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Syria, Third Quarter 2018: Update on Incidents According to The SYRIA, THIRD QUARTER 2018: Update on incidents according to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) - Updated 2nd edition compiled by ACCORD, 20 December 2018 Number of reported incidents with at least one fatality Number of reported fatalities National borders: GADM, November 2015a; administrative divisions: GADM, November 2015b; incid- ent data: ACLED, 15 December 2018; coastlines and inland waters: Smith and Wessel, 1 May 2015 SYRIA, THIRD QUARTER 2018: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) - UPDATED 2ND EDITION COMPILED BY ACCORD, 20 DECEMBER 2018 Contents Conflict incidents by category Number of Number of reported fatalities 1 Number of Number of Category incidents with at incidents fatalities Number of reported incidents with at least one fatality 1 least one fatality Remote violence 2013 316 1354 Conflict incidents by category 2 Battles 694 390 3339 Development of conflict incidents from January 2017 to September 2018 2 Strategic developments 562 2 3 Riots/protests 353 0 0 Methodology 3 Violence against civilians 276 135 506 Conflict incidents per province 4 Non-violent activities 57 0 0 Localization of conflict incidents 4 Headquarters established 13 0 0 Total 3968 843 5202 Disclaimer 7 This table is based on data from ACLED (datasets used: ACLED, 15 December 2018). Development of conflict incidents from January 2017 to September 2018 This graph is based on data from ACLED (datasets used: ACLED, 15 December 2018). 2 SYRIA, THIRD QUARTER 2018: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) - UPDATED 2ND EDITION COMPILED BY ACCORD, 20 DECEMBER 2018 Methodology Geographic map data is primarily based on GADM, complemented with other sources if necessary. ACLED’s location data is then used to locate incidents in these The data used in this report was collected by the Armed Conflict Location & Event maps. Incidents that could not be located are ignored. The numbers included in this Data Project (ACLED). ACLED collects data on reported conflict events in selected overview might therefore differ from the original ACLED data. ACLED uses varying African and Asian countries, Syria being among them. ACLED researchers collect degrees of geographic precision for the individual incidents, depending on what event data from a variety of sources and code them by date, location, agent, and level of detail is reported. Thus, towns may represent the wider region in which event type. an incident occured, or the provincial capital may be used if only the province is known. Erroneous location data, especially due to identical place names, cannot be fully excluded. Most of the data collected by ACLED is gathered based on publicly available, secondary reports. It may therefore underestimate the volume of events. Fatality Incidents comprise the following categories: battles, headquarters or bases es- data particularly is vulnerable to bias and inaccurate reporting, and ACLED states tablished, non-violent strategic activities, riots/protests, violence against civilians, to use the most conservative estimate available. ACLED uses the reports’ context non-violent transfer of territory, remote violence. For details on these categories, to estimate fatalities for events with reported fatalities for which the exact number please see is unknown (“10” for plural fatalities, “100” if “hundreds” are mentioned, etc.). For further details on ACLED and for the full data, see www.acleddata.com and Raleigh; Linke; Hegre, and Karlsen, 2010. • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) Codebook; ACLED - ASIA, 2015 http://www.acleddata.com/wp- content/uploads/2015/07/ACLED_ Based on this data, the Austrian Centre for Country of Origin & Asylum Research Codebook_2015_ASIA-CR.pdf and Documentation (ACCORD) compiles updates on conflict incidents and pub- lishes them on ecoi.net to offer another access point to the ACLED datasets. • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) Codebook, 2017 This 2nd edition replaces the previously published overviews on the same reporting http://www.acleddata.com/wp- content/uploads/2017/01/ACLED_ period and is based on updated ACLED data. Codebook_2017.pdf It is advised to employ extreme caution when using fatality numbers. • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: User Guide, January 2017 Assessments of the security situation should not be based solely on quantitative http://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ACLED_User- analysis of event data. Guide_2017.pdf The two maps above serve to compare the number of reported fatalities (poten- tially containing estimates) to the number of events with reported fatalities. 3 SYRIA, THIRD QUARTER 2018: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) - UPDATED 2ND EDITION COMPILED BY ACCORD, 20 DECEMBER 2018 Conflict incidents per province are taken from GADM data which serves as the basis for the maps above. Number of In Al asakah, 122 incidents killing 224 people were reported. The following Number of Number of Province incidents with locations were among the affected: A’frah, Abu Hamdah, Abu Khashab, Al incidents fatalities fatalities Duwaym, Al Maylibiyah, Al-Hasakeh, Al-Hasakeh - Al Mufti, Al-Hasakeh - Al Al asakah 122 50 224 Rusafa, Al-Hasakeh - Ghoweran, Al-Hasakeh - Msheirfeh, Al-Malikeyyeh, Aleppo 570 119 471 Amuda, Bab al Kheir, Dashishah, Fadghami, Hajiyah Kabirah, Jabal Abdulaziz, Khuwaybirah, Madinah, Markada, Quamishli, Ras Al Ain, Ar Raqqah 67 27 61 Shadadah, Tal Hmis, Tal Shayr, Tal Tamer, Tall Sakrah, Tell Halaf. As Suwayda’ 77 34 543 Damascus 52 1 1 In Aleppo, 570 incidents killing 471 people were reported. The following Dar‘a 409 96 967 locations were among the affected: 135th Brigade Army Base, A’rima, A’wejel, Dayr Az Zawr 405 186 1374 Abyan Saman, Abzemo, Afrin, Aghtrin, Ain al Arab, Ain al Arab Air Base, Al Hamah 856 51 163 Bab, Al Hajaliyeh, Al Salameh, Al-Bohouth al-Elmia, Al-Eis, Al-Malikeyyeh, Al-Mallah, Al-Rashdeen, Aleppo, Aleppo - Al-Aziziyah, Aleppo - Al-Khaldiya, Hims 27 11 71 Aleppo - Al-Layramoun, Aleppo - Al-Mohafaza, Aleppo - Al-Nile, Aleppo - Idlib 981 172 514 Al-Shuhada, Aleppo - Al-Zahraa, Aleppo - Andalus, Aleppo - Halab Lattakia 150 17 98 Al-Jadida, Aleppo - Hamadaniyeh, Aleppo - International Airport, Aleppo - Quneitra 136 13 93 Jibreen, Aleppo - Old Aleppo, Aleppo - Ramousa, Aleppo - Shahabaa, Rif Dimashq 109 61 598 Aleppo - Tishreen, Andan, Anjara, Ar-Ra’ee, Atareb, Azaz, Babis, Banes, Barad, Barna, Barqum, Bashmra, Bassilhaya, Basuta, Baza’a, Big Orm, Big Tartus 7 5 24 Othmaniya, Bir Tafreeah, Bishqatine, Biyanoun, Breij, Bshantra, Bulbul, Burj Haydar, Buwaybiyah, Byanun, Dadat, Daret Azza, Deir Jamal, Ein Daqneh, Enab, Fafertin, Handarat, Harbal, Haritan, Hayyan, Hur, Huwair al-Eis, Localization of conflict incidents ICARDA Research Facility, Ibbin, Ihtaymilat, Jandairis, Jarablus, Jazraya, Jdideh, Jeineh, Kafr Aleppo, Kafr Hamra, Kafr Janna, Kafr Nabu, Kafr Naha, Note: The following list is an overview of the incident data included in the ACLED Kafr Naseh Elatareb, Kafr Noran, Kaljibrin, Khalil, Khalsa, Khan Al-Asal, dataset. More details are available in the actual dataset (date, location data, event Khan Tuman, Kreidiyeh, Little Sukariyeh, Ma’btali, Mansoura, Maratet Um type, involved actors, information sources, etc.). The data’s precision varies among Hosh, Mare’, Meidan Ekbis, Menagh - Military Airport, Menbij, Meydanki, the incidents: a town may represent a region, or the provincial capital may be Mreimin Afrin, Nabul, Qabasin, Qabtan Eljabal, Qebtan al Jabal, Qirata, used if the precise location of an incident is unkown. In the following list, the names Rael, Raju, Regiment 46 - Military Base, Retyan, Rif al-Mohandessin al-Awal, of event locations are taken from ACLED, while the administrative region names Sad Al-Shahba, Sahara, Sajur, Sandara, Sayada, Shadyanli, Shamarin, 4 SYRIA, THIRD QUARTER 2018: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) - UPDATED 2ND EDITION COMPILED BY ACCORD, 20 DECEMBER 2018 Sharan, Sheikh Ali, Sheikh Najjar, Sheikh al-Hadid, Sihriyanli, Sosyan, Tadaf, Qirata, Rudaymat al Liwa, Sahm El Golan, Sahm El Golan Dam, Sahwa, Tal Ahmar, Tal Bajer, Tal Heddiyeh, Tal Mamu, Tal Msebin, Taladil, Tall Refaat, Samlin, Sayda, Shabraq, Sheikh Miskine, Sheikh Saed, Sukariyeh, Tafas, Tal Tanab, Tokhar, Turandah, Urum al-Kubra, Urum al-Sughra, Western Kafr Shihab, Tall Ishtra, Tall Saada, Tall al Jabiyah, Tall al Jumou, Tassil, Tiba, Um Jum, Zahraa, Zarbah, Zeitan, Zmar. Elmayathen, Um Walad, Western Ghariyeh, Yadudeh, Yarmouk Basin, Zamrin, Zayzun. In Ar Raqqah, 67 incidents killing 61 people were reported. The following locations were among the affected: 93rd Brigade Army Base, Al Tabqa, In Dayr Az Zawr, 405 incidents killing 1374 people were reported. The following Al-Tabqa Dam, Ar-Raqqa, Ar-Raqqa - Al-Batani, Ar-Raqqa - Al-Dar’eiyah, locations were among the affected: Abu Hamam, Abu Hardoub, Abu Hasan, Ar-Raqqa - Hisham Bin Abdul Malik, Ar-Raqqa - Maamoun, Ar-Raqqa - Abul Nitel, Al Mayadin, Al Shanan, Al Sijri, Al-Bahra, Al-Bukamal, Tishrine, Artawaziya, Aslim al Barashmeh, Ein Issa, Hammam al Turkman, Al-Hawayij, Al-Hawi, Al-Hussainiyah, Al-Kashma, Al-Omar Oil Field, Karama, Kasrat Faraj, Ratlah, Sawsak, Suluk, Tell Abiad, Western Jaabar, Al-Sayjan - Oil Field, Al-Sayyal, Al-Shola,
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