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OCTOBER 2016 The Foreign Policy Issue A world of challenges for NATO Canadian leadership and a renewed role for collective defence Also INSIDE: How Obama The winter of Trouble on the Free trade lost his way in discontent for US border for gets it from the Middle East Arab women Canada both sides Published by the Macdonald-Laurier Institute PublishedBrian Lee by Crowley, the Macdonald-Laurier Managing Director, [email protected] Institute David Watson,James Anderson, Managing ManagingEditor and Editor, Communications Inside Policy Director PublishedBrian Lee byCrowley, the Macdonald-LaurierManaging Director, [email protected] Institute James Anderson,Contributing Managing writers:Editor, Inside Policy Brian Lee Crowley, Managing Director, [email protected] James Anderson,ContributingPast contributors Managing writers: Editor, Inside Policy Thomas S. Axworthy Andrew Griffith Benjamin Perrin Thomas S. AxworthyThomas S. Axworthy Philip Cross ContributingAndrew Griffith writers:Carin Holroyd Benjamin PerrinPeggy Nash Mary-Jane BennettDonald Barry Laura Dawson Stanley H. HarttDean Karalekas Mike LindaPriaro Nazareth Donald Barry Stanley H. Hartt Mike Priaro Carolyn BennettThomas S. AxworthyJeremy Depow Andrew GriffithPaul Kennedy Benjamin GeoffPerrin Norquay Ken Coates Paul Kennedy Colin Robertson Peter DeVries Massimo BergaminiKenDonald Coates Barry PaulStanley Kennedy H. HarttTasha Kheiriddin ColinMike Robertson PriaroBenjamin Perrin Brian Dijkema Ken BoessenkoolBrian Lee Crowley Audrey LaporteJeremy Kinsman Roger RobinsonJeffrey Phillips Brian Lee Crowley Audrey Laporte Roger Robinson Scott Brison Ken CoatesDon Drummond Paul KennedySteven Langdon Colin RobertsonMike Priaro Carlo Dade John Duffy Ian Lee Robin V. Sears Derek Burney BrianCarlo Lee Dade Crowley AudreyIan Lee LaporteAudrey Laporte RobinRoger V. Robinson RichardSears Remillard Catherine Cano Patrice Dutil Brad Lavigne Robin V. Sears Laura Dawson Janice MacKinnon MunirMunir Sheikh Sheikh Elaine Carsley LauraCarlo Dawson DadeMartha Hall FindlayJanice MacKinnonIan Lee Ian Lee Robin V. MunirSears Sheikh Michael Chong Tom Flanagan Meredith MacDonald John Thompson GuyGuy GiornoLaura Giorno Dawson LindaLindaJanice Nazareth MacKinnon AlexMunirAlex Wilner SheikhWilner Dan Ciuriak Chrystia Freeland Janice MacKinnon Gil Troy Scott ClarkStephenStephen GuyGreene Greene Giorno Daniel Gagnier GeoffGeoffLinda NorquayNazarethVelma McColl Alex WilnerMichael Watts Ken Coates Guy Giorno Ted Menzies Alex Wilner Stephen Greene Geoff Norquay PastCeline contributors: Cooper Mary-Jane Bennett,Stephen Carolyn Greene Bennett, Massimo Bergamini,Robert P. KenMurphy Boessenkool, Brian Bohunicky, Scott Brison, Past contributors: Mary-Jane Bennett, Carolyn Bennett, Massimo Bergamini, Ken Boessenkool, Brian Bohunicky, Scott Brison, Derek Burney, Catherine Cano, Dan Ciuriak, Scott Clark, Philip Cross, Celine Cooper, Peter DeVries, Don Drummond, John Duffy, Derek Burney,Past Catherine contributors: Cano, Mary-Jane Dan Ciuriak, Bennett, Scott Carolyn Clark, Bennett, Philip MassimoCross, Celine Bergamini, Cooper, Ken Peter Boessenkool, DeVries, Brian Don Bohunicky, Drummond, Scott John Brison, Duffy, Patrice Dutil, Joseph Fantino, Daniel Gagnier, Brad Lavigne,Cover photo:Tasha Kheiriddin, iStock Jeremy Kinsman, Steven Langdon, Velma McColl, Patrice Dutil,Derek Burney, Joseph CatherineFantino, Cano,Daniel Dan Gagnier, Ciuriak, Brad Scott Lavigne, Clark, Philip Tasha Cross, Kheiriddin, Celine Cooper, Jeremy Peter Kinsman, DeVries, Steven Don Drummond,Langdon, Velma John Duffy,McColl, Ted Menzies, RobertProduction P. Murphy, designer: Peggy RenéeNash, Gil Depocas Troy, Michael Watts. Patrice Dutil, Joseph Fantino,Ted Menzies, Daniel Gagnier,Robert P. Brad Murphy, Lavigne, Peggy Tasha Nash, Kheiriddin, Gil Troy, Jeremy Michael Kinsman, Watts. Steven Langdon, Velma McColl, The contributors to this Tedpublication Menzies, have Robert worked P. Murphy, independently Peggy Nash,and are Gil solely Troy, responsible Michael Watts.for the views presented here. The contributorsThe toopinions this publication are not necessarily have workedthose of independently the Macdonald-Laurier and are Institute,solely responsible its Directors for or the Supporters. views presented here. The contributors to this publication have worked independently and are solely responsible for the views presented here. The opinions are not necessarily those of the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, its Directors or Supporters. The opinions are not necessarily those of the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, its Directors or Supporters. Inside Policy is published six times a year by the Macdonald-Laurier Institute. The contents of the magazine are copyrighted, Insidebut Policy may is be published re-produced six with times permission a year by in the print, Macdonald-Laurier and downloaded free Institute. of charge The from contents the MLI website:of the magazinemacdonaldlaurier.ca are copyrighted, Inside Policy is published six times a year by the Macdonald-Laurier Institute. The contents of the magazine are copyrighted, but may butbe re-producedmay be re-produced with permission with permission in print, in print, and and downloaded downloaded free free of of charge charge fromfrom the MLIMLI website: website: macdonaldlaurier.ca macdonaldlaurier.ca For advertising information, please email: [email protected] For advertisingFor advertising information, information, please please email: email: [email protected] [email protected]@macdonaldlaurier.ca Subscriptions: $39.95 per year; single issue, $6.95. | ISSN 1929-9095 (Print) | ISSN 1929-9109 (Online) Subscriptions: $39.95 per year; single issue, $6.95. | ISSN 1929-9095 (Print) | ISSN 1929-9109 (Online) Subscriptions:The Macdonald-Laurier $39.95 per year; Institute single is issue, grateful $6.95. to Intuit | ISSN Canada 1929-9095 for their support(Print) |of ISSN Inside Policy1929-9109 magazine. (Online) The Macdonald-Laurier Institute is grateful to Intuit Canada for their support of Inside Policy magazine. The Macdonald-LaurierInside Policy: 8 YorkInstitute Street, is Suitegrateful 200, to Ottawa Intuit ON,Canada Canada for K1Ntheir 5S6,support PH; 613-482-8327of Inside Policy magazine. Inside Policy: 8 York Street, Suite 200, Ottawa ON, Canada K1N 5S6, PH; 613-482-8327 2 Inside Policy —Inside The MagazinePolicy: 8 York of The Street, Macdonald-Laurier Suite 200, Ottawa Institute ON, Canada K1N 5S6, PH; 613-482-8327 Inside Policy – The Magazine of The Macdonald-Laurier Institute 2 2 Inside Policy — The Magazine of The Macdonald-Laurier Institute 2 Inside Policy — The Magazine of The Macdonald-Laurier Institute insidepolicy [march].indd 2 14-04-01 10:00 AM insidepolicy [march].indd 2 14-04-01 10:00 AM insidepolicy [march].indd 2 14-04-01 10:00 AM From the editors Contents he Cold War is long over, but there’s still plenty for the North Atlantic 4 Barack Obama and the blinkers Treaty Organization to do. That’s the message in our cover story from of idealism in foreign policy Stanley H. Hartt MLI Munk Senior Fellow Shuvaloy Majumdar and his co-author, Tdocumentary filmmaker Marcus Kolga. It is a different world from the Soviet 7 The winter of discontent for women era, but Russian President Vladimir Putin seems intent on re-establishing his in the Middle East and North Africa nation’s former glory, and destabilizing his rivals in the process. Majumdar and Raheel Raza Kolga write that Canada has a leadership role to play as NATO faces challenges 10 How NATO must adapt in a in the Ukraine, the Baltics and Arctic, along the alliance’s southern flank in Syria, changing world and even in cyber space. Shuvaloy Majumdar and Marcus Kolga This issue of Inside Policy features a variety of articles on the changing 20 Border security issues with US global scene. In his contribution, Stanley H. Hartt offers a critical assessment are piling up for Canada of Barack Obama’s foreign policy legacy. He contends that the outgoing Scott Newark President’s greatest failure can be traced back to his 2009 Cairo speech to the 23 The Supreme Court changes gears Muslim world, beginning a path that saw a lapse in American leadership create on the justice highway chaos in the Middle East, and a refugee crisis in the streets of Europe. And Geoffrey Cowper Raheel Raza writes that the hope of the Arab Spring has turned to a winter of 26 Good intentions won’t help access discontent for women in the Middle East and North Africa, but they have not to medicines given up hope for a brighter future. Richard Owens and Sean Speer Still with foreign affairs, journalist Naomi Lakritz warns that anti-trade “Social licence”: the rule of law rhetoric in the US election debate could have a receptive audience, which is 28 transgressed bad for both our countries, and Scott Newark counts the growing number of Paul Cassidy, Monika Sawicka and border irritants Canada faces with the US. Finally, Richard Owens and Sean Leah Whitworth Speer respond to a well-meaning but self-defeating UN panel report on access 30 Ottawa’s innovation agenda requires to medicines. a robust broadband strategy Also in this issue, Geoffrey Cowper says that the Supreme Court has Paul Beaudry and Sean Speer made an important challenge to the “culture of complacency towards delay” in Canada’s justice system, and Paul Cassidy, Monika Sawika and Leah 32 Why we should worry about Trump-Clinton trade bashing Whitworth explain why the concept of “social licence” for resource develop- Naomi Lakritz ment is incompatible with the rule