Corals in a Stressful World: Life Histories, Synergies, and Resilience
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Corals in a Stressful World: Life Histories, Synergies, and Resilience by Emily Scarlett Darling B.Sc. (Hons., Biology), Queen’s University, 2005 THESIS SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY in the Department of Biological Sciences Faculty of Sciences © Emily Scarlett Darling 2012 Simon Fraser University Fall 2012 All rights reserved. However, in accordance with the Copyright Act of Canada, this work may be reproduced, without authorization, under the conditions for “Fair Dealing.” Therefore, limited reproduction of this work for the purposes of private study, research, criticism, review and news reporting is likely to be in accordance with the law, particularly if cited appropriately. Approval Name: Emily Scarlett Darling Degree: Doctor of Philosophy (Biological Sciences) Title of Thesis: Corals in a stressful world: life histories, synergies, and resilience Examining Committee: Chair: Michael Silverman, Associate Professor Isabelle M. Côté Senior Supervisor, ProfessorDept. of Biological Sciences Simon Fraser University Nicholas K. Dulvy Supervisor, Professor, Dept. of Biological Sciences Simon Fraser University Christopher D. G. Harley Supervisor, Professor, Dept. of Zoology University of British Columbia Timothy R. McClanahan Supervisor, Senior Conservation Scientist Wildlife Conservation Society Anne K. Salomon Internal Examiner Assistant Professor School of Resource and Environmental Management Rolf D. Vinebrooke External Examiner Associate Professor, Department of Biological Sciences University of Alberta Date Defended/Approved: November 8, 2012 ii Partial Copyright Licence Abstract Diverse anthropogenic and natural disturbances affect ecosystems, with the potential to provoke synergies and other ‘ecological surprises’ that may impede our ability to predict and mitigate the impacts of multiple stressors. This thesis examines the impacts of stressors on populations and communities to establish the prevalence of synergies and identify ecological factors that influence interactions between stressors. First, I quantify the magnitude of multiple stressor interactions using a meta-analysis of published factorial studies, and find that synergies are as common as two other types of interactions, antagonisms and simple additive effects. Then, I turn my focus to coral reefs, an ecosystem that is expected to be particularly vulnerable to the impacts of synergies and stressor interactions. Using a long-term time-series of coral cover data in Kenya, I quantify the impacts of two common stressors, fishing and climate change- induced coral bleaching, and conclude that these stressors do not interact synergistically but instead have a weakly additive or antagonistic effect. The next two chapters investigate the impacts of multiple stressors on coral community dynamics in Kenya. I first propose a new approach to quantitatively classify the diversity of scleractinian corals into four life-history strategies based on species traits. I then apply these life-history groupings to Kenyan corals and show that the composition of life histories can, in part, explain the long-term impacts of fishing and coral bleaching, although life histories do overlook variability within coral communities. Finally, I discuss the implications of my results for our understanding of coral reef resilience to the cumulative impacts of stressors. Specifically, I consider how managing local impacts may have counterintuitive effects on the resilience of coral reefs to global climate change. This thesis highlights the importance of community dynamics for understanding the complex interactions among stressors and provides novel insights for conservation and management actions that attempt to mitigate the impacts of multiple stressors in an increasingly stressful world. Keywords: Multiple stressors, climate change, coral reefs, life-history strategies, community disassembly, ecosystem resilience, East Africa iii iv Acknowledgements It’s hard to imagine being here at the end of my thesis and not acknowledging Isabelle Côté, first and foremost. Isa, you have been a supportive, creative, and inspirational mentor to me. Thank you for a wonderful six years – I learned how to dive in a dry suit, parallel park a boat, and be a scientist. For this and much, much more, thank you. I am also extremely grateful to Tim McClanahan, Nick Dulvy, and Chris Harley for their above and beyond guidance and support on my supervisory committee. Thank you as well to Anne Salomon and Rolf Vinebrooke for agreeing to be the internal and external examiners, respectively, for this thesis. Thank you to the Earth to Ocean research group, and especially the Côté lab past and present – I am very lucky to have spent time with such unique, enthusiastic and collaborative people. I am indebted to Andy Cooper and the E2O Statz Beerz crew for helping Chapter 4 and many of the analyses in this thesis get off the ground. I also thank Lorenzo Alvarez-Filip and Tom Oliver for their contributions to Chapter 4. A particular shout out needs to go to good friends and founding members of the GTFO club: Doug Braun, Steph Green and Jenn Sunday. This crazy endeavour would have been impossible without you. An incredible community of friends around the world has kept me sane and happy. Thank you Jenn Barrett, Brett Favaro, Evan Henderson, Christina Hicks, Morgan Hocking, Britt Keeling, Kirsten Martin, Megan McCann, Tom Money, Holly Nesbitt, Kate Neville, Kerrie O’Donnell, Michelle Paddack, Kat Robideau, Jennifer Selgrath, Alyssa Titus, and the Happy Stripes and Little Lebowski Urban Achievers ultimate frisbee teams. Over the last six years, I have spent a lot of time in Mombasa, Kenya, which would not have been possible without the support of Tim McClanahan and Nyawira Muthiga. Thank you for taking a chance on me as a rookie intern way back when, and for letting me tag along on some remarkable adventures counting corals throughout Kenya and the Western Indian Ocean. Twenty years of data have contributed to this thesis, which is no small feat; I am grateful to Tim, Nyawira, James Mariara and the dozens of CRCP staff and interns who have collected this data, and the organizations that have funded their v work. I am truly honoured to work with the extraordinary people associated with the Wildlife Conservation Society’s Coral Reef Conservation Project, including Carol Abunge, Rodgers Charo, Josh Cinner, Nick Graham, Christina Hicks, Austin Humphries, Justin (Collins) Katana, Angelica Klaussén, Jennifer O’Leary, Joseph Maina, and Macdonald Muramba. I wear my field warrior hat with honour and will try to be as radical as possible (even from my desk). I thank the Kenya Office for Science and Technology and the Kenya Wildlife Service for permission to conduct research in Kenya and in the National Marine Parks. I am grateful for financial support from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, Simon Fraser University, the PADI Foundation, and fellowships from the International Development Research Centre and the World Wildlife Fund’s Kathryn Fuller Science for Nature Fund. Lately, this thesis has been written in a lot of different places, from Vancouver, Mombasa, Kigali, an airport in Dubai, Townsville, Brisbane, the Dubai airport again, Kingston, my parents’ kitchen in Toronto, and finally back to Vancouver. I have been very lucky to have friends and family who have put a roof over my head and reminded me of what’s truly important. I couldn’t have done it without you. And finally, this thesis is dedicated to my parents, Chris and Roslyn Darling, who have always supported and inspired me with their enthusiasm for natural history and sense of adventure. Thank you. vi Table of Contents Approval ............................................................................................................................. ii Abstract ............................................................................................................................. iii Thesis Wordle ................................................................................................................... iv Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................ v Table of Contents ............................................................................................................. vii List of Tables ..................................................................................................................... ix List of Figures .................................................................................................................... x Chapter 1. General Introduction ............................................................................... 1 Chapter 2. Quantifying the evidence for ecological synergies ............................. 4 Abstract ............................................................................................................................. 4 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 5 Methods ............................................................................................................................ 7 Study selection and data criteria .............................................................................. 7 Data analysis ........................................................................................................... 8 Results