604 North Third Street, 1st Floor Harrisburg, PA 17101 Phone: (717) 233-8850 Fax: (717) 233-8842 Cell Phone: (717) 215-1122 Email: [email protected] www.susquehannapolling.com James Lee, President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x :(&/-,&'0$"1)7)^/$_31$)CC(3K)*$-'$0A&$/0)0&$-/$=G\9$BA-*&$=]\$,-/)CC(3K&M$$!A-/$7)(H/$)$(&K&(/)*$L(37$ 32($"D031&($^@]$/2(K&I$BA&'$1I$)$P@>[E$7)(J-'$73/0$K30&(/$)CC(3K&,$3L$0A&$_31$A&$-/$,3-'JM$$ +3(&3K&(9$0A&$C(&/-,&'0^/$_31$)CC(3K)*$/D3(&$-'$0A&$`3773'B&)*0A$-/$/*-JA0*I$)-3/($0A)'$A-/$_31$ )CC(3K)*$3'$)$')0-3')*$*&K&*$Q)'$)K&()J&$3L$=O\$)CC(3K&$F$=O\$,-/)CC(3K&$)DD3(,-'J$03$ (&)*D*&)(C3*-0-D/MD37$3'$=>?=R9$BA-DA$D32*,$1&$)$L2(0A&($37-'32/$/-J'$L3($.&73D()0-D$-'D271&'0/$-'$ :&''/I*K)'-)$1&D)2/&$a&I/03'&$W0)0&$K30&(/$2/2)**I$K30&$)$L&B$C3-'0/$73(&$.&73D()0-D$0A)'$0A&$ ')0-3'$1)/&,$3'$C)/0$C(&/-,&'0-)*$&*&D0-3'/M$$S'$:&''/I*K)'-)9$5&C21*-D)'/$,-/)CC(3K&$3L$A-/$_31$QN[>?GR$ BA-*&$.&73D()0/$)CC(3K&$QON>G?RX$S',&C&',&'0/$*&)'$-'$3CC3/-0-3'$1I$)$=]>[P$7)(J-'M$ $ x bI$)$=N>=[$7)(J-'9$73/0$:&''/I*K)'-)'/$3CC3/&$0A&$'&B$A&)*0A$D)(&$(&L3(7$*)B9$-'D*2,-'J$)$'&)($G#?$ 7)(J-'$-'$T-'0&'/-0IU$BA&(&)/$[]\$T/0(3'J*IU$3CC3/&$-0$QD37C)(&,$03$3'*I$G?\$BA3$T/0(3'J*IU$L)K3($ -0RM$$$"CC3/-0-3'$-'D*2,&/$E]\$3L$5&C21*-D)'/$)',$=]\$3L$S',&C&',&'0/9$BA-*&$O]\$3L$.&73D()0/$L)K3($ 0A&$'&B$*)BM$$8)DH$3L$7)_3(-0I$/2CC3(0$L3($0A&$'&B$*)B$7-((3(/$0A&$')0-3')*$)K&()J&$03$)$*)(J&$&c0&'0M$ $

A proven winner in survey research and public opinion polling

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604 N. Third Street Harrisburg, PA 17101 Phone: (717) 233-8850 Fax: (717) 233-8842 Cell Phone: (717) 215-1122 Email: [email protected] www.susquehannapolling.com James Lee, President

Final Top Line Survey Results Susquehanna Polling - Spring 2010 Statewide Poll Sample Size: 700 Registered Likely Voters (With Democrat Primary Voter Oversample, N=400) Conducted: April 7-12, 2010

INTRODUCTION: We are conducting a survey of attitudes and opinions concerning some important issues facing today. May we have a few minutes of your time to complete the survey?

Great, thank you…

Q1. What is the single most important problem facing Pennsylvania today? That is, the one you would like to see resolved by your state elected officials. (DO NOT READ CHOICES - ONE ANSWER ONLY)

1. Taxes 84 12% 2. Drugs/crime/violence 5 01% 3. Economy/jobs/unemployment 298 43% 4. Growth/development/traffic 2 00% 5. Streets/roads/transportation 26 04% 6. Utility rate caps 1 00% 7. Politicians/government 89 13% 8. Environment/Pollution 5 01% 9. Healthcare/prescription drugs 50 07% 10. Medicare/social security 5 01% 11. Education/schools 33 05% 12. Morality/family values 7 01% 13. Immigration/illegal aliens 3 00% 14. Quality of life issues 7 01% 15. Gas/energy prices 3 00% 16. Undecided/none 47 07% 17. Other 33 05%

Q2. Do you approve or disapprove of the job President is doing?

10/09 %Ch 1. Approve 292 42% 50% -8 2. Disapprove 343 49% 37% +12 3. Undecided 64 09% 13% -4

Q3. Do you support or oppose the new healthcare reform law recently enacted by President Obama and the national Democrats in Washington? (TEST INTENSITY)

1. Strongly support 150 21% Total Support: 43% 2. Somewhat support 151 22% Total Oppose: 48% 3. Strongly oppose 276 39% 4. Somewhat oppose 58 08% 5. Undecided 62 09%

Q4. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, Democrat, Independent or something else?

1. Republican 287 41% 2. Democrat 350 50% 3. Independent/other 63 09%

[IF REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT, ASK Q5; IF NOT SKIP TO Q9]

Thinking ahead to the upcoming primary election for Senate and on Tuesday, May 18…

Q5. Would you rank your chances of voting in this election as excellent, good, fair, or poor?

[N=637] Dem Only 1. Excellent 444 70% 73% 2. Good 115 18% 27% 3. Fair 54 09% -- 4. Poor 20 03% -- 5. Undecided 4 01% --

[IF FAIR/POOR, SKIP TO Q9; IF REPUBLICAN SKIP TO Q6, IF DEMOCRAT SKIP TO Q7-Q8]

Q6. If the Republican primary election for governor were being held today, would you vote for or Sam Rohrer (Roar)? (ROTATE NAMES)

[N=254]

1. Corbett 127 50% 2. Rohrer 17 07% 3. None/other 9 03% 4. Undecided 101 40%

Q7. If the Democratic primary election for were being held today, would you vote for or ? (ROTATE NAMES)

[N=400] 10/09 %Ch 1. Specter 169 42% 44% -2 2. Sestak 111 28% 16% +12 3. None/other 11 03% 18% -15 4. Undecided 104 26% 22% +4 5. Refuse 5 01% 00% +1

Q8. If the Democratic primary election for governor were being held today, would you vote for (Honor-otto), , , or Anthony Williams? (ROTATE NAMES)

[N=400]

1. Onorato 126 32% 2. Wagner 23 06% 3. Hoeffel 50 13% 4. Williams 17 04% 5. None/other 8 02% 6. Undecided 172 43% 7. Refuse 5 01%

Q9. Have you recently seen, read, or heard anything on television, the radio, in the newspaper, on the internet, or through any other source about the candidates for governor? (CHECK ALL THAT APPLY)

[N=385]

1. TV - news only 68 18% Total Yes: 60% 2. TV - paid advertising 129 34% 3. Radio 25 07% 4. Newspaper 72 19% 5. Internet 31 08% 6. Friends/family 4 01% 7. Other 8 02% 8. No 151 39% 9. Undecided 3 01%

Thinking ahead to the general election in November…

Q10. If the general election for United States Senate were being held today, would you vote for , the Republican, or Arlen Specter, the Democrat? (ROTATE NAMES)

3/10 10/09 %Ch 1. Toomey 336 48% 42% 41% +7 2. Specter 267 38% 36% 42% -4 3. None/other 22 03% 04% 04% -1 4. Undecided 69 10% 18% 12% -2 5. Refuse 7 01% 00% 00% +1

Now, I have a few more questions for demographic purposes and then we’ll be through…

Q11. What is your approximate age according to the following brackets: 18-29, 30-44, 45-59 or 60 and over? Dem Only 1. 18-29 34 05% 04% 2. 30-44 103 15% 12% 3. 45-59 309 44% 46% 4. 60+ 236 34% 36% 5. Refuse 18 03% 02%

THANK YOU FOR YOUR PARTICIPATION IN THE SURVEY. HAVE A GOOD DAY.

Gender: Dem Only 1. Male 336 48% 46% 2. Female 364 52% 54%

Area: Dem Only 34 (05%) 1. Northwest [Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Venango, Warren, 04% Forest]

85 (12%) 2. Southwest [Lawrence, Beaver, Washington, Greene, 15% Fayette, Westmoreland, Indiana, Armstrong, Butler]

97 (14%) 3. The “T”/Central [Jefferson, Elk, McKean, Cameron, Clarion, 10% Clearfield, Centre, Cambria, Somerset, Bedford, Fulton, Franklin, Huntingdon, Blair, Potter, Tioga, Bradford, Susquehanna, Wyoming, Sullivan, Lycoming, Clinton, Union, Snyder, Northumberland, Montour, Columbia, Mifflin, Juniata]

91 (13%) 4. Northeast/Lehigh Valley [Luzerne, Carbon, Monroe, 13% Schuylkill, Lackawanna, Lehigh, Northampton, Pike, Wayne]

113 (16%) 5. South Central [Perry, Cumberland, Adams, York, 09% Lancaster, Lebanon, Dauphin, Berks]

138 (20%) 6. Southeast [Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Bucks] 18%

79 (11%) 7. Allegheny County 14%

64 (09%) 8. 17%

Times voted last four general elections:

Dem Only 1X 68 10% 12% 2X 221 32% 26% 3X 190 27% 29% 4X 220 31% 33%

The margin of error for a sample size of 700 is +/-3.70% ------The margin of error for a sample size of 400 Democrats is +/-4.90% ------The margin of error for a sample size of 254 Republicans is +/-6.15%

© Susquehanna Polling and Research is a leading survey research and political polling firm for both candidates for public office (Republican only) and corporate clients mainly in PA, DE, NY, NJ, MD and FL. $