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Table of ConTenTs Message from the President and CEO of PICMET .............2-3 Washington Park ............................................................. 19 Oregon Zoo ............................................................... 19 PICMET ’11 Japanese Garden ....................................................... 19 Executive Committee ........................................................ 4 World Forestry Center ............................................. 19 Acknowledgments ............................................................. 5 Hoyt Arboretum ....................................................... 19 Advisory Council ............................................................. 5 International Rose Test Garden ............................... 20 Program Committee .......................................................... 6 Willamette Jet Boat Excursions ...................................... 20 LTM Award Recipients ..................................................... 7 Medal of Excellence .......................................................... 8 Shopping ......................................................................... 20 PICMET Fellows ............................................................... 9 Downtown Portland ................................................. 20 Northwest/Nob Hill ................................................. 20 PICMET ’11 AwArds Pearl District ............................................................ 20 Student Paper Award ................................................. 10-11 Portland’s Mall Scene .............................................. 20 LTM Award ...................................................................... 12 Medal of Excellence ........................................................ 13 Ieee tmC reCePtIon .............................................................. 21 GenerAl InformAtIon soCIAl events Conference Focus ............................................................ 14 Reception / Buffet ........................................................... 22 Who Should Attend ........................................................ 14 Dinner at Director Park ................................................... 22 Program ............................................................................ 14 Awards Banquet .............................................................. 22 Publications ..................................................................... 14 Registration Policy .......................................................... 14 sIte vIsIts Session and Paper Designations ..................................... 15 Daimler Trucks North America ...................................... 23 Presentation Guidelines .................................................. 15 Shorepower Technologies / Redcloud EV / Audio/Visual Equipment ................................................ 15 Clearedge Power .............................................................. 23 Wireless Access ............................................................... 15 Tektronix. ........................................................................ 23 PICMET Volunteers ......................................................... 15 teChnICAl ProGrAm CIty of roses Program Overview .......................................................... 24 Getting Around Portland ................................................ 16 The Papers ....................................................................... 24 Airport Transportation .................................................... 16 The Schedule .................................................................. 24 Climate ............................................................................. 16 Monday Schedule ........................................................... 26 Gratuities ......................................................................... 16 Tuesday Schedule ........................................................... 27 Travel Oregon .................................................................. 16 Wednesday Schedule ...................................................... 28 Portland Events ............................................................... 16 Thursday Schedule ......................................................... 29 First Thursday Gallery Walk ................................... 16 Schedule of Sessions by Date .................................... 30-33 Flicks on the Bricks ................................................. 17 Schedule of Sessions by Room .................................. 33-37 Noon Tunes Summer Concert Series ...................... 17 Personal Schedule ........................................................... 38 Oregon Brewers Festival .......................................... 17 Oregon Zoo Summer Concerts ................................ 17 PlenAry sessIons ............................................................... 39-44 Portland Saturday Market ....................................... 17 Portland Timbers Soccer ......................................... 17 Phd ColloquIum ..................................................................... 45 Saturday Portland Farmers Market ......................... 17 tutorIAls ........................................................................... 46-49 Wednesday Portland Farmers Market ..................... 17 sPeCIAl sessIons Country Representatives Meeting .................................. 49 PortlAndAttrACtIons Picmet ’11 and ’12 Planning Session ............................. 49 Art Galleries .................................................................... 18 sessIons............................................................................ 50-115 Oregon Historical Society ............................................... 18 Author Index ................................................................. 116-121 Oregon Museum of Science and Industry ..................... 18 floor lAyout of the hIlton hotel..................................... 122 Pittock Mansion .............................................................. 18 Portland Art Museum ..................................................... 18 Portland Classical Chinese Garden ................................ 18 Portland Spirit ................................................................. 18 Portland Walking Tours .................................................. 18 Powell’s City of Books .................................................... 19 Tom McCall Waterfront Park .......................................... 19 1 PICMeT ’11 government agencies from around the world. The authors rep- resent about 300 organizations in 37 countries. The PICMET ’11 Conference has two outputs: This Conference Bulletin includes an up to 200-word abstract Dear PICMET Guests: of each paper to enable the participants to select the sessions to attend and the presentations to follow. The Bulletin is intend- It is a great pleasure for us to welcome you to PICMET ’11. ed as a reference book for an overview of the field, in general, and the conference, in particular. As the global economic growth becomes increasingly de- pendent on energy, we are learning to The Proceedings is a flash drive containing full-length presen- move from an energy-hungry world to tations included in the conference. Its purpose is to give full an energy-smart world. The realization access to the entire conference for many years after the con- of the scarcity of resources, the envi- ference is over. The Proceedings is divided into 46 sections, ronmental concerns about the future of listed below, each containing several papers on the topic of the planet, the race toward increasing the section. technical capabilities by pushing away technological barriers, the pressure to • Technology Management Framework maintain an economically feasible en- • Strategic Management of Technology ergy portfolio to become the engine for growth, the social impacts of the de- • Science and Technology Policy velopment and deployment of energy • Technology Management Collaborations technologies, and the political realities • Technology and Industry Convergence and constraints are all contributing to making energy the focus • Technology Forecasting of attention throughout the world. • Technology Roadmapping PICMET defines the primary role of Technology Management • Technology Planning as the management of the technologies to assure that they work • Technology Assessment and Evaluation for the betterment of humankind. Development of energy poli- • Technology Adoption cies, identification of the appropriate energy technologies for a sustainable future, evaluation of existing and emerging en- • Technology Diffusion ergy technologies along STEEP (social, technical, economic, • Technology Transfer environmental and political) dimensions are the drivers in the • New Product Development Management energy-smart world. These are all in the domain of Technology • New Venture Management Management. • Technology Marketing It is the responsibility of the Technology Management commu- • Decision Making in Technology Management nity to guide technology effectively to provide the world with • Social Networks the framework to respond to the changes taking place around • Technology Management Education us, and to move continuously toward better futures through innovation and technology development. • Entrepreneurship/Intrapreneurship • Technical Organizations and Workforce This is a big challenge for the leaders and emerging