Chapter 2 1 Karl Cordell & Stefan Wolff (Forthcoming), Ethnic Conflict: Causes, Consequences, and Responses
Karl Cordell & Stefan Wolff (forthcoming), Ethnic Conflict: Causes, Consequences, and Responses. Cambridge: Polity. II The Study of Ethnic Conflict 1. Introduction Our approach to the study of ethnic conflict is informed by one fundamental premise: ethnic conflicts, while complex political phenomena, can be understood. Their complexity must not be confused with a difficulty, let alone impossibility, to understand. Rather, what it means is that there are lots of different things to understand. This understanding can be facilitated with the help of an analytical model that allows us to identify, categorise and group a wide range of different factors that are relevant in explaining the origin, duration and intensity of ethnic conflicts. In order to construct such a model, we proceed in several steps. First, we develop the ‘shell’ of our analytical model, drawing on an existing body of international relations literature where the so-called levels-of-analysis approach has been developed and used since the late 1950s. Second, we argue that there are three sets of theories that can provide useful insights into how it is possible to establish causal relations between the independent variables categorised within the levels-of-analysis model and specific outcomes, namely the occurrence (or lack thereof), intensity and duration of ethnic conflict and the success or failure of policies aimed at its prevention, management and settlement. The three bodies of literature we discuss are theories of international relations, of ethnicity and of inter-ethnic relations. 2. Ethnic Conflict: A definition Before embarking on this intellectual journey, it is necessary to define as precisely as possible the subject of this inquiry.
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