A Practical Procedure to Estimate the Shape Parameter in the Generalized Gaussian Distribution
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Concentration and Consistency Results for Canonical and Curved Exponential-Family Models of Random Graphs
CONCENTRATION AND CONSISTENCY RESULTS FOR CANONICAL AND CURVED EXPONENTIAL-FAMILY MODELS OF RANDOM GRAPHS BY MICHAEL SCHWEINBERGER AND JONATHAN STEWART Rice University Statistical inference for exponential-family models of random graphs with dependent edges is challenging. We stress the importance of additional structure and show that additional structure facilitates statistical inference. A simple example of a random graph with additional structure is a random graph with neighborhoods and local dependence within neighborhoods. We develop the first concentration and consistency results for maximum likeli- hood and M-estimators of a wide range of canonical and curved exponential- family models of random graphs with local dependence. All results are non- asymptotic and applicable to random graphs with finite populations of nodes, although asymptotic consistency results can be obtained as well. In addition, we show that additional structure can facilitate subgraph-to-graph estimation, and present concentration results for subgraph-to-graph estimators. As an ap- plication, we consider popular curved exponential-family models of random graphs, with local dependence induced by transitivity and parameter vectors whose dimensions depend on the number of nodes. 1. Introduction. Models of network data have witnessed a surge of interest in statistics and related areas [e.g., 31]. Such data arise in the study of, e.g., social networks, epidemics, insurgencies, and terrorist networks. Since the work of Holland and Leinhardt in the 1970s [e.g., 21], it is known that network data exhibit a wide range of dependencies induced by transitivity and other interesting network phenomena [e.g., 39]. Transitivity is a form of triadic closure in the sense that, when a node k is connected to two distinct nodes i and j, then i and j are likely to be connected as well, which suggests that edges are dependent [e.g., 39]. -
Use of Statistical Tables
TUTORIAL | SCOPE USE OF STATISTICAL TABLES Lucy Radford, Jenny V Freeman and Stephen J Walters introduce three important statistical distributions: the standard Normal, t and Chi-squared distributions PREVIOUS TUTORIALS HAVE LOOKED at hypothesis testing1 and basic statistical tests.2–4 As part of the process of statistical hypothesis testing, a test statistic is calculated and compared to a hypothesised critical value and this is used to obtain a P- value. This P-value is then used to decide whether the study results are statistically significant or not. It will explain how statistical tables are used to link test statistics to P-values. This tutorial introduces tables for three important statistical distributions (the TABLE 1. Extract from two-tailed standard Normal, t and Chi-squared standard Normal table. Values distributions) and explains how to use tabulated are P-values corresponding them with the help of some simple to particular cut-offs and are for z examples. values calculated to two decimal places. STANDARD NORMAL DISTRIBUTION TABLE 1 The Normal distribution is widely used in statistics and has been discussed in z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.050.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 detail previously.5 As the mean of a Normally distributed variable can take 0.00 1.0000 0.9920 0.9840 0.9761 0.9681 0.9601 0.9522 0.9442 0.9362 0.9283 any value (−∞ to ∞) and the standard 0.10 0.9203 0.9124 0.9045 0.8966 0.8887 0.8808 0.8729 0.8650 0.8572 0.8493 deviation any positive value (0 to ∞), 0.20 0.8415 0.8337 0.8259 0.8181 0.8103 0.8206 0.7949 0.7872 0.7795 0.7718 there are an infinite number of possible 0.30 0.7642 0.7566 0.7490 0.7414 0.7339 0.7263 0.7188 0.7114 0.7039 0.6965 Normal distributions. -
On the Scale Parameter of Exponential Distribution
Review of the Air Force Academy No.2 (34)/2017 ON THE SCALE PARAMETER OF EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION Anca Ileana LUPAŞ Military Technical Academy, Bucharest, Romania ([email protected]) DOI: 10.19062/1842-9238.2017.15.2.16 Abstract: Exponential distribution is one of the widely used continuous distributions in various fields for statistical applications. In this paper we study the exact and asymptotical distribution of the scale parameter for this distribution. We will also define the confidence intervals for the studied parameter as well as the fixed length confidence intervals. 1. INTRODUCTION Exponential distribution is used in various statistical applications. Therefore, we often encounter exponential distribution in applications such as: life tables, reliability studies, extreme values analysis and others. In the following paper, we focus our attention on the exact and asymptotical repartition of the exponential distribution scale parameter estimator. 2. SCALE PARAMETER ESTIMATOR OF THE EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION We will consider the random variable X with the following cumulative distribution function: x F(x ; ) 1 e ( x 0 , 0) (1) where is an unknown scale parameter Using the relationships between MXXX( ) ; 22( ) ; ( ) , we obtain ()X a theoretical variation coefficient 1. This is a useful indicator, especially if MX() you have observational data which seems to be exponential and with variation coefficient of the selection closed to 1. If we consider x12, x ,... xn as a part of a population that follows an exponential distribution, then by using the maximum likelihood estimation method we obtain the following estimate n ˆ 1 xi (2) n i1 119 On the Scale Parameter of Exponential Distribution Since M ˆ , it follows that ˆ is an unbiased estimator for . -
A Study of Non-Central Skew T Distributions and Their Applications in Data Analysis and Change Point Detection
A STUDY OF NON-CENTRAL SKEW T DISTRIBUTIONS AND THEIR APPLICATIONS IN DATA ANALYSIS AND CHANGE POINT DETECTION Abeer M. Hasan A Dissertation Submitted to the Graduate College of Bowling Green State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY August 2013 Committee: Arjun K. Gupta, Co-advisor Wei Ning, Advisor Mark Earley, Graduate Faculty Representative Junfeng Shang. Copyright c August 2013 Abeer M. Hasan All rights reserved iii ABSTRACT Arjun K. Gupta, Co-advisor Wei Ning, Advisor Over the past three decades there has been a growing interest in searching for distribution families that are suitable to analyze skewed data with excess kurtosis. The search started by numerous papers on the skew normal distribution. Multivariate t distributions started to catch attention shortly after the development of the multivariate skew normal distribution. Many researchers proposed alternative methods to generalize the univariate t distribution to the multivariate case. Recently, skew t distribution started to become popular in research. Skew t distributions provide more flexibility and better ability to accommodate long-tailed data than skew normal distributions. In this dissertation, a new non-central skew t distribution is studied and its theoretical properties are explored. Applications of the proposed non-central skew t distribution in data analysis and model comparisons are studied. An extension of our distribution to the multivariate case is presented and properties of the multivariate non-central skew t distri- bution are discussed. We also discuss the distribution of quadratic forms of the non-central skew t distribution. In the last chapter, the change point problem of the non-central skew t distribution is discussed under different settings. -
1 One Parameter Exponential Families
1 One parameter exponential families The world of exponential families bridges the gap between the Gaussian family and general dis- tributions. Many properties of Gaussians carry through to exponential families in a fairly precise sense. • In the Gaussian world, there exact small sample distributional results (i.e. t, F , χ2). • In the exponential family world, there are approximate distributional results (i.e. deviance tests). • In the general setting, we can only appeal to asymptotics. A one-parameter exponential family, F is a one-parameter family of distributions of the form Pη(dx) = exp (η · t(x) − Λ(η)) P0(dx) for some probability measure P0. The parameter η is called the natural or canonical parameter and the function Λ is called the cumulant generating function, and is simply the normalization needed to make dPη fη(x) = (x) = exp (η · t(x) − Λ(η)) dP0 a proper probability density. The random variable t(X) is the sufficient statistic of the exponential family. Note that P0 does not have to be a distribution on R, but these are of course the simplest examples. 1.0.1 A first example: Gaussian with linear sufficient statistic Consider the standard normal distribution Z e−z2=2 P0(A) = p dz A 2π and let t(x) = x. Then, the exponential family is eη·x−x2=2 Pη(dx) / p 2π and we see that Λ(η) = η2=2: eta= np.linspace(-2,2,101) CGF= eta**2/2. plt.plot(eta, CGF) A= plt.gca() A.set_xlabel(r'$\eta$', size=20) A.set_ylabel(r'$\Lambda(\eta)$', size=20) f= plt.gcf() 1 Thus, the exponential family in this setting is the collection F = fN(η; 1) : η 2 Rg : d 1.0.2 Normal with quadratic sufficient statistic on R d As a second example, take P0 = N(0;Id×d), i.e. -
On the Meaning and Use of Kurtosis
Psychological Methods Copyright 1997 by the American Psychological Association, Inc. 1997, Vol. 2, No. 3,292-307 1082-989X/97/$3.00 On the Meaning and Use of Kurtosis Lawrence T. DeCarlo Fordham University For symmetric unimodal distributions, positive kurtosis indicates heavy tails and peakedness relative to the normal distribution, whereas negative kurtosis indicates light tails and flatness. Many textbooks, however, describe or illustrate kurtosis incompletely or incorrectly. In this article, kurtosis is illustrated with well-known distributions, and aspects of its interpretation and misinterpretation are discussed. The role of kurtosis in testing univariate and multivariate normality; as a measure of departures from normality; in issues of robustness, outliers, and bimodality; in generalized tests and estimators, as well as limitations of and alternatives to the kurtosis measure [32, are discussed. It is typically noted in introductory statistics standard deviation. The normal distribution has a kur- courses that distributions can be characterized in tosis of 3, and 132 - 3 is often used so that the refer- terms of central tendency, variability, and shape. With ence normal distribution has a kurtosis of zero (132 - respect to shape, virtually every textbook defines and 3 is sometimes denoted as Y2)- A sample counterpart illustrates skewness. On the other hand, another as- to 132 can be obtained by replacing the population pect of shape, which is kurtosis, is either not discussed moments with the sample moments, which gives or, worse yet, is often described or illustrated incor- rectly. Kurtosis is also frequently not reported in re- ~(X i -- S)4/n search articles, in spite of the fact that virtually every b2 (•(X i - ~')2/n)2' statistical package provides a measure of kurtosis. -
The Probability Lifesaver: Order Statistics and the Median Theorem
The Probability Lifesaver: Order Statistics and the Median Theorem Steven J. Miller December 30, 2015 Contents 1 Order Statistics and the Median Theorem 3 1.1 Definition of the Median 5 1.2 Order Statistics 10 1.3 Examples of Order Statistics 15 1.4 TheSampleDistributionoftheMedian 17 1.5 TechnicalboundsforproofofMedianTheorem 20 1.6 TheMedianofNormalRandomVariables 22 2 • Greetings again! In this supplemental chapter we develop the theory of order statistics in order to prove The Median Theorem. This is a beautiful result in its own, but also extremely important as a substitute for the Central Limit Theorem, and allows us to say non- trivial things when the CLT is unavailable. Chapter 1 Order Statistics and the Median Theorem The Central Limit Theorem is one of the gems of probability. It’s easy to use and its hypotheses are satisfied in a wealth of problems. Many courses build towards a proof of this beautiful and powerful result, as it truly is ‘central’ to the entire subject. Not to detract from the majesty of this wonderful result, however, what happens in those instances where it’s unavailable? For example, one of the key assumptions that must be met is that our random variables need to have finite higher moments, or at the very least a finite variance. What if we were to consider sums of Cauchy random variables? Is there anything we can say? This is not just a question of theoretical interest, of mathematicians generalizing for the sake of generalization. The following example from economics highlights why this chapter is more than just of theoretical interest. -
A Multivariate Student's T-Distribution
Open Journal of Statistics, 2016, 6, 443-450 Published Online June 2016 in SciRes. http://www.scirp.org/journal/ojs http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ojs.2016.63040 A Multivariate Student’s t-Distribution Daniel T. Cassidy Department of Engineering Physics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada Received 29 March 2016; accepted 14 June 2016; published 17 June 2016 Copyright © 2016 by author and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Abstract A multivariate Student’s t-distribution is derived by analogy to the derivation of a multivariate normal (Gaussian) probability density function. This multivariate Student’s t-distribution can have different shape parameters νi for the marginal probability density functions of the multi- variate distribution. Expressions for the probability density function, for the variances, and for the covariances of the multivariate t-distribution with arbitrary shape parameters for the marginals are given. Keywords Multivariate Student’s t, Variance, Covariance, Arbitrary Shape Parameters 1. Introduction An expression for a multivariate Student’s t-distribution is presented. This expression, which is different in form than the form that is commonly used, allows the shape parameter ν for each marginal probability density function (pdf) of the multivariate pdf to be different. The form that is typically used is [1] −+ν Γ+((ν n) 2) T ( n) 2 +Σ−1 n 2 (1.[xx] [ ]) (1) ΓΣ(νν2)(π ) This “typical” form attempts to generalize the univariate Student’s t-distribution and is valid when the n marginal distributions have the same shape parameter ν . -
Basic Econometrics / Statistics Statistical Distributions: Normal, T, Chi-Sq, & F
Basic Econometrics / Statistics Statistical Distributions: Normal, T, Chi-Sq, & F Course : Basic Econometrics : HC43 / Statistics B.A. Hons Economics, Semester IV/ Semester III Delhi University Course Instructor: Siddharth Rathore Assistant Professor Economics Department, Gargi College Siddharth Rathore guj75845_appC.qxd 4/16/09 12:41 PM Page 461 APPENDIX C SOME IMPORTANT PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS In Appendix B we noted that a random variable (r.v.) can be described by a few characteristics, or moments, of its probability function (PDF or PMF), such as the expected value and variance. This, however, presumes that we know the PDF of that r.v., which is a tall order since there are all kinds of random variables. In practice, however, some random variables occur so frequently that statisticians have determined their PDFs and documented their properties. For our purpose, we will consider only those PDFs that are of direct interest to us. But keep in mind that there are several other PDFs that statisticians have studied which can be found in any standard statistics textbook. In this appendix we will discuss the following four probability distributions: 1. The normal distribution 2. The t distribution 3. The chi-square (2 ) distribution 4. The F distribution These probability distributions are important in their own right, but for our purposes they are especially important because they help us to find out the probability distributions of estimators (or statistics), such as the sample mean and sample variance. Recall that estimators are random variables. Equipped with that knowledge, we will be able to draw inferences about their true population values. -
Notes Mean, Median, Mode & Range
Notes Mean, Median, Mode & Range How Do You Use Mode, Median, Mean, and Range to Describe Data? There are many ways to describe the characteristics of a set of data. The mode, median, and mean are all called measures of central tendency. These measures of central tendency and range are described in the table below. The mode of a set of data Use the mode to show which describes which value occurs value in a set of data occurs most frequently. If two or more most often. For the set numbers occur the same number {1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 10}, of times and occur more often the mode is 1 because it occurs Mode than all the other numbers in the most frequently. set, those numbers are all modes for the data set. If each number in the set occurs the same number of times, the set of data has no mode. The median of a set of data Use the median to show which describes what value is in the number in a set of data is in the middle if the set is ordered from middle when the numbers are greatest to least or from least to listed in order. greatest. If there are an even For the set {1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 10}, number of values, the median is the median is 3 because it is in the average of the two middle the middle when the numbers are Median values. Half of the values are listed in order. greater than the median, and half of the values are less than the median. -
A Family of Skew-Normal Distributions for Modeling Proportions and Rates with Zeros/Ones Excess
S S symmetry Article A Family of Skew-Normal Distributions for Modeling Proportions and Rates with Zeros/Ones Excess Guillermo Martínez-Flórez 1, Víctor Leiva 2,* , Emilio Gómez-Déniz 3 and Carolina Marchant 4 1 Departamento de Matemáticas y Estadística, Facultad de Ciencias Básicas, Universidad de Córdoba, Montería 14014, Colombia; [email protected] 2 Escuela de Ingeniería Industrial, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, 2362807 Valparaíso, Chile 3 Facultad de Economía, Empresa y Turismo, Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria and TIDES Institute, 35001 Canarias, Spain; [email protected] 4 Facultad de Ciencias Básicas, Universidad Católica del Maule, 3466706 Talca, Chile; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] or [email protected] Received: 30 June 2020; Accepted: 19 August 2020; Published: 1 September 2020 Abstract: In this paper, we consider skew-normal distributions for constructing new a distribution which allows us to model proportions and rates with zero/one inflation as an alternative to the inflated beta distributions. The new distribution is a mixture between a Bernoulli distribution for explaining the zero/one excess and a censored skew-normal distribution for the continuous variable. The maximum likelihood method is used for parameter estimation. Observed and expected Fisher information matrices are derived to conduct likelihood-based inference in this new type skew-normal distribution. Given the flexibility of the new distributions, we are able to show, in real data scenarios, the good performance of our proposal. Keywords: beta distribution; centered skew-normal distribution; maximum-likelihood methods; Monte Carlo simulations; proportions; R software; rates; zero/one inflated data 1. -
Generalized Inferences for the Common Scale Parameter of Several Pareto Populations∗
InternationalInternational JournalJournal of of Statistics Statistics and and Management Management System System Vol.Vol. 4 No. 12 (January-June,(July-December, 2019) 2019) International Journal of Statistics and Management System, 2010, Vol. 5, No. 1–2, pp. 118–126. c 2010 Serials Publications Generalized inferences for the common scale parameter of several Pareto populations∗ Sumith Gunasekera†and Malwane M. A. Ananda‡ Received: 13th August 2018 Revised: 24th December 2018 Accepted: 10th March 2019 Abstract A problem of interest in this article is statistical inferences concerning the com- mon scale parameter of several Pareto distributions. Using the generalized p-value approach, exact confidence intervals and the exact tests for testing the common scale parameter are given. Examples are given in order to illustrate our procedures. A limited simulation study is given to demonstrate the performance of the proposed procedures. 1 Introduction In this paper, we consider k (k ≥ 2) independent Pareto distributions with an unknown common scale parameter θ (sometimes referred to as the “location pa- rameter” and also as the “truncation parameter”) and unknown possibly unequal shape parameters αi’s (i = 1, 2, ..., k). Using the generalized variable approach (Tsui and Weer- ahandi [8]), we construct an exact test for testing θ. Furthermore, using the generalized confidence interval (Weerahandi [11]), we construct an exact confidence interval for θ as well. A limited simulation study was carried out to compare the performance of these gen- eralized procedures with the approximate procedures based on the large sample method as well as with the other test procedures based on the combination of p-values.