2016 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College
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Staff EDITOR-IN-CHIEF Kristin A. Wagner MANAGING EDITORS Ryan Gardiner Kevin Moss John Powell ASSOCIATE EDITORS Basma Alloush Alen Amini Joseph Ataman Laura Cuellar Satgin Hamrah Dana Hansen Ahmed Izzidien Mahmoud Jabari Morgan McDaniel Acknowledgments Donations provided in support of the Journal of Middle Eastern Politics and Policy are tax deductible as a nonprofit gift under Harvard University’s IRS 501 (c) (3) status. Contributions should specify “for use The Journal of Middle Eastern Politics and Policy would like to thank a number of individuals and institu- only by the Journal of Middle Eastern Politics and Policy” in order to facilitate the required accounting tions whose support proved invaluable to the production of this fifth edition. These include Martha Foley, procedures. publisher; Richard Parker, faculty advisor; and the HKS Journals Office, without whose patient guid- ance none of this would have been possible. Additionally, we would like to thank Hilary Rantisi, Krysten All views expressed in the Journal of Middle Eastern Politics and Policy are those of the authors or inter- Hartman, Chris Mawhorter, and the entire Middle East Initiative staff for their generous contributions to viewees only and do not represent the views of Harvard University, the John F. Kennedy School of Gov- the journal’s long-term sustainability and strategic vision; as well as the Wiener Center and all those who ernment at Harvard University, the staff of the Harvard Journal of Middle Eastern Politics and Policy, the participated in this year’s editors’ workshops. We would especially like to thank our staff for its commit- executive advisory board of the Harvard Journal of Middle Eastern Politics and Policy, or any associates ment, hard work, and attentiveness to detail, consistently demonstrated throughout the editing process. of the journal. © 2016 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College. All rights reserved. Except as otherwise specified, no article or portion herein is to be reproduced or adapted to other works without the expressed written consent of the editors of the Harvard Journal of Middle Eastern Politics and Policy. Cover photo by Kristin A. Wagner. ISSN: 2165-9117 Contents Letter from the Editor 1. Letter from the Editor 23. Energy and Politics in the Eastern By Kristin A. Wagner Mediterranean: Ramifications of We are pleased to present the fifth edition of the ents a critique on its superficiality. With an eye Cypriot Peace Talks Journal of Middle Eastern Politics and Policy on Turkey’s destabilized southern border region, INTERVIEWS By Serhat S. Çubukçuoğlu (JMEPP). JMEPP’s mission is to provide cut- Joseph Sadek provides commentary on the polit- ting-edge analysis on issues of policy relevance ical and geostrategic jostling between Turkey and 2. Iraq, Daesh, and Security in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) its Kurdish population, as well as the complex rela- Implications: Interview with 27. Women in the Men’s House: region. Our Spring 2016 volume encapsulates tionships between Turkey, the PKK, and Syrian Speaker of the Iraqi Parliament The Integration of Women in the the dangerous developments in MENA over the People’s Protection Units (YPG) rebels. Turning course of the past year. While the international to terrorism, Lauren Fisher presents an argument Salim al-Jabouri Algerian Military community hoped for a resolution to the five-year against the stovepipe methodology of countering Interview conducted by Satgin By Dr. Dalia Ghanem-Yazbeck Syrian Civil War, the conflict has further divided violent extremism by exploring the complexities the region into a sectarian split, pitting Shia Iran behind the topic. Finally, we conclude with a litera- Hamrah and the Sunni gulf states on opposing sides. Addi- ture review by Adi Saleem Bharat on the Boycott, COMMENTARIES tionally, Russia’s brief military intervention, finally Divest, Sanction (BDS) movement as it pertains to 5. Tunisia in Transition: An winding down as of March 2016, has further desta- academia. bilized the country and significantly increased With the increasingly growing list of challenges Exclusive Interview with Former 32. The Kurdish Divide: Reshaping the flow of refugees into the heartland of Europe. faced by the Middle East today, we at JMEPP Tunisian Minister of Economic of Interests and Actors in With the November 2015 Paris attacks, the threat understand and embrace the opportunity to view of the so-called Islamic State (Daesh) to the west both geopolitical and policy hurdles from dynamic Infrastructure and Sustainable Syria's War was finally realized, calling into question ongoing perspectives. We invite you to read, comment, and Development Hedi Larbi By Joseph Sadek efforts to counter violent extremism, as well as to contribute in the coming weeks, months, and years. Interview conducted by Kristin resolve the Syrian Civil War. Meanwhile, Turkey’s Only through discussion, criticism, and focused increasing two-front war against the Kurdistan engagement will the international community be A. Wagner 37. Radicalization in Context: Workers’ Party (PKK) and Daesh has resulted in able to counteract the forces pulling the region Understanding and Addressing a series of deadly terrorist attacks throughout apart, and we invite you to join the conversation. the country, putting further pressure on Turkish If you like the content contained herein, please ARTICLES the Path Toward leadership to both find a solution to the Kurdish subscribe to future editions through our website at 8. Two Strategies for Diffusing Violent Extremism question and stem the refugee flow transiting www.hksjmepp.com. Tension in the Middle East By Lauren Fisher northward from Syria. It is through this lens that the Spring 2016 edition has been crafted. Kristin A. Wagner By Benjamen Franklen Gussen With conflict and instability abound, we present Editor-in-Chief REVIEWS first an exclusive interview with Speaker of the Cambridge, MA, April 2016 Iraqi Parliament Salim al-Jabouri. On a more pos- 12. Caution Gives Way to itive note, JMEPP also interviewed Tunisia’s Min- Increasingly Assertive 42. Against Apartheid: The Case for ister of Economic Infrastructure and Sustainable Policies in Saudi Arabia, But to Boycotting Israeli Universities Development, Hedi Larbi, on Tunisia’s relative stability and success in its post-Jasmine Revolu- What End? Book Review tion transition. This year’s featured articles include By Robert Mason By Adi Saleem Bharat Robert Mason’s assessment of the Saudi leadership and the perilous position it now finds itself in, both geopolitically and domestically; and Serhat S. 18. Looking to Syria: No-Fly-Zones Çubukçuoğlu’s eyes on Turkey’s natural gas ambi- and Political Stability in tions as being linked to settling the Cypriot peace talks, as well as re-establishing partnerships with its Iraq and Libya regional neighbors in the eastern Mediterranean. By Dylan MaGuire Benjamen Franklen Gussen creates a new pic- ture of a geographically reoriented Middle East, while Dylan MaGuire analyzes the no-fly zone option in Syria, with a look back to previous oper- ations in Iraq and Libya. Focusing on gender, Dr. Dalia Ghanem-Yazbeck looks at integration and inclusion of women in Algeria’s military, yet pres- Harvard Journal of Middle Eastern Politics and Policy 2015–2016, Volume V 1 from being IDPs will fight and fiercely defend their effort and look forward to avenging. Iraq, Daesh, and Security Implications: land against future incursions into their territories. JMEPP: How do you think violence can be Interview with Speaker of the Iraqi JMEPP: How is Daesh being used as a tool to stemmed? advance foreign interests? AL-JABOURI: Violence happens for various rea- Parliament Salim al-Jabouri AL-JABOURI: Daesh is a militarized organiza- sons. Two of the main reasons are the feelings of tion that is based on an idea and interest. When despair and oppression. I think one of the tools Interviewed by Satgin Hamrah necessary to eliminate violence and extremism is Policies of oppression, discrimination, to unite our efforts to achieve social justice and partisanship, the sectarian interests political reform. This is not to forget the important and critical role the media plays in society, raising of the ruling elite, and the gross the awareness about the danger and wrongdoing of JMEPP: What factors in Iraq’s modern history negligence of the demands of important ISIS. do you think led to the creation of Daesh? JMEPP: Do you think Daesh’s loss of territory in the Middle East will translate to an increase in parts of the Iraqi people are among the JMEPP: How will Iraq be governed after Daesh is AL-JABOURI: Policies of oppression, discrim- attacks in the west? main factors that helped facilitate the completely eliminated? ination, partisanship, the sectarian interests of the ruling elite, and the gross negligence of the AL-JABOURI: We cannot rule out that a desperate creation and growth of Daesh. AL-JABOURI: It will be imperative for the Iraqi demands of important parts of the Iraqi people are Daesh will find new land on which to continue its government to achieve the principle of decen- among the main factors that helped facilitate the attacks. There is a difference, however, between its interests match with the interests of some other tralization as one of the most important tools creation and growth of Daesh, and provided the finding an alternative battleground and waging countries, then Daesh and these countries will not that helps in getting rid of authoritarianism by permissive environment to promote it. Some inter- attacks on additional areas. In all cases, Daesh will hesitate to strike a deal to fulfill these interests with affording societies and communities the opportu- national players have also facilitated and helped in not give up on threatening the west whether it loses mutual help. In addition, some of these countries nity to govern themselves. A post-Daesh Iraq will exporting such ideas to Iraq.