Economic Activity Caribbean Countries

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Economic Activity Caribbean Countries . * • , R*TE OF GROWTH OF TOTAL EXPORTS AND GDP -CARICOM COUNTRLESG*WFLJ BCLA/CARIB 77j5 ECONOMIC ACTIVITY — 1976 — IN CARIBBEAN COUNTRIES UNITED NATIONS eCÖNGMtC CQMMtm LATIN AMtRiCA Office lor tHeCftrfbbe** í> ECLA/CARIB 77/5 Dates 15 July 1977 ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR LATIN AMERICA Office for the Caribbean . ' A ECONOMIC ACTIVITY - 1976 - IN CARIBBEAN COUNTRIES (Prepared by Economic Affairs Officers, W.L. Whittingham and L. Busby with assistance of Research Assistants, H. Francis,' McD. Rodney, H. Charles, H. Ramdath) FOREWORD This is the sixth in this series of publications. The first five issues were published under the title Economic Activity - Caribbean Community Countries, and the change in title this year reflects widening beyond that group, to include a Country Note on Surinam, a non-member of the Caribbean Community. It marks, too, the first step towards the objective of embracing all the member countries of the Caribbean Development and Co-operation Committee (CDCC) for which the ECLA Office for the Caribbean serves as Secretariat. Another notable change this year is the increased attention devoted to the Caribbean Regional Integration movement. Regrettably even at this relatively late date, much statistical data for some countries are not available. It is hoped however that despite these and other limitations the publication will continue to meet the needs of government offices, private organizations, and regional and international organiza- tions interested in economic developments in the Caribbean. S. St. A. Clarke TABLE OF CONTENTS Page s INTRODUCTION i - iv PART Is SUB-REGIONAL SUMMARY A. SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY 1-25 Bo EVOLUTION OF REGIONAL INTEGRATION 26 - 42 C. THE EXTERNAL SECTOR 43 - 49 D. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 50-55 STATISTICAL APPENDIX 56-74 PART IIî BAHAMAS COUNTRY NOTES 1-30 PART Ills BARBADOS COUNTRY NOTES 1-27 PART IVî BELIZE COUNTRY NOTES 1 - 16 PART Vi GRENADA COUNTRY NOTES 1-27 PART VI: GUYANA COUNTRY NOTES 1-22 PART VII? JAMAICA COUNTRY NOTES 1-38 PART Villi SURINAM COUNTRY NOTES 1-52 PART IX s TRINIDAD & TOBAGO COUNTRY NOTES 1-35 PART X: WEST INDIES ASSOCIATED STATES COUNTRY NOTES 1-32 SELECTED LIST OF STATISTICAL PUBLICATIONS AND SOURCES - i - INTRODUCTION The "Country Notes" in this publication are revisions of the texts that were prepared earlier this year for inclusion in Economic Survey of Latin America, 1976, published by the Economic Commission for Latin America (ECLA), Santiago, Chile. The revisions were made to incorporate revised data for earlier years and additional data for 19760 As usual a summary of sub- regional economic trends is presented along with an outline of major developments in the continuing evolution of Caribbean regional integration. In addition to up-dating the statistics and texts of the preceeding year, there has been a consistent widening of the scope and coverage of the country notes« Even so the objective is fairly modest: to analyse and disseminate information on current economic trends and developments in the countries, and to identify the determinants of these trends. No direct attempt at structural analysis of the national economies is made except when the first Note is prepared on any one country. However, the important sectors of the various economies are highlighted, and the statistical tables show data on the relative importance of sectors. In the Summary Section, the focus is on selected topics of current interest and on some particular problems affecting the region. It would be recalled that country notes for the Bahamas and Grenada appeared for the first time in the last issue. In this issue the geographical coverage has been further widened to in- clude the first Country Note for Surinam. The following nine 1/ See document E/CEPAL/1026 dated 20 April 1976 which was presented to the XVII ECLA Session held in Guatemala City, 25 April to 5 May 1977» and which contains similar Country Notes for the other Caribbean countries not included in this issue, that were prepared at ECLA Headquarters, Santiago, Chile. are now included: The Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Grenada, Guyana, Jamaica, Surinam, Trinidad & Tobago and the West Indies Associated States (WISA). AS used in this text the designation the West Indies Associated States include the non-independent countries of Antigua, Dominica, Montserrat, St. Kitts-Nevis-Anguilla, St.Lucia and St. Vincent. Montserrat is included in the West Indies Associated States though strictly speaking its political status is not " a State in Association with the United Kingdom," but a colony of the UK enjoying internal self-government. Together these six countries are one Associate Member of ECLA. It may be useful to mention here that some of these countries have been negotiating the terms of full independence with the responsible country. It is very likely that by the end of 1978 two or possibly three of them will have achieved full independence. It would be noted too that the geographical coverage of this publication falls short of the full membership of the Caribbean Development and Co-operation Committee (CDCC). Efforts are being made to assemble sufficient data on the other three countries, Cuba, Dominican Republic and Haiti to permit their inclusion in subsequent issues. Two major difficulties are encountered in preparing this publication. One is the unavailability of current data, particularly on the less developed countries of the sub-region, in time to meet publication deadlines. The second is the relatively narrow scope of the statistics that are collected in most of the countries. These factors limit the coverage of the notes and necessitate the making of projections and estimates on very limited bases. However, it is considered that some orders of magnitude of various statistical aggregates are essential to understanding the trends in economic activity even if the figures are only very preliminary. Monetary and fiscal data, and retail price indexes, are generally the most up-to-date statistical information obtainable in most Caribbean countries; but even in these fields much of the necessary details are not readily available» Official detailed external trade statistics are published with at best, a twelve to eighteen-month time lag. Presently, definitive detailed external trade figures for 1975 have been published only for Bahamas, Jamaica, Montserrat and Trinidad & Tobago, Somewhat less detailed preliminary trade data for 1976 are available for the CAM COM more developed countries (MDC's). Preliminary external trade figures such as total exports and imports, however, are generally available within six months of the period of reference for most countries. Revised official series of National Accounts estimates have recently become available for Jamaica. Estimates of National Accounts have been 2/ prepared recently for Antigua, Dominica, Grenada, Barbados^ and Belize. In the case of Grenada and Belize, the data relate to the period 1970-1975, for Antigua 1970-1974 and for Dominica 1971 and 1973° It is hoped that similar data will become avail- able soon for other countries and that a programme to up-date the series on a continuing basis will be instituted in all countries. In earlier issues the value figures in Part I, "Sub- regional Summary" were quoted in East Caribbean dollars, because that was the currency unit of most of the countries covered, which was linked to the Pound Sterling at a fixed parity; and also because the CARICOM Area organizations had designated that currency as the Standard Unit of Account. In this issue the value figures in that Section are quoted in US dollars. This change takes into account the fact that all the currency units of the Caribbean Community Area are now pegged to the US dollar, though at different rates.-3'/ Moreover, it facilitates aggregation 2/ At the time of writing the data for Barbados had not yet come to hand. 2/ A brief discussion of recent changes in exchange rates are given below in the Summary of Economic Activity. with the inclusion of Surinam in this issue and the likely inclusion of the other member countries of the Caribbean Development and Co-operation Committee (CDCC) in future issues. The main sources of the economic and statistical informa- tion used in preparation of the Country Notes are listed at the end of this document. Most of the data were supplied by Government Statistical Offices and other Offices of various Government Ministries. Some data were supplied by Statutory Organizations and other Quasi-government institutions such as Central Banks, Tourist Offices, Marketing Boards, Commodity Co-operative organizations. In a few instances data were pro- vided by private business firms and other private sector organizations. Data has also been furnished directly and indirectly by the various Caribbean regional integration organizations includ- ing the Caribbean Community Secretariat (CARICOM), the East Caribbean Common Market Secretariat (ECCM), the Caribbean Develop- ment Bank (CDB) and the East Caribbean Currency Authority (ECCA). PART I SUB-REGIONAL SUMMARY A. SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY A. SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY Main Trends and Changes in GDP Aggregates - Total and Sectors The problems that influenced economic policy and activity in the region in 1976 vere; (a) Balance of Payments performance; (b) Production; (c) Earnings from Tourism; (d) Unemployment and rising prices. The year 1976 witnessed the worsening of Balance of Payments deficits for most countries in the region, as the terms of trade moved against the primary producers, and as the prices of energy and intermediate goods continued to rise» In some countries licencing and quantitative restrictions were placed on imports from within and without the region, as the aggregate Balance of Payments moved into a deficit position, more than offsetting the considerable surplus accruing to the petroleum exporter in the region. These problems have helped to demonstrate the spirit of integration as displayed by the willingness of more fortunate member countries to assist with the provision of loans to member countries in financial straits.
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