De Facto States and Democracy: the Case of Abkhazia

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

De Facto States and Democracy: the Case of Abkhazia Bulletin of Geography. Socio–economic Series / No. 32 (2016): 85–104 BULLETIN OF GEOGRAPHY. SOCIO–ECONOMIC SERIES DE journal homepages: http://www.bulletinofgeography.umk.pl/ http://wydawnictwoumk.pl/czasopisma/index.php/BGSS/index http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/bog ISSN 1732–4254 quarterly G De Facto States and Democracy: The Case of Abkhazia Vincenc Kopeček1, CDFMR, Tomáš Hoch2, CDFMR, Vladimír Baar 3, CM University of Ostrava, Faculty of Science, Department of Human Geography and Regional Development, Chittussiho 10, 710 00 Ostrava, Czech Republic; 1e-mail: [email protected] (corresponding author); 2e-mail: [email protected] 3e-mail: vladimir. [email protected] How to cite: Kopeček V., Hoch, T. and Baar, V., 2016: De Facto States and Democracy: The Case of Abkhazia. In: Szymańska, D. and Chodkows- ka-Miszczuk, J. editors, Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series, No. 32, Toruń: Nicolaus Copernicus University, pp. 85–104. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/bog-2016-0017 Abstract. De-facto states constitute an interesting and important anomaly in the Article details: international system of sovereign states. No matter how successful and efficient Received: 08 April 2014 in the administration of their territories they are, they fail to achieve internation- Revised: 05 January 2016 Accepted: 22 February 2016 al recognition. In the past, their claims for independence were based primari- ly on the right to national self-determination, historical continuity and claim for a remedial right to secession, based on alleged human-rights violations. Since 2005, official representatives of several de facto states have repeatedly emphasised the importance of democracy promotion in their political entities. A possible ex- planation of this phenomenon dwells in the belief that those states which have demonstrated their economic viability and promote the organization of a demo- Key words: cratic state should gain their sovereignty. This article demonstrates the so called Abkhazia, “democracy-for-recognition strategy” in the case study of Abkhazia. On the ba- Democratisation, sis of the field research in Abkhazia we identify factors that promote, as well as Recognition, those that obstruct the democratisation process in the country. De facto states. © 2016 Nicolaus Copernicus University. All rights reserved. Contents: 1. Introduction . 86 2. De facto states – what they are and what they are not...................................... 86 3. De facto states in political geography and political science .................................. 87 4. Democratisation-for-recognition strategy – formulation of the problem ...................... 89 5. Material and research methods . 91 6. The present state of democracy in Abkhazia............................................... 93 7. Factors supporting democratisation ...................................................... 94 8. Factors preventing democratisation....................................................... 95 9. Conclusion ............................................................................ 98 © 2016 Nicolaus Copernicus University. All rights reserved. © 2016 De Gruyter Open (on-line). 86 Vincenc Kopeček, Tomáš Hoch, Vladimír Baar / Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series / 32 (2016): 85–104 Notes .................................................................................... 99 References ............................................................................... 99 1. Introduction is a political tool and thus it can remain on the level of political declarations or it can proceed further to De facto states are an anomaly in the Westphalian the real and measurable shift to a more democratic system of states. If we look at a political map of the and free society. The question is then, what causes world consisting of coloured spots representing in- such a shift and how exactly this process of democ- dividual states, most likely we will not find them. Yet ratisation in the specific conditions of a de facto they exist. Some call them separatist states, others state proceeds. The objective of our study is, on the self-declared or unrecognised states, however, cur- case of Abkhazia, to identify the factors which con- rent literature, as we will demonstrate later, mostly tribute to the gradual democratisation of a de facto employs the term de facto states, because it clear- state as well as those which hinder it. ly demonstrates the nature of such an entity. It de facto exists, however, the international community does not recognise it as an independent state. All of 2. De facto states – what they are the de facto states, as it comes from their definition and what they are not provided later in this article, struggle for interna- tional recognition, and use several distinct strate- gies in order to reach this goal. One of them is the Sovereignty, both internal and external, is one of democratisation-for-recognition strategy, based on a the constitutive attributes of a modern state. There conviction of de facto states representatives that the are, however, states, which have problems in ex- international community will recognise their politi- ercising their external or internal sovereignty. On cal entities if they are democratic (e.g. Broers 2005; one hand, there are internationally recognised states Popescu 2006; Caspersen 2009; Berg and Mölder which cease to perform certain functions which are 2012; Kolstø and Blakkisrud 2012). expected of a modern state, such as individual se- A growing number of studies have dealt with curity, social services, equitable economic growth, the phenomenon of democratisation in de facto etc. In the taxonomy of weak statehood, these enti- states since the second half of the first decade of ties range from weak states, through failing states, the 21st century, e.g., Protsyk (2009, 2012) focused to collapsed states (Jackson, 1993; Zartman, 1995; on democratisation in Transnistria, Azam (2013) Rotberg, 2004; Šmíd and Vaďura, 2009). The states on Somaliland, Kolstø and Blakkisrud (2012) on in the second category are admittedly capable of Nagorno-Karabakh, Smolnik (2012) on elections performing sovereign legislative, executive and ju- in Nagorno-Karabakh, von Steinsdorff (2012), von dicial power over their territories, they struggle for Steinsdorff and Fruhstorfer (2012), and Berg and independence, but lack international recognition, Mölder (2012) focused on the comparison of dem- or are recognised by only a few other states (Pegg, ocratic institutions and their legitimacies in de facto 1998). There are many terms commonly used in states in the post-Soviet area, Simão (2012) on the connection with such entities, for example unrec- role of the EU in democracy promotion in de facto ognised states, separatist states, quasi states, infor- states. The presented article reflects in part the -re mal states, pseudo states or de facto states (Kollosov sults of these studies, and at the same time, brings and O’Loughlin, 1998; Pegg, 1998; Isachenko, 2012). a new and detailed view of the examined topic. The In this study we employ Kolstø’s (2006: 725–726) starting point for our study is a presumption that definition of de facto state. It is a territory where (1) democratisation-for-recognition strategy is a con- political leadership must be in control of (most of) scious process that is to legitimate claims of inde- the territory it lays claim to, (2) it must have sought pendence and international recognition. As such, it but not achieved international recognition as an in- Vincenc Kopeček, Tomáš Hoch, Vladimír Baar / Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series / 32 (2016): 85–104 87 dependent state, and (3) it has to persist in the state thus it can relatively easily enter the internation- of non-recognition for more than two years. al scene. All its major partners recognise its inde- Pegg (1998: 28–42) distinguishes de facto states pendence. Unlike some authors (Geldenhuys, 2009) from other atypical entities, such as: (1) power vac- we have also not included Palestine to the group of uums, (2) terrorist groups, (3) other entities, which de facto states. The reason is that since 1988, when have political character, but do not seek interna- the Palestinian Declaration of Independence pro- tional recognition, (4) puppet states, (5) separatist claimed the establishment of the State of Palestine, regions, which have chosen peaceful secession, (6) this political entity has been gradually recognised states, which are internationally recognised by at by dozens of UN member states. Currently (Janu- least two permanent members of the UN Security ary 2016) 70 % of the 193 member states of the Council or a majority of member states of the UN United Nations have recognised the State of Pales- General Assembly, and (7) political entities in exist- tine. Moreover, in 2012 the UN General Assembly ence shorter than two years. passed a resolution changing Palestine’s entity sta- Currently, based on Kolstø’s and Peggs’s criteria, tus to non-member observer state. Palestine also six entities are commonly considered as de facto faces completely different problems than de facto states: Abkhazia, South Ossetia, Nagorno-Karabakh, states as we have defined them. It does not need Transnistria, Northern Cyprus and Somaliland (e.g. to struggle for international recognition, but it has Kolstø, 2006; Caspersen, 2008b; Berg and Toomla, to negotiate, under the supervision of the interna- 2009). All of them were formed as a consequence of tional community, its borders and mutual relations armed
Recommended publications
  • Security Council Distr.: General 18 July 2007
    United Nations S/2007/439 Security Council Distr.: General 18 July 2007 Original: English Report of the Secretary-General on the situation in Abkhazia, Georgia I. Introduction 1. The present report is submitted pursuant to Security Council resolution 1752 (2007) of 13 April 2007, by which the Security Council decided to extend the mandate of the United Nations Observer Mission in Georgia (UNOMIG) until 15 October 2007. It provides an update of the situation in Abkhazia, Georgia since my report of 3 April 2007 (S/2007/182). 2. My Special Representative, Jean Arnault, continued to lead the Mission. He was assisted by the Chief Military Observer, Major General Niaz Muhammad Khan Khattak (Pakistan). The strength of UNOMIG on 1 July 2007 stood at 135 military observers and 16 police officers (see annex). II. Political process 3. During the reporting period, UNOMIG continued efforts to maintain peace and stability in the zone of conflict. It also sought to remove obstacles to the resumption of dialogue between the Georgian and Abkhaz sides in the expectation that cooperation on security, the return of internally displaced persons and refugees, economic rehabilitation and humanitarian issues would facilitate meaningful negotiations on a comprehensive political settlement of the conflict, taking into account the principles contained in the document entitled “Basic Principles for the Distribution of Competences between Tbilisi and Sukhumi”, its transmittal letter (see S/2002/88, para. 3) and additional ideas by the sides. 4. Throughout the reporting period, my Special Representative maintained regular contact with both sides, as well as with the Group of Friends of the Secretary-General both in Tbilisi and in their capitals.
    [Show full text]
  • Georgia/Abkhazia
    HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH ARMS PROJECT HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH/HELSINKI March 1995 Vol. 7, No. 7 GEORGIA/ABKHAZIA: VIOLATIONS OF THE LAWS OF WAR AND RUSSIA'S ROLE IN THE CONFLICT CONTENTS I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY, RECOMMENDATIONS............................................................................................................5 EVOLUTION OF THE WAR.......................................................................................................................................6 The Role of the Russian Federation in the Conflict.........................................................................................7 RECOMMENDATIONS...............................................................................................................................................8 To the Government of the Republic of Georgia ..............................................................................................8 To the Commanders of the Abkhaz Forces .....................................................................................................8 To the Government of the Russian Federation................................................................................................8 To the Confederation of Mountain Peoples of the Caucasus...........................................................................9 To the United Nations .....................................................................................................................................9 To the Organization on Security and Cooperation in Europe..........................................................................9
    [Show full text]
  • Russia, Georgia and the Eu in Abkhazia and South Ossetia
    PUBLIC DIPLOMACY AND CONFLICT RESOLUTION: RUSSIA, GEORGIA AND THE EU IN ABKHAZIA AND SOUTH OSSETIA Iskra Kirova August 2012 Figueroa Press Los Angeles The views and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author and cannot be interpreted to reflect the positions of organizations that the author is affiliated with. PUBLIC DIPLOMACY AND CONFLICT RESOLUTION: RUSSIA, GEORGIA AND THE EU IN ABKHAZIA AND SOUTH OSSETIA Iskra Kirova Published by FIGUEROA PRESS 840 Childs Way, 3rd Floor Los Angeles, CA 90089 Phone: (213) 743-4800 Fax: (213) 743-4804 www.figueroapress.com Figueroa Press is a division of the USC Bookstore Copyright © 2012 all rights reserved Notice of Rights All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or transmit- ted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without prior written permission from the author, care of Figueroa Press. Notice of Liability The information in this book is distributed on an “As is” basis, without warranty. While every precaution has been taken in the preparation of this book, neither the author nor Figueroa nor the USC Bookstore shall have any liability to any person or entity with respect to any loss or damage caused or alleged to be caused directly or indirectly by any text contained in this book. Figueroa Press and the USC Bookstore are trademarks of the University of Southern California ISBN 13: 978-0-18-214016-9 ISBN 10: 0-18-214016-4 For general inquiries or to request additional copies of this paper please contact: USC Center on Public Diplomacy at the Annenberg School University of Southern California 3502 Watt Way, G4 Los Angeles, CA 90089-0281 Tel: (213) 821-2078; Fax: (213) 821-0774 [email protected] www.uscpublicdiplomacy.org CPD Perspectives on Public Diplomacy CPD Perspectives is a periodic publication by the USC Center on Public Diplomacy, and highlights scholarship intended to stimulate critical thinking about the study and practice of public diplomacy.
    [Show full text]
  • River Systems and Their Water and Sediment Fluxes Towards the Marine Regions of the Mediterranean Sea and Black Sea Earth System: an Overview
    Review Article Mediterranean Marine Science Indexed in WoS (Web of Science, ISI Thomson) and SCOPUS The journal is available on line at http://www.medit-mar-sc.net DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12681/mms.19514 River systems and their water and sediment fluxes towards the marine regions of the Mediterranean Sea and Black Sea earth system: An overview Serafeim E. POULOS Laboratory of Physical Geography, Section of Geography & Climatology, Department of Geology & Geoenvironment, National & Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimioupolis-Zografou, 10584, Attiki Corresponding author: [email protected] Handling Editor: Argyro ZENETOS Received: 22 January 2019; Accepted: 6 July 2019; Published on line: 5 September 2019 Abstract A quantitative assessment of the riverine freshwater, suspended and dissolved sediment loads is provided for the watersheds of the four primary (Western Mediterranean-WMED, Central Mediterranean-CMED, Eastern Mediterranean-EMED and Black Sea- BLS) and eleven secondary marine regions of the Mediterranean and Black Sea Earth System (MBES). On the basis of measured values that cover spatially >65% and >84% of MED and BLS watersheds, respectively, water discharge of the MBES reaches annually almost the 1 million km3, with Mediterranean Sea (including the Marmara Sea) providing 576 km3 and the Black Sea (included the Azov Sea) 418 km3. Among the watersheds of MED primary marine regions, the total water load is distributed as follows: WMED= 180 km3; CMED= 209 km3; and EMED= 187 km3. The MBES could potentially provide annually some 894 106 t of suspended sediment load (SSL), prior to river damming, most of which (i.e., 708 106 t is attributed to MED).
    [Show full text]
  • The View from Abkhazia of South Ossetia Ablaze
    Central Asian Survey Vol. 28, No. 2, June 2009, 235–246 The view from Abkhazia of South Ossetia ablaze Paula Garbà Department of Anthropology, University of California, Irvine, USA The Abkhazian and South Ossetian perspectives on the fighting between Georgians and South Ossetians in August 2008 could not be heard above the noise generated around the geopolitical implications of the larger Russian–Georgian clash. The population of Abkhazia experienced the violence in South Ossetia as though it was occurring on their own territory. This confirmed their complete lack of trust in the Georgian government’s commitment to peaceful resolution of the conflicts. In addition, they were disappointed with what they regarded as the international community’s absence of criticism of Georgia’s actions and lack of concern for the safety and well-being of the South Ossetians. Russia’s recognition of South Ossetia’s and Abkhazia’s independence has taken the question of Georgia’s territorial integrity off the negotiation table indefinitely. It also has set back the formal peace process with both South Ossetia and Abkhazia. An essential way forward, toward establishing trust as a necessary foundation for progress in the political negotiations, would be for the US and other interested countries to engage with the people of Abkhazia and South Ossetia at all levels, demonstrating credible and consistent concern for the safety and well being of all the people affected by the conflict. Keywords: conflict; culture; Abkhazia; South Ossetia Introduction Georgian–Abkhazian official relations since the end of the 1992–1993 war have offered little common ground for a mutually acceptable resolution.
    [Show full text]
  • Twenty Years of De Facto State Studies: Progress, Problems, and Prospects Scott Pegg
    Twenty Years of de facto State Studies: Progress, Problems, and Prospects Scott Pegg Subject: World Politics Online Publication Date: Jul 2017 DOI: 10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.013.516 Weblink: http://politics.oxfordre.com/view/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.001.0001/acrefore-9780190228637- e-516 In This Article • Introduction • Progress o Nation-Building in De Facto States o State-Building in De Facto States o Benefits to the Lack of Recognition? o Democratization without Sovereignty o Data Collection and Empirical Measurements o Engagement without Recognition • Problems o Defining De Facto States o Numbers and Longevity of De Facto States o Polemical and Politicized Discourse • Prospects • Acknowledgment • References • Notes Summary and Keywords It has been almost 20 years since the publication of International Society and the De Facto State by Scott Pegg in 1998, the first book-length substantive theoretical attempt to investigate the phenomenon of de facto states—secessionist entities that control territory, provide governance, receive popular support, persist over time, and seek widespread recognition of their proclaimed sovereignty and yet fail to receive it. Even though most de facto states are relatively small and fragile actors, in the intervening years the study of de facto or contested or unrecognized statehood has expanded dramatically. The de facto state literature has contributed significantly to the growing recognition that the international system is far more variegated than is commonly perceived. An initial focus on the external ___________________________________________________________________ This is the author's manuscript of the article published in final edited form as: Pegg, S. (2017). Twenty Years of de facto State Studies: Progress, Problems, and Prospects.
    [Show full text]
  • Is Russia a Partner to the EU in Bosnia? by Tomas Valasek
    Is Russia a partner to the EU in Bosnia? By Tomas Valasek # The EU and Russia are ostensibly partners in building a viable government in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), but for much of 2007-08, Moscow publicly opposed EU-sponsored police reforms and encouraged Bosnian politicians to resist the EU proposals. # Russian policy in BiH was fundamentally opportunistic – it was not about expanding spheres of influence but about using crises in the region to weaken the credibility of the West. # Russia’s ability to undermine western policies towards BiH would be greatly reduced if the outside powers replaced the multinational consortium that oversees Bosnia with an EU-led mission. # Western ambitions for integrating BiH into the EU are failing – but this is due not to Russia but to Bosnia’s and the West’s own errors. The EU needs to pay more attention to Bosnia and make clear that it will not tolerate talk of any part of it breaking away. Where do the Balkans fit in the broader picture of EU- undermine western efforts to build a viable government Russian relations? Since the August 2008 war in in the country. But Russia’s actions were not the sole or Georgia, Eastern Europe – the borderland between the even the main cause of Bosnia’s instability and its EU and Russia – has been at the centre of attention. In failure to make greater progress towards EU 2008, President Dmitry integration; local opposition and the shortcomings of 1 Andrew Kramer, ‘Russia Medvedev declared Eastern western policy towards BiH are the chief reason.
    [Show full text]
  • CODEBOOK for FOREIGN TV NEWS STUDY APPENDIX B – COUNTRY LIST Abkhazia – Republic of Abkhazia Afghanistan – Islamic Republi
    CODEBOOK FOR FOREIGN TV NEWS STUDY APPENDIX B – COUNTRY LIST 001 Abkhazia – Republic of Abkhazia 002 Afghanistan – Islamic Republic of Afghanistan 003 Akrotiri and Dhekelia – Sovereign Base Areas of Akrotiri and Dhekelia (UK) 004 Åland – Åland Islands (Autonomous province of Finland) 005 Albania – Republic of Albania 006 Algeria – People's Democratic Republic of Algeria 007 American Samoa – Territory of American Samoa (US territory) 008 Andorra – Principality of Andorra 009 Angola – Republic of Angola 010 Anguilla (UK overseas territory) 011 Antigua and Barbuda 012 Argentina – Argentine Republic 013 Armenia – Republic of Armenia 014 Aruba (Self-governing country in the Kingdom of the Netherlands) 015 Ascension Island (Dependency of the UK overseas territory of Saint Helena) 016 Australia – Commonwealth of Australia 017 Austria – Republic of Austria 018 Azerbaijan – Republic of Azerbaijan 019 Bahamas, The – Commonwealth of The Bahamas 020 Bahrain – Kingdom of Bahrain 021 Bangladesh – People's Republic of Bangladesh 022 Barbados 023 Belarus – Republic of Belarus 024 Belgium – Kingdom of Belgium 025 Belize 026 Benin – Republic of Benin 027 Bermuda (UK overseas territory) 028 Bhutan – Kingdom of Bhutan 029 Bolivia – Republic of Bolivia 030 Bosnia and Herzegovina 031 Botswana – Republic of Botswana 032 Brazil – Federative Republic of Brazil 033 Brunei – Negara Brunei Darussalam 034 Bulgaria – Republic of Bulgaria 035 Burkina Faso 036 Burundi – Republic of Burundi 037 Cambodia – Kingdom of Cambodia 038
    [Show full text]
  • Glaciers Dynamics Over the Last One Century in the Kodori River Basin, Caucasus Mountains, Georgia, Abkhazeti
    American Journal of Environmental Protection 2015; 4(3-1): 22-28 Published online June 23, 2015 (http://www.sciencepublishinggroup.com/j/ajep) doi: 10.11648/j.ajep.s.2015040301.14 ISSN: 2328-5680 (Print); ISSN: 2328-5699 (Online) Glaciers Dynamics Over the Last One Century in the Kodori River Basin, Caucasus Mountains, Georgia, Abkhazeti Levan G. Tielidze 1, Lela Gadrani 1, Mariam Tsitsagi 1, Nino Chikhradze 1,2 1Vakhushti Bagrationi Institute of Geography, Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, Tbilisi, Georgia 2Ilia State University, Tbilisi, Georgia Email address: [email protected] (L. G. Tielidze), [email protected] (L. G. Tielidze) To cite this article: Levan G. Tielidze, Lela Gadrani, Mariam Tsitsagi, Nino Chikhradze. Glaciers Dynamics Over the last One Century in the Kodori River Basin, Caucasus Mountains, Georgia, Abkhazeti. American Journal of Environmental Protection . Special Issue: Applied Ecology: Problems, Innovations. Vol. 4, No. 3-1, 2015, pp. 22-28. doi: 10.11648/j.ajep.s.2015040301.14 Abstract: This paper considers the last one century’s dynamics of the glaciers in the Kodori River basin, which is located on the southern slope of the Greater Caucasus in Georgia. The latest statistical information is also given about the glaciers located in the individual river basins; Their morphological types, exposition and the dynamics are considered according to the individual years. In our research, we used the Catalogue of the glaciers of Georgia compiled by K. Podozerskiy in 1911. We also used the military topographic maps with the scale of 1:25 000 and 1:50 000 drawn up in 1960, where there are mapped in detail the glaciers and the ends of their ice tongues on the southern slope of Greater Caucasus of those times.
    [Show full text]
  • Failed Prevention 35
    Table of Contents Foreword by the Editors 5 PART I: CONCEPTS IN CONFLICT PREVENTION 9 Concepts and Instruments in Conflict Prevention 11 Frida Möller PART II: CONFLICT DEVELOPMENT AND FAILED PREVENTION 35 The Georgian-Abkhaz Conflict 37 Sabine Fischer Missed Windows of Opportunity in the Georgian-South Ossetian Conflict – The Political Agenda of the Post-Revolutionary Saakashvili Government (2004-2006) 59 Doris Vogl Failures of the Conflict Transformation and Root Causes of the August War 79 Oksana Antonenko PART III: VIEWS FROM THE REGION 95 Frozen Conflicts: The Missed Opportunities 97 Salomé Zourabichvili Failure to Prevent Violence – Lessons Learnt from the Georgian- Abkhazian Conflict Resolution Process 113 Liana Kvarchelia Missed Chances in the Georgian-South Ossetian Conflict – A View from South Ossetia 131 Alan Parastaev 3 PART IV: THE INTERNATIONAL INFLUENCE 139 OSCE Early Warning and the August Conflict in Georgia 141 Dov Lynch The Role of the United Nations in Abkhazia, Opportunities and Missed Opportunities between 1992 and 2009 151 Charlotte Hille United States’ and NATO’s Role in Georgia’s Territorial Conflicts August 1992-July 2008 169 Eugene Kogan Used & Missed Opportunities for Conflict Prevention in Georgia (1990-2008) – The Role of Russia 187 Markus Bernath Russia and South Ossetia: The Road to Sovereignty 207 Flemming Splidsboel Hansen PART V: CONCLUSIONS 235 Some Lessons Learnt in Conflict Prevention from the Conflicts in the Southern Caucasus 237 Predrag Jurekovi ć List of Authors and Editors 243 4 Foreword by the Editors The violent escalation of the Georgian/South Ossetian and Georgian/Abkhazian conflict in the summer of 2008 resulted in a significant deterioration of the regional security situation in this part of the Southern Caucasus.
    [Show full text]
  • Abkhazia: Deepening Dependence
    ABKHAZIA: DEEPENING DEPENDENCE Europe Report N°202 – 26 February 2010 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS................................................. i I. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................. 1 II. RECOGNITION’S TANGIBLE EFFECTS ................................................................... 2 A. RUSSIA’S POST-2008 WAR MILITARY BUILD-UP IN ABKHAZIA ...................................................3 B. ECONOMIC ASPECTS ....................................................................................................................5 1. Dependence on Russian financial aid and investment .................................................................5 2. Tourism potential.........................................................................................................................6 3. The 2014 Sochi Olympics............................................................................................................7 III. LIFE IN ABKHAZIA........................................................................................................ 8 A. POPULATION AND CITIZENS .........................................................................................................8 B. THE 2009 PRESIDENTIAL POLL ..................................................................................................10 C. EXTERNAL RELATIONS ..............................................................................................................11
    [Show full text]
  • Abkhazia to Be Included in Even More Distant
    caucasus analytical caucasus analytical digest 07/09 digest rity? Which flexible arrangements are conceivable for zia, whether in the framework of a common state or the issuing of visas for Abkhaz holders of Georgian as two cooperating independent states, have become passports that would allow Abkhazia to be included in even more distant. The same is true to an even greater European education and exchange programs? extent for the possible integration of both into a “polit- Which measures would allow the EU to enhance ical Europe” expanded to include the Black Sea region. the efficiency of its necessary long-term engagement on Nevertheless, that seems to be the only alternative to the behalf of political and legal reforms in Georgia? The suc- development that currently seems to be the most likely cess of these reforms is a precondition for the country’s one, namely a factual annexation of the small Abkhaz peaceful domestic consolidation and thus also for greater state by Russia in a Southern Caucasus that will likely flexibility towards the secessionist republics. be afflicted by geopolitical confrontation and instabil- Since the events of August 2008, the prospects of ity for a long time to come. peaceful reconciliation between Georgia and Abkha- Translated from German by Christopher Findlay About the Author Walter Kaufmann is an independent analyst and the former director (2002–2008) of the Heinrich Böll Foundation South Caucasus. Opinion Georgia’s Relationship with Abkhazia By Paata Zakareisvili, Tbilisi Abstract The August 2008 conflict between Georgia and Russia fundamentally changed the situation regarding the separatist territories in Georgia, fundamentally strengthening Russia’s position.
    [Show full text]