Supplementary Document to Detailed Project Report for Rail Based Mass Transit System in Kanpur
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Government of Uttar Pradesh through Kanpur Development Authority Coordinated by Lucknow Metro Rail Corporation SUPPLEMENTARY DOCUMENT TO DETAILED PROJECT REPORT FOR RAIL BASED MASS TRANSIT SYSTEM IN KANPUR IIT KANPUR KALYANPUR RLY STN CSJM UNIVERSITY SPM AGRICULTURE HOSPITAL GEETA UNIVERSITY GURUDEV NAGAR CHAURAHA RAWATPUR RLY STN CHUNNI GANJ KAKADEO BADA LALA MOTI CHAURAHA LAJPAT JHEEL NAVEEN DOUBLE RAI PHOOL MARKET PULIA HOSPITAL BAGH VIJAY NAGAR NAYAGANJ CHAURAHA KANPUR CENTRAL RLY STN GOVIND NAGAR (FUTURE ) JHAKARKATI BUS TERMINAL SHASTRI TRANSPORT CHOWK NAGAR BARRA-7 BARADEVI BARRA-8 KIDWAI NAGAR VASANT VIHAR BAUDH NAGAR NAUBASTA January 2019 RITES LTD. A Government of India Enterprise URBAN TRANSPORT DIVISION RITES Bhawan (A Government of India Enterprise) Plot No. 1, Sector 29, Gurgaon – 122001 (INDIA) Tel: 0091-124-2571666, 2571648, Fax: 0091-124-2571638 Detailed Project Report for Rail Based Mass Transit System in Kanpur SUPPLEMENTARY DOCUMENT TO DPR Table of Contents Chapter1: Introduction TABLE OF CONTENTS PREFACE .............................................................................................................................................. i-v 17. DETAILED PROJECT COST ESTIMATES 17.1 CAPITAL COST ESTIMATE ................................................................................................................ 17-1 17.2 INNOVATIONS PROPOSED TO REDUCE THE COST .......................................................................... 17-6 17.3 COSTING OF ENTIRE PROJECT ......................................................................................................... 17-6 17.4 SUMMARY OF CAPITAL COST ........................................................................................................ 17-16 17.5 COMPARATIVE STATEMENT OF REDUCED COST WITH ORIGINAL DPR ........................................ 17-17 17.6 ESTIMATIONS OF OPERATIONS AND MAINTENANCE COST ......................................................... 17-19 19. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & NON FARE BOX REVENUE ASSESSMENT 19.1 INPUT FOR THE ANALYSIS ............................................................................................................... 19-1 19.2 MEANS OF FINANCE........................................................................................................................ 19-6 19.3 OPERATIONAL VIABILITY/FINANCIAL INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (FIRR) ...................................... 19-9 19.4 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................... 19-10 19.5 ALTERNATE MEANS OF FINANCING .............................................................................................. 19-10 20. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 20.1 APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY FOR ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ........................................................ 20-1 20.2 ESTIMATION OF ECONOMIC COST OF MRTS ................................................................................. 20-2 20.3 ECONOMIC BENEFITS OF MRTS ...................................................................................................... 20-3 20.4 EIRR FOR 30 YEARS ......................................................................................................................... 20-9 20.5 OUTCOME ON ECONOMIC VIABILITY ............................................................................................. 20-9 LIST OF FIGURES FIGURE 19.1: MODEL OF IMPLEMENTATION OF MRTS PROJECTS ................................................................. 19-13 FIGURE 19.2: APPROVED FUNDING PATTERN OF DELHI AIRPORT LINE ......................................................... 19-15 FIGURE 19.3: FUNDING PATTERN OF HYDERABAD METRO ............................................................................ 19-15 FIGURE 19.4: FUNDING PATTERN OF MUMBAI METRO LINE 1 ...................................................................... 19-16 LIST OF TABLES TABLE 17.1: LAND & STRUCTURES REQUIREMENT (IN HA.) : CORRIDOR-I ....................................................... 17-2 TABLE 17.2: LAND & STRUCTURES REQUIREMENT (IN HA.) : CORRIDOR-II ...................................................... 17-2 TABLE 17.3: RATES OF ITEMS OTHER THAN LAND............................................................................................ 17-4 TABLE 17.4: CAPITAL COST ESTIMATE CORRIDOR-1 ......................................................................................... 17-6 TABLE 17.5: CAPITAL COST ESTIMATE CORRIDOR-2 ......................................................................................... 17-9 TABLE 17.6: COST COMPONENT UNDER PPP ................................................................................................. 17-12 TABLE 17.7: TAXES AND DUTIES COMPONENTS ............................................................................................. 17-12 i. January 2019 Page i Detailed Project Report for Rail Based Mass Transit System in Kanpur SUPPLEMENTARY DOCUMENT TO DPR Table of Contents Chapter1: Introduction TABLE 17.8: TAXES AND DUTIES FOR CORRIDOR-1 ........................................................................................ 17-13 TABLE 17.9: TAXES AND DUTIES FOR CORRIDOR-2 ........................................................................................ 17-15 TABLE 17.10: ABSTRACT OF COST ESTIMATE OF CORRIDOR-1 & 2 ................................................................ 17-16 TABLE 17.11: COMPARISON OF REVISED COST ESTIMATE WITH ORIGINAL DPR ........................................... 17-17 TABLE 17.12: ADDITIONAL COST OF FUTURE STATION (GOVIND NAGAR IN CORR-2) ................................... 17-20 TABLE 17.13: ADDITIONAL COST OF MINOR DEPOT (CORR-1) ....................................................................... 17-21 TABLE 17.14: OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE COSTS CORRIDOR-I .............................................................. 17-22 TABLE 17.15: OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE COSTS CORRIDOR-II ............................................................ 17-23 TABLE 19.1:CAPITAL COSTS (NOV'2017 PRICES) (RS. IN CRORE) ...................................................................... 19-1 TABLE 19.2:DETAILS OF COMPLETION COSTS (RS IN CRORE) ........................................................................... 19-2 TABLE 19.3:% DISTRIBUTION OF COSTS DURING CONSTRUCTION .................................................................. 19-2 TABLE 19 4YEAR WISE FUND REQUIREMENTS WITHOUT TAXES (RS. IN CRORE) ............................................. 19-3 TABLE 19 5YEAR WISE FUND REQUIREMENTS WITH ALL TAXES (RS IN CRORE) .............................................. 19-3 TABLE 19 6YEAR WISE FUND REQUIREMENTS WITH CENTRAL TAXES (RS IN CRORE) ..................................... 19-3 TABLE 19 7OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE COSTS (RS IN CRORE) ................................................................ 19-5 TABLE 19 8EXPECTED METRO RIDERSHIP IN HORIZON YEARS ......................................................................... 19-6 TABLE 19 9TRIP LENGTH DISTRIBUTION ........................................................................................................... 19-6 TABLE 19 10FARE STRUCTURE FOR LUCKNOW METRO-2017-2018 ................................................................. 19-7 TABLE 19 11FARE STRUCTURE FOR KANPUR METRO FOR HORIZON YEARS .................................................... 19-7 TABLE 19 12RATES FOR NON-FARE BOX REVENUES ......................................................................................... 19-8 TABLE 19 13ADVERTISING AREA ....................................................................................................................... 19-9 TABLE 19 14NON-FARE BOX REVENUE ............................................................................................................. 19-9 TABLE 19 15TOTAL REVENUE COLLECTION (RS. IN CRORE) .............................................................................. 19-9 TABLE 19 16 COST AND RIDERSHIP SENSITIVITY............................................................................................. 19-10 TABLE 19 17 KANPUR MRTS FIRR WITH CENTRAL TAXES (RS. IN CRORE) ...................................................... 19-11 TABLE 19 18 FUNDING PATTERN UNDER EQUITY SHARING MODEL .............................................................. 19-19 TABLE 19 19 FUNDING PATTERN UNDER PPP – BOT WITH VGF ..................................................................... 19-20 TABLE 19 20 FUNDING PATTERN UNDER GRANT BY CENTRAL GOVERNMENT MODEL ................................. 19-20 TABLE 19 21COMPARISON OF THREE IMPLEMENTATION MODELS (RS. CRORE) ........................................... 19-21 TABLE 20.1: KEY EVALUATION ASSUMPTIONS ................................................................................................. 20-2 TABLE 20.2: ESTIMATED DEMAND AND MODAL SHARE IN 'WITH' AND 'WITHOUT' SCENARIO ...................... 20-2 TABLE 20.3: FACTORS USED FOR CONVERTING PROJECT COSTS TO ECONOMIC COSTS ................................. 20-3 TABLE 20.4: FINANCIAL COSTS OF METRO - CAPITAL AND O&M (RS. IN CRORE) ............................................ 20-3 TABLE 20.5: ECONOMIC COSTS OF METRO - CAPITAL AND O&M (RS IN CRORE) ............................................ 20-3 TABLE 20.6: REDUCED PASSENGER TRIPS DUE TO KANPUR MRTS ................................................................... 20-3 TABLE 20.7: MODE WISE VOC FOR KANPUR ...................................................................................................