SFIA THOUGHT LEADERSHIP WEBINAR JUNE 30, 2020 Monitoring the Impact of COVID-19 and the Road to Recovery
COVID-19 Featured Speaker:C O R O N O V I R U S Matt Powell Vice President & Senior Industry Advisor The NPD Group HR Business as Unusual
Webinar Host: Alli Schulman Manager, Communications & Marketing SFIA 1
Document classification: NPD Internal Only The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential Questions can be submitted to the GoToWebinar toolbar U.S. Sports Industry Recap
January – May 2020
Copyright 2020. The NPD Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This presentation is proprietary and confidential and may not be disclosed in any manner, in whole or in part, to any third party without the express written consent of NPD. About Matt Powell
Serves as Frequent Sports Industry 20 presentations 29 Advisor for Years as a Sport to senior executives Years in the Sporting Industry Analyst Goods industry The NPD Group of Athletic Retailers/Brands
Often quoted as 46 industry expert in 22,000+ 31,000+ Years in Retail Industry major business LinkedIn Connections Twitter Followers One of the top 1% most Complex: publications viewed LinkedIn profiles “One of the top 15 most influential people in Sneaker Media”
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 3 STATE OF U.S. RETAIL STATE OF U.S. RETAIL
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential U.S. Retailers, prior to Covid, were trimming their doors; the pandemic has put many more on the chopping block
# of U.S. Retail Door Closures 2000 - 2020 (est) Predictions are as high as 20,000 – 25,000 for 2020. 25,000 As of June 9th, 20,000 officially 20,000 announced
15,000 closures were
10,000
5,000 4,004 doors 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Company data, news articles, credit Suisse estimates; 2017 to present, Coresight Research, Buisiness Insider, Cushman Wakefield
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 5 All sectors suffered during March and April but once stores opened mid May, Team and FTW posted gains
Weekly Dollar Sales % change YoY, 21 weeks ending May 30, 2020 Footwear Apparel Team Sports EQ
40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 -40.0 -60.0 -80.0 Jan Jan Jan Jan Feb Feb Feb Feb Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Apr Apr Apr Apr May May May May week 1 week 2 week 3 week 4 week 1 week 2 week 3 week 4 week 1 week 2 week 3 week 4 week 5 week 1 week 2 week 3 week 4 week 1 week 2 week 3 week 4
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 6 The “bright spot” in footwear has been DTC But in Covid-19 times, all stores struggle
Footwear $ % Change, DTC vs. remaining channels 5ME May19 5ME May20 8%
-1%
-12% -20% DTC Remaining channels
*DTC = Factory Outlet + Vertical Shoe Stores Source: The NPD Group/Consumer Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 7 DTC remains a major portion of sales for top brands Consumers reporting DTC gains for both Nike and adidas YTD May20
Select Brands, Footwear $ volume % Select Brands, $ % change 5ME May 20 vs. 5ME May 19 Total Brand $ % DTC Other Outlets DTC others Loss 5ME May20
1% -17% 24% Nike -21%
adidas 18% -4% 31% -12%
-30% -29% 47% Skechers -28%
57% -16% -26% Vans -35%
Source: The NPD Group/Consumer Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 8 Nearly 30% of all Active Apparel sold is Private Label
Total Market vs. Private Label – ATHLETIC Athletic Private Label 12ME May20
Private Label Rest of Market 28% of Apparel
$56.1 B Y/Y Dollar % Growth : -3% $44.0 B Y/Y Unit % Growth : +1%
3% of Footwear
Y/Y Dollar % Growth : -9% Y/Y Unit % Growth : -14%
Apparel Footwear
Document classification: NPD Internal Only The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential The NPD Group/ Consumer Tracking Service 9 Exercise Habits are changing Compared to pre-COVID behavior, exercising at home has increased by more than 70% and twice as many consumers are using online or app based exercise classes.
Exercise at a gym Exercise at home Online/app based exercise classes Yoga Bicycle riding
63% 51% 50%
43% 38% 21% 25% 29% 13% 14% 11% 11% 27% 9% 11% 10% 2% 6%
Before COVID-19 During COVID-19 Plan to do After Before COVID-19 During COVID-19 Plan to do After COVID-19 COVID-19 Source: The NPD Group/ Checkout
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 10 DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 11 Current ONLINE trends 5ME May20
Fashion Apparel Active Apparel Fashion Footwear Athletic Footwear
flat +19% -11% +25% $15B $6B $3B $6B
Year over year % change
Online Dollars —5ME May 2020
Source: The NPD Group/Consumer Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 12 Online penetration in Footwear during the shutdown is over 50%; for Apparel, online volume is 45% of sales
% Footwear sales % Apparel sales Store Online Store Online
28 28 25 28 25 51 28 45
Jan + Feb 19 Jan + Feb 20 Jan + Feb 21 Mar - May 19 Mar - May 20 Jan + Feb 19 Jan + Feb 20 Jan + Feb 21 Mar - May 19 Mar - May 20
Source: The NPD Group/Consumer Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 13 U.S. ATHLETIC FOOTWEAR
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 14 Footwear was off to a good start… then Covid-19
Athletic Footwear $ Volume , in billions
March - May down The first 2 months of 2020 were up +3% -32% to last year
$2,856 $2,956 $5,437 $3,694
Jan + Feb '19 Jan + Feb '20 Mar - May '19 Mar - May '20
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 15 Covid losses take FTW down -20% YTD
Athletic Footwear $ Volume, in billions
YTD May20 vs. PY -$1.6B -19.8% -21.8% in units, ASP +2.6% $7,839 $8,371 $8,293 $6,650
5ME May17 5ME May 18* 5ME May19 5ME May 20
rd * Q1 18 contains the 53 week in January 2018 Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 16 All categories of footwear losing ground YTD
Footwear $ Volume by Super Category $5,000 $4,500 $4,000 -17% Sport Leisure $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 -24%
Millions $2,000 Performance $1,500 $1,000 -28% $500 Outdoor Work/OCC/Safety $0 -7% 5ME May17 5ME May18 5ME May19 5ME May20
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 17 Many brands with double digit losses – only Brooks pulls out a net $ gain
Top Athletic Footwear Brands, $ Volume, (in millions) Top Athletic Footwear Brands, Absolute $ Change, (in millions) 5ME May20 5ME May20 vs. 5ME May19
$2,201 Nike -$544 -20% $827 Jordan -$50 -6% $639 adidas -$169 -21% $310 Skechers -$93 -23% $262 New Balance -$68 -21% $176 Brooks $16 +10% $154 Under Armour -$62 -29% $141 ASICS -$26 -16% $140 Vans -$56 -28% $122 Puma -$4 -4% $107 Converse -$77 -42% Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 18 Losses extend to nearly every class of footwear
Soccer/Footba ll, $75 Golf, $78 Baseball, $101 Walking $120 Skate $149 Sport Slide Hiking/Trekking $180 $178 Cold/All Weather Boots Basketball $192 $194 Top Athletic Footwear Classes, Incremental $ Sales, in millions Training $267 5ME May20 vs. 5ME May19 Work/OCC/Safety $293 $8,800
Running $8,200 $699
Millions $7,600 $7,000 $702 $224 $23 $85 $68 $59 $68 $36 $6,400 $67 $14 $85 $41 $71 $98
$5,800
Sport Lifestyle $5,200 $3,525 $4,600 $8,293 $6,650 $4,000
Golf Skate Running Tr aining Walking Baseball Al l Other Basketball 5ME May19 Sport Slide 5ME May20 Sport Lifestyle Hiking/Trekking Soccer/Football Work/OCC/Safety
Athletic FTW 5ME May 20 $ (M) Cold/All Weather Boots Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 19 Top categories moved upwards as stores opened; those posting May gains include Sports Lifestyle and Sport Slides Top FTW Categories, Weekly Dollar Sales % change YoY, 21 weeks ending May 30, 2020
100.0 Sport Lifestyle Running 60.0 Work/OCC/Safety
20.0 Training Basketball -20.0 Cold/All W. Boots
-60.0 Hiking/Trekking Sport Slide -100.0 Jan Jan Jan Jan Feb Feb Feb Feb Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Apr Apr Apr Apr May May May May week 1 week 2 week 3 week 4 week 1 week 2 week 3 week 4 week 1 week 2 week 3 week 4 week 5 week 1 week 2 week 3 week 4 week 1 week 2 week 3 week 4
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 20 All wearer segments posting double digits losses
Footwear by Gender, $ Volume, in billions 5ME May17 5ME May18 5ME May19 5ME May20
$4,500 $4,000 -20% $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 -18% $2,000 -22% $1,500 $1,000 $500 $3,232 $2,074 $1,344 $0 Men Women Children Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 21 YTD 2020 only 14% of Athletic FTW purchased was used for sport
% of Athletic Footwear used for Sport
16.9
15.1 14.4
5ME May18 5ME May19 5ME May20
Source: The NPD Group/Consumer Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 22 U.S. ACTIVE APPAREL
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 23 Apparel was +1% to last year before Covid -19 hit
Active Apparel $ Volume, in billions
March – May down The first 2 months of 2020 were +1% -28% to last year
$3,548 $3,568 $6,467 $4,668
Jan + Feb '19 Jan + Feb '20 Mar - May '19 Mar - May '20
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 24 YTD Activewear down nearly $2B on declining units and ASPs
Active Apparel $ Volume, in billions
5ME May 20 vs. PY -$1.8B -17.8% -8.9% in units, ASP -9.7% $9,472 $10,389 $10,014 $8,236
5ME May17 5ME May 18 5ME May19 5ME May 20
* Q1 18 contains the 53rd week in January 2018 Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 25 Both Premium and AS/SG were positive in 2019 then Covid-19 forces deep decline
Activewear $ % Monthly Growth, Select Channels
Premium/Mid-Tier AS/SG 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 -40.0 -60.0 -80.0 Jul 2017 Jul 2018 Jul 2019 Jul Jan 2017 Jan 2018 Jan 2019 Jan 2020 Jan Jun 2017 Jun 2018 Jun 2019 Jun Oct2017 Oct2018 Oct2019 Apr 2017 Apr 2018 Apr 2019 Apr 2020 Feb 2017 Sep 2017 Feb 2018 Sep 2018 Feb 2019 Sep 2019 Feb 2020 Dec 2017 Dec 2018 Dec 2019 Dec Aug 2017 Aug 2018 Aug 2019 Nov 2017 Nov 2018 Nov 2019 Nov Mar 2017 Mar 2018 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar May 2017 May 2018 May 2019 May 2020 May
rd Data contains the 53 week in January 2018 Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 26 Biggest losses were in Knit Shirts, Swimwear and Pants
All Others, $426 Headwear $133 Bras $232 Underwear Bottoms $314 Activewear Apparel Classes, Incremental $ Sales (M) Swimwear $610 5ME May20 vs. 5ME May19 Outerwear Tops $738 $11,000 Shorts $871 Millions $9,000 $489 $215 Socks $957 $124 $431 $134 $173 Sweatshirts $7,000 $984 Knit $5,000 $8,236 Shirts $10,014 $1,407 $3,000
Pants Bras Pants Shorts Socks Al l Other $1,564 Knit Shirts Swimwear Headwear 5ME MAY 19 Sweatshirts 5ME May 20 Outerwear Tops Activewear 5ME May20 ($ M) Underwear Bottoms Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 27 Sport brands down double digits; only Champion gaining with sales +3% to last year
Active Apparel $ Volumes, Top 11 Brands
5ME May17 5ME May18 5ME May19 5ME May20
$ % change to PY flat
-19%
-26% -29% +22% -5% +3% -29% -26% +1% -17%
Private Label Nike Under adidas Hanes Fruit Of The Champion Columbia The North Dickies Puma Armour Loom Face
* Unsuppressed brands only Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 28 Apparel down double digits across all wearers
Active Apparel by Wearer Segment, $ Volumes Growth and Dollar change, 5ME May 20 vs 5ME May 19 5ME May 17 5ME May 18 5ME May 19 5ME May 20
-19% -$908M -15% -$557M
-21% -$313M
$4,316 $4,809 $4,730 $3,822 $3,727 $4,012 $3,770 $3,212 $1,429 $1,567 $1,515 $1,201
Men's Women's Kids' Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 29 Many categories losing in Women’s but small upticks occurring YTD in Sweatshirts and Shorts
Others $113 Skirts/Skorts $43 Panties $45 Women’s Activewear Apparel Classes, Incremental $ Sales Socks $197 5ME May 20 vs. 5ME May 19 Bras $215 Outerwear Tops $244 $4,000 Shorts $3,700 $263 $4 $6 $3,400 $45 Sweatshirts Millions $302 $406 $3,100 $105 $56 $2,800 Knit Shirts $410 $2,500 Swimw $2,200 ear $1,900 $3,212 $578 $1,600 Pants Bras Pants Socks $718 Shorts Panties All Other Knit Shirts Swimwear Sweatshirts W Activewear 5ME May20 ($M) 5ME MAY 19 5ME May 20 Outerwear Tops
Cold W. Undergarments
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 30 Only 25% of Activewear is used to work out
% of Activewear used for Sport
27.8 26.7 24.6
5ME May18 5ME May19 5ME May20
Source: The NPD Group/Consumer Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 31 U.S. TEAM SPORTS EQUIPMENT
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 32 Team sports equipment was in great shape at the beginning of 2020, +13%
Team Sports Equipment $ Volume , in millions
-23%
+13%
$710 $803 $2,105 $1,631
Jan + Feb '19 Jan + Feb '20 Mar - May '19 Mar - May '20
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 33 The 13% lift from the beginning of 2020 was offset by the Covid losses in March thru May
Team Sport Equipment $ Volume, in billions
5ME May 20 vs. 5ME May 19 -$381M -13.5% -14.0% in units, ASP +0.5%
$2,558 $2,820 $2,816 $2,435
5ME May17 5ME May 18 5ME May19 5ME May 20 * Data presented in this deck contains the 53rd week in January 2018 Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 34 YTD results reveal categories posting gains, despite the current environment
Team Sports Equipment, 5ME May 20 $ Sales and Growth by Category Bubble size indicates $ % Size of Category, vertical axis indicate $ growth to PY
45% Basketball Combat & +38% Wrestling 25% +26% Gen. Team Racquet Sports Gear Hockey Sports +6% +8% +19% 5% Football flat Golf Lacrosse -15% -15% Soccer -21% -26% Baseball -35% Softball Team EQ Bags Protective Gear -39% -29% -48% -55% Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 35 Team Sports Equipment market dynamics Top Team Sport Equipment Categories, $ % Growth Growth Jan + Feb 2020 Mar -May 2020
Combat & Wrestling 42 Categories Basketball 41 Racquet Sport 18 growing both Hockey 16 before and after Volley Ball 11 General Team Sports Gear 3 shutdown
Football -13 Track & Field 4 Golf -22 Grand Total -23 Soccer -30 Team Sports Equipment Bags -40 Other Sports Gear -46 Lacrosse -46 Field Hockey -47 Baseball & Softball -55 Universal Protective Gear -72 Bowling -80 Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 36 As reopening begins in May, we see Racquet Sports and Golf go from negative to positive
100.0 Top Team Sport Equipment Categories, $ % Growth, Monthly
80.0 Combat & Wrestling, 50.5 60.0
40.0 Racquet Sport, 35.9 Golf, 21.5 20.0 Basketball, 24.0 0.0 Gen. Team Sports Gear, -6.7 Soccer, -15.2 -20.0 Football, -3.4 Team Sports EQ Bags, -13.1 -40.0
-60.0 Baseball & Softball, -48.2
-80.0 Univ. Protective Gear, -73.3 -100.0 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 37 Team Sports Equipment Brands – Leaders and Bleeders LEADERS BLEEDERS Incremental $ Gain Incremental $ Loss Brand* Brand* 5ME May 20 5ME May 20 Spalding +$40M Easton -$68M Lifetime +$39M Rawlings -$68M Everlast +$11M Taylormade -$42M Silverback +$9M Callaway Golf -$33M Wilson +$8M Under Armour -$29M Franklin +$8M Nike -$29M Goalrilla +$5M Louisville Slugger -$22M Penn +$4M DeMarini -$17M Century +$4M Shock Doctor -$14M Cobra Puma Golf +$4M Mizuno -$10M
* Non suppressed brands only Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 38 Team Sports Equipment Subclasses – Leaders and Bleeders LEADERS BLEEDERS $ % $ % Subclasses $ Gain Subclasses $ Loss growth 5ME May 20 decline 5ME May 20
Basketball Portable Hoops/Systems 77% +$69M Non-Wood Bats -46% -$89M
Basketball In-ground Hoops/Systems 46% +$18M Baseball & Softball Gloves & Mitts -36% -$57M
Punching Bags 47% +$13M Golf Drivers -26% -$32M
Badminton & Volleyball Sets 56% +$8M Bat Bag & Backpacks -51% -$31M
Golf Swinging & Putting Mats 73% +$7M Baseball & Softball Batting Gloves -45% -$26M
Tennis Racquet 21% +$7M Batting Helmets -49% -$26M
Golf Nets & Screens 117% +$7M Golf Balls -9% -$25M
Tennis Balls 15% +$7M Golf Iron Set -19% -$22M
Golf Push Carts 63% +$7M Soccer Shin Guards -56% -$21M
Official Basketball - 29.5 / 30 7% +$6M Mouthguard -45% -$17M
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 39 U.S. HEALTH and FITNESS EQUIPMENT
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 40 Health & Fitness EQ was growing during the first months of 2020 But when the U.S. locked down, sales jumped up
Health & Fitness EQ $ Volume , in billions
March + April 2020 up +6% +230% to prior year
$393 $417 $333 $766
Jan + Feb '19 Jan + Feb '20 Mar + Apr 19 Mar + Apr 20
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 41 Health and Fitness Equipment up +63% over last year U.S. Health and Fitness EQ , $ Volume, in billions
+$457M +62.9% +45.5% in units, ASP +12.0%
$729 $784 $726 $1,183
4ME Apr17 4ME Apr18 4ME Apr19 4ME Apr20
* Data presented in this deck contains the 53rd week in January 2018 Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service/ Sports EQ TMM
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 42 Every category in Health & Fitness EQ up double digits
Health & Fitness EQ by Category, $ volumes YTD Apr17 YTD Apr18 YTD Apr19 YTD Apr20
$750
+70% $500 +67% Millions
$250 +45% +70% +27% +74% +36%
$0 Cardiovascular Free Weight Fitness Strength Home Gym Yoga & Mat Home Gym Machines Equipment Accessories Training Weight Pilates Accessories Products Machines
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service/ Sports EQ TMM
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 43 Double digit growth is occurring in nearly every class of fitness equipment
Top 10 Health & Fitness Classes, $ Sales % Change YTD Apr 20 vs. YTD Apr 19
All Others $194
Body Weight 101% 97% Rubber TubingMachines & Bands, $30 $35 Yoga Mats $46 85% 82% Rowing Machines $52 71% 68% 68% Weight Benches $74 57% Other Fitness Accessories $77 Elliptical Trainers $79 33% 36% Stationary Bikes 21% $145 Treadmills $213
Weights Weights Treadmills Yoga Mats All Others $238 Stationary Bikes Weight Benches Elliptical Trainers Rowing Machines Health & Fitness YTD Apr20 Rubber Tubing &Body Bands Weight Machines Other Fitness Accessories
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service/ Sports EQ TMM
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 44 Health & Fitness subclasses – Leaders and Bleeders LEADERS BLEEDERS Incremental $ Gain Incremental $ Loss Top 10 Subclasses Bottom 10 Subclasses YTD Apr20 YTD Apr20
Treadmills +$86M Weightlifting Gloves & Grips -$3.2M
Spin Bikes +$39M Vertical Climbers -$1.5M Handheld (Manual) Massage Dumbbells +$37M Products -$1.2M Rowing Machines +$24M Inversion Tables -$1.1M
Yoga Mats +$21M Weightlifting Wraps & Supports -$1.0M
Exercise & Fitness Mats +$19M Weightlifting Belts -$0.9M
Upright Elliptical Trainers +$17M Other Treadmills -$0.5M
Recumbent Stationary Bikes +$17M Yoga Towels -$0.3M Cages & Towers & Hand & Grip Strengtheners Attachments +$14M -$0.3M Upright Stationary Bikes +$14M Weighted Belts -$0.3M
Document classification: NPD Internal Only The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service/ Sports EQ TMM 45 Health & Fitness brands – Leaders and Bleeders
LEADERS BLEEDERS Incremental $ Gain Incremental $ Loss Brand* Brand* YTD Apr20 YTD Apr20
NordicTrack +$64M Total Gym -$5.1M
Cap Barbell +$39M MAXI CLIMBER -$1.5M Private Label +$38M Empower -$1.4M
Spri +$24M Harbinger -$1.0M Sunny Health & Fitness +$21M Simply Fit -$0.5M Marcy +$21M ACE -$0.4M
Pro-form +$20M Capelli Sport -$0.3M Schwinn +$19M Body Solid -$0.3M Balancefrom +$18M Precor -$0.3M Bowflex +$16M LifeSpan Products -$0.3M *Unsuppressed brands only Document classification: NPD Internal Only The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service/ Sports EQ TMM 46 U.S. OUTDOOR INDUSTRY
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 47 Outdoor was down at the beginning of 2020, falling -43% in March + April
Outdoor Industry $ Volume , in billions
March + April -7% 2020 down -43% to prior year
$2,798 $2,608 $3,049 $1,752
Jan + Feb '19 Jan + Feb '20 Mar + Apr '19 Mar + Apr '20
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 48 For YTD April, results were off by -25%
U.S. Outdoor Industry $ Volume, in billions
-$1.5B -25.4% -28.1% in units $5,587 $5,716 $5,847 $4,360
YTD Apr17 YTD Apr18 YTD Apr19 YTD Apr20
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service/ Industry View
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 49 All sectors in double digit decline YTD April 2020
-26% -25% -19% -35%
APPAREL FOOTWEAR EQUIPMENT ACCESSORIES
58% of volume 19% of volume 18% of volume 5% of volume -$906M -$282M -$182M -$117M
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service/ Industry View
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 50 AS/SG and Outdoor Specialty doors down double; Sport Specialty Ecom up in all sectors except Accessories
U.S. Outdoor Industry $ % Growth (Loss) by Channel Channel Size Change 4ME Apr20 vs. 4ME Apr19, Channel Size 4ME Apr20
Sport Specialty Apparel Footwear Equipment Accessories Ecomm +8% Outdoor Specialty AS/SG -34% -29% 17 22 1
-10 -29 -28 -26 -33 -36 -35 -45 -42
AS/SG Outdoor Specialty Sport Specialty Ecommerce
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential n Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service/ Industry View 51 Most categories down double digits in the Outdoor Industry Top 10 Outdoor Industry Categories, $ Sales % Change 4ME Apr20 vs. 4ME Apr19
Others $225 Cold W. Undergarments $68 WaterSports $101 Bags $157 Camping $166 UndergarmentsApparel $180 -12% Accessories $293 -17% Accessories $398 -23% -22% -25% -25% -25% Outerwear $762 -31% -30% -33% -33% Footwear $837
Sportsw Bags ear Others $1,174 Footwear Camping Sportswear Outerwear Accessories WaterSports $ Size 4ME Apr20 Undergarments Apparel Accessories Cold W. Undergarments
Document classification: NPD Internal Only The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service/ Industry View 52 Outdoor Industry subclasses – Leaders and Bleeders LEADERS BLEEDERS Incremental $ Gain Incremental $ Loss Subclass Subclass 4ME Apr20 4ME Apr20
Dehydrated Food +$5M Outerwear Tops -$208M
Slippers +$4M Knit Shirts -$157M
Portable Power +$4M Running -$107M
Water Filters +$3M Pants -$101M
Smokers +$2M Headwear -$86M Other Cookware Appliances +$2M Shorts -$77M Kayaks +$1M Socks -$61M
Climbing Crash Pads +$1M Hiking/Trekking -$57M Kid Trailers/Carriers +$1M Outerwear Bottoms -$50M Backcountry Accessories +$1M Handwear -$42M
Document classification: NPD Internal Only The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service 53 U.S. CYCLING
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 54 Cycling, at the beginning of 2020 was already up +21% Cycling $ Volume , in billions March + April 2020 up +55% to prior year
+21%
$495 $600 $1,080 $1,672
Jan + Feb 19 Jan + Feb 20 Mar + Apr 19 Mar + Apr 20
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 55 YTD Cycling up by nearly $700M, +44%
Cycling, $ Volume, in billions +$697M +44.3% +24.6% in units, ASP +15.8%
$1,595 $1,652 $1,575 $2,273
YTD Apr17 YTD Apr18 YTD Apr19 YTD Apr20
* Data presented in this deck contains the 53rd week in January 2018 Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 56 All categories up double digits; Bicycles, the largest, +62%, +$553M
Cycling by Category, $ volumes 4ME Apr17 4ME Apr18 4ME Apr19 4ME Apr20 $2,000 +62% $1,500 Millions
$1,000
$500 +19% +28% +23% +13%
$0 Bicycles Bike Parts Bike Accessories Helmets/FTW/Gloves Shop Services
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 57 Largest volumes are in Mountain and Children’s bikes; biggest growth in smaller class, Lifestyle, up +120% YTD
Top 10 Cycling Classes, $ Sales % Change 4ME Apr 2020 vs. 4ME Apr 2019
Others $478 120% Components $102 95% Bike Service/Repairs $105 Tires/Tubes 76% $108 70% $108 65% Lifestyle/Le isureHelmets$134 35% 36% $135 18% 23% Road $162 8% 8% Transit/Fitn ess $204 Childrens $301 Road Mountain Helmets Mountain Childrens All Others $435 Tires/Tubes Components Transit/Fitness Lifestyle/LeisureElectric Bicycles YTD Apr20 Bike Service/Repairs
Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 58 Cycling subclasses – Leaders and Bleeders LEADERS BLEEDERS Incremental $ Gain Incremental $ Loss Top 10 Subclasses Bottom 10 Subclasses 4ME Apr20 4ME Apr20
Front Suspension Bicycles +$108M Mountain Frames -$3.1M
Cross/Hybrid Bicycles +$81M Bike Rentals -$2.8M
Full Suspension Bicycles +$57M Bike Gloves -$2.1M
Cruiser/Classic Bicycles +$56M 27 Inch/ 700C/ 650C Wheels -$1.9M
Electric Bicycles +$53M Sport Perf. Road Bicycles -$1.5M
24 inch Bicycles +$37M Cable Locks -$0.6M
Helmets +$35M Bike Headlights -$0.5M
20 inch Bicycles +$29M U-Locks -$0.5M
16 inch Bicycles +$25M Touring Road Bicycles -$0.4M
18 inch Bicycles +$18M Other Wheels -$0.3M
Document classification: NPD Internal Only The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service 59 Cycling brands – Leaders and Bleeders
LEADERS BLEEDERS Incremental $ Gain Incremental $ Loss Brand* Brand* 4ME Apr20 4ME Apr20 Schwinn +$77M Fuji -$9M Specialized +$74M Scott -$4M Trek +$68M Yeti Cycles -$4M Huffy +$65M Marin -$3M Mongoose +$28M Bike Rentals -$3M Giant +$27M Raleigh -$2M Santa Cruz +$27M Giro -$1M Cannondale +$24M Felt Racing -$1M Kent +$24M Zipp -$1M Electra +$18M Sidi -$1M *Unsuppressed brands only Document classification: NPD Internal Only The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential Source: The NPD Group/Retail Tracking Service 60 What brands and retailers must do now
1 Preserve liquidity 6 Rationalize store base
2 Brand equity 7 Embrace change
3 Brand purpose 8 The customer is in charge
4 Empathy 9 Markdown adverse products
5 Ecommerce 10 Time for transformation
DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 61 THANK YOU
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DocumentThe classification: NPD Group, NPD Inc. Internal | Proprietary Only and confidential 62 Register for the latest SFIA webinars at www.sfia.org/calendar
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