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«La politique du dehors avec les raisons du dedans: can foreign policy be dictated by anti-immigrant attitudes?»

Raymond Taras

Domestic explanations

Theories assigning primacy to external factors in the making of foreign policy hold that states are unitary actors behaving rationally and pursuing national interests. Internal theories point both to the existence of many different voices in the state and to deviations from rationality as leaders seek to satisfy domestic political goals by taking decisions that do not necessarily optimize state interests in international politics. “In contrast to the externally based theories, those who point to sources internal to the state expect differences across states’ foreign policies, despite the similar international circumstances. For these analysts, the great diversity of political systems, cultures, and leaders point states in different directions, even though they are facing the same external forces.”1

How attentive are leaders to public opinion, especially on issues related to international politics? On the one hand, “the conventional wisdom is that the public simply does not influence foreign policy…. It is not clear that leaders would follow the public’s opinion.” On the other is evidence that “there is some congruence between changes in public opinion and changes in foreign policy.”2

Ironically, the pathology of can exert greater influence in a

democratic system. “Demagoguery works best where the demos has some

influence.”3 The types of demagoguery that are likely to be most appealing are 2 those targeting an unpopular foreign nation, or a disliked minority or migrant community at home. Projected to foreign policy, xenophobic demagoguery can heighten irrational security fears and a correspondingly hostile policy towards antipathetical nations.

The primacy of rationally defined national interests has always been suspect. Anthropologist F.G. Bailey, author of the seminal book Strategems and

Spoils, quoted a letter written in 1648 by Count Oxiensterna, a Swedish statesman, to his son: “You do not understand, my son, how small a part reason plays in governing the world.”4 Bailey highlighted the lure of

demagoguery and xenophobia for average citizens: “Ordinary Jane and

Ordinary Joe are quicker to feel than they are to think; they respond more

readily to a message that touches their emotions than to one that requires

them to attend to a carefully reasoned argument. Reason does not mobilize

support; slogans do. Reasoning is demanding; slogans are comfortably

compelling.”5

Culture and foreign policy

The study of culture and its linkage to international relations has been

receiving greater attention in recent years.6 Valerie Hudson succinctly captured

one aspect in this linkage—between national identity and foreign policy--this

way: “When we speak of culture and national identity as they relate to foreign

policy, we are seeking the answers that the people of a nation-state would give

to the following three questions: ‘Who are we?’, ‘What do ‘we’ do?’, and ‘Who are 3 they?’”7

Culture organizes meaning for a society: “culture tells us what to want,

to prefer, to desire, and thus to value.” It also “provides scripts and personae that are reenacted and subtly modified over time within a society.”8 Culture

shapes foreign policy, at least indirectly.9 Shared systems of meaning become

transferred to the foreign policy making process. For Hudson, “culture in and

of itself is not a cause of anything in international relations…. It is in the ‘who

draws what ideas’ and the ‘how the ideas are employed’ aspects that causes of

events can be found.”10

Differences in the internal values found in states can become refracted

onto foreign policy behavior. A good example is in the self-selected national role

conception. Thus the Third Reich saw itself as preserver of the Caucasian race,

the U.S. as champion of individual enterprise, Sweden as mediator, and

Canada as multicultural pioneer.11 For Hudson, it may even be the case that

“A nation’s leaders rise in part because they articulate a vision of the nation’s

role in world affairs that corresponds to deep cultural beliefs about the

nation.”12 Accordingly national action scripts may profound shape a state’s

international politics.

Culture is regarded as a guarantor of continuity in a state’s foreign policy

and it follows that cultural analysis can indicate which “Well-known and well-

practiced options, preferably tied in to the nation’s heroic history, will be

preferred over less well-known and less familiar options or options with

traumatic track records—even if an objective cost-benefit analysis of the two 4 options would suggest otherwise.”13

How power and national interests are understood and defined are often

cultural constructs. Policy makers face a challenge: “to what myths, stories,

heroic historical elements, contemporary cultural memes, or other elements do

they refer?”14 A culture that embodies a nation’s historical and normative

pathways may become privileged in the formulation of foreign policy.

Culturally-embedded values encompassing national biases, fears, and

antipathies are regularly projected externally. Let us take one example. In his

study of the Arab community in Canada and that country’s participation in the

U.S.-led coalition in the 1991 Gulf war, a Canadian Arabist contended that

race had been involved in judging who was an enemy and who a friend.

“Canadians will never think of America as an enemy, and neither can they

think of British or the French as enemies…. But it is so easy to think of Arabs

as the enemy.” Pointing to Canada’s assertive multicultural, multiracial

mosaic, the author inferred that “Since advocates celebrating

the differences, allowing the traditions and cultures to coexist, the extension of

that policy in foreign policy is a stance of neutrality.”15

Diaspora lobbies

Especially in multicultural societies, diaspora groups may seek influence

in the making of their adopted country’s foreign policy.16 But this does not

apply to all ethnic communities. After 9/11, Arab and Muslim community

leaders in Western countries have had a difficult time exerting influence. There 5 are a number of reasons for this. These community heads are up against the leading role played by the U.S.—whether led by Bush or Obama—in the global arena. Arab and Muslim groups are often poorly organized and, in contrast to many other diasporas, receive little support from their countries of origin.

Finally, “The community has a hard time defending the interests of an Arab-

Muslim world ruled by despotic, non-democratic, corrupt, and politically disabled regimes.”17

In the Canadian case, “An internalization of democratic Canadian values

would be a necessary step to transcend any cultural cleavages and overcome

contradictions between the original values of these diasporas and their newly

acquired Canadian values.”18 Even then, such normatively-assimilated groups

are competing—in and elsewhere—with the anti-immigrant backlash

that has helped securitize the Muslim threat. Radical right-wing parties have

articulated and aggregated this backlash. Accordingly, “the populist radical

right portrays Islam as one of the greatest threats to Europe in the twenty-first

century, replacing the old specter of communism across Europe.”19

Diasporas exhibit the national likes and antipathies of their places of

origin; often, they amplify them. They attempt to influence the receiving

country’s foreign policy in so far as it involves that country of origin. Yet

historian Jack Granatstein stated bluntly that “No nation like Canada can do

what its citizens of Sri Lankan or Pakistani or Somalian or Jewish or Muslim or

Ukrainian origin want—all the time.” Instead, “A nation must do what its

national interests determine it must.”20 It was therefore desirable “if our 6 leaders can focus on the aspects of foreign policy that are important to the nation as a whole and stop playing to the ethnicities that make up our population.”21

Migrants and security

Identities, not ideologies, are the criterion by which most migrants are judged. The notion of the other has expanded as threats to security have become more palpable. Identities perceived as threatening are held suspect.

Understanding how to protect a country’s security has shifted from “the absence of threats to acquired values” to “a low probability of damage to acquired values.”22

Identities threatening not just the internal cohesion of a state but its

national security and national interests are identified as especially treacherous.

Security has come to be redefined: “There has been a clear shift in emphasis in

the perception of security away from what many would now see as the

redundant nation-state to individuals and groups. Herein lies the paradox.

How to reconcile the human right to move freely with the need to protect local

cultures, economies, environments, health, and, in some cases, peace.”23

The traditional meaning of security has been weakened: “The term

[security] as it has been traditionally used in international relations literature is based on two major assumptions: one, that threat to a state’s security principally arises from outside its borders, and two, that these threats are primarily, if not exclusively, military in nature.”24 Today, in an era of 7 unprecedented human migration, phobias—the natural and sometimes constructed fear of “foreigners”—have become more profoundly intertwined with security and foreign policy. The securitization of migration represents a synthesis of phobias and foreign policies. Fear of the loss of national sovereignty enjoins the two. As one academic noted, immigration phobia and threat perceptions have become fused in a “fear narrative.”25

On the one hand, that is a surprising conflation: “alarmism about

national security arising from marginal migration is the principal paradox.”26

On the other, viewed through the lens of the security dilemma, migration—as cross-border movement of ethnically heterogeneous populations—is a process that makes different groups potentially insecure not because government authority suddenly declines, but because these groups become suddenly proximate:

[B]ecause any influx of migrants may be ascribed to government failure,

host populations are likely to develop a suspicion that their government

becomes weaker, even though the opposite may be the case. The

governments then face an immigrant policy dilemma in very much the

same way they face the arms race dilemma. The appearance of being soft

on immigration is likely to undermine domestic support for the

government. But pursuing a tough restrictionist policy may result in

economic costs, and it may criminalize immigration—exacerbating

exactly the problems that need to be resolved.27 8

Domestic and foreign policies become locked in a dialectic. Although other aspects of globalization—unrestricted movement of capital, consumerism, cultural production—have also made governments seem “soft” on protecting their “borders,” it has been migration where norms of transnational activity have not taken root. Thus “Migration (especially illegal migration across state borders) is often perceived as a sign of declining state sovereignty. The very fact that ethnic ‘others’ are capable to cross state borders and are hard to control once inside the host state sets the stage for increasing concerns of the host populations about security.”28

The concept of anarchy, both in the international system and in the

receiving society, becomes salient. “The weaker this perceived [government]

capacity, the greater the likelihood that the incumbent groups will feel

uncertain and fearful for their future. Drawing on the security-dilemma logic,

the stronger the sense of anarchy, the stronger the likelihood that security will

be the primary concern of individuals and groups.”29 Formulating a tough state

security policy becomes a priority for the anti-migrant constituency.

Fear of approaching anarchy and fear of foreigners become interrelated.

A consequence is the spread of resentment--an emotional response to the

prospect that under anarchy social hierarchies may shift in favor of others.30

Most cases of ethnic targeting in the twentieth century involved such resentment, whether the regularity of pogroms against Jews in eastern Europe or the protracted economic subordination of Catholics in Northern Ireland. In 9 short, shifting social hierarchies produce the “sense of emerging anarchy and uncertainty about the future under weak ‘rules of the game.’”31

Similar logic was employed by Bauman to associate the rise of

xenophobia with the replacement of structures of solidarity by competition.

“Xenophobia, the growing suspicion of a foreign plot and resentment of

‘strangers’ (mostly of emigrants, those vivid and highly visible reminders that

walls can be pierced and borders effaced, natural effigies, asking to be burned,

of mysterious globalizing forces running out of control), can be seen as a

perverse reflection of desperate attempts to salvage whatever remains of local

solidarity.”32

In sum, “Immigration phobia in host societies is likely to be more

intense, the more acute perceptions of emergent anarchy, the more ambiguous

the sense of migrant intentions, and the more distinct and cohesive the

perceived ‘groupness’ of migrants.”33 The spread of Islamophobic attitudes is

partly the product of popular perceptions in the host society of the strong sense

of groupness that Muslim migrants preserve even as anarchic conditions

prevail in transnational migration.

The peril of securitizing migration is that it can bring about exactly that

which it is intended to prevent. “As in the case of spiraling arms races,

overrating of security threats arising from migration is likely to generate self-

fulfilling prophecies: The more migration is feared as a security threat, the

more of a security threat it becomes.”34 10

As EU policy makers concerned with managing immigration are aware of,

coercive measures against migrants can lead to the spiraling of illegal activity

and violence. The policy dilemma, then, that brings together domestic and

international factors appears as easy to conceptualize as it is difficult to

resolve: “the principal policy challenge is how to reduce the temptation and the

public pressure to ‘securitize’ immigration control while at the same time to

effectively manage migrant flows and unlock the social and economic potential

of migration.”35

A Case Study: the EU

In his book on EU Foreign and Interior Policies, international relations

expert Stephan Stetter was concerned with the question whether “the EU

‘allocates’ values which construct an inside and an outside.”36 He studied the

roles of three institutions—the European Commission, the EU Council

Secretariat, and the European Parliament—in formulating both outside

policies—towards the Middle East—and inside policies—on third country

nationals in the EU. He concluded that there was a common pattern of

evolution signaling that at the EU level international and domestic decision

making patterns cross-fertilized.

Stetter discovered that initially the European Commission’s policy

preferences on the Middle East were politically ambitious. But they were reined

in by political realities and in time replaced with a more technical, managerial

approach. The Commission concluded that its economic involvement in the 11 region had had important political results—the survival of the Palestinian

Authority and the modernization of some Arab countries. With regard to the

Commission’s interior policy, “a similar adaptation process from an initially ambitious and political agenda, which was based on a functionally unified approach to migration policies, was replaced by a more managerial, issue- orientated attitude.”37

The visibility of the Council Secretariat in foreign policy increased after

1996 with the activities of its Special Representative for the Middle East, then after 1999 with the appointment of a High Representative for Common Foreign and Security Policy. Similarly, in tandem with this, the Council Secretariat developed specific preferences on migration policies, taking on a more active, political role.

Finally the European Parliament’s priority in its Middle East policy has traditionally been democracy promotion and human rights—areas of less concern to the Commission and Secretariat. Stetter again found an apparent demonstration effect on interior policy making. “Turning to migration policies,

Parliament’s preferences show a remarkable similarity to those outlined on foreign policies. The lack of direct influence over executive policy-making has led Parliament to adopt a general skepticism with regard to the overall policy agenda in migration policies.”38

From the outset, the European Parliament attached greater attention to serving as a platform for the perspective and interests of migrants. Whether on the Middle East or migrants, “In both areas Parliament perceives its own role 12 as being a provider for alternative policy agendas to official EU policies as they are pursued by the EU executive.”39 Stetter’s explanation for the uncanny convergence of decision rules on interior and foreign policy by the EU’s three principal agents was not causality but cross-fertilization. At the EU level of governance, it appears that Stetter’s findings highlight the congruence between la politique du dehors avec les raisons du dedans. Can we go further and discover whether under certain conditions a state’s foreign policy may be dictated by religious and ethnic fears at home?

The internal logic of French foreign policy

For Jocelyn Evans, who employed the French expression above in his study of the influence of the Front National on France’s foreign policy, right- wing movements may target scapegoats who are simultaneously found abroad and at home. Muslim migrants and minorities at home are viewed by many FN supporters as mere extensions of Muslim states in the international arena.

They are therefore seen as posing an equal threat to national cohesion, national security, and the national interest.40

Of course the opposite perspective—of a natural coalescing of interests found at home and abroad—is just as plausible. Jacques Attali, special adviser to President Mitterand, remarked that “France may be Christian, Atlantic, and

European, but it is also Muslim, Mediterranean and African. And its future— like that of every great power—resides in the multiplicity of its connections, in the resolute acceptance of its ambiguities.”41 France’s special interest in the 13

Muslim and Mediterranean worlds is a product of its geographic proximity to

Arabic-speaking countries. Its extended period of contact with, and at times conquest of, these peoples, dating from the battle of Tours-Poitiers in 732 at which Franks defeated an army of the Umayyad Caliphate, has also had the effect of forging close links. Napoleon’s Egyptian Campaign (1798-1801) was the precursor for the military expedition to Algeria in 1830, setting the stage for l’Algérie française. Algeria became France’s “narrow door” to Africa. Based on an often wrenching history, France maintains an emotional attachment to the

Arab world. It seems unlikely that a sudden rise in anti-Muslim attitudes directed at those of migrant background at home can undo the influence of

France’s deep structures with the Islamic world.

One comparative study contrasted the “quite different and somewhat incompatible foreign policy models” of France and Germany. “France’s politique arabe sought to counter U.S. and Soviet influence in the region, showed a preference for Arab countries in the Middle East conflict, attempted to isolate

Islamist movements and was guided by strategic considerations that gave little value to the promotion of democracy.”42 By contrast, Germany’s ill-termed

Politik der Ausgewogenheit [“balanced policy”] “promoted U.S. primacy in the region, strongly supported Israel, sought to engage with Islamist movements and emphasized a premium to civil society contacts and democracy promotion.”43 French grand strategy was unlikely to be derailed by internal changes, whether in government or in public opinion.

14

From pro-Israeli to pro-Arab foreign policy

The history of France’s pro-Arab policy cannot be decoupled from an internal factor—the existence of anti-Semitism in the country through much of the twentieth century. The Dreyfus affair, sparked by the conviction in 1894 of

Alfred Dreyfus, a Jewish officer in the French military, for treason, exposed the country’s anti-Semitism. French society divided over the question of the patriotism of French Jews, and the controversy left an enduring mark on

French conceptions of identity, belonging, and national security. In the 1940s, the Vichy regime’s collaboration with the Third Reich, including help with the deportation of French Jews to extermination camps in eastern Europe, raised new questions about the uncertain status of the Jewish minority in France.

To be sure, France had thrown its support behind the 1924 Balfour

Declaration which envisaged an independent Jewish state in the Middle East.

France’s colonial policies in the Levant had alienated much of the Arab world.

Its recognition of the State of Israel in 1948 won it few friends in the Middle

East. If anti-Semitism remained a strong undercurrent in French society even after World War II, the country’s international politics were decidedly anti-Arab.

“Coupled with its war in Algeria, the Fourth Republic’s close ties with Israel made it a pariah in the eyes of Arab nationalist leaders.”44 French participation in the mismanaged 1956 invasion of Suez—an attempt to abort Arab nationalism as personified by Egyptian leader Gamul Abdel Nasser—furnished yet another example of Arabophobia in foreign policy. 15

If France’s relations with Arab states were strained, between 1948 and

1958 Fourth Republic governments embraced the new Israeli state, even transferring nuclear technology to it. At home the state made efforts to improve

French attitudes towards its Jewish minority. Up to the 1960s, enthusiasm for

“Franco-Israeli relations were one of the few foreign policy issues with a strong domestic resonance—both because of their implications for domestic attitudes to French Jews, and because of the existence of relatively well organized lobbies.”45

France’s close relationship with Israel was weakened by the Evian agreement of 1962, under which France ended its occupation of Algeria and granted it independence. The withdrawal was used by President Charles de

Gaulle to generally shift foreign policy priorities towards the non-aligned world and away from Europe, the Atlantic, and Israel. The end of the cordial Franco-

Israeli relationship came in 1967 following Israel’s rout of Arab states’ armies and the beginning of its occupation of Arab lands in the aftermath of the Six-

Day war. In response, President de Gaulle imposed an arms embargo on Israel.

It carried huge symbolic importance as well: “An undeniable by-product of de

Gaulle’s criticism of Israel in 1967 was the perception among many Arab leaders that this marked a decisive tilt in policy towards a ‘pro-Arab’ stance by

France.” De Gaulle’s “criticism of Israel provided French diplomats with both political capital and commercial leverage within the Arab world.”46 La politique arabe was to remain the cornerstone of French Middle East policy up until 16

2007. It preceded large-scale Muslim migration into the country. It ended shortly after French Islamophobia began to make a mark in national politics.

There were always limits to France’s support for secular republics in the

Arab world as well as a theocratic one in Iran. Affection for Saddam Hussein’s secular Iraqi state vanished when Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1991. President

Mitterand joined the U.S.-led coalition in driving the Iraqi military out of that

Gulf state. In addition, the French preference for laïcité at home was transplanted to the international arena and led to a repudiation of Iran after its

1979 revolution. Jean-Pierre Chevènement, defense minister in the late 1980s in a socialist government, had been a leading strategist behind the approach to back secular governments in Muslim states: “One of Chevènement’s longstanding central arguments has been for the need for French foreign policy to combat religious revivalism in the Maghreb and Middle East—not as an end in itself, but as a bulwark against the influence of Islamist groups within

France’s own population.”47

This approach was not yet a turning point in policy towards the Middle

East. After 1996 France expressed opposition to continued sanctions against

Saddam’s regime and President Chirac returned to a more traditional Gaullist foreign policy. He became one of the most outspoken critics of the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003 and was supported by major French enterprises, the upper civil service, and the vast majority of French citizens. Chirac contributed to the conceptualization of France as une puissance musulmane, earning him the nickname Chirac d’Arabie. The Maghreb in particular became the primary 17

destination for French aid, investment, and cooperation on military and

counterterrorism operations.

The Sarkozy shift

As presidential candidate in 2007, Sarkozy styled himself l’homme de

rupture—the leader who would break with the country’s past foreign policy. His

electoral campaign borrowed ideas from the Front National, notably promises of

harsher crackdowns on those involved in urban violence and deportation of

greater numbers of illegal immigrants. Such electoral rhetoric has not actually

been reflected in policy initiatives, however.

This has much to do with the way foreign policy is made. As in other

democratic states, different groups close to the president compete for influence.

The most influential group in the first years of the Sarkozy presidency was

made up of intellectuals, journalists, and business leaders who were pro-

American. Most were drawn from the ranks of the center-right party that

backed Sarkozy, Union pour la majorité présidentielle (UMP). Many of their ideas

were based on a book written by former UMP prime minister Edouard

Balladur.48 Thus France, like Israel, was defined as an axis of the Western world facing the same threats: , China, and Islam. France’s politique

arabe was a sellout of Western ideals. In order to face these threats squarely,

the French state had to stop promoting the interests of large corporations like

carmakers Peugeot-Citroën and Renault and oil companies like Total. But

another plausible consideration was to overhaul a culture in which “Arabs have 18

been accustomed to the cajolery of the French state, and the expected privilege

that goes with it.”49

This new strategic blueprint shared several features with the longstanding strategic thought of the Front National. One analyst summarized the FN view: “Muslim fundamentalism in North Africa and the Middle East is seen as a new strategic threat—missile launchers along the southern

Mediterranean coast could reach France, and proto-nuclear power Iran and illegal arms trading from the ex-Soviet Republics could supply weaponry to these countries.”50 Such strategic interests overrode domestic discontent with

growing Muslim communities, though “securitizing” them was the one way that

fears could have foreign policy resonance.

Strategic thinking was the purview of the foreign policy establishment.

The dominant group in Sarkozy’s presidency was what Hubert Védrine, former

socialist foreign affairs minister, dubbed occidentalo-atlantiste. Until Sarkozy’s

election, the term “Occidental” was prohibited from use in official reports. It

was a watershed, then, that in his first major speech on foreign policy in

August 2007, Sarkozy invoked the term seven times, including to warn about a

conflict with the Occident’s other, Islam. In the “White Book on Defense and

National Security” published in Sarkozy’s first year as president, Occident was

used 18 times, though it was not defined.51

Apart from closer ties with Washington, the second main axis of

Occidentalist policy involves changed relations with the Muslim world. To

some, Sarkozy embarked on reversing the policies of his Fifth Republic 19

predecessors. In a speech to French troops in Afghanistan in late 2007, for

example, he described the war in that country as the front line of a global war

on terror waged by the Occident. One writer noted how “For the first time, an

openly pro-Israeli presidential candidate made it to the Élysée…, making a

mockery of old conjectures about the communitarian electoral breakdown in

France: 6 million Muslims versus 600,000 Jews!”52

Under Sarkozy bilateral relations with Israel were strengthened. In late

2007 a Sarkozy aide met with leaders of Le Conseil représentatif des institutions

juives de France (CRIF) and announced that a Franco-Israeli alliance would be

“at the heart of the Mediterranean Union.” Sarkozy, whose grandfather was

Jewish, visited Israel in 2008 and expressed his sympathy for the suffering of

Israelis--without saying a word about Palestinians or occupation. Israel and

France were in the same democratic camp, he emphasized. He even “forgot” to read the phrase in his speech referring to a return to Israel’s pre-1967 borders.

Sarkozy also supported Israel’s bid to have closer relations with the EU, including having an annual meeting with the EU Council of Ministers as great powers like the U.S., Russia, and China enjoy. Arab states threatened to boycott the upcoming Mediterranean Union summit in retaliation. Shortly afterwards, an EU meeting diplomatically turned down the initiative to hold

EU-Israel annual meetings.53

In sum, President Sarkozy, who came in for increasing criticism of

conducting “Glampolitics,” made inroads in breaking with traditional Fifth

Republic foreign policy. But they should not be overestimated. The 20

Mediterranean Union may have been his most high profile achievement, but it was essentially an extension of existing French policy: “the Maghreb policy means essentially, for France, the management of immigration, the francophonie policy, the tolerance of human rights violations, and the defense of French economic interests.”54

Inflating the importance of Islamophobia

Much conventional thinking about French foreign policy priorities has it that both a phobia—anti-Israeli views—and a philia—pro-Arabism—have long been embraced by French political elites, if not necessarily by French society:

“In contrast to the foreign policy establishment and its determination to act and speak as though the national interest demanded siding with the Muslim

Middle East in all its issues and prejudices, public opinion in France has been in the main supportive of Israel and Jews generally, while wary of a ‘France musulmane.’”55 If the foreign policy elite has pursued la politique arabe—and we have identified the many caveats to it—then the Sarkozy shift may represent, among other things, a closer realignment with citizens’ political orientations.

Let us not overlook the individual level of analysis. The president is said to be sensitive to the interests of minorities and disadvantaged groups. Of

Hungarian origin with a Jewish background, Sarkozy was described by a

Senegalese Muslim woman appointed to his first cabinet this way: “He has always thought like someone from a minority. So that's why he understands 21

minorities so well: he thinks of himself as not completely French. He has a

particular sensitivity about that.”56 This may be reflected in his embrace of the

Mediterranean Union and even of a cultural Islam. At a ceremony at which he laid the cornerstone for an Islamic arts addition to the Louvre (financed largely by Saudi Arabia0, the president proclaimed that “Islam represents progress, science, finesse, modernity.”57

Personnel selection for his first cabinet—they were more conventional in

subsequent changes—also seemed to reflect his personal sensibilities. Half of

the appointments were women including several from minority background.

The Justice Minister became Rachida Dati, a Muslim Moroccan citizen. The

Urban Affairs Secretary was Fadela Amara, an Arab-rights activist and feminist

who belonged to the Socialist Party. The national secretary of the UMP was

Kacim Kellal, of Maghrebi ancestry, who was then appointed Deputy Minister

for Immigration, Integration, National Identity and Development Partnership.

His reason for accepting an appointment in a conservative party was revealing:

“Muslims are sick of having a dialogue only with the ministry of police.”58

The empirical basis for claiming a link between “Islamicization” of French

society and la politique arabe is flimsy. First, pro-Arab foreign policy predates

the arrival of millions of Muslims to France. Second, these Muslims do not vote

as a bloc. Third, Muslim communities are diverse in terms of their level of

assimilation into French society and their political orientations. In their

analysis of a possible Muslim domestic-foreign policy linkage, Lawrence and

Vaisse claimed that “The political impact of the Muslim population is very 22 minimal on foreign policy or the fight against terrorism.”59 Among reasons cited are that only about three of five Muslims in France are voting citizens. The issues they are interested in are employment, the economy, education, and discrimination.

The Muslim fact in France, then, has at most an impact on the margins of foreign policy. Laurence and Vaisse hypothesized that “The historical record of French policy in the Arab world since Charles de Gaulle suggests that

France’s position on international affairs would not look much different even if there were no Muslim minority in France.”60 We can add that it would not be much different if there were no politically influential Islamophobes in the country. To be sure, “While there is no evidence of the Muslim minority’s direct influence on French foreign policy, the presence of five million Muslims does have an indirect impact on diplomacy with respect to the Middle East. But it seems mostly to confirm France’s preexisting policies toward this region.”61

On the big issues, French Muslims and the French population at large have usually been in agreement. More than 70 per cent of both groups said that they worried about Islamism and that they believed there is no “conflict between being a devout Muslim and living in a modern society.” The two populations also expressed mutual respect: in 2004 close to two-thirds of all

French people thought favorably of Muslims—the highest such proportion of any of the western countries polled. Reciprocally, more Muslims had favorable views of Christians and Jews (91 per cent and 71 per cent, respectively) in 23

France than anywhere else. Mutual respect was slightly lower in a 2008 survey but it had fallen less in France than other European countries polled.62

Rejoining NATO’s military structure and fighting a war of attrition in

Afghanistan are Sarkozy’s policies that may split the Muslim minority from the

French mainstream. French sociologist Emmanuel Todd was especially critical of these initiatives and attributed them directly to Islamophobia. President

Sarkozy was joining the U.S. on a “mission of conquest” against Islam. France was

positioning [itself] in an ideological construction against the Muslim

world. This posture is also very much of a piece with Sarkozy's interior

politics.... The search for scapegoats, the emergence of an Islamophobic

ideology hostile to immigrant children...this is not in France's character.

In the final analysis, the French always prefer decapitating noblemen to

decapitating foreigners.63

This dubious hypothesized connection is as close as we have come to learning that French Islamophobes have hijacked French foreign policy. That is no more supported than the proposition that Muslim communities in the country have (a separate research question). At the same time, this does not discount the importance of exploring the domestic-international policy connection. “[D]omestic factors deserve a special attention in the study of world politics, as they influence national foreign-policy making….domestic factors often impact on whether the incentives, policies, and values promoted by the

‘West’ are acceptable. In other words, domestic factors related to political 24 identity may be decisive for the success of the EU’s normative power in world politics.”64

Among the many subtle influences of domestic structures on foreign policy is one in which not just systemic models—democracy or the free market—make an impact on other actors in the international system. The existence of harmonious relations between majority and Muslim populations at home can have a demonstration effect and be more meaningful to enhancing

French influence abroad than many forms of traditional diplomacy. Conversely,

French Islamophobia, such as it is, may not be an influential factor in shaping a country’s international politics, but it can have a spoiler effect.

Notes

1 Juliet Kaarbo, Jeffrey S. Lantis, and Ryan K. Beasley, “The Analysis of Foreign Policy in Comparative Perspective,” in Beasley, Kaarbo, Lantis, and Michael T. Snarr (eds.), Foreign Policy in Comparative Perspective: Domestic and International Influences on State Behavior (Washington, DC: CQ Press, 2002), 13. 2 Kaarbo, Lantis, and Beasley, “The Analysis of Foreign Policy in Comparative Perspective,” 14. 3 Ronald Rogowski, “Institutions as Constraints on Strategic Choice,” in David A. Lake and Robert Powell (eds.), Strategic Choice and International Relations (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1999), 133. 4 F.G. Bailey, Treasons, Strategems, and Spoils: How Leaders Make Practical Use of Beliefs and Values (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 2001), 9. 5 Bailey, Treasons, Strategems, and Spoils, 8. 6 The most recent major study is by Richard Ned Lebow, A Cultural Theory of International Relations (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2009). 7 Valerie M. Hudson, Foreign Policy Analysis: Classic and Contemporary Theory (Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield, 2006), 104. 8 Hudson, Foreign Policy Analysis, 109-110. 9 As with the semantics of rendering Marx’s statement that the economic base determines/shapes/conditions the ideological superstructure, so too culture’s impact on foreign policy can be that of determining, shaping, or conditioning—depending on how much causality we choose to impute. 10 K.F. Wilkening, “Culture and Japanese Citizen Influence on the Transboundary Air Pollution Issue in Northeast Asia,” Political Psychology 20, no. 4 (1999), 8. 25

11 Kal J. Holsti, “National Role Conceptions in the Study of Foreign Policy,” International Studies Quarterly 14 (1970), 233-309. 12 Hudson, Foreign Policy Analysis, 116. 13 Hudson, Foreign Policy Analysis, 120-21. 14 Hudson, Foreign Policy Analysis, 122. 15 Zuhair Kashmeri, The Gulf Within: Canadian Arabs, Racism and the Gulf War (Toronto: Lorimer, 1991), 126ff. 16 See Yossi Shain and Aharon Barth, “Diasporas and International Relations Theory,” International Organization, 57, no. 3 (2003), 449-479. 17 Sami Aoun, “Muslim Communities: The Pitfalls of Decision-Making in Canadian Foreign Policy,” in David Carment and David Bercuson (eds.), The World in Canada: Diaspora, Demography, and Domestic Politics (Montreal: McGill-Queen’s University Press, 2008), 116. 18 Aoun, “Muslim Communities,” 121. 19 Christina Schori Liang, “Europe for the Europeans: The Foreign and Security Policy of the Populist Radical Right,” in Liang (ed.), Europe for the Europeans: The Foreign and Security Policy of the Populist Radical Right (Aldershot: Ashgate, 2007), 20. 20 J.L. Granatstein, “Multiculturalism and Canadian Foreign Policy,” in Carment and Bercuson, The World in Canada, 79. 21 James Travers, “Underscoring a Message of Zero Tolerance,” Toronto Star (14 July 2005. Quoted by Granatstein, “Multiculturalism and Canadian Foreign Policy,” 90. 22 D.A. Baldwin, “The Concept of Security,” Review of International Studies, 23, no. 1 (2005), 5-26. 23 Nana Poku and David T. Graham (eds.), Redefining Security: Population Movements and National Security (Westport, CT: Praeger, 1998), xv. 24 Mohammed Ayoob, “The International Security System and the Third World,” in William C. Olson (ed.), Theory and Practice of International Relations, 9th edn. (Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1994), 225. 25 Roger D. Petersen, Understanding Ethnic Violence: Fear, Hatred, and Resentment in Twentieth Century Eastern Europe (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2002). 26 Mikhail A. Alexseev, Immigration Phobia and the Security Dilemma: Russia, Europe, and the United States (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2006), 20. 27 Alexseev, Immigration Phobia and the Security Dilemma, 38. 28 Alexseev, Immigration Phobia and the Security Dilemma, 40. 29 Alexseev, Immigration Phobia and the Security Dilemma, 41. 30 Petersen, Understanding Ethnic Violence, 56. 31 Alexseev, Immigration Phobia and the Security Dilemma, 43. 32 Zygmunt Bauman, Europe: An Unfinished Adventure (New York: Polity Press, 2004), 99. 33 Alexseev, Immigration Phobia and the Security Dilemma, 69. 34 Alexseev, Immigration Phobia and the Security Dilemma, 227-28. 35 Alexseev, Immigration Phobia and the Security Dilemma, 233. 36 Stephan Stetter, EU Foreign and Interior Policies: Cross-pillar Politics and the Social Construction of Sovereignty (London: Routledge, 2007), 37. 37 Stetter, EU Foreign and Interior Policies, 148. 38 Stetter, EU Foreign and Interior Policies, 163. 39 Stetter, EU Foreign and Interior Policies, 168. 40 Jocelyn Evans, “‘La politique du dehors avec les raisons du dedans:’ foreign and defence policy of the French Front National,” in Philippe Burrin and Christina Schori- 26

Liang (eds.), European Right-Wing Populism and Foreign Policy (Aldershot: Ashgate, 2007). 41 Jacques Attali, “A Continental Architecture,” in Peter Gowan and Perry Anderson (eds.), The Question of Europe (London: Verso, 1997), 355. 42 Timo Behr, “Enduring Differences? France, Germany and Europe’s Middle East Dilemma,” Journal of European Integration, 30, no. 1 (March 2008), 83. 43 Behr, “Enduring Differences?” 83. 44 David Styan, France and Iraq: Oil, Arms and French Policy Making in the Middle East (New York: I.B. Tauris, 2006), 31. 45 Styan, France and Iraq, 34. 46 Styan, France and Iraq, 46, 50. 47 Styan, France and Iraq, 199. See Jean-Pierre Chevènement, Le vert et le noir: intégrisme, pétrole, dollar (Paris: B. Grasset, 1995). He was close to leading French Orientalist Jacques Berque. 48 Edouard Balladur, Pour une Union occidentale entre l’Europe et les Etats-Unis (Fayard, Paris, 2007). 49 David Pryce-Jones, Betrayal: France, the Arabs, and the Jews (New York: Encounter Books, 2006), 151. 50 Jocelyn A.J. Evans, “‘La politique du dehors avec les raisons du dedans:’ Foreign and Defense Policy of the French Front National,” in Liang, Europe for the Europeans, 135. 51 Le Livre blanc sur la défense et la sécurité nationale (Paris: Odile Jacob—La Documentation française, Juin 2008). 52 Frédéric Encel, “France-Israël: Passé et present d’une relation spéciale,” l’Essentiel des relations internationals, (Juin-Juillet 2008), 79. 53 Alain Gresh, “OTAN, Proche-Orient, Afrique... Enquête sur le virage de la diplomatie française,” Le Monde Diplomatique (Juillet 2008), 1, 8-9, http://www.monde- diplomatique.fr/2008/07/GRESH/16104. 54 Jean-François Daguzan, “France and the Maghreb: The End of the Special Relationship?” in Yahia H. Zoubir and Haizam Amirah-Fernández, North Africa: Politics, Region, and the Limits of Transformation (London: Routledge, 2008), 335. 55 Pryce-Jones, Betrayal, 132-33. 56 Doug Sanders, “Five women and 365 days,” Globe and Mail (May 9, 2008). 57 Cited in Ivan Rioufol, “‘La France veut la paix’ (mais à quell prix?),” Le Figaro (18 July 2008). 58 Quoted in “Allocution de M. Brice Hortefeux, ministre de l’immigration, de l’intégration, de l’identité nationale et du développement solidaire lors des Journées de la Coopération internationale et du développement,” Maison de la Mutualité, Paris (25- 26 août 2008), at http://www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/fr/article_imprim.php3?id_article=65683 59 Jonathan Laurence and Justin Vaisse, Integrating Islam: Political and Religious Challenges in Contemporary France (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2008), 218. 60 Laurence and Vaisse, Integrating Islam, 219. 61 Laurence and Vaisse, Integrating Islam, 221. 62 Pew Global Attitudes Project, “Unfavorable Views of Jews and Muslims on the Increase in Europe” (17 September 2008), at http://pewglobal.org/reports/pdf/262.pdf 27

63 From Emmanuel Todd interview in Marianne2.fr (3 April 2008). For an English summary, see Alex Lantier, “France moves towards reintegration into NATO,” Global Research (19 March 2009), at http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=12801 64 Raffaella A. Del Sarto, Contested State Identities and Regional Security in the Euro- Mediterranean Area (Basingstoke: Palgrave, 2006), 233.