for investments * Dominik Héjj, PhD, is political scientist specializing in Hungary-related issues. Doctor in humani- ties in the field of political science. Assistant Professor at the Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University in Warsaw (Institute of Political Science and Public Administration). Senior Analyst, Department of the Visegrad Group in Institute of Central Europe. Editor-in-chief of www.kropka.hu, a website devoted to Hungarian politics. Author of expert’s reports, scientific papers and pieces of journal- ism pertaining to Hungary. Research interests: political and party systems, Hungarian political history and politics of memory. ORCID: 0000-0002-3159-8936. E-mail: [email protected]. 116 Dominik Héjj which have been neglected as far as the cooperation of Central Euro- pean countries is concerned’1. The objective of the present paper it to establish answers to ques- tions concerning the perception of the TSI in Hungary. Is Hungary interested in pursuing the TSI? Is the country an active player in the initiative? What is the place of the TSI in Hungarian foreign affairs? The main premise of the paper is the thesis that Hungary is not ac- tively engaged in the TSI, and that Hungarian diplomacy feigns cer- tain actions and is not open about its anxiety and reluctance. At the same time, the remaining TSI partners are blamed by Hungary for the lack of the country’s involvement in the cooperation, mainly in the energy sector. The paper exploits government documents as well as e.g. the ad- dresses of politicians representing the Fidesz-KNDP coalition. A lim- ited availability of studies discussing the TSI in Hungary constitutes an impediment in the current discussion of the issue. Two publications compiled in 2017 and 2018 by a government-es- tablished body, the Institute for Foreign Affairs and Trade (Hun. Kül- ügyi és Külgazdasági Intézet, IFAT), are available. In 2017, the IFAT argued the TSI emerged directly from the Intermarium project of the first half of the 20th century, where Poland held a dominant position2. A year later, when commenting on the provisions of the Three Seas Initiative Bucharest Summit (September 2018), J. T. Barabás, an IFAT analyst, highlighted the necessity for a clear definition of the TSI’s ob- jectives by Poland. The definition was to clarify any doubts pertaining to the initiative’s connection with the Intermarium project. Moreover, the analyst observed that the Polish government had already undertak- en measures to that effect and indicated that, except being exclusively pragmatic, the TSI project has no geopolitical significance3. Howev- er, in both cases, the anti-Russian character of the initiative, at least on the Polish part, is stressed. In addition, mentions of the situation 1 MFA of Poland, ‘Trójmorze’, Obszary polityki zagranicznej, https://www.gov.pl/web/dyplomacja/ trojmorze [2019-09-10]. 2 B. Tölgyesi, ‘A Három tenger kezdeményezés és az Intermarium koncepció háttere és kilátásai, The Background and Perspectives of the Three Seas Initiative and the Intermarium Concept’, KKI-elemzések, E-2017/30. 3 J.T. Barabás, ‘A Három Tenger Kezdeményezés a 2018. szeptemberi bukaresti értekezlet után, The Three Seas Initiative After the Bucharest Summit of September 2018’, KKI-elemzések, E-2018/34. Yearbook of the Institute of East-Central Europe • Volume 17 (2019) • Issue 3 The Three Seas Initiative in the Foreign Affairs Policy of Hungary 117 which occurred during the meeting of Putin with Kolinda Grabar- Kitarović, the President of Croatia, also surfaced. Madam President assured Russia’s leader that the TSI is not an ‘American Trojan horse’ and is not directed against Russia4. Determinants of the Hungarian foreign affairs doctrine 1. Before the role of the TSI in Hungarian foreign affairs is dis- cussed, the Hungarian foreign affairs doctrine ought to be defined. One of the most vital aspects of the Hungarian National Assembly election campaign, which occurred in the spring of 2010, was the repurchase of Hungarian companies which had been sold to Russian oligarchs. Politicians representing Fidesz accused the leftist liberal MSZP-SzDSz government coalition (Hun. Magyar Szociálista Párt/ Eng. Hungarian Socialist Party, and Hun. Szabad Demokraták Szövetsége – a Magyar Liberális Párt / Eng. The Alliance of Free Democrats – Hungarian Lib- eral Party) of selling national property and supporting Russian influ- ence in Hungary5. The main line of conflict pertained to two entities: Hungarian oil and gas operator, MOL (Hun, MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyrt./ Eng. The Hungarian Oil & Gas Company Plc), and Malév (Hun. Magyar Légiközlekedési Vállalat/ Eng. Malév Hungar- ian Airlines) , a flag flight carrier. One of the first decisions made by the new, victorious Fidesz-KNDP (Hun.