Livcd) Final Performance Evaluation Final Report
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LEBANON INDUSTRY VALUE CHAIN DEVELOPMENT (LIVCD) FINAL PERFORMANCE EVALUATION FINAL REPORT Performance Management and Support Program for Lebanon (PMSPL II) November 2018 This publication was produced at the request of the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared by independently by Matteo Borzoni (Team Leader) with the support of Joanna Khater from Social Impact, Inc. Note: Limited redactions have been made to this version of the report in accordance with the principled exceptions to the presumption in favor of openness established in OMB Bulletin 12-01, “Guidance on Collection of U.S. Foreign Assistance Data.” SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED Lebanon Industry Value Chain Development (LIVCD) Final Performance Evaluation Cover Photo: Workers sorting apples at the cold storage facility of Liban Village, Lebanon (Matteo Borzoni, Evaluation Team Leader/ Social Impact) Performance Management and Support Program for Lebanon (PMSPL II) November 2018 This document was submitted by Social Impact, Inc., to the United States Agency for International Development under USAID Contract/Order No. AID-268-C-15-00001. This document is available printed or online. Documents are also made available through the Development Experience Clearinghouse (http://dec.usaid.gov). Additional information is available from: Social Impact, Inc. 2300 Clarendon Boulevard Arlington, VA 22201 Tel: (703) 465-1884 Fax: (703) 465-1888 [email protected] DISCLAIMER The author’s views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government. SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED ABSTRACT Implemented between September 2012 and January 2019, the USAID-funded Lebanon Industry Value Chain Development (LIVCD) project sought to develop inclusive and competitive value chains in rural areas of the country to help increase the income of the population there, including micro, small, and medium enterprises. The evaluation examines the project’s relevance, efficiency and cost-effectiveness, effectiveness, sustainability, and additionality. It provides conclusions and recommendations to inform future activities and follow-on actions. The methods employed included a document review, 64 key- informant interviews, 28 focus group discussions (with 221 individuals), and direct observations. LIVCD’s performance varied according to the targeted value chain. Interventions with avocado and olive farmers were the most cost-effective, while those with apple and cherry farmers were the least cost- effective. Significant contextual challenges hindered LIVCD’s performance. However, the evaluation found evidence of improved incomes and competitiveness for avocado, olive, and grape farmers in addition to processed-food companies. There was limited or no income improvement for LIVCD-supported apple and cherry farmers. The total value of loans raised was considerable. However, access to finance improved for 102 beneficiaries only and was rather the result of investments leveraged by grants and technical assistance than that of activities aimed at promoting access to finance. Additionality was evident when new technologies or techniques were introduced. The project design included aspects related to ensuring sustainability. However, without further improvements in the quality of the produce, the interventions’ sustainability is at risk, especially in the apple value chain. ii | LIVCD FINAL EVALUATION REPORT USAID/LEBANON NOVEMBER 2018 SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED Table of Contents ABSTRACT .................................................................................................................................... i ACRONYMS .................................................................................................................................. v EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.............................................................................................................. 1 I. Introduction ........................................................................................................................... 7 II. The Development Problem and USAID’s Response ......................................................... 7 The Development Problem ........................................................................................................................................ 7 USAID’s Response ........................................................................................................................................................ 8 III. Evaluation Purpose, Users, and Questions ....................................................................... 10 Evaluation Purpose and Users ................................................................................................................................. 10 Evaluation Questions ................................................................................................................................................. 10 EVALUATION TEAM AND SUPPORT STRUCTURE ..................................................................................... 11 IV. Evaluation Methodology ..................................................................................................... 12 Data Collection Methods.......................................................................................................................................... 12 Document Review ................................................................................................................................................. 12 Key Informant Interviews .................................................................................................................................... 13 Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) ..................................................................................................................... 13 Observations ........................................................................................................................................................... 14 Data Analysis................................................................................................................................................................ 14 Data Analysis Processes ....................................................................................................................................... 15 Data Triangulation ................................................................................................................................................. 15 Data Analysis Methods ......................................................................................................................................... 15 Biases and Other Limitations ................................................................................................................................... 16 V. Findings and Conclusions.................................................................................................... 17 Evaluation Question 1 ............................................................................................................................................... 17 Findings ..................................................................................................................................................................... 17 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................................. 19 Evaluation Question 2 ............................................................................................................................................... 19 Findings ..................................................................................................................................................................... 19 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................................. 21 Evaluation Question 3 ............................................................................................................................................... 21 Findings ..................................................................................................................................................................... 22 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................................. 31 Evaluation Question 4 ............................................................................................................................................... 32 USAID/LEBANON LIVCD FINAL EVALUATION REPORT | iii NOVEMBER 2018 SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED Findings ..................................................................................................................................................................... 32 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................................. 34 Evaluation Question 5 ............................................................................................................................................... 35 Findings ..................................................................................................................................................................... 35 Conclusions