FSAU Technical Series Report No IV. 7 13 September, 2005 2005 Post Gu Analysis Food Security Analysis Unit - Somalia Kalson Towers, Parklands Box 1230 Village Market Nairobi, Kenya Ph: 254-20-3745734 Fax: 254-20-3745098 Web site: www.fsausomali.org Email:
[email protected] Technical and Funding Agencies Technical Partners Managerial Support European Commission USAID Acknowledgment FSAU would like to thank all our partner agencies for their participation and cooperation in this assessment and analysis. This crucial assessment would not have been possible without the efficient and timely logistical and research assistance provided by the field staff of all our partners. This assessment and analysis would not have been possible without the dedication and expertise of FSAU’s thirty four field based analysts who continue to work under very difficult conditions. FSAU Technical Series Report No IV. 7 Issued September 13, 2005 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Executive Summary 1 1.1 Introduction and Key Findings 1.2 Regional Highlights 1.3 Sector Highlights 2 Analytical Processes and Methods 5 3 Sector Reports 6 3.1 Climate and Rainfall Outcome 6 3.2 Gu Production and National Cereal Balance 8 3.3 Livestock Production and Export 13 3.4 Market Analysis and Trends 16 3.5 Nutrition Overview 18 3.6 Civil Insecurity 19 4 Regional Highlights 20 4.1 Southern Somalia 20 4.1.1 Juba Valley 20 4.1.2 Gedo 23 4.1.3 North-Eastern Kenya 26 4.1.4 Lower and Middle Shabelle 27 4.1.5 Bay, Bakool and Hiran 30 4.2 Northeast and Northwest Somalia 35 4.2.1 Recent Locust Sightings in Northwest and Northeast 37 4.3 Central Somalia: Galgadud and Mudug 39 4.4 Somali Region Ethiopia 42 5 Appendix 1.1 Explanation of the Food and Livelihood Security Phase Classification 43 1.2 Comparison of FSAU Integrated Food Security Phase Classification for Gu 2004, Deyr 2004/05 and Gu 2005 46 2 List of Partner agencies 47 3 Tools Used for Post Gu 2005 Assessment 48 4 Somalia Livelihood Zones Map 55 i FSAU Technical Series Report No IV.