Chapter 17: Fundamentals of Time and Frequency
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Von Mises' Frequentist Approach to Probability
Section on Statistical Education – JSM 2008 Von Mises’ Frequentist Approach to Probability Milo Schield1 and Thomas V. V. Burnham2 1 Augsburg College, Minneapolis, MN 2 Cognitive Systems, San Antonio, TX Abstract Richard Von Mises (1883-1953), the originator of the birthday problem, viewed statistics and probability theory as a science that deals with and is based on real objects rather than as a branch of mathematics that simply postulates relationships from which conclusions are derived. In this context, he formulated a strict Frequentist approach to probability. This approach is limited to observations where there are sufficient reasons to project future stability – to believe that the relative frequency of the observed attributes would tend to a fixed limit if the observations were continued indefinitely by sampling from a collective. This approach is reviewed. Some suggestions are made for statistical education. 1. Richard von Mises Richard von Mises (1883-1953) may not be well-known by statistical educators even though in 1939 he first proposed a problem that is today widely-known as the birthday problem.1 There are several reasons for this lack of recognition. First, he was educated in engineering and worked in that area for his first 30 years. Second, he published primarily in German. Third, his works in statistics focused more on theoretical foundations. Finally, his inductive approach to deriving the basic operations of probability is very different from the postulate-and-derive approach normally taught in introductory statistics. See Frank (1954) and Studies in Mathematics and Mechanics (1954) for a review of von Mises’ works. This paper is based on his two English-language books on probability: Probability, Statistics and Truth (1936) and Mathematical Theory of Probability and Statistics (1964). -
WWVB: a Half Century of Delivering Accurate Frequency and Time by Radio
Volume 119 (2014) http://dx.doi.org/10.6028/jres.119.004 Journal of Research of the National Institute of Standards and Technology WWVB: A Half Century of Delivering Accurate Frequency and Time by Radio Michael A. Lombardi and Glenn K. Nelson National Institute of Standards and Technology, Boulder, CO 80305 [email protected] [email protected] In commemoration of its 50th anniversary of broadcasting from Fort Collins, Colorado, this paper provides a history of the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) radio station WWVB. The narrative describes the evolution of the station, from its origins as a source of standard frequency, to its current role as the source of time-of-day synchronization for many millions of radio controlled clocks. Key words: broadcasting; frequency; radio; standards; time. Accepted: February 26, 2014 Published: March 12, 2014 http://dx.doi.org/10.6028/jres.119.004 1. Introduction NIST radio station WWVB, which today serves as the synchronization source for tens of millions of radio controlled clocks, began operation from its present location near Fort Collins, Colorado at 0 hours, 0 minutes Universal Time on July 5, 1963. Thus, the year 2013 marked the station’s 50th anniversary, a half century of delivering frequency and time signals referenced to the national standard to the United States public. One of the best known and most widely used measurement services provided by the U. S. government, WWVB has spanned and survived numerous technological eras. Based on technology that was already mature and well established when the station began broadcasting in 1963, WWVB later benefitted from the miniaturization of electronics and the advent of the microprocessor, which made low cost radio controlled clocks possible that would work indoors. -
1 Diocese of Harrisburg Geography of Pennsylvania
7/2006 DIOCESE OF HARRISBURG GEOGRAPHY OF PENNSYLVANIA Red Italics – Reference to Diocesan History Outcome: The student knows and understands the geography of Pennsylvania. Assessment: The student will apply the geographic themes of location, place and region to Pennsylvania today. Skills/Objectives Suggested Teaching/Learning Strategies Suggested Assessment Strategies The student will be able to: 1a. Using student desk maps, locate and highlight the 1a. On a blank map of the U.S., outline the state of state, trace rivers and their tributaries and circle Pennsylvania, label the capital, hometown and two 1. Locate and identify the state of Pennsylvania, its major cities. largest cities. capital, major cities and his hometown. On a blank map of the U.S. outline the state of 1b. Using the globe, determine the latitude and longitude Pennsylvania; within the state of Pennsylvania, outline of the state. the Diocese of Harrisburg. Label the city where the cathedral is located. 1c. Using a Pennsylvania highway map, design a road tour visiting major Pennsylvania cities. 1b. Using the desk map, identify the latitude line closest Using a Pennsylvania highway map with the counties to the hometown and two other towns of the same within the Diocese of Harrisburg marked, do the parallel of latitude. Identify the longitude nearest the following: first, in each county, identify a city or town state capital and two other towns on the same with a Catholic church; then design a road tour visiting meridian of longitude. each of these cities or towns. Using a desk map, place marks on the most-western, the most-northern, and the most-eastern tips of the Diocese 1d. -
Autocorrelation and Frequency-Resolved Optical Gating Measurements Based on the Third Harmonic Generation in a Gaseous Medium
Appl. Sci. 2015, 5, 136-144; doi:10.3390/app5020136 OPEN ACCESS applied sciences ISSN 2076-3417 www.mdpi.com/journal/applsci Article Autocorrelation and Frequency-Resolved Optical Gating Measurements Based on the Third Harmonic Generation in a Gaseous Medium Yoshinari Takao 1,†, Tomoko Imasaka 2,†, Yuichiro Kida 1,† and Totaro Imasaka 1,3,* 1 Department of Applied Chemistry, Graduate School of Engineering, Kyushu University, 744, Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka 819-0395, Japan; E-Mails: [email protected] (Y.T.); [email protected] (Y.K.) 2 Laboratory of Chemistry, Graduate School of Design, Kyushu University, 4-9-1, Shiobaru, Minami-ku, Fukuoka 815-8540, Japan; E-Mail: [email protected] 3 Division of Optoelectronics and Photonics, Center for Future Chemistry, Kyushu University, 744, Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka 819-0395, Japan † These authors contributed equally to this work. * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: [email protected]; Tel.: +81-92-802-2883; Fax: +81-92-802-2888. Academic Editor: Takayoshi Kobayashi Received: 7 April 2015 / Accepted: 3 June 2015 / Published: 9 June 2015 Abstract: A gas was utilized in producing the third harmonic emission as a nonlinear optical medium for autocorrelation and frequency-resolved optical gating measurements to evaluate the pulse width and chirp of a Ti:sapphire laser. Due to a wide frequency domain available for a gas, this approach has potential for use in measuring the pulse width in the optical (ultraviolet/visible) region beyond one octave and thus for measuring an optical pulse width less than 1 fs. -
QUICK REFERENCE GUIDE Latitude, Longitude and Associated Metadata
QUICK REFERENCE GUIDE Latitude, Longitude and Associated Metadata The Property Profile Form (PPF) requests the property name, address, city, state and zip. From these address fields, ACRES interfaces with Google Maps and extracts the latitude and longitude (lat/long) for the property location. ACRES sets the remaining property geographic information to default values. The data (known collectively as “metadata”) are required by EPA Data Standards. Should an ACRES user need to be update the metadata, the Edit Fields link on the PPF provides the ability to change the information. Before the metadata were populated by ACRES, the data were entered manually. There may still be the need to do so, for example some properties do not have a specific street address (e.g. a rural property located on a state highway) or an ACRES user may have an exact lat/long that is to be used. This Quick Reference Guide covers how to find latitude and longitude, define the metadata, fill out the associated fields in a Property Work Package, and convert latitude and longitude to decimal degree format. This explains how the metadata were determined prior to September 2011 (when the Google Maps interface was added to ACRES). Definitions Below are definitions of the six data elements for latitude and longitude data that are collected in a Property Work Package. The definitions below are based on text from the EPA Data Standard. Latitude: Is the measure of the angular distance on a meridian north or south of the equator. Latitudinal lines run horizontal around the earth in parallel concentric lines from the equator to each of the poles. -
Reception of Low Frequency Time Signals
Reprinted from I-This reDort show: the Dossibilitks of clock svnchronization using time signals I 9 transmitted at low frequencies. The study was madr by obsirvins pulses Vol. 6, NO. 9, pp 13-21 emitted by HBC (75 kHr) in Switxerland and by WWVB (60 kHr) in tha United States. (September 1968), The results show that the low frequencies are preferable to the very low frequencies. Measurementi show that by carefully selecting a point on the decay curve of the pulse it is possible at distances from 100 to 1000 kilo- meters to obtain time measurements with an accuracy of +40 microseconds. A comparison of the theoretical and experimental reiulb permib the study of propagation conditions and, further, shows the drsirability of transmitting I seconds pulses with fixed envelope shape. RECEPTION OF LOW FREQUENCY TIME SIGNALS DAVID H. ANDREWS P. E., Electronics Consultant* C. CHASLAIN, J. DePRlNS University of Brussels, Brussels, Belgium 1. INTRODUCTION parisons of atomic clocks, it does not suffice for clock For several years the phases of VLF and LF carriers synchronization (epoch setting). Presently, the most of standard frequency transmitters have been monitored accurate technique requires carrying portable atomic to compare atomic clock~.~,*,3 clocks between the laboratories to be synchronized. No matter what the accuracies of the various clocks may be, The 24-hour phase stability is excellent and allows periodic synchronization must be provided. Actually frequency calibrations to be made with an accuracy ap- the observed frequency deviation of 3 x 1o-l2 between proaching 1 x 10-11. It is well known that over a 24- cesium controlled oscillators amounts to a timing error hour period diurnal effects occur due to propagation of about 100T microseconds, where T, given in years, variations. -
The 4 States QRP Group HF Test Set Construction Manual
Copyright 2006, NB6M - Unauthorized Copying or Publication Prohibited The 4 States QRP Group HF Test Set Construction Manual Containing several key pieces of simple Test Equipment that are used to either test or troubleshoot radio circuitry By Wayne McFee, NB6M Revision 0.2 October 21, 2007 Copyright 2006, NB6M - Unauthorized Copying or Publication Prohibited 1 THE HF TEST SET .....................................................................................................................................3 INTRODUCTION............................................................................................................................................3 HF TEST SET SCHEMATIC ...........................................................................................................................5 BOARD LAYOUT..........................................................................................................................................6 PARTS LIST .................................................................................................................................................7 TOOLS AND EQUIPMENT NEEDED................................................................................................................9 PC BOARD, PARTS SIDE ...........................................................................................................................10 PC BOARD, TRACE SIDE...........................................................................................................................11 STARTING -
Keysight 53147A/148A/149A Microwave Frequency Counter/Power Meter/DVM
Keysight 53147A/148A/149A Microwave Frequency Counter/Power Meter/DVM Assembly Level Service Guide Notices U.S. Government Rights Warranty The Software is “commercial computer THE MATERIAL CONTAINED IN THIS Copyright Notice software,” as defined by Federal Acqui- DOCUMENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS,” sition Regulation (“FAR”) 2.101. Pursu- AND IS SUBJECT TO BEING © Keysight Technologies 2001 - 2017 ant to FAR 12.212 and 27.405-3 and CHANGED, WITHOUT NOTICE, IN No part of this manual may be repro- Department of Defense FAR Supple- FUTURE EDITIONS. FURTHER, TO THE duced in any form or by any means ment (“DFARS”) 227.7202, the U.S. MAXIMUM EXTENT PERMITTED BY (including electronic storage and government acquires commercial com- APPLICABLE LAW, KEYSIGHT DIS- retrieval or translation into a foreign puter software under the same terms CLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES, EITHER language) without prior agreement and by which the software is customarily EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, WITH REGARD written consent from Keysight Technol- provided to the public. Accordingly, TO THIS MANUAL AND ANY INFORMA- ogies as governed by United States and Keysight provides the Software to U.S. TION CONTAINED HEREIN, INCLUD- international copyright laws. government customers under its stan- ING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE dard commercial license, which is IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MER- Manual Part Number embodied in its End User License CHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A 53147-90010 Agreement (EULA), a copy of which can PARTICULAR PURPOSE. KEYSIGHT be found at http://www.keysight.com/ SHALL NOT BE LIABLE FOR ERRORS Edition find/sweula. The license set forth in the OR FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSE- Edition 3, November 1, 2017 EULA represents the exclusive authority QUENTIAL DAMAGES IN CONNECTION by which the U.S. -
Day-Ahead Market Enhancements Phase 1: 15-Minute Scheduling
Day-Ahead Market Enhancements Phase 1: 15-minute scheduling Phase 2: flexible ramping product Stakeholder Meeting March 7, 2019 Agenda Time Topic Presenter 10:00 – 10:10 Welcome and Introductions Kristina Osborne 10:10 – 12:00 Phase 1: 15-Minute Granularity Megan Poage 12:00 – 1:00 Lunch 1:00 – 3:20 Phase 2: Flexible Ramping Product Elliott Nethercutt & and Market Formulation George Angelidis 3:20 – 3:30 Next Steps Kristina Osborne Page 2 DAME initiative has been split into in two phases for policy development and implementation • Phase 1: 15-Minute Granularity – 15-minute scheduling – 15-minute bidding • Phase 2: Day-Ahead Flexible Ramping Product (FRP) – Day-ahead market formulation – Introduction of day-ahead flexible ramping product – Improve deliverability of FRP and ancillary services (AS) – Re-optimization of AS in real-time 15-minute market Page 3 ISO Policy Initiative Stakeholder Process for DAME Phase 1 POLICY AND PLAN DEVELOPMENT Issue Straw Draft Final June 2018 July 2018 Paper Proposal Proposal EIM GB ISO Board Implementation Fall 2020 Stakeholder Input We are here Page 4 DAME Phase 1 schedule • Third Revised Straw Proposal – March 2019 • Draft Final Proposal – April 2019 • EIM Governing Body – June 2019 • ISO Board of Governors – July 2019 • Implementation – Fall 2020 Page 5 ISO Policy Initiative Stakeholder Process for DAME Phase 2 POLICY AND PLAN DEVELOPMENT Issue Straw Draft Final Q4 2019 Q4 2019 Paper Proposal Proposal EIM GB ISO Board Implementation Fall 2021 Stakeholder Input We are here Page 6 DAME Phase 2 schedule • Issue Paper/Straw Proposal – March 2019 • Revised Straw Proposal – Summer 2019 • Draft Final Proposal – Fall 2019 • EIM GB and BOG decision – Q4 2019 • Implementation – Fall 2021 Page 7 Day-Ahead Market Enhancements Third Revised Straw Proposal 15-MINUTE GRANULARITY Megan Poage Sr. -
A Stability Analysis of Divergence Damping on a Latitude–Longitude Grid
2976 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 139 A Stability Analysis of Divergence Damping on a Latitude–Longitude Grid JARED P. WHITEHEAD Department of Mathematics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, Michigan CHRISTIANE JABLONOWSKI AND RICHARD B. ROOD Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic and Space Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, Michigan PETER H. LAURITZEN Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research,* Boulder, Colorado (Manuscript received 24 August 2010, in final form 25 March 2011) ABSTRACT The dynamical core of an atmospheric general circulation model is engineered to satisfy a delicate balance between numerical stability, computational cost, and an accurate representation of the equations of motion. It generally contains either explicitly added or inherent numerical diffusion mechanisms to control the buildup of energy or enstrophy at the smallest scales. The diffusion fosters computational stability and is sometimes also viewed as a substitute for unresolved subgrid-scale processes. A particular form of explicitly added diffusion is horizontal divergence damping. In this paper a von Neumann stability analysis of horizontal divergence damping on a latitude–longitude grid is performed. Stability restrictions are derived for the damping coefficients of both second- and fourth- order divergence damping. The accuracy of the theoretical analysis is verified through the use of idealized dynamical core test cases that include the simulation of gravity waves and a baroclinic wave. The tests are applied to the finite-volume dynamical core of NCAR’s Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5). Investigation of the amplification factor for the divergence damping mechanisms explains how small-scale meridional waves found in a baroclinic wave test case are not eliminated by the damping. -
International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS) Provides the International Community With
The Role of the IERS in the Leap Second Brian Luzum Chair, IERS Directing Board Background The International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS) provides the international community with: • the International Celestial Reference System and its realization, the International Celestial Reference Frame (ICRF); • the International Terrestrial Reference System and its realization, the International Terrestrial Reference Frame (ITRF); • Earth orientation parameters (EOPs) that are used to transform between the ICRF and the ITRF; • Conventions (i.e., standards, models, and constants) used in generating and using reference frames and EOPs; • Geophysical data to study and understand variations in the reference frames and the Earth’s orientation. The IERS was created in 1987 and began operations on 1 January 1988. It continued much of the tasking of the Bureau International de l’Heure (BIH), which had been created early in the 20th century. It is responsible to the International Astronomical Union (IAU) and the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG). For more than twenty-five years, the IERS has been providing for the reference frame and EOP needs of a variety of users. Time The IERS has an important role in determining when the leap seconds are to be inserted and the dissemination of information regarding leap seconds. In order to understand this role, it is important to realize some things regarding time. For instance, there are two different kinds of “time” being related: (1) a uniform time, now based on atomic clocks and (2) “time” based on the variable rotation of the Earth. The differences between uniform time and Earth rotation “time” only became apparent in the 1930s with the improvements in clock technology. -
An Experiment in High-Frequency Sediment Acoustics: SAX99
An Experiment in High-Frequency Sediment Acoustics: SAX99 Eric I. Thorsos1, Kevin L. Williams1, Darrell R. Jackson1, Michael D. Richardson2, Kevin B. Briggs2, and Dajun Tang1 1 Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington, 1013 NE 40th St, Seattle, WA 98105, USA [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], [email protected] 2 Marine Geosciences Division, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS 39529, USA [email protected], [email protected] Abstract A major high-frequency sediment acoustics experiment was conducted in shallow waters of the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. The experiment addressed high-frequency acoustic backscattering from the seafloor, acoustic penetration into the seafloor, and acoustic propagation within the seafloor. Extensive in situ measurements were made of the sediment geophysical properties and of the biological and hydrodynamic processes affecting the environment. An overview is given of the measurement program. Initial results from APL-UW acoustic measurements and modelling are then described. 1. Introduction “SAX99” (for sediment acoustics experiment - 1999) was conducted in the fall of 1999 at a site 2 km offshore of the Florida Panhandle and involved investigators from many institutions [1,2]. SAX99 was focused on measurements and modelling of high-frequency sediment acoustics and therefore required detailed environmental characterisation. Acoustic measurements included backscattering from the seafloor, penetration into the seafloor, and propagation within the seafloor at frequencies chiefly in the 10-300 kHz range [1]. Acoustic backscattering and penetration measurements were made both above and below the critical grazing angle, about 30° for the sand seafloor at the SAX99 site.