Willow Run Airport FAR Part 150 Study

Final Supplemental Report

Willow Run Airport FAR Part 150 Study

Barnard Dunkelberg Company Final Supplemental Report June 2014

Willow Run Airport FAR Part 150 Study

The preparation of this document was fnanced in part through a planning grant from the Barnard Dunkelberg Company Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) as provided under Section 505 of the Airport and Airway Improvement Act of 1982 as amended by the Airway Safety and Capacity Expansion TULSA DENVER Act of 1987. The contents do not necessarily refect the views or policy of the FAA. Cherry Street Building 1743 Wazee Street, Suite 400

Acceptance of this report does not in any way constitute a commitment on the part of the 1616 East 15th Street Denver, Colorado 80202 United States to participate in the development depicted herein, nor does it indicate that Tulsa, Oklahoma 74120-6027 Phone Number. 303 825 8844 the proposed development is environmentally acceptable in accordance with appropriate Phone Number. 918 585 8844 FAX Number. 303 825 8855 public law. This document is intended to be a planning document by the Wayne County FAX Number. 918 585 8857 Airport Authority. Final decisions concerning implementation of the recommendations shall be made by the Airport Authority. BridgeNet International Newport Beach, California The Noise Exposure Map and accompanying documentation for the Noise Exposure Maps for Willow Run Airport, submitted in accordance with FAR Part 150 with the best available Dixon & Company information, are hereby certifed as true and complete to the best of my knowledge and Milwaukee, Wisconsin belief.

In addition, it is hereby certifed that the airport operator has aforded adequate Synergy Consultants opportunity for the active and direct participation of the States, public agencies and Seattle, Washington planning agencies in the areas surrounding the airport, aeronautical users of the airport, the airport operator, and the general public to submit their views, data, and comments on RS&H the formulation and adequacy of that program. The airport operator has also provided Yipsilanti, Michigan notice and the opportunity for a public hearing. Jacobsen Daniels Associates Signed: ______Yipsilanti, Michigan

Date: ______

Supplemental Chapter

Introduction

Subsequent to the presentation of the Recommendations to the public at a Public Hearing in March 2011 and the development of the Draft Federal Aviation Regulation (FAR) Part 150 Study in June 2011, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) revised the national Terminal Area Forecasts (TAF) to reflect anticipated aircraft operational levels at Willow Run Airport. The TAF projections are based on a national forecast of aviation activity which is allocated to the individual airports in the National Airspace System and are based on previous year’s actual activity. The forecast methodology is presented in the Appendix.

The revised forecasts were significantly different from the forecasts developed for the original Draft Part 150 Study, and as such, it was determined that the Study be updated to reflect the new forecasts and the resulting noise contours associated with those forecasts. Along with the noise contours, existing population numbers were updated to reflect changed conditions. In addition, the Recommendations have been updated to reflect the removal of Recommendations which are no longer valid. The revised Existing Noise Exposure Map and the revised Future Noise Exposure Map reflect 2012 and 2018 operations, respectively.

Revised Land Use Analysis and Noise Exposure Maps

The land use analysis and alternatives evaluation contained in the original study were developed using an existing year reflecting 2009 and a future year contour reflecting 2015. The existing year was chosen because it reflected the most current operational data available at the time the Study was initiated.

One of the key products of a FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Plan is the preparation of the Noise Exposure Maps (NEM’s). The Noise Exposure Maps

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 1

identify the existing and future noise exposure and have been prepared using the Federal Aviation Administration’s Integrated Noise Model (INM) Version 7.0c. To prepare a noise contour for a particular year, the INM requires information concerning the number of aircraft operations, the types of aircraft (fleet mix), and the time of day that the activity takes place. As stated in the original document, noise measurements were used to help validate the model. The noise measurements followed Part 150 guidelines.

In an effort to use the most current information available, November 2011 through October 2012 operations was used to produce the revised Existing Noise Exposure Map (Figure S1) and fiscal year 2018 operational projections were used to produce the five-year revised Future Base Case Noise Exposure Map (Figure S2), based on the TAF.1 These two revised maps are shown on the following two pages and were developed using the operations presented in Table S1.

The Future Noise Exposure Map reflects one facility change, the planned closing and removal of Runway 14/32. An Environmental Assessment was prepared on the proposed closing of the runway in 2013. Subsequent to this, plans and specifications for the closing of the runway were prepared, and the runway is programmed to be removed in 2014, along with the reconstruction of Runway 5R/23L. As such, the 2018 map reflects the closing of the runway and a shifting of operations from Runway 14/32 to Runway 9/27. No other facility or operational changes are reflected in the Future Noise Exposure Map different from what is shown on the Existing Noise Exposure Map.

1 Note the 2018 TAF projections are based on the Federal fiscal year, (beginning in October and ending in September).

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Table S1 SUMMARY OF AIRCRAFT OPERATIONS, BY TYPE Willow Run Airport FAR Part 150 Study

Aircraft Category 2012 Base 2018 Forecast

Widebody Jets 17 0 Narrowbody Jets 3,356 3,532 Regional Jets 2,151 2,256 Business/Corporate Jets 8,174 10,523 Single Engine Prop 55,450 54,653 Multi-Engine Prop 3,963 4,042 Helicopter 182 214 Military 269 0

Total Operations 73,604 75,220

Source: Jacobsen/Daniels Associates LLC Note—Military aircraft operations were associated with an airshow the airport used to sponsor. The airshow no longer occurs and as such, no military operations are forecast in the future.

The actual INM input data sheets, separated by INM aircraft type and percent nighttime use, are found in the Appendix. In addition to aircraft operations and fleet mix, runway use is also an important element in generating DNL noise contours. The runway utilization tables have been updated to reflect revised runway use percentages and are presented in the following tables. Table S2 presents the runway utilization for the existing conditions, and Table S3 presents the same information for the future conditions.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 5

Table S2 SUMMARY OF REVISED RUNWAY UTILIZATION, EXISTING 2012 Willow Run Airport FAR Part 150 Study

Runway End Percentage Utilization Aircraft Type 05L 05R 09 14 23L 23R 27 32 Departures GA Single Engine Local 8.8% 20.2% 1.8% 0.8% 26.2% 30.4% 8.4% 3.4% GA Twin Engine Local 12.0% 21.0% 1.0% 0.0% 39.0% 16.0% 6.0% 5.0% GA Propeller Itinerant 10.1% 23.0% 2.0% 0.6% 29.4% 25.4% 6.9% 2.6% Commuters 12.0% 21.0% 1.0% 0.0% 39.0% 16.0% 6.0% 5.0% Business Jets 13.0% 27.3% 2.0% 0.0% 37.1% 13.4% 4.6% 2.6% Regional Jets 7.0% 28.0% 4.0% 0.0% 48.0% 7.0% 4.0% 2.0% Air Carriers 7.0% 28.0% 4.0% 0.0% 48.0% 7.0% 4.0% 2.0% Military 9.0% 29.0% 0.0% 0.0% 54.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0% Arrivals GA Single Engine Local 9.4% 17.0% 4.0% 1.6% 26.2% 34.0% 3.6% 4.2% GA Twin Engine Local 11.0% 21.0% 4.0% 0.0% 43.0% 18.0% 2.0% 1.0% GA Propeller Itinerant 9.9% 18.1% 4.0% 1.1% 31.0% 29.4% 3.1% 3.3% Commuters 11.0% 21.0% 4.0% 0.0% 43.0% 18.0% 2.0% 1.0% Business Jets 10.6% 22.7% 3.1% 0.0% 42.8% 18.3% 2.0% 0.5% Regional Jets 3.0% 32.0% 3.0% 0.0% 60.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% Air Carriers 3.0% 32.0% 3.0% 0.0% 60.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% Military 3.0% 35.0% 0.0% 0.0% 60.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Source: BridgeNet International, 2007

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 6

Table S3 SUMMARY OF REVISED RUNWAY UTILIZATION, FUTURE 2018 Willow Run Airport FAR Part 150 Study

Runway End Percentage Utilization Aircraft Type 05L 05R 09 14 23L 23R 27 32 Departures GA Single Engine Local 8.8% 20.2% 2.6% 0.0% 26.2% 30.4% 11.8% 0.0% GA Twin Engine Local 12.0% 21.0% 1.0% 0.0% 39.0% 16.0% 11.0% 0.0% GA Propeller Itinerant 10.1% 23.0% 2.6% 0.0% 29.4% 25.4% 10.0% 0.0% Commuters 12.0% 21.0% 1.0% 0.0% 39.0% 16.0% 11.0% 0.0% Business Jets 13.0% 27.3% 2.0% 0.0% 37.1% 13.4% 7.2% 0.0% Regional Jets 7.0% 28.0% 4.0% 0.0% 48.0% 7.0% 6.0% 0.0% Air Carriers 7.0% 28.0% 4.0% 0.0% 48.0% 7.0% 6.0% 0.0% Military 9.0% 29.0% 0.0% 0.0% 54.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0% Arrivals GA Single Engine Local 9.4% 17.0% 5.6% 0.0% 26.2% 34.0% 7.8% 0.0% GA Twin Engine Local 11.0% 21.0% 4.0% 0.0% 43.0% 18.0% 3.0% 0.0% GA Propeller Itinerant 9.9% 18.1% 5.1% 0.0% 31.0% 29.4% 6.4% 0.0% Commuters 11.0% 21.0% 4.0% 0.0% 43.0% 18.0% 3.0% 0.0% Business Jets 10.6% 22.7% 3.1% 0.0% 42.8% 18.3% 2.5% 0.0% Regional Jets 3.0% 32.0% 3.0% 0.0% 60.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% Air Carriers 3.0% 32.0% 3.0% 0.0% 60.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% Military 3.0% 35.0% 0.0% 0.0% 60.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Reduced Operations Increased Operations

Source: BridgeNet International, 2007

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 7

The land use analysis and population tables presented in the Land Use Chapter have been updated based on the revised noise contour maps and are presented in the following tables. Table 1 of FAR Part 150 was used to determine compatibility.

The following table, Table S4, presents the number of people, housing units, and specific land use acreages for the 2012 contour.

Table S4 REVISED EXISTING NOISE EXPOSURE MAP WITH GENERALIZED EXISTING LAND USE, 2012 Willow Run Airport FAR Part 150 Study

DNL 65 DNL 70 DNL 75 Land Use Contour Contour Contour

Residential 20 Ac 0 Ac 0 Ac People 110 0 0 Housing Units 45 0 0 Schools 0 0 0 Historic Sites 0 0 0 Business/Office 25 Ac 0 Ac 0 Ac Grassland/woodland 242 Ac 20 Ac 0 Ac Industrial 7 Ac 0 Ac 0 Ac Transportation/Communication 946 Ac 603 Ac 297 Ac Other 199 Ac 15 Ac 0 Ac

Total Acres 1,439 Ac 638 Ac 297 Ac

Source: Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 2010 Census Data, BDC Analysis. The total figures for each contour are cumulative. The figures for the larger contours contain the area within all smaller contours.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 8

The following table, Table S5, presents the number of acres of different land use types within the Future Noise Exposure Map, as well as the number of people and housing units.

Table S5 REVISED FUTURE NOISE EXPOSURE MAP WITH EXISTING LAND USE, 2018 Willow Run Airport FAR Part 150 Study

DNL 65 DNL 70 DNL 75 Land Use Contour Contour Contour

Residential 20 Ac 0 Ac 0 Ac People 122 0 0 Housing Units 50 0 0 Schools 0 0 0 Historic Sites 0 0 0 Business/Office 24 Ac 0 Ac 0 Ac Grassland/woodland 214 Ac 18 Ac 0 Ac Industrial 10 Ac 0 Ac 0 Ac Transportation/Communication 820 Ac 496 Ac 277 Ac Other 199 Ac 11 Ac 0 Ac

Total Acres 1,287 Ac 525 Ac 277 Ac

Source: Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 2010 Census Data, BDC Analysis. The total figures for each contour are cumulative. The figures for the larger contours contain the area within all smaller contours.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 9

Revised Recommendations

Subsequent to the submittal of the Draft Part 150 document, the Recommendations were re-evaluated with some changes. The original Recommendations can be found in the Issues/Actions and Recommendations Chapter of the June 2011 Draft Report. The following Recommendations reflect the official submittal Recommendations and have been presented at a Public Hearing held on November 6, 2013.

Revised Recommendations Summary Listing

The recommendations are summarized and categorized as follows. The Recommendations are based on the Future Noise Exposure Map. The recommendations are not listed in priority of implementation. Priorities may change as conditions change, and should be set each year along with the Airport’s Capital Improvement Program (CIP). The original Options are shown in parenthesis.

Land Use Management Elements (LUME)

Recommendation 1 Voluntary Sound Insulation of single family residential structures within the 65 DNL noise contour (LUME Alt. 1) Recommendation 2 Voluntary Sales Assistance Program (LUME Alt. 4) Recommendation 3 Recommend communities require disclosure statements/buyer notification (LUME Alt. 5) Recommendation 4 Work with communities to require sound attenuation of new residences (LUME Alt. 6) Recommendation 5 Work with communities to update master plans to discourage noise sensitive uses within the 65 DNL (LUME Alt. 7) Recommendation 6 Work with communities to update zoning ordinances to restrict noise sensitive uses within the 65 DNL (LUME Alt. 8)

Noise Abatement Elements (NAE)

Recommendation 1 Construct ground run-up enclosure (NAE Alt. 7b)

Program Management and Administrative Elements (PMAE)

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 10

Recommendation 1 Operations Review and Part 150 Updates (PMAE Alt. 9) Recommendation 2 Continuation of Study Advisory Committee (PMAE Alt. 11)

It is the intent of the Airport Authority to implement elements of the proposed Noise Compatibility Program as quickly as possible. However, the timetable for implementation would depend very heavily on the availability of funding, especially federal and local funding.

Existing Actions

This is the first FAR Part 150 Study that the Airport has completed; therefore, there is no existing Noise Compatibility Program at the Airport.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 11

Land Use Management Elements (LUME)

LUME RECOMMENDATION 1—VOLUNTARY SOUND INSULATION OF SINGLE FAMILY HOMES WITHIN THE 65 DNL

ISSUE Reduction of noise sensitive land uses within the airport environs.

NEW ACTION It is recommended that the Airport sound attenuate to achieve an inside noise level of less than 45 dB, on a voluntary basis, those single-family homes within the future 65 DNL noise contour as defined by the Eligibility Boundary shown on the following page. In addition to being within the Eligibility Boundary, the residence must have an existing inside noise level greater than 45 dB as defined by the latest FAA guidance. The sound attenuation would reduce indoor noise levels which would result in the houses being considered as a compatible land use. As a consideration for such sound attenuation, the Airport would receive a noise easement from the homeowner. If attenuation is found to be economically unfeasible or if other circumstances exist, the Airport would determine if purchase of a noise easement only would be more desirable.

In addition, if other noise sensitive uses are found within the Eligibility Boundary they too would be considered to receive sound attenuation on a voluntary basis.

COMMENTS This Action would allow those homeowners within the 65 DNL noise contour or greater to receive sound attenuation to reduce the inside noise levels to 45 dB or below. If a residential structure has an existing inside noise level of less than 45 dB, then it may not be eligible for

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 12

federal funding. The FAA guidelines consider sound attenuated houses within the 65 DNL contour compatible if sound attenuated. Sound attenuation does not apply to manufactured or mobile homes, as they cannot be attenuated to meet reduction codes. This Action would convert non-compatible uses to compatible uses and would reduce the noise intrusion to those residences where the owner decides to take advantage of sound attenuation. The Airport would receive a noise easement in return for the sound attenuation. However, if the local jurisdiction will not issue a building permit until the house is “brought up to code”, the cost to do so is not eligible for FAA funding.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 13

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SOURCE: Southeast Michigan Council of Governments (SEMCOG), November, 2006. . Figure S4 Eligibility Boundary Detail

¯ 0 200 400 800 Feet

Service Layer Credits: Copyright:© 2013 Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, TomTom Source: Esri, DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, i-cubed, USDA, USGS, AEX, Getmapping, Aerogrid, IGN, IGP, and the GIS User Community

Aerial photo date: 9/18/2011

Legend FAR Part 150 2018 DNL Noise Supplemental Report Eligibilty Boundary Willow Run Airport (YIP) SOURCE: Southeast Michigan Council of Governments (SEMCOG), November, 2006.

.

COST There are approximately 75 single family residential structures within the Eligibility Boundary. The cost for sound attenuation is estimated at approximately $50,000 per house, depending upon type of construction, resulting in an estimated cost of $3.75 million for the single family units. The cost for just an easement is estimated to be approximately $3 – 5,000.

RESPONSIBLE PARTIES The Airport would apply to the FAA for the necessary funding to conduct the program and to sound attenuate those houses found feasible. Contingent upon availability of federal funds, the Airport would institute the new sound attenuation program. The homeowners need to respond to the Airport concerning attenuation.

AIRPORT ACTION The Airport would apply to the FAA for necessary funds to accomplish this Action upon the approval of the FAR Part 150 Study. The Airport would then hire a consultant to prepare a Program Manual and initiate the Program.

TIME FRAME This New Action would be initiated by the Airport as soon as the FAR Part 150 Study is approved. It is estimated that it will take approximately two to six years to complete the sound attenuation program, depending upon funding availability.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 16

LUME RECOMMENDATION 2—VOLUNTARY SALES ASSISTANCE.

ISSUE Reduce noise impacts to areas of non- compatible land uses.

NEW ACTION The Airport would offer Sales Assistance to home owners wishing to sell their homes but who are concerned that they are not able to do so due to proximity to the Airport. This would be a voluntary Action available to home owners who are within the 65 DNL noise contour, but chose not to participate in sound insulation.

COMMENTS This voluntary Action would provide a Sales Assistance Program as an option for owners of residential uses if they are eligible for sound insulation. In some cases, home owners desire to sell their homes and feel that they cannot receive fair market value for a home due to its proximity to the Airport. This Action helps alleviate that situation, but it does not require the Airport to actually purchase the homes. As a result, if fair market value could not be obtained, the Airport would compensate the current owner for a sale that is verified to be less than the current fair market or appraised value.

The owner is guaranteed fair market value for the property. In this type of program, the Airport operator does not take title to the property, but rather compensates the property seller for the difference between fair market value and the value offered by a purchaser. Should the property sell for less than the appraised value, the Airport operator would compensate the selling owner for the shortfall. Property is appraised at its current fair market value of the home owner’s interest “as is,” subject to aircraft noise. The property is listed and sold subject to

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 17

the Airport’s easement that is conveyed to the Airport at the sale of the property. This Action is most successful with single family, as opposed to multifamily, structures because the sale prices of most owner-occupied multifamily structures are not as sensitive to aircraft noise levels.

COST Participation in such a program is traditionally relatively small, about 3% of those eligible for sound attenuation. Assuming 2 owners participate and an approximate differential of $5,000 for each sale, the cost would be approximately $10,000.

RESPONSIBLE PARTIES The Airport is responsible for applying to the FAA for funding, the home owners are responsible for notifying the Airport of their intention to participate. The FAA is responsible for granting funds, if available.

AIRPORT ACTION The Airport would apply to the FAA for necessary funds to accomplish this Action upon the approval of the FAR Part 150 Study.

TIME FRAME This Action can be initiated immediately upon approval of the Part 150 Study and is not contingent upon other Recommendations.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 18

LAND USE MANAGEMENT ELEMENT RECOMMENDATION 3—REQUIRE BUYER NOTIFICATION WITHIN THE 60 DNL

ISSUE Ensure notification of potential aircraft noise intrusion to prospective residents by providing direct notice of the possibility of such intrusion.

CONTINUED ACTION It is recommended that the Airport Authority work with the surrounding communities to require notice of noise to be placed on subdivision plats or deed for each individual lot. Such notice would be recorded on the deed and is identified in a title opinion or title insurance report, as are other similar notices

COMMENTS This action would give direct notice to prospective home buyers that the home they are considering may be subject to aircraft noise intrusion. Many new home buyers are not aware of the proximity of the airport to the home they are considering. This would allow them to make an informed decision. Such plat or deed notice would require local jurisdiction adoption and implementation because the Airport Authority does not have land use control authority. The local jurisdictions have the authority to require notice to be placed on plats or deeds for a new subdivision or as a condition of building permit approval. This would be most effective for such approvals within the 60 DNL and greater noise contour, as shown on the following page. This is similar to the types of notice required for other public health, safety, and welfare issues such as severe terrain, underground conditions, historic districts, and tax assessment districts.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 19

COST The cost to implement this recommendation is within the normal subdivision and plat review of the local jurisdictions.

RESPONSIBLE PARTIES The Airport Authority is responsible for coordinating with the local jurisdictions concerning location of properties for notice, and the local jurisdictions are responsible for implementing the notice requirements

AIRPORT ACTION The Airport Authority would coordinate with the local jurisdictions and ensure that they have the proper maps to identify the 60 DNL and greater noise exposure contour.

TIME FRAME This Action could be initiated by the Airport Authority and the jurisdictions immediately.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 20

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SOURCE: Southeast Michigan Council of Governments (SEMCOG), November, 2006. . LAND USE MANAGEMENT ELEMENT RECOMMENDATION 4—WORK WITH COMMUNITIES TO REQUIRE SOUND ATTENUATION OF NEW RESIDENCES WITHIN THE 65 DNL

ISSUE Reduce the number of non-compatible residences within the 65 DNL.

CONTINUED ACTION It is recommended that the Airport Authority work with the local jurisdictions to require sound attenuation for new residential structures within the 65 DNL and greater noise contour.

COMMENTS This action would amend requirements to include sound attenuation standards for any new construction of noise sensitive uses within the 65 DNL contour. This action would not address existing residences, but would prevent future incompatibilities by requiring noise reduction or sound attenuation for new construction. Prior to building permit or plat approval, noise sensitive uses would be required, through construction techniques, to achieve a minimum 30 dB noise reduction between outside noise levels and inside noise levels.

The local jurisdictions would not specify the means to achieve this reduction in the code, only that such reduction is necessary. The builder is given the option of how to achieve such reduction. Normally, the plat or building plans are certified to provide for the necessary noise reduction by an engineer or architect licensed to practice in the State. Although FAA guidelines suggest a 25 dB reduction within the 65 DNL, experience has shown that it may be desirable to achieve a 30 dB reduction within the 65 DNL since aircraft noise annoyances at Willow Run Airport are experienced at lower noise levels (at noise levels less than 65 DNL).

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 22

Once implemented, these requirements would result in a slight increase in the cost of construction, as homes are built with the appropriate insulation. At other airports, contractors have found that the cost of such insulation, performed at the time of construction is less than $10,000, compared to the cost of retrofitting an already built home (estimated at approximately $50,000).

COST As stated above, the approximate cost to sound attenuate a home during construction is less than $10,000 per home. The cost to administer the requirements would be part of the normal review and approval process of the various jurisdictions. The estimated cost to amend existing codes would be approximately $30,000, and would be borne by the municipality.

RESPONSIBLE PARTIES The Airport Authority and the jurisdictions are responsible for working together to identify areas that would require sound attenuation. The Airport Authority is responsible for coordinating and assisting the jurisdictions and the jurisdictions are responsible for implementation.

AIRPORT ACTION The Airport Authority would coordinate with the jurisdictions in updating their codes and would assist them to the extent possible.

TIME FRAME This Action can be initiated immediately.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 23

LAND USE MANAGEMENT ELEMENT RECOMMENDATION 5--WORK WITH COMMUNITIES TO UPDATE COMPREHENSIVE PLANS TO DISCOURAGE NOISE SENSITIVE USES WITHIN THE 65 DNL.

ISSUE Reduce introduction of new noise sensitive uses within the 65 DNL noise contour.

CONTINUED ACTION The Airport Authority would work with the communities to either amend comprehensive plans, as necessary, to discourage the introduction of new noise sensitive uses within the 65 DNL noise contour or continue to use those plans which do discourage such development.

COMMENTS All of the communities surrounding the Airport have adopted comprehensive plans, which are updated periodically as conditions change. The Airport Authority would work with the communities to ensure that the plans do not recommend the introduction or continuation of non-compatible land uses within the 65 DNL noise contour. There is concern to the amount of vacant property within the 65 DNL that could potentially be developed with additional non- compatible land uses, such as residences, schools, hospitals, or other noise sensitive uses. In addition, it would be helpful if the noise contours were adopted as part of the comprehensive plan to help guide compatible development.

COST As the communities update their existing comprehensive plans, airport compatibility issues should be taken into consideration as part of the normal updating process. As such there should be no additional cost associated with this action.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 24

RESPONSIBLE PARTIES The Airport Authority is responsible for coordinating with the communities during the update process and providing whatever information is needed. The communities are responsible for actually updating and implementing the plans.

AIRPORT ACTION The Airport Authority would assist the communities in development of these plans as requested.

TIME FRAME This Action can be initiated immediately.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 25

LAND USE MANAGEMENT ELEMENT RECOMMENDATION 6--WORK WITH COMMUNITIES TO UPDATE ZONING ORDINANCES TO RESTRICT NOISE SENSITIVE USES WITHIN THE 65 DNL.

ISSUE Reduce introduction of new noise sensitive uses within the 65 DNL noise contour.

CONTINUED ACTION The Airport Authority would work with the communities to either amend zoning ordinances, as necessary, to restrict the introduction of new noise sensitive uses within the 65 DNL noise contour or continue to utilize those ordinances which do prohibit such development.

COMMENTS All of the communities surrounding the Airport have adopted zoning ordinances, which are updated periodically as conditions change. Most of the property within the 65 DNL is currently zoned for non-residential uses. However, zoning is a creation of the political body and can be changed through the political process. In addition, one of the dilemmas of contemporary planning and zoning is to incorporate high density residential development in commercial, retail, and industrial zones. While the majority of an area may be non-residential, the introduction of residential units can result in noise concerns that were not as prevalent with non-residential uses. Zoning code amendments can stimulate some desired community development changes while at the same time introducing new citizen concerns.

Therefore, it is important that the Airport Authority work with the communities to review any amendments to the code that may unintentionally introduce non-compatible land

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 26

uses, or amend those ordinances which may already permit such uses.

COST As the communities update their existing comprehensive plans, airport compatibility issues should be taken into consideration as part of the normal update. As such there should be no additional cost associated with this action.

RESPONSIBLE PARTIES The Airport Authority is responsible for coordinating with the communities during the update process and providing whatever information is needed. The communities are responsible for updating and implementing the plans.

AIRPORT ACTION The Airport Authority would assist the communities in plan development as requested.

TIME FRAME This Action can be initiated immediately.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 27

Noise Abatement Elements (NAE)

NOISE ABATEMENT ELEMENT RECOMMENDATION 1—CONSTRUCT GROUND RUN-UP ENCLOSURE PER A SITE SELECTION STUDY

ISSUE Reduce engine maintenance noise intrusion on residents living close to the Airport.

NEW ACTION This action would construct a Ground Run-up Enclosure (GRE) in which to conduct maintenance ground run-up operations.

COMMENTS Aircraft operators must regularly conduct maintenance or repairs on aircraft systems and engines. For certain types of aircraft maintenance, engine run-up tests are conducted to demonstrate that the aircraft’s in- flight systems are working properly before the aircraft can be put back into service. A run-up is a pre-flight test of the engine systems, where various levels of engine power are applied while the aircraft remains stationary. A substantial amount of noise can be created when run-up tests occur. A GRE can provide a location for such operations to occur that minimize engine noise intrusion on the surrounding community. A GRE could be sited adjacent to one of the existing taxiways to enable aircraft to perform run-ups in a manner that minimizes aircraft noise for the surrounding community. There are approximately 5,900 people within the 70 Lmax contour that could be eliminated by this Action, as shown on page G.48, Table G15 of the June 2011 Draft Report.

A GRE cannot be used under all wind conditions, as the enclosure is aligned with the prevailing winds. However, assuming a south

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 28

orientation, the facility could be used approximately 95% of the time.

Using the DC-9 as an example, a GRE could reduce the noise levels associated with run-up operations by approximately 15 dBA which translates into a 100% reduction in the population exposed to 70 dBA Lmax or greater noise.

COST The cost to implement this action is approximately $5 to $7 million. The final location and more definitive cost estimates should be developed as part of this Action.

RESPONSIBLE PARTIES The Airport Authority is responsible for identifying a location for the GRE, writing the request for a proposal for design and construction, and notifying the operators of the procedures after construction is complete. The FAA is responsible for directing taxiing aircraft to the GRE and the operators are responsible for using the GRE.

AIRPORT ACTION The Airport Authority would identify an acceptable GRE location, apply for federal funding to hire consultants to design the structure, write the specifications and write the Request for Bid for contractors. Then, the Authority would hire the contractor to construct the facility.

TIME FRAME This Action can be initiated immediately upon approval of this Study; air space review of the location; and receipt of funding.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 29

Program Management and Administrative Elements (PMAE)

PROGRAM MANAGEMENT AND ADMINISTRATIVE ELEMENT RECOMMENDATION 1—OPERATIONS REVIEW AND PART 150 UPDATES

ISSUE Update and review of the FAR Part 150 Study.

CONTINUED ACTION The FAR Part 150 Study is a five-year program recommended to be re-evaluated at the end of the five-year period. In addition, if there is a significant change in either aircraft types or numbers of operations, or significant new facilities, then it is recommended that the Study be re-evaluated prior to the end of the five-year time frame.

COMMENTS It is recommended that Airport Authority staff undertake a yearly review of the aircraft types and numbers, along with the actual number of operations occurring at the Airport and determine if they are consistent with the projections contained in the FAR Part 150 document. The various actions would also be reviewed to assess their ability to mitigate the projected noise intrusion and to rate the overall effectiveness of the program.

COST The cost of monitoring the information set forth in this section would be borne out of the normal Airport Authority operating budget. Consultant assistance for various elements would be approximately $40,000. The cost to update the entire Part 150 Study ranges from $200,000 to $300,000.

RESPONSIBLE PARTIES The Airport Authority would be responsible for updating and monitoring the study. The FAA could help fund the update if there are funds available for such planning.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 30

AIRPORT ACTION Based on the monitoring activities described, the Airport Authority would reevaluate the program when there is a significant change in operations, aircraft types, or at the end of the five-year timeframe.

TIME FRAME The Airport Authority would continue its monitoring program and consider the need for a full update at the end of the fifth-year after submittal or earlier if necessary as per FAR Part 150.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 31

PROGRAM MANAGEMENT AND ADMINISTRATIVE ELEMENT RECOMMENDATION 2—CONTINUATION OF STUDY ADVISORY COMMITTEE

ISSUE Continuation of learning curve and “body of knowledge” developed during the Study process, and follow-up on the implementation of the recommendations.

NEW ACTION The Study Advisory Committee established for this Study has been instrumental in establishing these recommendations. It is recommended that a similar committee or the same committee continue to monitor programs implemented as a result of the Part 150 Study after its completion.

COMMENTS Considerable time an effort has been expended, by both the Airport Authority and the Committee members, in the development of this Study, especially the “learning curve” effort and the building of relationships. This committee is too valuable a tool for communication to risk losing at the end of this process. In addition, on-going aircraft operational procedures evaluation should be discussed through the Committee. It is very difficult to foster a feeling of trust in many airport planning efforts. Such a feeling can be developed through the members of this or a similar Committee. Both sides of most issues are represented and all interests are heard. This is very important for the continued successful implementation of the noise compatibility program and operation of the Airport.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 32

COST The cost for organizing and conducting Committee meetings could be included in the normal operating expenses of the Airport Authority at approximately $30,000 per year.

RESPONSIBLE PARTIES The Airport Authority would be responsible for the formulation of the Committee and Committee administration. Other parties may be responsible for appointing members of the Committee. Committee members are responsible for attending and participation in Committee functions.

AIRPORT ACTION The Airport Authority would schedule and conduct the Committee meetings, on at least a quarterly basis, as a means of disseminating information and gathering input on noise compatibility issues.

TIME FRAME This action can occur within the first few months of approval of the FAR Part 150 Study. It can also be implemented without regard to any other recommendation.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 33

Consultation

A public hearing was held on the Supplemental Chapter and Recommendations on November 6, 2013 at The Yankee Air Museum. There were eight people who signed in for the hearing. The hearing was an open house format with boards representing the existing and future operations, population and land use within the noise contours, the existing and future noise exposure maps, the eligibility map, and the noise compatibility plan map. Both verbal and written comments were accepted. A court reporter was present to take verbal testimony. The open house was held first with the presentation presented after one half hour of viewing the boards. None of the attendees stayed for the presentation. The transcript and proof of publication are in the Appendix. No comments were received either during or subsequent to the hearing.

On November 12, 2013 the Airport Authority approved the Recommendations and the Noise Exposure Maps and directed the staff and consultants to submit the document to the FAA. The Resolution is in the Appendix.

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 34

Appendix

INM Operational Tables Appendix A Hearing Transcript Appendix B Proof of Publication Appendix C Sponsor Approval Record Appendix D Forecast Methodology Appendix E

Willow Run Airport December 2013 FAR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study/Supplemental Chapter S. 35

Appendix A INM Operational Tables

Appendix B Hearing Transcript

Appendix C Proof of Publication

SUNDAY, OCT.6,2013 WWW.FREEP.COM 3J

CAE Analyst (Troy, MI, or The Dow Chemical Co. has Garage Materials Engineer in Advance Boring &Tool in Skyway Precision Inc. To advertise other unanticipated loca- an opening in its Midland, MI Chesterfield Township is ORDER FOR SERVICE tions throughout the U.S.) Research: BASF Corpora- Is currently seeking Notice of HIV/AIDS BY PUBLICATION office for: Development En- hiring experienced Care and Treatment Sale call 1-800-WANT-ADS MSME &12mo. exp as tion is seeking aMaterials NexCare Health candidates for…. 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Oct 10th, 7-8:30 p.m. tion of MEC designers, engi- our website to see tative for TS-16949. Facili- Health Association 2627 Fleet near Michigan. Main focus is to All Shifts 18 Roland Avenue Sale begins Fri. Oct 11th, neers and fabrication re- tate Quality activities to announce the availability Lewiston, ME 04240 Linwood/Oakman Blvd area. 9:30-1:30 pm. Sat. Oct 12th, Director of Infotainment, identify and guide interdis- our career support the CNC manufac- of grant funds fromthe sources through use of ma- Antiques, Housewares, and 9:30-12 noon. $3 bag sale. General Motors CBU. (Farm- ciplinary product develop- turing process. Ensure Ryan White Treatment v. Clothing. (313)396-0057 ington Hills, MI). Translate terials science, design and opportunities and APPLY IN PERSON AT that all product and serv- Extension Act beginning ment topics for raw materi- corporate, division and de- engineering skills, and proc- ices provided to our Cus- March 1, 2014. Requested JIAN REN CHEN partment goals to Sales als (including polymers locations Advance Boring Tool Co. tomers meet and exceed for proposals will be ess knowledge that meet or 26950 23 Mile Rd Defendant FARMINGTON HILLS Team goals, assign to ap- and resins) to address un- their required specifica- available on propriate team members. exceed customer’s expecta- www.nexcarehealth. Chesterfield Twp., MI tions. Develop and train October 4,2014 at RUMMAGE SALE met market needs for ex- 48051 Doll Show Sun Oct 6, 10-4 The Birmingham Temple Monitor progress of team tions. Master’s degree re- all Qualitypersonnelin SEMHAryanwhite.org. This court has reviewed the P.L.A.V. Hall, 25222 Warren members and provide sup- ternal customers. Partici- com their job functions.Initiate These materials explain 28611 W. 12 Mile quired. To apply &submit OR FAX motion of the plaintiff for Dbn Hts btw Tel/Beech Daly btwn Middlebelt &Inkster. port to provide tools and pate in innovative product all Customer requiredcor- the application and service by publication 8’ tables $30. 248-702-6277 process changes to facilitate your resume visit www.dow. rective actions and follow selection process. Thurs., Oct. 10, 5pm-8pm development projectsand (586) 598-9303 pursuant to Rule 4(g) of the (20% Mark-Up 1st Night) meeting goals. Increase top com/careers and search un- Nursing up to ensurethat they are Maine Rules of Civil line sales for an awarded equipment development effective. Approximately 6million in Fri., Oct. 11, 9am-4pm der North America for job # Procedure. Lincoln Park Sale-1689 Sat., Oct.12, 9am-noon book of business between projects to explore next federal resources will be Goddard, Sun 10-3pm. $250M to $1B per year, min- 1307996 EOE. Perioperative RN Please forward salary provided to successful Bag Sale! Cash Only Please technology-levels in HTP Surgical center It is ORDERED that service Furn, Electronics, Mens imizing consumption of en- seeking full or part requirements with resume applicants who provide cloth, china, wine cooler, gineering resources; create and expand the HTP appli- be made upon the other par- Rummage Sale Nardin Wirtz ManufacturingCom- time RN. Fax resume to: kpatton@ medical and supportive ty by publishing acopy of Zildjian cymbals, dvds, vhs Park United Methodist and maintain strong relation- cation portfolio. Design pany Inc seeks Mechanical to 248-281-0034. skywayprecision.com services to persons living this Order once aweek for ships with key customers, Engineer to work inPort Fax: #734-455-9659 with HIV/AIDS in the Church, 29887 W. 11 Mile, proactively expanding rela- and direct research experi- three (3) successive weeks, FarmingtonHills, Tues. Oct Huron, Michigan. Will com- following counties: in the The Detroit News, a 8th 6-9pm Surcharge; tionships for infotainment ments on laboratory and plete engineering of all in- Openings for applicants Wayne, Oakland, and electronics, direct sales newspaper of general circu- Wed. Oct 9. 9-5pm Thurs. pilot plant scale. Maintain dustrial battery manufactur- at our Detroit location Macomb, Lapeer, lation in the county where Oct. 10th 9-3 pm. Bag Sale. forecasting; create and fulfill ing equipment usingEngi- (2799 W. Grand Blvd.) for Diesel Mechanics St. Clair and Monroe. the action is pending. asupport plan for the cus- adetailed laboratorynote- neering design software. *Medical Physicist Non Profit Organizations tomer’s sales, product plan- book and prepare internal Develop new machine de- -Job Code 80428 and Needed! and local units of It is FURTHER ORDERED ning, marketing and public technical reports and pre- signs of battery manufactur- *Pain Anesthesiologist Full Time, Medical goverment who provide or relations organizations, Benefits and Paid Time that the party being served sentations in accordance ing equipment and improve -Job Code 80427 are interested in by publication appear and maintain and manage entry features and functions of Submit resume to Off. Dearborn Heights, providing services to serve an answer to the mo- and mid-level relationships. with scientific and intellec- new and existing industrial Henry Fordwebsite at: Ecorse, Wyandotte persons living with tion or complaint on the oth- Bachelor’s in Engineering tual property principles. In- equipment. Generate proj- http://careers.henryford.com Apply by Fax HIV/Aids in one of the er party at the above ad- Management, Electronics ect schedules and esti- and reference applicable 313-295-5616 or email above mentioned counties Fur,Fins& terface with research and dress. The answer must be Engineering or related +5 mates. Develop all tooling job code. melissak@ WHITE CHAPEL, Troy 4 are invited to submit a filed with the court within years of exp as Account development units from for battery manufacturing Henry Ford trinitytransportation.com grave sites, together, sect proposal. forty-one (41) days after the Manager or any related au- other BASF divisions glob- equipment. Liaise with man- Health System or online at www. tomotive engineering man- trinitytransportation. 13823. $4995. 951.679.8820 first publication of this Or- ally to provide the Re- ufacturing locations to en- 1Ford Place Final award totoals are der. agement position. Must sure that components and Detroit, MI 48202 com/careers dependent on availablitiy have exp with CAD/CAM de- search &Development equipment are made to of federal resources It is FURTHER ORDERED Feathers sign and data processing for pipeline with new ideas. specs. PHYSICIAN administered by the that the moving party mail a PCB boards, Eagle, Must have Masters Degree Health Resources and (INTERNAL MEDICINE) copy of the Order as pub- To advertise call 1-800-WANT-ADS AutoCAD, Barco, C, Python, in Mechanical Engineering or Fleet Mechanic NOTICE Services Administration. lished to the other party at Pascal, Shell Script, Assem- Position requires aPh.D. foreign equivalent and have All advertising published bler; must have exp with au- the party’s last known ad- degree in Chemical Engi- two years of experience per- Wayne State University MPC is looking for an is subject to the applica- The Request For dress. tomotive and consumer forming mechanical engi- ble rate card, copies of Proposal, instructions, neering or in Polymer Sci- Physician Group is seeking experienced Fleet electronics: radio, TV, VCR, neering work in an industrial Mechanic. Min. req. are: which are available from and all necessary Failure to serve an an - navigation, navigation data, ence and Engineering and capacity with experience in afull-time Physician (Internal HS Diploma, 3+ yrs exp. our Advertising Depart- applications materials may swer will cause judgment Persian CPC blue Tabby GERMAN SHORT HAIR - Telematic Services, must three years of experience battery manufacturing and ment. All ads are subject be obtained by visiting boy. breeder $1000. MC/V AKC Champion bloodline, have sales/account manage- Medicine) in Detroit, Michi- working on diesel & by defaulttobeentered, in polymer science anden- equipment design and de- non-diesel vehicles, to approval before publica- SEMHARyanWhite.org granting relief sought in snopeke.com 734-765-5671 9weeks, 1st shots. $500 ment and global account velopment.. Applicants sub- gan. Diagnose and provide tion. We reserve the right (810) 984-1365 gineering. Experience ASME cert. in automotive the motionorcomplaint. management exp for auto- mit resumes to Ken treatment for diseases and and heavy truck, CDL-A to edit, refuse, reject, or NOTICE OF motive infotainment and must include polymer Warshefski, Human Resour- cancel any ad at any time. GOLDEN RETRIEVER pup navigation solutions. Em- injuries ofinternal organ sys- license w/ tanker and PUBLIC HEARING PRELIMINARY INJUNC - AKC family raised, 1male chemistry, polymer proc- ces Manager, 1105 24th airbrakes endorsements, Errors must be reported in WILLOW RUNAIRPORT TION: IT IS FURTHER AKC MALTESE 2F left. Vet ployer willaccept anycom- Street, P.O. Box 5006, Port tems. Provide care for pa- the first day of publica- last of litter. 810-499-6434 bination of essing, and polymer engi- good driving record (3 pts FAR Part 150 ORDERED that the above ck’d, 1st shots, wormed 10 Huron, MI 48061-5006. tients who have awide or less). Pref. req. are: tion. We shall not be liable Supplemental Noise named parties be: wks. Call for info $500 education /exp/trai ning neering. All experience for any loss or expense LAB PUPS, AKC, $500 equivalent to abachelor’s range of problems associat- prior exp. working on Compatibility Study 1. Prohibited from transfer- (989) 435-3979 SHOTS, YELLOW OR may be gained prior to vacuum equip. and/or hy - that results from the publi- ring, encumbering, conceal- degree in lieu of primary re- ed with the internal organs, cation (whether published BLACK. 734-652-9593 quirements. Paula V. Smith, conferral of Ph.D. degree draulic services. Yankee Air Museum ing, selling or otherwise such as the stomach, kid- correctly or not) or omis- 47884 DStreet disposing of any property of LAB PUPS white color, 2yr Harman Becker Automotive in an academic or industri- Eberspaecher North Ameri- neys, liver and digestive Full job found at sion of an advertisement. Belleville, Michigan either or both parties, except Systems, Inc., 39001 West ca, Inc. seeks aDirector of ATTENTION PET LOVERS guar. shots. dews. family al setting.Upto10% do- tract. Contact Jessica Mar- www. in the usual course of busi- Detroit Newspapers discour- raised. $600. 586.604.2415 12 Mile Road, Farmington Quality Management for a marinepollutioncontrol. Wednesday, ness or for the necessities of Hills, MI 48331. Ref. Code mestic and international position in Novi, MI. Quali - tin, HR Generalist, Wayne ages ads which offer pets for HBAH1. Include ref. code. com November 6, 2013 life, without the written con- free. These ads may draw re- LABRADOODLE PUPS travel required. fied candidates must have State University Physician 5:30 to 7:30 p.m. sent of the parties or the black, shots, nice $450-500 an MS in Business Admin, Adopt: Asecure life of love sponses from individuals Group, 1420 Stephenson Job may require 2nd shift permission of the court. who might use your animal Cash only 419.250.3160 Engineering Mgt, or schedule and weekend awaits your baby through 2. Prohibited from imposing Engineering Technician Please mail your resume, Highway, Troy, MI 48083, Wayne County Airport for research, breeding or oth- The City of Warren is foreign equivalent &2yrs work when necessary. the gift of adoption. Exp. Authority is in the final any restraint on the personal er purposes. We recommend accepting applications indicating Requisition exp in the job offered or [email protected] Fax 313-841-4304 or paid. Daria (888) 788-5624. stages of conducting a liberty of the other party or asking anominal price for without regard to race or sex Code 1302983 ,to: Attn: substantially similar email hr@ Federal Aviation Regulation on any natural or adopted your pet. Please be sure to position. Interested marinepollutioncontrol. Looking for Nephew , child of either or both of the for the position of Kathie Patrico, Human Re- Damian H. Born in Greyling (FAR) Part 150 Aircraft Noise screen respondents carefully. Engineering Technician. candidatesshould send com. Apply in-person and Land Use Compatibility parties. Your pet will thank you! sources Representative, their resumes to: Monica 8631 W. Jefferson, Detroit MI. 515-669-2277 Supplemental Study for 3. Prohibited from voluntarily Go to www.cityofwarren.org Britton, eberspaecherjobs RN under "Job Listings" for all 1609 Biddle Avenue, 48209. EOE Willow Run Airport. The removing the other party or Blue Heeler Pups- shots. @gmail.com or, WIN A2013 CORVETTE LT4 supplemental Study repre- any child or children of the information. Deadline to Wyandotte, MI 48192. See Eberspaecher North Director of Nursing 60th Anniv. Editionor$40K wormed. Can deliver $175. apply: October 18, 2013, Cash. www.winavette.com sents the combined efforts parties from any policy of 810.636.2349 810.869.0272 by 5:00 p.m. us on the World Wide America, ATTN: Monica of community and airport health insurance that pro- Web at www.basf.com. Britton, 29101 Haggerty For 152 bed skilled LTC stakeholders who have an vides coverage for the other Road, Novi, MI 48337. Manufacturing Border Collie/Terrier pups EOE M/F/D/V. facility 5+ years interest in activity at the party or the child or children Ford Motor Company - No phone calls please Airport. of the parties. super smart &very playful. experience in hospital, Machine Maintenance $295. 734.646.4007 Product Development Engi- LABRADOODLE Pups Curly LTC facility, or other LIQUIDATION NOTICE The publicisinvited to WARNING: This Prelimi - neer (Dearborn, MI). Reqs -Plymouth Bakery - BOXER AKC PUPS Blk & F1B, exc. family pet. $600 Openings for degreed & health care facility TO CREDITORS OF attend aPublic Hearing to nary Injunction isanoffi - 989.864.8606; 810.542.0164 Bach’s or frgn equiv deg in exp’d applicants for: CRAFTSMAN provide information about cial court Order. If you whites, brindles, M/F •Mechanical/Electrical $400. 313-717.8022 mech’l eng, automotive eng *Senior Supplier Risk Current MI License CREDIT UNION changing conditions that disobey this Order, the Pekingese AKC- White boy Engineer -Provideimmed skills The Michigan Office of Fi- have taken place since the court may find youin or rel field &3yrs powertrain Bull Mastiff/Pit bull pups Champ li, micro chip, $500. on-site support atcritical Admissions Director Send Resume and nancial and Insurance Regu- last Part 150 Noise Study contempt of court.This MC/Visa 734.765.5671 dvlpmt exp. Must also have suppliers struggling to meet •PLC’s, pneumatics, lation placed the Craftsman was completed in 2009. court Order is effective beautiful brindle babies shi- Salary Requirements hydraulics, ny coats $350 734.646.4007 3yrs exp: perform’g engine delivery &qualityreq’mts, Regency at Canton, one Credit Union, Insurance Cer- Those changes include until the earliestofthe Pomeranian Puff Ball Pups impacting near term prod & to: tificate No. 61511, 2444 reductions in aircraft opera- following: 1) the court Blacks &Creams $350-400 testing (dyno or vehicle) that of Michigan’s newest •Conveyor systems, delivery to customers; [email protected] Clark St., Detroit, MI 48209, tions and the potential revokes or modifies it; Champion Golden Retrievers 734-992-4870 734.309.0558 incl evaluating attribute ef- *Project Manager -resp for nursing home facilities, welding into involuntary liquidation. closure of Runway 14-32. 2) Afinal judgment is Kelore Golden Retrievers . Bortz Health Care fects on diff engine ctrl managing complex automo- seeks candidates for an The National Credit Union entered in the matter Bred for health and tem- tive lighting projects; of Warren •Great work schedule Administration Board has Wayne County Airport before the court; or 3) perament .Ihave been approaches/settings; evalu- Admissions Director. As accountable for projects in 11700 E. Ten Mile Rd. accepted appointment as Authority will hold aPublic The action is dismissed. showing and raising quality ating emissions responses entirety from quoting to the Director you will •Excellent benefits Liquidating Agent of the Hearing on the Part 150 companions for over 15 Warren, MI 48089 to fundamental engine ctrl product launch; positions manage the facility credit union. Supplemental Study on This order is incorporated years. AKC, female, good located in Plymouth Town- •Pay starts $21/hour and Wednesday, November 6, into the docket byreference with children, male, parents settings; evaluating ship, MI and other multiple census and lead the negotiable All creditors having any 2013 at the Yankee Air at the specific direction of on site, show quality, aftertreatment interaction w/ claim or demand against (231)527-0116 undetermined worksites facility census •Fast paced environment Museum located at 47884 D the court. engine control; &using throughout the U.S.; development team. Craftsman Credit Union Street in Belleville, Michigan http://www.keloregoldens. powertrain instrumentation, Send resume by mail & must submit their claim or from 5:30 to 7:30 p.m. The com include salary req’ts to: You will lead marketing Please e-mail your demand in writing,together Hearing will be aformal data collection &analysis Human Resources activities in the Restaurant &Kitchen resume with proof, by December 16, open house format, allowing [email protected] 2013. All such claims or de- tools. Apply online: Hella Corporate Center community and local EOE the public to stop by any- Fair Haven Eagles #2784 corporate.ford.com/careers USA, Inc. Managers mands must be senttothe time between 5:30 and 7:30 Chihuahua Pups -Tiny 43811 Plymouth Oaks hospitals to develop following address: p.m. Ashort presentation Craft Show &Auxiliary Bake Adorable, M/F, All Colors, Rhodesian Ridgeback AKC Sale. 7545 Palms Rd., Fair PUPS boys/girls born Blvd.Plymouth Township, referrals. You will be National Credit Union will be held at 6:00 p.m. Haven, MI 48023. Sat, Nov Shots, $275+, 248-894-2640 MI 48170 responsible for the entire We’re aGrowing Administration Public comments will be 8/10/13. 248 545 3222 Liquidating Agent for the taken by acourt reporter 23rd 9am-3pm. Crafters COCKER SPANIELS Industrial Engineering process from facility Company! Needed. Table Rental $15. ROTTWEILER AKC Reg Join the Buddy’s PROTOTYPE PRESS Craftsman Credit Union after the 6:00 p.m. presenta- AKC 8wks/1st shots, $400, Press Hardening Die tours, to consulting with 4807 Spicewood Springs tion or can be made in Tina 810-794-4801 Pics: Facebook @ Puppies born July 30, tails, Project Manager dewclaws, shots, dewormed Dearborn, MI Engr. in Troy, MI responsi- families to qualifying Pizza Team! OPERATORS Road, Suite 5100 writing and submitted that peyerkscockerspaniels ble to meet all objectives & (2 day &1night Shifts) Austin, Texas 78759 evening. 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Appendix D Sponsor Approval Record

RESOLUTION No. 13-127

Mead & Hunt, Inc. (Supplement to Draft Federal Aviation Regulation Part 150 Noise Study) Control No. 1400026

By Board Member Mike Jackson

WHEREAS, the Wayne County Airport Authority, pursuant to the Michigan Public Airport Authority Act, being MCL 259.108 – 259.125c, operates and manages the Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport and Willow Run Airport and is vested with the powers and authority to undertake such management and operation pursuant to the Aeronautics Code of the State of Michigan; and

WHEREAS, the Wayne County Airport Authority is governed by the Wayne County Airport Authority Board; and

WHEREAS, Mead and Hunt has prepared a Supplement to Draft Federal Aviation Regulation (FAR) Part 150 Noise Study at Willow Run Airport; and

WHEREAS, the Wayne County Airport Authority Board desires to approve the Supplement to Draft Federal Aviation Regulation (FAR) Part 150 Noise Study at Willow Run Airport and the submission of the Supplement to the FAA for review and comment.

NOW THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED that the Wayne County Airport Authority Board hereby approves the Supplement to Draft Federal Aviation Regulation (FAR) Part 150 Noise Study at Willow Run Airport prepared by Mead and Hunt, Inc. and the submission of the Supplement to the FAA for review and comment.

This Resolution was supported by Board Member Mary Zuckerman and carried by the following vote:

AYES: Glancy, Hall, Jackson, McNamara, Zuckerman

NAYS: None

DATE: November 12, 2013

Appendix E Forecast Methodology

Forecast of Aviation Demand

INTRODUCTION

Aircraft operations data is a key input variable in the development of Noise Exposure Maps (NEM) as required in the development of Part 150 Noise Compatibility Plans. Actual aircraft operations data from the most recent year is used to develop the baseline or current year NEM. And a forecast of aircraft operations for a period at least five years in the future is used to develop the future year NEM. In the preparation of Willow Run Airport’s (YIP or the Airport) NEMs, 2012 was established as the current year and 2018 was chosen as the future year.

This report provides a review of the existing baseline year (2012) aircraft operations, as well as the future forecast of operations from the FAA’s Terminal Area Forecast released January 2013 (2013 TAF) and determines the reasonableness of its use in developing the Airport’s 2018 future year noise exposure maps (NEM). In addition, to support NEM development, this report provides existing aircraft type (fleet mix) information, as well as the anticipated shifts in fleet mix between 2012 and 2018.

2012 BASELINE OPERATIONS

The aircraft operations used to develop the 2012 current year noise exposure map is based on Airport Situational Display (ASD) data (IFR operations) and Airport management records (VFR operations) for the period November 2011 through October 2012 (2012 Airport Data). The 2012 Airport Data was used because it was the most recent data available and it provided the most accurate portrayal of existing Airport operations by aircraft type (fleet mix).

According to 2012 Airport Data, there were 73,602 total aircraft operations at YIP compared to 74,692 as reported in the 2013 TAF for fiscal year 2012 (the 12-month period ending September 2012 (FY). This equates to a difference of 1,089 operations or a 1.5% variance from the 2013 TAF. Based on the assumption that the 2012 Airport Data provides the most accurate description of current Airport operations by fleet mix, and its minor variance from the 2013 TAF, it was used to develop the 2012 current year NEM. The planned 2018 NEM will be based on the 2013 TAF projections for 2018 of approximately 75,220 total aircraft operations.

2013 TERMINAL AREA FORECAST

Background

Each year the FAA Office of Policy and Plans publishes a new Terminal Area Forecast (TAF) for each of the nation’s active airports. The TAF includes historical and forecast enplaned passengers, historical and forecast aircraft operations, the number of based aircraft, and other related data. All data is reported on a FY basis unless otherwise noted.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 1 The TAF presents aircraft operations data organized by four specific FAA defined aircraft categories based on the size and air service function of each aircraft. The four aircraft categories are: air carrier, air taxi/commuter, general aviation and military. General aviation and military aircraft operations are further subdivided into itinerant and local operations. Itinerant operations include flights from one airport to another while local operations are flights which generally occur within site of the airport such as pilot training or recreational flights. In this report, military operations are presented as a single category because of the relatively small number of operations (182 in 2012).

Presented below in Table 1 is a summary of YIP’s historical aircraft operations for the period 2002 through 2012 and the forecast for the period 2013 to 2018 as presented in the 2013 TAF. As discussed above, 2012 Airport Data is the source for 2012 aircraft operations presented on Table 1.

Table 1 Historical and Forecast Aircraft Operations Willow Run Airport

Commercial Air Taxi/ TotalGeneral Aviation Total Year Air Carrier Commuter Commercial Itinerant Local Total GA Military Operations

2002 4,584 16,419 21,003 47,393 49,453 96,846 72 117,921 2003 4,366 17,105 21,471 46,458 45,187 91,645 98 113,214 2004 5,838 18,595 24,433 48,286 42,224 90,510 74 115,017 2005 4,904 20,219 25,123 44,139 37,804 81,943 42 107,108 2006 3,537 16,016 19,553 37,742 31,745 69,487 99 89,139 2007 4,682 15,875 20,557 32,143 26,831 58,974 90 79,621 2008 2,997 12,325 15,322 33,223 34,513 67,736 212 83,270 2009 1,274 8,724 9,998 25,610 28,240 53,850 524 64,372 2010 3,099 9,850 12,949 26,384 27,613 53,997 199 67,145 2011 4,402 10,331 14,733 24,730 26,751 51,481 1,061 67,275 2012 3,372 12,621 15,993 23,777 33,650 57,427 182 73,602

Forecast 2013 3,556 10,106 13,662 26,850 32,479 59,329 182 73,173 2014 3,577 10,285 13,862 26,955 32,577 59,532 182 73,576 2015 3,598 10,465 14,063 27,061 32,675 59,736 182 73,981 2016 3,619 10,649 14,268 27,167 32,773 59,940 182 74,390 2017 3,640 10,836 14,476 27,273 32,872 60,145 182 74,803 2018 3,661 11,026 14,687 27,380 32,971 60,351 182 75,220

Compound Annual Growth Rates 2002-2012 -3.0% -2.6% -2.7% -6.7% -3.8% -5.1% 9.7% -4.6% 2007-2012 -6.4% -4.5% -4.9% -5.9% 4.6% -0.5% 15.1% -1.6% 2009-2012 38.3% 13.1% 17.0% -2.4% 6.0% 2.2% -29.7% 4.6%

2012-2018 1.4% -2.2% -1.4% 2.4% -0.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.4% 2013-2018 0.6% 1.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.6%

Sources: 2002-2011 and 2013-2018: Federal Aviation Administration Terminal Area Forecast, January 2013. 2012: Provided by BridgeNet International from ASD data and Airport management records for the period Nov. 2011 - Oct. 2012.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 2

Air Carrier Operations

Air carrier operations are defined as commercial operations provided by aircraft, when configured for passenger service, which have greater than 60 seats. This category typically includes scheduled airline service on passenger or all-cargo airlines, on-demand cargo service and charter flights. Since there is no scheduled passenger service at YIP, all of its air carrier operations are all-cargo flights.

Historical Operations. Air carrier operations at YIP decreased from approximately 4,600 in 2002 to 3,400 in 2012 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -3.0%. During the period 2002 to 2012, air carrier operations displayed a significant amount of variability reaching a peak of over 5,800 operations in 2004 before falling to a low of less than 1,300 in 2009 during the most recent national economic recession. The steep decline in 2009 air carrier operations at YIP was the result of a fall-off in air cargo activity which was also experienced on a national level. Since 2009, air carrier operations rebounded to approximately 4,400 in 2011 and settled at slightly below 3,400 in 2012.

Forecast Operations. Air carrier operations are forecast to increase from approximately 3,400 annual operations in 2012 to nearly 3,700 operations in 2018 at a CAGR of 1.4%. The forecast indicates that the recent decline in air carrier operations will level-off in 2012 and then air carrier operations will begin to slowly increase over the forecast period.

Air Taxi/Commuter

Air taxi/commuter operations are defined as commercial operations on aircraft, when configured to carry passengers that have 60 or fewer seats. The majority of air taxi/commuter operations at YIP are by on-demand cargo operators and charter passenger flights. The air taxi/commuter category includes aircraft operations by a wide range of aircraft sizes including operations by multi-engine turboprops and business jets.

Historical Operations. Air taxi/commuter activity at YIP is similar to air carrier activity in that it includes primarily all-cargo operations. Likewise, the number of the air taxi/commuter operations displayed considerable variability from year to year. From 2002 to 2012, air taxi/commuter operations declined from over 16,400 operations in 2002 to approximately 12,600 in 2012 at a CAGR of -2.6%. Air taxi/commuter operations peaked at over 20,200 in 2005 before falling to a low of about 8,700 in 2009, largely as a result of the most recent economic recession and the decline in total air cargo tonnage. Since 2009, air taxi/commuter activity has rebounded and reached approximately 12,600 aircraft operations in 2012.

Forecast Operations. Air taxi/commuter operations are forecast to decline from approximately 12,600 annual operations in 2012 to over 10,100 operations in 2013. Beginning in 2013, air taxi/commuter operations are projected to increase at a CAGR of 1.8% and reach over 11,000 operations by 2018.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 3 Commercial Operations

Commercial operations include the combined activity of air carrier and air taxi/commuter aircraft operations.

Historical Operations. From 2002 to 2012, total commercial operations followed a trend similar to its individual components. Commercial operations increased from just over 21,000 in 2002 to a peak of approximately 25,100 in 2005 before falling to under 10,000 operations in 2009. Since 2009, commercial operations have rebounded to approximately 16,000 aircraft operations in 2012.

Forecast Operations. Total commercial operations are forecast to decline from approximate 16,000 operations in 2012 to 13,700 operations in 2013. Beginning in 2013 total commercial operations are projected to increase at an annual rate of 1.5% and reach approximately 14,700 operations in 2018.

General Aviation

General aviation (GA) operations are typically defined as operations other than commercial and military. GA operations typically range from small single-engine propeller aircraft used for flight training and recreational use up to large jet aircraft used for business or corporate purposes.

As presented in Table 2 below, GA operations are classified in the TAF as itinerant or local operations. Itinerant operations include those flights that include travel between multiple airports while local operations are those flights that takeoff and land at YIP and whose flight paths generally remain within site of the Airport.

Over the 2002-2012 period, the percentage share of total GA operations represented by itinerant and local operations has remained near 50% for each category, but has ranged from approximately 45% to 55% for each category.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 4 Table 2 Historical and Forecast General Aviation Aircraft Operations Willow Run Airport

Itinerant GA Local GA Total Aircraft % of Aircraft % of General Year Operations Total GA Operations Total GA Aviation

2002 47,393 48.9% 49,453 51.1% 96,846 2003 46,458 50.7% 45,187 49.3% 91,645 2004 48,286 53.3% 42,224 46.7% 90,510 2005 44,139 53.9% 37,804 46.1% 81,943 2006 37,742 54.3% 31,745 45.7% 69,487 2007 32,143 54.5% 26,831 45.5% 58,974 2008 33,223 49.0% 34,513 51.0% 67,736 2009 25,610 47.6% 28,240 52.4% 53,850 2010 26,384 48.9% 27,613 51.1% 53,997 2011 24,730 48.0% 26,751 52.0% 51,481 2012 23,777 41.4% 33,650 58.6% 57,427

Forecast 2013 26,850 45.3% 32,479 54.7% 59,329 2014 26,955 45.3% 32,577 54.7% 59,532 2015 27,061 45.3% 32,675 54.7% 59,736 2016 27,167 45.3% 32,773 54.7% 59,940 2017 27,273 45.3% 32,872 54.7% 60,145 2018 27,380 45.4% 32,971 54.6% 60,351

Compound Annual Growth Rates

2002-2012 -6.7% -3.8% -5.1% 2007-2012 -5.9% 4.6% -0.5% 2009-2012 -2.4% 6.0% 2.2%

2012-2018 2.4% -0.3% 0.8% 2013-2018 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%

Sources: 2002-2011: Federal Aviation Administration Terminal Area Forecast, January 2013 for FY 2012. 2012: Provided by BridgeNet International from ADS data and Airport management records for the period Nov. 2011 - Oct. 2012.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 5 Historical Itinerant Operations. From 2002 to 2012, itinerant GA operations declined by approximately 50% from just under 47,400 operations in 2002 to approximately 23,800 operations in 2012 at a CAGR of -6.7%. This decline can be attributed to a number of factors including a significant rise in fuel prices that occurred from approximately 2004 to 2007 and then a severe national economic recession which occurred between approximately 2007 and 2009. Between 2009 and 2012, the decline in itinerant operations has greatly slowed with activity leveling off between approximately 24,000 and 26,000 annual operations.

Forecast Itinerant Operations. GA operations are forecast to increase to approximately 27,400 operations in 2018 at an annual rate of 2.4%. The majority of this growth is expected to occur from 2012 to 2013, and then from 2013 to 2018 the growth in itinerant operations is expected to level-off at an annual rate of 0.4%.

Historical Local Operations. From 2002 to 2012, local GA operations declined by approximately 32.0% from approximately 49,500 operations in 2002 to approximately 33,700 operations in 2012 at a CAGR of -3.8%. A significant portion of this decline can be attributed to the affects of rising fuel prices during the middle of the last decade and the national economic recession of 2007-2009. Local operations continued to decline through 2011, but in 2012 recorded an increase of nearly 26% as the result of improving economic conditions and the growth of Eastern Michigan University’s Aviation Program based out of the Eagle Flight Center located at YIP.

Forecast Local Operations. Local GA operations are forecast to remain essentially flat, with a slight decline, from approximately 33,700 operations in 2012 to about 33,000 operations in 2018 at CAGR of -0.3%. Although this projection represents a small decline in GA operations from 2012 to 2018, the forecast actually projects a modest decline from 2012 to 2013 followed by an increase at a CAGR of 0.3% from 2013 to 2018.

Military Operations

Historical Military Operations. Military operations include all aircraft operations performed by military aircraft. Military operations at YIP are performed by a wide range of aircraft sizes and types from small single engine propeller aircraft to F-18 fighter jets. Similar to GA, military operations are typically classified as itinerant or local. However, due to the small number of operations, the results are presented as a single category.

From 2002 to 2012, military operations averaged less than 0.3% of total operations at YIP and only twice during this period have they accounted for more than 500 annual operations (see Table 1). Because of the unique nature of military operations, largely determined by classified U.S. Department of Defense objectives, they can vary significantly from year-to- year without any identifiable trend. Most of the Military Operations occur in conjunction with the “Thunder over Michigan” annual air show.

Forecast Military Operations. Military operations are projected to remain at their 2012 level of 182 annual operations through 2018.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 6 Total Airport Operations

Total Airport operations are forecast to increase from approximately 73,600 annual operations in 2012 to approximately 75,200 operations in 2018 at a CAGR of 0.4%. The forecast indicates that the recent decline in total operations will level-off by 2013 and then traffic will begin to slowly increase over the forecast period. From 2013 to 2018 total airport operations are projected to increase at a CAGR of 0.6%.

2013 TERMINAL AREA FORECAST VALIDATION

The section below provides an evaluation of the 2013 TAF to determine the general reasonableness of its aircraft operations projections. Specifically, it analyzes the use of the year 2018 operations forecast in developing the 2018 future year noise exposure maps.

Commercial Operations

Commercial operations are the sum total of aircraft operations performed by aircraft included in the air carrier and air taxi/commuter categories. Commercial operations have historically accounted for approximately 20% of total YIP operations.

The 2013 TAF commercial operations forecast for the Airport appears reasonable given the long-term trends at YIP and the recent recovery in traffic that has occurred since the trough in 2009. The majority of the commercial operations at the Airport are performed by all-cargo aircraft. YIP has long served as an air cargo facility for Southeast Michigan and according to Airport management this situation is unlikely to change over the 2018 forecast horizon.

According to the FAA Aerospace Forecast 2012-2032 (FAA Aerospace Forecast), U.S. air cargo tonnage is projected to increase at an annual rate of 5.6% during the 2012-2018 period. And the Boeing Market Outlook 2012-2031 forecast projects a CAGR for North American air cargo tonnage of 4.5%. These forecasts suggest that it is reasonable to expect a modest increase in commercial all-cargo aircraft operations at YIP over the 2012-2018 forecast period.

As demonstrated on Table 3, three key regional economic indicators are projected to show significant improvement over the 2012-2018 forecast period. Employment levels are expected to reverse course from annual job losses of -1.3% from 2000 to 2010 to annual job growth of 0.6% from 2010 to 2020. Similarly, per capita personal income is expected to grow at an annual rate of 1.3% up from an annual rate of 1.1%. Likewise, gross regional product is projected to expand at a rate of 1.8% or approximately double its recent historical rate of 0.9%. And while the recovery from the recent economic recession has been slow, most economic forecasts expect it to continue which is likely to result in an increased demand for air service.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 7 Table 3 Socioeconomic Factors Detroit Region

HistoricalForecast Detroit Region (a)(b) 2000-20102010-2020

Employment -1.3% 0.6%

Per Capita Personal Income 1.1% 1.3%

Gross Regional Product 0.9% 1.8%

Sources: SEMCOG, Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary Revised, April 2012 U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Woods and Poole Economics, Inc., 2012 Complete Economic and Demographic Data Source (a) Consolidated Detroit-Warren-Livonia MSA (Wayne, Oakland, Macomb, St. Clair, Livingston, Lapeer), Ann Arbor MSA (Washtenaw), and Monroe MSA (Monroe). (b) Compound annual growth rates for respective periods.

General Aviation Operations

GA operations include local and itinerant operations and historically have accounted for approximately 80% of total YIP operations.

The 2013 TAF GA operations forecast appears reasonable based on the long-term trends of GA activity at YIP. As demonstrated in Exhibit 1 below, GA operations experienced a steady decline from 2002 to 2009, but leveled off in 2010 and 2011 and recorded an increase of 11.6% in 2012. GA operations at individual airports tend to follow national trends and as presented on Exhibit 2, historical GA operations trends for YIP were similar to those for the U.S.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 8 Historically, GA activity has been closely tied to general economic conditions and fuel prices and given that the local and national economies are expected to continue a slow but steady rate it is reasonable to assume that GA operations follow this trend.

According to the 2013 TAF, total GA operations at YIP are projected to increase at an annual rate of 0.3% from 2013 to 2018 compared to 0.4% for the total U.S. This indicates that future GA traffic at YIP will continue to mirror national trends as it has historically.

Conclusion on Use of 2013 TAF for Noise Modeling Purposes

In our efforts to determine the reasonableness of the 2013 TAF for use in developing the 2018 NEMs, Jacobsen/Daniels Associates LLC (JDA), performed a thorough analysis of the 2013 TAF aircraft operations projections for YIP. In addition, we conducted other independent analyses including a survey of the Airport’s largest all-cargo operators for their outlook on likely future demand, a review of other available aviation and socioeconomic forecasts (2013 TAF for State of Michigan and U.S., FAA Aerospace Forecast, Boeing Market Outlook) and discussions with Airport management.

Historical aircraft operations at YIP have been highly variable over the historical period of 2002 to 2012 and exhibited a generally downward trend from 2002 to 2009 before rebounding from 2009 to 2012.

This general decline in activity can be largely explained by economic factors such a decline in the automobile industry (the region’s largest employer), a spike in fuel prices which negatively influenced GA traffic, a U.S. financial and banking crisis, and one of the nation’s most severe economic recessions. While these negative events have largely passed, general ______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 9 economic conditions are improving, and air traffic at YIP has been generally increasing, it is impossible to predict future events that may negatively influence air traffic at YIP and for the nation.

Based on the growth in air traffic at YIP from 2009 through 2012, which has likely occurred in response to improving regional and national economic conditions, the modest growth in air traffic projected in the 2013 TAF for the period 2012 to 2018 is considered a reasonable forecast of future aviation demand at YIP. Considering the information described above, in concert with reviewing the 2013 TAF for the State of Michigan and the 2013 TAF for the U.S., the FAA Aerospace Forecast, and the Boeing Market Outlook it was determined that the 2013 TAF operations forecasts are reasonable estimates of future aviation demand at YIP and appropriate for use in the development of the 2018 future year noise exposure maps in support of the YIP Part 150 Noise Compatibility Study.

Sensitivity Analysis on Updated Baseline Year (2012) Operations from 2012 Airport Data

Given the slight difference in 2012 operations when comparing the values provided in the TAF and those derived from 2012 Airport Data, a sensitivity analysis was conducted to ensure that this slight change in baseline operations would not influence the conclusion that the 2018 TAF operations are appropriate for use in the development of the 2018 future year noise exposure maps.

2012 Airport Data is approximately 1,090 operations or 1.5% lower than 2012 operations as reported in the 2013 TAF. To evaluate the impact of this difference between the two data sources, a sensitivity analysis was conducted where the 2013 TAF projected annual growth rate for the period 2012 to 2018 was applied to the 2012 Airport Data and generated 2018 forecast operations. This approach produced a new 2018 forecast of 74,122 total operations versus 75,220 total operations for 2018 as reported in 2013 TAF, which equates to a difference of 1,098 total operations or 1.5%. This minor difference between the two forecasts further supports our belief that the forecast for 2018 as presented in the 2013 TAF is reasonable for use in developing the Airport’s 2018 NEMs.

In addition to the research and analysis described above, we reviewed the general approach, logic and methodology used in the development of the 2013 TAF. We found the 2013 TAF was prepared in a professional manner, employing a methodology that has been well tested and evaluated by the FAA and the aviation industry and that meets generally accepted industry practices for developing forecasts of aviation demand.

After a careful review of the analyses described above, we made a deliberate decision to use the 2013 TAF to provide the 2018 forecast of total aircraft operations at YIP for use in developing the Airport’s 2018 NEM. We realize that if actual results deviate significantly from the forecast presented in the 2013 TAF, that the Authority accepts the responsibility to revise the forecast and related analyses if necessary.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 10 EXISTING AND FUTURE FLEET MIX

The following section discusses the approach used to determine the existing and future aircraft fleet mix at YIP. The allocation of aircraft operations by aircraft type was determined from a variety of sources that include ASD Data, Airport management records, interviews with key Airport tenants and the 2013 TAF.

The 2012 current year fleet mix was determined from an extensive review of the ASD Data that included actual aircraft flight information for 2012. The fleet mix for the 2018 future year was based on the actual 2012 fleet mix which was adjusted for 2018 based on expected changes in the future aircraft fleet at YIP.

2012 Current Year Fleet Mix

The aircraft fleet mix for current year 2012 is provided below in Table 4.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 11 Table 4 Aircraft Fleet Mix 2012 Wiillow Run Airport

Total Percentage Aircraft Type Arrivals Departures Operations of Total

Airbus A 319 &320 1 1 2 0.0% Beech Jet All Series 222 222 444 0.6% Beech Propeller All Series 2,511 2,511 5,022 6.8% Boeing 727 All Series 300 300 599 0.8% Boeing 737 All Series 60 60 120 0.2% Boeing 747 All Series 8 8 17 0.0% Boeing 757 All Series 4 4 8 0.0% Bombardier CRJ All Series 264 264 529 0.7% Bombardier Learjet All Series 1,002 1,002 2,004 2.7% Cessna Business Jets All Series 711 711 1,423 1.9% Cessna Propeller All Series 6,505 6,505 13,011 17.7% Convair CV-540/580/600/640 52 57 109 0.1% Dassault Falcon All Series 1,015 1,015 2,031 2.8% Douglas DC 8 All Series 15 15 29 0.0% Douglas DC 9 All Series 1,264 1,264 2,528 3.4% Douglas MD 82 & 83 34 34 68 0.1% Embraer ERJ All Series 842 842 1,684 2.3% Gulfstream Jets All Series 306 306 612 0.8% Hawker Business Jets All Series 85 85 170 0.2% Helicopters 91 91 182 0.2% Military Fighter Aircraft 91 91 182 0.2% Miscellaneous Propeller 18,427 18,427 36,854 50.1% Miscellaneous Business Jets 457 457 915 1.2% Miscellaneous Commuters 756 756 1,512 2.1% Mitsubishi All 3 3 6 0.0% Piper Propeller All Series 1,179 1,179 2,358 3.2% Sabreliner 80 592 592 1,184 1.6% Unknown - - - 0.0%

36,799 36,804 73,603 100.0%

Source: BridgeNet International, Willow Run Airport (YIP) Aircraft Operations by INM Type, November 1, 2011 to October 31, 2012 Prepared by: Jacobsen/Daniels Associates LLC

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 12 Presented on Table 5 is a summary of the 2012 current year fleet mix sorted by aircraft category. Single-engine propeller operations represented the largest category of aircraft operations at YIP accounting for approximately 75.7% of total operations. The second largest share was represented by business/corporate jets at approximately 11.1%, followed by narrowbody jets with 4.6%.

Table 5 Operations by Aircraft Category Willow Run Airport

Aircraft Category 2012 Baseline % of Total

Widebody Jets 17 0.0% Narrowbody Jets 3,398 4.6% Regional Jets 2,151 2.9% Business/Corporate Jets 8,174 11.1% Single Engine Prop 55,719 75.7% Multi-Engine Prop 3,963 5.4% Helicopter 182 0.2%

Total Operations 1 73,603 100.00% 26151 1 Total Operations numbers provided from actual 2012 operations (November 1, 2011 to October 31, 2012) as reported by BridgeNet International. Source: BridgeNet International, Willow Run Airport (YIP) Aircraft Operations by INM Type, November 1, 2011 to October 31, 2012 Prepared by: Jacobsen/Daniels Associates LLC

2018 Future Year Fleet Mix

Through information gathered from tenant interviews some assumptions have been made about changes to the fleet mix for 2018. Surveys were issued to on-airport tenants requesting historical and anticipated changes in fleet mix, future flight activity, and facility needs. Results from the tenant interviews are as follows:

• Kalitta Charters plans to maintain their current fleet of 8-727-200, 2-DC-9’s, 8- Falcon 20 and 10-Learjets; • USA Jet’s is going to maintain their current fleet of Falcon 20s, DC-9s and MD80s; • Ameristar Jet Charter is going to maintain their current fleet of Falcon 20s, DC-9s, MD80s and 737s; • DC-8 activity will likely not continue in the future.

Based on the information gained through tenant interviews and additional industry analysis, the following assumptions were made regarding changes in the Airport’s projected 2018 fleet mix.

• Based upon recent discussion with the current tenants, the Airport is projected to have no widebody aircraft operations in 2018. Activity of these aircraft has declined substantially in recent years. The Airport recorded only 16 widebody (B-747) aircraft

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 13 operations in 2012 and that service is expected to be discontinued. Projecting future widebody operations at the airport will be closely monitored as this could change suddenly. • Narrowbody aircraft operations are expected to increase slightly from approximately 4.6% of total aircraft operations in 2012 to 4.7% in 2018. These projections are based on interviews with current narrowbody operators at YIP and the FAA Aerospace Forecast of domestic cargo operations. • Regional jet operations are expected to remain largely unchanged increasing from 2.9% of total aircraft operations in 2012 to 3.0% in 2018. • Business/Corporate Jet activity is projected to increase from 11.1% of total aircraft operations in 2012 to approximately 14.0% in 2018. This assumption is based on projected changes in long-term, national turbojet activity as presented in the FAA Aerospace Forecast. • Single engine, piston-powered aircraft activity is expected to decline from 75.7% of total aircraft operations in 2012 to 72.7% in 2018. This assumption is based on the Airport’s historical trends and projected changes in long-term, national GA activity as presented in the FAA Aerospace Forecast for similar type aircraft. The Airport’s share of multi-engine propeller aircraft operations and helicopter operations are expected to remain largely unchanged from 2012 at 5.4% and 0.3% respectively in 2018.

Table 6 provides the estimated 2018 future year fleet mix. Only minor changes from the 2012 fleet mix are expected to occur by 2018. The allocation of aircraft operations by aircraft type was based on the 2018 aircraft operations forecast from the 2013 TAF and the baseline fleet mix for 2012 adjusted for anticipated changes to the current fleet mix.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 14 Table 6 Aircraft Fleet Mix 2018 Wiillow Run Airport

Total Percentage Aircraft Type Arrivals Departures Operations of Total Airbus A 319 &320 1 1 2 0.0% Beech Jet All Series 233 233 466 0.6% Beech Propeller All Series 2,451 2,451 4,903 6.5% Boeing 727 All Series 314 314 629 0.8% Boeing 737 All Series 63 63 126 0.2% Boeing 747 All Series - - - 0.0% Boeing 757 All Series 4 4 9 0.0% Bombardier CRJ All Series 277 277 555 0.7% Bombardier Learjet All Series 1,290 1,290 2,579 3.4% Cessna Business Jets All Series 916 916 1,832 2.4% Cessna Propeller All Series 6,480 6,480 12,959 17.2% Convair CV-540/580/600/640 57 57 114 0.2% Dassault Falcon All Series 1,307 1,307 2,614 3.5% Douglas DC 8 All Series - - - 0.0% Douglas DC 9 All Series 1,326 1,326 2,652 3.5% Douglas MD 82 & 83 36 36 72 0.1% Embraer ERJ All Series 883 883 1,767 2.3% Gulfstream Jets All Series 394 394 787 1.0% Hawker Business Jets All Series 89 89 178 0.2% Helicopters 107 107 214 0.3% Military Fighter Aircraft 93 93 186 0.2% Miscellaneous Propeller 17,989 17,989 35,979 47.8% Miscellaneous Business Jets 589 589 1,178 1.6% Miscellaneous Commuters 793 793 1,586 2.1% Mitsubishi All 4 4 8 0.0% Piper Propeller All Series 1,151 1,151 2,302 3.1% Sabreliner 80 762 762 1,525 2.0% Unknown - - - 0.0%

37,610 37,610 75,220 100.0%

Source: Jacobsen/Daniels Associates LLC

Presented in Table 7 is a summary of the 2018 future year fleet mix for YIP sorted by aircraft category. Single-engine propeller operations are forecast to account for the largest share of aircraft operations at approximately 72.7%, which is down from 75.7% in 2012. The second largest share is projected to be business/corporate jets at approximately 14.0%, which is up from 11.1% in 2012. The third largest share is projected as narrowbody aircraft which is expected to remain near its 2012 level of approximately 4.7% of total aircraft operations.

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 15 Table 7 Operations by Aircraft Category Willow Run Airport

Aircraft Category 2018 Forecast % of Total

Widebody Jets 0 0.0% Narrowbody Jets 3,532 4.7% Regional Jets 2,256 3.0% Business/Corporate Jets 10,523 14.0% Single Engine Prop 54,653 72.7% Multi-Engine Prop 4,042 5.4% Helicopter 214 0.3%

Total Operations 75,220 100.00% 26151 Source: Jacobsen/Daniels Associates LLC

______Willow Run Airport Final – 4-1-13 Forecast of Aviation Demand 16 Barnard Dunkelberg Company