Working Paper Series Working Paper 6 War Without End? The Political economy of Internal conflict in Angola Mark Shaw Conflict Research Unit Netherlands Institute of International Relations ‘Clingendael’ November 2001 Netherlands Institute of International Relations ‘Clingendael’ Clingendael 7 2597 VH The Hague P.O. Box 93080 2509 AB The Hague Phonenumber: # 31-70-3245384 Telefax: # 31-70-3282002 Email:
[email protected] Website: http://www.clingendael.nl/cru © Netherlands Institute of International Relations Clingendael. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the copyrightholders. Clingendael Institute, P.O. Box 93080, 2509 AB The Hague, The Netherlands. © The Clingendael Institute 3 Contents 1 Introduction 5 2 Country Profile 7 3 From Colonialism to Conflict 11 4 Cycles of Conflict 15 5 The Political Economy of War 19 6 Prospects for Peace 25 7 Conclusion: Explaining the Conflict 33 Select Bibliography 37 4 © The Clingendael Institute © The Clingendael Institute 5 1 Introduction 1 Few states present such stark contrasts as Angola. On the one hand, the country possesses an abundance of natural resources, on the other, it is plagued by armed conflict and poverty. Over the last quarter century it is estimated that 1.5 million lives have been lost in a war which seems without end. Angola’s impressive deposits of minerals include prodigious amounts of diamonds, of which it is by value the world's fourth main producer. In addition, Angola has rich and largely still unexploited offshore oil deposits, making the country the second largest producer of petroleum, after Nigeria, in sub-Saharan Africa.