Pearsonds: Pearson Distribution System
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On the Scale Parameter of Exponential Distribution
Review of the Air Force Academy No.2 (34)/2017 ON THE SCALE PARAMETER OF EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION Anca Ileana LUPAŞ Military Technical Academy, Bucharest, Romania ([email protected]) DOI: 10.19062/1842-9238.2017.15.2.16 Abstract: Exponential distribution is one of the widely used continuous distributions in various fields for statistical applications. In this paper we study the exact and asymptotical distribution of the scale parameter for this distribution. We will also define the confidence intervals for the studied parameter as well as the fixed length confidence intervals. 1. INTRODUCTION Exponential distribution is used in various statistical applications. Therefore, we often encounter exponential distribution in applications such as: life tables, reliability studies, extreme values analysis and others. In the following paper, we focus our attention on the exact and asymptotical repartition of the exponential distribution scale parameter estimator. 2. SCALE PARAMETER ESTIMATOR OF THE EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION We will consider the random variable X with the following cumulative distribution function: x F(x ; ) 1 e ( x 0 , 0) (1) where is an unknown scale parameter Using the relationships between MXXX( ) ; 22( ) ; ( ) , we obtain ()X a theoretical variation coefficient 1. This is a useful indicator, especially if MX() you have observational data which seems to be exponential and with variation coefficient of the selection closed to 1. If we consider x12, x ,... xn as a part of a population that follows an exponential distribution, then by using the maximum likelihood estimation method we obtain the following estimate n ˆ 1 xi (2) n i1 119 On the Scale Parameter of Exponential Distribution Since M ˆ , it follows that ˆ is an unbiased estimator for . -
Univariate and Multivariate Skewness and Kurtosis 1
Running head: UNIVARIATE AND MULTIVARIATE SKEWNESS AND KURTOSIS 1 Univariate and Multivariate Skewness and Kurtosis for Measuring Nonnormality: Prevalence, Influence and Estimation Meghan K. Cain, Zhiyong Zhang, and Ke-Hai Yuan University of Notre Dame Author Note This research is supported by a grant from the U.S. Department of Education (R305D140037). However, the contents of the paper do not necessarily represent the policy of the Department of Education, and you should not assume endorsement by the Federal Government. Correspondence concerning this article can be addressed to Meghan Cain ([email protected]), Ke-Hai Yuan ([email protected]), or Zhiyong Zhang ([email protected]), Department of Psychology, University of Notre Dame, 118 Haggar Hall, Notre Dame, IN 46556. UNIVARIATE AND MULTIVARIATE SKEWNESS AND KURTOSIS 2 Abstract Nonnormality of univariate data has been extensively examined previously (Blanca et al., 2013; Micceri, 1989). However, less is known of the potential nonnormality of multivariate data although multivariate analysis is commonly used in psychological and educational research. Using univariate and multivariate skewness and kurtosis as measures of nonnormality, this study examined 1,567 univariate distriubtions and 254 multivariate distributions collected from authors of articles published in Psychological Science and the American Education Research Journal. We found that 74% of univariate distributions and 68% multivariate distributions deviated from normal distributions. In a simulation study using typical values of skewness and kurtosis that we collected, we found that the resulting type I error rates were 17% in a t-test and 30% in a factor analysis under some conditions. Hence, we argue that it is time to routinely report skewness and kurtosis along with other summary statistics such as means and variances. -
A Family of Skew-Normal Distributions for Modeling Proportions and Rates with Zeros/Ones Excess
S S symmetry Article A Family of Skew-Normal Distributions for Modeling Proportions and Rates with Zeros/Ones Excess Guillermo Martínez-Flórez 1, Víctor Leiva 2,* , Emilio Gómez-Déniz 3 and Carolina Marchant 4 1 Departamento de Matemáticas y Estadística, Facultad de Ciencias Básicas, Universidad de Córdoba, Montería 14014, Colombia; [email protected] 2 Escuela de Ingeniería Industrial, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, 2362807 Valparaíso, Chile 3 Facultad de Economía, Empresa y Turismo, Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria and TIDES Institute, 35001 Canarias, Spain; [email protected] 4 Facultad de Ciencias Básicas, Universidad Católica del Maule, 3466706 Talca, Chile; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] or [email protected] Received: 30 June 2020; Accepted: 19 August 2020; Published: 1 September 2020 Abstract: In this paper, we consider skew-normal distributions for constructing new a distribution which allows us to model proportions and rates with zero/one inflation as an alternative to the inflated beta distributions. The new distribution is a mixture between a Bernoulli distribution for explaining the zero/one excess and a censored skew-normal distribution for the continuous variable. The maximum likelihood method is used for parameter estimation. Observed and expected Fisher information matrices are derived to conduct likelihood-based inference in this new type skew-normal distribution. Given the flexibility of the new distributions, we are able to show, in real data scenarios, the good performance of our proposal. Keywords: beta distribution; centered skew-normal distribution; maximum-likelihood methods; Monte Carlo simulations; proportions; R software; rates; zero/one inflated data 1. -
Generalized Inferences for the Common Scale Parameter of Several Pareto Populations∗
InternationalInternational JournalJournal of of Statistics Statistics and and Management Management System System Vol.Vol. 4 No. 12 (January-June,(July-December, 2019) 2019) International Journal of Statistics and Management System, 2010, Vol. 5, No. 1–2, pp. 118–126. c 2010 Serials Publications Generalized inferences for the common scale parameter of several Pareto populations∗ Sumith Gunasekera†and Malwane M. A. Ananda‡ Received: 13th August 2018 Revised: 24th December 2018 Accepted: 10th March 2019 Abstract A problem of interest in this article is statistical inferences concerning the com- mon scale parameter of several Pareto distributions. Using the generalized p-value approach, exact confidence intervals and the exact tests for testing the common scale parameter are given. Examples are given in order to illustrate our procedures. A limited simulation study is given to demonstrate the performance of the proposed procedures. 1 Introduction In this paper, we consider k (k ≥ 2) independent Pareto distributions with an unknown common scale parameter θ (sometimes referred to as the “location pa- rameter” and also as the “truncation parameter”) and unknown possibly unequal shape parameters αi’s (i = 1, 2, ..., k). Using the generalized variable approach (Tsui and Weer- ahandi [8]), we construct an exact test for testing θ. Furthermore, using the generalized confidence interval (Weerahandi [11]), we construct an exact confidence interval for θ as well. A limited simulation study was carried out to compare the performance of these gen- eralized procedures with the approximate procedures based on the large sample method as well as with the other test procedures based on the combination of p-values. -
Statistical Distributions in General Insurance Stochastic Processes
Statistical distributions in general insurance stochastic processes by Jan Hendrik Harm Steenkamp Submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree Magister Scientiae In the Department of Statistics In the Faculty of Natural & Agricultural Sciences University of Pretoria Pretoria January 2014 © University of Pretoria 1 I, Jan Hendrik Harm Steenkamp declare that the dissertation, which I hereby submit for the degree Magister Scientiae in Mathematical Statistics at the University of Pretoria, is my own work and has not previously been submit- ted for a degree at this or any other tertiary institution. SIGNATURE: DATE: 31 January 2014 © University of Pretoria Summary A general insurance risk model consists of in initial reserve, the premiums collected, the return on investment of these premiums, the claims frequency and the claims sizes. Except for the initial reserve, these components are all stochastic. The assumption of the distributions of the claims sizes is an integral part of the model and can greatly influence decisions on reinsurance agreements and ruin probabilities. An array of parametric distributions are available for use in describing the distribution of claims. The study is focussed on parametric distributions that have positive skewness and are defined for positive real values. The main properties and parameterizations are studied for a number of distribu- tions. Maximum likelihood estimation and method-of-moments estimation are considered as techniques for fitting these distributions. Multivariate nu- merical maximum likelihood estimation algorithms are proposed together with discussions on the efficiency of each of the estimation algorithms based on simulation exercises. These discussions are accompanied with programs developed in SAS PROC IML that can be used to simulate from the var- ious parametric distributions and to fit these parametric distributions to observed data. -
Procedures for Estimation of Weibull Parameters James W
United States Department of Agriculture Procedures for Estimation of Weibull Parameters James W. Evans David E. Kretschmann David W. Green Forest Forest Products General Technical Report February Service Laboratory FPL–GTR–264 2019 Abstract Contents The primary purpose of this publication is to provide an 1 Introduction .................................................................. 1 overview of the information in the statistical literature on 2 Background .................................................................. 1 the different methods developed for fitting a Weibull distribution to an uncensored set of data and on any 3 Estimation Procedures .................................................. 1 comparisons between methods that have been studied in the 4 Historical Comparisons of Individual statistics literature. This should help the person using a Estimator Types ........................................................ 8 Weibull distribution to represent a data set realize some advantages and disadvantages of some basic methods. It 5 Other Methods of Estimating Parameters of should also help both in evaluating other studies using the Weibull Distribution .......................................... 11 different methods of Weibull parameter estimation and in 6 Discussion .................................................................. 12 discussions on American Society for Testing and Materials Standard D5457, which appears to allow a choice for the 7 Conclusion ................................................................ -
Volatility Modeling Using the Student's T Distribution
Volatility Modeling Using the Student’s t Distribution Maria S. Heracleous Dissertation submitted to the Faculty of the Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Economics Aris Spanos, Chair Richard Ashley Raman Kumar Anya McGuirk Dennis Yang August 29, 2003 Blacksburg, Virginia Keywords: Student’s t Distribution, Multivariate GARCH, VAR, Exchange Rates Copyright 2003, Maria S. Heracleous Volatility Modeling Using the Student’s t Distribution Maria S. Heracleous (ABSTRACT) Over the last twenty years or so the Dynamic Volatility literature has produced a wealth of uni- variateandmultivariateGARCHtypemodels.Whiletheunivariatemodelshavebeenrelatively successful in empirical studies, they suffer from a number of weaknesses, such as unverifiable param- eter restrictions, existence of moment conditions and the retention of Normality. These problems are naturally more acute in the multivariate GARCH type models, which in addition have the problem of overparameterization. This dissertation uses the Student’s t distribution and follows the Probabilistic Reduction (PR) methodology to modify and extend the univariate and multivariate volatility models viewed as alternative to the GARCH models. Its most important advantage is that it gives rise to internally consistent statistical models that do not require ad hoc parameter restrictions unlike the GARCH formulations. Chapters 1 and 2 provide an overview of my dissertation and recent developments in the volatil- ity literature. In Chapter 3 we provide an empirical illustration of the PR approach for modeling univariate volatility. Estimation results suggest that the Student’s t AR model is a parsimonious and statistically adequate representation of exchange rate returns and Dow Jones returns data. -
Determination of the Weibull Parameters from the Mean Value and the Coefficient of Variation of the Measured Strength for Brittle Ceramics
Journal of Advanced Ceramics 2017, 6(2): 149–156 ISSN 2226-4108 DOI: 10.1007/s40145-017-0227-3 CN 10-1154/TQ Research Article Determination of the Weibull parameters from the mean value and the coefficient of variation of the measured strength for brittle ceramics Bin DENGa, Danyu JIANGb,* aDepartment of the Prosthodontics, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China bAnalysis and Testing Center for Inorganic Materials, State Key Laboratory of High Performance Ceramics and Superfine Microstructure, Shanghai Institute of Ceramics, Shanghai 200050, China Received: January 11, 2017; Accepted: April 7, 2017 © The Author(s) 2017. This article is published with open access at Springerlink.com Abstract: Accurate estimation of Weibull parameters is an important issue for the characterization of the strength variability of brittle ceramics with Weibull statistics. In this paper, a simple method was established for the determination of the Weibull parameters, Weibull modulus m and scale parameter 0 , based on Monte Carlo simulation. It was shown that an unbiased estimation for Weibull modulus can be yielded directly from the coefficient of variation of the considered strength sample. Furthermore, using the yielded Weibull estimator and the mean value of the strength in the considered sample, the scale parameter 0 can also be estimated accurately. Keywords: Weibull distribution; Weibull parameters; strength variability; unbiased estimation; coefficient of variation 1 Introduction likelihood (ML) method. Many studies [9–18] based on Monte Carlo simulation have shown that each of these Weibull statistics [1] has been widely employed to methods has its benefits and drawbacks. model the variability in the fracture strength of brittle According to the theory of statistics, the expected ceramics [2–8]. -
Power Birnbaum-Saunders Student T Distribution
Revista Integración Escuela de Matemáticas Universidad Industrial de Santander H Vol. 35, No. 1, 2017, pág. 51–70 Power Birnbaum-Saunders Student t distribution Germán Moreno-Arenas a ∗, Guillermo Martínez-Flórez b Heleno Bolfarine c a Universidad Industrial de Santander, Escuela de Matemáticas, Bucaramanga, Colombia. b Universidad de Córdoba, Departamento de Matemáticas y Estadística, Montería, Colombia. c Universidade de São Paulo, Departamento de Estatística, São Paulo, Brazil. Abstract. The fatigue life distribution proposed by Birnbaum and Saunders has been used quite effectively to model times to failure for materials sub- ject to fatigue. In this article, we introduce an extension of the classical Birnbaum-Saunders distribution substituting the normal distribution by the power Student t distribution. The new distribution is more flexible than the classical Birnbaum-Saunders distribution in terms of asymmetry and kurto- sis. We discuss maximum likelihood estimation of the model parameters and associated regression model. Two real data set are analysed and the results reveal that the proposed model better some other models proposed in the literature. Keywords: Birnbaum-Saunders distribution, alpha-power distribution, power Student t distribution. MSC2010: 62-07, 62F10, 62J02, 62N86. Distribución Birnbaum-Saunders Potencia t de Student Resumen. La distribución de probabilidad propuesta por Birnbaum y Saun- ders se ha usado con bastante eficacia para modelar tiempos de falla de ma- teriales sujetos a la fátiga. En este artículo definimos una extensión de la distribución Birnbaum-Saunders clásica sustituyendo la distribución normal por la distribución potencia t de Student. La nueva distribución es más flexi- ble que la distribución Birnbaum-Saunders clásica en términos de asimetría y curtosis. -
Review on Generalized Pearson System of Probability Distributions
Review on Generalized Pearson System of Probability Distributions M. Shakil, Ph.D. † B.M. Golam Kibria, Ph.D. ‡ J. N. Singh, Ph.D. § Abstract In recent years, many researchers have considered a generalization of the Pearson system, known as generalized Pearson system of probability distributions. In this paper, we have reviewed these new classes of continuous probability distribution which can be generated from the generalized Pearson system of differential equation. We have identified as many as 15 such distributions. It is hoped that the proposed attempt will be helpful in designing a new approach of unifying different families of distributions based on the generalized Pearson differential equation, including the estimation of the parameters and inferences about the parameters. 1. Introduction: Pearson System of Distributions A continuous distribution belongs to the Pearson system if its pdf (probability density function) f satisfies a differential equation of the form 1 df (x) x + a X = − , (1) f ()x dx b x 2 + c x + d where a , b , c , and d are real parameters such that f is a pdf . The shapes of the pdf depend on the values of these parameters, based on which Pearson (1895, 1901) classified these distributions into a number of types known as Pearson Types I – VI. Later in another paper, Pearson (1916) defined more special cases and subtypes known as Pearson Types VII - XII. Many well- known distributions are special cases of Pearson Type distributions which include Normal and Student’s t distributions (Pearson Type VII), Beta distribution (Pearson Type I), Gamma distribution (Pearson Type III) among others. -
Portfolio Risk Measures and Option Pricing Under a Hybrid Brownian Motion Model
Portfolio risk measures and option pricing under a Hybrid Brownian motion model by Innocent Mbona (Student no 15256422) Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Magister Scientiae in Financial Engineering in the Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics in the Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences University of Pretoria Pretoria November 2017 Declaration I, the undersigned, declare that the dissertation, which I hereby submit for the degree Mag- ister Scientiae in Financial Engineering at the University of Pretoria, is my own work and has not been submitted by me for a degree at this or any other tertiary institution. Signature: I.N Mbona Name: Innocent Mbona Date: November 2017 1 Abstract The 2008/9 financial crisis intensified the search for realistic return models, that capture real market movements. The assumed underlying statistical distribution of financial re- turns plays a crucial role in the evaluation of risk measures, and pricing of financial instru- ments. In this dissertation, we discuss an empirical study on the evaluation of the traditional portfolio risk measures, and option pricing under the hybrid Brownian motion model, de- veloped by Shaw and Schofield. Under this model, we derive probability density functions that have a fat-tailed property, such that “25σ” or worse events are more probable. We then estimate Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) using four equity stocks listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, including the FTSE/JSE Top 40 index. We apply the his- torical method and Variance-Covariance method (VC) in the valuation of VaR. Under the VC method, we adopt the GARCH(1,1) model to deal with the volatility clustering phenomenon. -
Field Guide to Continuous Probability Distributions
Field Guide to Continuous Probability Distributions Gavin E. Crooks v 1.0.0 2019 G. E. Crooks – Field Guide to Probability Distributions v 1.0.0 Copyright © 2010-2019 Gavin E. Crooks ISBN: 978-1-7339381-0-5 http://threeplusone.com/fieldguide Berkeley Institute for Theoretical Sciences (BITS) typeset on 2019-04-10 with XeTeX version 0.99999 fonts: Trump Mediaeval (text), Euler (math) 271828182845904 2 G. E. Crooks – Field Guide to Probability Distributions Preface: The search for GUD A common problem is that of describing the probability distribution of a single, continuous variable. A few distributions, such as the normal and exponential, were discovered in the 1800’s or earlier. But about a century ago the great statistician, Karl Pearson, realized that the known probabil- ity distributions were not sufficient to handle all of the phenomena then under investigation, and set out to create new distributions with useful properties. During the 20th century this process continued with abandon and a vast menagerie of distinct mathematical forms were discovered and invented, investigated, analyzed, rediscovered and renamed, all for the purpose of de- scribing the probability of some interesting variable. There are hundreds of named distributions and synonyms in current usage. The apparent diver- sity is unending and disorienting. Fortunately, the situation is less confused than it might at first appear. Most common, continuous, univariate, unimodal distributions can be orga- nized into a small number of distinct families, which are all special cases of a single Grand Unified Distribution. This compendium details these hun- dred or so simple distributions, their properties and their interrelations.