Crescendo to Climategate Cacophony Behind the 2006 Wegman Report and Two Decades of Climate Anti-Science John R
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Crescendo to Climategate Cacophony Behind the 2006 Wegman Report and Two Decades of Climate Anti-Science John R. Mashey* Climate science has produced increasingly-stronger scientific results intentionally obscured by an increasingly-noisy anti-science PR campaign. This has surged in a long crescendo from 1990 to the cacophony of ―Climategate,‖ the email hack of the University of East Anglia‘s Climatic Research Unit. This 185-page report details the long history of these attacks, including funding flows, organizations, people and tactics. It highlights the reality behind a 2005-2006 campaign that purposefully misled Congress. Its results have formed a pillar of the anti-science PR campaign to this day, including Climategate. Although the author has benefited from frequent discussions with leading researchers, the report is based primarily on public information - government reports, organizations' websites, peer-reviewed articles, scholarly books and existing Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) data. This report shows in detail: A tight network of organizations and individuals funded and executed the long campaign. They used well-honed tactics pioneered by tobacco companies, but to obscure the dangers of second-hand smoke, acid rain, chlorofluorocarbons and greenhouse gas emissions. From 2001 to 2005, several of these, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, George C. Marshall Institute, Senator James Inhofe and allies found ―new voices‖ in Canadians Ross McKitrick & Steven McIntyre, encouraged them and introduced them to Washington, DC. Using the old tactics, they tried to discredit specific scientists and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In 2005, Representatives Joe Barton and Ed Whitfield unusually demanded information from climate scientists Michael Mann, Raymond Bradley and Malcom Hughes, originators of a 1999 ―hockey stick‖ graph later used in the IPCC 2001 reports. The scientific community pushed back. Barton and Whitfield bypassed the National Academy of Sciences, preferring an odd route to reach Edward Wegman to form an ―independent, impartial, expert‖ panel to evaluate hockey stick statistics. In July 2006 the ―Wegman Report‖ and House hearings combined into a major pillar of widespread and continuing attacks on Mann, the IPCC, and climate science, still employed since then. For example, Climategate testimony to the UK Parliament 03/01/10 still cited Wegman. The Panel had none of the attributes claimed. In no sense were its members independent. It far exceeded its charter. It relied heavily on information via Barton staffer Peter Spencer. It worked with critic McIntyre, but never contacted Mann. Key material even seems plagiarized from Bradley‘s classic Paleoclimatology text, sometimes modified to weaken or even invert its meaning. Unlike the time of the tobacco wars, the media and Internet now amplify anti-science attacks by: (a) enabling a few determined people to divert chosen scientists‘ research time entirely into responding to FOIA requests and personal attacks and (b) inciting harassment of scientists via public outcry, hate mail or threats of violence. This report suggests: Congress should investigate the manufacture and exploitation of the Wegman Report. Such an investigation might well grow into the scope of the 1990s tobacco investigations. It has been suggested that 18.U.S.C §1001 and 18.U.S.C §371 might apply to organized efforts to mislead Congress. As part of that, Congress might investigate the nature of some organizations claiming nonprofit 501(c)3 status. Congress should consider changing FOIA law to preserve appropriate public access, but better differentiate between reasonable requests and unreasonable Internet-amplified harassment. Congress should consider better ways to deal with organized, Internet-amplified defamation campaigns not handled well by current laws. Climate scientists should not face death threats. *Dr. Mashey is an easy-to-Google computer scientist. He has worked with a wide variety of scientists, many of whom use software or hardware he helped create. So do most readers, given software features found on many computers and microprocessors used to implement much of the Internet. In 1988 he cofounded SPEC, which set new standards for disclosure, objectivity and cooperation in (often-contentious) computer performance evaluation, widely used to design computers since. For the last few years he has been involved in climate science, anti-science, and energy issues. Contact: JohnMashey (at) yahoo.com. Permalink: www.desmogblog.com/crescendo-climategate-cacophony. Crescendo to ClimateGate Cacophony V1.0 03/15/10 Table of Contents Index to A.2 Funder, A.3 Organization, A.4 Activities, A.7 Individuals ........................................................................ 4 Guide to Reading this Report ..................................................................................................................................................... 5 1 Introduction – Definitions, Science Bypass, Cigarettes, and Climate .................................................................... 7 2 The Machinery of Anti-Science – Laundering Money and Memes........................................................................ 9 3 1988-2010 Overall Chronology Chart .......................................................................................................................... 15 4 1988-1997 IPCC to Kyoto.............................................................................................................................................. 16 4.1 1988-1997 From Creation of the IPCC to the Kyoto Protocol ........................................................................ 16 4.2 Summarized Chronology .......................................................................................................................................... 18 5 1998-2006 From Kyoto to the Wegman Report (S plit in 2 Phases) ................................................................... 19 5.1 1998-2004 American Petroleum Institute and Allies Get New Recruits ....................................................... 19 5.2 Summarized Chronology .......................................................................................................................................... 22 5.3 2005-2006 Wegman Report: Illusion and later Reality .................................................................................... 23 5.4 Summarized Chronology .......................................................................................................................................... 27 6 2007-2010 Crescendo to Climategate ......................................................................................................................... 29 6.1 2007- 2010 Crescendo, Climategate .................................................................................................................. 29 6.2 Summarized Chronology .......................................................................................................................................... 31 7 Suggestions........................................................................................................................................................................... 32 7.1 Congress should investigate the manufacture & exploitation of the Wegman Report................................... 32 7.2 Congress should consider changes to FOIA laws................................................................................................. 32 7.3 Congress should consider ways to handle organized, Internet-amplified defamation ................................... 33 8 Conclusion – Is there a Climate Cons piracy? ............................................................................................................ 34 Acknowledgements; About the Author ................................................................................................................................. 35 Bibliography and Useful Websites .......................................................................................................................................... 36 A.1 Glossary of Acronyms ...................................................................................................................................................... 43 A.2 Funders................................................................................................................................................................................. 45 A.2.1 Corporations (O1) ....................................................................................................................................................... 45 A.2.2 Foundations (O2)......................................................................................................................................................... 47 A.3 Advocacy Organizations (O3-O7), Media (O8-O9), others.................................................................................... 49 A.4 Anti-Science Activities: Project, Petition, Conference, Report, Attack ............................................................. 79 A.5 Internet Amplification of Anti-Science , A Tiny Sample ........................................................................................ 90 A.6 Maps of Funders, Organizations, and People ............................................................................................................ 92 A.6.1 Funders versus Funded Organizations