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SITUATION REPORT Date: July 27, 2007 Disaster Management Information Centre Disaster Management Bureau (DMB) Ministry of Food and Disaster Management Disaster Management and Relief Bhaban (6th Floor) 92-93 Mohakhali C/A, Dhaka-1212, Bangladesh Phone: +88-02-9890937, Fax: +88-02-9890854 Email: [email protected], [email protected] Web: http://www.cdmp.org.bd, www.dmb.gov.bd Emergency Flood Situation Title: Emergency Bangladesh Location: 20°22'N-26°36'N, 87°48'E-92°41'E, Covering From: THU-26-JUL-2007:1200 Period: To: FRI-27-JUL-2007:1800 Transmission Date/Time: FRI-27-JUL-2007:1800 Prepared Disaster Management Information Centre (DMIC) by: Flood, Rainfall And River Situation , Summary of Water Levels Flood Forecast (24 & 48 Hrs), Heavy Rainfall Warning, Weather Forecast and Situation Report on Remarkably Affected Districts Current Situation: Monsoon is active over Bangladesh and moderate over North Bay. The Brahmaputra- Jamuna and small rivers surrounding Dhaka and Narayanganj continued rising at all points and The Ganges-Padma continued rising at down stream points. FLOOD, RAINFALL AND RIVER SITUATION SUMMARY (as on JULY 27, 2007) FLOOD OUTLOOK • The prevailing flash flood situation in the north-eastern part of the country is deteriorating. • The Brahmaputra-Jamuna continued rising at all points and is flowing 6 cm, 60 cm & 17 cm above danger level at Bahadurabad, Serajganj & Aricha respectively. The river is likely to rise further and will cross danger level at Chilmari by next 24 hrs. Low lying areas in the districts of Kurigram, Gaibandha, Bogra and Jamalpur are likely to inundate. • Flood situation in the district of Serajganj is likely to deteriorate further and more areas in the districts of Pabna and Tangail are also likely to inundate by next 2/3 days. • The Ganges-Padma also continued rising at down stream points and is flowing 46 cm & 23 cm above danger level at Goalundo and Bhagyakul respectively. The river is likely to rise further, as a result more areas in the districts of Manikganj, Munshiganj, Faridpur, Rajbari, Madaripur, Shariatpur and Dohar & Nawabganj upazila of Dhaka are likely to inundate. • Small rivers surrounding Dhaka and Narayanganj continued rising and are likely to approach danger levels by next 2/3 days except the Buriganga which is flowing 125 cm below danger level this morning. The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities. Page 1 of 7 DER Comprehensive Disaster Group Management Programme SITUATION REPORT SUMMARY OF WATER LEVELS Water Level above AS ON 27-07-2007 AT 06:00 HOURS: River Station Name D.L. WATER LEVEL Above D.L. 26-07-2007 27-07-2007 (in cm) BRAHMAPUTRA BASIN DHARLA KURIGRAM 26.50 26.11 26.53 + 3 TEESTA DALIA 52.25 52.30 52.50 + 25 JAMUNA BAHADURABAD 19.50 19.34 19.56 + 6 JAMUNA SERAJGANJ 13.75 14.05 14.35 + 60 JAMUNA ARICHA 9.40 9.42 9.57 + 17 GANGES BASIN PADMA GOALUNDO 8.50 8.80 8.96 + 46 PADMA BHAGYAKUL 6.00 6.11 6.23 + 23 KOBADAK JHIKARGACHA 4.11 4.14 4.22 + 11 MEGHNA BASIN SURMA KANAIGHAT 13.20 14.08 14.25 +105 SURMA SYLHET 11.25 11.15 11.40 + 15 SURMA SUNAMGANJ 8.25 9.10 9.08 + 83 KHOWAI HABIGANJ 9.50 8.20 10.40 + 90 SOMESWARI DURGAPUR 13.00 15.20 14.48 +148 GUMTI DEBIDDAR 8.09 8.78 8.58 + 49 Water Level above Danger Level Locations was (26 July 2007): Dalia (Teesta, +5cm), Aricha (Jamuna, +2cm), Serajganj ( Jamuna, +30cm), Goalondo (Padma, +30cm), Bhagyakul (Padma, +4cm), Jhikargacha (Kobadak, +3cm), Kanaighat (Surma, +88cm), Sunamganj (Surma, +85cm), Durgapur (Someswari, +220cm), Comilla (Gumti, +2cm), Debiddar (Gumti, +69cm) (Source: Flood Forecasting and Warning Center - FFWC) The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities. Page 2 of 7 DER Comprehensive Disaster Group Management Programme SITUATION REPORT RIVER SITUATION (Source: Flood Forecasting and Warning Center - FFWC) The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities. Page 3 of 7 DER Comprehensive Disaster Group Management Programme SITUATION REPORT FLOOD FORECAST FOR NEXT 24 HRS (28-07-07 AT 6 AM): The Brahmaputra-Jamuna at: 1) Bahadurabad is likely to rise by 29 cm and may flow 35 cm above danger level 2) Serajganj is likely to rise by 43 cm and may flow 103 cm above danger level 3) Aricha is likely to rise by 29 cm and may flow 46 cm above danger level The Tongi Khal at Tongi is likely to rise by 9 cm and may flow 36 cm below danger level The Turag at Mirpur is likely to rise by 8 cm and may flow 58 cm below danger level The Buriganga at Dhaka is likely to rise by 14 cm and may flow 111 cm below danger level The Balu at Demra is likely to rise by 12 cm and may flow 49 cm below danger level The Lakhya at Narayanganj is likely to rise by 12 cm and may flow 36 cm below danger level The Padma at: 1) Hardinge Br. is likely to rise by 11 cm and may flow 120 cm below danger level 2) Goalundo is likely to rise by 24 cm and may flow 70 cm above danger level 3) Bhagyakul is likely to rise by 22 cm and may flow 45 cm above danger level The Surma at: 1) Sylhet is likely to rise by 8 cm and may flow 23 cm above danger level 2) Sunamganj is likely to rise by 16 cm and may flow 99 cm above danger level The Meghna at Bhairab Bazar is likely to rise by 11 cm and may flow 28 cm below danger level FLOOD FORECAST FOR NEXT 48 HRS (29-07-07 AT 6 AM): The Brahmaputra-Jamuna at: 1) Bahadurabad is likely to rise further by 23 cm and may flow 58 cm above danger level 2) Serajganj is likely to rise further by 40 cm and may flow 143 cm above danger level 3) Aricha is likely to rise further by 25 cm and may flow 71 cm above danger level The Tongi Khal at Tongi is likely to rise further by 9 cm and may flow 27 cm below danger level The Turag at Mirpur is likely to rise further by 8 cm and may flow 50 cm below danger level The Buriganga at Dhaka is likely to rise further by 15 cm and may flow 96 cm below danger level The Balu at Demra is likely to rise further by 11 cm and may flow 38 cm below danger level The Lakhya at Narayanganj is likely to rise further by 12 cm and may flow 24 cm below danger level The Padma at: 1) Hardinge Br. is likely to rise further by 13 cm and may flow 107 cm below danger level 2) Goalundo is likely to rise further by 20 cm and may flow 90 cm above danger level 3) Bhagyakul is likely to rise further by 19 cm and may flow 64 cm above danger level The Surma at: • Sylhet is likely to rise further by 6 cm and may flow 29 cm above danger level • Sunamganj is likely to rise further by 14 cm and may flow113 cm above danger level The Meghna at Bhairab Bazar is likely to rise further by 14 cm and may flow 14 cm below danger level (Source: Flood Forecasting and Warning Center - FFWC) The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities. Page 4 of 7 DER Comprehensive Disaster Group Management Programme SITUATION REPORT RAINFALL • Significant rainfalls recorded during the last 24 hrs ending at 6 AM today are: Lorergarh: 167.0 mm Durgapur: 112.0 mm Tangail: 105.0 mm Chilmari: 85.8 mm Kushtia: 75.5 mm Dinajpur: 74.0 mm. GENERAL RIVER CONDITION • 14 water level monitoring stations flowing above danger levels: • The Dharla at Kurigram by 3 cm • The Teesta at Dalia by 25 cm • the Jamuna at Bahadurabad by 6 cm, at Serajganj by 60 cm & at Aricha by 17 cm • the Padma at Goalundo by 46 cm & at Bhagyakul by 23 cm • the Kobodak at Jhikargacha by 11 cm • the Surma at Kanaighat by 105 cm, at Sylhet by 15 cm & at Sunamganj by 83 cm • the Khowai at Habiganj by 90 cm • the Someswari at Durgapur by 148 cm and • the Gumti at Debiddar by 49 cm) • Water Level stations: Rise: 45 Fall: 12 Steady: 1 Not reported: 4 • Most of the Rivers over the country observed to rise. (Source: Flood Forecasting and Warning Center - FFWC) HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING (as on JULY 26, 2007 at 1800 BST) UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF ACTIVE MONSOON OVER BANGLADESH HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR AT PLACES OVER RAJSHAHI, DHAKA, KHULNA, BARISAL, CHITTAGONG AND SYLHET DIVISIONS DURING NEXT 24 HRS COMMENCING 06 PM OF 27 JULY 2007. WEATHER FORECAST (VALID FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 09 AM TODAY) Synoptic Situation: Monsoon axis runs through Punjab, Hariyana, Uttar Prodesh, northern Bihar, Sub- Himalayan West Bengal, and northern Part of Bangladesh to Assam. One of its associated troughs extends to North Bay.