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The Long Red Thread How Democratic Dominance Gave Way to Republican Advantage in Us House of Representatives Elections, 1964
THE LONG RED THREAD HOW DEMOCRATIC DOMINANCE GAVE WAY TO REPUBLICAN ADVANTAGE IN U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ELECTIONS, 1964-2018 by Kyle Kondik A thesis submitted to Johns Hopkins University in conformity with the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts Baltimore, Maryland September 2019 © 2019 Kyle Kondik All Rights Reserved Abstract This history of U.S. House elections from 1964-2018 examines how Democratic dominance in the House prior to 1994 gave way to a Republican advantage in the years following the GOP takeover. Nationalization, partisan realignment, and the reapportionment and redistricting of House seats all contributed to a House where Republicans do not necessarily always dominate, but in which they have had an edge more often than not. This work explores each House election cycle in the time period covered and also surveys academic and journalistic literature to identify key trends and takeaways from more than a half-century of U.S. House election results in the one person, one vote era. Advisor: Dorothea Wolfson Readers: Douglas Harris, Matt Laslo ii Table of Contents Abstract…………………………………………………………………………………....ii List of Tables……………………………………………………………………………..iv List of Figures……………………………………………………………………………..v Introduction: From Dark Blue to Light Red………………………………………………1 Data, Definitions, and Methodology………………………………………………………9 Chapter One: The Partisan Consequences of the Reapportionment Revolution in the United States House of Representatives, 1964-1974…………………………...…12 Chapter 2: The Roots of the Republican Revolution: -
Marginals [PDF]
SUPRC / USA TODAY Kansas General Election Voters FINAL KANSAS SEPTEMBER TOPLINES Area Code: (N=500) n % KC Area ----------------------------------------------------------- 163 32.60 East/Topeka ----------------------------------------------------- 109 21.80 Wichita/South ---------------------------------------------------- 105 21.00 West --------------------------------------------------------------- 123 24.60 ********************************************************************************************************************************** {INSERT QUOTAS} INTRO SECTION> Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk University and I would like to get your opinions on some questions about the upcoming elections in Kansas. Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some brief questions? (quota – youngest in that household). Are you currently registered to vote? (N=500) n % Male ---------------------------------------------------------------- 236 47.20 Female ------------------------------------------------------------ 264 52.80 S2 Thank You. How likely are you to vote in the Kansas election for U.S. Senate and Governor – very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely? (N=500) n % Very Likely-------------------------------------------------------- 481 96.20 Somewhat Likely -------------------------------------------------- 19 3.80 1. Are you currently enrolled as a Democrat, Republican, Unaffiliated/Independent, Libertarian or something else? (N=500) n % Democrat --------------------------------------------------------- -
2014 | 2015 CONTENTS ABOUT the ABOUT EAGLETON Eagleton Institute of Politics
THE STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW JERSEY Eagleton Institute of Politics 2014 | 2015 CONTENTS ABOUT THE ABOUT EAGLETON Eagleton Institute of Politics HE EAGLETON INSTITUTE OF POLITICS EXPLORES STATE AND NATIONAL POLITICS 1 through research, education, and public service, linking the study of politics with its day-to-dayT practice. Th e Institute focuses att ention on how the American political system MESSAGE FROM THE DIRECTOR works, how it changes, and how it might work bett er. 2 EDUCATION PROGRAMS 8 RESEARCH CENTERS AND PROGRAMS 16 PUBLIC PROGRAMS Wood Lawn, home of the Eagleton Institute of Politics 20 EAGLETON’S FACULTY, CENTERS AND PROGRAMS SPECIALIZE IN THE STUDY OF: ■ state legislatures and governors; DONORS ■ public opinion polling and survey research; ■ women’s political participation; ■ minority and immigrant political behavior; 22 ■ campaigns, elections and political parties; ■ ethics; ALUMNI, FACULTY, STAFF AND ■ civic education and political engagement; VISITING ASSOCIATES ■ young elected leaders and youth political participation; ■ science and politics; ■ New Jersey politics. Back Cover Th e Institute includes the Center for American Women and Politics, the Eagleton Cen- EAGLETON ONLINE ter for Public Interest Polling, and the Center on the American Governor. Eagleton also houses the Cliff ord P. Case Professorship of Public Aff airs, the Arthur J. Holland Program on Ethics in Government, the Louis J. Gambaccini Civic Engagement Series, the Senator Wynona Lipman Chair in Women’s Political Leadership, and the Albert W. Lewitt En- dowed Lecture. For Rutgers undergraduate and graduate students, Eagleton off ers a range of education programs including an undergraduate certifi cate, graduate fellowships, research assistant- ships and internships, and opportunities to interact with political practitioners. -
Groups to Watch
Groups to watch There is no question that conservative foundations and think tanks will put an increased emphasis on attacking public sector unions and public schools after the Supreme Court makes its decision in the Janus v. AFSCME case. They are already spending hundreds of millions of dollars across the nation to elect anti-labor and anti-public education candidates and to produce so-called "research," television ads and mailings to bash unions. The Koch network alone plans to spend $400 million this year.1 Virtually all of these organizations aren't required to report their donors. These groups try to bill themselves as pro-worker – they are not. They want to privatize our public schools, lower taxes for corporations and the wealthy, block access to health care, cut pensions, suppress voters, gerrymander and weaken the political power of unions. The tentacles of all of these group are already reaching into Minnesota, advocating for vouchers, more charter schools, defined-contribution pensions and the destruction of public employee unions. State Policy N etwork The State Policy Network (SPN) is a web of so-called “think tanks” that push a right-wing agenda in every state across the country, all while reporting little or no lobbying activities. The $80 million empire2 works to rig the system against working families by pushing for privatizing public schools, blocking expanded access to health care, lowering taxes for corporations and the very wealthy and undermining workers’ rights and unions. SPN and many of its affiliates are members of the controversial American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC), where corporate lobbyists and special interest group representatives vote as equals with state lawmakers behind closed doors on “model” legislation that in many cases ends up benefiting the corporations’ bottom line. -
Ellen L. Weintraub
2/5/2020 FEC | Commissioner Ellen L. Weintraub Home › About the FEC › Leadership and Structure › All Commissioners › Ellen L. Weintraub Ellen L. Weintraub Democrat Currently serving CONTACT Email [email protected] Twitter @EllenLWeintraub Biography Ellen L. Weintraub (@EllenLWeintraub) has served as a commissioner on the U.S. Federal Election Commission since 2002 and chaired it for the third time in 2019. During her tenure, Weintraub has served as a consistent voice for meaningful campaign-finance law enforcement and robust disclosure. She believes that strong and fair regulation of money in politics is important to prevent corruption and maintain the faith of the American people in their democracy. https://www.fec.gov/about/leadership-and-structure/ellen-l-weintraub/ 1/23 2/5/2020 FEC | Commissioner Ellen L. Weintraub Weintraub sounded the alarm early–and continues to do so–regarding the potential for corporate and “dark-money” spending to become a vehicle for foreign influence in our elections. Weintraub is a native New Yorker with degrees from Yale College and Harvard Law School. Prior to her appointment to the FEC, Weintraub was Of Counsel to the Political Law Group of Perkins Coie LLP and Counsel to the House Ethics Committee. Top items The State of the Federal Election Commission, 2019 End of Year Report, December 20, 2019 The Law of Internet Communication Disclaimers, December 18, 2019 "Don’t abolish political ads on social media. Stop microtargeting." Washington Post, November 1, 2019 The State of the Federal Election -
Stories/2017/5 /24/1665544/-KS-Congressman- Accuses-Town-Hall-Attendees-Of-Being- Unamerican-Attendees-Respond)
KS Congressman accuses town hall attendees of ... https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/5/24/1665... TMSERVO433 (/BLOGS/CHRIS-REEVES) Blog (/blogs/Chris-Reeves) Stream (/user/Chris Reeves/stream) Groups (/user/Chris Reeves/favblogs) Following (/user/Chris Reeves/favus KS Congressman accuses town hall attendees of being UnAmerican. Attendees respond. (/stories/2017/5 /24/1665544/-KS-Congressman- accuses-town-hall-attendees-of-being- UnAmerican-Attendees-respond) 517 Comments (517 New) 598 8955 (https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=http%3A%2F (http://www.dailykos.com %2Fwww.dailykos.com%2Fstory%2F2017%2F5%2F24%2F1665544%2F-KS-Congressman-accuses- /story/2017/5 town-hall-attendees-of-being-UnAmerican-Attendees-respond& /24/1665544 text=KS+Congressman+accuses+town+hall+attendees+of+being+UnAmerican.+Attendees+respond.) By Chris Reeves /-KS-Congressman- (/user accuses-town-hall- /Chris%20Reeves) attendees-of-being- UnAmerican-Attendees- 2017/05/24 · 08:11 respond#comments) attribution: Rep. Roger Marshall, Facebook RSS (/user Kansas Congressman Roger Marshall took to American Family Radio on May 12, 2017, /Chris to explain that most of the problems in his town halls were caused by people who Reeves/rss.xml) were “paid protestors” and were UnAmerican (https://afr.net/afr-talk/washington- watch/2017/may/cong-roger-marshall-jennifer-carroll-travis-weber/?p=7). Marhall’s assessment boiled down to this quote: “We still salute the flag. We still pray REBLOGGED BY when we get the chance. We pray before ball games. And Wamego was the exception.” Kansas & Missouri The implication that Wamego residents are in some ways bad people didn’t sit well Kossacks (/blogs /Kansas%20Missouri%20Kossackswith) attendees (http://cjonline.com/opinion/letters-editor/2017-05-21/letter- us-representative-marshall-disrespected-constituents-town). -
Billionaires Tea Party
1 THE BILLIONAIRES’ TEA PARTY How Corporate America is Faking a Grassroots Revolution [transcript] Barack Obama: This is our moment. This is our time. To reclaim the American Dream and reaffirm that fundamental truth that where we are many, we are one; that while we breathe, we hope; and where we are met with cynicism and doubt and those who tell us we can’t, we will respond with that timeless creed that sums up the spirit of a people: Yes we can. Man on Stage: They’re listening to us. They are taking us seriously, and the message is: It’s our county, and they can have it when they pry it from our cold dead fingers. They work for me! NARRATOR: Where did it all go wrong for Barack Obama and the democrats? After sweeping to power with a promise of hope and change, a citizens uprising called the tea party movement emerged. Their message was “no” to big government spending, “no” to healthcare and climate change legislation, and “no” to Obama himself. Woman: Obama is a communist. He says that he doesn't believe in the constitution. NARRATOR: Then, two years into Obama’s presidency, tea party endorsed candidates emerged to sweep the republicans to victory in the House of Representatives. Male News Reader: 32% of the candidates that were elected last night across this country are affiliated with the Tea Party movement. Rand Paul: There's a Tea Party tidal wave, and we're sending a message to 'em. Female Reporter: And they see it as a repudiation of the President and his policies. -
Cady and Americans for Prosperity Amici Brief in SC99185
Electronically Filed - SUPREME COURT OF MISSOURI July 08, 2021 03:22 PM SC99185 IN THE SUPREME COURT OF MISSOURI STEPHANIE DOYLE, ET AL., Appellants v. JENNIFER TIDBALL, ET AL., Respondents. _______________________________________________________________________ Appeal from the Circuit Court of Cole County, Missouri Honorable Jon E. Beetem _______________________________________________________________________ BRIEF OF AMICI CURIAE JEREMY CADY AND AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY IN SUPPORT OF RESPONDENTS This brief is being filed with the consent of all parties. _______________________________________________________________________ MARC H. ELLINGER, #40828 ELLINGER AND ASSOCIATES, LLC 308 East High Street, Suite 300 Jefferson City, MO 65101 Telephone: (573) 750-4100 [email protected] Attorney for Amici Curiae Jeremy Cady and Americans for Prosperity Electronically Filed - SUPREME COURT OF MISSOURI July 08, 2021 03:22 PM TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents ................................................................................................. 2 Table of Authorities ............................................................................................. 4 Jurisdictional Statement ..................................................................................... 6 Summary of the Argument .................................................................................. 7 Interest of Amici Curiae .................................................................................... 10 Statement of Facts ............................................................................................ -
Remarks of Senator Bob Dole Huck Boyd Foundation
This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas REMARKS OFhttp://dolearchives.ku.edu SENATOR BOB DOLE HUCK BOYD FOUNDATION DINNER TOPEKA, KANSAS APRIL 14, 1989 HUCK BOYD HAS LEFT QUITE A LASTING LEGACY OF FRIENDSHIP -- HERE WE ALL ARE TONIGHT TO KICK OFF A MAJOR FUNDRAISING EFFORT FOR A FOUNDATION IN HIS MEMORY. THIS JUST GOES TO SHOW HOW THE INFLUENCE AND INSPIRATION OF ONE MAN, WHO LED A VERY GENEROUS LIFE, CAN REACH FAR INTO THE FUTURE AND CONTINUE TO HAVE A POSITIVE IMPACT ON Page 1 of 37 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu - 2 - THE STATE HE LOVED SO MUCH. WE WILL ALWAYS REMEMBER HUCK AS A CIVIC LEADER, NEWSPAPERMAN, AND ULTIMATELY ONE OF THE BEST POLITICIANS KANSAS HAS EVER KNOWN. HE WAS OUR FRIEND AND ONE OF THE BEST FRIENDS KANSAS EVER HAD. THE HUCK BOYD FOUNDATION IS IN THE PROCESS OF ESTABLISHING A RURAL RESOURCE CENTER TO HELP RURAL COMMUNITIES AND CITIZENS KEEP THEIR VITALITY IN CHANGING ECONOMIC TIMES. THE CENTER Page 2 of 37 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu - 3 - WILL PROVIDE A CLEARINGHOUSE FOR INFORMATION WHICH WILL ALLOW SMALL TOWNS IN RURAL KANSAS TO HAVE ACCESS TO SELF-HELP MEASURES AND POINT THEM IN THE DIRECTION OF POTENTIAL PRIVATE AND PUBLIC ASSISTANCE. JUST AS HUCK HIMSELF GENERATED A PERSONAL VITALITY THROUGHOUT THE TOWNS AND COUNTIES OF KANSAS WHILE HE WAS WITH US, IT IS OUR HOPE THAT THIS FOUNDATION WILL SERVE AS A CATALYST IN PROVIDING THE SUPPORT NECESSARY Page 3 of 37 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu - 4 - TO REENERGIZE RURAL KANSAS. -
Election May Be Over, but Steve Kornacki Isn't Done
MONDAY, FEBRUARY 8, 2021 ELECTION MAY BE OVER, FASIG-TIPTON WINTER MIXED SALE STARTS MONDAY by Jessica Martini BUT STEVE KORNACKI ISN'T The Fasig-Tipton Winter Mixed Sale, ideally positioned just ahead of next week=s start of the breeding season, opens for its DONE ANALYZING RACES two-day run Monday morning at Newtown Paddocks. Hips one through 324, a collection of racing and breeding prospects and short yearlings, will be offered Monday and will be followed Tuesday by hips 325 through 673. Bidding begins each day at 10 a.m. AI=ve always really liked this sale because of its timing,@ said consignor Zach Madden, whose Buckland Sales brings a 13- horse consignment into the auction. AThere is a little bit of an urgency, a little bit of a, >Hey this is my last chance to pick up a mare to breed something this year.= I definitely think there is an urgency to get stuff done.@ Brendan Gallagher, whose Frankfort Park Farm has a 10-horse offering at the sale, agreed. Cont. p4 Steve Kornacki | Getty Images IN TDN EUROPE TODAY ALMANZORS DRAW PRAISE DOWN UNDER by Bill Finley Almanzor (Fr)'s Southern Hemisphere progeny are shining in the This Saturday, Steve Kornacki, a national political sales ring. Kelsey Riley speaks with Cambridge Stud's Henry correspondent for NBC News, will compile and study reams of Plumptre. Click or tap here to go straight to TDN Europe. data and make informed decisions. But he won=t be trying to figure out if the numbers say that Joe Biden Jr. -
September 2, 2021
September 2, 2021 The Honorable Chuck Schumer The Honorable Mitch McConnell Senate Majority Leader Senate Minority Leader 322 Hart Senate Office Building 317 Russell Senate Office Building United States Senate United States Senate Washington, D.C. 20510 Washington, D.C. 20510 The Honorable Nancy Pelosi The Honorable Kevin McCarthy 1236 Longworth House Office Building 2468 Rayburn House Office Building Washington, DC 20515 Washington, DC 20515 Dear Leader Schumer, Leader McConnell, Speaker Pelosi, and Leader McCarthy, As our jurisdictions’ Attorneys General, we are responsible for protecting the health, safety, and well-being of our residents. Although our jurisdictions vary in size, geography, and political composition, we are united in our commitment to an effective criminal justice system that safeguards the communities of our states. To that end, a bipartisan coalition of Attorneys General supported the passage of the First Step Act of 2018—landmark legislation that brought common sense improvements to myriad aspects of the criminal justice system. Central to these reforms was retroactive relief for individuals sentenced under the discredited 100-to-1 crack-to-powder cocaine ratio that Congress abolished in 2010. Following the Supreme Court’s recent opinion in Terry v. United States, however, the lowest level crack cocaine offenders remain categorically ineligible for resentencing. We write today to urge Congress to amend the First Step Act, and to clarify that its retroactive relief applies to all individuals sentenced under the prior regime. Congress enacted the historic First Step Act of 2018 to modernize the criminal justice system, implementing comprehensive reform in areas such as corrections, criminal charging, community re-entry, and beyond. -
Sam Brownback
SAM BROWNBACK 08 WATCH: DECEMBER 2005 IN FOCUS: Brownback Is Positioning Himself to be the “John Ashcroft of 2008.” According to the American Spectator, “Kansas Senator Sam Brownback is positioning himself to be the John Ashcroft of 2008 -- the socially conservative candidate who could run as the needed vice-presidential antidote for a nominee with frayed ties to the religious right: McCain? Giuliani? Pataki? Romney?” [American Spectator, 12/05] BUZZ WATCH: Charlie Cook Said That Brownback Is the Leading Representative of One of the Three Wings of the Republican Party That Are Vying for Nomination in 2008. The Kansas City Star reported that, based on observations by political analyst Charlie Cook of the Cook Political Report, “The 2008 GOP presidential nomination could come down to three candidates, each representing different wings of the party: Sen. Sam Brownback of Kansas, from the ‘sacred’ bracket, Sen. John McCain of Arizona, from what Cook called the ‘secular’ bracket, and Sen. George Allen of Virginia in the ‘bridge’ bracket.” [Kansas City Star, 11/13/05] Brownback May be Politically Boxed-In by Evangelical Efforts to Halt Global Warming. The National Association of Evangelicals will soon issue their first policy statement on global warming calling for mandatory greenhouse gas controls. The NAE source criticizes the climate change position of Senate Environment and Public Works Committee Chairman James Inhofe (R-OK), who is a leading skeptic about the science supporting human responsibility for climate change. According to Inside Fuels and Vehicles, “The NAE plan could further flare tensions in the Republican base… Observers say other conservative Republicans could be in similar awkward positions, including Sens.