As Far As Numbers Are Concerned, We Are Beaten
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www.ssoar.info "As far as Numbers are concerned, we are beaten": Finis Galliae and the Nexus between Fears of Depopulation, Welfare Reform, and the Military in France during the Third Republic, 1870-1940 Dörr, Nikolas Veröffentlichungsversion / Published Version Zeitschriftenartikel / journal article Zur Verfügung gestellt in Kooperation mit / provided in cooperation with: GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften Empfohlene Zitierung / Suggested Citation: Dörr, N. (2020). "As far as Numbers are concerned, we are beaten": Finis Galliae and the Nexus between Fears of Depopulation, Welfare Reform, and the Military in France during the Third Republic, 1870-1940. Historical Social Research, 45(2), 68-113. https://doi.org/10.12759/hsr.45.2020.2.68-113 Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Dieser Text wird unter einer CC BY Lizenz (Namensnennung) zur This document is made available under a CC BY Licence Verfügung gestellt. Nähere Auskünfte zu den CC-Lizenzen finden (Attribution). For more Information see: Sie hier: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.de “As far as Numbers are concerned, we are beaten” Finis Galliae and the Nexus between Fears of Depopulation, Welfare Reform, and the Military in France during the Third Republic, 1870-1940 Nikolas Dörr∗ Abstract: »Was die Zahlen betrifft, sind wir geschlagen” Finis Galliae und der Zu- sammenhang zwischen der Angst vor Entvölkerung, Wohlfahrtsstaatsreformen und dem Militär in Frankreich während der Dritten Republik, 1870-1940«. After the defeat in the Franco-Prussian War in 1871 and the cession of large parts of Alsace and Lorraine, the recapturing of the lost territories became a key objec- tive of French politics. The strengthening of the French military was therefore of high importance in the Third Republic. But it quickly became obvious that the French army had to not only face Germany, but another opponent: the de- cline in the number of recruits who were fit for military service. The main rea- son for this development was the sharp fall of birth rates since the mid-19th century in comparison with other European nations. The low birth rates were followed by warnings about their possible negative consequences for the French army and the country’s standing in the world. Pronatalist lobby organi- zations and family associations used and sought to intensify the massive de- population anxiety (“finis galliae”) to increase the pressure on political actors to implement welfare measures such as child benefits, tax reliefs for large fami- lies, and improvements in maternal and infant protection. But only after the First World War were pronatalist welfare state measures implemented on a larger scale. During the Vichy regime, pronatalism eventually became a state ideology. Although French pronatalism in general can be considered a well- researched topic, its military dimension is still a desideratum. This article is an approach to fill this academic void by analysing the nexus between welfare re- form, population development, and the military from the beginning of the Third French Republic to the end of the Vichy regime. Keywords: Pronatalism, birth rate, family policy, demography, conscription, welfare, depopulation, maternity protection. ∗ Nikolas Dörr, SOCIUM - Research Center on Inequality and Social Policy, University of Bremen, Mary Somerville Straße 5, 28359 Bremen, Germany; [email protected]. Historical Social Research 45 (2020) 2, 68-113 │ published by GESIS DOI: 10.12759/hsr.45.2020.2.68-113 1. Introduction On 16th January 1883, the London Times published a much-noted article on the fear of a “Finis Galliae” (The end of Gaul) in France, which had been trig- gered by French Interior Minister René Goblet’s report on the census.1 Goblet had characterised France’s increasingly troubling demographic development as a threat to the country’s security. He particularly outlined the growing gap between France’s, other major European powers’, and the United States’ popu- lation and pointed to his country’s declining birth rate as the main source of the problem. The minister explicitly warned President Jules Grévy, who was the addressee of this report, of a “Finis Galliae” (Teitelbaum 2018, 195). This Latin expression describes the approaching end of Gaul in times of national crisis, with Gaul meaning modern France. In French history, “Finis Galliae” has been and still is a recurring expression of the fear of the motherland’s col- lapse. Its use became more frequent after the German Empire defeated France in 1871 (Overath 2006b, 52). Because of the country’s comparatively low birth rate, fears of a “Finis Galliae” remained present during the entire time of the Third French Republic. They reached an all-time high after the First World War and were especially prevalent in fascist Italy and National Socialist Ger- many’s pronatalist policies. Just a few years before the end of the Third Repub- lic, in January 1937, Minister and later head of government Paul Reynaud summed up these fears in his speech in the Chamber of Deputies: There is a single factor which dominates everything: the demographic factor. Forty-one million Frenchmen face sixty-seven million Germans and forty- three million Italians, these last two countries linked by the Berlin-Rome axis […] As far as numbers are concerned we are beaten. (Tomlinson 1985, 412) Compared to Germany and Great Britain, France lagged behind when it came to welfare state development (Schmidt 2005, 182).2 The German social security system in particular proved to be an advantage, with France scurrying to keep up. A notable exception, however, was the pronatalist family policy: France played a pioneering role in this area of the welfare state. Child benefits, tax reliefs for large families, as well as measures for maternal and infant protection were implemented earlier and more extensively than in similar European coun- tries. Central reasons behind these policies, which were introduced while the country was caught up in depopulation anxiety, were of a military nature, be- cause “population growth was perceived as a guarantee of military and political 1 The Times, 16th January 1883. 2 Accident insurance was introduced in 1898, old-age insurance in 1910, and the health insurance in 1928. An exception is the early introduction of the, at that time very rudimen- tary, unemployment insurance in 1905. HSR 45 (2020) 2 │ 69 power” (Gauthier 1998, 13). A comprehensive social security system was how- ever only introduced after the First World War, when in addition to the con- flict’s consequences, the reintegration of Alsace and Lorraine, where Bis- marck's social security system acted as a role model, played a key role in the development of the French welfare state (Lechevalier 2001, 91). Marie-Monique Huss defines three central motives for the implementation of pronatalist policies in France: a) a general fear of the extinction of the French people, b) social-moral motives, which were primarily aimed at curbing child mortality, and c) conservative values including an opposition to contra- ception, pornography, and abortion (Huss 1990, 40). This list does not include one central motive: conserving or enhancing the military’s efficiency by in- creasing the birth rate, and must therefore be amended. This paper analyses the connection between pronatalist policies, the fear of a depopulation of France, and military performance; it focuses on the Third French Republic (1870- 1940). Contrary to the standard thesis that state institutions in France would have hampered rather than promoted the introduction and expansion of the welfare state (Nord 1994, 821f.), this article argues that the French state has promoted social policies out of military necessity. This is particularly true for the pronatalist family policy. The nexus between the military, the welfare state, and the fears of a depopulation of France during the Third Republic is therefore the focus of this article. 2. The Development of Pronatalism in France Pronatalism generally refers to policies and strategies initiated by the state that promote births (Gilbert 2005, 20ff). Moreover, in the French context, pronatal- ism can be understood as an ideology that has shaped politics, culture, and society, especially in the second half of the 19th and during the 20th century. Pronatalism has a long tradition in France.3 King Louis XIV, at the instigation of his finance minister Jean Baptiste Colbert, had already issued an edict that exempted fathers of more than ten children from all taxes for life as early as 1666.4 At the same time, emigration – with the exception of Frenchmen want- ing to move to French colonies – was banned in order to minimize the popula- tion’s decline (Glass 1967, 91f.). During the French Revolution, there were initiatives aimed at penalizing a celibate life. Proposals even included forcing unmarried men in certain age groups to wear ridiculous-looking clothing in order to increase public pressure for procreating. Another suggestion was for 3 For more on French pronatalism from the 16th to the 18th century, see Tuttle 2010. 4 The edict is printed in Tuttle 2010, 187f. HSR 45 (2020) 2 │ 70 them to shoulder the double tax burden and not be allowed to enter the civil service (Ogden and Huss 1982, 286f.). Some of these proposals were made directly in the National Convention; they were nevertheless not signed into law. But their existence does reveal how sensitive the topic of depopulation was in France in the 17th and 18th century. A system of compulsory military service was introduced for the first time with the “levée en masse” (mass national conscription) in 1793. The resulting conscription contributed significantly to the French victories in the Revolution- ary Wars. Here, the first connections between military benefits and welfare state measures were made. For example, only unmarried men had to do military service. A few years later, when the military service was extended to married men, they received extra payments for their wives and all children under the age of twelve (Dutton 1999, 441f.).