P2P Lending: Opportunity & how to invest 11 March 2014 Cormac Leech Research +44 (0) 20 3100 2264
[email protected] Karen Lucey Research +44 (0) 20 3100 2183
[email protected] Minh Tran Research +44 (0) 20 3100 2184
[email protected] Ropemaker Place, 25 Ropemaker Street, London EC2Y 9LY / T: +44 (0)20 3100 2000 www.liberum.com Liberum Capital Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England and Wales No. 5912554 P2P Lending: Opportunity & how to invest Reaching critical mass Structural advantage / sustainable model Endgame Investment opportunities Conclusions Appendix 2 P2P Lending: Opportunity & how to invest £5bn of volume on top 5 platforms in 2014; P2P volumes have grown at 136% CAGR since 2009 • 2005: Zopa launched in the UK; P2P Gross Annual Volume £bn 6.0 • Lending Club - originated £1.3bn+ CAGR: in 2013 136% 5.0 • Strong UK govt backing for P2P: committed to lend £75m via P2P 4.0 3.0 UK Govt lending via P2P £m 70 2.0 60 50 40 1.0 30 20 10 0.0 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014e MarketInvoice Zopa Funding Cirlce Prosper Lending Club Funding Circle Ratesetter Zopa Source: Lending Club, Prosper, Funding Circle, Zopa, RateSetter, Liberum Source: Lending Club, Prosper, Funding Circle, Zopa, RateSetter, Liberum 3 P2P Lending: Opportunity & how to invest P2P lending is a global phenomenon: largest markets US, China and UK $ = 2013 annual gross volume $1.4bn $2.4bn $1.9bn* * Estimate based on historic and Celent forecast 4 P2P Lending: Opportunity & how to invest P2P awareness