Annual Report All the News and Industry Trends from the Past 12 Months, Plus a Look Ahead to What 2014 Has in Store
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PREINCLUD D FOR ICTIONS2014 ES BUSINESS ANALYSIS FOR TELECOMS PROFESSIONALS DECEMBER 2013 TIMELINE TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS GEOGRAPHY EVENTS A round-up of some Closing the Loop: Moving On: Big Numbers: Dates for your diary and of the major stories Mobile-only operators will 2013 saw certain big Mobile connections are details of the must-attend reported in our daily become a thing of the past, names in the industry head rocketing, driving up capex, events in the telecoms news service but telcos have to decide for pastures new, some but rveneues are not industry over the coming www.totaltele.com whether to buy or build more willingly than others following suit months OPINION ANNUAL REPORT All the news and industry trends from the past 12 months, plus a look ahead to what 2014 has in store s is customary in this December issue, we take a look back at the key events in telecoms over the Apast 12 months and set out our predictions for the year ahead. 2013 was quite a year. This time last year Vodafone’s exit from the US was just one of those rumours that resurfaced from time to time, whenever it was a quiet news week. The idea of former Nokia CEO Stephen Elop selling the company to Microsoft was something we joked about but didn’t really believe. And we didn’t expect the likes of BT, Telecom Italia and Belgacom to be going into 2014 with new, or no, chief executives at the helm. It just goes to show that you can’t forecast the future any more than you can the British winter weather, but that hasn’t stopped us from giving it a go for next year; we stick our necks out and declare who we think will buy whom in 2014. FEATURE While M&A dominated the telecoms headlines in recent months, our review of the year takes a slightly different tack. We look at a key trend that emerged in 2013, that of mobile operators looking to buy and/or build fixed infrastructure to support their mobile FEATURE network rollouts and lower the cost of backhaul. For the full annual report, that is the key news REVIEW OF 2013 stories from the industry in 2013, see our six-page Faced with the prospect of hooking up timeline special. It’s all there! small cells, mobile operators are buying Mary Lennighan, editor and building their own fixed backhaul [email protected] @TelecomEditor 1 www.totaltele.com Fast, Flexible & In Control MEET THE AGILE OPERATOR From serving more customers, to serving more needs, from running and maintaining, to caring and creating – entering the Networked Society requires a shift in focus. As the industry moves faster, the key to success is agility. Operators need to balance customer experience, efficiency and innovation all at once. This is where we can help. Working with the world’s leading operators, we know what it takes. ericsson.com/realize @EricssonOSSBSS AgilityAd_148x210.indd 1 11/8/13 12:36 PM A round-up of the major stories in telecoms in 2013, as reported in our daily news service www.totaltele.com TOP STORIES ANALYSIS VERIZON BUYS OUT VODA 2020 VISION After years of speculation, in The specifications for the fifth generation of mobile technol- September Vodafone agreed ogy have not have been laid out yet and even those heavily to sell its 45% stake in involved in its development are unclear on what it will mean. Verizon Wireless to Verizon “[If you asked me] what is 5G? I would tell you I don’t know,” for $130 billion. The FCC said Bernard Barani, deputy head of the European approved the deal in Commission’s DG Connect, at the Total Telecom Festival in December and, pending London in December. shareholder approvals, it is Nonetheless, the industry is now starting to talk in earnest expected to close in Q1. about 5G. Specifically, people are discussing dates. Samsung arguably started it in May when it stated its aim to commer- NOKIA SELLS DEVICES UNIT cialise 5G technology by 2020, claiming a technology Also in September, Microsoft breakthrough related to millimetre wave spectrum that it agreed a €5.44 billion deal to said will essentially permit mobile speeds that are hundreds acquire Nokia’s mobile of times faster than LTE. Mobile industry analyst Bengt phones business. When the Nordstrom called the announcement a “PR trick”, noting that deal closes the Finnish 5G will not come about through the efforts of a single vendor. vendor will be left with NSN, However, it soon became clear that Samsung is not the mapping unit Here and a only player with 2020 in mind. In October Japan’s NTT patents portfolio. DoCoMo revealed it may try to launch 5G services in time for the 2020 Olympic Games in Tokyo. “It seems far-fetched but SOFTBANK SPRINTS INTO US nonetheless we need to consider it,” said Takehiro Nakamura, Japan’s Softbank took control director of NTT DoCoMo’s radio system design group. of US operator Sprint in July Huawei thinks it can be done. Towards the end of the year after a protracted battle with the Chinese vendor said it expects the first 5G networks, satellite firm Dish Network. capable of speeds upwards of 10 Gbps, will be up and running The $21.6 billion deal left by 2020. To help make that vision a reality, Huawei plans to Sprint with $5 billion in cash plough $600 million into 5G research in 2014-2018. And that and gave Softbank a 78% R&D effort will be very important. “We have already stake. achieved many technological breakthroughs in 5G research and innovation, but the majority of the work remains ahead AMERICA MOVIL’S KPN BID of us,” admitted Huawei’s rotating CEO Eric Xu. Mexico’s America Movil made a €7.2 billion offer to take control of Dutch operator KPN, but in October it chose to abandon WE HAVE ACHIEVED its ambitions rather than MANY TECHNOLOGICAL increase its bid when a BREAKTHROUGHS IN 5G shareholder group blocked RESEARCH AND INNOVATION the move. 3 www.totaltele.com TOP STORIES BIG NEWS OI SWALLOWS PORTUGAL TEL BACK OF THE NET Portugal Telecom and Oi in BT garnered a lot of attention with the August launch of its October announced that they BT Sport TV channels. However, its acquisition of broadcast will merge to create a new rights for Premiership football, rugby, and later Champions Brazil-based operator under League and Europa League football, among others, was not the leadership of current Oi made solely to shake up the UK’s pay-TV market. Rather the CEO and former Portugal telco aimed to consolidate its position in the ISP space by Telecom head Zeinal Bava. bundling BT Sport free with its broadband tariffs. It’s a strategy that does not come cheap. The rights to VODAFONE BUYS KABEL D broadcast just 38 Premiership football matches per season for Vodafone completed a €7.7 the next three years cost it £738 million. A three-year rights billion takeover offer for deal for the UEFA Champions League and Europa League set Germany’s Kabel it back £897 million, far in excess of what fierce rival BSkyB Deutschland in October, said it was prepared to pay. Nonetheless, new BT CEO Gavin securing a 76.57% stake. Patterson said despite the significant investment, BT Sport does not fall into the category of crazy money in light of KPN SELLS GERMAN UNIT some of the other projects the UK incumbent is investing in, Telefonica in July agreed to namely its £2.5 billion nationwide FTTC network. pay KPN €5 billion in cash It is also a strategy that has won a considerable number of for its German mobile unit fans. BT Sport had 1 million customers by the end of August E-Plus and to give the Dutch and 4 million a month later. With premium sports content telco a 17.6% stake in the such a big draw for UK consumers, it will be interesting to combined entity. Regulatory see how BT’s rivals hit back in 2014. scrutiny is ongoing. OPINION ITALIAN JOB Telefonica in September ADVANCING LTE brokered a deal that will see 18 months ago the UK was “behind the curve” in LTE, lagging behind coun- it increase its indirect stake tries like Azerbaijan and Angola, said EE’s chief sales officer Marc Allera in in troubled Telecom Italia, December. EE launched its LTE network in late October 2012 and the market which this year saw CEO has “moved very quickly since then,” he added. Franco Bernabe step down Indeed, the UK’s LTE spectrum auction took place in February, raising and reportedly canned a £2.37 billion. The big four all won bandwidth, as did BT, which insists it has network spin-off plan. The no plans to return to the UK mobile market, but will instead use the spec- deal has antitrust implica- trum to extend its broadband offers. Vodafone and O2 were anxious to bring tions in Latin America. LTE services to market though, something they both achieved on 29 August, while 3 quietly introduced a limited LTE offer in December. At the same EUROPEAN AmbITIONS time, EE continued to push ahead. It reached the 1 million LTE customers Hutchison Whampoa closed milestone in September, ahead of its original target, and in November inau- its acquisition of Orange gurated a small-scale LTE-Advanced network in London’s Tech City area. Austria in January and in July The UK might not be behind the curve anymore, but there were bigger agreed to buy O2 Ireland LTE-A rollouts than EE’s in 2013.