Seasonal Variations of Sea Surface Height in the Gulf Stream Region*

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Seasonal Variations of Sea Surface Height in the Gulf Stream Region* VOLUME 29 JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY MARCH 1999 Seasonal Variations of Sea Surface Height in the Gulf Stream Region* KATHRYN A. KELLY,1 SANDIPA SINGH, AND RUI XIN HUANG Department of Physical Oceanography, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts (Manuscript received 2 October 1996, in ®nal form 12 March 1998) ABSTRACT Based on more than four years of altimetric sea surface height (SSH) data, the Gulf Stream shows distinct seasonal variations in surface transport and latitudinal position, with a seasonal range in the SSH difference across the Gulf Stream of 0.14 m and a seasonal range in position of 0.428 lat. The seasonal variations are most pronounced west (upstream) of about 638W, near the Gulf Stream's warm core. The changes in the SSH difference across the Gulf Stream are successfully modeled as a steric response to ECMWF heat ¯uxes, after removing the large SSH variations due to seasonal position changes of the Gulf Stream. A phase shift between predicted and observed SSH changes in the Gulf Stream suggests that advection may be important in the seasonal heat budget. Consistent with the interpretation of SSH variations as steric, comparisons with hydrographic data suggest that the fall maximum SSH difference is from the upper 250 m of the water column. The maximum volume transport is in the spring. Zonally averaged indices are used to quantify seasonal changes in the Gulf Stream, which are analogous to changes in the atmospheric jet stream. 1. Introduction inverted echo sounders suggest that the SSH ¯uctuations do re¯ect changes in upper-layer transport (Teague and Sea surface height (SSH), as measured by a radar Hallock 1990; Kelly and Watts 1994; Hallock and altimeter, contains the signature of several ocean pro- Teague 1993). However, seasonal SSH and even inter- cesses, including the steric response to the seasonal heat- annual variations may be dominated by the steric re- ing cycle and changes in ocean circulation, both baro- sponse to seasonal heating. clinic and barotropic. Changes in both the ocean's heat SSH maps can be interpreted in terms of circulation storage and the large-scale circulation are important to because the ocean is approximately in geostrophic bal- understanding climate issues; however, it is necessary ance, and the SSH h (relative to the earth's gravitational to distinguish between the two processes in SSH ob- geoid) gives the surface pressure, p95rgh. Gradients servations. An increase in the transport of the Gulf of SSH are related to geostrophic velocity ug at the Stream may signal an increase in the deep-water for- ocean surface by mation rate at high latitudes. Coupled ocean±atmo- sphere models suggest that changes in the meridional f k 3 ug 52g=h, (1) overturning circulation of the North Atlantic require changes in the Gulf Stream transport (e.g., Delworth et where f is the Coriolis parameter. A useful quantity in al. 1993). If changes in upper-ocean circulation can be describing the current ¯uctuations is the SSH difference inferred from altimetric SSH, changes in the overturning across the current (surface transport), which is the in- circulation could be monitored by satellite. On time- tegral of (one component of) the geostrophic velocity scales of weeks, comparisons of altimetric data with f Dh 5 u (y9) dy9, (2) g E g y where y is a line across the Gulf Stream. This quantity * Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Contribution Number is insensitive to the orientation of y relative to the current 9367. direction. To infer volume transport from surface trans- 1 Current af®liation: Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington. port, it is necessary to know the vertical structure of the current. In a barotropic ocean, for example, Dh would be proportional to the total transport of the cur- Corresponding author address: Dr. Kathryn A. Kelly, Applied rent system, or in a system characterized by one active Physics Laboratory, College of Ocean and Fishery Sciences, Uni- versity of Washington, 1013 N.E. 40th Street, Seattle, WA 98105- upper layer and a quiescent lower layer, it would be 6698. proportional to the transport of the upper layer. E-mail: [email protected] Seasonal heating produces changes in SSH, hsteric, due q 1999 American Meteorological Society 313 314 JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY VOLUME 29 to the thermal expansion or contraction of the water particularly west of about 608W. The most robust sea- column, given by sonal variation is large-scale position changes: the four 0 years of altimeter data shown here are consistent with h 5 a T9 dz, (3) analyses of seven years of AVHRR data by Lee and steric E Tm Cornillon (1995) and with previous analyses summa- 2h m rized by Tracey and Watts (1986), showing the most whereT9m is the temperature anomaly, hm is the depth northerly position of the Gulf Stream occurs in the fall. 21 to which the anomaly penetrates, and aT 5]2r 0 r/]Tm In addition, Kelly (1991) and Qiu et al. (1991) pointed is the coef®cient of thermal expansion. Spatial gradients out that more northerly positions of the western bound- in hsteric will give rise to geostrophic currents as in (1), ary current are associated with larger surface transport. but these currents will be con®ned to the region above These Gulf Stream ¯uctuations are reminiscent of the shallow seasonal thermocline (Gill and Niiler 1973). changes observed in the atmospheric jet stream. Namias When the dominant source of SSH ¯uctuations is sea- (1950) described the ``zonal index cyle'' in which the sonal heating, then the surface transport anomaly Dh9 jet stream transitions in late winter or early spring from is more logically interpreted as a heat content anomaly a northerly straight path with a large eastward velocity than as a volume transport anomaly. (high index) to a more southerly, convoluted path with There have been numerous studies of altimetric SSH accompanying cyclones and weak eastward velocity in an attempt to characterize the seasonal surface trans- (low index). The zonal index, de®ned as the zonally port of western boundary currents. Studies using data averaged eastward velocity in a ®xed latitude range, was from the Geosat altimeter in both the Gulf Stream and ®rst introduced by Rossby (1939) and was widely used the Kuroshio Extension showed that the maximum in in synoptic studies of the atmospheric circulation in the SSH difference occurs in the fall (Tai 1990; Zlotnicki 1950s and 1960s. Namias argued that changes in the 1991; Kelly 1991; Qiu et al. 1991). Recent studies of index cycle were tied to the seasonal heating cycle and surface transport using the TOPEX/Poseidon data (Qiu that the abrupt change from a high index to a low index 1995; Wang and Koblinsky 1995), including the analysis in the early spring corresponded to a release of the res- presented here, show a fall surface transport maximum. ervoir of cold air from winter cooling, which was con- Because hydrographic data show a spring or early sum- ®ned to northern latitudes by the strong jet stream. mer volume transport maximum (Worthington 1976; To quantify the seasonal changes in the SSH, we de- Sato and Rossby 1995), seasonal heating has been sus- ®ne several zonally averaged indices. To understand the pected of creating the fall surface transport maximum. vertical structure of seasonal variations, we compare the Seasonal heating causes SSH variations of the right observed SSH variations with dynamic height derived magnitude, but the maximum in SSH difference across from hydrographic data. Finally, we estimate the effects the Gulf Stream requires that the regions north and south of seasonal heating on the SSH difference across the of the Gulf Stream front have seasonal steric responses Gulf Stream using the net surface heat ¯ux, and discuss that differ by more than 0.1 m. Using the Levitus (1982) some implications of the seasonal heating cycle. The data, Zlotnicki (1991) suggested that the seasonal cycle processing of the data ®elds used in this analysis is in steric height difference was too small by a factor of described in section 2. Maps of total SSH from the 2 to explain the Geosat SSH difference. Using the newer TOPEX/Poseidon altimeter were made by adding the version of the Levitus data (Levitus and Boyer 1994), SSH anomaly to a mean SSH (Fig. 2), which is also Wang and Koblinsky (1996) showed that the seasonal discussed in section 2. The analyses of the data ®elds steric height variations were consistent with seasonal are presented in section 3, followed by a discussion of variations in TOPEX/Poseidon SSH in the region of the results in section 4 and conclusions in section 5. Gulf Stream recirculation. However, based on a buoy- ancy budget using heat ¯uxes from the European Centre 2. Data ®elds for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), they concluded that the heat ¯ux gradients over the Gulf Collinear height pro®les from the TOPEX/Poseidon Stream were 2±3 times too small to explain the observed altimeters [the Archiving Validation and Interpretation SSH gradients. Here we show that the inconsistency of Satellite Oceanographic data (AVISO) Merged Geo- with the ECMWF heat ¯ux is primarily the result of physical Data Record] cycles 4 through 80 (October neglecting the SSH variations due to the north±south 1992±November 1994) were processed using programs seasonal Gulf Stream position migration. described in Caruso et al. (1990) to obtain pro®les of There are other low-frequency variations in the Gulf residual SSH. Cycles 1 through 3 were discarded be- Stream besides the seasonal surface transport (Fig. 1), cause of poor data quality. All of the suggested correc- some of which are similar to those in the atmospheric tions from the CD-ROMs were applied and no orbit jet stream.
Recommended publications
  • The Gulf Stream
    The Gulf Stream Prepared by Distribution Branch Physical Science Services Section October 1985 (Educational Pamphlet No. 11) U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE National Oceanic And Atmospheric Administration National Ocean Service U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Ocean Service Rockville, Maryland The Gulf Stream, a vast and powerful Atlantic Ocean cutrent, is first discernible in the Straits of Florida. In this area, the Stream is like a river 40 miles wi~e, 2,000 feet deep, flowin~ at a velocity of five miles an hour, and discharging 100 billion tons of water per hour. From the Straits of Florida, it takes a very narrow course up the North American coast to Newfoundland and then veers toward Europe (Fig. 1). Within the Straits, the lateral boundaries of the Gulf Stream are fairly well fixed, but when it flows into the open sea its boundaries become indefinite. Northeast of Cape Hatteras, the Stream often forms great looping meanders which change position with time. The major axis of the Stream within the Straits of Florida is known to mi~rate laterally; that is, it moves closer to or farther from the coast. As with most large natural phenomena, the Gulf Stream has given rise to a number of amazing legends--the products of much imagination and only a little knowledge. Early ideas were restricted by the very crude description of the Stream then available and, more importantly, by the fact that there was no well-developed knowledge of t'his physical characteristics--the velocity, volume, position, andvariation of flow.
    [Show full text]
  • Lesson 8: Currents
    Standards Addressed National Science Lesson 8: Currents Education Standards, Grades 9-12 Unifying concepts and Overview processes Physical science Lesson 8 presents the mechanisms that drive surface and deep ocean currents. The process of global ocean Ocean Literacy circulation is presented, emphasizing the importance of Principles this process for climate regulation. In the activity, students The Earth has one big play a game focused on the primary surface current names ocean with many and locations. features Lesson Objectives DCPS, High School Earth Science Students will: ES.4.8. Explain special 1. Define currents and thermohaline circulation properties of water (e.g., high specific and latent heats) and the influence of large bodies 2. Explain what factors drive deep ocean and surface of water and the water cycle currents on heat transport and therefore weather and 3. Identify the primary ocean currents climate ES.1.4. Recognize the use and limitations of models and Lesson Contents theories as scientific representations of reality ES.6.8 Explain the dynamics 1. Teaching Lesson 8 of oceanic currents, including a. Introduction upwelling, density, and deep b. Lecture Notes water currents, the local c. Additional Resources Labrador Current and the Gulf Stream, and their relationship to global 2. Extra Activity Questions circulation within the marine environment and climate 3. Student Handout 4. Mock Bowl Quiz 1 | P a g e Teaching Lesson 8 Lesson 8 Lesson Outline1 I. Introduction Ask students to describe how they think ocean currents work. They might define ocean currents or discuss the drivers of currents (wind and density gradients). Then, ask them to list all the reasons they can think of that currents might be important to humans and organisms that live in the ocean.
    [Show full text]
  • The Benjamin Franklin and Timothy Folger Charts of the Gulf Stream
    The Benjamin Franklin and Timothy Folger Charts of the Gulf Stream Philip L Richardson Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Woods Hole, MA 02543 [email protected] [email protected] 1 Introduction In September 1978 I found two prints of the first Franklin-Folger chart of the Gulf Stream in the Bibliothèque Nationale in Paris. Although this chart had been mentioned by Franklin in 1786, all copies of it had been “lost”1 for many years. The Franklin-Folger chart was not only excellent for its time,2 but it remains today a good summary of the general characteristics of the Gulf Stream. Because of its historical role in our understanding of the Stream and in the development of oceanography, I would like to discuss its depiction of the Gulf Stream relative to later charts and recent measurements. There are three versions of the Franklin-Folger chart; the first was printed in 1769 by Mount and Page in London, the second was printed circa 1780- 1783 by Le Rouge in Paris, and a third was published in 1786 by Franklin in Philadelphia. The last is the most widely known and reproduced of the three. However, its projection is different from the first two, and the Gulf Stream has been modified. Since no copies of the first version had been located, some historians had doubted it had ever been printed (Brown 1938). Indeed, until a print of the first chart was discovered, the oldest known Gulf Stream chart was not by Franklin and Folger but one published by De Brahm in 1772. 1 A note describing the discovery and showing a facsimile of the whole chart was published by Richardson (1980).
    [Show full text]
  • The Antarctic Circumpolar Ocean Current
    The Antarctic Circumpolar Ocean Current A review of its influence on global ocean currents and climate within Antarctica and Europe James S. B. Mason GCAS Class 2006-7 Department of Antarctic Studies and Research University of Canterbury Abstract This review examines the operation of the Antarctic Circumpolar ocean current, its role in the so-called ‘great ocean conveyor belt’ of worldwide ocean currents and its influence on climate, particularly in northern Europe. The development in the understanding of ocean currents and their driving forces is described using historical sources, starting from the observations of early explorers to modern scientific analysis. The interaction of the Antarctic Circumpolar current within the ocean conveyor belt and its influence on worldwide oceanic flow is reviewed with reference to its effect on the Gulf Stream The associated implications for climate change within Antarctica and Europe are discussed in the context of recently proposed scenarios. 2 Introduction The Antarctic Circumpolar Current ( ACC ) encircles Antarctica, flowing from west to east, and stretches over twenty thousand kilometers forming the world’s largest ocean current. The average flow rate is estimated (1) at 135 million cubic metres of water per second ( 135x106 m3 s-1 ) or 135 Sverdrup ( Sv ) with 1 Sv being the estimated flow of all the world’s rivers combined. Although the flow rate of the current is low, less than 20 cm s-1, the current can reach a width of 2000km and depths of 2000-4000m which accounts for the huge flow rate. The absence of any continental landmass allows the ACC to circulate around the globe allowing water transfer between oceans.
    [Show full text]
  • Lecture 4: OCEANS (Outline)
    LectureLecture 44 :: OCEANSOCEANS (Outline)(Outline) Basic Structures and Dynamics Ekman transport Geostrophic currents Surface Ocean Circulation Subtropicl gyre Boundary current Deep Ocean Circulation Thermohaline conveyor belt ESS200A Prof. Jin -Yi Yu BasicBasic OceanOcean StructuresStructures Warm up by sunlight! Upper Ocean (~100 m) Shallow, warm upper layer where light is abundant and where most marine life can be found. Deep Ocean Cold, dark, deep ocean where plenty supplies of nutrients and carbon exist. ESS200A No sunlight! Prof. Jin -Yi Yu BasicBasic OceanOcean CurrentCurrent SystemsSystems Upper Ocean surface circulation Deep Ocean deep ocean circulation ESS200A (from “Is The Temperature Rising?”) Prof. Jin -Yi Yu TheThe StateState ofof OceansOceans Temperature warm on the upper ocean, cold in the deeper ocean. Salinity variations determined by evaporation, precipitation, sea-ice formation and melt, and river runoff. Density small in the upper ocean, large in the deeper ocean. ESS200A Prof. Jin -Yi Yu PotentialPotential TemperatureTemperature Potential temperature is very close to temperature in the ocean. The average temperature of the world ocean is about 3.6°C. ESS200A (from Global Physical Climatology ) Prof. Jin -Yi Yu SalinitySalinity E < P Sea-ice formation and melting E > P Salinity is the mass of dissolved salts in a kilogram of seawater. Unit: ‰ (part per thousand; per mil). The average salinity of the world ocean is 34.7‰. Four major factors that affect salinity: evaporation, precipitation, inflow of river water, and sea-ice formation and melting. (from Global Physical Climatology ) ESS200A Prof. Jin -Yi Yu Low density due to absorption of solar energy near the surface. DensityDensity Seawater is almost incompressible, so the density of seawater is always very close to 1000 kg/m 3.
    [Show full text]
  • Ocean Surface Circulation
    Ocean surface circulation Recall from Last Time The three drivers of atmospheric circulation we discussed: • Differential heating • Pressure gradients • Earth’s rotation (Coriolis) Last two show up as direct forcing of ocean surface circulation, the first indirectly (it drives the winds, also transport of heat is an important consequence). Coriolis In northern hemisphere wind or currents deflect to the right. Equator In the Southern hemisphere they deflect to the left. Major surfaceA schematic currents of them anyway Surface salinity A reasonable indicator of the gyres 31.0 30.0 32.0 31.0 31.030.0 33.0 33.0 28.0 28.029.0 29.0 34.0 35.0 33.0 33.0 33.034.035.0 36.0 34.0 35.0 37.0 35.036.0 36.0 34.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 34.0 35.0 37.0 35.0 36.0 36.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 34.0 34.0 34.0 34.0 34.0 34.0 Ocean Gyres Surface currents are shallow (a few hundred meters thick) Driving factors • Wind friction on surface of the ocean • Coriolis effect • Gravity (Pressure gradient force) • Shape of the ocean basins Surface currents Driven by Wind Gyres are beneath and driven by the wind bands . Most of wind energy in Trade wind or Westerlies Again with the rotating Earth: is a major factor in ocean and Coriolisatmospheric circulation. • It is negligible on small scales. • Varies with latitude. Ekman spiral Consider the ocean as a Wind series of thin layers. Friction Direction of Wind friction pushes on motion the top layers.
    [Show full text]
  • The Gulf Stream Structure and Strategy W.Frank Bohlen Mystic, Connecticut [email protected]
    The Gulf Stream Structure and Strategy W.Frank Bohlen Mystic, Connecticut [email protected] January, 2012 For the Newport-Bermuda racer the point at which the Gulf Stream is encountered is often considered a juncture as important as the start or finish of the Race. The location, structure and variability of this major ocean current and its effects presents a particular challenge for every navigator/tactician. What is the nature of this challenge and how best might it be addressed ? The Gulf Stream is a portion of the large clockwise current system affecting the entire North Atlantic Ocean. Driven by the wind field over the North Atlantic and the associated distributions of water temperature and salinity, the Gulf Stream is an energetic boundary current separating the warm waters of the Sargasso Sea from the cooler continental shelf waters adjoining New England. The resulting thermal boundary represents one of the most striking features of this current and one that is most easily measured. From Florida to Cape Hatteras the Gulf Stream follows a reasonably well defined northerly track along the outer limits of the U.S. continental shelf. Beyond, to the north of Hatteras, Stream associated flows proceed along a progressively more northeasterly tending track with the main body of the current separating gradually from the shelf. Horizontal flow trajectories in this area, which includes the rhumb line to Bermuda, become increasingly non-linear and wavelike with characteristics similar to those observed in clouds of smoke trailing downwind from a chimney. The resulting large amplitude meanders in the main body of the Stream tend to propagate downstream, towards Europe, and grow in amplitude.
    [Show full text]
  • Surface Circulation & Upwelling
    OCE-3014L Lab 6 NAME________________________________________________ Surface Circulation & Upwelling A closer look at the Gulf Stream Current & the California Current Part A. Global Surface Currents Surface currents are in direct response to 1) wind, 2) Earth’s rotation (the Coriolis Effect), and 3) land masses or continents which affect the location, speed, and direction of the currents. Ocean currents follow a regular circular pattern in their respective ocean basins, called gyres. Gyres form north and south of the equator in Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. Warm currents within gyres carry water from the equator toward the poles. Cold currents transport cooler water from the subarctic regions toward the equator. If you do not have a color printer, color code the currents in the above figure: red for warm currents; blue for cool currents. 1. The North Atlantic Gyre circulates CW (clockwise) or CCW (counter-clockwise)? 2. The North Pacific Gyre circulates CW or CCW ? 3. The South Atlantic Gyre circulates CW or CCW? 4. The South Pacific Gyre circulates CW or CCW? 5. On which sides of the ocean basins are the warm currents? East or West ? 6. On which sides of the ocean basins are the cold currents? East or West ? • Note the warm surface current in the Indian Ocean that crosses the equator to join the Indian Ocean’s southern gyre, owing to the presence of the Asian land mass south of 0 degree latitude and atmosphere pressure extremes dominating wind patterns over Asia. 1 OCE-3014L Lab 6 7. Indicate warm or cool beside the major ocean currents listed below.
    [Show full text]
  • Coastal Upwelling in the South Atlantic Bight: a Revisit of the 2003 Cold Event Using Long Term Observations and Model Hindcast Solutions
    Journal of Marine Systems 83 (2010) 1–13 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Journal of Marine Systems journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jmarsys Coastal upwelling in the South Atlantic Bight: A revisit of the 2003 cold event using long term observations and model hindcast solutions Kyung Hoon Hyun, Ruoying He ⁎ Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, North Carolina, USA 27695 article info abstract Article history: Long-term (2002–2008) buoy observations, satellite imagery, and regional ocean circulation hindcast Received 29 September 2009 solutions were used to investigate the South Atlantic Bight (SAB) cold event that occurred in summer 2003. Received in revised form 18 May 2010 Observations confirmed that SAB shelf water temperature during the event was significantly colder than Accepted 25 May 2010 their 7-year (2002–2008) mean states. The cold event consisted of 6 distinctive cold wakes, which were Available online 6 August 2010 likely related with intra-seasonal oscillations in wind fields. The upwelling index analyses based on both in Keywords: situ buoy wind and North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) highlighted that the upwelling favorable South Atlantic Bight coastal circulation winds in 2003 were the strongest and most persistent over the 7-year study period. The regional circulation Observation and modeling model hindcast driven by the large scale data assimilative model, NARR surface meteorological forcing and Gulf stream coastal river runoff generally reproduced observed hydrodynamic variability during the event. Further model analyses revealed a close relationship between the cold bottom water intrusion and the Gulf Stream (GS) core intensity and its position relative to the shelf break.
    [Show full text]
  • Ocean Surface Topography Mission/ Jason 2 Launch
    PREss KIT/JUNE 2008 Ocean Surface Topography Mission/ Jason 2 Launch Media Contacts Steve Cole Policy/Program Management 202-358-0918 Headquarters [email protected] Washington Alan Buis OSTM/Jason 2 Mission 818-354-0474 Jet Propulsion Laboratory [email protected] Pasadena, Calif. John Leslie NOAA Role 301-713-2087, x174 National Oceanic and [email protected] Atmospheric Administration Silver Spring, Md. Eliane Moreaux CNES Role 011-33-5-61-27-33-44 Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales [email protected] Toulouse, France Claudia Ritsert-Clark EUMETSAT Role 011-49-6151-807-609 European Organisation for the [email protected] Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites Darmstadt, Germany George Diller Launch Operations 321-867-2468 Kennedy Space Center, Fla. [email protected] Contents Media Services Information ...................................................................................................... 5 Quick Facts .............................................................................................................................. 7 Why Study Ocean Surface Topography? ..................................................................................8 Mission Overview ....................................................................................................................13 Science and Engineering Objectives ....................................................................................... 20 Spacecraft .............................................................................................................................22
    [Show full text]
  • The Relevance of Ocean Surface Current in the ECMWF Analysis and Forecast System
    The relevance of ocean surface current in the ECMWF analysis and forecast system Hans Hersbach and Jean-Raymond Bidlot ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2 9AX, United Kingdom [email protected] ABSTRACT This document describes a preliminary adaptation of the integrated forecast system at ECMWF to incorporate ocean sur- face currents from an external source. An impact study is performed in a data-assimilation environment, which allows for both a proper adjustment of the atmospheric boundary condition and a suitable adaptation of the ingestion of observations that are sensitive to the ocean surface. It is found that the effect on surface stress is only about half of what would have been intuitively obtained by subtraction of the ocean current from the surface wind of a system in which no account for ocean current is given. As a result, compared to the intuitive approach, the effect on wind-generated ocean waves is found to be reduced. 1 Introduction The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has a coupled ocean-atmosphere sys- tem for seasonal and monthly forecasting (Vitart et al., 2008). The seasonal system is fully coupled. The monthly forecasts are at present only coupled from day 10 onwards (which runs at a lower resolution). More- over, in contrast to the seasonal system, that coupling does not include ocean currents. At first sight, the importance of ocean currents seems minor. The strength of typical ocean currents is in the order of a few tenths of ms−1, which is small compared to typical surface wind speed of around 8 ms−1.
    [Show full text]
  • The Link Between the Gulf Stream and Coastal Sea Level As Seen In
    South Florida Water Management District May 09, 2017 CCPO/OEAS The link between the Gulf Stream and coastal sea level as seen in observations and models Tal Ezer Center for Coastal Physical Oceanography (CCPO) Department of Ocean, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences (OEAS) Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, USA How can ocean dynamics affect coastal sea level? Sea level is not level: ocean currents sea level slope (Geostrophic balance) ~1m ~100km Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) • The Gulf Stream keeps sea level on the US East Coast ~1-1.5 m (3-5 feet) lower than water offshore variations in GS strength or position will affect SL. • In warmer climate the Atlantic Ocean circulation is expected to weaken If the Gulf Stream slows down sea level on the US coast could rise!!! • The idea that the Gulf Stream can induce coastal sea level variations along the US coast on a range of time scales is not new… 1938 [observations; monthly-seasonal scales] 1984 [model; decadal time-scales] 2001 Recent studies confirm the relation between variations in the Gulf Stream and coastal sea level, but the exact mechanism and time-scales involved need more research Gulf Stream Also affected by : 2013 Multidecadal and sea level AMO, AMOC, etc. rise 2014 Seasonal, NAO, ENSO, interannual weather pattern, and decadal 2015 etc. Daily, weakly, intraseasonal Tides, storm surges, etc. 2015 Coastal Sea-Level 2016 Impact of the Gulf Stream on long-term sea level rise and decadal variability Mean Sea Level Rise Rates (from linear regression) Cape Hatteras linear global SLR + postglacial land subsidence in the mid-Atlantic Global y / Atlantic m m South of Cape Hatteras North of Cape Hatteras Pattern of sea level rise acceleration is affected by the Gulf Stream – Cape Hatteras Especially north of the separation point of the GS Why? North of Cape Hatteras 2 y / South of Cape Hatteras m Atlantic m Global (from Ezer, GRL 2015) SEP-2000 SEP-2011 B B Sea Surface A Height (SSH) A from satellite altimeter data A.
    [Show full text]