The Science Behind an Unfair Game

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

The Science Behind an Unfair Game The Science Behind an Unfair Game Moneyball by Michael Lewis W.W. Norton & Company Inc. ©2004 Nonfiction 301 Pages By Justin Moross “It’s unbelievable how much you don’t know about the game you’ve been playing all your life,” Mickey Mantle once said. As an avid baseball fan, and a high school baseball player, I thought I knew tons about baseball until I read Michal Lewis’ Moneyball. Michael Lewis’ striking best seller, no pun intended, examines the story of the poor market baseball team, the Oakland Athletics (also known as the A’s). Billy Beane, the General Manager of the A’s, adopts a theory created by Bill James, a baseball statistician and author, whose method is a tricky way for a general manager to build a baseball roster at an inexpensive price. This method happened to be called Moneyball, which gives the title its special meaning. In 2001, the A’s lost to the New York Yankees in the first round of the playoffs after a wonderful 102-win season. During the offseason, Oakland lost three of their most important players on their roster: Johnny Damon, Jason Giambi, and Jason Isringhausen. These players all signed for different teams who were much richer than the Athletics. Many fans and scouts couldn’t answer the Oakland A’s simple question: What is the problem? Is it the fact that they lost three of their key baseball players? Nope. Did they need to replace 39 home runs and 120 RBI’s? Nope. The problem is that there are rich teams and poor teams. The poor teams never get the benefit of the doubt because they don’t have the money to spend. Baseball is an unfair financial game, and Billy Beane recognized that. Lewis does an amazing job of describing each and every baseball player. He gives background, where they specifically came from, and flaws that caused baseball scouts and general managers to ignore the players. But Billy Beane and Paul DePodesta, his assistant, ignored these backgrounds because of what they were looking for, which was the ability of the player to get on base. One of Lewis’ great descriptions is the reason why former catcher Scott Hatteberg was ignored by baseball teams: “His right hand still felt like it belonged to someone else. He’d played half a season with a ruptured nerve in his elbow… but when the operation was over, he couldn’t hold a baseball much less throw one.” People who know of Bill James always wonder why he would want to redefine the game of baseball in his books. James never coached, managed or played baseball. So, if he never had baseball experience Lewis had to describe him as someone unoriginal, and someone who had no reason to even put himself in the same name in a baseball sentence. “There, at the University of Kansas, James studied economics and literature. He didn’t know any literary types, had no apparent role models, and was not encouraged in any way to commit his thoughts to paper… a fruitless layover in graduate school, he found a job as a night watchman in a Stokely Can Camp pork and beans company.” Although Michael Lewis does a great job of describing certain people, he gives a history lesson on Bill James in a long chapter, describing the mathematical and scientific equations James came up with. How fun, right? To some readers, the chapter of math and science is way too long, technical, and boring. It could make a reader never want to pick up the book again. But a baseball fan like me really wanted to see how this chapter would play a role throughout the book. As I kept reading, I saw how this abysmal chapter turned into one of the most important chapters in the entire book. These strengths and weaknesses of Lewis’ writing has been his style of writing in many of his books. He has written many non-fiction books, like Losers, Pacific Rift, The Blindside, Next, and The New New Thing. Liar’s Poker was Lewis’ first book ever written, and it happened to be a memoir of his days working at the Wall Street firm called Solomon Brothers. Alongside from Lewis’ other successful non-fiction books, Moneyball is his standout book for fans of baseball looking for a true baseball story to read. It shows readers to not let others stand in the way of one’s ideas or decisions. Billy Beane risked the organization, his job and the job of the baseball scouts. Many people believed that the experiment was going to fail, and that Billy Beane has made an all-time big mistake. Most Blind Brook High School students may like Moneyball depending on how much they love the game of baseball. If you love baseball, you will fall in love with Moneyball. This book will make you think about baseball from a different and interesting standpoint. On the flipside, if you don’t have any interest in baseball, don’t even bother looking at the cover of the book. For me, as an insane baseball fan, on a scale from one to five, I’d have to give Moneyball a five. If you love baseball like I do, I urge student to go to the library and pick up their copy of this book as soon as possible! .
Recommended publications
  • Fair Ball! Why Adjustments Are Needed
    © Copyright, Princeton University Press. No part of this book may be distributed, posted, or reproduced in any form by digital or mechanical means without prior written permission of the publisher. CHAPTER 1 Fair Ball! Why Adjustments Are Needed King Arthur’s quest for it in the Middle Ages became a large part of his legend. Monty Python and Indiana Jones launched their searches in popular 1974 and 1989 movies. The mythic quest for the Holy Grail, the name given in Western tradition to the chal- ice used by Jesus Christ at his Passover meal the night before his death, is now often a metaphor for a quintessential search. In the illustrious history of baseball, the “holy grail” is a ranking of each player’s overall value on the baseball diamond. Because player skills are multifaceted, it is not clear that such a ranking is possible. In comparing two players, you see that one hits home runs much better, whereas the other gets on base more often, is faster on the base paths, and is a better fielder. So which player should rank higher? In Baseball’s All-Time Best Hitters, I identified which players were best at getting a hit in a given at-bat, calling them the best hitters. Many reviewers either disapproved of or failed to note my definition of “best hitter.” Although frequently used in base- ball writings, the terms “good hitter” or best hitter are rarely defined. In a July 1997 Sports Illustrated article, Tom Verducci called Tony Gwynn “the best hitter since Ted Williams” while considering only batting average.
    [Show full text]
  • NCAA Division I Baseball Records
    Division I Baseball Records Individual Records .................................................................. 2 Individual Leaders .................................................................. 4 Annual Individual Champions .......................................... 14 Team Records ........................................................................... 22 Team Leaders ............................................................................ 24 Annual Team Champions .................................................... 32 All-Time Winningest Teams ................................................ 38 Collegiate Baseball Division I Final Polls ....................... 42 Baseball America Division I Final Polls ........................... 45 USA Today Baseball Weekly/ESPN/ American Baseball Coaches Association Division I Final Polls ............................................................ 46 National Collegiate Baseball Writers Association Division I Final Polls ............................................................ 48 Statistical Trends ...................................................................... 49 No-Hitters and Perfect Games by Year .......................... 50 2 NCAA BASEBALL DIVISION I RECORDS THROUGH 2011 Official NCAA Division I baseball records began Season Career with the 1957 season and are based on informa- 39—Jason Krizan, Dallas Baptist, 2011 (62 games) 346—Jeff Ledbetter, Florida St., 1979-82 (262 games) tion submitted to the NCAA statistics service by Career RUNS BATTED IN PER GAME institutions
    [Show full text]
  • November, 2006
    By the Numbers Volume 16, Number 4 The Newsletter of the SABR Statistical Analysis Committee November, 2006 Review Academic Research: Errors and Official Scorers Charlie Pavitt The author describes a recent academic study investigating the change in error rates over time, and speculating on the role of the official scorer in the “home field advantage” for errors. This is one of a series of reviews of sabermetric articles published in academic journals. It is part of a project of mine to collect and catalog sabermetric research, and I would appreciate learning of and receiving copies of any studies of which I am unaware. Please visit the Statistical Baseball Research Bibliography at www.udel.edu/communication/pavitt/biblioexplan.htm . Use it for your research, and let me know what is missing. per game, used as a proxy for team speed, were positively related David E. Kalist and Stephen J. Spurr, Baseball with errors; others have previously noticed the speed/error Errors, Journal of Quantitative Analysis in association. Sports, Volume 2, Issue 4, Article 3 Interestingly, the National League has consistently “boasted” more errors than the American League; the authors are unsure In its short existence, JQAS has shown a tendency to present why, but comparisons both before and after the appearance of the articles that are long on method but short on interesting designated hitter in the junior circuit indicate that this is probably substance (case in point, another piece in Volume 2 Issue 4 not the reason. relevant to the tired old topic of within-league parity). Kalist and Spurr’s effort is a welcome change.
    [Show full text]
  • Tml American - Single Season Leaders 1954-2016
    TML AMERICAN - SINGLE SEASON LEADERS 1954-2016 AVERAGE (496 PA MINIMUM) RUNS CREATED HOMERUNS RUNS BATTED IN 57 ♦MICKEY MANTLE .422 57 ♦MICKEY MANTLE 256 98 ♦MARK McGWIRE 75 61 ♦HARMON KILLEBREW 221 57 TED WILLIAMS .411 07 ALEX RODRIGUEZ 235 07 ALEX RODRIGUEZ 73 16 DUKE SNIDER 201 86 WADE BOGGS .406 61 MICKEY MANTLE 233 99 MARK McGWIRE 72 54 DUKE SNIDER 189 80 GEORGE BRETT .401 98 MARK McGWIRE 225 01 BARRY BONDS 72 56 MICKEY MANTLE 188 58 TED WILLIAMS .392 61 HARMON KILLEBREW 220 61 HARMON KILLEBREW 70 57 TED WILLIAMS 187 61 NORM CASH .391 01 JASON GIAMBI 215 61 MICKEY MANTLE 69 98 MARK McGWIRE 185 04 ICHIRO SUZUKI .390 09 ALBERT PUJOLS 214 99 SAMMY SOSA 67 07 ALEX RODRIGUEZ 183 85 WADE BOGGS .389 61 NORM CASH 207 98 KEN GRIFFEY Jr. 67 93 ALBERT BELLE 183 55 RICHIE ASHBURN .388 97 LARRY WALKER 203 3 tied with 66 97 LARRY WALKER 182 85 RICKEY HENDERSON .387 00 JIM EDMONDS 203 94 ALBERT BELLE 182 87 PEDRO GUERRERO .385 71 MERV RETTENMUND .384 SINGLES DOUBLES TRIPLES 10 JOSH HAMILTON .383 04 ♦ICHIRO SUZUKI 230 14♦JONATHAN LUCROY 71 97 ♦DESI RELAFORD 30 94 TONY GWYNN .383 69 MATTY ALOU 206 94 CHUCK KNOBLAUCH 69 94 LANCE JOHNSON 29 64 RICO CARTY .379 07 ICHIRO SUZUKI 205 02 NOMAR GARCIAPARRA 69 56 CHARLIE PEETE 27 07 PLACIDO POLANCO .377 65 MAURY WILLS 200 96 MANNY RAMIREZ 66 79 GEORGE BRETT 26 01 JASON GIAMBI .377 96 LANCE JOHNSON 198 94 JEFF BAGWELL 66 04 CARL CRAWFORD 23 00 DARIN ERSTAD .376 06 ICHIRO SUZUKI 196 94 LARRY WALKER 65 85 WILLIE WILSON 22 54 DON MUELLER .376 58 RICHIE ASHBURN 193 99 ROBIN VENTURA 65 06 GRADY SIZEMORE 22 97 LARRY
    [Show full text]
  • Baseball Classics All-Time All-Star Greats Game Team Roster
    BASEBALL CLASSICS® ALL-TIME ALL-STAR GREATS GAME TEAM ROSTER Baseball Classics has carefully analyzed and selected the top 400 Major League Baseball players voted to the All-Star team since it's inception in 1933. Incredibly, a total of 20 Cy Young or MVP winners were not voted to the All-Star team, but Baseball Classics included them in this amazing set for you to play. This rare collection of hand-selected superstars player cards are from the finest All-Star season to battle head-to-head across eras featuring 249 position players and 151 pitchers spanning 1933 to 2018! Enjoy endless hours of next generation MLB board game play managing these legendary ballplayers with color-coded player ratings based on years of time-tested algorithms to ensure they perform as they did in their careers. Enjoy Fast, Easy, & Statistically Accurate Baseball Classics next generation game play! Top 400 MLB All-Time All-Star Greats 1933 to present! Season/Team Player Season/Team Player Season/Team Player Season/Team Player 1933 Cincinnati Reds Chick Hafey 1942 St. Louis Cardinals Mort Cooper 1957 Milwaukee Braves Warren Spahn 1969 New York Mets Cleon Jones 1933 New York Giants Carl Hubbell 1942 St. Louis Cardinals Enos Slaughter 1957 Washington Senators Roy Sievers 1969 Oakland Athletics Reggie Jackson 1933 New York Yankees Babe Ruth 1943 New York Yankees Spud Chandler 1958 Boston Red Sox Jackie Jensen 1969 Pittsburgh Pirates Matty Alou 1933 New York Yankees Tony Lazzeri 1944 Boston Red Sox Bobby Doerr 1958 Chicago Cubs Ernie Banks 1969 San Francisco Giants Willie McCovey 1933 Philadelphia Athletics Jimmie Foxx 1944 St.
    [Show full text]
  • 415 Vs. TB.Pdf
    WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS (8): 1903, 1912, 1915, 1916, 1918, 2004, 2007, 2013 AMERICAN LEAGUE CHAMPIONS (13): 1903, 1904, 1912, 1915, 1916, 1918, 1946, 1967, 1975, 1986, 2004, 2007, 2013 AMERICAN LEAGUE EAST DIVISION CHAMPIONS (8): 1975, 1986, 1988, 1990, 1995, 2007, 2013, 2016 AMERICAN LEAGUE WILD CARD (7): 1998, 1999, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2008, 2009 @BOSTONREDSOXPR • HTTP://PRESSROOM.REDSOX.COM • @SOXNOTES BOSTON RED SOX (5-5) vs. TAMPA BAY RAYS (6-5) Saturday, April 15, 2017 • 4:05 p.m. ET • Fenway Park • Boston, MA LHP Chris Sale (0-1, 1.23) vs. RHP Jake Odorizzi (1-1, 4.50) Game #11 • Home Game #7 • TV: NESN • Radio: WEEI 93.7 FM, WCEC 1490 AM/103.7 FM (Spanish) ONE BOSTON DAY: A special pre-game ceremony in- RISE & SHINE, BOSTON: The Red Sox have won 18 of cluding a moment of reflection will take place today to their last 21 day games at Fenway Park (beginning 5/14/16)... REGULAR SEASON BREAKDOWN recognize the 4-year anniversary of the Boston Marathon In those games, they are batting .321 with a .924 OPS (237- AL East Standing .......................4th, 2.5 GB Home/Road ..................................... 4-2/1-3 bombings...The Red Sox will also honor those affected by for-738, 60 2B, 5 3B, 30 HR). Day/Night ........................................ 3-3/2-2 the tragic events with a moment of silence at 2:49 p.m. April .......................................................5-5 HAVE WE BENINTRODUCED?: Andrew Benintendi has vs. AL East ..............................................1-2 JACKIE ROBINSON DAY: Today is MLB’s 14th annual Jackie reached base in each of the Sox’ 10 games this season...He vs.
    [Show full text]
  • Catching up with History
    Catching up with Baseball History Ryan Howard’s Unique Journey to the Major Leagues By John Cappello [email protected] “Any hitter who is destined to become a great ballplayer will reach the majors at an early age. I know of no clear-cut exception to this rule in the history of baseball.” - Bill James, 1982 The words of Bill James have a way of turning into baseball doctrine. So when the czar of baseball stats offers his thoughts on the game, scores of fans stand and listen. In “The Bill James Baseball Abstract,” vintage 1982, James observed that any ballplayer destined to become a superstar will crack a major league starting lineup by his early twenties, at the very latest. The underlying lesson is that top-shelf talent in baseball just doesn’t just sit around gathering moss on the bench or in the minors before manifesting itself. Greatness is an aura that tends to glow so visibly at the younger ages that it’s nearly impossible for it to slip through the cracks. But a beautiful component of baseball is that the game thrives on deviation and surprise. Just when Lou Brock’s single-season stolen base record of 118 seemed far out of reach, along comes Rickey Henderson to trump Brock by ten percent. In 1992, Sports Illustrated listed the Roger Maris record of 61 home runs in a single season as one of the ten “truly inviolable” records in sports. Six years later, the record was smashed six times over a four-year span by three different players.
    [Show full text]
  • Washington State Cougar History Cougar Baseball History
    WASHINGTON STATE Cougar History COUGAR BASEBALL HISTORY Cougar baseball is almost as old as Washington State University. BRAYTON’S MILESTONES Classes met for the first time Jan. 3-22-62: 1st win (and game), 9-4 vs. Gonzaga at Lewiston; 13, 1892, and in March of that 5-21-65: 100th win, 2-1 vs. Washington at Seattle; year the students organized a 3-27-69: 200th win, 8-0 vs. W. Washington at Lewiston; baseball team. It is only natural 4-15-72: 300th win, 5-0 vs. Washington at Seattle; that baseball should have been the 3-24-75: 400th win, 18-2 vs. Cornell at Riverside, Calif.; first organized sport at WSU, since 5-1-77: 500th win, 6-2 vs. Washington at Seattle; at the time the University was 3-16-80: 600th win, 9-7 vs. LCSC at Lewiston; 4-9-83: 700th win, 11-6 vs. CWU at Pullman; founded the game was immensely 4-30-83: 1,000th WSU game, 6-2 vs. Gonzaga at Pullman; popular all over the country. 5-1-85: 800th win, 10-4 vs. Whitworth at Pullman; The 1995 season marked a 3-16-88: 900th win, 6-5 vs. Clemson at Fresno, Calif.; special celebration in Cougar 4-11-90: 1,000th win, 14-6 vs. E. Washington at Pullman; baseball history. It was the 100th 3-7-93: 1,100th win, 9-6 vs. Gonzaga at Lewiston; year WSU had fielded a baseball 5-20-94: Last game, 11-9 vs. Portland at Pullman. team. Following the first season, 1892, play was discontinued When Bailey retired in 1961, one of and did not resume until 1896.
    [Show full text]
  • Oakland A's, Manny Ramirez Agree on Minor League Contract A's
    A’s News Clips, Tuesday, February 21, 2012 Oakland A's, Manny Ramirez agree on minor league contract By Joe Stiglich, Oakland Tribune PHOENIX -- The A's agreed to terms with free-agent designated hitter Manny Ramirez on a minor league contract Monday, tying themselves to one of baseball's most productive -- and controversial -- sluggers of all time. The deal is pending a physical, but Ramirez is expected to report to spring training by the end of this week. He must serve a 50-game suspension for violating Major League Baseball's drug policy for a second time, meaning he would become eligible for a May 30 game at Minnesota, on his 40th birthday. A's general manager Billy Beane, who had been looking for a veteran D.H. for several weeks, is expected to address the signing with the media Tuesday. If Oakland adds Ramirez to the major league roster after his suspension, his salary is expected to be around $500,000. "A guy like that can only help out," second baseman Jemile Weeks said. "Being loose, him having his goofy side -- if he still has it, that helps the camaraderie of the team.— Ramirez ranks 14th on the majors' all-time list with 555 home runs and carries a .312 career batting average. But considering his age, it's fair to ask how much impact he can make, especially since he'll miss almost a third of the season. Ramirez hasn't played since last April, when he abruptly retired after playing five games for the Tampa Bay Rays.
    [Show full text]
  • Weekly Notes 072817
    MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL WEEKLY NOTES FRIDAY, JULY 28, 2017 BLACKMON WORKING TOWARD HISTORIC SEASON On Sunday afternoon against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Coors Field, Colorado Rockies All-Star outfi elder Charlie Blackmon went 3-for-5 with a pair of runs scored and his 24th home run of the season. With the round-tripper, Blackmon recorded his 57th extra-base hit on the season, which include 20 doubles, 13 triples and his aforementioned 24 home runs. Pacing the Majors in triples, Blackmon trails only his teammate, All-Star Nolan Arenado for the most extra-base hits (60) in the Majors. Blackmon is looking to become the fi rst Major League player to log at least 20 doubles, 20 triples and 20 home runs in a single season since Curtis Granderson (38-23-23) and Jimmy Rollins (38-20-30) both accomplished the feat during the 2007 season. Since 1901, there have only been seven 20-20-20 players, including Granderson, Rollins, Hall of Famers George Brett (1979) and Willie Mays (1957), Jeff Heath (1941), Hall of Famer Jim Bottomley (1928) and Frank Schulte, who did so during his MVP-winning 1911 season. Charlie would become the fi rst Rockies player in franchise history to post such a season. If the season were to end today, Blackmon’s extra-base hit line (20-13-24) has only been replicated by 34 diff erent players in MLB history with Rollins’ 2007 season being the most recent. It is the fi rst stat line of its kind in Rockies franchise history. Hall of Famer Lou Gehrig is the only player in history to post such a line in four seasons (1927-28, 30-31).
    [Show full text]
  • Moneyball' Bit Player Korach Likes Film
    A’s News Clips, Tuesday, October 11, 2011 'Moneyball' bit player Korach likes film ... and Howe Ron Kantowski, Las Vegas Review Ken Korach's voice can be heard for about 22 seconds in the hit baseball movie "Moneyball," now showing at a theater near you. That's probably not enough to warrant an Oscar nomination, given Anthony Quinn holds the record for shortest amount of time spent on screen as a Best Supporting Actor of eight minutes, as painter Paul Gaugin in 1956's "Lust for Life." But whereas Brad Pitt only stars in "Moneyball," longtime Las Vegas resident Korach lived the 2002 season as play-by- play broadcaster for the Oakland Athletics, who set an American League record by winning 20 consecutive games. And though Korach's 45-minute interview about that season wound up on the cutting-room floor -- apparently along with photographs of the real Art Howe, the former A's manager who was nowhere near as rotund (or cantankerous) as Philip Seymour Hoffman made him out to be in the movie -- Korach said director Bennett Miller and the Hollywood people got it right. Except, perhaps, for the part about Art Howe. "I wish they had done a more flattering portrayal of Art ... but it's Hollywood," Korach said of "Moneyball," based on author Michael Lewis' 2003 book of the same name. "They wanted to show conflict between Billy and Art." Billy is Billy Beane, who was general manager of the Athletics then and still is today. Beane is credited with adapting the so-called "Moneyball" approach -- finding value in players based on sabermetric statistical data and analysis, rather than traditional scouting values such as hitting home runs and stealing bases -- to building a ballclub.
    [Show full text]
  • Learning Unethical Practices from a Co-Worker: the Peer Effect of Jose Canseco
    IZA DP No. 3328 Learning Unethical Practices from a Co-worker: The Peer Effect of Jose Canseco Eric D. Gould Todd R. Kaplan DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES DISCUSSION PAPER January 2008 Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit Institute for the Study of Labor Learning Unethical Practices from a Co-worker: The Peer Effect of Jose Canseco Eric D. Gould Hebrew University, Shalem Center, CEPR, CREAM and IZA Todd R. Kaplan Haifa University and University of Exeter Discussion Paper No. 3328 January 2008 IZA P.O. Box 7240 53072 Bonn Germany Phone: +49-228-3894-0 Fax: +49-228-3894-180 E-mail: [email protected] Any opinions expressed here are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but the institute itself takes no institutional policy positions. The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in Bonn is a local and virtual international research center and a place of communication between science, politics and business. IZA is an independent nonprofit organization supported by Deutsche Post World Net. The center is associated with the University of Bonn and offers a stimulating research environment through its international network, workshops and conferences, data service, project support, research visits and doctoral program. IZA engages in (i) original and internationally competitive research in all fields of labor economics, (ii) development of policy concepts, and (iii) dissemination of research results and concepts to the interested public. IZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character.
    [Show full text]