The Modified Bruun Rule Extended for Landward Transport
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Stochastic Dynamics of Barrier Island Elevation
Stochastic dynamics of barrier island elevation Orencio Duran´ Vinenta,1 , Benjamin E. Schafferb, and Ignacio Rodriguez-Iturbea,1 aDepartment of Ocean Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-3136; and bDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540 Contributed by Ignacio Rodriguez-Iturbe, November 11, 2020 (sent for review June 29, 2020; reviewed by Carlo Camporeale and A. Brad Murray) Barrier islands are ubiquitous coastal features that create low- a marked Poisson process with exponentially distributed marks. energy environments where salt marshes, oyster reefs, and man- The mark of a HWE is defined as the maximum water level groves can develop and survive external stresses. Barrier systems above the beach during the duration of the event and charac- also protect interior coastal communities from storm surges and terizes its size and intensity. This result opens the way for a wave-driven erosion. These functions depend on the existence of probabilistic model of the temporal evolution of the barrier/dune a slowly migrating, vertically stable barrier, a condition tied to elevation, along the lines of the stochastic model of soil moisture the frequency of storm-driven overwashes and thus barrier ele- dynamics (4). The knowledge of the transient probability dis- vation during the storm impact. The balance between erosional tribution function of barrier elevation allows the calculation of and accretional processes behind barrier dynamics is stochastic in after-storm recovery times, overwash probability and frequency, nature and cannot be properly understood with traditional con- and the average overwash transport rate driving the landward tinuous models. Here we develop a master equation describing migration of barriers. -
Ufl/Coel-92/008 Historical Shoreline Response To
Historical shoreline response to inlet modifications and sea level rise (M.S. Engineering Thesis) Item Type monograph Authors Grant, Jonathan R. H. Publisher University of Florida, Coastal and Oceanographic Engineering Department Download date 05/10/2021 11:16:43 Link to Item http://hdl.handle.net/1834/18449 UFL/COEL-92/008 HISTORICAL SHORELINE RESPONSE TO INLET MODIFICATIONS AND SEA LEVEL RISE by Jonathan R. H. Grant Thesis May 1992 HISTORICAL SHORELINE RESPONSE TO INLET MODIFICATIONS AND SEA LEVEL RISE By JONATHAN R. H. GRANT A THESIS PRESENTED TO THE GRADUATE SCHOOL OF THE UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF ENGINEERING UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA 1992 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to thank my advisor, Dr. Robert Dean, for all of his assistance and utmost patience in helping me complete this thesis. The assistance of my other committee members, Dr. Ashish Mehta and Dr. Daniel Hanes, is greatly appreciated. I would like to thank Cynthia Vey, Sandra Bivins, Becky Hudson, Helen Twedell and Sabarna Malakar for their patience, humor and help in transforming my research into a thesis. I would also like to thank all of the professors who have taught me so much outside of my research work. This work was sponsored by Florida Sea Grant, whose continued support of coastal re- search is appreciated. The data used in this study were supplied by the Florida Department of Natural Resources. Special thanks goes to Emmett Foster (of FDNR) for taking the time to help furnish the most up to date shoreline data. -
Historical Changes in the Mississippi-Alabama Barrier Islands and the Roles of Extreme Storms, Sea Level, and Human Activities
HISTORICAL CHANGES IN THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BARRIER ISLANDS AND THE ROLES OF EXTREME STORMS, SEA LEVEL, AND HUMAN ACTIVITIES Robert A. Morton 88∞46'0"W 88∞44'0"W 88∞42'0"W 88∞40'0"W 88∞38'0"W 88∞36'0"W 88∞34'0"W 88∞32'0"W 88∞30'0"W 88∞28'0"W 88∞26'0"W 88∞24'0"W 88∞22'0"W 88∞20'0"W 88∞18'0"W 30∞18'0"N 30∞18'0"N 30∞20'0"N Horn Island 30∞20'0"N Petit Bois Island 30∞16'0"N 30∞16'0"N 30∞18'0"N 30∞18'0"N 2005 2005 1996 Dauphin Island 1996 2005 1986 1986 30∞16'0"N Kilometers 30∞14'0"N 0 1 2 3 4 5 1966 30∞16'0"N 1950 30∞14'0"N 1950 Kilometers 1917 0 1 2 3 4 5 1917 1848 1849 30∞14'0"N 30∞14'0"N 30∞12'0"N 30∞12'0"N 30∞12'0"N 30∞12'0"N 30∞10'0"N 30∞10'0"N 88∞46'0"W 88∞44'0"W 88∞42'0"W 88∞40'0"W 88∞38'0"W 88∞36'0"W 88∞34'0"W 88∞32'0"W 88∞30'0"W 88∞28'0"W 88∞26'0"W 88∞24'0"W 88∞22'0"W 88∞20'0"W 88∞18'0"W 89∞10'0"W 89∞8'0"W 89∞6'0"W 89∞4'0"W 88∞58'0"W 88∞56'0"W 88∞54'0"W 88∞52'0"W 30∞16'0"N Cat Island Ship Island 30∞16'0"N 2005 30∞14'0"N 1996 30∞14'0"N 1986 Kilometers 1966 0 1 2 3 30∞14'0"N 1950 30∞14'0"N 1917 1848 Fort 2005 Massachusetts 1995 1986 Kilometers 1966 0 1 2 3 30∞12'0"N 1950 30∞12'0"N 1917 30∞12'0"N 30∞12'0"N 1848 89∞10'0"W 89∞8'0"W 89∞6'0"W 89∞4'0"W 88∞58'0"W 88∞56'0"W 88∞54'0"W 88∞52'0"W Open-File Report 2007-1161 U.S. -
Shoreline Response to Future Sea Level Rise James Houston Director Emeritus Engineer Research and Development Center Shoreline Response to Future Sea Level Rise
Shoreline Response to Future Sea Level Rise James Houston Director Emeritus Engineer Research and Development Center Shoreline Response to Future Sea Level Rise Florida Florida Sandy Shorelines 1300 km Sandy Shorelines West East Southwest 0 200 kilometers Tourism is Its Leading Industry • Beaches its leading tourist Ft Myers Beach destination • Consequently, Florida beaches studied extensively Miami Beach Destin Beach St Petersburg Beach Shoreline Change • Shoreline position measurements from 1867- 2015 300 m Measurement • Shoreline change Locations East + 50 ± 5 m Southwest + 35 ± 15 m West - 25 ± 10 m • 1867 to before beach nourishment (1970, 1985) East + 25 ± 5 m Southwest + 5 ± 10 m West - 30 ± 10 m Accretion/Erosion Accretion Accretion • Netherland’s central coast has accreted since at least 1900 Onshore transport • Similar onshore transport on Excess Florida’s east/southwest coasts shoreface sand (Houston & Dean, 2014; Houston, 2015) • In contrast, the Florida west coast has eroded like many world coasts Florida West Coast West Coast West Counties (Political subdivisions) Understand the Past to Project the Future • Past (1867 - 2015) - Determine shoreline change using measured data - Quantify processes causing this change • Future (50 year and to 2100) - Project shoreline change with increased sea level rise - Analyze whether beach 2065 2016 nourishment can counter this increased rise Past Shoreline Change, 1867 - 2015 W ΔV ΔV LΔT dQ LΔTϕ LΔX = − LΔS ∗ − sink + source − + h + B h + B h + B dy h + B ∗ ∗ h∗ + B ∗ ∗ Measured Sea Level -
Optimal Hurricane Overwash Thickness for Maximizing Marsh Resilience to Sea Level Rise
W&M ScholarWorks VIMS Articles Virginia Institute of Marine Science 2016 Optimal hurricane overwash thickness for maximizing marsh resilience to sea level rise David C. Walters Virginia Institute of Marine Science Matthew L. Kirwan Virginia Institute of Marine Science Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.wm.edu/vimsarticles Part of the Marine Biology Commons Recommended Citation Walters, D. C. and Kirwan, M. L. (2016), Optimal hurricane overwash thickness for maximizing marsh resilience to sea level rise. Ecol Evol, 6: 2948–2956. doi:10.1002/ece3.2024 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Virginia Institute of Marine Science at W&M ScholarWorks. It has been accepted for inclusion in VIMS Articles by an authorized administrator of W&M ScholarWorks. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Optimal hurricane overwash thickness for maximizing marsh resilience to sea level rise David C. Walters & Matthew L. Kirwan Department of Physical Sciences, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary, PO Box 1346, Gloucester Point, Virginia 23062 Keywords Abstract Climate change, coastal geomorphology, disturbance event, ecosystem resiliency, press The interplay between storms and sea level rise, and between ecology and sedi- and pulse stresses, salt marsh, storm ment transport governs the behavior of rapidly evolving coastal ecosystems such deposition. as marshes and barrier islands. Sediment deposition during hurricanes is thought to increase the resilience of salt marshes to sea level rise by increasing Correspondence soil elevation and vegetation productivity. We use mesocosms to simulate burial David C. Walters, Department of Physical of Spartina alterniflora during hurricane-induced overwash events of various Sciences, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, thickness (0–60 cm), and find that adventitious root growth within the over- College of William and Mary, PO Box 1386, Gloucester Point, VA 23062. -
The Bruun Rule: Its Validity and Its Limitation
The Bruun Rule: its validity and its limitation As you have already learned, sea level rise is one of the main problems affecting coastal zones on a global scale. It is not as simple as that the coast will just drown as if the coast is in a bath tub with increasing water level, since the coast will respond in a dynamic sense. Actually, a natural coast will adapt to sea level rise, the coast will want to keep pace with sea level rise, raising its profile relative to the sea level. A perfect response to rising sea levels! In order to do this a sediment budget deficit is created however. How does this actually work? Bruun (a Danish born coastal engineer that spent most of his career as a University Professor in Gainesville, FL, USA) was the first to describe this effect in 1962. The main idea behind the Bruun- Rule (c.f. Bosboom and Stive, 2010) is the assumption that the upper shore face (the morphologically active -on a time scale of years- part of the continental shelf, vertically extending from the first dune or berm ridge to a depth of 5 m to 20 m depending on the strength of the stormy waves) has a profile that is in equilibrium with the hydrodynamic forcing (i.e. wave driven processes mainly, but also density driven currents near river or estuarine entrances) and that for any perturbation in the forcing, the response of the profile will be relatively fast (see the video The origin and evolution of beaches, with the sand castle being absorbed in the coastal profile within a few wave motions). -
Modelling of Coastal Overwash
Department of Water Resources Engineering Lund Institute of Technology (LTH) Lund University MODELLING OF COASTAL OVERWASH Nguyen Xuan Tinh LUND - 2006 TVRL 2006:1 Modelling of Coastal Overwash Review and application of state-of-art empirical, numerical and analytical methods Nguyen Xuan Tinh Department of Water Resources Engineering Supervised by Chantal Donnelly (Doctoral student) Professor Magnus Larson Lund Institute of Technology/Lund University January 2006 PREFACE This thesis work was done as a part of the MSc program in Water Resources (WaterLU) of the Department of Water Resources Engineering, Lund Institute of Technology (LTH), Lund University, Sweden, which was attended between August 2004 and December 2005. I would like to gratefully acknowledge the Swedish Institute (SI) for the financial support to carry out my studies. I owe special words of thanks to my supervisor Professor Magnus Larson for his help to bring me to this course, for the thesis ideas, for his patience, support, direction, and valuable advice. I would also like to express my great appreciation to my co-supervisor Chantal Donnelly for sharing the data, ideas, and knowledge from her PhD study, and for reviewing the English in this report. I would also like to sincerely thank my teacher in Vietnam, Associate Professor Nguyen Manh Hung for his faith, support, and advice. Additionally, I would like to thank Lee Butler and Veri-Tech Inc. for supplying us with the SBEACH model interface. I am very grateful to all the teachers who were involved in the Masters program for providing me with such valuable knowledge for my future career. -
Likely and High-End Impacts of Regional Sea-Level Rise on the Shoreline Change of European Sandy Coasts Under a High Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenario
water Article Likely and High-End Impacts of Regional Sea-Level Rise on the Shoreline Change of European Sandy Coasts Under a High Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenario Rémi Thiéblemont 1,*, Gonéri Le Cozannet 1 , Alexandra Toimil 2 , Benoit Meyssignac 3 and Iñigo J. Losada 2 1 Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières “BRGM”, French Geological Survey, 3 Avenue, Claude Guillemin, CEDEX, 45060 Orléans, France; [email protected] 2 Environmental Hydraulics Institute “IHCantabria”, Universidad de Cantabria, Parque Científico y Tecnológico de Cantabria, Calle Isabel Torres 15, 39011 Santander, Cantabria, Spain; [email protected] (A.T.); [email protected] (I.J.L.) 3 Laboratoire d’Etudes en Géophysique et Océanographie Spatiales “LEGOS“, Université de Toulouse, CNES, CNRS, UPS, IRD, 14 Avenue Edouard Belin, 31400 Toulouse, France; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 30 September 2019; Accepted: 5 December 2019; Published: 10 December 2019 Abstract: Sea-level rise (SLR) is a major concern for coastal hazards such as flooding and erosion in the decades to come. Lately, the value of high-end sea-level scenarios (HESs) to inform stakeholders with low-uncertainty tolerance has been increasingly recognized. Here, we provide high-end projections of SLR-induced sandy shoreline retreats for Europe by the end of the 21st century based on the conservative Bruun rule. Our HESs rely on the upper bound of the RCP8.5 scenario “likely-range” and on high-end estimates of the different components of sea-level projections provided in recent literature. For both HESs, SLR is projected to be higher than 1 m by 2100 for most European coasts. -
Equilibrium Erosion of Soft Rock Shores with a Shallow Or Absent Beach Under Increased Sea Level Rise
Walkden, M., and Dickson, M (2008) Equilibrium erosion of soft rock shores with a shallow or absent beach under increased sea level rise. Marine Geology, Vol 251/1-2 pp 75-84 DOI: 10.1016/j.margeo.2008.02.003 Equilibrium erosion of soft rock shores with a shallow or absent beach under increased sea level rise Dr. Mike Walkden a and Dr. Mark Dickson b aTyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Cassie Building, University of Newcastle upon Tyne, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 7RU. UK. Email: [email protected] bSchool of Geography, Geology and Environmental Science, The University of Auckland Private Bag 92019, Auckland, New Zealand. Email: [email protected] Corresponding Author: Dr. Mike Walkden, Tel: +44(0)191 222 6259, Fax: +44(0)191 222 6502. Abstract A process-based numerical model was used to explore the response of soft rock shores with low volume beaches to variable rates of sea level rise. Equilibrium recession rates were simulated for ranges of wave height and period, tidal amplitude, rock strength, beach volume and rate of sea level rise. Equilibrium shore profiles were found to be steeper with higher rates of sea level rise. Beaches were represented as protective surfaces yet were found to cause no significant reduction in equilibrium recession rate when their volumes were below a critical threshold. Reduced equilibrium recession rates were found with beaches that extended sufficiently far below low tide level. The model results imply that, given several constraints, a very simple relationship exists between increased rates of sea level rise and the response of eroding composite soft rock/ low volume beach shores. -
Sedimentological Characteristics and Internal Architecture of Two Overwash Fans from Hurricanes Ivan and Jeanne Mark H
University of South Florida Masthead Logo Scholar Commons Geology Faculty Publications Geology 2005 Sedimentological Characteristics and Internal Architecture of Two Overwash Fans From Hurricanes Ivan and Jeanne Mark H. Horwitz University of South Florida Ping Wang University of South Florida, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarcommons.usf.edu/gly_facpub Part of the Geology Commons Scholar Commons Citation Horwitz, Mark H. and Wang, Ping, "Sedimentological Characteristics and Internal Architecture of Two Overwash Fans From Hurricanes Ivan and Jeanne" (2005). Geology Faculty Publications. 242. https://scholarcommons.usf.edu/gly_facpub/242 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Geology at Scholar Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Geology Faculty Publications by an authorized administrator of Scholar Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Sedimentological Characteristics and Internal Architecture of Two Overwash Fans from Hurricanes Ivan and Jeanne Horwitz, Mark1 and Wang, Ping2 1BCI Engineers and Scientists, Inc., Lakeland, Florida 33803 2Department of Geology, University of South Florida, Tampa, Florida 33620 Abstract Extensive overwash occurred along the Florida coast during the passage of four strong hur- ricanes in 2004, providing an excellent opportunity to study the spatial patterns and sedimentary architecture of washover deposits. Detailed 3D sedimentological characteristics of two of the over- wash fans were studied through coring, trenching, and ground penetration radar surveys. The first washover-fan complex, deposited by hurricanes Frances and Jeanne is located on the Atlan- tic facing Hutchinson Island in southeastern Florida. The second fan, deposited by hurricane Ivan is located on the Gulf-facing Santa Rosa Island in northwestern Florida. -
Sea-Level Rise and Shoreline Retreat: Time to Abandon the Bruun Rule
Global and Planetary Change 43 (2004) 157–171 www.elsevier.com/locate/gloplacha Sea-level rise and shoreline retreat: time to abandon the Bruun Rule J. Andrew G. Coopera,*, Orrin H. Pilkeyb aSchool of Environmental Studies, University of Ulster, Coleraine BT52 1SA, Northern Ireland, UK bNicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences, Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina 27708, USA Received 9 February 2004; accepted 22 July 2004 Abstract In the face of a global rise in sea level, understanding the response of the shoreline to changes in sea level is a critical scientific goal to inform policy makers and managers. A body of scientific information exists that illustrates both the complexity of the linkages between sea-level rise and shoreline response, and the comparative lack of understanding of these linkages. In spite of the lack of understanding, many appraisals have been undertaken that employ a concept known as the bBruun RuleQ. This is a simple two-dimensional model of shoreline response to rising sea level. The model has seen near global application since its original formulation in 1954. The concept provided an advance in understanding of the coastal system at the time of its first publication. It has, however, been superseded by numerous subsequent findings and is now invalid. Several assumptions behind the Bruun Rule are known to be false and nowhere has the Bruun Rule been adequately proven; on the contrary several studies disprove it in the field. No universally applicable model of shoreline retreat under sea-level rise has yet been developed. -
Overwash, Sandy Beach, and Dune Grassland Habitats by 2012, to Fine-Tune Protection Prescriptions
Alternative B. The Service-preferred Alternative We would seek to expand the current office building to accommodate additional visitors for environmental education and interpretive programs. This office expansion would also provide needed space for storage of visitor services, supplies, and biological equipment. We would continue the use of travel trailers, which are used for interns, researchers, volunteers, and temporary employees. In the discussion that follows, we describe in detail the goals, objectives, and associated rationales and strategies that we would use to implement alternative B habitat management and public use objectives. We have provided additional discussion and strategies specifically regarding our response to climate change and sea level rise. GOAL 1. Barrier Beach Island and Coastal Salt Marsh Habitats Manage, enhance, and protect the dynamic barrier beach island ecosystem for migratory birds, breeding shorebirds, and other marine fauna and flora. Perpetuate the biological integrity, diversity, and environmental health of North Atlantic high and low salt marsh habitats. Objective 1.1 Barrier Beach Permit the natural evolution and functioning of sandy beach, overwash, dune Communities: Overwash, grassland, and mudflat habitats along approximately 1.5 miles of refuge coastline Sandy Beach, and Mudflat in Unit I to conserve spawning horseshoe crabs and listed BCR 30 migratory bird species. Over time, permit the development of these features and communities along an additional approximately 1.5 miles of the shore of Unit II, as salt marsh restoration is pursued. Barrier beach communities are characterized by the following attributes: ■ Plant species typical of overwash grasslands include a mixture of Cakile eduntula, Spartina patens, Schoenoplectus pungens, Cenchrus tribuloides, Triplasis purpurea, and scattered Baccharis halimifolia seedlings.