THE COOK POLITICAL REPORT 2022 Senate At-A-Glance This list of potential candidates for the 2022 elections is highly speculative and contains names that have been mentioned as either publicly or privately considering candidacies, or worthy of consideration as candidates or recruiting prospects by the parties or interest groups. The numerical key indicating our assessment of each person’s likelihood of running is obviously important, given the “long and dirty” nature of this list, which will be updated each week.
STATE AND LAST 2020 RATING INCUMBENT WIN % MARGIN POTENTIAL AND ANNOUNCED () CANDIDATES Ala. OPEN (R) 64.0% +25.6 Republicans: SOLID R Shelby retiring Trump • Will Ainsworth, Lt. Gov. • Lynda Blanchard, former Trump Ambassador to Slovenia • Katie Britt, Business Council President/former Shelby chief of staff • Mo Brooks, U.S. Rep. • John Merrill, Secretary of State • Gary Palmer, U.S. Rep. • Jessica Taylor, 2020 AL-02 candidate Alaska Lisa Murkowski (R) 44.4% +10.0 Democrats: SOLID R Trump • Margaret Stock, 2016 candidate for U.S. Sen. • Bill Walker, frmr. Governor of Alaska
Republicans: • Mike Dunleavy, Governor of Alaska • Laura Ingraham, Fox News host • Sarah Palin, frmr. Governor of Alaska • Mead Treadwell, frmr. Lieutenant Governorof Alaska Ariz. Mark Kelley (D) 51.2% +0.3 Republicans: LEAN D Biden • Andy Biggs, U.S. Rep. • Doug Ducey, Governor of Arizona • Debbie Lesko, U.S. Rep. • Blake Masters, Thiel Capital COO • David Schweikert, U.S. Rep. • Matt Salmon, frmr. U.S. Rep. • Kelli Ward, st. GOP chair Ark. John Boozman (R) 59.8% +27.6 SOLID R Trump Calif. Alex Padilla (D) +29.4 SOLID D Biden Colo. Michael Bennet (D) 50.0% +13.5 Republicans: SOLID D Biden • Ken Buck, U.S. Rep. • Cory Gardner, frmr. U.S. Sen. • Darryl Glenn, 2016 U.S. Sen. nom. • Steve Reams, Weld County Sheriff Conn. Richard Blumenthal (D) 63.2% +20.1 Republicans: SOLID D Biden • Robert Hyde, businessman • Dan Carter, 2016 U.S. Sen. nom. Fla. Marco Rubio (R) 52.0% +3.4 Democrats: LIKELY R Trump • Allen Ellison, 20 FL-17 nom. • Val Demings, U.S. Rep. • Ted Deutsch, U.S. Rep. • Gwen Graham, frmr. U.S. Rep. • Allen Grayson, frmr. U.S. Rep. • Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, frmr. U.S. Rep. • Stephanie Murphy, U.S. Rep.
Republicans: • Piotr Blass, retired professor • Ivanka Trump, daughter of former President Trump
Independents: • David Jolly, frmr. GOP U.S. Rep. Ga. Raphael Warnock (D) 51.0% +0.3 Republicans: LEAN D Biden • Doug Collins, frmr. U.S. Rep. • Vernon Jones, frmr. Democratic st. Rep./Trump activist • Kelly Loeffler, frmr. U.S. Sen./businesswoman • Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Rep. Hawaii Brian Schatz (D) 73.6% +29.5 SOLID D Biden Idaho Mike Crapo (R) 66.1% +30.8 SOLID R Trump Ill. Tammy Duckworth (D) 54.9% +16.9 SOLID D Biden Ind. Todd Young (R) 52.1% +16.0 SOLID R Trump Iowa Chuck Grassley (R) 60.1% +8.2 Democrats: SOLID R Potential retirement Trump • Cindy Axne, U.S. Rep. • Michael Franken, Navy veteran and '20 U.S. Sen. cand. • Theresa Greenfield, '20 Sen. nom. • Eddie Mauro, businessman and '20 U.S. Sen. cand. • Rob Sand, Iowa st. Auditor
Republicans: • Pat Grassley, Sen. Grassley grandson, st. Rep. • Matt Whitaker, frmr. acting US AG Kan. Jerry Moran (R) 62.2% +15.1 SOLID R Trump Ky. Rand Paul (R) 57.3% +26.0 SOLID R Trump La. John Kennedy (R) 60.7% +18.6 SOLID R Trump Md. Chris Van Hollen (D) 60.9% +32.5 Democrats: SOLID D Biden • Michelle Smith, federal government employee
Republicans: • Larry Hogan, Governor Mo. Roy Blunt (R) 49.2% +15.4 Republicans: SOLID R Trump • Eric Greitens, frmr. Governor • Scott Sifton, frmr. st. Sen. Nev. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 47.1% +2.4 Republicans: LIKELY D Biden • Adam Laxalt, frmr. NV AG • Brian Sandoval, frmr. Governor • Jill Tolles, Assemblywoman N.H. Maggie Hassan (D) 48.0% +7.4 Republicans: LIKELY D Biden • Don Bolduc, 2020 Sen. cand. • Kelly Ayotte, frmr. Sen. • Chris Sununu, Governor N.Y. Chuck Schumer (D) 70.6% +14.6 Democrats: SOLID D Biden • Khaled Salem, activist • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Rep.
Republicans: • James Schultz, activist N.C. OPEN (R) 51.1% +1.3 Democrats: TOSS UP Burr is retiring. Trump • Jeff Jackson, st. Sen. • Erica Smith, 2020 Sen. cand., st. Sen. • Janet Cowell, frmr. st. Treasurer, frmr. st. Sen. • Anthony Foxx, frmr. Transportation Sec., frmr. Chalotte mayor • Dan McCready, Marine veteran, 2018 NC-9 nom. • Sam Searcy, st. Sen.
Republicans: • Mark Walker, frmr. U.S. Rep. • George Holding, U.S. Rep. • Pat McCrory, frmr. Governor • Tim Moore, Speaker of NC House • Lara Trump, daughter-in-law to President Trump N.D. John Hoeven (R) 78.5% +33.4 SOLID R Trump Ohio OPEN (R) 58.0% +8.0 Democrats: LEAN R Portman is retiring. Trump • Amy Acton, frmr. Ohio Dept. of Health director • Cheryl Brooks Sullivan, Franklin County Treasurer • John Cranley, Mayor of Cincinnati • Zach Klein, Columbus City Atty. • Danny O'Connor, Franklin County Recorder/'18 OH-12 special election cand. • David Pepper, frmr. Ohio Democratic Party chairman • Aftab Pureval, '18 OH-01 nom., Hamilton Co. Clerk of Courts • Tim Ryan, U.S. Rep. • Emilia Sykes, st. House Minority Leader • Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton
Republicans: • Warren Davidson, U.S. Rep. • Matt Dolan, state Sen. • Keith Faber, Auditor • Anthony Gonzalez, U.S. Rep. • Jon Husted, Lt. Gov. • Bill Johnson, U.S. Rep. • Jim Jordan, U.S. Rep. • Dave Joyce, U.S. Rep. • Frank LaRose, Secretary of State . Okla. James Lankford (R) 67.7% +33.1 SOLID R Trump Ore. Ron Wyden (D) 56.6% +16.1 Republicans: SOLID D Biden • Jo Rae Perkins, perennial cand. • Tim Knopp, st. Sen. Pa. OPEN (R) 48.8% +1.2 Democrats: TOSS UP Toomey is retiring. Biden • John Fetterman, Lt. Gov. • Valerie Arkoosh, Montgomery Co. Commissioner • Brendan Boyle, U.S. Rep. • Kenneth Braithwaite, frmr. Trump Navy secretary • Chrissy Houlahan, U.S. Rep. • Jim Kenney, Philadelphia mayor • Malcolm Kenyatta, st. Rep. • Conor Lamb, U.S. Rep. • Josh Shapiro, st. AG • Sharif Street, st. Sen.
Republicans: • Cameron Bartolotta, st. Sen. • Jeff Bartos, frmr. cand. for Lt. Gov. • Ryan Costello, frmr. U.S. Rep. • Brian Fitzpatrick, U.S. Rep. • Mike Kelly, U.S. Rep. • Dan Meuser, U.S. Rep. • Guy Reschenthaler, U.S. Rep. • Lloyd Smucker, U.S. Rep. • Glenn Thompson, U.S. Rep. S.C. Tim Scott (R) 60.6% +11.7 Democrats: SOLID R Trump • Stephen Benjamin, Mayor of Columbia • Vincent Sheheen, '10/'14 Gov. nom. S.D. John Thune (R) 71.8% +26.2 SOLID R Trump Utah Mike Lee (R) 68.1% +20.5 Democrats: SOLID R Trump • Jackie Biskupski, frmr. Salt Lake City Mayor • Derek Kitchen, st. Sen. • Ben McAdams, frmr. U.S. Rep.
Republicans: • Tanner Ainge, Utah County Commissioner • Thomas Wright, 2020 Gov cand. Vt. Patrick Leahy (D) 61.3% +35.4 Democrats: SOLID D Biden • Howard Dean, frmr. Governor • T.J. Donovan, VT AG • David Zuckerman, Lt. Gov.
Republicans: • Phil Scott, Governor (3) Wash. Patty Murray (D) 58.8% +19.3 SOLID D Biden Wis. Ron Johnson (R) 50.2% +0.6 Democrats: LEAN R Potential retirement Biden • Tom Nelson, Outagamie Co. Exec. • Mandela Barnes, Lt. Gov. • Josh Kaul, WI AG • Ron Kind, U.S. Rep. • Chris Larson, st. Sen. • Alex Lasry, Milwaukee Bucks executive • Mark Pocan, U.S. Rep.
Republicans: • David Beth, Kenosha County sheriff