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Alberta Ipsos-Reid Report (60-1897-14) Detailed tables PROVINCIAL POLITICS _____________________________________________________________________________________________3a/3b. SUMMARY TABLE - LIKELY TO SUPPORT SUMMARY TABLE (DECIDED_ VOTERS ONLY) Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B - C/D/E - F/G/H/I - J/K/L - M/N/O/P/Q/R * small base GENDER AGE INCOME EDUCATION Total M F 18-34 35-54 55+ <$30K $30K-<$50K $50K-<$70K $70K+ HS or Less Post Sec. Univ. A BCDEFGH I JKL Base: Decided Voters 712 366 346 218 320 159 119 163 120 237 207 295 206 Weighted 710 361 349 237 285 175 123 168 116 230 208 291 207 The Progressive Conservatives 311 161 149 117 114 75 46 58 50 118 98 139 73 44% 45% 43% 49% 40% 43% 38% 35% 43% 51% 47% 48% 35% D FG L L The Liberals 204 107 98 58 96 44 33 51 32 68 49 69 84 29% 30% 28% 24% 34% 25% 27% 31% 28% 30% 23% 24% 40% C JK The New Democrats 85 34 50 29 27 26 17 30 14 17 33 28 24 12% 10% 14% 12% 10% 15% 14% 18% 12% 7% 16% 10% 12% AIK The Alberta Alliance Party 66 32 34 17 29 18 14 17 14 17 20 30 15 9% 9% 10% 7% 10% 11% 11% 10% 12% 7% 10% 10% 7% Green Party 2817101012686383159 4% 5% 3% 4% 4% 3% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 5% 4% J The Social Credit 13856343531481 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 3% 3% 0% 2% 3% 1% Other 4220311101121 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% - 0% 0% 1% 1% Ipsos November 18, 2004 Table: 6 Alberta Ipsos-Reid Report (60-1897-14) Detailed tables PROVINCIAL POLITICS ______________________________________________________________________________________________3a/3b. SUMMARY TABLE - LIKELY TO SUPPORT SUMMARY TABLE (DECIDED VOTERS ONLY) Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B - C/D/E - F/G/H/I - J/K/L - M/N/O/P/Q/R * small base REGION Edmonton Central South Total Non- Total Calgary CMA CMA North Alberta Alberta Alberta CMA MNOPQR Base: Decided Voters 712 245 236 87 70 74 231 Weighted 710 248 239 83* 68* 71* 223 The Progressive Conservatives 311 114 82 45 32 38 115 44% 46% 34% 54% 47% 53% 52% NNNN The Liberals 204 77 81 19 14 13 46 29% 31% 34% 23% 20% 18% 21% QR PQR The New Democrats 85 15 46 10 10 4 24 12% 6% 19% 12% 15% 5% 11% MQR M The Alberta Alliance Party 66 21 17 6 7 14 27 9% 9% 7% 7% 10% 20% 12% MNO Green Party 281672204 4% 7% 3% 2% 3% - 2% QR The Social Credit 13161326 2% 0% 3% 1% 5% 2% 3% MM Other 4300011 1% 1% - - - 1% 0% Ipsos November 18, 2004 Table: 6 Alberta Ipsos-Reid Report (60-1897-14) Detailed tables PROVINCIAL POLITICS ____________________________________________________________________________________3a/3b. SUMMARY TABLE - LIKELY TO SUPPORT SUMMARY TABLE_ (DECIDED VOTERS ONLY) Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E - F/G/H - I/J/K - L/M/N/O * small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing PROVINCIAL VOTE INTENTION INTENDED PROVINCIAL VOTE CERTAINTY OF SUPPORT PROVINCIAL VOTE 2001 Total Lib PC NDP AA Other Abs. Cert. Likely Not Likely Very Certain Fairly Certain Not Certain Lib PC ND Other A BCDEFGH I JKLMNO Base: Decided Voters 712 207 312 83 66 44 371 290 49 375 181 149 87 291 31 21 Weighted 710 204 311 85* 66* 44* 368 291 49* 371 183 149 87* 287 32** 21** The Progressive Conservatives 311 0 311 0 0 0 173 121 17 202 64 43 5 195 0 1 44% - 100% - - - 47% 41% 36% 54% 35% 29% 5% 68% - 6% ACDE JK L The Liberals 20420400001058117955156624375 29% 100% ----29%28%36%26%28%37%72%15%21%25% BCDE IM The New Democrats 85 0 0 85 0 0 39 39 6 44 23 15 11 6 25 1 12% - - 100% - - 11% 13% 11% 12% 12% 10% 13% 2% 77% 4% ABDE M The Alberta Alliance Party 66 0 0 0 66 0 31 33 2 18 30 17 1 32 0 9 9% - - - 100% - 8% 11% 4% 5% 16% 12% 1% 11% - 45% ABCE II L Green Party 280000281311398105713 4%----62%4%4%6%2%5%7%6%3%3%15% ABCD I The Social Credit 130000135532483200 2%----30%1%2%7%1%2%5%4%1%-- ABCD FG I M Other 4000043101300201 1%----9%1%0%-0%2%--1%-5% ABCD Ipsos November 18, 2004 Table: 6 Alberta Ipsos-Reid Report (60-1897-14) Detailed tables PROVINCIAL POLITICS 5_1. Now, I'd like you to think about the leaders of Alberta's political parties. Thinking about RALPH KLEIN, would you say you generally approve or disapprove of the way he has performed _____________________________________________________________________________________________as PREMIER OF ALBERTA? _ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B - C/D/E - F/G/H/I - J/K/L - M/N/O/P/Q/R * small base GENDER AGE INCOME EDUCATION Total M F 18-34 35-54 55+ <$30K $30K-<$50K $50K-<$70K $70K+ HS or Less Post Sec. Univ. A BCDEFGH I JKL Base: All respondents 800 400 400 242 358 179 137 179 135 260 238 339 218 Weighted 800 396 404 264 319 198 140 185 133 253 239 337 219 RALPH KLEIN - PREMIER OF ALBERTA Strongly approve 209 111 97 75 69 60 33 50 27 79 74 87 46 26% 28% 24% 28% 21% 30% 24% 27% 20% 31% 31% 26% 21% DHL Moderately approve 240 128 112 87 109 41 40 44 41 81 75 105 59 30% 32% 28% 33% 34% 21% 29% 24% 31% 32% 31% 31% 27% EE Moderately disapprove 115 50 65 35 48 30 23 35 19 26 24 55 35 14% 13% 16% 13% 15% 15% 16% 19% 15% 10% 10% 16% 16% IJ Strongly disapprove 210 100 110 56 88 60 39 53 41 59 54 81 74 26% 25% 27% 21% 27% 31% 28% 29% 31% 23% 23% 24% 34% C JK (DK/NS) 26719117662481275 3% 2% 5% 4% 2% 3% 4% 1% 3% 3% 5% 2% 2% A Summary Top2Box - Approve 449 239 210 162 177 101 73 94 68 159 149 192 105 56% 60% 52% 61% 55% 51% 52% 51% 52% 63% 62% 57% 48% BE FGH L L Low2Box - Disapprove 325 150 175 91 135 91 61 88 60 86 78 137 109 41% 38% 43% 35% 42% 46% 44% 48% 45% 34% 33% 41% 50% CII JK Ipsos November 18, 2004 Table: 8 Alberta Ipsos-Reid Report (60-1897-14) Detailed tables PROVINCIAL POLITICS 5_1. Now, I'd like you to think about the leaders of Alberta's political parties. Thinking about RALPH KLEIN, would ______________________________________________________________________________________________you say you generally approve or disapprove of the way he has performed as PREMIER OF ALBERTA? Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B - C/D/E - F/G/H/I - J/K/L - M/N/O/P/Q/R * small base REGION Edmonton Central South Total Non- Total Calgary CMA CMA North Alberta Alberta Alberta CMA MNOPQR Base: All respondents 800 275 262 103 80 80 263 Weighted 800 279 266 98* 79* 78* 255 RALPH KLEIN - PREMIER OF ALBERTA Strongly approve 209 76 54 34 17 28 79 26% 27% 20% 34% 22% 36% 31% NNN Moderately approve 240 88 76 30 26 20 75 30% 32% 29% 30% 33% 26% 30% Moderately disapprove 115 42 32 11 20 11 42 14% 15% 12% 11% 25% 15% 16% MNO Strongly disapprove 210 67 94 21 13 14 48 26% 24% 36% 21% 17% 18% 19% MOPQR (DK/NS) 267933511 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 6% 4% Summary Top2Box - Approve 449 164 131 64 43 48 154 56% 59% 49% 65% 54% 62% 60% NN N Low2Box - Disapprove 325 109 126 32 33 25 90 41% 39% 48% 32% 42% 32% 35% MOQR Ipsos November 18, 2004 Table: 8 Alberta Ipsos-Reid Report (60-1897-14) Detailed tables PROVINCIAL POLITICS 5_2. Now, I'd like you to think about the leaders of Alberta's political parties. Thinking about KEVIN TAFT, would you say you generally approve or disapprove of the way he has performed _____________________________________________________________________________________________as LEADER OF THE OFFICIAL OPPOSITION LIBERALS? _ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B - C/D/E - F/G/H/I - J/K/L - M/N/O/P/Q/R * small base GENDER AGE INCOME EDUCATION Total M F 18-34 35-54 55+ <$30K $30K-<$50K $50K-<$70K $70K+ HS or Less Post Sec. Univ. A BCDEFGH I JKL Base: All respondents 800 400 400 242 358 179 137 179 135 260 238 339 218 Weighted 800 396 404 264 319 198 140 185 133 253 239 337 219 KEVIN TAFT - LEADER OF THE OFFICIAL OPPOSITION LIBERALS Strongly approve 101 45 56 26 43 28 14 22 20 36 19 35 46 13% 11% 14% 10% 13% 14% 10% 12% 15% 14% 8% 10% 21% JK Moderately approve 287 141 146 97 118 66 47 80 53 86 84 120 81 36% 36% 36% 37% 37% 33% 34% 44% 40% 34% 35% 36% 37% I Moderately disapprove 131 66 65 48 49 33 25 22 22 42 47 48 36 16% 17% 16% 18% 15% 17% 17% 12% 16% 17% 20% 14% 16% Strongly disapprove 90 58 32 25 25 36 19 20 12 29 30 46 14 11% 15% 8% 10% 8% 18% 13% 11% 9% 12% 12% 14% 7% BCDLL (DK/NS) 191 86 105 68 85 35 36 39 27 60 59 89 42 24% 22% 26% 26% 26% 18% 26% 21% 21% 24% 25% 26% 19% E Summary Top2Box - Approve 388 187 201 124 161 94 61 103 72 122 103 154 127 49% 47% 50% 47% 50% 47% 44% 56% 54% 48% 43% 46% 58% FJK Low2Box - Disapprove 221 124 97 73 74 69 43 43 33 71 77 94 50 28% 31% 24% 28% 23% 35% 31% 23% 25% 28% 32% 28% 23% BD L Ipsos November 18, 2004 Table: 9 Alberta Ipsos-Reid Report (60-1897-14) Detailed tables PROVINCIAL POLITICS 5_2.
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